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Medicine Politics

US Pledges More Testing as Trump Hints at Aid For Workers (theguardian.com) 177

Warning that the number of coronavirus cases in the United States was expected to grow, the Trump administration on Monday evening said that testing for the virus would ramp up quickly in the coming weeks while declining to estimate how many Americans had already been tested for the virus. From a report: The evening news conference at the White House came as the stock market plunged and an increasing number of Americans wondered how the official count of virus cases in the country, still in the mid-three-figures, could remain so low despite the aggressive spread of coronavirus elsewhere. Trump addressed economic concerns, telling reporters his administration would ask Congress to pass payroll tax relief and other quick measures. He also said he was seeking help for hourly-wage workers to ensure they're "not going to miss a paycheck" and "don't get penalized for something that's not their fault."
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US Pledges More Testing as Trump Hints at Aid For Workers

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  • by Anonymous Coward

    Old people, get ready to die a little sooner than you expected

    • Old people, get ready to die a little sooner than you expected

      I think it's a dangerous assumption that this will only affect the old. There are lots of people with pre-existing lung issues, such as asthma, or damage to the lungs from wildfires. Lung damage from wildfires IS a workplace injury, since many people have breathed bad air in the workplace - the air can be bad for months after a fire ends and who can simply stop working for that long? - but one not currently covered as such to the best of my knowledge.

      A lot of people of all ages and all walks of life in th

  • by 93 Escort Wagon ( 326346 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @01:05PM (#59815528)

    How about guaranteeing the wages (up to a certain amount) of anyone who, responsibly, stays home sick?

    Uh oh, but there’s that dirty “S” word...

    • by MightyMartian ( 840721 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @01:10PM (#59815556) Journal

      It's our response where I work now that we will extend paid sick leave now to anyone who feels sick. Yes, it's going to cost the company some cash, but not nearly enough if a third or more of the staff end up getting sick, or worse, operations have to shutter. For anyone to feel that financially they have to come to work, even if they're sick (whether it's COVID-19 or some other infectious disease) is not only cruel, but utterly self-defeating.

      • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

        by Darinbob ( 1142669 )

        But in real life, many jobs will penalize you for any time off, whether it's for being sick or not. Especially with unions being as weak as they are these days. The employers don't care, they're not getting sick but it's other workers who will get sick. And employers are more concerned that someone might be faking it, or wanting to stay home because of a hangover, rather than actually being ill.

        Hourly workers in general have to work hourly to get paid, and if they have sick leave it's a very limited amount

        • There's already talk around here of ways to get around such union contracts and company policies. One such tactic is, if needed, to hire temporary workers. Of course, these "emergency workers" would be a new classification so it will be okay to pay them $8/hr instead of the $10-$12/hr starting workers would normally be paid. This cost savings would then be used as a "special fund" to offset operational costs.

          Translation: It would be sad if management couldn't get their bonuses as well as their regular paych

        • There's also the pressure that if you're home for two weeks and your employer has a temp worker filling in, that they employer might decide to keep the temp worker who's more productive and isn't whining about green phlegm.

          At some point the USA should join the civilised world and introduce worker protections. Replacing a worker for being sick is grounds for a huge fine in most countries.

      • Decided to post this as a reply to your comment so I can congratulate you en route. Too bad so few people work for such enlightened companies. Of course the obvious next question is "How long can your company afford to keep it up?"

        Next question premise: Even insurance companies MUST have profits.

        Deep question: How can ANY insurance system work for disasters like Covid-19?

        Delusional Trumpists like the lying Conway will insist there's a profit to be made in there somewhere. They are lying. Health care is NOT

      • It's our response where I work now that we will extend paid sick leave now to anyone who feels sick.

        I'm genuinely curious as to what you used sick leave for before it was extended. Did it only cover amputated limbs? Industrial accidents?

        • by tsqr ( 808554 )

          It's our response where I work now that we will extend paid sick leave now to anyone who feels sick.

          I'm genuinely curious as to what you used sick leave for before it was extended. Did it only cover amputated limbs? Industrial accidents?

          I think you're misinterpreting "extend". He doesn't mean "let people use their accrued sick leave"; he means "extend the amount of sick leave people are able to use".

          • by Falos ( 2905315 )

            I interpreted as "extend the umbrella" to reach over positions who are given no leave at all.

            I think our place did similarly - there wasn't a formal memo from HR or anything, just "we'll work with you", but it's the sort of place where they usually mean it (civic job)

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by layabout ( 1576461 )
      time for UBI in the form of a negative income tax. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]
    • by Brett Buck ( 811747 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @01:12PM (#59815562)

      How about Congress passing a law to that effect, approved by the Senate, and then signed? Trump cannot dictate what private companies have to do unilaterally, and there's no taxpayer money intended for this purpose, so it would be unfunded if the government did it in place of the companies?

            For the most part, we didn't suspend the laws of the nation *during the civil war*, and the few attempts were rebuffed as unconstitutional. Sure don't need to do it during a flu outbreak.

           

      • by Kjella ( 173770 )

        For the most part, we didn't suspend the laws of the nation *during the civil war*, and the few attempts were rebuffed as unconstitutional. Sure don't need to do it during a flu outbreak.

        They're not going to do it unless the death toll exceeds the civil war either. Nobody from upper management needs to physically be at work, all the money wants the wheels to keep turning. Most people in working age will pull through fine, it's those who are 70 and maybe could have lived until they're 90 that'll pay the price.

    • by hey! ( 33014 )

      The payroll tax relief idea is for *economic stimulus*. It's not a public health measure.

      • Because the president is more concerned about having a good economy to ensure a good re-election than the health of the citizens. The same money being given in tax cuts could be spent getting more testing kits and restaffing gutted health services.

        • by hey! ( 33014 )

          Well, the president *should* be concerned about the economy. I wasn't necessarily being critical of him by saying this is not a public health measure.

          His problem, that is to say one of his problems, is that he's already painted himself into a corner by running a trillion dollar deficit. That leaves him with little choice but to raid the social security and medicare trust funds.

          • by narcc ( 412956 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @02:43PM (#59815908) Journal

            That was by design. The goal was always to cut social security and medicare. Didn't you wonder where all the GOP deficit hawks went when we ran the deficit up to unprecedented levels? They knew that they'd get what they want.

            • First, when Republicans control the federal government, and particularly the White House, spend money like a drunken sailor and run up the US debt as far and as fast as possible. This produces three results – it stimulates the economy thus making people think that the GOP can produce a good economy, it raises the debt dramatically, and it makes people think that Republicans are the “tax-cut Santa Claus.”

              Second, when a Democrat is in the White House, scream about the national debt as loudl

        • by sjames ( 1099 )

          Perhaps he should consider that based on demographics, if covid-19 isn't contained, he will lose more voters than Bernie will.

          Perhaps he'll start tossing rolls of paper towels again.

    • That's kind of what he's proposing:

      'he was seeking help for hourly-wage workers to ensure they're "not going to miss a paycheck" and "don't get penalized for something that's not their fault."'

      The article doesn't have specifics so who knows what it actually is.

    • Uh oh, but there’s that dirty “S” word...

      It's okay, Trump's into it. He's suggesting bailouts -- I mean, financial help -- for airlines, cruise ship, and shale oil companies impacted by the Corona virus downturns and drop in oil prices. Wonder if he'd want to do all that in a non-election year? Then there's his proposal to eliminate payroll taxes through the election / end of the year -- at an estimated cost [washingtonexaminer.com] of $40B / month -- which actually only helps people *still* working, if the little it would actually help matters.

    • as soon as anyone talks about anything that benefits workers out comes the chorus of "How are you gonna pay for it?".

      And if there is the possibility that you are off in your calculations by 35 cents or more the entire plan is scrapped in favor of Status Quo.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @01:12PM (#59815568)
    There are likely hundreds of thousands of people exposed already. There will be upwards of a million exposed by the end of this week. Community spread is happening and has been since early January. The positive side of this is that the people being detected are the sickest and that the severity of the infection is much lower than initially feared when the entire group of infected people is considered; including those that never seek medical attention. The negative side is that once the current crop of infected becomes symptomatic in the next week or so and the disease gets into more assisted living and nursing homes, it will basically wipe out an entire generation of seniors. I guess another side effect of that will be the solvency of Medicare and Social Security will be better than what most experts have been predicting.
    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward
      YEP, I've been saying this since January myself. I work for a supplier whose main customer is airports. Our guys go in there, make deliveries and installations, and always come back sick. Everyone, and I mean everyone who was there in January was coughing, and it spread to the whole office (dozens), and everyone is pretty much recovered now except for one of the admins who just came down with the symptoms. The inept CDC could have ordered a million tests without FDA approval and just tested a bunch of Ameri
      • The CDC doesn't have the budget to do that unilaterally without support from the administration, and they likely don't have authority to bypass FDA either without a nod from the higher ups.

    • There are likely hundreds of thousands of people exposed already.

      If that's true, then it's great news - with just a handful of Covid deaths and hospitalizations to date, it means the disease has a very low mortality and severity rate.

      Also if you look at the official contraction rates, around 97% of people exposed showed symptoms within five days if they caught it after exposure. So we would see a ton of people sick by now if it's truly widespread. The 14 day figure for quarantine is an outlier.

      Tips to avo

      • Salt water doesn't do shit to viruses. It's effective against bacteria only.
      • by narcc ( 412956 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @02:52PM (#59815940) Journal

        The (intentional?) lack of tests has, quite obviously, kept numbers here artificially low.

        If you don't have a test to show that a patient is infected, they've just got the flu, right? Severely restrict the number of tests and you can claim victory for the wonderful response to the outbreak. KAG, right?

        • The (intentional?) lack of tests has, quite obviously, kept numbers here artificially low.

          Only detected cases. Not deaths - you can be sure that everyone who dies of "flu" currently is being looked at very carefully.

          That's what I am saying. Yes there are probably a lot more people being infected than reported, but since the death rates have not risen dramatically the mortality rate is not very high.

          It will be interesting to see what actual infection rates are like when we get more tests going (in the U.S.

        • Or to say what really happened... restrict tests to only international exposure, and you'll never detect domestic transmission. The CDC has clearly completely ceased to function.
    • But there are people who don't understand this, they fail to realize that when there are 1000 cases reported that this means usually means only those sick enough to have gone to the doctor and been tested, and there are likely 10,000 then with milder symptoms, and even more who are symptom free but who can transmit the virus. Then they're dumb enough to go and try to compare those 1000 cases to number of flu cases and declare that the flu is deadlier and more infectious.

    • ...I guess another side effect of that will be the solvency of Medicare and Social Security will be better than what most experts have been predicting.

      Your theory certainly sounds nice, but cannot get any more delusional in reality.

    • by eth1 ( 94901 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @02:04PM (#59815800)

      There are likely hundreds of thousands of people exposed already. There will be upwards of a million exposed by the end of this week. Community spread is happening and has been since early January.

      My girlfriend is a nurse, and has access to the real case information in our area. For our area (Frisco/Plano, TX), the real numbers are higher by an order of magnitude than what's being publicly reported. She lost 3 patients (immune-compromised infants) to it on Friday alone.

    • The positive side of this is that the people being detected are the sickest and that the severity of the infection is much lower than initially feared when the entire group of infected people is considered; including those that never seek medical attention.

      This is, at best, a distinction without difference in the general case and plain wrong in the specific case.

      Given that the number of deaths is a fixed, known number, if you inflate the number of cases in an effort to reduce the fatality rate, what you've actually done is reduce the likelihood that any infected person will die by increasing the likelihood that any given person will get infected. It's a wash. You're robbing Peter (the transmissivity rate) to pay Paul (the fatality rate). Whether you (magicall

    • Is there some reference for this "10 times as many are asymptomatic carriers" line? Some diseases have a lot of asymptomatic carriers, others don't. I don't think we even know this number for this particular disease. On the flip side, we do have some symptomatic people who have had their contacts tracked, isolated, and tested and they didn't get sick or only a small number did. I think claiming things are super bad when they aren't is downright dangerous because it discourages people from doing what the
    • If it were that many why aren't hospitals overflowing and makeshift football field hospitals filling up?
      I hope you are right.

    • by msevior ( 145103 )

      Yes. I agree. Here in Australia, the USA is now close to our biggest source of infection. Based on the number we've seen and the number of travellers coming from the USA, implies around 0.03% of the population in the USA has it as of 5 days ago. That comes to 90,000 cases.

  • Good strategy (Score:5, Insightful)

    by phantomfive ( 622387 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @01:19PM (#59815598) Journal
    The idea to cut payroll tax is a good one...it uses a crisis to give Republicans what they want anyway (he didn't say a temporary payroll cut), and if Democrats oppose it, they can be blamed for coronavirus and the recession.
    • That would be funny if it wasn't true.

    • by BenBoy ( 615230 )
      Exactly that. And later, the complaint will be: "OMG, social security and medicare are bankrupt. Gummint is always the problem, not the solution, etc."
    • I'm not sure that Republicans do want this, it seems to be mostly Trump (probably because he thinks it will boost his reelection chances). From what I see, other Republicans are waffling on it: trying to balance their disdain for Keynesian-style stimulus with the fact that openly opposing it would mean taking Trump's cock out of their mouths.

      Also: it's a tax cut, which they generally like, but the payroll tax is regressive. That's not the kind of tax cut that they generally go for, though it depends on h
      • Payroll tax goes both ways: you and I have to pay part of it, but companies have to pay part of it, too. So it has a regressive part, and a part that companies want to get rid of.

        BTW: after that, social security becomes an unfunded liability.
    • by gtall ( 79522 )

      Trillion Dollar deficits as far as the eye can see, that was the result of the last tax giveaway. A more reasonable expense would be health care for workers that have none. Republicans would rather die with their money than let that happen.

  • what? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by thaylin ( 555395 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @01:34PM (#59815658)

    He assured us already there was enough kits to test everyone who needed it, so why is there need for more?

  • News (Score:5, Informative)

    by JBMcB ( 73720 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @01:39PM (#59815670)

    Get your news about COIVD-19 from here:

    https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru... [cdc.gov]

    They aren't paid by the click.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by makomk ( 752139 )

      The CDC have been absolutely terrible about keeping their website up to date during this. Completely hopeless. They can't even keep important stuff like the official advice for medical professionals on testing up to date and consistent.

      • Their current cases page is updated every weekday at 4PM. It was just updated half an hour ago from writing this.

        Do you have a source that is verifiably more accurate than the CDC? They can be slow to update their information sometimes because they actually double check with the parties involved instead of reporting rumors, or blatantly making stuff up.

    • Re:News (Score:4, Funny)

      by tsuliga ( 553869 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @02:16PM (#59815840)

      This is my goto site/section for daily numbers on what is happening in the U.S.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

  • Hmm ... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by fahrbot-bot ( 874524 ) on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @02:52PM (#59815944)

    Trump Hints at Aid For Workers

    What ever it takes to goose the stock market I guess -- which is what the President really seems to care about. Senator Mitch McConnell has already said he's adamantly opposed to the payroll tax reduction Trump's floating, so it's not going to go anywhere. Trying to force companies to give hourly employees paid sick time is going to end up in court and trying to get the federal/state governments to pay for it isn't going to pass -- 'cause, you know, fiscal responsibility (ha, was almost able wrote that w/o laughing). But seriously, politicians don't really care about poor people 'cause they usually don't vote and can't donate (much).

Keep up the good work! But please don't ask me to help.

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