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Beer Medicine Wine

No Healthy Level of Alcohol Consumption, Says Major Study (theguardian.com) 590

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Even the occasional drink is harmful to health, according to the largest and most detailed research carried out on the effects of alcohol, which suggests governments should think of advising people to abstain completely. The uncompromising message comes from the authors of the Global Burden of Diseases study, a rolling project based at the University of Washington, in Seattle, which produces the most comprehensive data on the causes of illness and death in the world. Alcohol, says their report published in the Lancet medical journal, led to 2.8 million deaths in 2016. It was the leading risk factor for premature mortality and disability in the 15 to 49 age group, accounting for 20% of deaths. The study was carried out by researchers at the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), who investigated levels of alcohol consumption and health effects in 195 countries between 1990 to 2016. They used data from 694 studies to work out how common drinking was and from 592 studies including 28 million people worldwide to work out the health risks. According to the report, "27.1% of cancer deaths in women and 18.9% in men over 50 were linked to their drinking habits." The biggest causes of death linked to alcohol in younger people were tuberculosis (1.4% of deaths), road injuries (1.2%), and self-harm (1.1%).

"Worldwide we need to revisit alcohol control policies and health programs, and to consider recommendations for abstaining from alcohol," said the report's senior author, Professor Emmanuela Gakidou. "These include excise taxes on alcohol, controlling the physical availability of alcohol and the hours of sale, and controlling alcohol advertising. Any of these policy actions would contribute to reductions in population-level consumption, a vital step toward decreasing the health loss associated with alcohol use."
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No Healthy Level of Alcohol Consumption, Says Major Study

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  • Well Fuck (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 23, 2018 @10:37PM (#57184088)

    I mean... I'm here for a good time, not for a long time.

    • Re:Well Fuck (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Anonymous Coward on Friday August 24, 2018 @04:29AM (#57185114)

      You have to love the quote at the end of the Guardian article, though it really should have been put at the beginning:

      But David Spiegelhalter, Winton professor for the public understanding of risk at the University of Cambridge, said the data showed only a very low level of harm in moderate drinkers and suggested UK guidelines were very low risk.

      “Given the pleasure presumably associated with moderate drinking, claiming there is no ‘safe’ level does not seem an argument for abstention,” he said. “There is no safe level of driving, but government do not recommend that people avoid driving. Come to think of it, there is no safe level of living, but nobody would recommend abstention.”

      • You have to love the quote at the end of the Guardian article, though it really should have been put at the beginning:

        But David Spiegelhalter, Winton professor for the public understanding of risk at the University of Cambridge, said the data showed only a very low level of harm in moderate drinkers and suggested UK guidelines were very low risk.

        “Given the pleasure presumably associated with moderate drinking, claiming there is no ‘safe’ level does not seem an argument for abstention,” he said. “There is no safe level of driving, but government do not recommend that people avoid driving. Come to think of it, there is no safe level of living, but nobody would recommend abstention.”

        Also, a meta-data study that once again doesn't indicate how it normalized all the input data, is somewhat useless for drawing conclusions.

        People that drink more may also on average have less healthier habits. Even where individual studies have different methods to account for different correlations, meta studies rarely adequately account for these differences.

      • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

        by cayenne8 ( 626475 )
        My first thought was....

        Without alcohol, how will ugly people ever get laid???

    • Comment removed (Score:5, Interesting)

      by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @05:13AM (#57185200)
      Comment removed based on user account deletion
      • Re:Well Fuck (Score:5, Insightful)

        by sad_ ( 7868 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @05:57AM (#57185354) Homepage

        maybe so, but your quality of life will suffer much earlier then somebody who lives healthy.
        you won't be able to do some things anymore when you're 40, while the 'healthy' person probably still can.
        will you have done all the items on your bucket list when you're 50 or 60?
        i agree that there is a limit, i don't see the point in reaching 100 years of age, it will be miserable, so far nobody that age is still well enough to actually have a quality life. but i want to enjoy doing everything i love for as long as i can. (those things don't include consuming alcohol, for me)

        • Re:Well Fuck (Score:5, Insightful)

          by Ol Olsoc ( 1175323 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @08:47AM (#57186006)

          maybe so, but your quality of life will suffer much earlier then somebody who lives healthy. you won't be able to do some things anymore when you're 40, while the 'healthy' person probably still can. will you have done all the items on your bucket list when you're 50 or 60?

          Let me tell you about my mother in law. Non smoker, non drinker. Plenty of exercise.

          This woman was the very archetype of the modern healthy adult livin the dream well into old age.

          She caught dementia at 68, and it took her 10 years to die. The thing with dementia is that it doesn't just affect your mind. Her bones kind ot rotted, her bodily functions slowed down gradually, and she wasn't a happy demented person, but one of the ones who cry constantly.

          I would take death right now to avoid that.

          If you really want to live to an ancient age, by all means do. But I'll take quality over longevity every time. The only people that make out in the life extension game are the ones running nursing homes.

        • by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @10:25AM (#57186552)
          Comment removed based on user account deletion
      • Plus about 2/3's of the deaths in young people from alcohol stem from poor and avoidable choices that I do not think should be considered in their recommendations. You have a choice to drink and drive, or to hurt/kill yourself. Alcohol does not trigger some invisible demon to strike you down (such as tuberculosis, which is hidden in the text affecting primarily only poorly developed countries, probably not anyone reading this). So basically alcohol in young people being a relevant cause of death is bullshit

      • You can not be fat, weak, slow, and eventually diseased because of those, and at the same time not be forced to live a life of austerity and total abstention, either. I'm an amateur athlete, not posessing high bodyfat percentage, not weak, and not having problems like diabetes, heart disease, etc, and I still enjoy foods we'll call 'unnecessary for nutritional purposes', and the occasional drink or two, and like you I believe quality of life is more important overall than quantity of life, because too many
    • That many people don't know how to have a good time without alcohol is part of the problem.

    • This study's tendentious conclusions aren't the only ones you could come to

      https://cei.org/blog/science-reporters-get-it-wrong-moderate-alcohol-consumption-isnt-dangerous

      You can count on the socialist puritans at the guardian to spoil any party

    • Ugh, the one thing I hate is when researchers go on to translate their findings into suggested government policy changes. Doctors may be very smart people and know plenty about the human body, but they are terrible policy makers. Governments as well are all to quick to misinterpret their area of expertise and enact these silly regulations.

      Alcohol may be bad for you and doctors will probably advise against any consumption, but freedom for adults to make their own choices is still the bigger policy conce
  • Did they study... (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 23, 2018 @10:44PM (#57184116)

    ...how many ugly people got laid because of alcohol?

    And how many babies got made because of alcohol?

    I wonder if the number of lives created by alcohol's ability to facilitate sex is greater than the number of deaths it causes.

    • by Snotnose ( 212196 ) on Thursday August 23, 2018 @10:58PM (#57184184)

      ...how many ugly people got laid because of alcohol?

      According to my sample size of 1, about 12. Not counting myself.

      And how many babies got made because of alcohol?

      According to my sample size of 1, about 0. That I know of. And I'd know, else I'd have changed states sometime in the past 55 years.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by rtb61 ( 674572 )

      Now, were they good babies that turned into good citizens or were they produced by the genes of the lazy incompetent losers, born with alchohol damage to boot and raised quite 'er' indifferently and went on to become very unproductive custodial existences after leaving a trail of victims. Just saying, alchohol probably not the best thing for effective family planning. Taking those actual lives into account, probably killed more people again on top as a result of the extremely poor breeding outcomes. I would

  • by Anonymous Coward

    Plants grow better in hydroponic conditions with carefully calibrated nutrient solution and perfect amounts of light and carbon dioxide. They thrive, but their roots are weak.

    We can min-max humans the same way, prioritizing lifespan above all else. Remove all risk and danger, anything harmful to the body. Clearly it's irrational to hurt yourself in any way, so why allow it?

    I'm not saying there aren't issues with excessive alcohol consumption, but fearmongering and efforts to create government policy rest

  • The spread of the tech to make alcohol in various forms predates christianity, and roughly follows the spread of civilization.

    Alcohol has obviously never caused problems before; somewhat like Opium, Cocaine, Maruhuana, or Barbituates.

    If it's all new, everyday, we learn nothing as a society.

    • Now this has me wondering something.

      Did Mel Brooks fuck up on an important fact with the Mighty Joint scene in History of the World?

      I honestly can't remember if the plants Josephus was handling were in vegetative phase or if they were budding? If the former, then the smoke should not have caused the Romans to go biblical and get stoned. Or was the joint big enough that the traces of THC that may have been in the leaves made enough whee for a good hit?

    • It's use isn't even limited to humans.

      Fruit will sometimes occasionally ferment, due to random yeast spores and animals will eat the fruit and with it the alcohol.

      Ever seen a bunch of drunk animals in your back yard? I have.

    • The spread of the tech to make alcohol in various forms predates christianity, and roughly follows the spread of civilization.

      Alcohol correlates with the spread of civilization because water in skins, pots, or barrels goes bad after a few days. But people figured out that adding alcohol to the water kept it good for months (we now know that it's because alcohol inhibits the growth of bacteria).

      Long-term water storage thanks to alcohol is what enabled long-distance travel and exploration. Without it, y

  • The biggest causes of death linked to alcohol in younger people were tuberculosis

    So... the highest alcohol-related death risk is a bacterial infection? Wat?

    • Alcohol isn't as dangerous on its own. They included the results of risky behavior and impaired operation of machines. That is like saying getting a blowjob is dangerous, because they included accidents caused while getting a blowjob while driving.

      While I am sure that certain activities while impaired are more dangerous (driving), I would suggest that being stupid is dangerous, and alcohol makes one dumber than before. They don't call it "Beer goggles" for no reason.

      • They included the results of risky behavior and impaired operation of machines.

        And yet they claim no level of alcohol consumption is safe. That is obviously bullshit as a single drink every now and then will have zero effect on being more risky or impaired.

        I say this as someone who basically does not drink at all, except for a sip of something to be polite under some conditions.

        • That is obviously bullshit as a single drink every now and then will have zero effect on being more risky or impaired.

          Your data is eagerly awaited. Obviously it involves testing millions of diverse humans over a long term ?

      • Alcohol isn't as dangerous on its own. They included the results of risky behavior and impaired operation of machines. That is like saying getting a blowjob is dangerous, because they included accidents caused while getting a blowjob while driving.

        While I am sure that certain activities while impaired are more dangerous (driving), I would suggest that being stupid is dangerous, and alcohol makes one dumber than before. They don't call it "Beer goggles" for no reason.

        A lot of well researched studies have indications that some alcohol is actually good for you (i.e. a glass of wine with dinner) which seems to directly contradict the final conclusions of this study. There is clear evidence that over-drinking results in higher health risks, both personally (liver disease, etc.) and for others (driving drunk). However, they also seem to have included any other bad correlations, no matter how weak, from other studies (i.e. cancer). It's like saying that living can cause ca

  • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 23, 2018 @11:06PM (#57184220)

    The rise of anti alcohol studies and the rise of both feminists and jihadists.

    I am not saying they are the same. But they both hate alcohol and white men.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 23, 2018 @11:06PM (#57184222)

    The summary is this:

    First, we consolidated 694 individual and population-level data sources to estimate alcohol consumption levels among current drinkers. Second, we developed a method to adjust population-level consumption for alcohol consumed by tourists. Third, we improved pre-existing methods that account for unrecorded population-level consumption. Fourth, we did a new systematic review and meta-analysis of alcohol use and 23 associated health outcomes, which we used to estimate new dose–response curves of relative risk. Fifth, using the new relative risk curves and a new analytical method, we estimated the exposure of alcohol consumption that minimises an individual's total attributable risk.

    Which just sounds like a lot of malarkey.

    So they combined a bunch of data sources together (likely of very different quality, measures, etc), massaged it together to "estimate population level consumption by tourists", the massaged it a bit more, made some more estimates here and there... and BOOM alcohol is resposible for x% of cancer!

    This is the kind of stuff that gives science a bad name. Where's the control? There isn't any. This barely qualifies as science.

    People aren't going to stop drinking. We tried that already, and it didn't work out so well. It just feels too damn good to have a drink now and a again after the day is over. It's worth it! Frankly even if have a 10% increase in cancer from 1 drink a day, I'll take it. Do I really care if I have a 11% chance of cancer with an occasional drink vs an 10% chance of cancer with zero?

    Realistically it just can't be THAT bad for you since we'd see large effects between drinkers and non-drinkers. Smoking, for instance increases your chance of lung cancer (over your lifetime) by a factor of 17. That is, smokers have about a 17% lifetime chance of getting lung cancer, and non-smokers have a 1% chance. That's HUGE, and the kind of thing we should be concerned about. But alcohol? Nonsense, the effect just can't be very big, or else we'd see it more obviously in the existing data.

    If they really wanted to study this, take some similar populations. Study Mormons vs Ex-Mormons, or practicing vs non-practicing Muslims. But don't take data from 694 different studies and then do some weird data manipulation on it. Quite honestly, how do they know if they're right, or they just managed to tweak the data in the right way?

  • Denmark vs. Pakistan (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Venona2018 ( 5425598 ) on Thursday August 23, 2018 @11:13PM (#57184238)
    Countries with the highest rates of drinking: Denmark and Norway
    Countries with the lowest rates of drinking: Pakistan and Bangladesh.

    I'm betting people are happier in Denmark and Norway vs. Pakistan and Bangladesh. They certainly are wealthier, healthier, and live longer.

    Maybe drinking is good?
  • by larryjoe ( 135075 ) on Thursday August 23, 2018 @11:27PM (#57184286)

    The slashdot title stated the most sensational part of the study, but the summary left out the single-most important statement in the entire study:

    "The level of alcohol consumption that minimised harm across health outcomes was zero (95% UI 00–08) standard drinks per week."

    This statement is at odds with some studies and the hopes of many recreational drinkers. However, there have been other meta-studies that have found that studies that find a health benefit from moderate drinking often aggregate teetotalers due to religion/philosophy with teetotalers due to illness.

    • There's many studies that have separated those and still find a positive "effect" (really a correlation of course).

      The thing is, if you choose to be a teetotaller, you sadly isolate yourself from a lot of social activity, since alcohol use is so central to our culture. This has enough negative effects on average that it makes up for the health effects of very low consumption.

      Although, since how much people drink is heavily mediated by how much people they know drink, teetotallers still contribute greatly to

    • by shabble ( 90296 ) <metnysr_slashdot@shabble.co.uk> on Friday August 24, 2018 @01:28AM (#57184644)

      often aggregate teetotalers due to religion/philosophy with teetotalers due to illness

      Leading to the 'sick quitter' hypothesis. And has been factored into more recent studies, and found to be not the issue it's presented to be...

      https://health.spectator.co.uk... [spectator.co.uk]

      Then, a few months before his death in 2005, he published a study based on 23 years of data which replicated the results of his previous studies while disproving the sick quitter hypothesis by comparing lifelong non-drinkers with moderate drinkers. The latter had lower rates of heart disease and lower risk of premature mortality.

      [...]

      The sick quitter hypothesis was repeatedly tested and found wanting. The protective effect on the heart was repeatedly shown to be real and not the result of unhealthy former drinks in the non-drinking group.

  • by guruevi ( 827432 ) on Thursday August 23, 2018 @11:57PM (#57184394)

    Off course, consuming alcohol has poor effects on people that are depressed or go driving after drinking. Same with potheads and opioid addicts that go driving or using heavy machinery.

    This is a meta-study too and they are expressly comparing Muslim countries with decidedly non-Muslim countries. I'm sure the statistics for those are very honest at less than 2% of the population drinking. I've worked with immigrant Muslims they all drink homemade hooch, statistics in Iran shows at least 10% of the population drinking.

  • drink a healthy amount of alcohol. My family may differ, but I let them see the sober side of me and they wise right up.
  • Yet another 'study' claiming something is going to kill you. Never mind that people have been drinking ethanol in moderation for about a million years.
    WTF is this shit? Is Puritanism making a comeback? Is this more Dominionist bullshit? Or are they selling something?

    Guess what: everything is going to kill you. Just scroll through the internet, you'll find somebody presenting all sorts of evidence that anything you care to name that you eat, drink, or breathe, is going to take DECADES off your life. Don't fall for it, folks.
  • by peppepz ( 1311345 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @12:25AM (#57184496)
    We know prohibition works so well to fix people's addictions... let's do it again for alcohol, too.
  • by 93 Escort Wagon ( 326346 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @12:32AM (#57184510)

    The study covered the 15-49 age group, and I'm over 50. Where's that bottle of whisky?

  • by hyades1 ( 1149581 ) <hyades1@hotmail.com> on Friday August 24, 2018 @01:48AM (#57184690)

    "Alcohol, says their report published in the Lancet medical journal, led to 2.8 million deaths in 2016."

    These idiots clearly failed to grasp the other half of the equation. Alcohol probably prevented just as many deaths. Let's face it, if you couldn't decompress with a couple of beers after work, sooner or later you'd wind up skinning your boss with a letter opener and skull-fucking the company president and his snotty secretary to death with the rolled up hide.

    • Let's face it, if you couldn't decompress with a couple of beers after work

      Wow. Alcoholic much? Why do you need beers to decompress? There are far more effective methods. Go to the gym, take up combat sport, turn on the lobotomization box and set to binge.

      Seriously, if your brain is actually dependent on alcohol to tolerate others then get some professional help quickly!

  • by petes_PoV ( 912422 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @01:52AM (#57184708)
    Many people used to die from malaria, tuberculosis, pneumonia. Then we got drugs that prevented those. So they started to die from smoking-related diseases instead. So we all stopped smoking. Now people die from cancers: some caused by excessive drinking.

    If that ceases to be a major cause of death, what is next? Obesity? We get told off for that, too.

    So what will people die from in the future? Too much exercising? terminal anxiety? boredom?

    How should we go about preventing those deaths and then, ultimately, at what point will all these studies, research groups and advice-givers give up and admit that everybody is going to die from something. What causes of death will be deemed "natural"?

  • by Captain Kirk ( 148843 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @03:22AM (#57184928) Homepage Journal

    The same logic means that there is no safe level of cycling If we stop drinking becasue there is no safe level of alcohol, will we also stop cycling, swimming and all the other activities that have some risk of of injury but are nonetheless fun?

  • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @03:30AM (#57184952)

    Drink as much as you want, it doesn't matter.

  • by jd ( 1658 ) <<moc.oohay> <ta> <kapimi>> on Friday August 24, 2018 @03:31AM (#57184954) Homepage Journal

    First, the study is incapable of distinguishing drinking from other risky behaviour drinkers may indulge in. It assumes behaviours are independent, when in fact they are not.

    Second, of the five Blue Zones, four involve drinking. The French Paradox also does. France's contribution to the debate shows that the change in drink of choice altered outcomes, showing isolating the variable of alcohol may not be sensible to begin with.

  • by TeknoHog ( 164938 ) on Friday August 24, 2018 @04:26AM (#57185108) Homepage Journal
    Worked really well for teenage mothers. I'll drink to that!

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