NASA Picks 5 Firms To Work On LEO Tech 116
Gary W. Longsine writes "Five contracts have been awarded by NASA today, to firms exploring different aspects of the effort to develop a private launch industry for people to low earth orbit. Today's winners include: Sierra Nevada Corp (aka 'SpaceDev') for the Dream Chaser; Boeing in cooperation with Bigelow on a capsule design; United Launch Alliance (Boeing and Lockheed Martin) to explore safety issues related to upgrading Atlas and Delta rockets to human flight safety standards; Blue Origin to build a launch escape system; and Paragon Space Development Corp for 'air vitalization' (aka life support).
Will the forecast $6 Billion allocation over five years be enough to inspire private industry to develop not one, but two human rated launch systems (a capsule, and the lifting body Dream Chaser)? NASA clearly wants competition in the private market, so they seek more than one vendor."
Same wolf different clothing (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Same wolf different clothing (Score:5, Insightful)
Billion dollar companies will buy up these small entities and we'll be back to $2billion launches in no time...
And the people that created a new launch business are amply rewarded. Existence of an exit strategy, even if it's just getting bought out by a big player trying to maintain an oligopoly, is a necessary precondition for venture capital funding.
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Only in this case the funding does not come from venture capitalists, but rather from taxpayers who will see no benefit once we are back to $2 billion launches, so your point is moot.
Well, sure all points are arguable (that is, "moot"). That's not at all a useful observation to make. Perhaps you ought to look at where the initial funding comes from. That's VC territory. Also, who is charging two billion dollars for a launch? Nobody on the planet.
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The possibility of a lucrative exit allows the smaller companies to attract the sort of talent that is necessary to actually deliver the technology that NASA is looking for. This is hardly irrelevant.
funding intent for CCDev (Score:2)
Well, it might be the case that some of the funding will come from private companies. I think that's the intent, anyway. NASA seems to have $6 Billion over five years allocated to development of commercial crew trans
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Some of those small companies (Blue Origin and Space/X off the top of my head) are already owned by billionaires. What can Boeing offer Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos?
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Billion dollar companies will buy up these small entities and we'll be back to $2billion launches in no time...
I think that's the first time I've ever heard somebody describe Boeing as a "small entity." Their Delta IV rocket can lift more payload to orbit than the Space Shuttle (and has been doing so for several years), at a price an order of magnitude lower than the Shuttle's.
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That was the Falcon 1 (Score:4, Insightful)
You mean Falcon 1. Right now Space X [wikipedia.org] is working on the Falcon 9 for launch this year. They are working with much smaller $ amounts than these 5 companies, but they're not working on human launches either.
I agree that it would be need to see a man-rated version of the F9, but I think NASA wants to focus on rockets that are available now rather than rockets that aren't yet available.
Re:That was the Falcon 1 (Score:5, Informative)
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There is more to man-rated than the design.
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Man-rated means that NASA has certified it's use it to launch people into space. Space X is developing the dragon module to launch crews and cargoes into space with the F9, but that doesn't make the rocket Man-rated [wikipedia.org]. I think it's understandable that NASA has chosen the Atlas V over the Falcon 9, given that the Atlas V has been launched 19 times with a near-perfect success rate.
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It should be noted, for reference, that Shuttle had flown 24 times with a perfect record before Challenger failed.
It should also be noted that Shuttle carried crews on each of those launches, unlike Atlas V.
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But I rather sit on top of a rocket with a capsule than some freakish winged thingy. Will be interesting to see how Virgin Galactic will cope with the first fatal failure (and the business as a whole)
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And that it gets the money into their buddies accounts. Think there is no reason why the airforce keeps delaying the falcon 9 launch?
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The airforce? No... SpaceX keeps delaying the launch. The airforce happily provides them with slot after slot, in 3 month increments.
As much as I'm a big fan of SpaceX, they seem to be perpetually 3 months away from launch. Hopefully, this time, it's for real.
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The Air Force is not delaying the launch. SpaceX isn't ready to launch it yet. The delays are caused by them, not an outside party.
Re:That was the Falcon 1 (Score:4, Interesting)
NASA has made no such choice, and Falcon 9/Dragon have been built to all published NASA man-rating standards. The problem is, NASA is perfectly willing to publish more standards later if they see fit. Ya know how developing software with incomplete specifications is hard? Try rockets.
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Yep, they're betting both ways here.. your comment indicated they were choosing one over the other and that hasn't happened.
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I suspect that man-rating Atlas V may be easier, since a previous generation of Atlas was man rated (Mercury-Atlas).
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Only 19 launches and "near-perfect" does not inspire much confidence.
But, well... Since when strapping yourself to a rocket and ride it into orbit was expected to even sound safe?
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It doesn't have any launch failures under it's belt, but during one of the launches the second stage cut out early, leaving the satellite in a lower orbit than planned.
By comparison, the entire Delta IV has 11 launches with 1 partial failure (the entire Delta series has 300 launches with a 95% success rate).
In any case the vehicles that NASA has to chose from are the Atlas III with 18/19 successful launches, the Delta IV with 10/11 successful launches, and the Falcon 9 with 0/0 successful launches.
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The Falcon 9 uses nine engines.
I'll let you figure out how many engines the canceled Falcon 5 had.
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SpaceX already has NASA contracts (Score:4, Interesting)
They were already given a contract to develop the Falcon and Dragon for use with delivering cargo to the ISS. See this (now out of date) wikipedia entry on NASA's COTS [wikipedia.org] program for more information.
Right now the Delta and Atlas rocket are the closest thing we have to a man-rated rocket after the shuttle retires, so it only makes sense that NASA would look into this route. NASA is very excited about what SpaceX is doing and once the Falcon 9 proves itself with unmanned cargo, I have no doubt that they will look into getting it man-rated.
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That was my first thought too. However, after talking to people there and looking at the numbers, I don't think SpaceX was especially interested in CCDev.
There wasn't a whole lot of money being thrown around relative to COTS ($500M split two ways instead of $100M split five ways) -- the biggest thing CCDev provides at this point is publicity and mindshare as being part of the new path forward, but since they already have it from COTS they don't need to worry about the extra requirements CCDev would bring r
options (Score:2)
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Re:Same wolf different clothing (Score:4, Interesting)
Just so.
Competition would have been offering two (or three or four or more) companies contracts for each general category of hardware (launcher, capsule, etc).
Picking one company for each piece of hardware is just handing money to someone and saying "Please don't just piss this money away on hookers and coke!".
Alternatively, of course, they could have done it the way the military does it - release the specs, allow anyone to enter a design, and hold trials. The design that wins, gets the contract.
Or the way that the military handles big-ticket items - same as above, but pay for development of the two or three most promising designs, then hold the trials.
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LEGO (Score:2)
I first read the Headline, my brain told me "LEGO TECH", and I was momentarily excited.
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A new capsule... (Score:3, Insightful)
Charles Boden says they are taking the "flexible path" drafted in the Augustine Report [nasa.gov] and not by any stretch bailing out of human spaceflight. Yet, they are cancelling the whole Constellation Project, consisting in the launchers (Ares I and V) and the capsule (Orion), while the Augustine panel had specifically kept the Orion capsule in all the flexible path options. Actually, they thought any redesign of the capsule would cause an unwanted setback of more than a year.
So now, we are redesigning again a capsule from scratch. I do not see how this implementation of the "flexible path" approach is going to give us any time (or money) benefits regarding the capsule. Are we supposed to put the astronauts directly on the top of the rockets ?
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The Orion was being developed by Lockheed-Martin, but Boeing already has an Orion-like capsule design. So this may be more of a lateral move from one company to another than a setback.
I'm sure there's some good reason for moving from L-M to Boeing for that work. Not sure exactly what it would be, but I'm certain there's a valid reason. If only we could guess...
On a completely unrelated historical side note, did you know that Boeing moved its corporate headquarters to Chicago in 2001? In an amazing coinc
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Umm. The Augustine Commission report clearly states that Orion is overdesigned and should be scaled back and that EELV-derivatives would significantly reduce the costs of development, they just felt it may have been too late for that. That part was a judgement call on whether you wanted to keep funding or bite the bullet. The Boeing capsule listed is the Orion scaled properly to existing vehicles. It isn't like we have a bunch of Orion capsules sitting around and going to get thrown away. T
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The Committee also examined the design and development of Orion. Many concepts are possible for crew-exploration vehicles, and NASA clearly needs a new spacecraft for travel beyond low-Earth orbit. The Committee found no compelling evidence that the current design will not be acceptable for its wide variety of tasks in the exploration pro- gram. However, the Committee is concerned about Orion’s recurring costs. The
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Its Boeing's OSP proposal.
The long pole in the development cycle was Ares, not the capsule. The capsule really could not go into final design until Ares settled down in terms of weight and they were a long way off.
They can start designing tomorrow for this with a fixed target. That alone is a huge gain.
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My question is, since the Dream Chaser seems to be designed for that same niche, are they supporting both so they can have their pick of crew vehicles in case one doesn't pan out, or is there another
Purpose of CCDev (Score:2)
My question is, since the Dream Chaser seems to be designed for that same niche, are they supporting both so they can have their pick of crew vehicles in case one doesn't pan out, or is there another reason?
These contracts were awarded as part of NASA's CCDev [nasa.gov] program. The purpose is to stimulate the market, and can be thought of more as research grant than being paid to deliver a product. The amounts awarded will give the companies enough money to fully flush out their design and begin prototyping. The idea is that as they get closer to completion NASA will pick the best one to fully fund for actual production and use.
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Maybe... that's definitely how NASA previously ran these things, when there were design competitions, and when NASA funded the vehicle development (and influenced the final designs), and then cancelled the program before it could be completed (which they did several times). However, it's not totally clear that this is what NASA has in mind, for CCDev. There are indications that NASA wants a private market,
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Redundancy, not being tied to any single entity, plus practicality, as each does a different job. And I'd note, there are three crew delivery systems listed, Orion Lite, Dragon, and DreamChaser. The advantages to each are dependent on what you do with them. Dragon is a stipped down capsule, quick n dirty. Orion Lite, even with the beyond LEO functions removed, is a beefier entity with the ability for longer-term functionality as well as more cargo capability. DreamChaser is a miniature space station on
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Orion Lite? (Score:2)
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Ares-1 was a clusterf**k. But we need Ares-V. Nobody has a Saturn V class launcher anymore, including the Russians.
Also, what is the US going to do for manned launches until Dragon and Dream Chaser are ready? Or are we going to have to beg for rides from the Russians and Chinese (and maybe India, too)?
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Also, what is the US going to do for manned launches until Dragon and Dream Chaser are ready?
What was the US going to do until the Ares I was ready to launch in 2017-2019, and Ares V was ready in the 2030s? That's what we had with the old program.
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We need a heavy-lift vehicle (HLV,) not Ares V. Ares V at this point is a paper rocket, not much more than a concept study, and one that made more sense when it could leverage technology from Ares I. What this budget includes is $3B over 5 years to support technology development related to heavy lift, something thats been neglected for decades. In 5 years, if the commercial infrastructure is in place and if this research leads to significant improvements, the design space will be considerably different --
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Did you actually read the report? It's dishonest to act like you have when its pretty clear you haven't.
Oh, and it's The Flexible Path To Mars.. I know everyone is so freakin' lazy that they can't even write 9 more letters but they really do add something don't ya think?
You are not reading things correctly (Score:2)
Stupid approach, typical of bloated government (Score:3, Insightful)
Study this, investigate that, make sure there is a contractor in every important Congressional district. Sick.
They ought to just pay for performance: We need X tons put into orbit no later than date Y, and we'll pay you this much to do it. Pick a payment that is half of what they are going to spend the "big government" way, and the contractors will still make a whopping profit.
Of course, that wouldn't put pork in the right pockets...
Re:Stupid approach, typical of bloated government (Score:4, Interesting)
Don't forget to add "if you break our cargo, you pay for it."
If you want space transport to work like a trucking business, you should pay for it the way you pay a trucking business.
If you want space transport to work like a bottomless money black hole, you should fund it like a bottomless money black hole.
You get what you pay for, and what you get depends on *how* you pay.
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Don't forget to add "if you break our cargo, you pay for it."
If you want space transport to work like a trucking business, you should pay for it the way you pay a trucking business.
If you want space transport to work like a bottomless money black hole, you should fund it like a bottomless money black hole.
You get what you pay for, and what you get depends on *how* you pay.
If only we funded NASA the Way we funded the Pentagon
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If only we funded NASA the Way we funded the Pentagon
You mean by killing people and taking their possessions ?!?
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X tons into orbit on date Y is already available via commercial launch companies. The amount of competition in this market, and it's entanglement with government and politics are not in any sense beyond critique, but basically, if you want to put some mass in a particular orbit, you can get a price for that.
The question here is human space flight. We could say "We need X people put into Low Earth Orbit no later than date Y..." but the problem is that we don't. If we're paying for performance, we should
Yarrrr (Score:3, Interesting)
For some reason I misread "private" as "pirate". Which got me thinking.. How long do we have until there are Space Pirates?
It may sound far-fetched, but once the value of payload(s) exceeds the cost of launch by some degree, I believe it's inevitable that we'll see criminal involvement. Treaties against the weaponization of space, slow response times, and the ability to drop off both crew and payloads virtually anywhere in the world all make space piracy a potentially lucrative enterprise. It's debatable whether any existing laws would even provide for the prosecution of such activity. Maybe John Carmack is really the next Blackbeard!
Whoever the first organization is, and I'm not condoning or trivializing the potential for wanton death and destruction caused by Space Piracy, but I sincerely hope they talk like pirates.
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There aren't any treaties banning weapons in space, only WMDs
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A potato chip tossed out of an orbiting spacecraft is an 18,500 mph weapon of mass destruction to anyone in a crossing orbit. Any treaty banning weapons in space is meaningless. All you need is the capability to get to space and you have a weapon.
economics of "Yarrrr!" (Score:2)
Soon... (Score:2)
Peter Pan. I'm captain of the Dream Catcher. (Score:3, Funny)
- Yes indeed, if it's a fast ship.
- Fast ship? You've never heard of the Dream Catcher?
- Should I have?
- It's the ship that made the Emerald City Run in less than twelve cowznofskis. I've outrun Middle Kingdom dragons. Not the local luckdragons mind you, I'm talking about the big Morgoth-bred firedrakes now. She's fast enough for you old wizard.
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Lol, that was perfect. Except google tells me that a cowznofski is actually a unit of time! Maybe that should have been in twelve potrzebies.
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Lol, that was perfect.
Thanks, 'cept that's supposed to be Dream Chaser, not Catcher. :-( He who lives by the spell checker...
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New Technologies -- Over Promised? (Score:1)
Toward the end of Administrator Bolden's presentation at the National Press Club [youtube.com] (0:48:40) he mentioned that "game changing technology enables us to go to Mars in days, not months". Is this grounded in any reasonable expectation of propulsion development over even the next several decades?
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Toward the end of Administrator Bolden's presentation at the National Press Club (0:48:40) he mentioned that "game changing technology enables us to go to Mars in days, not months". Is this grounded in any reasonable expectation of propulsion development over even the next several decades?
As this was an off-the-cuff response to a question, I'm guessing this he misspoke. On a number of occasions though he's spoken about getting to Mars in a matter of weeks, which is potentially quite doable with technologies like VASIMR, particularly if you launch your lander and return spacecraft to Mars orbit or Phobos separately.
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Blue Origin? (Score:4, Funny)
Blue Origin: A normally secretive team established by Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos...
How much does NASA have to send into orbit before they get free shipping?
Only $50M this year b/c of Congress (Score:2)
It's worth noting that NASA is only able to award $50 million this year due to interference by Congress. They had initially wanted $150M in commercial seed funding, but most of this was diverted by Congress [spacepolitics.com] -- in particularly Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Al) -- towards the soon-to-be-cancelled Constellation project.
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It can be guaranteed that Shelby's not doing anything for honest "this-is-what-I-really-think-is-best" reasons. There may be arguments for and against Constellation, but Shelby did that just because the work was being done in his district.
That guy's a crook.
Some thoughts on each of the companies (Score:2)
Some thoughts after watching the press conference [youtube.com] which announced the winners and reading up about the companies:
Sierra Nevada ($20 million): Their in-progress Dream Chaser reusable lifting-body spacecraft is really interesting, derived from NASA's HL-20 personnel launch system [wikipedia.org] tested in the early 90s. It's a pretty well-understood design, with nice features like reusability, being able to land, low operations costs, and the capability to launch on a medium-lift rocket.
Boeing ($18 million): For developing a
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Space Colonization [feeddistiller.com] Feed @ Feed Distiller [feeddistiller.com]
do they ask (Score:2)
What? No Northrup Grumman? (Score:1)
For cryin out loud, how did they not get in the game? They seems to be in every other corner of the government market! Don't take this as a whine as to why NG isn't in the game, I for one am glad that they aren't. I would much rather see more smaller companies in there working for "the greater good" as it were, than the big boys. But, the big boys have some good technology that they bring to the table, but they also bring a hefty price tag and probably some nasty rules too.
More bailouts??? (Score:2)
When the US government becomes reliant on these (or other) companies for access to space will they become "to big to fail"? If they go broke can I expect another bailout?
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Re:LEO (Score:4, Informative)
Unless you're talking about space, where it is usually associated with Low Earth Orbit.
If there were only some contextual clue as to which acronym expansion was appropriate. If only...
Re:LEO (Score:4, Funny)
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Star_Cops>Star Cops. The result of what you propose will be sadly underappreciated and forgotten, despite being one of the few examples of relatively good hard-ish sci-fi ever put on TV.
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Well since they're tasked with enforcing Space Law, they'd obviously be a Space Law Enforcement Agency, or SLEO.
So you could have SLEOS in LEO, or SLEOS in GEO, SLEOS on a NEO, or SLEOS on a NEO in a Geo. Though that would be unwise.
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or SLEOS on a NEO in a Geo
Would that be a Geo Metro [wikipedia.org] or a Geo Tracker [wikipedia.org]?
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They can ride the same public transportation as anyone else does.
Hopefully we'll need them soon. As in, we have enough people of all stripes in orbit that it's a problem...
SB
Re:LEO (Score:5, Funny)
Talking about space could also mean Astrology. As a Gemini, I find that this Leo favoritism to be very distasteful. :-)
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As a Gemini, I find that this Leo favoritism to be very distasteful.
Yeah, me talks da gud english...
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On a geek site its much more likely to have to do with space than law enforcement...
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