2005 Was the Hottest Year on Record 645
Gulthek writes "As predicted, 2005 was the hottest year since accurate temperature recording began in the late 1800s.
This news is all the more interesting because 2005 was not an "El Niño" year like 1998, the previous record holder."
Buster Poindexter sez.. (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Buster Poindexter sez.. (Score:3, Funny)
Those that saw you sure didn't
No such thing as global warming... (Score:3, Funny)
Now where did that ice cap go?
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:5, Informative)
It was -26C here just a few days ago, on the latitude of 50N.
So even though the average temp is increasing, the amplitude is increasing even faster.
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:2, Informative)
Well, one of the (theoretical) effects of global warming is making the weather more extreme. One of the (also theoretical) dangers with global warming is that the Gulf stream will change direction. If that happens, Northern Europe will become MUCH colder.
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:5, Funny)
Crap. I knew that this whole global warming thingy is a plot by Russia to force us into purchasing more gas for exorbitant prices.
Re: No such thing as global warming... (Score:4, Insightful)
Global warming ==> more thermal energy in the atmosphere ==> more stuff like that.
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:3, Informative)
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:4, Funny)
Just like in the 70s (Score:5, Insightful)
I just wish there would be more science in the discussion rather than "Global Warming is happening, we need to act NOW!!!"
Re:Just like in the 70s (Score:2)
Re:Just like in the 70s (Score:3, Insightful)
Why yes, yes they do. Here's what an astrophysicist has to say on the matter [realclimate.org].
Modelling is extremely tough for sure - but how do you account for the fact that there are models that can do a very good 'backcasts'? Or that investigations of discrepancies between models and observations sometimes revea
Re:Just like in the 70s (Score:5, Interesting)
There is pleanty of science it is just being ignored and replaced by annecdotes and references to other times in the earths past the weather has changed.
The fact is that greenhouse gasses causes a greenhouse effect, the question is, how significant is that effect?
The fact is that the Earths average temperature is rising, the question is why?
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:4, Informative)
It would appear that, as usual, Rush doesn't know what he's talking about.
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:3, Insightful)
Comparing human emissions to volcanic emissions is not even the right question.
Re:No such thing as global warming... (Score:3, Insightful)
What makes volcanic emissions, which intermitently create global catastrophy, part of the "natural equilibrium"? What on Earth is the "natural equilibrium" anyway?
Of all the stupid red herrings in the global warming debate, the idea that there is any distinction between human and non-human sources of greenhouse gasses is the reddest. Terrestrial homeostatis does not care where the ga
It was pretty cold in Eastern Canada last year.... (Score:3, Funny)
News flash: global warming in effect (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:News flash: global warming in effect (Score:2)
No one is saying the climate is not changing, criticism of the global warming theory raises uncertainty about the actual cause. Until that uncertainty has been eliminated, I'd rather invest in science and protection against rising sea levels and extreme weather (such as the Dutch Delta works [wikipedia.org]) than in
Re:News flash: global warming in effect (Score:4, Insightful)
See, science depends on falsifiable theories. Mere consensus has never falsified the impact of, for example, sunspots. Moaning about the source of theories is meaningless because it is equally naive to suggest that climate scientists do not have their own agendas, including securing (more) funding.
It's simple: the global warming theory fails to explain temperatures in the middle ages and cannot falsify theories which include alternative causes of climate change. And it has led to proposed solutions which solve only a fraction of the problem even if global warming is indeed 100% man-made. And even a smaller fraction when it turns out to be incorrect.
Worst of all is, you claim I have a preconceived view while I actually keep all options open. It is the global warming crowd who shuts down every single alternative viewpoint. I do not even deny that man contributes to climate change. I'm just saying that as long as we're not entirely sure about our role, we should invest in more research and ways to protect us against change instead of taking a single-minded risk by focusing on one viewpoint which might ignore several other factors.
By the way: I don't care much for FOX and would not be even if they were broadcasting here in Europe.
Re:News flash: global warming in effect (Score:5, Insightful)
First, there is a false premise in this assertion. A consensus of scientists based on scientific studies is very different from a consensus of "believers" that agree that the world is going to end on 11/11/11 because it's all ones. Conflating all forms of consensus is enough of a reason to disregard everything else you say.
Second, most things in life and science are not, nor ever will be, proven. The theory of gravity has not been proven, but there is a consensus of scientists that believe it based on repeated studies that match their views.
Re:News flash: global warming in effect (Score:2, Insightful)
I may have fallen asleep because of the lack of O2 all the CO and CO2 in the air, but has the global warming effect been irrefutably proven? I still find many articles that speak for and against the global warming claim.
Weather is a cyclical pattern, but just because it is cyclical it doesn't mean that on Feb. 2 of every year it will be sunny. For those of us
Look at the balance points (Score:4, Informative)
Good examples: alpine glaciers. The extent of an alpine glacier in any given year depends directly on how much snow falls on it (how much it grows) vs. how warm it has been (how fast it melts).
Alpine glaciers throughout the world are in retreat. This means that either less snow that recent historical average is falling on almost every glacier in the world, or almost every glacier in the world is melting faster than its recent historical average. But wait, you can measure precipitation separate from the glacier--you can control for that variable. And when you do so it becomes clear that for most glaciers the issue is a higher melting rate. Alpine glaciers are melting faster than they used to, all over the world. This is a pretty good clue that something is changing in the climate as a whole.
And, as an extra bonus, it's visible to the layman's naked eyes. In fact there have been hundreds of news stories over the last 5 years about the retreat of the glaciers world wide. Or you can just ask mountaineers or local villagers.
Are we causing it? That's a tougher nut to crack. We know of a mechanism that can contribute to greater global atmospheric heat storage--greenhouse gases. We also know that human systems create and store an unnatural amount of heat (car exhaust, AC exhaust, plus the urban "heat island" effect). And we know that global overall temperature is going up.
We'll probably never know the exact percentage of our responsibility vs. sunspots. But the point is we know there's a trend and we know we probably are contributing to it to some degree.
Re:News flash: global warming in effect (Score:3, Informative)
The chief cause of global warming is not the heat produced by humanity (though I'm sure that's a factor), it's the ungodly amounts of carbon we've been dumping into the atmosphere since the industrial revolution. This affects the amount of solar energy retained by the planet - this extra energy far outstrips the heat produced by humanity.
Worse, warmer air holds more water, which is itself a powerful greenhouse gas. It's a positive feedback cycle. I continue to be amazed
Re:News flash: global warming in effect (Score:4, Informative)
You would think so. I did as well but then I just sent a question to realclimate.org. Here is part of the response I got:
The global energy usage is around 316 quadrillion BTUs (World Bank, 1995 figures) per year. 1 BTU = 1055 Joules. Therefore spread out over the globe the effective forcing (W/m2) is
More explanation: The laws of theromdynamics lead to the conclusion, hat every bit of energy used is converted to heat eventually. So this calculation takes all the energy used by humans (transportation, electricity,3.16 x 10^17 * 1055 / 5.1x10^14 / (3600*24*365) = 0.02 W/m2
this should be compared to 0.25 W/m2 for a solar cycle, or 2.8 W/m2 for well mixed anthopogenic greenhouse gases or, -3 W/m2 for a big volcano, like Pinatubo.
Russia (Score:3, Insightful)
Global warming stories (Score:3, Informative)
The worst story I have heard about global warming was on NPR and some research group claimed that we are past the point of no return meaning that it doesn't matter what we do at this point, the permafrost is melting at an unstoppable rate and our world is going to change very rapidly into something uninhabitable. The interesting thing about that particular story was that they believed it has been past the point of no return for quite some time now and that even if any of the "green people" had been able to make a bigger difference, it wouldn't have changed anything.
And so long as everything costs money, (i.e. that money can be worth more than people) we'll never pull ourselves together enough to find another place to go, let alone get off this rock in any efficient manner.
I think it's time to make peace with whatever the future holds and enjoy the moment like the 80's.
Re:Global warming stories (Score:3, Insightful)
Melting at an unstoppable rate? Change very rapidly into something uninhabitable? Exaggerate much?
The planet's climate has shifted drastically over the course of time without our interference
Re:Global warming stories (Score:2)
The Biosphere has survived way more than the puny stuff we throw at it.
Re:Global warming stories (Score:2)
Re:Global warming stories (Score:2, Funny)
Fear Mongering (Score:3, Insightful)
This is just fear mongering. The world might very well have shifted its weather equilibrium. We might see some drastic weather changes. Populations might be displaced and poor nations might expe
Re:Fear Mongering (Score:5, Insightful)
Nature doesn't give a shit what we do. We don't have it in our capacity to make this world uninhabitable.
I am pretty sure planting a few hundred hydrogen bombs a couple of miles below the surface of the planet at strategic locations, and detonating them, would make the world uninhabitable.
Trust me, if we really wanted to, we could.
Re:Fear Mongering (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Fear Mongering (Score:3, Insightful)
No, we couldn't. Hydrogen bombs just aren't big enough.
Oh, we could probably screw up the global ecosystem enough that we'd kill ourselves off, and probably most other large mammals, but we couldn't come anywhere close to sterilising the planet. Not like that.
(A better approach would be to use those bombs to change the
Re:I think you and some others are missing the poi (Score:4, Informative)
No, it wouldn't. This is the Big Number Fallacy [jerf.org]. Nukes are big. Planets are big. But the two are not equally big. Planets are many orders of magnitude bigger. Your average volcano releases more energy that one of those nukes, and the amount of energy released on an ongoing basis due to tectonic plates shifting is so much vaster than that that your nukes aren't even worth measuring.
You want numbers? In order to disintegrate the Earth, you have to counter gravity. This is equivalent (if I can trust my figures) to about 1x10^16 megatonnes. The largest hydrogen bomb ever detonated was at Bikini Atoll in 1954, and was 13.6 megatonnes, which is rather smaller than 10'000'000'000'000'000.
You say that the bombs' shock waves merely liberate energy already inherent in the Earth's core? Well, if it could happen, it would have --- Earth has been struck with a lot of very big asteroids in its history, and it's still intact. As are all the other planets in the solar system: the asteroid belt always was debris, there's not enough there to form a real planet. It's worth mentioning that on the scales we're talking about, rock flows like liquid. Any big impact will cause a splash, and the result will very quickly reform into a sphere again.
Sorry if I'm seeming rude, but this is something that I've seen a lot and it always irritates me --- I think it stems from people wanting to believe that humankind is a lot more influential that it actually is. On a planetary scale, we have no power whatsoever. We're barely at the stage of being able to affect ecosystems, and that is, quite literally, only just scratching the surface.
Re:Fear Mongering (Score:3, Insightful)
Last night. You do realize that light pollution can be reversed with the flick of a switch, don't you?
Re:And why would they say that? (Score:3, Informative)
You really don't know what you are talking about, do you? Heat ca
This is trivial and obvious (Score:5, Interesting)
See the "Record Fallacy" at:
numberwatch [numberwatch.co.uk] get with the maths, people...
Re:This is trivial and obvious (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:This is trivial and obvious (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:This is trivial and obvious (Score:2)
Note that I'm not saying we're NOT having an influence, just that, IMO, it's neglig
Re:This is trivial and obvious (Score:4, Informative)
Definitely obvious, but the reasoning is "trivial". Weather is not a stochastic process, but is linked to variables including (but not limited to) the amount of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. If you look in terms of only records, then your argument is correct. However, if you look at average global temperature rise [earth-policy.org], you'll note that while the global temperature fluctuates, the overall trend is a steady rise.
Re:This is trivial and obvious (Score:3, Informative)
His point is that declaring a "record" high or low doesn't mean anything. You will get record hi
Re: (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:It doesn't matter how much Global Warming evide (Score:2)
Bah humbug (Score:3, Insightful)
Seriously, take the time to do some real reading.
Re:Bah humbug (Score:3, Interesting)
denying them makes as much sense as denying evolution. oh, wait...
with both global warming and evolution, the only arguments among real scientists are the *details* of the mechanisms, not whether they actually exist or not.
Re:Bah humbug (Score:3, Informative)
There is a consensus about evolution. There is a consensus that tobacco is carcinogenic. There is a consensus that the world is a sphere. There are a few people here and there who would argue otherwise. Does that make the consensus disreputable?
To be sure, there are (increasingly rare) cases of a solid scientific consensus that is in error, but to bet aga
Re:Bah humbug (Score:5, Insightful)
That's my opinion as well. However, what to do about our ignorance is the question. IMHO since we know so little, we should strive to minimize our impact until we really understand what our impact is. Some people think that because we don't know what our impact is, screw it, let's pave the planet, and subdue the oil producing nations so we can all buy houses 50 miles from where we work every day and drive to work on $1.50/gal gas.
Hadeon Eon was hot (Score:5, Funny)
Paris Hilton was quoted as saying, "That's hot!"
Incidentally no SUVs, chemical plants, aerosol cans or overclocked processors were found at the scene.
Re:Hadean Eon was hot (Score:2)
Know what else was missing? Humans. We don't like those kind of temperatures very much so even if Earth will survive global warming, we might not.
Re:Hadean Eon was hot (Score:2)
I agree, the Earth is warming and humans are most likely exacerbating the problem. It is unfortunate that people deny that Global Warming is happening when most of the world's top scientists say that it is. As an earlier post noted, it may be too late for humans to actually do anything about in the short term. Maybe in the long term we will be more Earth-friendly, that is if were are still around to make that choice.
But if there ever was a post deserving 'Flameba
Re:Hadeon Eon was hot (Score:3, Funny)
Well duhh. They melted.
Science vs economics (Score:4, Interesting)
Simply put, the economics of global warming solutions are just terrible. You really have to stretch to come up with a cost-benefit that justifies actually doing much about global warming. Bjorn Lomborg's "Global Crises, Global Solutions" goes into this in detail, basically demonstrating that beyond a doubt, we can do much, much, much more good for the world by doing things like fighting AIDS or providing clean water to the poor than we can by spending hundreds of billions to put a micro-dent in the projected warming trend. The reason for the cost-benefit results should be obvious if you look at the map in the article. Where is the warming? In "#$"#$ cold places! There are lots of benefits to global warming that offset the costs.
Yes, global warming is happening. What we should do about it is an another matter entirely.
What altitude do you live at? (Score:2)
However, if I lived in London, New York, or Bangladesh, I would be rather more concerned for the long term. It's true that clean drinking water and medicines will benefit many people, but the effects of flooding on migration, population disruption and interruption to trade will start off wars. In fact, perhaps I should be worried. I will probably need a few RPGs and mac
Re:Science vs economics (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:No, it is not grim at all (Score:3, Informative)
ridiculos! (Score:2, Funny)
Wonderful with all these experts (Score:5, Funny)
More greenhouse gasses.... (Score:3, Insightful)
Shall we devote our resources to stopping that ?
The answer is, of course not.
Energy waste is bad for one simple reason, it is wasteful.
Let's devote our energy to reducing energy waste. Let's tighten up the efficiency regulations of automobiles so that SUV's aren't a 'loop-hole' (http://www.cfif.org/htdocs/freedomline/current/gu est_commentary/lynch-cafe-standard-insanity.htm [cfif.org]) in the CAFE standards. Let's stop producing so much light pollution (url:httpwwwdarkskyorg [url]>)that I can no longer make out the Milky Way from my back garden in a surburb of a small mid-western city . Let's insist that fuck-brains who choose to buy Harley Davidson motorcycles aren't buying them because they make A LOT OF NOISE (http://www.noisefree.org/motorcycles/loudpipes.ht ml [noisefree.org]), and really only want to look macho http://www.havasy.net/images/bike/chapsleather01_t humbnail.jpg [havasy.net]!
I Want to See Temps vs. Solar Output (Score:3, Insightful)
I'm open to believing in _human caused_ global warming. But I want to see what the year to year output of the Sun has been.
Remember that story last year about the ice caps on Mars shrinking? It was on slashdot. Output from stars is not static.
Just humor me before we start pronouncing doom and gloom.
Re:I Want to See Temps vs. Solar Output (Score:5, Interesting)
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=180 [realclimate.org]
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:3, Insightful)
A collapsed ecosystem is a more near term and serious threat to civilization than theoretical global warming. Because it has been proven that p
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:5, Insightful)
more carefully so that they got closer to knowing. While a few "respected scientists" can be found to hold out against just about anything,
virtually any competent authority will now agree that there is accelerating warming over the last 100-200 years
which does not look like part of any of the cycles we can see in the climatic record.
This srticle is not old. Journals would not publish it if there were. There is new data, and more careful analysis, and yes, it still supports the view that anomalous warming is occurring.
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:3, Insightful)
It may be cheaper to reduce the speed or extent of climate change than to let it happen and adapt to it.
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:3, Informative)
But they know many of the likely candidates for such natural cycles and none of them fit the observed trend, which is large, global and extremely fast (~0.1C/decade at present). If you have a candidate forcing I'd like to hear about it.
This
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:5, Funny)
Hey, if the lunatics on one side of the field can have their wacky theories, the lunatics on the other side are welcome to theirs as well!
At least the Global Warming freaks aren't trying to legislate that it be taught in classrooms!!!
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:3, Insightful)
reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Created in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environmental Programme, IPCC's purpose is to evaluate the state of climate science as a basis for informed policy action, primarily on the basis of peer-reviewed and published scientific literature (3). In its most recent assessment, IPCC states unequivocally that the consensus of scientific opinion is that Earth' [sciencemag.org]
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:3, Informative)
The problem with this approach is it tends towards argumentum ad populum which basically means if enough people believe in something it must be true which is not at all how science works.
Wein's displacement law [wolfram.com] gives Earth's radation peak in the infrared region at about 10 micrometers. H20 makes up 2% (50 times more than CO2) of the amosphere and has a much higher reflectivity in the 10 micromenter region.
As wat
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:2, Redundant)
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:3, Insightful)
Eh? Most of the respected scientists and rational thinkers do believe that there is climate change being caused by human activity. I mean, it's logical. How do you pump billions of tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere - without causing some atmospheric effects?
The religious thinkers and propagandists are the ones who say we shouldn't be thinking about this. Usually they are driven by massiv
Re:Global Warming backed by poor science (Score:4, Insightful)
1. We know CO2 levels are rising [noaa.gov] (and we know human activities add CO2 to the atmosphere)
2. We know CO2 is a greenhouse gas. (However, water vapor is actually the number one greenhouse gas, followed by CO2.)
3. We know the greenhouse effect warms our planet. (Without it the average temperature would be -18C http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_Effect [wikipedia.org])
So how can we not be concerned about global warming? You may be able to argue that the effects won't be that bad or that humans simply aren't creating enough CO2 to cause problems (not sure if I'd agree with you on either point) but it just doesn't seem logical to assert we're having no affect on the environment.
Re:Here here! (Score:5, Informative)
Re:Here here! (Score:5, Insightful)
Also, even more than temperature averages, I'd like to see what the standard deviation of temperatures over history is, and how we compare to that. That is the real measure of what's going on, not if we're "higher than average" or whatever.
Of course, I don't at all think that the climate isn't changing, and I don't think that human activity doesn't affect it. I think, though, panic or zealotry is not an appropriate response to the change. I don't even think huge global programs are the proper response: I think the correct thing is a proper response from everyone on the smallest level possible and the large problems will sort themselves out.
Remember, the problem isn't so much the change in temperature, but the resulting change in geographic distribution of certain things like arable land, habitable land, disease, etc. Basically we will need some combination of migration, new construction, etc. to mitigate the changing environment. I don't think any one of those things is necessarily bad. The problem is, humans typically don't handle change well and will just end up fighting each other.
Your wish is my command... (Score:5, Informative)
Climate Research Unit Page [uea.ac.uk]
Re:And in other news.. (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:And in other news.. (Score:5, Insightful)
At the same time, the fact that many people can use absolutely any piece of climatological data (like record cold, as you just did) to point to global warming doesn't really help the case.
Re:And in other news.. (Score:4, Insightful)
Energy is neither created nor destroyed. By modifying the atmosphere to hold more heat, it HAS to go somewhere. Will it cause an 80 degree day in Siberia in the dead of winter or cause a record number of hurricanes in the gulf? Nobody knows, but as more and more heat gets added to the equation, you can bet that the AVERAGE temperature will indeed go up as we see it doing.
Re:And in other news.. (Score:3, Interesting)
dEnergy = EnergyGain + EnergyReleased - EnergyLoss
EnergyGain would be the energy absorbed from sunlight. EnergyReleased would be energy that is already on the planet is released by some process (eg burning fossil fuels). EnergyLoss would be the heat radiated out into space.
EnergyLoss has supposedly been decreasing because of greenhouse gasses - CO2 inhibits the radiation of heat off of the planet.
EnergyGain may also be decreasing from the effects of polluti
Re:And in other news.. (Score:3, Interesting)
...based on the records we have, which only go back about a hundred years. You might find that "normal" weather periodically includes the conditions this part of India experienced, but you could only determine that if you could look at more than 1% of the weather data from the past 12,000 years.
Re:And in other news.. (Score:2)
Correct though it says 70 years ago the winter in that region was like this again. So this doesn't exactly support the part where the "weather is getting weird". Just apparently there are some peaks every X years in either direction. May
Re:And in other news.. (Score:3, Interesting)
Look at it this way... there may be local weather that may not be "normal" based on recent data, but there's no such thing as "normal" weather, and despite the active hurricane season this year, there is NOT an increase "catastrophic" weather. When you hear that the temperature on a given day is hotter or colder than average, it means nothing. The temperature has continuously cycled th
Re:And in other news.. (Score:2)
Re:And in other news.. (Score:5, Insightful)
A few points that are always ignored by the global warming will kill us all crowd:
There are abnormal patterns in today's patterns (not a single one of which has never been recorded before, I might add) and this causes lots and lots of people to suddenly know and understand exactly what the cause is, and who to blame. India is getting abnormally cold temperatures - as CNN puts it [cnn.com], the current temperatures are the coldest in 70 years. If, as you claim, today's really cold temperatures are the blame of "global warming", then what caused the cold temperatures 70 years ago? Or are the climate boogeymen SO horrible that they are setting up kind of a resonant wave of evil that travels back in time and makes the land of the elephants go brrrr?
If greenhouse gas and ONLY greenhouse gas causes India to go brrrrr, what caused the cold snap 70 years ago? If something ELSE caused the cold back then, then how do you KNOW that the same mechanism (which has yet to be identified other than 'sometimes weather does stuff') isn't doing it again today?
The global warming crowd warns that Europe is going to get cold because (and ONLY because) of the greenhouse gasses, yet can't explain all of those old paintings of ice skaters.
Weather fluxuates. Always has. Always will. To claim that every -previous- shift in climate was completely natural but THIS one is caused by humans... well, I'm probably just wasting my breath.
Re:And in other news.. (Score:4, Insightful)
Atmospheric composition fluctuates, too. Always has, and always will (a lot of it has to do with continental drift, for one). But claiming that every previous shift in CO2 levels is natural, but this one is anthropogenic... makes sense. The spike occurs within the period of anthropogenic CO2 emissions. The amount is consistent with levels of human CO2 production. If you look at ice core data, the last 150 years isn't just an anomaly. It's off the charts. By a lot. (And yes, CO2 levels have been higher in the past, but unless continents have been moving around half the planet while I wasn't looking, that probably isn't the problem).
So now we know we've got an anthropogenic CO2 spike. And now we're seeing a temperature spike. We've got a theory which connects CO2 to temperature which is really, really well founded (by many, many years of agriculture). Unless someone is proposing a theory which explains the temperature spike via other methods while simultaneously explaining why the CO2 spike doesn't cause it, and predicting something the other one doesn't, Occam's Razor says to choose the first one - it's simpler. One cause, two effects. Saying "it's natural fluctuations, that's simpler" isn't right because you're ignoring data - you have to explain why the CO2 rise isn't causing a temperature spike, while simultaneously a different process is.
It's simply bad science to claim that the climate change we're seeing isn't likely to be anthropogenic. Is it anthropogenic? I don't know. Could be that the Martians simply turned up their remote Earth thermostat. Got me. But until a better explanation comes along, this one's the most likely to be true.
Do we understand everything about climate? No. That doesn't mean that the intelligent course of action isn't prudence.
I don't know how I'm going to die, but that doesn't mean that I shouldn't exercise and eat healthy. I could still be hit by a car tomorrow, making all of my work pointless, but it was still the right action to take.
Re:And in other news.. (Score:3, Informative)
Yeah, I'll bet it was the coldest for Newfoundland too. For you see, try to tell any Newfie that global warming is occuring and they'll most likely laugh at you. It gets colder and colder there every year it seems. A basic study was done and it was determined that the melting icebergs to the north [physics.mun.ca] were providing cold water for the Labrador Current to bring around Newfoundland. Thus making the temperature of the ground colder which normally r
Re:Huh? (Score:5, Informative)
The direct data sample is actually smaller. It is less than 30 years. Before that there were no weather satellites and ground stations have never covered the entire globe. 200 years from ground stations are available only for 20-30 locations mostly in Western Europe and Eastern USA..
Indirect data sample - Oxygen isotope distribution, CO2 content, methane content, morphology of some algae and plankton, etc spans back nearly a million years now. All of these can be used to get an estimate for a global or local temperature average. The last 10000 are covered with fairly good precision.
So your 200 years claim is bogus. If you are talking about direct data there is considerably less than that. If you are talking about all data, there is a useable sample going back 10000+ years.
Re:Huh? (Score:5, Insightful)
After reading this poster's tag-line I did wonder, but then I re-read what he's saying and it does seem he wants this comment taken at face value.
Is it possible that he could have overlooked that climate change in our planet's history did not involve quite the same situation as we have today with the human levels of interference in the natural eco-systems ?
Leaving aside the tendency for the media to over-state, over-dramatise and over-simplify all issues surely when large numbers of far more sobre, intelligent and conscientious members of the global scientific community consider a problem is serious enough for research, debate and recommendations for global action, surely we should listen to them ?
Perhaps the poster has already studied the scientific data and drawn his own conclusions but since science is built on small advances in knowledge (with occasional larger ones) it is surely naive to totally dismiss a field of study that is still so active ?
I could hazard a guess that the poster is from the US, which would be based on a suspicion that information circulating in mainstream media in that part of the world might be unduly influenced by interested parties in energy or government, but I don't want to personalise this in any way. I just think it is naive, dangerous and frankly irresponsible to dismiss this debate while we're still collecting scientific data
Re:Huh? (Score:3, Insightful)
I just think it is naive, dangerous and frankly irresponsible to dismiss this debate while we're still collecting scientific data.
I agree with your comment. The problem here is that the side that says global warming is real and is caused by mankind's actions state that it is a fact that mankind caused it. They don't need any more data. Anyone who says we're not sure that it is caused by mankind are tagged as flamebait or trolls. The sun is at the height of a twenty year cycle. Data has shown that Mars is
Re:Huh? (Score:4, Informative)
Some of them do, some of them don't. Global Warming is a very complicated issue. Definately things are getting warmer, this is know. Definately a natural cycle is contributing to it, this is known. However, what is not so sure is how fast the temperature is rising -- a lot of evidence sugests that it might be rising significantly faster than the natural process can account for.
One thing that is for sure is that human polution is not helping the enviroment any, and has other deletarious effects on human habitability as well. Global Warming is just one of several reasons why reducing carbon emmisions would be a good plan, but because it's easier to argue against than the others it tends to get jumped on and pushed into the limelight as if it was the be all and end all of enviromental issues.
Re:Huh? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Huh? (Score:4, Informative)
Re:The Global Warming Seminar, scheduled for Ohio. (Score:2, Funny)
Well, the data shows that people already know quite well how to produce global warning and are already doing it, so there's no point in teaching them how to do it in a seminar.
Re:Right... (Score:2)
Re:What Ever Happened? (Score:5, Insightful)
The problem (mostly sulfur in fossil fuels) was reduced significantly, either by removing the stuff in the first place (for example from gasoline), or by using appropriate filters (in coal-fired power plants, for example).
Guess what: The same thing happened to other "scares", like the lead scare. These problems can be reduced or eliminated, after people stop ignoring them.
Re:This is more propaganda bullshit.. (Score:2, Insightful)
You point out the problem in your own statement, you are using just three sampling points. Where I live (Fayetteville, AR), if the forecast for the remainder of the month holds up, this will end up being the warmest January ever recorded. This same trend applies to m