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New Paper Explores The Prospects For Life Around M-Class Stars (arxiv.org) 69

Long-time Slashdot reader RockDoctor summarizes the significance of a new paper describing "The Habitability of Planets Orbiting M-Dwarf Stars": Although Star Trek had a minor smattering of "M-class planets" -- a designation that tells one nothing of substance -- "M-class star" is a much more meaningful designation of color, with two size classes, the dwarfs and the red giants... an M-dwarf of 1/10 the mass of the Sun will burn for around 1000 times the time that the Sun does... Therefore, if humanity ever meets an alien species, the odds of them coming from an M-dwarf [system] are already high. If humanity ever meets an alien species that has been around a billion years longer than us and has technology we can't even dream of, then the odds of it coming from an M-dwarf are overwhelmingly high.
This new paper offers "a comprehensive picture of the current knowledge of M-dwarf planet occurrence and habitability," pointing out that most of these stars are apparently orbited by planets packed closely together, with "a paucity of Jupiter-mass planets and the presence of multiple rocky planets." And more importantly, roughly a third of those rocky planets are orbiting in a "habitable zone" -- far enough away from their stars to support liquid water.
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New Paper Explores The Prospects For Life Around M-Class Stars

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  • I can't help but think that an M-dwarf system would have a much narrower orbital Goldilocks zone, which would *reduce* the odds of having a habitable planet in that orbital belt.
    • ... which is counteracted by the increased number of M-dwarfs, and their increased lifetime.
      • Re:Ummm, OK... (Score:5, Insightful)

        by KiloByte ( 825081 ) on Sunday November 06, 2016 @06:48PM (#53225379)

        M-dwarves last for a trillion years while a sun-class star is good only for a few billions (ours is 4.5ba old and in a billion years Earth will be uninhabitable). Which matters exactly zilch when the whole Universe is only 13.8ba old, and you need a few star lifetime iterations to produce enough "metals" (for astronomers anything above hellium is a metal) for life to be viable.

        There's indeed more dwarves than any other kind of stars, but then, their habitable zones are much smaller and they have other problems that are harmful to life in our sense, so they don't have any advantage. Wake me up in a trillion years or two, then life will be strongly biased to dwarf stars.

        • Re:Ummm, OK... (Score:5, Interesting)

          by RockDoctor ( 15477 ) on Sunday November 06, 2016 @09:04PM (#53226151) Journal

          you need a few star lifetime iterations to produce enough "metals" (for astronomers anything above hellium is a metal) for life to be viable.

          This is probably true. But those stellar generations are not the generations of common stars (dwarf stars, up to, for example, the Sun's mass), but the lifetime of larger, faster evolving stars. You don't get metals further up the periodic table than carbon from a Sun-mass star. The lifetimes of such stars (say, more than 3 Sun masses ; I forget where the exact dividing line is for stars getting up to burning silicon to iron. It's somewhere near that mass.) is much shorter - more like a half billion years, The time for the ejecta from a supernova to become incorporated into the next generation of stars is more significant than the lifetime of the stars.

          Interestingly, there is a fair correlation between the metallicity of a host star and it hosting a "super-Jupiter," but that correlation breaks down [nature.com] for smaller (Neptune-size and Earth-size) planets. While they still form around stars with a solar-similar metallicity on average, they're not more common around higher metallicity. That's odd. There's something going on there that works against the obvious expectation of how things go. I don't know about you, but I'd take that as a sign to pay more attention to observational data than theory.

          they have other problems that are harmful to life in our sense

          The study was (as is normal) carried out with the assumption of the stability zone of liquid water as the criterion for "habitable zone". No other constraint. You might be interested in finding something that would find William Shatner attractive - even if only as food - but that's not the only thing "life" could plausibly mean. A prokaryote-grade of organism with a non-nucleic acid genetic system would be far more interesting than something that beat Shatner at chess with an RNA-world type genetic system.

        • Copyright is not only theft. As a form of censorship, it's a crime against humanity.
          i like your style
          by the top comments i can see this must have been pre-election day in the states ?
          i wonder on the statistic however, as we are talking about alien life, how valid b/c ... i cant say it totally compares but for instance the statistics used for crude forex prediction take all data over time to define "pivot points" regardless of the real world circumstance, practically considering the numbers from the post-
    • You seem to be making a completely baseless assumption that all solar systems are the same size. The planets around an M-dwarf orbit much closer than those around our sun. It's observed fact, not theory.

  • "Although Star Trek had a minor smattering of "M-class planets" -- a designation that tells one nothing of substance ..."

    Wrong. If you have an M-class planet, you should at least be able to find Roddenberries there.

    • by Ecuador ( 740021 )

      Yup! The first thing that came to mind upon starting to read the summary, and went for a comment, but, it was the 5th comment posted ;)

      Obviously, the 4 earlier posters should turn in their geek card, Futurama is essential material...

  • by wonkey_monkey ( 2592601 ) on Sunday November 06, 2016 @06:44PM (#53225355) Homepage

    Although Star Trek had a minor smattering of "M-class planets" -- a designation that tells one nothing of substance

    Then why did you bring it up?

    And actually, in universe it tells you plenty. It tells you humans and most of the other bipedial humanoid life-forms which smatter the galaxy can survive on the surface and breathe the atmosphere. It also tells you it's likely to be littered with polystyrene rocks or to look a lot like parts of California.

    • by Jzanu ( 668651 )
      There is no scientific meaning to it, it is a made up designation with no measurable values to define it. The only value is that it is an entertainment term geeks know.
    • It also tells you it's likely to [...] look a lot like parts of California.

      And to be fair, California is pretty nice. A good variety of biomes, plenty of arable land, fresh water, etc. "How much like California is it" is, in practice, probably a great definition for the habitability of a planet.

    • If Star Trek has taught me anything, it is that I like mini skirts a lot, and also nearly every alien world looks a lot like a rock quarry.

      Likewise, Dr. Who agrees: companions seem to prefer mini-skirts and most alien worlds almost always look like rock quarries.

      That's good enough for me.

  • Humanity could never meet an alien civilization. We cannot travel even a significant fraction of the speed of light. And due to Physics we never will be able to. Sorry, but that is reality.
    • by rtb61 ( 674572 )

      So says the mud monkey, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org], 115 years after the first aeroplane. Yep, uh huh, sure, http://mentalfloss.com/article... [mentalfloss.com], mud monkey physics. Sorry but your reality will always be based upon your perception of it, as narrow and primitive as it is. Will we go faster than gravity, yes PS the speed of gravity is the fastest that light can go, so speed of gravity is the measure not speed of light. A child with their hands over their eyes, you can not see them, hence they can not see

    • Re:Never meet (Score:5, Informative)

      by RockDoctor ( 15477 ) on Sunday November 06, 2016 @09:26PM (#53226231) Journal
      Our species is around 200,000 years old.

      We could spend the next thousand years developing technology, populating the Solar System with our robots, then travel at 0.01c to the nearest 10 planetary systems, and still not have a species which is 1% older than today.

      That's unobtanium-free physics, but I do gloss over the difficulty of crewing and running a generation ship for the thick end of a millennium. It might be easier to develop some form of suspended animation for wombs, and ship frozen embryos for robots to develop, once the robots have built a sufficient space industry at the destination.

      I'm sure that I'm never going to see humanity's First Contact moment. If I wasn't dead when it happens, I'd be astonished if any human which even knew it's 21st century ancestors names were involved. (I don't know the names of any of my ancestors even 5 generations back, let alone 30 or so).

      A species doesn't need to travel at a significant fraction of c in order to colonise the galaxy. Our society probably couldn't do it in any meaningful sense (are we the same society as a thousand years ago - do you speak Old English, or Norman Frankish?), and maybe our species would have speciated into multiple descendant species by the time they get into other spiral arms. But that isn't "never" - just a very long term plan.

      • Within a few hundred years we should be able to grow animal bodies to specification, as well as scanning and storing human personalities. The first ship to a remote star could be very small. Just an assembler which makes larger assemblers, guided by signals from home. The first humans to make the trip would be essentially teleported to their destination.

        Its a shame that we are missing out on this by such a short time.

        • Teleporting is a crazy science fiction idea, but the small assembler being sent out is what I also think is the way it will go. In the future we can send small probes that will bring life to new worlds. We can design intelligent lifeforms that are living there, and are a kind of the children of our species. We can send all information that is useful. These new lifeforms will grow out of single cells with the help of small machines built for that.
          But sending whole people to other stars is just extremely di
        • The first ship to a remote star could be very small. Just an assembler which makes larger assemblers

          Frozen wombs (and associated heart-lung machines) with a bucket full of frozen sperm and eggs. The technology is here already.

          It's a "6 vs 2x3" question if we'd improve the technology in the millennium or two while the machine (plus eggs and sperm) was in flights, but fundamentally that's a software issue not the hardware in flight. If the labs on Earth come up with a better way of treating the gametes, uplo

        • Just an assembler which makes larger assemblers, guided by signals from home.

          Only the very highest level of control from "home" (see end note) would be necessary. Near total autonomy would be necessary.

          The first humans to make the trip would be essentially teleported to their destination.

          Hmmm, The amount of data to be transmitted, and the error-checking needed to ensure that a "personality" had actually been sent, is high. A pretty steep obstacle. Why bother? Why not just send some tissue cultures, some nu

    • "Meet" can be interpreted to include any form of communication. For two sufficiently advanced cultures, there's even the theoretical possibility of transmitting the information necessary to construct the alien at the other end.

    • We currently can't travel at a significant fraction of the speed of light, but look up the 1960s Project Orion. That was a plan for a spaceship to fire off nuclear bombs for propulsion. It was expected to reach a significant fraction of C. Modern physics says we aren't gong faster than light, not that we aren't going to achieve a speed that can manage interstellar travel.

      We can also have generation ships, or possibly automatic ships with crews in some sort of stasis or being frozen. The laws of physi

  • Or is there a reset point. When the technology enables them to destroy themselves, at which point it just just a matter of time. Maybe thousands of years, but not billions.

    And the intelligence is unlikely to be biological. How long will it be before humanity is replaced by computers. Not within 100 years, but it is hard to see it not happening within 1,000 years.

    http://www.computersthink.com/ [computersthink.com]

  • Just because an M-type dwarf will burn for 1000 times longer than our sun doesn't necessarily mean that any civilization in orbit around an M-type star is already older than we are.
  • I thought that meant survivable to all lifeforms not wearing a red shirt.
  • It seems to me that it is a safe bet that the known limitations of Physics will never be overcome, to such an extent that we will be able to dominate the galaxy. I.e. FTL travel doesn't seem like it will ever be more than science fiction. Many phenomena are governed by a dipole curve, where things start slowly, then hit a tipping point where they rapidly accelerate until they reach a new level of stability. You see this in economics, in Physics / Chemistry, in the evolution of new species, etc.

    Why are we al

    • "If alien civilizations had arisen 1 billion years before ours, and developed technology beyond our dreams, wouldn't they at least leave a trail of some kind?" An ant crawling on your arm is unaware that you represent a species that has studied quantum physics or explored space. To it, you are a warm obstacle to crawl over. Physicist aren't even certain how large the periodic table could be, It would be the height of hubris to assume that we understand the warm obstacle that we are crawling over.
  • ...the development of life of a level that supports advanced intelligence probably needs a certain level of energy intensity across the spectrum in order to develop and that an M-class star doesn't provide that, meaning they would stall at a fairly low level of life and remain there.
    • Does this suggest (however lightly) that perhaps we (humanity) should be looking not to M-class stars but to K-class stars for more intelligent lifeforms and more advanced civilizations?
    • advanced intelligence probably needs a certain level of energy intensity across the spectrum in order to develop

      Do you have a rationale for making this suggestion. E.G. some biological process unique to "advanced intelligence" and which requires ... well it sounds as if you mean green- or blue- coloured light?

      I know of no biological process unique to "advanced intelligence", for a start. Onegaishimasu - educate me.

  • I was under impression that Jupiter-size planets are useful in in star systems where you hope to get life. They catch a lot of space debris (up to moon size), preventing some (most?) of it with colliding with rocky, life-bearing planets. Avoiding serious extinction events or even blowing up entire atmosphere looks like healthy thing for fragile, growing life.

    Here we read about 'planetary systems characterized by a paucity of Jupiter-mass planets', but there is no mention of space guard role they fulfill. Is

    • space guard role they fulfill. Is it overrated

      I'm not sure that there is such a role.

      In the history of the Solar system - the only example we have a good understanding of - the orbital interactions of Jupiter and Saturn were (probably) responsible for the "Late Heavy Bombardment" (LHB) of the inner solar system. But the oldest fossils are found from times not long (~ 1/5 to 1/4 of the then-age of the solar system) after that, and there are hints (well, two hints, both moderately controversial and disputed)

      • by abies ( 607076 )

        Thank you for insighful answer.
        I tried to look for some 'reputable' sources talking about importance of gas giants, but best thing I was able to find so far is something like http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_... [dailygalaxy.com], with "Two NASA astronomers recently suggested[...]" "life-bearing planets may be rare" and other quite vague statements.

        • Precisely. Spend a few years reading the actual papers that scientists publish for their peers to read and you'll realise that people don't say much about it because it's probably not true. "Our" Solar System has been a pretty violent place in the past, and could be in the future (remember the study that raised a couple of % probability of Venus and Earth swapping places in the order from the Sun and Mercury or Mars being ejected from the system? If that's a possible result of the "protection" of the gas gi

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