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Medicine

Germany Considers a Full Covid Lockdown and Mandatory Vaccines (cnbc.com) 388

Germany is set to decide on tougher Covid-19 restrictions and could even opt for a full lockdown amid record daily infections and mounting pressure on hospitals. From a report: Olaf Scholz, Germany's chancellor-designate, said Wednesday that the Covid situation was serious and that the country would massively push its vaccination campaign, noting that "vaccination is the way out of this pandemic." Scholz said Germany "should make vaccination compulsory for certain groups," without stating which groups, while new Finance Minister Christian Lindner stated that Germans should avoid all unnecessary contact this winter "to preserve all of our health in this pandemic."

That Scholz chose to address the Covid crisis as he and his new government colleagues announced a draft coalition deal on Wednesday shows where the officials' immediate priorities lie. The country's outgoing health minister, Jens Spahn, issued a dire warning to Germans this week, saying that by the end of winter "pretty much everyone in Germany will be vaccinated, recovered or dead." Outgoing Chancellor Angela Merkel has called on the heads of Germany's 16 federal states (which have largely been free to determine their own Covid measures) to decide upon stricter rules by Wednesday. On Tuesday, Spahn reiterated that request, adding that more public spaces should be restricted to the vaccinated, the recently recovered, or those that have had a negative test -- otherwise known as the "3G rule." From Wednesday, 3G rules apply to any Germans going into the workplace or accessing public transport.

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Germany Considers a Full Covid Lockdown and Mandatory Vaccines

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  • Gotta love headlines (Score:5, Informative)

    by CastrTroy ( 595695 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @11:07AM (#62020283)

    Gotta love how headlines can make something seem way more controversial than it actually is. The key point is that vaccination would only be mandatory "for certain groups"

    I don't see how that's different from many other countries with vaccination requirements. As a Canadian, there are all kinds of vaccination requirements. Be it people working in hospital, federal employees, or people who want to go out to restaurants. Maybe that last one just Ontario, I don't know about other provinces.

    The point being that the headline suggests that mandtory vaccines would be for all, when really it seems that the vaccines would only be mandatory for specific groups.

    Everyone should get the vaccine, I'm a big supporter of it, but I'm just pointing out how infuriating the headline is.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      Germany, like many countries (including Canada) has a cohort of diehard antivaxxers, which are a source of both pressure on the medical system and a petri dish in which the virus can evolve. Christ, the last Canadian election had antivax protesters throwing gravel at the Prime Minister, despite the fact that, other than on aircraft, at borders and on Federal properties, the Federal government has little responsibility or power over vaccine mandates. But antivaxxers everywhere have demonstrated a profound ca

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        It's a very difficult situation. On the one hand there are people who are, frankly, idiots who read some BS on Facebook and are now endangering everyone and costing us a fortune. Then there are people with genuine medical issues, some of them not yet recognized by medical science, and a layer of doctors who have become highly sceptical due to all the Facebook idiots so it's hard to get an exemption.

        • It should be hard to get an exemption for medical reasons. In medicine, there is nothing that is risk-free, so you have to play your percentages. Covid-19 has about a 3% chance of killing most people and those who don't end up dead have a 30% chance of developing a neurological disorder. Even if you are certain to go into anaphylaxis, it might still be worth getting the vaccine under close medical supervision.
          • by fred6666 ( 4718031 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @12:05PM (#62020445)

            It should be hard to get an exemption for medical reasons.

            Agreed. And "I fear the vaccine" is not a medical reason.

          • by NagrothAgain ( 4130865 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @01:37PM (#62020761)

            Covid-19 has about a 3% chance of killing most people and those who don't end up dead have a 30% chance of developing a neurological disorder.

            No, it's not that simple. The Case Fatality Ratio seems to sit between 2% and 5% in most developed countries, and is heavily skewed towards the elderly, fat, and/or diabetic. The actual Fatality ratio is much lower because of asymptomatic and mild cases which never get tested. The chances of "long covid" or neurological damage is also much lower than you claim, and in many cases the damage is caused by lack of medical care and/or overmedication and not the illness itself.

            I am 100% pro-vaccine but am tired of seeing people spew ignorance as if it was fact. You're not helping by exaggerating, if anything you're just giving more ammo to the anti-vax crowd.

        • some of them not yet recognized by medical science

          Yeah, sure. Get vaccinated.

          • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

            I am fully vaccinated. I deeply regret getting the AstraZenica vaccine because of the effect it had on me. Pfizer was fine.

            Turns out a lot of other people with the same condition (CFS) have had similar reactions. If it were properly understood I would have been given Pfizer instead of AZ.

            • You understand that just because you had a reaction doesn't mean there is any link to the vaccine, right?
              Someone also died, hit by a bus, after getting the shot.

              • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

                Yes, but in my case there is a link.

                • Assuming you're right, which given your reputation here is a leap, that is still not an excuse to not get vaccinated, and you really shouldn't pretend that it is, because your argument will be abused by all the hypochondriacs, homeopathetics and the generally deluded. The full virus will do all the damage and so much more. Some vaccines may be better than others, but they are all much much better than actually getting Covid. The list of adults who genuinely should not be vaccinated is tiny, and every single

                • There is one, but not acknowledged by medical professionals?

        • Then there are people with genuine medical issues, some of them not yet recognized by medical science

          But fortunately, they are by AmiMoJo from Slashdot, so we are safe.

        • by jd ( 1658 )

          Ok, certain genuine medical issues (allergies to some of the proteins used in the manufacture and/or suspension, for example, or hyperactive immune systems) are a serious problem. And those can usually be identified beforehand, if a person is concerned. There are plenty of specialists who can determine an allergic reaction and there are tests for some hyperactive immune disorders. It's possible there are others, but that's why standard operating procedure for vaccines in the past has always been to wait 15

          • In the vaccination clinic I went to in England, they did do exactly that. I am told that vaccination clinics in Scotland and Isle of Man also do this.

            I'm only aware of 1 report out of about 100,000,000 vaccinations in the UK of anyone actually needing emergency treatment.

          • I have not seen any place that doesn't urge people to sit and wait for at least 15 minutes after the injection, with provided supervision, in case of rare allergic reactions. They actually recommend half an hour. Every campaign makes it known beforehand that the wait time afterward is highly recommended, to the point that they ask you for a waiver if you want to leave immediately. They explain without being asked that the attending medical staff is able and prepared to handle even severe reactions in the un

    • Here in the US we don't have mandatory vaccination for anything. They are called vaccine mandates but you can claim all kinds of exemptions without providing evidence. People still get upset about them like they are real mandates.
      • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @12:23PM (#62020509)

        As long as religious nuttery is enough of an excuse to not get vaccinated, there is no mandatory vaccination. Because if my invisible pink unicorn says that vaccination is bad for me, I get exempt.

        • by apoc.famine ( 621563 ) <apoc.famine@NOSPAM.gmail.com> on Thursday November 25, 2021 @02:55PM (#62021029) Journal

          100% this.

          And worse, FAR worse is that republicans have jumped on vaccine resistance as a cornerstone of their platform. Right now it's just COVID vaccines they're fighting against, but it's going to be mere moments before people start applying the same anti-vaccine-mandate laws and regulations and exemptions to other vaccines. You know, like the MMR or diptheria or polio or tetanus.

          Vaccines which save tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of children a year. In the last hundred years childhood mortality dropped by several orders of magnitude, and a LOT of that was because of mandatory childhood vaccines.

          I am deathly afraid for what happens if this nuttery gets applied to other vaccines. It's bad enough that we're mired in COVID because 40% of the population are a bunch of stupid fuckwads. At least they're not causing the deaths of tens of thousands of children - it's mostly their parents and grandparents they're killing.

          But if this extends to all of the childhood vaccines? COVID will look like a nothingburger in comparison.

    • Also, "full lockdown" is never really defined, and can mean many different things from one country to the other.
      Where I live, the hardest lockdown meant schools, day care, and most businesses were shut down.

    • Neighbouring Austria is going to make vaccines mandatory for all, and Germany are considering do the same.

  • As a German, I can attest that pretty much since about April/May 2020, the regularotry bodies and politicians have acted completely random and bogus and in pretty much the worst way, almost contrary against everything we already knew at that point, with all major decisions being too late.
    Like a deer caught in the headlight, you can perfectly model the actions by "indecisiveness until it is too late", combined with a whole bunch of promises and strategical mistakes which were obviously bad long-term and not

    • by fazig ( 2909523 )

      And while about half the people with covid in intensive care are unvaccinated, we tend to ignore the other half, which is actually vaccinated,

      [Citation needed]

      I'm not going to pretend that the Federal or state governments did a good job managing the situation, because in my opinion it was rather chaotic with inconsistently applied rules.
      But that doesn't mean I'm not going to call you out on the claims that ought to be substantiated with some evidence, just because you sandwich them in between those part

      • Even if his 50/50 metric is accurate, it is meaningless without knowing the population and vaxed vs. unvaxed overall.
        • by fazig ( 2909523 )
          There are numbers for that. Estimations at least.
          Percentages of fully vaccinated range from ~77% to 60%, with a notable split between former West and East Germany. The currently lowest rates are in Thuringia 63.8% and Saxony 60.2%. This also correlates with the highest occupation rate of ICUs as well as mortality rate.
          Note that I write "correlate", because the metrics to draw more refined conclusions from just aren't there.

          All I can say from my perspective and without looking too closely at the individu
    • The latest push for vaccination is a pretty lame attempt for victim blaming, because most of the non-vaccinated folks are people who either suffered more than most other people under the measurements of the lockdown,
      That is nonsense.

      or were just "forgotten" in the information campaigns, as they lack higher education and almost no attempt was made to provide easily accessible information about different vaccines and other safety measures, especially not in non-German language.
      That might be true.

      Pretty much

  • by kbahey ( 102895 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @11:41AM (#62020381) Homepage

    I think we need to get used to the idea that with Delta variant of the virus, the vaccines do not curb infection, nor transmission.

    For example, here in Ontario [ontario.ca], during the last wave (~ September) the cases per 100,000 for vaccinated people were 1.6, as opposed to 11.1 for unvaccinated. Now, it is 2.6 vs. 10.3, and we are not yet at the peak of the current wave.

    Part of that may be that antibodies for those vaccinated are waning (which is perfectly normal), and therefore they get infected until the T-cells activate B-cells to produce antibodies (a window of a few days).

    In the meantime, the reduction in hospitalization and ICU occupancy [covid19-sciencetable.ca] is 93% and 97% lower, respectively, for vaccinated people vs. the unvaccinated, per Ontario's Science Table statistics.

    Back to Germany (and Austria): their vaccination rate is ~ 66%. Not enough to blunt transmission. With Delta being more efficient in transmission, and probably producing a higher viral load, faster than the previous variants, vaccination rates need to be much higher than the postulated 75% when the D614G variant was the dominant one.

    This virus is not going away any time soon, given the resistance to vaccination, and the slow roll out in developing countries. If we manage to curb it to the level of localized outbreaks for the next year or two, it would be the best we could hope for.

    • by fred6666 ( 4718031 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @12:25PM (#62020519)

      I think we need to get used to the idea that with Delta variant of the virus, the vaccines do not curb infection, nor transmission.

      Wrong. The CDC says the opposite. https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru... [cdc.gov]

      The vaccine does reduce risks of infection, and probably in big part because of that, it reduces transmission risks as well.
      The only problem is that too many people are still not vaccinated. Under 12 vaccination will help a bit, but the real solution is to vaccinate something like 98%+ of adults.

      For example, here in Ontario [ontario.ca], during the last wave (~ September) the cases per 100,000 for vaccinated people were 1.6, as opposed to 11.1 for unvaccinated. Now, it is 2.6 vs. 10.3, and we are not yet at the peak of the current wave.

      So what, peak or not, the vaccine is effective.

      Back to Germany (and Austria): their vaccination rate is ~ 66%. Not enough to blunt transmission.

      Not enough, but still a lot better than 0%. Their situation would be much worse without the vaccine. Especially their death rate.

      vaccination rates need to be much higher than the postulated 75% when the D614G variant was the dominant one.

      This is well known since june/july 2021. I'm still surprised to hear people today being surprised that 75% is not enough, or say that because we have 75% vaccinated (in some countries) and the virus is still going on, it's because vaccines don't work. It's just failing at basic math. The Delta variant R0 has been estimated around 5-7. There is no way a 75% vaccination rate will be enough, even with a 100% vaccine effectiveness.

    • by aaarrrgggh ( 9205 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @12:31PM (#62020551)

      The game isn’t to have it go away it is to limit hospitalizations and deaths. This is why the vaccine is important, even with reduced efficacy over time.

      I live in a place with a reasonably high regional vaccination rate, but a low local vaccination rate so I got my booster after 6 months. That’s mainly me knowing I will be in a higher risk environment for a few weeks, and trying to be pragmatic. I don’t doubt that at some point though I will get the virus.

    • Precious few vaccines have sterilizing immunity, where you do not actually get infected and you cannot transmit to someone else. But the vaccines do limit the amount of time you're infectious.

      But this is ALSO happening in Ontario [thestar.com]: "As Ontario tries to keep a resurgence of COVID-19 cases under control, new data from Public Health Ontario shows only nine fully vaccinated people under 60 have ended up in the ICU."

      The vaccines work extremely well at what they were intended to do: keep you from getting deadly il

    • by Tom ( 822 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @02:00PM (#62020823) Homepage Journal

      This virus is not going away any time soon, given the resistance to vaccination

      So our choices are to give up and die in droves, or get the fucking vaccine into the population, pronto.

      At this point in time, I consider anyone who doesn't get the vaccine for reasons of personal comfort, political bullshit or "ah, I don't know" simply an antisocial asshole. And the people who spread FUD should be prosecuted as criminals. That literally IS the equivalent of shouting "fire" in a crowded theatre - that speech is directly in the chain of causality for mass death.

    • Germany is at roughly 80%.
      No idea about Austria.

      Astonishing is: the remaining 20% cause more hospitalizations (and death) than the previous waves.

  • by zerofuchsias ( 8997355 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @11:59AM (#62020425)
    Do you respect individual autonomy and people's rights to put into their bodies anything they fucking please? Irrespective of how poorly founded their beliefs are or how much damage they do to themselves? If your answer to this question is no, I'd very much like to see you weasel out of the consequences of this position, when your line of reasoning is extended to its logical conclusion. Also, spare me the greater good fallacy, because that is the first thing that dies when government violates individual liberty. I'll save you the cognitive dissonance in trying to answer my question and suggest you immediately downvote this comment instead. That's as good a demonstration of mindless authoritarianism as any.
    • by jm007 ( 746228 )

      no mod pts, but well said anyway

      tyrants always have good reasons to do bad things

    • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @12:29PM (#62020541)

      Right. And while we're at it, why can't I smoke indoors anymore? What about my right to individual autonomy and putting into my body what I fucking please? And don't gimme that "second hand smoke" bullshit, because if you can cough at me with your Covid infested breath, why can't you handle my sweet smelling cigar smoke?

      • Right. And while we're at it, why can't I smoke indoors anymore? What about my right to individual autonomy and putting into my body what I fucking please? And don't gimme that "second hand smoke" bullshit, because if you can cough at me with your Covid infested breath, why can't you handle my sweet smelling cigar smoke?

        Well, as someone who grew up in Los Angeles during the smog-laden 80s, I agree with the notion of second-hand smoke being a little overblown.

        However, smoking smells bad. I grew up with parents who smoked and it was impossible to escape the smell. What you consider "sweet smelling" is literally painful to my nose. Bear in mind, I don't care if you smoke like a chimney, I just don't want you doing it at the table next to mine when I'm dining.

    • by fred6666 ( 4718031 ) on Thursday November 25, 2021 @12:46PM (#62020597)

      Do you respect individual autonomy and people's rights to put into their bodies anything they fucking please? Irrespective of how poorly founded their beliefs are or how much damage they do to themselves?

      Yes. As long as these people remain isolated in their home until the virus is eradicated, this could be an acceptable solution.
      They can get their food delivered, and work from home anyways.

      But let's face it, nobody is going to accept that. We all know those who say they will are going to cheat at some point, and get out of their house.

    • Your argument would negate drug laws. What you’re really saying is my body my choice, correct? Your individual liberty stops when it begins to infringe on mine. If the argument really is my body my choice then you have to allow abortions and drugs like Marijuana.

      • If the argument really is my body my choice then you have to allow abortions and drugs like Marijuana.

        Not just MJ, but all drugs. Also prostitution and medically assisted dying.

    • by tsqr ( 808554 )

      Do you respect individual autonomy and people's rights to put into their bodies anything they fucking please? Irrespective of how poorly founded their beliefs are or how much damage they do to themselves?

      Since you've indicated that you don't really want an answer, I'll just say that I respect your rights to righteous indignation and the freedom to ask idiotic questions.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Not when these people live in a society with others. Sure, if you chose to live alone in some dessert or the like, you habe that right. But when you may infect and ultimately kill others, no so much.

      If you do not understand this then you are _dumb_.

    • by jd ( 1658 )

      I do not respect individual autonomy in the case of a deadly pathogen, no.

  • So they are going to to fight this thing by using 3G instead of 5G?

  • Is it legal for government to mandate people to wear anything, like clothes for example? Where does government get the right to tell me I should cover my glorious God-given junk? It is unconstitutional.

    • Is it legal for government to mandate people to wear anything, like clothes for example? Where does government get the right to tell me I should cover my glorious God-given junk? It is unconstitutional.

      Yea, that's the same. Remind me, please: what is the clothing equivalent to natural immunity?

  • Is it the tax payer again? It's much cheaper to vaccine everyone than to offer free covid-19 tests to those who wants to go to the restaurant.

    • by fazig ( 2909523 )
      As far as I understand the propositions and rules, tests are (again) free for those that are verifiable vaccinated and 'recovered'.
      Which of course means that it's the tax payer that'll foot the bill, so pretty much everyone. That's the answer most questions about 'who will pay for this' would default to.

      While those who are not vaccinated will have to pay for their tests. From what I've heard from my relatives the workplace may pay for their tests and may subtract it from their employees pay or something
      • Where I live people with symptoms are still encouraged to get tested (even if vaccinated), and it is free.

        What I am opposed to, is to allow the unvaccinated to get access to the same privileges as those with a vaccine passport (airplanes, restaurants, whatever) by doing a state-funded test.

        And from what I read, a test (and associated labor) can cost a lot more than 10 euros, but of course it depends on the type on test, with the better ones being more expensive. PCR can be easily 70+ euros. Don't forget tha

        • by fazig ( 2909523 )
          Yeah, the 'cheap' tests are seen as being sufficient.
          Though from personal anecdotes I can say that this is a bad idea, as they produce false negatives too often to be reliable. Eventually you'll still need a PCR test to eliminate doubts created by the cheap tests.

          But that's how they do it here when it comes to "3G" rules, where vaccinated people, recovered, and tested negative people are treated as the same.

          Then there's also "2G" rules where vaccinated and recovered people are allowed.
          And the only one

It's a naive, domestic operating system without any breeding, but I think you'll be amused by its presumption.

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