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Space Science

Black Hole at Heart of Our Galaxy Is on Crash Course, Space-Time Ripples Reveal (wsj.com) 53

Supermassive black holes all over the universe are merging, a fate that will eventually come for the black hole at the center of our galaxy. From a report: These mysterious cosmic structures at the heart of nearly every galaxy consume light and matter and are impossible to glimpse with traditional telescopes. But now, for the first time, astrophysicists have gathered knowledge directly from these titans, in the form of gravitational waves that ripple through space and time. What they learned suggests that the population of massive black hole pairs that are merging numbers in the hundreds of thousands -- perhaps even millions.

The gravitational waves from these mergers are all contributing to an underlying background hum of the universe that researchers can detect from Earth. The findings, from a collaboration of more than 100 scientists, help confirm what will one day happen to the supermassive black hole at our galaxy's center, known as Sagittarius A*, as it crashes into the black hole at the heart of the Andromeda galaxy. "The Milky Way galaxy is on a collision course with the Andromeda galaxy, and in about 4.5 billion years, the two galaxies are set to merge," said Joseph Simon, a University of Colorado, Boulder, astrophysicist and a member of the North American Nanohertz Observatory for Gravitational Waves, or Nanograv, which helped lead the new work with support from the National Science Foundation.

That merger, he said, will eventually result in the black hole at the center of Andromeda and Sagittarius A* sinking into the center of the newly combined galaxy and forming what is known as a binary system. The results were announced in a series of papers published Wednesday in the Astrophysical Journal Letters. "Before now, we didn't even know if supermassive black holes merged, and now we have evidence that hundreds of thousands of them are merging," said Chiara Mingarelli, a Yale University astrophysicist and a member of Nanograv. The new work could answer questions such as how these black holes grow, and how often their host galaxies merge, the researchers said.
Further reading: The Cosmos Is Thrumming With Gravitational Waves, Astronomers Find.
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Black Hole at Heart of Our Galaxy Is on Crash Course, Space-Time Ripples Reveal

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  • Repent ye sins. You only have 4.5 billion years left.

    • Yeah, where are the contingency plans for that?

      • Yeah, where are the contingency plans for that?

        Heh. But you know, we'll definitely need the technology to move our planet by then. Moving asteroids will be Phase 1 of the project.

        • by dryeo ( 100693 )

          Most models of stellar evolution show we'll need to move the Earth within a billion years as the Sun gets a higher percentage of helium and therefore denser and hotter. Once the oceans boil, not much life will survive.
          Need to start moving soon as it will be hard to move the Earth by more then a few inches a year, at least by flying asteroids close by.

          • Most models of stellar evolution show we'll need to move the Earth within a billion years

            A billion years is more than long enough to have another giant rock smash into us again and kill everything, maybe even fracture the planet into several smaller pieces. So don't worry, we won't need to plan for the next 4 billion years. Stupid hominids always put off until tomorrow; look at their history. Turns out they are right.

            • by dryeo ( 100693 )

              Well, it has been 4.5 billion years since a big enough rock hit to fracture the planet, so not a frequent occurrence.
              Lots of other ways for us to die off in the relative near future though, I'm sure we'll find one.

          • Well, some of the models go up as far as a couple of billion years before the Sun (and global warming) "boils the oceans" ; but a lot less than the about 4 billion years before the Sun expands to a red giant, that's agreed.
            • by dryeo ( 100693 )

              I've seen mention of models that put it at 500 million years, models seem all over the place, which makes sense as all we have are observations rather then experiments to go on. Any which way, it is so far in the future that we can't even begin to comprehend the time scales.

              • There are several positive feedback loops involved. Prediction is inherently unstable.

                A factor of 4 difference (500Myr to 2 Gyr) is pretty close to agreement. I'm a geologist, and I don't cringe at it. I doubt most biologists would really be upset at such results. Social scientists would be ecstatic, and economists would be convinced the modelling is wrong, the results not being dismal enough.

                Physics and maths may enjoy in precision, but down here where measurement is uncertain and sample sizes are in the

                • "Social scientists would be ecstatic, and economists would be convinced the modelling is wrong, the results not being dismal enough. "

                  FLOTD (First Laugh of the Day)

                • by dryeo ( 100693 )

                  Good point about it only being a factor of 4.

                  • You get to look at these things when you're having to defend your unpopular opinion on something against people with a different take on it, with both of your next pay-cheques on the line.
  • by Chas ( 5144 ) on Thursday June 29, 2023 @01:51PM (#63643898) Homepage Journal

    Long as I get my money next Friday!

  • All the matter in universe will be consumed by black holes and the black holes will merge into one, a singularity and when that explodes will create a new universe,
    • That outcome would mean that a lot of matter that is invisible to us, as it is beyond the edge of the visible universe, would have to reconcentrate. Another thing that would be fun to watch. Well sort of, as black holes it wouldn't be very visible. Maybe watch in simulation.

    • Does all the material that fall into a black hole get converted into "universe starter fuel" automatically? Or does it retain some of it's post-creation properties?

      Starting to think more mystery is assigned to black holes than there should be. There's things we don't understand still sure, but I'm pretty sure there's no hidden universes or gateway's to other dimensions in there too. No lizard people in the earth either. Sorry!

      • by HBI ( 10338492 )

        Apparently the equations suggested that 'white holes' should exist also. None have been seen yet. They are supposed to have the reverse properties of black holes.

        • Forgot about those. At a glance, it sounds like mathematical fantasy. I didn't see any theory as to how something like that would form. A black hole is more understandable. You pack stuff so tightly that it exceeds the limits of gravity, to the point where it's unable to correct itself, except for small radiation.

          I just don't see how people think about the interior of a black hole as containing some sort of magical pixie dust that's somehow different than whatever matter was dumped into it. It's just a ball

          • Meaning, it's a place where you can't expect the existing theories we have to govern the activity.

            Also, it's got an event horizon, preventing us from seeing what is going on in there. Maybe it's a big party in there.

          • by tragedy ( 27079 )

            Consider that in a black hole, light gets sucked in if it gets too close and time slows down relative to the rest of the universe the closer you get. Not magical pixie dust, but pretty weird.

          • yeah, as others have said, basically, the current 'laws' we have for how things behave break down and we have NO idea how anything in there would be/act/exist.
        • A black hole has a beginning, so a white hole (which is basically a black hole reversed in time aka Tenet) has an ending. Maybe they're all gone. Maybe the Bug Bang was one.
      • the mystery is all based on the math. The math implies certain things are 'true'... Sort of like how the only a tachyon can exist is if it also moves backwards in time. Currently it is presumed that there is not a cyclical universe because the universe, at least the part we can see, seems to be accelerating apart...yet, could that be only a 'local' phenomenon? Could it be that in the greater 'space' in which our universe exists (as in the part we can see is our 'universe' and there is 'more' outside that li
    • All the matter in universe will be consumed by black holes and the black holes will merge into one, a singularity and when that explodes will create a new universe,

      I came here to post this same thing. Maybe it is just a cycle of expanding and contracting over and over. Maybe each time it gets a little weaker until the last big bang is just a little pop and then its all over.

    • Re:The "Big Crunch"? (Score:5, Informative)

      by Roger W Moore ( 538166 ) on Thursday June 29, 2023 @03:07PM (#63644156) Journal

      All the matter in universe will be consumed by black holes and the black holes will merge into one

      That seems very unlikely given that, due to the accelerating expansion of the universe, the fraction of the universe that we are causally connected to is shrinking. This will make it impossible for the black holes in one part of the universe to meet and merge with those in another no matter how much time you give them.

      In addition, BHs only have a limited lifespan since they evaporate due to Hawking radiation. While the lifetimes are insanely long with supermassive BHs having the longest on the order of 10^100 years even if mass does end up concentrated in BHs it will eventually be emitted again. The long-term fate of the universe may well be a "big rip" depending on what happens with the causally connected distance shrinks towards the planck length as the expansion of space continues to accelerate into the incredibly distant future.

    • no, 'implode' (not really, but sorta, what I mean is that the matter brought into the Black Hole, at a certain size, 'pushes through' into a new 'space' causing a 'Big Bang' there, creating a new universe to be born.) So, when our universe dies, it births a new universe elsewhere/elsewhen (Space/Time, remember?) and this whole thing starts over again, as sort of as foretold in Macroscope by Piers Anthony.
  • We don't know and that isn't very sexy.
  • ...Black Holes of the Universe, unite!
  • So if I read this right (I may not have, the summary is kind of not good) is that eventually the Milky Way and the Andromeda galaxies will become a binary galaxy with their supermassive blackholes orbiting each other? Is that analogous to a binary star system? Are there any discovered binary galaxies like that, or just the usual clusters?
    • by habig ( 12787 )
      Plenty. Most of the giant elliptical galaxies out there seem to have been formed this way: if you look closely you can even see the lumps in the center that are original galaxy bits. Also, galaxies like the Milky Way and Andromeda were already formed by gobbling up smaller galaxies: they've ID'd several dwarf galaxy remnants from semi-recent mergers with the Milky Way.
    • There are. A famous example is the Mice Galaxies https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffab... [duckduckgo.com]

  • Wouldn't bother me if it happened tomorrow.
  • Is this what the Puppeteers were running away from?

    • by dryeo ( 100693 )

      No, a chain reaction of novas and/or supernovas in the densely packed core. In that case it was something like 20,000, or 40,000 years before the radiation got here, forget the exact figure.

  • The title and summary confused me and made me want to read the article, breaking the Slashdot tradition. Is the discovery that black holes are merging generally, per how the summary starts off "now we have evidence that hundreds of thousands of them are merging". Or is it that black hole pairs are merging, and the summary says shortly thereafter "the population of massive black hole pairs that are merging"?

    Or is it that the way that the general merging is happening is one pair at a time, such as with Sagitt

  • So, here are the papers, under the banner "GOLD OPEN ACCESS FROM 1 JANUARY 2022".

    The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Detector Characterization and Noise Budget Link [iop.org]

    Focus on NANOGrav's 15 yr Data Set and the Gravitational Wave Background Link [iop.org]

    The observations and timing methodologies (Agazie et al. 2023a [iop.org])

    the modeling used to describe the various noise processes that affect PTA data Link [iop.org]

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