NASA Has a Plan To Punch An Asteroid With a Spaceship To Protect Earth (vice.com) 116
A new NASA mission, called the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission due for launch this summer, aims to launch a spaceship that will directly punch an asteroid. Motherboard reports: The mission's target is an asteroid system called Didymos, which contains two space rocks that orbit each other. In late 2022, DART will forcefully impact the smaller asteroid in this system, a tiny moon called Dimorphos, so that scientists can assess the feasibility of knocking any space rocks that threaten Earth off course in the future. [...] DART will pioneer a subtler form of planetary defense, in which the trajectory of an asteroid is changed by a very small amount that becomes significant over time. Late next year, the mission will crash into Dimorphos at about seven kilometers per second. Shortly before the collision, the spacecraft will deploy a small satellite provided by the Italian Space Agency that is tasked with watching "the mess we make," [said Andy Rivkin, a planetary astronomer at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory and the investigation team lead for DART].
Observations from the Italian satellite, as well as from powerful telescopes on Earth, will reveal just how much Dimorphos was affected by the crash. Rivkin and his colleagues expect the change in orbital speed to be small -- about one millimeter per second -- which would add up to a shortening of the orbital period by about 10 minutes. But even this very slight shift would be enough to redirect the trajectory of a hazardous asteroid that threatened Earth, provided scientists have a lead-time of a decade or two before the projected impact.
Observations from the Italian satellite, as well as from powerful telescopes on Earth, will reveal just how much Dimorphos was affected by the crash. Rivkin and his colleagues expect the change in orbital speed to be small -- about one millimeter per second -- which would add up to a shortening of the orbital period by about 10 minutes. But even this very slight shift would be enough to redirect the trajectory of a hazardous asteroid that threatened Earth, provided scientists have a lead-time of a decade or two before the projected impact.
Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:5, Funny)
asteroid punches back
Re:Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:5, Funny)
Re: Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:2)
That's asteroidism! #notAllAsteroids!
Re: Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:2)
Besides, it was pulled dragged in by Earth and murdered!
So Earth lost its dinosaurs while doing it? Boo-hoo. #checkYourPlanetaryBodyPrivilege !!1oneeleven
Re:Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:5, Interesting)
Asteroid breaks in pieces so it can destroy many cities in one go. I recall that 50m piece is enough to destroy a city. So a 500m asteroid is good enough for 1000 cities.
Gently pushing the asteroid out of the way is the way to go.
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In order to gently push it out of the way you must slow down the "engine" then start it.
This isn't great when the engine already moves at 7 km/s.
They might try "pulverizing" the spaceship just before impact, so that most of it still hits the asteroid but any piece is small enough in order not to break the target into pieces (or large pieces from the target).
Re:Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:4, Insightful)
I read the article after my comment and it is clear NASA is aware of the challenges when avoiding collision with earth. They do want to keep the asteroid together. The actual experiment is about how rough they are allowed to be. If a piece with 10m diameter separates off that is no big deal. If one with 50m diameter breaks off it is a problem. The strength of the asteroid will be a factor. Some asteroids may act like a bag of sand, others like a big rock.
So the general idea is to deviate an asteroid using a very long gentle push a long time in advance. But then asteroids are also rotating. You can't just stick a machine somewhere in its side which is good at throwing sand away very hard.
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But asteroids rotate, many (most?) of them chaotically. Unless you're somehow able to stop its rotation first your jet is just going to spray vapor in random directions most of the time.
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This is ablation, not rebound or ricochet. My understanding (admittedly quite possibly wrong, and I'd love to learn otherwise) is that when ablation occurs the material ejected just moves outward in the path of least resistance away from the site of heating. If the laser hits a surface at a 45 degree angle the majority of the resulting plasma will be ejected from the point being heated in some other direction, and the impulse transmitted will be in the direction directly away from the surface rather than
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It's only predictable if you have a single smooth homogeneous surface. Imagine your laser sweeping over the surface hitting a chunk of water ice, a piece of nickle-iron, some water ice, and then carbonaceous rock. Four different shock waves and four different plasma clouds, and the angle of each of them is likely to be different. I'm not optimistic about our ability to predict the results, at least not at this time.
I think young comets might be consistent enough inside for your rocket nozzle idea, if onl
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There are a lot of moving parts to this proposal. First you have to stop your spacecraft relative to the overall motion of the asteroid, something that is fairly difficult and one of the reasons why previous spacecraft visiting asteroids have gone into orbit around them instead. Then you need to completely map it to find the areas more easily ablated, since you don't want to waste time lighting up a chunk of nickle-iron. Now you have to wait until those spots rotate into view (and remember, it's probably
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Turning the jet off and on is easy.
Not unless you have a hugely powerful laser; it takes time for material to warm up enough to start degassing. A less powerful laser (of the kind you'd expect could be flown all the way there) will need time to pour enough energy into the chosen area. By the time you have a jet, the asteroid has already rotated. Similarly, stopping the laser will not instantly cut off the jet. The asteroid material will take some time to lose the accumulated heat; during this time the jet will continue to flow.
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Which to a fairly close approximation happens to be when the target facet is pointing at Earth.
Yeah, it surprised me when I realised it. It's not often that problemsw in celestial mechanics have a simple solution.
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This is very boring.. trying to nudge asteroids by lasers a bit of a stretch - nuking it from orbit [nukeitfromorbit.com] would be much more exciting.
Also, I suspect the heat output from deploying a thermonuclear device while colliding would be capable of evaporating a ton of ice much more quickly than a laser projected over some distance - to cause the jets "propelling" the mass, assuming there would be any solid mass left of the asteroid.
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The Deep Impact spacecraft hit Comet Tempel with 100 kilo chunk of copper at 10 kilometers/second. Its kinetic energy was equivalent to 4.8 tons of TNT. A kinetic impact has the advantage of being able to control the directionality of the force imparted. The ablation resulting from a nearby thermonuclear blast would be less effective, since the shock wave and the force of the ejected plasma just travels opposite of the plane of the surface being ablated. Nuke it at a 45 degree angle from it's orbital di
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Since the energy of a laser contains nearly no mass
Photons carry exactly zero mass. They do however, carry a small bit of momentum.
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yes thats why i said nearly
Nearly isn’t zero, even for large values of zero.
Momentum without mass is a puzzling concept in itself since the equation for momentum includes mass.
That’s because your thinking of the Newtonian mass momentum equation(s). The photon momentum equation is planks constant/wavelength and you are missing a relativistic compensation term from your momentum equation if you need to be accurate at high relative speeds. From relativity and the speed of light, you can derive that frequency is like mass in intrinsic energy. In the 1930’s the Nobel prize was handed out for Compton scattering and
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After Einstein made special relativity it was clear that you couldn't use the lorentz transform on gravitational forces. the speed should tell you how force transforms: the force between two objects moving fast next to each other transforms in the same way regardless of the nature of that force but for gravitational force that yielded no sensible answer.
So Einstein's solution was to make gravity 'nonforcelike' , to have the energy of an object change the geometry of space (it distorts the rubber sheet of sp
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So without mass how do you explain red shifting of light when it comes in contact with gravity?
Gravity emerges from curved spacetime, and spacetime curves wherever there is a concentration of energy (mass being a very concentrated form of energy). In curved spacetime, time slows down. This is what causes gravitational red shift. There is also another redshift, cosmological, which is caused by the metric expansion of space.
Why does gravity affect a photon when it has no mass?
Because the photon always follows the shortest path in spacetime, aka a geodesic, which is a straight line in free space. Curved spacetime causes geodesics to be curved in 3D space
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So whether a photon has mass or energy doesn't even matter when figuring out what the trajectory is.
I think this misses the point. Let’s use an infamous slashdot car analogy: I have a car, and it’s worth $500. Sweet ride. But I’m riding in a car, I don’t have the $500. Saying I’m riding around in $500 is obviously false and some kind of analogy.
The distinction is made because photons use a class of equations that specifically aren’t valid with mass and vice versa with the mass momentum equations.
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That is indeed a lousy analogy. The point was valid. It is a way of explaining that general relativity is a geometrical theory.
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Re: Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:2)
Depends on what you mean by "mass" - in a way, you could argue they do have inertia (because they have momentum), and they interact with gravity (because gravity "bends" spacetime).
They dont't have a mass at rest, but they do have a finite effective(*) mass while in motion.
(*) pretty much like we claim that particles at relativistic speed become "heavier", up to infinite mass at speed of light. Which is not true, of course, it's just an effective variable that hides RT. /pedantic
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Which is likely to be a different answer for each of the first few dozen asteroids examined, until we've mapped out the parameter space. After that, we'll have a better understanding of the distribution of strengths.
What we know from the small number of asteroids examined in any detail is that the strength varies from almost nothing ("rubble piles") to strong-enough to survive an impact that carves a crater approaching a quarter of the body's
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I agree. I also imagine that any somewhat realistic scenario for intervention will consist of a long stage of probing, preparations and choices while the prediction of the trajectory becomes more accurate and they can figure out which way they should push.
I wonder how a 'pile of rubble' impacts with the atmosphere. Much more energy will be dispersed before impact. For a large asteroid we still wouldn't like the result - how much of a shockwave can we handle - but I imagine the threshold for the mass to ge
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Which is how people like the B612 foundation have been talking about for - several decades if I recall. The general reaction from people has been ostrich imitations.
I'm not sure that matters much. The kinetic energy of the impactor arrives within a couple of hundred km (horizontally) and 60-oddkm vertically. For any
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A lot depends on how much delta-V you want to impart, and the further ahead from the time of impact you do nudge the asteroid, the less delta-v you need. If you're shooting the asteroid hours before it enters the Earth's atmosphere, like you would in a movie, then you'd have to worry about breaking it apart. But you could potentially nudge an asteroid into a less risky trajectory *years* before it comes close to Earth -- at least in the case of near Earth objects.
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Didn't read TFA, but reading data in the comment... That math feels odd on first pass, by some order of magnitude, kind sir.
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I read the article afterwards (*hm*) . Nasa is fully aware of the problems it creates when treating an asteroid in rude and uncourteous ways. The actual test they have in mind is how far they can push it and still keep things together. How much is too much.
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It is desirable but I agree it is not necessarily on principle, just because some quick calculations show the strategy of lightening the rock is not realistic.
If you take a 50m diameter rock (a supertanker) and sling it at 20km/2 into the atmosphere, it releases about 2 million TeraJoules or 500 megatonnes of TNT. (I hope I didn't miscount the zeroes here).
Peeling off some of that matter reduces the impact but how much should it become until you feel safe and how long would it take?
If you have a 500m diamet
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Our posts crossed. I don't know why you want to split off a large mass. Because it can all move slower?
My additional point (and the initial one) would be that the amount of energy needed to displace the asteroid may be small in comparison with a healthy nuke but the challenge is to apply the energy in a controlled manner. As soon as bits start flying about you lose control.and large parts may end up headed straight for earth.
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So another quick calculation (again, the risk is I'm getting the number of zeroes wrong) .002m/s2.
If acceleration (time squared)/2 = 10000km(1e7m) and t is a year or about 100000s (1e5s)
then a = 2e-3, you need a constant acceleration of
The speed achieved is then 200m/s. The energy you have pushed into that supertanker is then 50 kilotonnes of TNT.
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Yes I'm awake now. since we have 360 times more time , square of that is 1e5 and the acceleration is 2e-8m/s2 instead of 2e-3m/s2.
the speed would be more like 1m/s then if you're a year out.
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Oh dear, I used 1e5s for time which is a year, not a day.
So times 360.
t**2 is then 1e5 larger and the acceleration can be 2e-8.
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Also, they are coming from so far up that by the time they get here they've got no speed left.
Re: Whatcould possibly go wrong (Score:2)
Damn cube again (Score:2)
> 50m piece is enough to destroy a city. So a 500m asteroid is good enough for 1000 cities.
> 500/50=10 not 1000
You start with one 500 wide * 500 high * 500 deep.
You divide it into pieces 50 wide * 50 high * 50 deep.
That means it's divided 10 times width-wise, 10 times depth-wise, and 10 times height-wise = 1,000 times.
Which reminds me of the reason it's easy to build a quadcopter that fits in your palm, yet large quadcopters don't work. Because making each dimension 10X larger makes the thing 1,000 la
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Hm, and only if you target the 1000 pieces very accurately.
I can imagine that if the parts separate and drift apart they will move more slowly than if you actually try to propel them away.
On the other hand I don't know about modelling the breaking up of asteroids with H-bombs but I do know that if you put H-bombs inside an asteroid the kinetic energy you can give to the parts you sling away can be very large, as opposed to exploding H-bombs in the vicinity of the asteroid, which heats up the surface and pro
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I can imagine "hitting the asteroid with all the H-bombs which you have" would result in the secret stash of reserve H-bombs being launched in a preemptive strike against the enemy. For all values of "your" and "enemy". I remember the Cold War and expecting to die from foreign nukes targeting the foreign nukes on the "unsinkable aircraft carrier" which we called "home". I don't have a high opinion of politicians who have armies an
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I'm in two minds about this. First, it is a technical question with a potential disarmament side to it. An 'Orion' type project. Could it be possible to disperse the mass sufficiently. It is worth investigating.
Secondly, you 'remember'? I am convinced we're in a cold war right now which can blow up at any moment, the more so because so many people are so confident they're safe.
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I like that you know a lot about rocks from space :)
Quoth Mike Tyson (Score:5, Funny)
Nuke it (Score:2)
Re:Nuke it (Score:4, Insightful)
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How is that more complicated?.
Your idea involves NASA procuring a nuclear warhead, the other doesn't. The complications involved with doing that are immense.
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I've been looking at ablation in response to another poster, and it's got more issues. First off ablation imparts force opposite the plane of the surface being ablated, not opposite the direction of the heat. Secondly it's going to chaotically stress the interior of the asteroid since a chunk of nickle-iron will react differently than a piece of nitrogen ice, and there will be an absolutely unpredictable web of shock waves traveling through this thing. Third, between the plasma plume, the spray of chunks
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Peaceful uses of nuclear explosives seem to be prohibited by international treaties, politicians seem to think they and generals are more competent to decide what needs to be blown up than engineers are.
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What is the effective range of off-the-shelf ground-proximity radar? 10km or 1km?
Re:Nuke it (Score:5, Informative)
Because a nuclear explosion would dissipate all of its energy in a sphere. In order to transfer more of that energy to the target, the nuke must explode as close as possible.
Unfortunately, at 7 km/s closing speed the timing of the explosion is a bit tricky.
You might try to slow down the missile from 7 km/s and "land" - in this case, let's say that half the energy of the nuke goes into the asteroid - as heat, radiation and momentum (i.e. added speed away from the explosion).
The ideal solution would be to drill a small hole into the asteroid and explode the nuke inside it - it will give the highest momentum change to the remaining part (hopefully) or parts (more probably) of the asteroid.
Nuke AND a pusher plate (Score:2)
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Funny you should mention that. Google "Casaba howitzer."
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Casaba howitzer.
Re:Nuke it (Score:5, Informative)
I suspect that the effects of blowing a nuke in a vacuum are very different from blowing it in an atmosphere. Without air to get caught up and be part of the blast all that hits the asteroid is the small mass of the nuke + radiation. So: not as effective as one would first think.
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For an asteroid that might hit us in 50 years, that's not a big problem. For one that might hit us next year, that is a very big "if"
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The shock wave from ablation and thrust from the resulting plasma cloud travel opposite to the plane of the surface being ablated, not the direction the heat is coming from. They also vary dramatically depending on the material being ablated, a chunk of nickle-iron is going to react considerably differently than a piece of nitrogen ice. Unless you have a fairly smooth surface of fairly uniform material (which describes almost nothing in space) the result turns out to be pretty much unpredictable.
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Casabah howitzer. A gift from project Orion, a method of making a shaped charge nuke that channels the energy into a cone of tungsten plasma and thus achieves diffused kinetic/thermal energy transfer. We have the technology. We have had the technology since the 60s.
Re:Nuke it (Score:4, Funny)
Frankly science be damned, I'd just like to see that happening for the fun of it :D.
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Pilot selection for the mission has narrowed... (Score:5, Funny)
NASA... (Score:3)
...has been watching too many science fiction movies and not reading enough classic science fiction novels and novellas. Get Hollywood out of the scenario development.
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Kinetic energy planetary defense systems are a common theme in not only Hollywood, but in literature as well.
There is an easier solution... (Score:5, Funny)
Less about momentum transfer (Score:3)
This seems to me to be less about momentum transfer and more about what such an impact would do to the structure of the asteroid. The physics of the momentum transfer verges on trivial if the asteroid stays intact after impact. But if the asteroid breaks up after impact, or releases trapped gases, or kicks off tons (literally) of dust in an unexpected way, things get more complicated.
I think there's really fun science to be had from the Italian spacecraft, since this will be essentially excavating the asteroid, albeit in a violent way. There could be interesting new information about crater formation, and how "cohesive" the internal structure of this asteroid really is.
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It will be interesting to see the difference between the asteroid and the result of the Deep Impact comet intercept mission.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]
The Impactor's payload, dubbed the "Cratering Mass", was 100% copper, with a weight of 100 kg.[12] Including this cratering mass, copper formed 49% of total mass of the Impactor (with aluminium at 24% of the total mass);[13] this was to minimize interference with scientific measurements. Since copper was not expected to be found on a comet, scientists c
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It's about momentum transfer. They're expecting something like an 0.5mm/second change in velocity of the moonlet after impact. That'll change the period at which it orbits around the asteroid and we'll be able to measure that.
"a decade or two" (Score:2)
*ba-dum TISS*
Favorite punch line of the week, right there. :)
forceful or subtle? (Score:2)
>DART will forcefully impact the smaller asteroid
>DART will pioneer a subtler form of planetary defense
>the mission will crash into Dimorphos at about seven kilometers per second
At 7km/s I'm going with forceful, not subtle.
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At the scales of mass it's more like a dragonfly colliding with a human walking across the yard. You might slow down 0.5 mm/second (the desired result of the experiment) but you probably wouldn't consider the impact "forceful" unless it hit you in the eye. For the dragonfly (or DART) it's a bit more impactful (pun intended).
Mormon (Score:2)
Well, momentum transfer is bound to work, but... (Score:2)
While momentum transfer is bound to work, I don't think you can depend on an asteroid holding together against a strong shock. It would be much better to use a low impact landing, and then keep running the rocket engine to do the momentum transfer. And even if they get this to work on one asteroid, that doesn't prove anything about all the rest. Some asteroids are expected to be degenerate comet heads that have evaporated all their gases. In that case the asteroid is basically a ruble-pile, and if you g
Oh, please, please... (Score:2)
..please, please, PLEASE make it shaped like a giant fist!
Oh, and these guys MUST have grown up watching Tranzor Z and totally stole the idea.
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Sixteen years ago, Deep Impact was intended to excavate material from the interior of a comet. DART intends to measure the result of a kinetic impact on the orbital path of an asteroid. Similar mission plans but different goals.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]
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Yes, it would be possible to deflect a body into an Earth crossing orbit. Hard to do deliberately and very unlikely to happen accidentally. As long as the impactor had the Earth in it's metaphorical rear view mirror, it's almost impossible.
It didn't end well for Uranus. And I'm not talking about the jokes.