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Science

Sperm Counts Worldwide Are Plummeting Faster Than We Thought (nationalgeographic.com) 289

Five years ago, a study describing a precipitous decline in sperm counts sparked extreme concerns that humanity was on the path to extinction. Now a new study shows that sperm counts have fallen further and the rate of decline is speeding up, raising fears of a looming global fertility crisis. From a report: The initial study, published in July 2017, revealed that sperm counts -- the number of sperm in a single ejaculate -- plummeted by more than 50 percent among men in North America, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand between 1973 and 2011. Since then, a team led by the same researchers has explored what has happened in the last 10 years. In a new meta-analysis, which appeared in the journal Human Reproduction Update, researchers analyzed studies of semen samples published between 2014 and 2019 and added this to their previous data. The newer studies have a more global perspective and involved semen samples from 14,233 men, including some from South and Central America, Africa, and Asia. The upshot: Not only has the decline in total sperm counts continued -- reaching a drop of 62 percent -- but the decline per year has doubled since 2000. The 2017 report also revealed that sperm concentration (the number of sperm per milliliter of semen) dropped by an average of 1.6 percent per year, totaling more than a 52 percent among men in these regions over the previous four decades.
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Sperm Counts Worldwide Are Plummeting Faster Than We Thought

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  • by nospam007 ( 722110 ) * on Thursday December 01, 2022 @02:21PM (#63094514)

    The swallowers are just interested in the life-prolonging Spermidine.

  • by SciCom Luke ( 2739317 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @02:22PM (#63094516)
    is exactly what humanity needs!
  • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • I'm over 50 now, though... the refractory period suffers.

  • by XXongo ( 3986865 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @02:38PM (#63094582) Homepage
    Sperm count is inversely related to how often a man ejaculates.

    Lower sperm counts mean men are having more sex. Or masturbating more.

    • Lower sperm counts mean men are having more sex. Or masturbating more.

      All 4 billion of them???

    • by MachineShedFred ( 621896 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @03:05PM (#63094716) Journal

      I'd also wonder if this drop in sperm counts correlates with the increasing availability and quality of pornography on the Internet. I mean, in 1973 there was Playboy and disgusting porn theaters in the bad part of town. In 2022 we have high definition on-demand video porn for free from many different venues in varying formats including VR.

      What kind of investigation has gone into the test subjects' truthful histories prior to donating a sample?

      • I'd also wonder if this drop in sperm counts correlates with the increasing availability and quality of pornography on the Internet. I mean, in 1973 there was Playboy and disgusting porn theaters in the bad part of town.

        Seems as plausible as any other theory.

    • by nasch ( 598556 )

      Sperm count is inversely related to how often a man ejaculates.

      Lower sperm counts mean men are having more sex. Or masturbating more.

      That is a non sequitur, because sperm count is related to other factors as well. Your conclusion is like saying traffic accident rates are correlated with average speed, so if the accident rate went up it must be due to people driving faster.

    • I put my old keyboards into cryogenic storage.

  • by RemindMeLater ( 7146661 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @02:39PM (#63094588)
    Only reasonable explanation is environmental factors. Of the many pollution candidates I'd bet plastics are a significant contributor. It's been known for a while that most plastic products release estrogenic compounds [nih.gov]. Not only are sperm counts dropping but penis sizes are shrinking too. [health.com]

    I may trigger some people with this but I can't help but wonder if the widespread gender confusion of late isn't partly related. This will never be studied of course but it's an interesting thought. And to be clear I'm all for people being whoever they want to be.
    • I may trigger some people with this but I can't help but wonder if the widespread gender confusion of late isn't partly related.

      Sounds distinctly plausible. Nature is smart enough to work several angles at once. If reducing sperm counts doesn't do the trick, getting men to consort with men certainly helps.

      Although I am still impressed by the well-known experiments on overcrowding in monkeys. Past a certain point they begin to behave very much like city dwellers.

      If this goes on, we can expect to see gangs of women kidnapping fertile men for sex.

      • by nasch ( 598556 )

        getting men to consort with men certainly helps.

        That would be sexual preference, not gender.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      I may trigger some people with this but I can't help but wonder if the widespread gender confusion of late isn't partly related. This will never be studied of course but it's an interesting thought. And to be clear I'm all for people being whoever they want to be.

      Well, it maybe a contributing factor. Hormones do influence behavior. But why do you think this will never be studied?

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by XopherMV ( 575514 )

        I may trigger some people with this but I can't help but wonder if the widespread gender confusion of late isn't partly related. This will never be studied of course but it's an interesting thought. And to be clear I'm all for people being whoever they want to be.

        why do you think this will never be studied?

        Seriously? Any sort of examination of any trans topic that isn't 100% supportive of the trans community is immediately labelled "transphobic" and shut down. Damn near all online communities are effectively trans-positive echochambers.

        • by dskoll ( 99328 )

          Are there more trans people now than there were 100 years ago? We have no idea. There are more people out as trans now than back then, but that's not the same statistic.

          Do pollutants that mimic hormones influence people to become trans? We have no idea. Giving trans people extra hormones that correspond to their sex assigned at birth does nothing to make them not be trans. And there's a case [wikipedia.org] of a cisgender male who was raised as a girl because of a botched circumcision and given estrogen, yet he neve

          • It's possible that pollutants that affect the in-utero environment could cause people to be trans, but again... we don't know. I don't see any harm in studying this because it wouldn't really change anything for existing trans people.

            The potential for harm lies in people being pathologized, and attempts made to "cure" them. I've suggested the same thing here before though, and been soundly panned for it, and I'm glad to see the idea come up again.

          • by gweihir ( 88907 )

            It is not a yes/no thing. Men and women are not fundamentally different as people (even though some gender-insecure people strongly believe so), it is shades of grey. Hormones would only need to shift things a bit for some people to decide that no, this gender nature gave them is not it after all. It is clear you cannot shift most people this way.

            That said, I see not problem with anybody being trans. I see a problem if they then demand to get special attention. Or put differently: Do I mind? No. Do I care?

        • If the Western scientific community can't do it, the East can. They're at more risk anyway since everything is made there.
    • Only reasonable explanation is environmental factors.

      Why is it the only reasonable explanation, have you found a causal link, and done an examination of all the other reasons, known and unknown.

      It could be women are now looking for more feminine men, I don't know and don't claim to know. But to exclude all other explanations based on little evidence seems naive.

    • The minute they find "plastics turns men into women", that's it for most plastics. Folks are on the left already want it restricted. With this discovery (if this is the case), you're guaranteed to have the right. 3M and-the-like will scramble to find alternatives which will solve the problem but introduce new ones, and we'll be back here talking about it in 80 years.
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Smidge204 ( 605297 )

      > I may trigger some people with this but I can't help but wonder if the widespread gender confusion of late isn't partly related.

      What makes you think gender dysphoria wasn't always as common, but societal pressures kept it from being acknowledged and a lack of medical technology prevented it from being acted upon?

      =Smidge=

      • I have previously specifically wondered whether that is or isn't true, and it is the interesting question. But we can't know without studying it, and even then we're dependent on surveying people who are alive now so there's a limit to how far we can look back into the past.

        • The prevalence of "Left-handedness" is an example that immediately comes to mind.

          Handedness has a strong genetic component, yet the prevalence of left-handedness rose from ~4% in 1900 and leveled out to ~12% by 2000. Was there a surge in left-handedness, or were ~12% of people always left-handed but concealed the fact due to the stigma associated with it?

          What I think we're seeing is not an increase in gender dysphoria, but a combination of people finally being able to express themselves more, having the lan

    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by quantaman ( 517394 )

      I may trigger some people with this but I can't help but wonder if the widespread gender confusion of late isn't partly related. This will never be studied of course but it's an interesting thought. And to be clear I'm all for people being whoever they want to be.

      If you are triggering folks it might be because you're using the term "gender confusion" instead the actual term "gender dysphoria".

      Gender dysphoria [wikipedia.org] refers to the distress a person experiences due to a mismatch between their gender identity—their personal sense of their own gender—and their sex assigned at birth. Nothing in that definition forces you to accept their gender identity, it's just acknowledging that they don't identify with their birth gender.

      When you say "gender confusion" you're im

  • Give them meth that seems to make people fertile, at least around here it does.

  • when they discover it's caused by excessive carbon dioxide intake

  • Time for something else... or nothing else, to take over.
  • Some natural regulation mechanisms for overpopulation seem to work. Not enough, obviously, but everything helps.

  • by quantaman ( 517394 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @02:54PM (#63094658)

    Tucker will save us [rollingstone.com]!!!

  • by GotNoRice ( 7207988 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @03:06PM (#63094722)
    It takes approx 64 DAYS for sperm to fully replenish. If you ejaculate more often than that, you will not have max sperm count (though most likely still more than enough). So... maybe this isn't a drop in sperm count as much as it is the fact that Porn, etc, is much more easily accessible now... The likelihood of someone waiting 64 days each time is what is decreasing.
    • by dskoll ( 99328 )

      The full spermatogenesis cycle is indeed 64 days, but the male body is constantly producing sperm and has reserves at various points in the cycle. This study [nih.gov] reckons an abstinence period of between 7 and 10 days is ideal. Still, maybe most guys get off more than once a week, so...

      • Yes, most people generate enough sperm that they could ejaculate 25 times per day and still pump out enough sperm each time to get a girl pregnant. But that wasn't what the study was about...
  • It's plastics (Score:5, Interesting)

    by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @03:08PM (#63094728)
    Most experts believe it's caused by microplastics. You'd have to either hang around some left wing sites or dig directly into the research itself to hear this though. Disposable plastics of the kind that create microplastics are extremely big business so you're not going to hear a lot about it on Fox news or CNN. Their advertisers wouldn't like that.
    • by King_TJ ( 85913 )

      It very well might be plastics, but it's insane you think this is some sort of Left-wing biased issue!

      People will try to make everything fit their political framework, no matter how awkward it fits in one box, I suppose?

      It was far Right people I first heard complaining about plastics, honestly. They were expressing concerns back when drinking water out of plastic water-bottles first became popular, claiming the plastic introduced chemicals into the water that "de-masculinized" men (and hinting that the Left

      • Re:It's plastics (Score:4, Informative)

        by BackwardPawn ( 1356049 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @04:14PM (#63095002)
        Its not that insane. Plastics are petrolium based. You won't find many right-wing outlets criticizing the oil industry.
        • oh yea ! the birth of another wedge issue.

          What if it is the opposite of pollution ? What if something is missing now that was once more prevalent - I hear lead can lead to aggression, could lead withdrawal be causing this ?

          Perhaps we all need a little more lead in our pencils

          • Its really the same wedge issue for the last hundred years, it just keeps morphing. Whether its cars vs. street cars, lead vs. no lead, or plastic vs something else, big oil seems to be there. Usually on the wrong side of the issue.
    • Most experts believe it's caused by microplastics. You'd have to either hang around some left wing sites or dig directly into the research itself to hear this though. Disposable plastics of the kind that create microplastics are extremely big business so you're not going to hear a lot about it on Fox news or CNN. Their advertisers wouldn't like that.

      Do we have any actual, you know, proof, of that, other than microplastics being the current fad bogeyman and fashionable to be blamed for everything?

  • Animals, Too? (Score:5, Interesting)

    by crow ( 16139 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @03:31PM (#63094820) Homepage Journal

    So we're monitoring this in humans, but what about in animals? If the problem is the general environment, then we should be seeing the same thing across the board. If it's just humans, then that suggests environmental issues are more specific to things like food packaging. I suppose the problem here is we just don't have the data.

  • True story (Score:5, Informative)

    by Huitzil ( 7782388 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @03:32PM (#63094824)
    Oversharing - but for the greater good. My wife and I struggled to have kids for a while - so we've used fertility clinics to help us conceive. During our last round - my sperm count had dropped to almost nothing from previously having been fairly healthy. The decline happened in a couple of years so we were super alarmed. I went and bought an electronic microscope so I could keep tabs myself on lifestyle changes and see if I could see any improvements. I was spending 10-12 hours sitting down in front of my PC during the pandemic - there was nowhere to go and the office was closed. In addition, I had been wearing skinny jeans and boxer briefs - and this was a recipe for disaster. I made a few changes which basically meant standing up more and using loose clothing - and counts came roaring back in a matter of weeks. Doctor was surprised. Sooo -- if you're in IT/tech: stand up. Never wear anything skinny. Be happy.
    • Since we're oversharing: I had been sitting in front of a computer for 10 hours a day for 25 years before getting married and having kids. During that time period, I masturbated once a day almost every day, and wore skinny jeans and tight underwear. This continued even after getting married, though I then had help ridding my body of sperm every day.

      When we decided to have kids, we would have sex once or twice every day. It took damn near no time at all for the pregnancy test to give a positive result. I had

  • I had 3 kids then got a vasectomy, which cut my sperm count 100%! I'm throwing off the stats.

  • by crunchygranola ( 1954152 ) on Thursday December 01, 2022 @03:39PM (#63094852)

    The human population is on track to hit 10 billion people before the end of this century, so concerns about being "on the path to extinction" from this particular cause is a little, shall we say, "premature"?

    All evidence thus far is that declines in the fertility rate is due to people wanting smaller families, or none, not that at the demographic level there are problems in making babies by large numbers of people who want them.

    In the world-as-it-is we appear to have plenty of excess male fertility still to maintain stable populations if the combined will of the people wants to do that. If this continues eventually it will start to become a real problem, and fertility enhancing measures may be necessary. Collecting and concentrating sperm from multiple ejaculations for artificial insemination has been available for decades and works to allow pregnancy using donors with low sperm counts. This could be done more generally as low sperm counts become a common problem.

    So, still a long way (as in many centuries away) before the threat of "extinction" raises its head.

    Stopping the decline in sperm counts should be addressed, but may involve something like banning all use of plastics - if this is due to ubiquitous exposure of extremely low levels of synthetic hormone-like chemicals.

    • I've read about studies on this topic years ago. Still continuing work and it's heavily linked with chemical pollution. The "taint" gap has been changing as well which is probably not related other than the chemicals also are linked to that too. TONS of endocrine disrupters are dumped all over earth for generations now. Not just PVC (which the EU almost banned but the USA got involved because we do PVC.)

      The problem impacts mammals as well and likely is contributing to their higher rates of extinction (thoug

  • So this is a study of studies. I doubt [m]any of them went out and collected samples :) Repeatably. They most likely collected data from sperm-banks and fertility clinics, both doing their own collection and measurements. Various techniques on a variable populations, some of whom were seeking medical care for related ailments. Sorry, I'm not impressed. Doom-pr0n.

    Longitudenal un-meta studies (no clinics) would be more convincing, especially if controlled for factors such as age.

  • People might have to plan and work at becoming parents. What a horrible outcome.

    I would have thought the right would be thrilled with this, too. Less call for abortions (not that anyone wouldn't be thrilled at fewer abortions but since that particular procedure seems more important to some than the actual lives of real, fully formed people...)

  • I also wonder on their metric, seem like they are looking at per sample, vs adjusted for population growth.
  • Nobody has postulated global warming yet? The balls are outside the body cause it runs too hot. If the outside air is too hot as well..........
    Seems like a fairly well designed feedback system: "Hi, this is your balls. It's too hot so there's gonna be less of you soon. I'll blast more baby sauce when it cools down. Peace"

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