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Researchers Develop AI To Predict Hospital Readmission Rates From Clinical Notes 29

Researchers at New York University and Princeton have developed a framework that evaluates clinical notes and autonomously assigns a risk score indicating whether patients will be readmitted within 30 days. They claim that the code and model parameters, which are publicly available on Github, handily outperform baselines. VentureBeat reports: As the researchers point out in a preprint paper on Arxiv.org, clinical notes use abbreviations and jargon, and they're often lengthy, which poses an AI system design challenge. To overcome it, they used a natural language processing method -- Google's bidirectional encoder representations from transformers, or BERT -- that captures interactions between distant words in sentences by incorporating global, long-range information. Each clinical note is represented as a collection of tokens, or subword units extracted from text in a preprocessing step. From multiple sequences of these, ClinicalBERT identifies which tokens are associated with which sequence. It also learns the position of tokens from variables corresponding to the sequences, and inserts a special token used in classification tasks in front of every sequence.

To train ClinicalBERT, the team sourced a corpus of clinical notes and masked 15 percent of the input tokens, forcing the model to predict the concealed tokens and whether any two given two sentences were in consecutive order. Then, drawing on the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care (MIMIC-III), an electronic health records data set comprising over two million notes from 58,976 hospital admissions of 38,597 patients, the researchers fine-tuned the system for clinical forecasting tasks. Tested on a sample set consisting of 30 pairs of medical terms designed to assess medical term similarity, the authors report, ClinicalBERT achieved a high correlation score, indicating that its tokens captured similarity between medical concepts terms. Heart-related concepts like myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, and myocardium were close together, they say, and renal failure and kidney failure were also close.
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Researchers Develop AI To Predict Hospital Readmission Rates From Clinical Notes

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  • Cue in greedy insurance companies digesting that data and kicking off their 'ai' designed to ramp up premiums. Excellent.
  • by Joe_Dragon ( 2206452 ) on Friday April 12, 2019 @08:54PM (#58429768)

    doctor handwriting ocr with an 95+ rate?

  • by hcs_$reboot ( 1536101 ) on Friday April 12, 2019 @09:09PM (#58429826)
    an AI that given a bunch of symptoms, blood analysis, weight loss / gain, ... can tell you a narrow list of diseases you might have ; that would surely beat the best human specialists.
  • It really is. Instead of dedicating their effort to improve humanity and put lawyers out of business, software engineers are throwing major efforts towards putting doctors out of business. Which just goes to show that they can't think further than the last curly brace in their programs. Once all the doctors are out of business, just exactly who you they think become the next target for all the starving lawyers out there left without doctors to sue?
  • Background (Score:4, Informative)

    by jythie ( 914043 ) on Saturday April 13, 2019 @08:47AM (#58431164)
    So a little bit of context... this is actually a fairly active area of research and has been for decades. I know people who have been using AI techniques to try to predict readmissions probabilities since the 90s, and some of them have gone on to develop these into commercial products that hospitals use today... so the story here really is not the use case but instead the incremental improvement of this particular corner of AI. I am actually just getting off a project that was trying to apply another area within AI to the same basic problem, though since we were using agent based modeling we probably will not get much attention.

    And this stuff is honestly pretty useful. It helps earmark which patients might need a bit of extra monitoring or guidance, or which ones might benefit from having a nurse check in on them at home. It means figuring out where to proactively spend limited human resources in order to decrease the chances someone is going to end up right back in your ER. Good stuff.

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