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ISS Space

Russia Announces It Will Create Core of New Space Station By 2030 (reuters.com) 99

"Despite its domestic space program faltering even before sanctions due to its invasion of Ukraine, and at least one very public failure on a less ambitious project, Russia has announced it will begin construction of a Russian-only replacement for the ISS and place it in a more difficult-to-access polar orbit," writes longtime Slashdot reader Baron_Yam. "Russia is motivated by military and political demands to achieve this, but whether it has the means or not seems uncertain at best." Reuters reports: Russia is aiming to create the four-module core of its planned new orbital space station by 2030, its Roscosmos space agency said on Tuesday. The head of Roscosmos, Yuri Borisov, signed off on the timetable with the directors of 19 enterprises involved in creating the new station. The agency confirmed plans to launch an initial scientific and energy module in 2027. It said three more modules would be added by 2030 and a further two between 2031 and 2033. [...]

Apart from the design and manufacture of the modules, Roscomos said the schedule approved by Borisov includes flight-testing a new-generation crewed spacecraft and building rockets and ground-based infrastructure. The new station will enable Russia to "solve problems of scientific and technological development, national economy and national security that are not available on the Russian segment of the ISS due to technological limitations and the terms of international agreements," it said.

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Russia Announces It Will Create Core of New Space Station By 2030

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  • Why don't they use the ISS instead of burning it up?
    • Re:Use the ISS (Score:5, Interesting)

      by thegarbz ( 1787294 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @04:37AM (#64653958)

      Because this has nothing to do with space stations. Russia is pretending sanctions haven't had a serious hit to their economy while at the same time seizing assets to continue to pay for their war effort. This is a hollow announcement pretending they have spare money.

      • "Everything is normal, pay no attention to the man behind the curtain."

    • by Tx ( 96709 )

      The Russian section of the ISS, the only part they can lay claim to, is the part that's in the worst condition. I can't see NASA or the other international partners letting the Russians have the rest of it, and given the operating costs of the ISS, $3 billion/year, the Russians frankly couldn't afford to operate it even if they were given it, that's like their entire space budget.

      • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

        The original plan was in fact in decoupling Russian part from ISS, and Russian part was designed from ground up to be independent of the rest of the station.

        But the issue is that it's indeed really worn out. Maintaining it as an independent station would be extremely costly.

        The real question is "are they ready to join the Chinese space station instead?" Because economy-wise, Russian space program is likely pivoting towards better ISR rather than civilian uses like the space station. Ukraine war demonstrated

        • Re:Use the ISS (Score:5, Interesting)

          by caseih ( 160668 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @08:04AM (#64654196)

          If that's the real question, the answer no, is they cannot do it practically. There's no way for Russian vehicles launched from any of the current Russian launch sites to reach the chinese space station due to the more southern inclination of the Chinese space station. The only way they could join the Chinese space station would be to have China launch all the russian modules for them with their own rockets, and also have China launch Russian cosmonauts.

          The whole reason the ISS is in the orbit it is in is so that Russian rockets can reach it. If it was just an American space station, it would have been launched into a more southern inclination not unlike the chinese space station. Unless the forthcoming private American space stations are purposely placed in an orbit that the Russians can reach, these too will be out of reach to the Russians in the future.

          I guess one possibility is for China to allow the Russians to launch Russian rockets from Chinese soil. But given that Russia is pulling out of the Kazakhstan Star City launch facility mainly because it is in a different country, I can't see them wanting to pay China for the privilege.

          Given the reality of Putin's Russia, this whole thing is rather moot in my opinion.

          • China has notions on the kazak facility so they can stop dropping rocket parts on villages, so that may be the connection.

            • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

              That's our propaganda. In real life, they already have a space station in orbit, they run interplanetary lander program, etc. You never hear about it in Western mainstream because NASA was forced to cut cooperation with them by law. Which also disconnected Roscosmos from Chinese as well because you couldn't cooperate with both NASA and Chinese at the same time, and Russians co-run ISS with NASA so they couldn't cooperate with Chinese on any significant level.

              The "rocket falls on village" is a side effect of

              • Re:Use the ISS (Score:5, Interesting)

                by Rei ( 128717 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @09:55AM (#64654382) Homepage

                The "rocket falls on village" thing is (A) not remotely propaganda, and (B) has nothing to do with "rapidity" and instead everything to do with Cold War-era launch siting decisions . The Chinese government was afraid that their coasts were too vulnerable and so went for (deeply suboptimal) inland launch sites. They're moving more southward and coastward now with new launch sites, but the old launch sites remain and continue to be actively used.

                • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

                  Intentional misunderstanding, as expected. I clearly stated that

                  >The "rocket falls on village" is a side effect of rapidity of that space program.

                  Which makes your statement of

                  >The "rocket falls on village" thing is (A) not remotely propaganda

                  A bold faced lie by omission.

                  Propaganda is the part that Chinese need Baikonur

                  >China has notions on the kazak facility

                  When they obviously do not, as not only are they quite well ahead, but they also have much better launch sites already. You may notice that Bai

                  • by Rei ( 128717 )

                    You're free to be wrong on the internet if you choose.

                    The existing launch sites can't just spontaneously relocate themselves. Regardless of how "rapidly" you want to go or not. The siting is a Cold War relic. End of story.

    • by stooo ( 2202012 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @05:13AM (#64653998) Homepage

      The new russian space station will be made exclusively of an assembly of multiple T-72 turrets

      • Do they have any left in usable condition?

        • by Bert64 ( 520050 ) <bertNO@SPAMslashdot.firenzee.com> on Thursday July 25, 2024 @05:51AM (#64654032) Homepage

          Most of them are already in orbit...

        • They're mostly usable, it's just that they're scattered decoratively across the Ukrainian countryside.
          • The ones I see flying don't look very serviceable to me, but then it is the ruzzian space station. It probably doesn't need much in terms of comfort.

        • Do they have any left in usable condition?

          Yes, for large definitions of usable. Based on satellite imagery, Russia may have around 3,000 tanks still in open air storage [newsweek.com]. How many of those can be repaired and refurbished is the question. It appears that rather than try to refurbish/repair the various T-72s sitting around and rusting, Russia is instead going with the older T-62 and T-55 models because they don't have the complicated auto-loader [forbes.com] the T-72s do.

          After all, when you don't care about how many troops you lose to gain a meter of ground, wh

          • The T72s are definitely better tanks than the T62 and 55. I think the general opinion is that the T72s are harder to restore due to being more complex to the point where T55s are a better bet. Anything can be restored with enough effort, but given limited industrial capacity (never mind trained tankers), if restored T55s are a better option than T72s then the T72s must be in pretty bad shape.

            This is why they're sending troops in motorbikes and golf carts.

            • by Rei ( 128717 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @10:12AM (#64654440) Homepage

              There's also the fact that for any given tank type, there's widely varying conditions, and you - as a general rule (except for hauling tanks out to cannibalize for parts) go down the inventory in order from "least effort to restore" to "most effort to restore".

              Most of the T-72s that are left are rust buckets. It's unclear how many of them will ever be worth restoring. By contrast, a higher percentage of the older tanks are in semi-decent condition and require less restoration effort, simply by virtue that the older inventory hasn't been drained as much. But that has its limits too. It's hard to imagine that Soviet inventories will contribute much from next year onward - and current losses are far higher than production.

              Russia is making up for the dwindling numbers of armoured vehicles by sending solders into battle on Chinese-made motorcycles and ATVs (derisively referred to as "golf carts"). They're not militarily ineffective - they're certainly mobile - but the losses appear to be pretty terrible. An artillery shell can take out unprotected infantry even ~50m away, and cluster munitions take out infantry across a whole grid square. There's a reason why modern armies around the world don't just issue their soldiers motorcycles - humans are quite squishy.

              Russia has many advantages, but one big disadvantage is that it has to be self-sustaining, while Ukraine does not. It steadily ships out its accumulated wealth - national and private - to either be destroyed or exported for the funds to fund the war (more things to be destroyed). Its creation of new wealth - far slower than the spending of past wealth - relies on manpower, but it's seen a brain drain of higher end workers and it's been throwing lower-end workers into the meat grinder. And Ukraine keeps - slowly - getting increasingly better and more willing to target the infrastructure that Russia uses to generate its wealth. If the west doesn't back off in its support for Ukraine and Russia can't get China to fully pitch in behind it, the long-term picture doesn't look great for them. Of course, their theory of victory at present is primarily about trying to get the West to abandon support for Ukraine, and the current intense resource-draining offensives are a key part in that.

              • by Rei ( 128717 )

                To be clear: throwing away preaccumulated wealth doesn't necessarily mean "ripping up things and sending them out of the country"; there's many ways it can happen. For example: Russia has spent vast sums build its transportation and energy infrastructure. It can always save money and free up labour by just cutting maintenance on them, and that works fine - for a while. But bit by bit, you're slowly consuming the wealth that was invested in building that infrastructure as it slowly falls apart. You're in

                • by arglebargle_xiv ( 2212710 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @10:29AM (#64654480)
                  For an interesting historical analysis of this, read "The Wages of Destruction: The Making and Breaking of the Nazi Economy" by Adam Tooze, which documents how Nazi Germany somehow managed to essentially fight a war on empty, mostly by mortgaging the future, and how total the collapse was when they couldn't keep propping things up any more. As they used to say in Germany at the time, "enjoy the war, the peace will be terrible". The big collapse in Russia won't happen until after peace breaks out and all the pigeons come home to roost.
                  • That sounds like a fascinating book, thanks! I just bought the audiobook and will add it to my queue.
              • Yes that's a good point: they've used all the good T72s. Now what's left is so bad that T55s are more worth the effort. They won't so much run out of tanks as slowly grind away down to the point that restoring the tank is as much effort as making a new one.

                There's a reason why modern armies around the world don't just issue their soldiers motorcycles - humans are quite squishy.

                They've attempted to make armoured warbikes. That is not going well and unlike mad max they don't even look good.

                And Ukraine keeps -

      • Nah, it's going to be built from junked bits of Soviet space stations pulled from boneyards and launched with Energia-M's recovered from scrap metal yards, maybe knock the rust off the Burans at Baikonur [cnn.com] and use those as well. It's worked for their army, why not do it for their space program as well? They may even be able to spare a few T-55s that haven't been sent to Ukraine yet to tow it to the (Soviet-built) launch pad.
    • The ISS isn't in a polar orbit, and the North pole is a strategic focus for the world as global warming opens more of it to navigation and resource exploration. It's also borders Russia's North so there are military and defense advantages to a polar orbit

  • by Invisible Now ( 525401 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @03:38AM (#64653924)

    Without the shared oversight that assures the peaceful use of the ISS. A Russian platform in polar orbit would be very provocative militarily. While vulnerable, itself, it could serve as a maintenance and deployment depot for co-orbiting Nukes, or directed energy weapons.

    • by thegarbz ( 1787294 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @04:42AM (#64653966)

      You're thinking too grand here. This is a military strategy but not the one you think. Russia is in the midst of a financial crisis. They are actively seizing assets to pay for their war efforts. The world sees the problem, while Russia is pretending to their allies that they aren't broke by announcing big grand projects which won't happen. Or in some cases announcing cheaper smaller projects to pretend they don't care about alienation.

      It was quite funny watching Russia in the Olympics... sorry I meant BRICS games since they claim they voluntarily don't want to be part of the Olympics anymore and instead hosted a "major international event". Russia won a gold medal in freestyle swimming. It was very weird watching the swimmer accept it by himself on the podium... as the only one in the event.

      Right now Russia is doing its darndest to get it's image up, it's not working though.

      • Don't they still get insane amounts of money from the oil gas and a few other commodities that we still pay them for?
        • Don't they still get insane amounts of money from the oil gas and a few other commodities that we still pay them for?

          Not so much. Most of the western world has stopped buying Russian oil and gas entirely. Europe is still buying some, but in much smaller quantities than before the war, and working towards stopping entirely. Russia is still selling a lot to China and India, but those countries are paying well below market rates, which they can do because most of the world won't buy it.

          The sanctions aren't hurting Russia as much as we hoped, but they are hurting a lot.

        • Don't they still get insane amounts of money from the oil gas and a few other commodities that we still pay them for?

          Depends. If you look to their reported profits then yes, but those profits are propped up by seizure of JV assets that have been dissolved. Rosneft for example looks good on paper. Revenue is where it's always been. Except that it is the result of staged assumption of assets written down from bp over time. Underneath their expensive quality crude is being sold for cheap, and while their trading volumes are quite okay (not high, but not bad) they aren't making anywhere near the money they claim.

          The gas world

  • by Required Snark ( 1702878 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @04:05AM (#64653942)
    With both Radio Shack and Fry's out of business, where will they get the parts?
    • They have an even worse problem - payments originating there aren't accepted on aliexpress anymore.

      • You pointed me to an interesting story. Apparently Russia was using the platform to sell copper and other plundered materials from Ukraine. Which...I guess shutting them down entirely is easier than policing the junk on the junk web site.

        • You pointed me to an interesting story. Apparently Russia was using the platform to sell copper and other plundered materials from Ukraine.

          They'd have been better off selling it to China so they can produce even more CCA. At least some of which would hopefully end up back in Russia.

    • North Korea [nytimes.com] probably.

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @06:00AM (#64654042) Homepage Journal

      Russia has some disadvantages when it comes to space stations now. The main one is that each module has to have its own propulsion system. Instead of taking it up in a Shuttle or similar, and then using an arm (Canadarm) to attach it to the other modules, they have to be self propelled and dock themselves.

      That means some of the space and mass budget is taken up by the propulsion system. Sometimes the system can be re-used to move the station itself, but it's mostly redundant after assembly.

      China has the same issue, but is better placed to solve it.

      • This is actually an advantage, given that there isn't any shuttle to take up modules any more. The Chinese could launch Russian designed modules to build a new space station (and with a fair bit of Chinese innovation in between, this is basically what they do), but no one at present can launch the sorts of modules that were launched on the shuttle. No current vehicle can take up such large loads and then place them where they need to be. Any space station parts launched now NEED to be able to move themselve

        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          China has a space plane that has flown a few missions, but it doesn't seem to have payload deployment capability. Maybe they just haven't tested that feature yet, or maybe it's more like the US one. Nobody really knows what the US one is for either.

          In any case they seem to be more focused on the moon at the moment. They have a heavy lift rocket in development, Long March 9, which can put 150 tons in LEO or about 55 tones to TLI. Very similar to SLS and Starship in that respect.

      • Is there any particular reason they couldn't build an arm of their own and ship that up at some point?

        • Quite frankly, based on their recent ISS issues and their Moon mission, I'd say they lack the required combination of skill and resources to do the job properly.

          • While true, that isn't what I'd call a "particular" problem. As in, that's a problem that will result in them being incapable of building a station in general, not just not being able to build an arm to put on it.

            For any station, I think that once it reaches a certain point an arm is just practical.

            • I'm probably crazy, but I think given the current state of robotics it might be worth putting four arms on an oversized RCS pack with a camera package and building a giant robot space monkey. Three limbs for grabbing a station, one for moving a payload. Put hold points on the hulls that contain induction power supplies.

              I've seen some interesting stuff done with S&R robots navigating complex environments by showing their motion plans to a human for confirmation before implementation. It's faster than

        • Yup, they don't have any rusting Soviet inventory to recycle it from.
        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          No particular reason, other than the same ones that prevent them building super heavy lift vehicles and the like. Russia doesn't have the money, and maybe not the talent.

          They are also screwed by geography that makes it difficult or impossible to reach some orbits.

          • Note: My orbital experience is nearly 100% Kerbal Space Program. So I know about the orbit thing. Them getting a near polar orbit is actually easier than equatorial.

            Sort of like why the USA has a launchpad up in Alaska. Useful for very specific orbits.

            And yes, that's a reason, but not a "particular" one. It's what is likely making their "we're going to build our own space station!" to be more vaporware.

    • by antdude ( 79039 )

      Speaking of those stores, where are Americans buying their parts in person (not online)?

  • by Mr. Dollar Ton ( 5495648 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @04:14AM (#64653946)

    The same territory also claimed in 2006 that it will have a base on the Moon by 2015.

    https://lenta.ru/news/2006/01/... [lenta.ru]

    And at the time it had access to purchase abroad any advanced tech they might need, which they could not make "at home". That is, basically, everything.

    Today - not so much.

    There'll be no "core", unless a "core" means one of the Soviet transport spacecraft stuck in orbit and labelled accordingly.

    • by zlives ( 2009072 )

      you misunderstand, the moon base was built and used until 2025 and then abandoned because mission accomplished.

  • It needs to be on the moon. Earth orbit is stupid.

    • Russia can't get a stolen tractor back to Russia, they definitely can't get a craft to the moon. Putin's ambition has destroyed them.

  • by multi io ( 640409 ) <olaf.klischat@googlemail.com> on Thursday July 25, 2024 @04:30AM (#64653954)
    They wanted to launch the Nauka [wikipedia.org] module in 2007 initially, and they ended up launching it in 2021, and then still its thrusters malfunctioned at one point while it was attached to the ISS, putting the whole station into a spin. And that was all before the 2022 Russian invasion into Ukraine and associated international sanctions. So now they're planning to launch an entire new space station by 2030? Yeah good luck with that lol. Frankly, I hope they choke on it.
  • When you negotiate with terrorists, you've already lost. The same is true of compromising aith authoritarian regimes.

    When the US had the Space Transport System (STS) AKA "The Space Shuttle" and "money was no factor" (ha!) NASA and the Soviet Union agreed to create the ISS and put in an entirely stupid and useless orbit that served no purpose other than "a camping spot in space". It was positioned at an inclination that was costly (in terms of fuel or Delta-V) to reach from Florida, but was also reachable

    • by caseih ( 160668 )

      The orbit the ISS is in is what it is because it's what the Russians can reach, due to their more northern launch sites. So even if they manage to build their own station now, it will have to be in a similar orbital inclination, whereas the future American private space stations will all be out of reach to the Russians at lower inclinations.

      • They're not going to be launching from Kazakhstan anymore - not unless they start an even bigger war.

        • by caseih ( 160668 )

          All their launch sites are northern compared to China.

        • by caseih ( 160668 )

          And actually Russia's main launch site at Vostochny Cosmodrome is even farther north than the one in Kazakhstan was. So that definitely precludes any visits to the Chinese space station.

    • 1. ISS will be deorbitted. It could easily be shot into space, but no.

      That raises a lot of questions. How high is the new orbit you are suggesting? How much delta-V to achieve this? What is the gain from doing this? Are we expensively kicking the can down the road to preserve obsolete and hard-to-maintain hardware?

      For no good reason the US will spend nearly a billion dollars to have it come burn in our atmosphere.

      For a good reason, if you think about the alternatives and how much they cost.

      Scott Manley on space station futures [youtu.be]

  • ... some of the lame /. comments are funny.

    Clearly, by any measure, sanctions against Russia have not worked quite as well as hoped. "They have so, you poopy head!" isn't an argument.

    • 2023 Successful launches:
      Russia 19, China 66, US 109

      2022 ...
      Russia 22, China 64, US 84

      2021...
      Russia 24, China 53, US 48

      2020...
      Russia 17, China 35, US 40

      2019...
      Russia 25, China 32, US 27

      The US had more successful launches last year than Russia has had in the past 5. China is also steadily doing better and better. Your right, it wasn't the sanctions. Roscosmos was a shadow of it's former self well before those.
    • "They have so, you poopy head!" isn't an argument.

      The entire US empire is apparently administered by people who aren't capable of any higher level of reasoning than that.

      Meanwhile the world is rapidly noticing that everything that administrative class touches is broken and dysfunctional and they just keep insisting harder that everything is fine.

  • by omnichad ( 1198475 ) on Thursday July 25, 2024 @09:29AM (#64654338) Homepage

    I know that journalism and spell check / grammar check haven't gotten along for a while, but Reuters sells news to other newspapers. Misspelling Roscosmos as "Roscomos" is pretty bad and should have been really easy to catch.

  • Is to send wave after wave of men to their death, until the goal is accomplished.

    That’s particularly difficult in space.

    Color me skeptical.
    • Don't worry. They recently announced another new leader for their overall war effort - Major General Webelo Zapp Brannigan!

  • Even with the whole world holding its hand and generations of hardware at its disposal, Russia lost its ability to competently operate a manned space program. Nothing they build new will be viable.
  • Ignoring the obvious deficiencies in the current Russian economy which render any such plans highly unlikely to ever come to fruition... this bit seems interesting:

    The new station will enable Russia to "solve problems of ... national security that are not available on the Russian segment of the ISS due to ... the terms of international agreements" ...

    That sounds to me an awful lot like Russia is planning to abandon all pretense of treaty compliance [armscontrol.org], and install a space-based weapons platform on their station.

  • Russia has no money. If they did they wouldn't need to pull 50 year old tanks out of mothballs to send to Ukraine, just like if they were 'winning' their illegal and immoral war against Ukraine, they wouldn't need to be pulling convicted felons out of prison to send to Ukraine.
  • With blackjack and hookers! In fact forget the space station.

  • Russia still wants to cosplay as a superpower? Going to be tough to pay the bills for that vanity project while also paying reparations.

Every young man should have a hobby: learning how to handle money is the best one. -- Jack Hurley

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