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Medicine United States

Most Unvaccinated Americans Don't Want Shots: AP-NORC Poll (apnews.com) 657

Most Americans who haven't been vaccinated against COVID-19 say they are unlikely to get the shots and doubt they would work against the aggressive delta variant despite evidence they do, according to a new poll that underscores the challenges facing public health officials amid soaring infections in some states. AP: Among American adults who have not yet received a vaccine, 35% say they probably will not, and 45% say they definitely will not, according to a poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. Just 3% say they definitely will get the shots, though another 16% say they probably will. What's more, 64% of unvaccinated Americans have little to no confidence the shots are effective against variants -- including the delta variant that officials say is responsible for 83% of new cases in the U.S. -- despite evidence that they offer strong protection. In contrast, 86% of those who have already been vaccinated have at least some confidence that the vaccines will work.

That means "that there will be more preventable cases, more preventable hospitalizations and more preventable deaths," said Dr. Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease specialist at Johns Hopkins University. "We always knew some proportion of the population would be difficult to persuade no matter what the data showed, (and) a lot of people are beyond persuasion," said Adalja. He echoed Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Rochelle Walensky in calling the current surge "a pandemic of the unvaccinated" because nearly all hospital admissions and deaths have been among those who weren't immunized.

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Most Unvaccinated Americans Don't Want Shots: AP-NORC Poll

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  • Bad Use Of Polling (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Thelasko ( 1196535 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:04AM (#61611741) Journal
    These results are obvious. The vaccines are abundant in the US at this point. If you don't have one, you don't want one.

    I suppose if these results said something contradictory, I would say this poll is insightful.
    • Not wholly true (Score:5, Interesting)

      by SuperKendall ( 25149 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:11AM (#61611779)

      The vaccines are abundant in the US at this point. If you don't have one, you don't want one.

      I know a number of people that may get one - IF Covid continues to be an issue, and AFTER some time has passed so any potential side effects are more well known (around a year more is what I've heard).

      I got vaccinated as soon as I could because I like to travel and the potential downside of being unvaccinated outweighed what I saw as pretty unlikely negative side effects.

      But if I never travelled and mostly stayed at home, I too would probably have erred on waiting for more time to pass to be sure - not even of side effects but also which vaccine might be overall most effective long term. That's a pretty reasonable take.

      • Re:Not wholly true (Score:5, Insightful)

        by MightyMartian ( 840721 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:13AM (#61611789) Journal

        The problem being that if a sufficient number don't get vaccinated, there's no herd immunity, and the problem persists. So really, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

        • Re:Not wholly true (Score:4, Insightful)

          by rapierian ( 608068 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:53AM (#61612021)
          No, if a sufficient number aren't vaccinated or have natural immunity from having had the virus there's no herd immunity.
        • Re:Not wholly true (Score:4, Interesting)

          by Luckyo ( 1726890 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @03:02PM (#61613179)

          At this point, we're actually pretty certain that herd immunity as an argument to sell vaccination programs to the masses was just another white lie, where truth got sacrificed on the altar of expediency and convenience. Germans for example have now publicly admitted to it:

          https://www.spiegel.de/interna... [spiegel.de]

          Basically, "communications experts" on the relevant committees have massively overplayed their hands and relevant messaging was often so condescending and hostile , and we went from excitement that we're finally getting vaccines to fatigue. We're also seeing this across countries with very different cultures, so "country x has a problem with anti-vaccination movement and this is stopping the current programs" argument is simply incorrect. We're seeing this everywhere from US to Germany to Russia, for a number of different reasons. But one unifying factors seems to be the messaging style that "communications experts" appear to have copied from each other across borders, resulting in the same reaction of massive initial wave of vaccinations, followed by hardened resistance by large minorities that those campaigns didn't just fail to convince. But instead hardened their opposition to getting vaccinated.

          And frankly, I can understand why. If you're already doubtful and well informed that all current vaccines operate on unknown medium to long term safety record (no time to form one) and are still experimental, every officially sanctioned authority parroting each other that "they are totally safe to use" is going to make you believe that they must be hiding something. After all, why would they all lie using exact same phrases otherwise?

          Essentially, I think that the "let's pretend they're safe" white lie rather than the truth of "this is experimental, negatives we're seeing from vaccines are effectively nonexistent compared to consequences of actually getting covid, so instead of waiting for covid to get you, you should get vaccinated" was the wrong way to go with communications. Because we're now seeing that the important group to convince wasn't the "idiots who don't get it" but "sceptics who do get it but lack context and people who follow them". By focusing on the former in messaging, we got that large initial demand from people who didn't need much convincing, and lost the long war on convincing those that would actually be hard to convince.

          And we're going to keep paying for this problem for a while. The same people who failed us on this one are now starting to openly debate just how authoritarian they can go with forcing vaccinations on people. And that is a discussion that is not going to end well for society as a whole. Witch hunts are the last thing society needs.

      • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

        by Anonymous Coward

        But if I never travelled and mostly stayed at home, I too would probably have erred on waiting for more time to pass to be sure - not even of side effects but also which vaccine might be overall most effective long term. That's a pretty reasonable take.

        So you're one of those idiots. [twitter.com]

        • Re:Not wholly true (Score:5, Insightful)

          by GameboyRMH ( 1153867 ) <gameboyrmh AT gmail DOT com> on Friday July 23, 2021 @12:10PM (#61612157) Journal

          I thought you were going to cite some research on the fact that there has never been a vaccine in history that didn't show side-effects within a couple of months, but I guess that works too.

          Funny how the people afraid of medically dubious potential long-term vaccine side effects aren't afraid of COVID19's well-known long-term effects...

      • Re:Not wholly true (Score:4, Insightful)

        by 93 Escort Wagon ( 326346 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:15AM (#61611807)

        I know a number of people that may get one - IF Covid continues to be an issue, and AFTER some time has passed so any potential side effects are more well known (around a year more is what I've heard).

        You know, I was hoping this was a parody:

        https://www.theonion.com/hesit... [theonion.com]

      • Re:Not wholly true (Score:5, Interesting)

        by Octorian ( 14086 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:21AM (#61611829) Homepage

        I know a number of people that may get one - IF Covid continues to be an issue, and AFTER some time has passed so any potential side effects are more well known (around a year more is what I've heard).

        I recently watched an interview/conversation with Dr. Offit where he flat-out said that, in the entire history of vaccines, there have never been any with long-term side effects. Any side effects that have ever come up, came up within like 1-2 months after the shot. At this point, with a sample set in the hundreds of millions, I think its safe to say that concern over long term effects is no longer reasonable.

      • I know a number of people that may get one - IF Covid continues to be an issue, and AFTER some time has passed so any potential side effects are more well known (around a year more is what I've heard)

        The second condition renders the first condition bullshit. The Delta variant is very much an issue, and yet they will wait.

        These "people you know" are perfectly willing to be part of the problem, and they don't care.

      • Headline is wrong (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Geoffrey.landis ( 926948 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:29AM (#61611881) Homepage

        The headline is wrong.The largest group of Americans who aren't vaccinated is people who are under 12 years old, for whom the vaccine is not approved.

        This is mentioned in the details:

        Among American adults who have not yet received a vaccine, 35% say ...

      • Re:Not wholly true (Score:5, Insightful)

        by smooth wombat ( 796938 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:30AM (#61611885) Journal
        IF Covid continues to be an issue,

        Bullshit. Over 630,000 people are dead in this country from covid, and those are just the ones we know about. It has been estimated there are thousands more which were never counted for various reasons including deliberately not classifying those deaths as covid related. At the current rate of death, more people will have died from covid in less than two years than were killed in the four plus years of the Civil War.

        and AFTER some time has passed so any potential side effects are more well known (around a year more is what I've heard).

        More bullshit. Almost 200 million people in this country have been vaccinated. Any serious side effects would have shown up by now and oddly, those side effects have been reported.

        The people you're supposedly quoting are just looking for excuses not to get vaccinated because I will bet come December, when the vaccines have been out for a year, they still won't get their shot(s).
      • As soon as they passed the three phases of testing, I got one as soon as I could. I am not worried about side effects. The ironic thing is that I had fewer side effects from it than when I received a tetanus shot.

        I just wish I knew why this specific vaccination is such an issue. We have had vaccines for decades, and I've never seen people marching in the streets about a polio shot, or a tetanus vaccine.

        It cost me nothing, other than a little time, and it keeps me from infecting others. Hard to complain

      • Re:Not wholly true (Score:5, Interesting)

        by Darinbob ( 1142669 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @12:55PM (#61612461)

        Well, it's part of the dumbification of America (and the World). But then you can't expect the general public to understand upper division probability and statistics. Or history.

        The polio vaccine testing came under fire as well when a batch caused some issues during tests and Walter Winchell almost scuttled the whole thing by having an anti vaccine rant. But people were more scared of polio than the vaccine and it went ahead. The Salk vaccine did fall out of favor after an accident. And it reduced cases by only 80% (there are anti covid vaccine people who are wary that it's not 100% effective). But it saved a lot of lives and cases needing long term care. By all modern accounts it was a success.

        The covid vaccines are better than Salk's polio vaccine. Better tested, better outcomes, more safety, more oversight. Yes, some people may have adverse reactions.

        "Around a year more" is an extremely long time. There is a calculated risk involved. You wait a year, millions more people around the world die, are hospitalized, and possibly have long term health complications afterwards. History will say "what the fuck was wrong that they let millions die because they didn't want to have some rare chance of adverse reactions to a vaccine?"

        But this is where the probability and statistics comes in. Weight the beneifts of having a vaccine with a chance of a negative outcomes, versus the outcomes from not having the vaccine with a change of even more negative outcomes. The anti vaccine people are essentially saying clearly that they think the covid-19 is less dangerous than the vaccine. Maybe they're still stuck in the mistaken mindset that it's just a bad flu? Also the economic factors weigh in, even those who think they're unlikely to ever become seriously ill from covid-19 are probably certainly hopeful that the economy opens up and becomes more normal, which it will NOT due until vaccination rates improve. These people who want to wait are not staying home isolated either, they are already out and about and unvaccinated (again, probably mistakenly think this is all a hoax or just a bad flu).

        Right now the negative outcomes from getting a vaccine are either very mild ("my friend Janice was sick for a week"), or very rare with low correlation to the vaccine. The negative outcomes from not getting a vaccine are relatively high, from catching covid and needing hospitalization or worse, or catching it with mild or no symptoms and being a spreader to other people, and extended economic turmoil as anti vaccine people want this to burn itself out.

        As for the Delta variant. Some people are convinced that the vaccine does nothing there so what's the point of getting a vaccine now after such a long wait... But it's not true. The existing evidence is that the vaccines do protect against the new variant, you will still be able to catch and spread it though, only your symptoms are greatly lessened. The 90%+ of new deaths and hospitalization are with unvaccinated people.

        Really, there's no logical reason to avoid the vaccine if you don't not have particular medical conditions that prevent it (immuno-compromised, etc) In fact, those people who cannot get the vaccine are relying heavily upon the general populace to stop being dumbasses and get the shot!

    • by necro81 ( 917438 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:19AM (#61611815) Journal

      These results are obvious. The vaccines are abundant in the US at this point. If you don't have one, you don't want one.

      That the unvaccinated remain stubbornly is obvious. But exactly why they remain so is not entirely obvious. Sure: you and I could probably have predicted the reasons (indeed, the pollsters probably did so when making the survey, rather than just open-ended questions), but the percentages were not predictable. It's those numbers that dictate where you may still be able to make some progress, and how to best target your efforts.

    • Some vaccines are abundant. Here the only one available is the Moderna version.

      • by jythie ( 914043 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:44AM (#61611963)
        There are also some accessibility issues. Have a car, are a mobile adult, and can take off work? Not that hard. Have trouble traveling, mobility issues, are far from public transportation and don't have a car? Then your options can get a lot more restricted. This is actually the point of the door-to-door stuff, to bring the vaccine to people who can not easily get to sites that distribute it.
      • by necro81 ( 917438 )

        Some vaccines are abundant. Here the only one available is the Moderna version.

        Is that supposed to be a reason to not get an available vaccine? Lack of options?! Are people in your area holding out for some better offer? Moderna is just about the best out there:

        Based on evidence from clinical trials, the Moderna vaccine was 94.1% effective at preventing laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 illness in people who received two doses who had no evidence of being previously infected. [source] [cdc.gov]

    • Well, but it still could have been a problem of convenient access or worry about losing time from work. It's good science to double-check things that seem obvious.

  • by Anonymous Coward

    America is a big deal. Just ask any American!

  • by RightwingNutjob ( 1302813 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:10AM (#61611769)

    that the vaccines are not effective against variants?

    Gee. That's a mystery.

    It certainly couldn't have been the scaremongering about "double mutants" and such that began almost the very same day that the first shots were administered. And it couldn't possibly be the constant hyping up of every single positive test in a vaccinated individual.

  • Civilization has no recourse. Most of these were the first ones to get scared about Ebola because it had a high death rate and seemingly scarier symptoms.

  • I'm reminded of this video. [youtu.be]

    It's amazing what suffering can do to change a mind.

  • In other words (Score:3, Insightful)

    by necro81 ( 917438 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:15AM (#61611801) Journal

    Most Americans who haven't been vaccinated against COVID-19 say they are unlikely to get the shots and doubt they would work against the aggressive delta variant despite evidence they do

    In other words: stupid and selfish.

    This is why we can't have nice things!

  • Health care workers (Score:5, Interesting)

    by PPH ( 736903 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:19AM (#61611817)

    One of the larger categories of vaccine hesitant. What's up with that?

    • by Beryllium Sphere(tm) ( 193358 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:48AM (#61611989) Journal

      Health care workers means everything from doctors (96% vaccinated) to minimum wage home health aides.

      Not all are educated like nurses are, and many are from ethnic groups that have bad histories with the medical establishment.

      Health care workers may have seen bad things from 1.0 products in the past. Now, anyone with an engineering background can look at the Pfizer teardown at berthub.eu and see it's years past a 1.0 product, but these are not people with engineering backgrounds.

    • by Anubis IV ( 1279820 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @12:08PM (#61612139)

      Because they're in the circles where people actually see and talk about the 1-in-a-million outcomes, they sometimes have an outsized impression of how often those situations occur. Most doctors have a decent grasp on statistics that helps them keep things in perspective, but that isn't always as true of nurses or other staff (e.g. phlebotomists, lab techs, etc.), so while most nurses and other ancillary staff are awesome, you can still find a sizable portion who think the worst in any situation or who will immediately start looking for zebras [quoteinvestigator.com]. A few hundred healthcare workers in the Texas Medical Center were actually just fired/resigned a few weeks back because they refused to get the vaccine. It was a small portion out of the total number of workers there, but it was odd enough that it made national news when the courts said that they were not wrongly terminated.

  • Mandates for vaccines are astonishingly effective.

    **Health care organizations are requiring caregivers to get vaccinate be fired. Very few of them choose to be fired.

    **Vaccination rates are going up when you get denied entry to restaurants and other public venues when you are unvaccinated.

    What we need to do is start ensuring that those who CHOOSE not to get vaccinated (I'm excepting medical exemptions) bear the cost and consequences of their choice.

    Not vaccinated? Can't work here. Good luck finding another job.
    Not vaccinated? Can't eat here. Can't take your kids to school here.
    Not vaccinated? Your INSURANCE PREMIUMS WILL GO UP, YOU ARE WELCOME. FREEDOM ISN'T FREE.

    Not vaccinated and you spread COVID? Guess what, you are LEGALLY liable, and the test will be whether a preponderance of evidence suggests you spread it to the victim suing you. Now you get to pay for damages, lost wages, wrongful death, hospital fees, from you negligently spreading COVID because you were unvaccinated.

    Freedom ain't free folks. It's time to stop coddling the freeloaders.

    --PeterM

    • Indeed. My wife has cancer and, while in for her latest infusion, the attending nurse volunteered that she is finally getting vaccinated because she's taking her kiddos to Lego Land, where vaccination is a requirement. This is a provider who routinely works around severely immune compromised patients. WTF? Unfortunately, treatment is at a hospital in Oregon, where hospitals are specifically prohibited from requiring COVID vaccination (other industries can mandate vaccination).

  • Anti-American (Score:5, Insightful)

    by peterww ( 6558522 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:35AM (#61611911)

    At this point, not getting the vaccine means you're not a Patriot. You clearly don't want the country to recover economically, you are intentionally killing your fellow Americans, and you're weakening the Military. To say nothing of being anti-Family and anti-Christian Values. Anti-vaxxers are simply domestic terrorists.

  • by Camel Pilot ( 78781 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @11:57AM (#61612047) Homepage Journal

    Why is the government handing out welfare, in the form of taxpayer funded medical care, to cover unvaccinated covid infections? Changing that would send hordes of these people to the vaccination centers.

    In my area the vast majority of these vaccine resisters are Republicans thinking they are some sort of liberty outpost in a world of liberal government mandated control. I say let the free-market sort this out.

  • The more people who refuse to take the immunization shots, the more potential incubators for the virus, which means more potential chances the virus can evolve into even more contagious and/or lethal forms. You want to have to forever play Whac-a-Mole with coronavirus variants? That's how you get that. Bye-bye, civilization, as continual lock-downs crash everything.
  • by Nugoo ( 1794744 ) on Friday July 23, 2021 @01:14PM (#61612569)

    I like Bill Burr's vaccine conspiracy theory:

    The people getting the vaccine are the people who trust the government, not the free thinkers. So if the government wants to get rid of the free thinkers and be left with a compliant populace, they're not going to use a harmful vaccine. If anything, the vaccine would offer real protection against some deliberately released disease, which would have free reign to kill only the people who distrust the government.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znI046F4FKg [youtube.com]

  • I got the vaccine but I strongly oppose mandates. Vaccination should be a personal medical decision made between individuals and doctors.

    Look, there are numerous authoritarian schemes we could dream up that might increase the life expectancy a year or two. But that doesn't mean we should do them. There is more to life than postponing death at all costs. There are other values, and you may be surprised to learn that striving for the longest life possible for the greatest number of people possible is not the value at the top of everyone's list. There are other value systems besides utilitarianism which you might want to consider before you allow yourself to be stirred to such hatred of your fellow citizens who are choosing not to be vaccinated.

    Getting a shot in the arm and feeling lousy for a day or two is not a "sacrifice" for the greater good. We did it at least as much - and probably more so - for our own damn good. But boldly accepting some personal risk in order to preserve medical privacy for all and the right of free citizens to make their own medical choices - THAT is an actual sacrifice for the greater good.

"The pyramid is opening!" "Which one?" "The one with the ever-widening hole in it!" -- The Firesign Theatre

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