What Is Going On With the AstraZeneca/Oxford Vaccine? 340
A whole list of countries -- including Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Sweden and Latvia -- have suspended dosing of the AstraZeneca/Oxford vaccine over reports of dangerous blood clots in some recipients. The company and international regulators say there is no evidence the shot is to blame, but that isn't stopping countries from taking action out of an abundance of caution. Derek Lowe, a medical chemist working in the pharmaceutical industry, explains what's going on with this vaccine: I think that there are several distinct levels to this problem. The first, obviously, is medical. The big question is, are the reports of vascular problems greater than one would expect in the vaccinated population as a whole? It's not clear to me what the answer is, and it may very well be "No, they aren't." That CNBC link above quotes Michael Head at Southampton as saying that the data so far look like the problems show up at at least the same levels, and may even be lower in the vaccinated group. AstraZeneca has said that they're aware of 15 events of deep vein thrombosis and 22 events pulmonary embolisms, but that's in 17 million people who have had at least one shot -- and they say that is indeed "much lower than would be expected to occur naturally in a general population of this size." It also appears to be similar to what's been seen with the other coronavirus vaccines, which rather than meaning "they're all bad" looks like they're all showing the same baseline signal of such events across a broad population, without adding to it.
In that case, this could be an example of what I warned about back in December (and many others have warned about as well), the post hoc ergo propter hoc "false side effects" problem. I've been looking this morning, and so far have not found anyone clearly stating that the problems seen are running higher in the vaccinated patients [...]. I realize that there's a possibility (not a likely one, though) that some particular batch of vaccine is more problematic, but I haven't seen any solid evidence of that, either.
The second half of the medical problem is naturally what happens when you suspend dosing of what is, in many cases in the EU, the only vaccine available. We've been seeing cases falling here in the US ever since a peak on the first week of January -- many of us were worried about what might have been a rise in February but which now just seems to have been a plateau, with cases continuing to drop since then. But many European countries are definitely seeing another wave of infections, and the EU case numbers as a whole are going in the opposite direction to the US ones. There are surely a lot of reasons for this, with new viral variants being one, slow vaccine rollouts being another, and now complete vaccination halts set to add even more. Put as bluntly as possible, even if the AZ/Oxford vaccine has these side effects (which again, I don't see any evidence for yet), you are still very likely to kill more people by not giving it. Lowe goes on to question what good the EMA and World Health Organization's recommendations and regulatory approvals are when one European country after another shuts down its use.
He also brings up the third problem, which is public confidence. "The AZ/Oxford vaccine has been in trouble there since the day the first data came out," writes Lowe. "The efficacy numbers looked lower than the other vaccines that had reported by then, and as mentioned, the presentation of the data was really poorly handled and continued to be so for weeks. Now with these dosing suspensions, I have to wonder if this vaccine is ever going to lose the dark cloud it's currently sitting under..."
In that case, this could be an example of what I warned about back in December (and many others have warned about as well), the post hoc ergo propter hoc "false side effects" problem. I've been looking this morning, and so far have not found anyone clearly stating that the problems seen are running higher in the vaccinated patients [...]. I realize that there's a possibility (not a likely one, though) that some particular batch of vaccine is more problematic, but I haven't seen any solid evidence of that, either.
The second half of the medical problem is naturally what happens when you suspend dosing of what is, in many cases in the EU, the only vaccine available. We've been seeing cases falling here in the US ever since a peak on the first week of January -- many of us were worried about what might have been a rise in February but which now just seems to have been a plateau, with cases continuing to drop since then. But many European countries are definitely seeing another wave of infections, and the EU case numbers as a whole are going in the opposite direction to the US ones. There are surely a lot of reasons for this, with new viral variants being one, slow vaccine rollouts being another, and now complete vaccination halts set to add even more. Put as bluntly as possible, even if the AZ/Oxford vaccine has these side effects (which again, I don't see any evidence for yet), you are still very likely to kill more people by not giving it. Lowe goes on to question what good the EMA and World Health Organization's recommendations and regulatory approvals are when one European country after another shuts down its use.
He also brings up the third problem, which is public confidence. "The AZ/Oxford vaccine has been in trouble there since the day the first data came out," writes Lowe. "The efficacy numbers looked lower than the other vaccines that had reported by then, and as mentioned, the presentation of the data was really poorly handled and continued to be so for weeks. Now with these dosing suspensions, I have to wonder if this vaccine is ever going to lose the dark cloud it's currently sitting under..."
Politics (Score:2, Interesting)
There's probably nothing major wrong with the AZ vaccine. It's already shown to be less effective, and it's got known flu-like side effects for a few days after application for some proportion of people (incidentally, lots of people seem to report 2AM cold sweats - could that be when the 5G chip activation takes place? ;-))
However, all that said, the real reason behind all of this is that it's broadly "British". The UK government has been a bit funny about exports, and Brexit of course looms large over us.
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What's interesting is when you compare how different countries are doing their vaccines. The UK has vaccinated far more people (26m; ~40%) than other EU countries, but that's only the first dose. When you look a the number of poeple who have received both doses, the UK has only managed about 2.4% of its population.
Source: https://www.euronews.com/2021/... [euronews.com]
I guess this can be explained in two ways. First, UK policy was to get as many people with a single dose as soon as possible. Second, other vaccines appear
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The problem is it shouldn't be about politics.
The problem is as a culture our understanding of Science is very remedial, as well our ability to really weigh risks is idiotic.
We live in a world of uncertainty and risk. How we deal with uncertainty and risk is what can really define us as a culture.
There are so many people who think Science is just a collection of facts where it is just a formal way of asking questions, and seeing if the answers could be true.
We are so bad at risks we both at the same time o
What do you mean "Whats going on?" (Score:5, Insightful)
Apparently the person who wrote this has paid zero attention to the last year. Humans are reactive. Humans act based on fear and emotion. Science is only science to most people when it matches their world view.
My only question is, "When will the COVID fear porn stop?" Or maybe the better question is, "What will usurp the COVID story?"
--
We can easily forgive a child who is afraid of the dark; the real tragedy of life is when men are afraid of the light. - Plato
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The governments that made the decision to put AZ on hold were being advised by scientists.
So either the scientists said hold it, or the politicians decided to against their advice. Going against the scientific advice could look bad when each country comes to review its response, usually through some kind of public enquiry.
Either there is some data we aren't seeing that has lead scientists to a temporary pause for further investigation, or politicians are being overly cautious. My guess is the former, and in
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Plenty of other "scientists" are saying the complete opposite. Perhaps your absolute faith in credentialism is the problem? Some of us are capable of thinking for ourselves.
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Plenty of other "scientists" are saying the complete opposite
And who of them were involved in evaluating the problem?
An educated guess is one thing, I like to do that all the time. But analyzing the real problem having the real data is completely different.
Germany has a delievery problem with vaccines. Do you really think it was an easy decision, uninformed, knee jerk, to suspend one vaccine for now?
And that for 7 countries? The rest of the EU probably soon to follow?
Re:What do you mean "Whats going on?" (Score:5, Insightful)
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I haven't investigated personally, what I'm saying is that governments appoint scientific advisors whose job is to digest and present the science. Often that means explaining the various views of the scientific community, and how they should be weighted.
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I'm not blaming Europeans for the phenomena but it seems very likely that the recent conflict w
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Have you got any evidence that the hold was recommended by scientists in those countries?
Yes.
Next question?
Well, my question would be: how stupid are you?
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No, what I'm saying is that the way it is supposed to be done is based on advice from scientific advisors. It is possible that politicians didn't take any, or ignored the advice they were given, but doing so will come back on them later.
I doubt it has anything to do with brexit. The EU was momentarily thinking of breaking international law just to get their hands on more AZ vaccine. Also the EU itself has recommended that they keep administering AZ, it's individual countries that have decided to pause.
Re:What do you mean "Whats going on?" (Score:5, Insightful)
People's emotions are not responsive to statistics, so they can be frightened by things that are so improbable it's like planning your life around winning the lottery. But on the *flip* side, people can also be insensitive to risks that are high enough that they should rationally modify their behavior. They're worried about satantic cults kidnapping their children, but they don't wear their seat belts.
Some people are afraid of the vaccine, but not particularly afraid of COVID. That's ass-backwards. By now it's clear that serious side effects with the approved vaccines are extremely rare, but there's good reason to be concerned about COVID. Last year it was the leading cause of death in the US [jamanetwork.com] -- you were 8x as likely to be killed by COVID-19 as in a car accident. We're getting much better at managing serious cases so your death risk *now* is probably lower, but about 10% of COVID infections result in unpleasant sequelae that last for months -- so called "long-haul covid".
Whether or not you're afraid is neither here nor there; it's how you should rationally alter your behavior because of COVID-19. Most reasonable people aren't *afraid* of car accidents, but they do wear their seatbelts. I'm continuing to social distance and I'm going to get the vaccine as soon as I can, not because I'm afraid, but because those things are rational given the current conditions.
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well car crashes don't care if you're young or old, and many younger people do know they aren't very likely to die or even suffer greatly from Corona. it's "reasonable" in the most egoistical sense of the word, but sadly it's still reasonable.
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Most (or all?) cases in Germany affect young women. In total it is less than ten, forgot the correct number.
So: if you are a young woman, and know you have a 1 in a million chance to die to stroke if you take the vaccine, are you gonna take it?
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You're being obtuse and incorrect.
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Not obtuse, gullible.
There are no *scientific* or *epidemiological* sources that claim that COVID death rates are orders of magnitude lower, although of course they argue about the last significant digits in the figure. It's politicians who are behind this message that COVID deaths are massively over-reported, and people believe politicians because, unlike scientists, politicians tell them what they want to believe.
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Apparently the person who wrote this has paid zero attention to the last year. Humans are reactive. Humans act based on fear and emotion. Science is only science to most people when it matches their world view.
My only question is, "When will the COVID fear porn stop?" Or maybe the better question is, "What will usurp the COVID story?"
You poke fun of those not paying attention, and then ask these questions?
We're still in the middle of a global pandemic. Needless to say, it's kind of a big deal, and we probably shouldn't be looking to "usurp" that anytime soon, unless you feel like being purposely dismissive to the ongoing issue at hand affecting the globe.
And this isn't COVID fear porn necessarily. Watching a dozen countries develop vaccines in record time and then force-feed that onto the masses...there is some naturally understandabl
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I feel a big part of the problem of Science only is followed when it matches peoples world view is how we deal with explaining it, and the education around science.
For most people you are going to expect an 8th grade level of education of general science. (as in high school and up, they break into different disciplines, Biology, Chemistry, Physics, Geology... In which you would expect a High School Graduate to only take some of those classes. For those who go to college and even if they study one of the
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Yeah, fuck everyone who decided that taking measures to protect people by not spreading a deadly disease is more important than completely ignoring the existence and spread of a deadly fucking disease. Bunch of losers.
Re:What do you mean "Whats going on?" (Score:5, Insightful)
I have an exercise for you. Please turn off CNN/MSNBC or any talking head panels you may read or watch. Please take a good look at the CDC data. Please compare that to other respiratory diseases across age groups and fitness levels. Please then explain to all of us why your way of thinking about is the only way to think and the "right" way for all of us.
It seems like you're still not getting it after a year. Gyms and schools are closed because even if covid won't kill the the young people (it will, at lower rates, but let's assume that), those people will spread the infection in close quarters and then infect their older friends and relatives elsewhere. Maybe you should turn off Fox/OAN for a moment.
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But my mask gave me covid!
"We live in a state... my human rights!" [youtube.com]
Re:What do you mean "Whats going on?" (Score:4, Insightful)
Exactly this. It's amazing to me that some people expect us to believe that some way, some how, the same kids and schools that are well known year after year for being major vectors of anything and everything going around somehow don't transmit COVID.
People who believe little Johnny will be scarred for life if he does a year of school by internet but he'll be just fine if he gives Grandma COVID and she dies.
Re:What do you mean "Whats going on?" (Score:5, Insightful)
Please compare that to other respiratory diseases across age groups and fitness levels.
Sure. Note that US normally the US has between 30,000 and 60,000 flu deaths in a year, and you just passed 500,000 COVID deaths in about the same time. My Canadian province had 45 flu deaths in 2018-2019, and we just passed 900 COVID deaths.
Surely you saw the hospitals overflowing in Italy and New York. My province normally has 80 ICU beds in total, and at one point in December we had 140 ICU patients. The doctors and nurses to staff the extra beds came from suspending all elective surgeries, which are now many, many months behind.
And the only reason the numbers for COVID are as low as they are is because we made massive changes to our lives to keep them that way.
Quite frankly anyone who compares COVID to flu must be living under a rock. They should stay there and let the adults fix the problem.
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Aren't all diseases deadly?
No, they are not.
statistics (Score:3, Informative)
Re:statistics (Score:4, Insightful)
You can't blame countries for being cautious when AstraZeneca has been indemnified [reuters.com] for all such negative reactions to the vaccine.
It's not just about percentages. When some of the deaths are healthy, young healthcare workers [www.fhi.no] there's reason to suspect something might be going on, like an adverse combination with another drug. Whether whatever that is is serious enough to stop vaccination with it is another matter.
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When some of the deaths are healthy, young healthcare workers
Young, healthy healthcare workers got get DVT before COVID. DVT just happens to a certain percentage of people. Yes, there are risk factors that make it more likely, but it can happen to anyone.
To move on to suspecting something might be going on, you'd have to show that the rate of DVT post-vaccine is significantly higher, and so far that has not been shown.
IMO, this is some governments looking for cover for their slow vaccination rates. "We were just being cautious about this new vaccine" sounds a lot
Re:statistics (Score:4, Funny)
Deflection (Score:5, Insightful)
The answer is simple; nothing is going on with the AZ vaccine. Countries in the EU are making stuff up to deflect from the botched EU vaccine procurement program.
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The answer is simple; nothing is going on with the AZ vaccine. Countries in the EU are making stuff up to deflect from the botched EU vaccine procurement program.
So they're trying to distract from slow vaccination progress by... slowing down the vaccination process even more? Makes sense!
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Ursula von der Leyen threatens to block vaccine exports to UK. [youtu.be] "The European Union has threatened to restrict vaccine exports to the UK to "make sure Europeans are vaccinated as soon as possible".
Meanwhile, Australia, which would actually like to get these vaccines, is being blocked as well. The EU displayed its incompetence for all to see, and just keeps digging the hole deeper. Rails against nationalism and protectionism, while engaging in the exact same behavior itself. If only there were some way fo
Re:Deflection (Score:5, Informative)
You are quite wrong. The EU negotiated as a block.
Re:Deflection (Score:5, Informative)
An opt in program that everyone opted into.
They also didn't get a better price than the UK. The UK realized that production is going to be an issue and deliberately paid a higher price to AZ so they would setup new production facilities in the UK, from which the first 100 million doses would be destined for the UK. That is now looking like a smart option. The EU left it entirely down to the manufacturers to sort out the supply that is looking like a dumb option now.
This forms part of the angst of the EU. Their contract says that AZ will use production facilities in the UK to help fulfil their order. Which in due course they will once the 100 million doses for the UK have been delivered. However when there where problems with the production in the EU, the EU got very "upset" that AZ would not break their contract with the UK to supply the missing doses in their "best effort" contract with the EU.
As such they are behind where they should be and have been making a number of unscientific decisions about the use of the AZ vaccine. Of which the pause for blood clots is but one.
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And I know a lot of folks don't want to hear this, but you can thank Brexit.
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Rubbish. The EU program was opt in and the UK had it still been in the EU could simply not have opted in. Consequently it could have done what it did within regards vaccine procurement from within the EU if it had still been in the EU and had chosen to do so.
TL;BR Brexit made zero difference, something a lot of Brexitiers don't want to hear.
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> Their contract says that AZ will use production facilities in the UK to help fulfil their order.
No it doesn't.
They published the contract here: https://ec.europa.eu/commissio... [europa.eu] minus a few commercial terms.
Please point out any part that says AZ will use production facilities in the UK.
To be clear, AZ would be allowed to use facilities in the UK, but there is no requirement to do so. Only the production facilities in the EU are guaranteed to be used to fulfill EU orders.
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Clause 5.4 in conjunction with 6.2 would be the one you are looking for.
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That not correct. The EU invested over 300 million Euros into manufacturing facilities to help AZ produce more doses, which they understandably felt they should have first dibs on. The EU invested more than the UK did.
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Seen absolutely no reference to that reported anywhere in the press. Anyway they didn't pay for the additional production facilities in the UK, the UK paid for that.
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But there was a "solidarity agreement" in place, whereby the countries of the EU agreed that nobody could start vaccinating until everybody had secured a supply. The theory was that if they didn't do that, Germany would buy up all the vaccines and the likes of Slovenia would have to go unvaccinated until the Germans were finished; which might be fair enough, but as a consequence, millions of people who could have been vaccinated earlier weren't, because the speed of the rollout was determined by the least e
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The EU was simply incompetent when it came to the vaccine program. While Israel paid top dollar and got their vaccines first, the EU negotiated for months to get the lowest price (and thus they're last in line). When they realized how they screwed up, they tried to close the Northern Ireland border to stop vaccines from getting into the UK! This really happened!
Brexit is definitely looking like the right move was made. Being shackled to the blundering mandarins of the EU is a mistake. Having a common
Re:Deflection (Score:4, Interesting)
That is utter rubbish. The EU is running a collective vaccine procurement program. From the horses mouth
https://ec.europa.eu/info/live... [europa.eu]
It has been all over the news now for over a month about problems of supply with he Oxford AstraZeneca vaccine to the EU. As soon as that happened countries in the EU started first saying it was no good in the over 65's which they quickly had to row back on when the data from the UK clearly showed it was effective in the over 65's.
A whole bunch of EU countries have now suspended it's use with no medical justification whatsoever, and will no doubt have to row back on that in due course.
These "alleged" problems are a deflection from the borked EU vaccine procurement program and ar purely political.
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Read the fucking link from the EU I provided you dip shit. The EU is absolutely running a collective vaccine procurement program, it's right there in the link. There is links to the fucking redacted contracts you lying moron.
A number of EU countries did indeed say the vaccine was ineffective in the over 65's. So lets provide a link for dip shit fucking liars
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/559... [bbc.co.uk]
You get millions of people to come in and sit down on a chair for 15 minutes you will find some of them die soon after
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Hint: I live in the EU.
You have our sympathies but do try and fucking educate yourself before calling people liars here, especially when they posted direct proof of their point and you failed to even reference it.
That is a result from the company making the trials.
No, it is not. That was a shitty made up report in Handelsblatt, repeated by German politicians then by Macron.
I'm not even in the fucking EU and I'm better informed than you. Which goes back to my earlier point.
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I know it's the Daily Mail but
You said it. It's the Daily Heil.
One of the things that's left a lot of folks in the UK scratching their heads is the actually-smart response of our Government to the COVID-19 pandemic in regards to vaccines. They immediately threw money at several vaccine developers and signed contracts to buy hundreds of millions of doses long before any sort of efficacy or trials data was on the horizon. The result is that the UK is now receiving delivery of the vaccines they pre-ordered
Nobody wants to stick their neck out (Score:5, Insightful)
Death is a sad thing, no question about it.
No vaccine in the history of the world is without some side effects for some people. As the the fine summary alludes, the likelihood of death is greater without the vaccine than it is with the vaccine.
However, the likelihood of death is a statistical issue; death itself is a personal issue. If someone who is otherwise healthy and is "very low risk" in terms of COVID mortality dies from the COVID vaccine, some would consider this an "avoidable tragedy' and it could be traction on social media.
And therein lies the problem. Social media brings issues that otherwise wouldn't be heard into the mainstream. We seem to cheer and revere risks that others take but are only interested in "outsourcing" risks for ourselves. And, because society is so interested in avoiding death we have too little understanding of how to deal with death. More importantly, we don't really know how to deal with life in a rational and mature manner.
Too many people lack the critical thinking skills and this forces politicians to think on our behalf. Develop a vaccine rapidly because the pandemic looks bad; now that we have a vaccine, question it's value based on small sample of cases out of a million doses; meanwhile the death rate and case rates are plummeting presumably because said vaccine has made a difference.
Death sucks, but it's inevitable, after all: life is the leading cause of death. Enjoy life while you can, make the most of what you can. Life has risks - think critically about what matters and be sure to spend some time each day enjoying those things.
Re:Nobody wants to stick their neck out (Score:4, Insightful)
"the likelihood of death is greater without the vaccine than it is with the vaccine"
There was some reporting last night on PBS (PBS Newshour?). They interviewed someone who said that the incidence of blood clots should actually be *higher* than what was reported due to the number of people who had been vaccinated so far.
And if there had only been 35 incidents, for the number of people vaccinated so far that it actually meant that the incidence of blood clots was reduced by taking the vaccine. I think she said/suggested she would've expected 10x that number.
But she also said that not all data is public, so maybe there's something else that the countries were making their decisions on that she wasn't privy to.
I don't know how she normalized the data (you wouldn't want to use the annual rate if all of the clotting was within a week of the shot), nor if they compared it to the rate at which people who got COVID experienced blood clots, as there were reports that it was one of the complications [harvard.edu].
Re:Nobody wants to stick their neck out (Score:4, Insightful)
Might be more accurate to say "and this forces politicians to decide for us." No, there's not all that much evidence that the politicians think "on our behalf". They think on "their behalf". And their thoughts are usually some variant of "I wanna be elected!"
No, in general, politicians do not have your best interests at heart, except insofar as "your best interests" coincides with "I wanna be (re)elected".
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Might be more accurate to say "and this forces politicians to decide for us." No, there's not all that much evidence that the politicians think "on our behalf". They think on "their behalf". And their thoughts are usually some variant of "I wanna be elected!"
No, in general, politicians do not have your best interests at heart, except insofar as "your best interests" coincides with "I wanna be (re)elected".
Fair enough.
Given too many people lack critical thinking skills, they vote because of what our politicians say, instead of what they actually do.
Germany..... (Score:2, Interesting)
I hate to suggest it, but lacking statistical evidence one must search for other reasons the vaccine was pulled. I have little doubt that some lobbying took place behind the scenes with some 'data' presente
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Britain pissing off Germany with Brexit didn't help either, I'd imagine.
This could be.
It could also be a case of liability: no-one wants to forge ahead when there was a death that could-maybe-possibly be tied to something someone within AZ maybe-possibly-could-have-known somewhere along the way.
The death rate by vaccine is at least a couple orders of magnitude lower than the death rate without. It's as though no-one seems to care about the lives saved when there is a single death caused by the same solution. It's not rational...
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but lacking statistical evidence one must search for other reasons the vaccine was pulled.
That's a lot of words for "here's my conspiracy theory bullshit". Lacking evidence, one doesn't have a conclusion. Inconclusive is still a valid state to be in until more evidence is gathered. I haven't the slightest clue as to why people can't just fucking accept "we don't have enough information at this time" as a completely valid answer so long as more information is being gathered. Why people just have to start making up bullshit to fill in the missing blanks is something I just have never seen as s
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Forming a hypothesis without having much data is part of this thing called "science". Then the hypothesis can be tested as data is collected.
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The most likely explanation, when all else is ruled out, is usually the truth. The most likely explanation is that someone applied some pressure to the politicians, or the politicians were trying to curry favor with someone. Since it's unli
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Oh cut the bullshit your hypothesis isnt rational. The far simpler and therefore more likely explanation is there is some data we have; maybe which has not been made public yet in case it proves incorrect.
If it was pulled for some other reason than real-science-based-concern a not insignificant number of people will be sicked with covid who might have avoided it and be maimed or killed as a result. - The politics of that would be career ending. Look at Andrew Cuomo, right now prominent Democrats are fanning
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Oh cut the bullshit your hypothesis isnt rational. The far simpler and therefore more likely explanation is there is some data we have; maybe which has not been made public yet in case it proves incorrect.
If it was pulled for some other reason than real-science-based-concern a not insignificant number of people will be sicked with covid who might have avoided it and be maimed or killed as a result. - The politics of that would be career ending.
There are no rational options remaining.
What is in the public domain is pure nonsense.
If they know something not in the public domain and are conspiring to keep it from the public that is just as bad and just as unlikely as the alternatives. A whole lot of people are going to be pissed and lose confidence when they find out.
Macron's straight up lies about AZ literally a few hours before EU announced approval is more evidence of a political conspiracy than any public domain evidence supporting delaying AZ r
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The most likely explanation, when all else is ruled out, is usually the truth.
‘When all else is ruled out’ is a bit wider than invalidating ONE possible reason.
This isn't pseudo-science. It's logic and deduction.
This certainly isn’t logic and deduction. Maybe on a TV show, but not in the real world.
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Germany was the first company to pull the vaccine. They did so in spite of the data. So if the data wasn't the driver, then what was?
Public opinion. The politicians have to protect their phoney bologna... or is that phona baloney? Anyway, their jobs. So if lots of people think there's a problem with the vaccine, they have to look like they're taking their concerns seriously. Once they make a small hullabaloo about how much they care they'll start distribution again.
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Germany was the first company to pull the vaccine. They did so in spite of the data.
Since this is not true, the rest of your comment is nonsensical speculating based on false data.
The first contry to temporarily stop using the AstraZenaca vaccine was Denmark, then Norway and Iceland. On sunday Netherlands and Ireland decided the same. Followed later by Spain, Italy, France and Germany on monday.
Re:Germany..... (Score:5, Informative)
That's not correct. Austria was the first, followed by Ireland.
The easiest target (Score:5, Interesting)
It might be some kind of disinformation campaign based on the impression seeded into the populace with previous disinformation campaigns:
"COVID-19 sounds harmless enough/is a hoax, but _deep vein trombosis_ and _pulmonary embolisms_ will kill you"
As for Romania, only two affected lots/batches were quarantined (one after 61,000 or so inoculations out of 100,300 of doses in one lot/batch).
There were prior reports of other issues - uncontrollable shivering lasting from minutes to half a day or so, light to severe allergic reactions, ... None of them had a horrible enough name, able to suggest impending doom.
(all this campaign is addressed to the people whose medical education is limited to hearsay - i.e. my grandmother/... died of a blood clot).
Also, countries that suspended Astra Zeneca vaccines are preparing for elections.
And Astra Zeneca is the easiest target, after failing to meet promised delivery rates.
The Political Answer (Score:5, Insightful)
Not to be a cynic, but it may help to consider the following facts:
I don't think it's a huge reach to say that EU officials have an incentive to "prove" that the AZ vaccine isn't actually safe, and therefore that its delay (and the resulting deaths) are therefore not their fault; they were just exercising due caution.
This is not to say that they're wrong, necessarily, just that they have good reason to want to believe that there's a problem with AZ.
Re: (Score:3)
Re:The Political Answer (Score:4, Informative)
Admittedly, it's more like 2.4% of the population, but as you say, nowhere close to the 40% that people like to bandy about. What's interesting is the vaccine snobbery coming out. People are apparently saying they only want the vaccine.
One upshot of the ridiculous vaccine jingoisim is that two colleagues who were vocally opposed to having a Covid vaccine (not vaccines in general) both have had their first dose. The moment the UK was ahead of the EU in vaccinations meant that vaccinating the population was a good thing.
Source: https://www.euronews.com/2021/... [euronews.com]
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The trouble with that reasoning is that, at least in the short term, most of the benefits of these vaccinations come from the first dose. The second dose seems to provide a slight boost to effectiveness and probably improves long-term immunity, but based on what we currently know getting the first vaccine dose to as many people as possible is the number one priority. So the only reason to only count people who've been given both doses is for political reasons, to justify bad strategic decisions by certain c
Re: (Score:3)
"I don't think it's a huge reach to say that EU officials have an incentive to "prove" that the AZ vaccine isn't actually safe"
What is that incentive? What do they gain?
A few additional details seems to be prudent. (Score:5, Informative)
First of all, I'm eagerly awaiting vaccination, and would probably accept the AZ vaccine if offered to me.
However, comments here seem to downplay and be misinformed about what's going on. First you have the idea that this is an EU thing. Norway, who provided quite a bit of data on this is not even an EU member, but a member of the EEA.
Second, the interesting thing is that most of the cases is deep vein thrombosis in combination with low blood platelet counts. According to the experts at Rikshospitalet in Oslo, this is so rare that several of the blood clot experts there have never even seen the combination before. Now they've seen it 4+ times in short order, all in people who has received the AZ vaccine during the last 14 days.
This seems to be a common pattern among the patients. Low platelet count + sudden blood clots, right after the vaccine. From the information available, there doesn't seem to be a history of health problems neither - at least in Norway - the AZ vaccine was mostly given to healthcare professionals here.
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Denmark has reported at least one case of the same combination.
https://www.reuters.com/articl... [reuters.com]
I'm not sure if we and the Danes got vaccines from the same batch or not.
Now, it's indeed an interesting question whether there is other factors at play here, but it's worth mentioning that the patients were not at the same facility. Given that they were from the same batch (or so I believe) - they might have been mishandled before they were distributed across the country. I do, however, find that rather unlike
It's also disinformation and bad publicity... (Score:3, Insightful)
On one hand, there's that issue where Oxford-AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine was supposed to be public domain - but then Bill Gates' foundation urged them NOT to do that. [khn.org]
Yeah, that's not a good look...
THEN... on top of that... Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine has been heavily targeted by Russian propaganda.
There were at least two discussions on that topic here on slashdot in the past months.
One back in October, when it became obvious that Russians were doing it, [slashdot.org] and another in February, when it became obvious that Russian disinformation operation continued on, is in fact much wider and at the same time promotes Russian vaccine. [slashdot.org]
Which is in fact the one everyone should be vary of.
And I'm not even talking about how Russia pretended they have no Covid-19 cases, only extremely high numbers of pneumonia.
Or how it was rushed through the trials just so it could be "first ever Covid-19 vaccine", [cnbc.com] even naming it Sputnik V because once upon a time Soviets managed to catapult a radio into orbit.
There are potential issues with all vaccines based on adenoviral vectors. [wikipedia.org]
Mainly that Ad5-based vaccine "could similarly increase the risk of HIV-1 acquisition among men who receive the vaccine" - and that "the human body develops immunity to the vector itself, making subsequent booster shots difficult or impossible."
And while some vaccines are Ad5-based and others are Ad26-based (Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine uses replication-deficient chimpanzee adenovirus vaccine vector (ChAdOx1))... Sputnik-V uses BOTH Ad26 and Ad5 vectors.
I.e. Not only does it burn out not one but two future vaccines - it also (possibly) boosts your chances of getting AIDS.
Hey... You remember that article in The Lancet [thelancet.com] about the efficiency of Sputnik-V?
Well I do,* [slashdot.org] and it's a-ma-zing!
Primarily cause it was NOT from some third-party impartial research source - it was written and paid for by Putin's cronies.
Funding
Moscow City Health Department, Russian Direct Investment Fund, Sberbank, and RUSAL.
Head of the RDIF, Kirill Dmitriev, is LITERALLY what that Slashdot story back when was about - dude's been pushing propaganda which claims that Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine turns people into monkeys. [thetimes.co.uk]
He is also in a close personal relationship to Putin, his wife being a pal and employee of Putin's daughter. [wikipedia.org]
Sberbank, Russian bank still under US sanctions (among other sanctions [wikipedia.org]) was until 2016 under leadership of Putin's close FSB pal, Sergei Gorkov. [wikipedia.org]
Since he moved to even greener pastures, after among other things funding Dumpeacho's Pageant in Moscow, bank was taken over by another one of Putin's cut-outs between him and Dumpeacho, Herman Gref. [fortune.com]
RUSAL... well...
Naah... (Score:2)
That bit with all the sources and science... kinda makes it not "hysteria". But it is nice for you to out yourself there.
In fact, if anything, Russian vaccine will be costing people lives once the virus returns with a new mutation - and now they can't get the vaccine cause they've been vaccinated against the vaccine.
Or when some other pandemic comes along.
And had you actually read what I wrote, you'd notice that Russian vaccine is not the only one that uses adenoviral vectors.
I.e. Other vaccines will also m
Countries with Anti-Vaxxers running health policy (Score:2)
Austria, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Romania, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden
Hopefully decision makers in all of these countries are held accountable for their (lack of) judgement.
Sadly, irrational like nuke power fear (Score:3)
The anti-direct genetic manipulation, or pushing organic, hails from europe.
The push to stop agw (awesome), is slowed down by ending the irrational fears over in germany. Oddly, they have the same issue as California: mass usage of just wind/solar means depending on neighbors that are running nukes and fossil fuel power plants.
Now, this fear with Az, though bioNtech has had multiple ppl die and interesting complications, after an injection. Of course, it, like the clots, is far less statistically, than the population.
Tomorrow, I finally get my vaccine (over 60 and teaching ). I purposely picked 2 shots due to effectiveness of maderna and bioNtech. however, I would have no issues with j&J or AZ.
EU cannot allow Brexit to be seen as a success (Score:3)
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Also, EU threatens to block jab exports to UK (Score:2)
I have no idea what is going on, but the EU are also playing silly buggers with contracts: "European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has threatened to block vaccine exports to the UK and other countries with markedly higher rollouts of coronavirus jabs."
https://news.sky.com/story/cov... [sky.com]
This is almost certainly just the senior EU leaders thinking they need to do something/anything, rather than a cunning plan, as their whole decision making process around vaccines seems to be a bit nuts, which has a
Paranoia anyone? (Score:2)
Seriously, blood clots are a medical condition that already affect a certain number of people.
Based on reports I was hearing about this on the news last night, 17 million people have been vaccinated and only 37 incidents of blood clots have been identified.
I am not suggesting that blood clots not serious medical concern, but 37 incidents out of a population of 17 million is actually statistically lower than the incidents of blood clots in the general population *WITHOUT* the vaccine.
If people start r
Use volunteers, stop delaying (Score:2)
Why don't they allow volunteers to take existing vaccines? The risk of blood-clots is small if there is any at all.
The stupid, lethal precautionary principle (Score:2)
Brussels treasures the precautionary principle, which is that oif there is any possibility, raised by the fringiest wackjob, that an innovation can cause harm to someone, then Europe shall not have that innovation. It's why the EU can't have up-to-date food technology, and why only one EU country can generate its own energy.
Assume for the sake of argument that every one of the observed blood clots is a side effect of the AZ vaccine. Is letting thousands of additional people die of Covid and keeping whole ec
We don't understand risk anymore (Score:5, Informative)
AstraZeneca has said that they're aware of 15 events of deep vein thrombosis and 22 events pulmonary embolisms, but that's in 17 million people who have had at least one shot
Even if those 39 people DIED from the shot, it was still better to vaccinate the 17 million, because COVID-19 was going to kill hundreds or thousands of those 17mil people. Even suspending use of this vaccine is going to cause far more harm than good, and that's not even a debate. We don't understand how to balance risk factors in this world anymore.
Another example was my stupid, stupid home state of California suspending use of a large (330k) batch of vaccine because six...SIX... people had (gasp) an allergic reaction. At a time when hundreds of people a day were dying from COVID-19.
EU cases going up (Score:2)
We've been seeing cases falling here in the US ever since a peak on the first week of January... But many European countries are definitely seeing another wave of infections, and the EU case numbers as a whole are going in the opposite direction to the US ones.
There's a reason for this. The US never totally shut down. The pandemic was never fully contained or managed, it was just kept to a low simmer so that hospitals were not overloaded. When most everything (except in the largest of cities) opened back up in the fall, cases increased significantly over winter. Study after study has shown that those most affected by COVID are specific demographics*, and essentially it has gone through a large enough percentage of those people in the US that cases are declinin
It's not that simple (Score:4, Informative)
Here in Norway the vaccinated patients in question (two of whom died) may not be many, but they have very special lab results. They show thrombocyotopenia and central cerebral venous thrombosis (low blood platelets + big cloth in the vessels draining the brain). This is a rare bird. It's one thing to have more birds than usual at your bird feeder one morning, but if you one day have three parrots there, something is going on. This very important detail seems to be list in the media.
It makes perfects sense to pause and review as the blood cloth is question is not typical, and it's also been fatal. There is a individual emotional vs. public health perspective battle coming up over this vaccine for sure.
Re: (Score:2, Interesting)
It seems the rest of the world might well be blaming the UK for the covid chaos, all a con to sell their vaccine.
wat
This is dumb
Also dependent upon the segments chosen, the vaccine most likely needed to be updated to account for genetic changes in the virus, repeat dose required for ever and ever, each dose a new patent, mwa hah hah. Seriously.
Well, if you believe in a lizardman conspiracy or whatever, then you can believe that the reason we're not vaccinating the world whether nations can afford it or not is that we want to maintain that revenue stream. But that's ridiculous, really. The reason is that many people are stupid, and the smart people have to fight them to achieve great things.
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There's plenty of parallels with Linux vs Windows. Oxford/AZ 'open source' vaccine developed by academia and sold at cost vs BioNtech/Pfizer which stands to make both companies a lot of money. It's inevitable that AZ would be the target of corporate disinformation just like Linux was for many years at the hands of Microsoft.
Re:Politics (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Politics (Score:5, Informative)
Clearly it has more to do with the source rather than the vaccine. It seems the rest of the world might well be blaming the UK for the covid chaos, all a con to sell their vaccine.
The Oxford/Astrazeneca vaccine is being sold at cost of manufacture you fucking stupid shit, it was a term of the licence agreement from Oxford University that it be sold at cost during the current pandemic to the entire world and remain being sold at cost to poor nations for the rest of time after the pandemic is over. It's the only vaccine that is being sold at cost, everyone else is profiteering from theirs.
Re:The news media is going on (Score:5, Interesting)
There's definitely bias in the media toward stories that draw eyeballs, but once the eyeballs have been drawn the media can't do anything useful with them because with a few exceptions reporters are just as innumerate as the general public. It's the blind leading the blind.
Could there be a deep-vein-thrombosis problem with the vaccine given that people have developed DVT after getting it? Sure. Do the *numbers* suggest this? Absolutely not. In fact, my main concern is that the reported incidence of DVT in the vaccinated population is far, far *lower* than in the general population. Either the vaccine has some kind of protective effect (which I think is unlikely), or our follow-up on vaccinated people isn't as good as it should be.
Re:The news media is going on (Score:5, Insightful)
I've been seeing news stories along these lines from the moment the vaccines started being deployed:
"2 nursing home patients die within days of receiving vaccine"
"Woman who received vaccine now hospitalized with coronavirus"
At some point, somebody who received the vaccine will win the Powerball that same week. Obviously, we can conclude taking the vaccine makes you a millionaire.
Re:The news media is going on (Score:4, Informative)
This isn't even about effectiveness, it's about (supposed) side effects. We went through this with anti-vaxxers before. People reported that their kid got the MMR shot, and in the next several days began to show the first signs of autism.
It's a compelling, viscerally convincing story that falls apart when you start to dig into the numbers. About 2% of the population have some kind of autism spectrum disorder, which usually begins to show at around 12-18 months, which exactly corresponds to the period in which the first MMR shot is administered. Just by chance you'd expect quite a few cases where the first signs of autism appear within a few days of the shot.
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In fact, my main concern is that the reported incidence of DVT in the vaccinated population is far, far *lower* than in the general population.
Stop looking for causation when correlation will suffice. It's likely that people who are more attentive to their health both get vaccinated and are less likely to develop a DVT. The DVT rate in the population is not a monolithic number that applies probability equally to every person.
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I've read a number of researchers over the last few days that have made it clear that the "clotting" problem doesn't appear to be a problem at all, that there is no greater degree of clotting in those that have received the vaccines than one would expect in any population without the vaccine. In other words, blood clotting is a rare but not uncommon problem, and it does not appear any COVID vaccine is increasing the rates.
Jail the bastards! (Score:2)
Including willfully ignorant and willfully gullible people in the USA. I'm sad to say my mother is one of them: falling for BS from a "news" program that starts with an "F". The pundits gained her trust by painting a pro-evangelical view of the world that she wants to hear.
For example, they pointed out that masks don't stop viruses from flowing in and out between the fabric. That's technica
Re: (Score:2)
Err, when exactly did this set of laws exist?
News to me.
I guess perhaps if you were a medical Dr and giving fraudulent medical advice in the practice of medicine, then yes, you could be charged with fraud....but just someone spouting off opinions, that falls pretty readily under freedom of speech.
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You're missing the point. There is no need to directly filter out naked virus particles - the vast, overwhelming majority of infection is caused by viruses carried in moisture, which masks work fine to filter out a large portion of.
I'm not talking about you specifically here, but in general it makes my brain hurt that it's 2021, we're well over a year into this thing, and I still see absolute retards on forums saying "why are you dummies wearing masks, lololol, they the virus particles are smaller than the
Re: The news media is going on (Score:2)
Re:The news media is going on (Score:5, Informative)
You're repeating propaganda based on half-truths. This [cdc.gov] is their definition of a COVID-19 case. Notice that without a test, they have the limitation "In the absence of a more likely diagnosis". Also, remember that a death certificate doesn't always give a black-and-white single cause of death, hence the CDC criteria for vital records: "A death certificate that lists COVID-19 disease or SARS-CoV-2 as an underlying cause of death or a significant condition contributing to death." The CDC criteria for reporting COVID-19 is not dissimilar to their criteria for reporting other diseases, and they are understood by public health experts studying the statistics and making public health recommendations.
Re: (Score:2)
https://science.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=18472710&cid=61167770
Forget to click "Post anon" on this comment, accidentally clicked it on the other one, or forgot to edit after copying from your troll-source?