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Earth Science

Just 5 Percent of Earth's Landscape Is Untouched, Report Finds (axios.com) 88

A comprehensive new high-resolution analysis of human modification of the planet finds that just 5% of the Earth's land surface is currently unaffected by humans, far lower than a previous estimate of 19%. 95% of the Earth's land surface has some indication of human modification, while 84% has multiple human impacts, the study found. New Atlas reports: The researchers from The Nature Conservancy and Conservation Science Partners used publicly available, high-resolution data from ground surveys and remotely sensed imagery on land use in 1 square kilometer grids to provide a spatial assessment of the impact of 13 human-caused stressors across all terrestrial lands, biomes and ecological regions, including: Agriculture; The physical extent of human settlement; Transportation, including railroads and minor roads; Mining, energy production; and Electrical infrastructure, including power lines.

52% of ecological regions and 49% of countries are considered moderately modified. These regions are highly fragmented, retain up to only 50% of low modified lands and fall within critical land use thresholds. Only 30% of terrestrial ecological regions and 18% of the world's countries have a low degree of land modification and retain most of their natural lands, which are distant from human settlements, agriculture and other modified environments. The study found the least modified biomes tend to be in high latitudes and include tundra, boreal forests, or taiga and temperate coniferous forests. On the other hand, the most modified biomes include more tropical landscapes, such as temperate broadleaf and mixed forests, as well as mangroves.

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Just 5 Percent of Earth's Landscape Is Untouched, Report Finds

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  • 5%? (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward

    That's still a surprisingly large amount. Still though, it would be better if we leave at least 10%-20% alone entirely. As the quote goes, "the planet doesn't need our help to survive, the planet needs our absence."

    • Re:5%? (Score:5, Interesting)

      by ShanghaiBill ( 739463 ) on Saturday January 12, 2019 @02:18AM (#57948786)

      Just Antarctica + Greenland is already way over 5%. Vast areas of Siberia, Alaska, and Nunavut are uninhabited wilderness.

      I would like to see a better explanation of their methodology.

      • Quite.

        These people haven't overflown Australia have they..

        • by quenda ( 644621 )

          Australia has been inhabited throughout, if sparsely, for tens of thousands of years.
          Early inhabitants altered the ecosystem by sending megafauna to extinction, and lighting frequent fires, drastically changing forests.
          Even before the recent introduction of farming, mining and towns, there was little or nothing of the landscape left "untouched".

          Antarctica and Greenland are relatively virginal compared to Australia.

          • by Anonymous Coward

            Existence is perpetual change. Get used to it.

        • But much of the remote land in Australia is still used for cattle grazing - in which case it won't count as "untouched".

        • by Anonymous Coward

          Australia's ecosystem got screwed up a long time ago by artificially introducing foreign animals.
          It isn't untouched.

          Antarctica and Greenland are ice covered and as a result their landscape changes drastically by human introduced climate change.
          Even Siberia is thawing.

      • by Anonymous Coward

        Just Antarctica + Greenland is already way over 5%. Vast areas of Siberia, Alaska, and Nunavut are uninhabited wilderness.

        I would like to see a better explanation of their methodology.

        The word wasn't "uninhabited" the word was "unaffected" which means something completely different. Greenland, for example, has a vast loss of icesheets (depth; area sometimes increases as the ice sheet flows faster) and so large areas of Greenland, even where nobody has ever walked are affected. You could remotely measure changes, for example by seeing loss of reflectivity from glaciers that are covered in soot. You don't need detailed methodology to understand that uninhabited areas can be affected by

        • by dcw3 ( 649211 )

          The word wasn't "uninhabited" the word was "unaffected...

          Please read the subject line again.

      • by sosume ( 680416 )

        They divided the world map in 20 squares. Human activity was not found in only one those squares, probably in Greenland. Solid methodology.

        • by dcw3 ( 649211 )

          They divided the world map in 20 squares. Human activity was not found in only one those squares, probably in Greenland. Solid methodology.

          I'd love to see a map of dividing a sphere into 20 squares.

      • I would like to see a better explanation of their methodology.

        No, you fucking anti-science asshat, you wouldn't. If you had wanted to see it, you'd have read the linked article. Since you obviously don't care enough to put a lick of effort into educating yourself, I'll summarize for you, in the hopes you can at least make it through a /. comment:

        We analyzed all terrestrial lands excluding Antarctica.

        That said, the reason they can get to 5% is that they apply a "fragmentation metric" to the places with human impacts, and estimate them as falling off as you move away from where they find these impacts. They bin the human im

      • There is an Agenda here. Good luck on getting a rational explanation of the methodology. Probably something to do with essential oil residue or something. ;)

    • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • by Anonymous Coward

    I'd be surprised if humans haven't had an impact on most of the Earth's landmass.

  • by PopeRatzo ( 965947 ) on Saturday January 12, 2019 @02:20AM (#57948790) Journal

    Where is this 5%? I bet the rents are still really cheap there.

    • Outside of Albuquerque, the only big city, the population density there is so low that you can end up driving dozens of miles between even seeing gas stations.When driving through a rare small city, you may realize it's a ghost town as most buildings are abandoned and their windows are boarded up.
      • But I'll bet that even in most of these remote desert areas, you'll find roads (or remains of roads) not far away. For fun, I like to visit Degree Confluence Points (http://www.confluence.org/), and I've been surprised at how easy most of them are to reach, even in supposedly remote patches of desert. I rarely have had to hike more than a couple of miles from a (admittedly, often 4WD) road.

  • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • Meaningless (Score:4, Insightful)

    by iamacat ( 583406 ) on Saturday January 12, 2019 @03:09AM (#57948868)

    What part of the Earth is untouched by ants? Fungus? Gophers? Butterflies? Is that good or bad? We must define some criteria that makes land preferable - furtile, healthy to live on, aestatically pleasing and so on. Complely free of humans does not strike me as a rational criteria.

  • by aglider ( 2435074 ) on Saturday January 12, 2019 @03:20AM (#57948884) Homepage

    It's a few hundred thousands years humans are reshaping the planet. Faster and faster as the technology allows.
    And when you have a few billions of bare standing apes strolling all over the planet, actually all of it, it takes years to reshape it.
    I can bet that only portions of the large deserts (hot or icy) are part of that 5%.

  • Before there were lichens and fungi to reshape the landscape.
    Then came the plants, the amphibians, the reptiles, the birds, the mammals and Internet.

  • by Crashmarik ( 635988 ) on Saturday January 12, 2019 @04:34AM (#57949012)

    Or is it just a contest to see how many times Slashdot can dupe a story ?

  • Just how much of Antarctica is impacted ?

    Not only a dupe a fear mongering dupe.

  • by n2hightech ( 1170183 ) on Saturday January 12, 2019 @06:52AM (#57949204)
    They looked at 1km squares and if anything in it has been changed by man then that whole 1Km sq has been affected. So you have someone in a 4 wheeler run across a patch of desert and leave a mark the whole 1 Km square has been affected. Technically they are right however in all practical ways they are misleading. The more meaningful number might be the 30% of land that has low modification. Low modification most people would see as untouched. A lot of the 52% of moderately modified land is still fairly untouched. So a more correct and less concerning title would be 82% of the earth's surface still nearly untouched by man. Of course that would not get people all worked up and worried would it. Numbers don't lie liars use numbers...
    • by Nkwe ( 604125 )
      There is also a lot of "untouched" land surface that happens to be under an ocean.
      • I don't believe that the stuff under an ocean is referred to as "land surface" by anyone, except, perhaps, you.

    • They looked at 1km squares and if anything in it has been changed by man then that whole 1Km sq has been affected. So you have someone in a 4 wheeler run across a patch of desert and leave a mark the whole 1 Km square has been affected. Technically they are right however in all practical ways they are misleading.

      The way to prevent these sorts of measures from being misleading is to use the same criteria in both directions and give both numbers. i.e. Look at 1x1 km blocks and see what percentage contains s

    • What constitutes "touching," exactly? A backpacker walking across the land? An airplane flying over it? Smoke from a campfire wafting over it? Climate change?

      By defining what "touching" means, you can pick a number from 0% to 50% untouched, just change the parameters.

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