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NASA Space Earth Technology

Venus May Have Been Habitable, Says NASA (sciencedaily.com) 211

EzInKy writes: Science Daily has an article speculating that Venus may have been habitable which is suggested by NASA climate modeling, which proposes that Venus may have had a shallow liquid-water ocean and habitable surface temperatures for up to two billion years of its early history. Talk about global climate change run amok. Venus may represent a near Earth example of what is in store for the future of our world if we don't make it a number one priority to address. Science Daily reports: "Venus today is a hellish world. It has a crushing carbon dioxide atmosphere 90 times as thick as Earth's. There is almost no water vapor. Temperatures reach 864 degrees Fahrenheit (462 degrees Celsius) at its surface. Scientists have long theorized that Venus formed out of ingredients similar to Earth's, but followed a different evolutionary path. Measurements by NASA's Pioneer mission to Venus in the 1980s first suggested Venus originally may have had an ocean. However, Venus is closer to the sun than Earth and receives far more sunlight. As a result, the planet's early ocean evaporated, water-vapor molecules were broken apart by ultraviolet radiation, and hydrogen escaped to space. With no water left on the surface, carbon dioxide built up in the atmosphere, leading to a so-called runaway greenhouse effect that created present conditions."
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Venus May Have Been Habitable, Says NASA

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  • by the_humeister ( 922869 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @02:08AM (#52689151)

    in the clouds [wikipedia.org] where it's more Earth-like.

    • by stealth_finger ( 1809752 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @02:58AM (#52689281)
      Tonight the weather in cloud city is cloudy, followed by clouds,
      • These clouds are getting worse all the time.
        • "the planet's early ocean evaporated, water-vapor molecules were broken apart by ultraviolet radiation, and hydrogen escaped to space. With no water left on the surface, carbon dioxide built up in the atmosphere, leading to a so-called runaway greenhouse effect that created present conditions."

          Then, the real trouble started....

      • The local weather app is just a wallpaper.

    • Damn you buzzword peddlers. On the internet isn't good enough anymore, everyone has to be in the cloud now!

    • by KozmoStevnNaut ( 630146 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @07:33AM (#52690063)

      The Cloud-to-Butt extension for Chrome is really pulling its weight in this thread :-)

    • by Wycliffe ( 116160 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @08:07AM (#52690219) Homepage

      in the clouds [wikipedia.org] where it's more Earth-like.

      The temperature and pressure is earthlike at a certain altitude but that's about it. The air is still unbreathable and full of sulphuric acid. Oh, and sulphuric acid isn't very friendly to most building materials either. If you think building in a salt water environment is highly corrosive, building in a sulphuric acid environment would be 10 times worse.

      • by Rei ( 128717 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @08:56AM (#52690541) Homepage

        No, that's not "about it". The things that are earthlike include:

        * Temperature
        * Pressure
        * Gravity
        * Radiation shielding (compared to other destinations)
        * Sunlight levels
        * Atmospheric turbulence

        The environment is amazingly earthlike, except for the chemistry. And concerning the chemistry....

        The air is still unbreathable and full of sulphuric acid.

        The phrase "full of sulfuric acid" gives completely the wrong impression. The sulfuric acid mists in the cloud deck at reasonable heights (~54km., give or take a couple km) are on the order of half a dozen ppm. They're not much higher than the OSHA standards for breathing sulfuric acid mists during an 8 hour shift. Now, Venus's H2SO4 mists are a higher concentration than those on Earth, and there are also anhydrous acidic components. But comparisons to a bath in sulfuric acid are totally inappropriate. It's more like a bad smog or vog (in fact, it is a bad vog).

        Oh, and sulphuric acid isn't very friendly to most building materials either.

        When you're talking about plastics (were you actually thinking that one would make a blimp's skin out of steel?), sulfuric acid is well tolerated by a large number, if not the majority of plastics. Organic solvents are much more concerning - I'd have much greater concerns for a blimp on Titan. Some fluoropolymers, like FEP and PTFE, are so chemical resistant that they're easier much defined by what does hurt them than what doesn't.

        Realistic flight envelopes are not a single component. You generally will have an outer anti-corrosion layer (generally a fluoropolymer... the least fluorinated that provides the desired properties; ECTFE or PCTFE would be excellent), with one or more layers for permeation resistance and strength (generally biaxially-oriented when strength is of concern, like BoPET); for extra permeation resistance, something like EVOH or PVDC), optionally an inner layer (condensation control, anti-fouling, melt-through lamination, etc), optionally adhesive layers (such as EVA-based), and fiber reinforcement (vectran is popular for Venus proposals, although would be somewhat difficult for local production; on the opposite end of the spectrum, the easiest possibility for local production would be UHMWPE, but you'd need to ensure proper UV resistance and that the film components are compatible with the inevitable creep... though to be fair vectran also needs UV control) (there are countless fibers in-between with varying tensile, UV, chemical, creep, etc properties).

        Beyond the basic skin you also need ballonets; most likely an additional phase-change envelope for altitude stability; catenary curtains and cables to distribute the weight to hanging structures; and in some cases, where objects need to be kept a minimum distance away from the envelope (such as propulsion), collapsible trusses. You also need mist collection for local propellant production (there are many different architectures, but they're all built around the fact that all of Venus's mists are highly hydrophilic and thus readily condense into water (through membranes or exposed) and onto hydrophilic surfaces. Lastly, if you use a ballute approach (for any combination of reentry, atmospheric deceleration, and/or initial inflation), you need a burble fence (which could potentially double as mist collection, depending on the architecture).

        In cases where you might have exposed metal - such as propulsion motors (although even that isn't an inherent requirement) - there are a lot of alloys considered to be fine in Venus-conditions, and indeed which have been used on Venus probes in the past. An example includes Hastelloy C22. You may have noticed that here on Earth, metals in industry are frequently exposed to extremely corrosive chemical production environments for very long times. You design to your environment. A more

    • in the clouds where it's more Earth-like.

      It's more "Earth-like" high up in the Venutian atmosphere in the same sense that being in the city of Chernobyl is safer than standing right in the reactor. Not exactly where you want to take your summer vacation either way.

    • Would be an interesting theory to try to reverse. A rail gun orbiting Saturn, with appropriate ballistics calculations, could shoot ice at it. Be massively expensive, but it would be one hell of a neat terraforming operation.

  • by melted ( 227442 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @02:12AM (#52689155) Homepage

    And transmitted images digitally from the surface, in 1975. Cold War was a gift to mankind, that pissing match was legendary.

    • by Anonymous Coward on Friday August 12, 2016 @02:44AM (#52689241)

      Yes, it was about ideas, not about profit. Anyhow the MBAs and Wall Street speculants won the Cold War. After USSR dissolved billions upon billions were stollen from the ex-USSR in goods and sold to others. And don't get it wrong. If it was USA to go down, the same MBAs and Wall Street scumbags would have done the same. Thing is... There is no one left who can pay.

      • So it was yet another "whoever wins - we lose" scenario?

        • So it was yet another "whoever wins - we lose" scenario?

          Just like every other war. Whether it is the cold war, an actual war, the war on drugs, or practically any other thing with the name war attached to it, the real losers is society and the huge opportunity costs. At least with the cold war space races there was some amount of knowledge gained. I could even argue with designing a missile or nuke that there is some knowledge gained but when you start exploding them at millions of dollars a pop, that's a million dollars worth of resources that literally just

      • by PolygamousRanchKid ( 1290638 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @08:32AM (#52690367)

        Thing is... There is no one left who can pay.

        Sure there is . . . the soon to be extinct middle class in the US.

        This is what bothers me when politicians promise everyone a winged unicorn . . . and that higher taxes on the rich will pay for it.

        They lie like rugs. Rich folks don't pay taxes. They have enough money to afford top notch tax lawyers who will come up with some scheme to move any profits onto the Cayman Islands. And politicians are rich folks, and know this. Hillary Clinton can show up at a Wall Street meeting and just yawn a couple of times, and then go home with millions in her pockets. The Donald? Hell, he brags about how rich he is.

        So, the rich aren't going to pay for any tax hikes. The poor don't have any money anyway. Guess who gets to pay the tab . . . ?

        In the good old days, when this Kid really was a kid, things were simple. The Democrats were the party for the poor folks, and the Republicans were the party for the rich folks. Now the Democrats are the party for both rich folks and poor folks. It will be interesting to see whether the US middle class and the Republican party survive the next 20 years.

        • by ScentCone ( 795499 ) on Friday August 12, 2016 @09:18AM (#52690745)

          Rich folks don't pay taxes.

          Objectively false. In fact, they pay the vast majority of the income taxes. Overwhelmingly so.

          • True, but they can afford to. Sucks that as you make more money you have to pay more taxes in western societies. It may not be the best system but in practical terms it generally works out better* than all other systems that have been tried and doesn't have any prerequisites (such as: assume everyone is perfect) for the systems that haven't. Oh, and as you make more money you're still making more money!

            *in economic terms. The richest country in the history of humanity has a progressive tax. The top country

          • They pay the majority of taxes in terms of total sum, true. However, on an individual level, the rich pay a much lower percent of their income to taxes than many other income levels.

            • They pay the majority of taxes in terms of total sum, true. However, on an individual level, the rich pay a much lower percent of their income to taxes than many other income levels.

              Nonsense.

              The average tax rate for the bottom 50% by income: 3.13%
              The average tax rate for the top 50% by income: 13.8%
              The average tax rate for the top 25% by income: 15.8%
              The average tax rate for the top 10% by income: 18.9%
              The average tax rate for the top 5% by income: 20.9%
              The average tax rate for the top 1% by income: 23.5%

              Source: http://taxfoundation.org/artic... [taxfoundation.org]

              Notice a trend there? If you look at the top 0.1%, the trend is slightly broken; their average tax rate is 22.8%, slightly lower th

      • Yes, it was about ideas, not about profit.

        You're half right. It was about ideas about profit and about where prosperity comes from. The Soviets thought prosperity would come from a ruthless socialist structure, from an involved-in-everything centrally commanded economy and government-run society. Such prosperity as they experienced, which was spotty at best, only came through the deaths of millions and the constant military-powered raping of surrounding countries. So, yeah - it was "about ideas" but not in the way you're implying. It wasn't some f

  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday August 12, 2016 @02:43AM (#52689235)

    Leftist global warming myths again run amok but the facts are as follows:

    "However, Venus is closer to the sun than Earth and receives far more sunlight. As a result, the planet's early ocean evaporated, water-vapor molecules were broken apart by ultraviolet radiation, and hydrogen escaped to space. With no water left on the surface, carbon dioxide built up in the atmosphere, leading to a so-called runaway greenhouse effect that created present conditions."

    • The sun is slowly heating up. Regardless of what we do as a species, in a few billion years the sun will get too hot for any of the current negative feedback mechanisms in earths climate to offset and the oceans will start to evaporate away.

      That said, I'm not too worried about a runaway greenhouse happening due to man made climate change. If a 6 mile wide asteroid 65 million years ago that set most of the terrestrial plant matter on fire couldn't manage it I doubt we will. What we will do however is make it

    • How the hell did this get marked as insightful? It's well known that the sun will gradually get hotter and brighter over the next few billion years. The increased solar output will eventually burn the Earth to crisp [universetoday.com]. Then the sun will expand and become a red giant, engulfing the planet in it's outer layers.

      Earth becoming Venus-like not only can happen, it absolutely will happen. We have about a billion years, tops, before earth is uninhabitable by life as we know it. The only question is how much we'll

  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday August 12, 2016 @02:46AM (#52689253)

    Nowhere in the article does it suggest that Earth could suffer a Venus-like runaway greenhouse effect. And indeed the vast majority of climate scientists do not believe that is possible on earth, even if we burn everything. We can make the planet unable to support a large human population, but we probably can't trigger a thermal runaway.

  • Awful summary (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday August 12, 2016 @04:30AM (#52689477)

    The summary sucks for plenty of reasons. The original NASA article [nasa.gov] isn't loaded up with alarmist bullshit. Earth will eventually become as hot as Venus and there will be a runaway greenhouse effect. However, that's extremely unlikely to be due to human activities. The Earth has been significantly warmer in prehistoric times and didn't undergo a runaway greenhouse effect. Carbon dioxide levels have been much higher, but it didn't cause the oceans to evaporate away, either. Humans are likely to eradicate themselves from the planet long before they can make that occur. It will happen as the sun becomes brighter and expands, which will eventually cause the Earth to heat irreversibly and evaporate the oceans. It damages the credibility of climate scientists to attribute ridiculous claims to them, especially when they said nothing of the sort.

    Now, any study like this depends on the validity of the model and the assumptions made in its configuration. The manuscript was recently accepted to JGR, but hasn't yet gone through a copy editor. I'm not about to pay Wiley for an article that's still in preparation. Unfortunately, I can't comment on the validity of the model without reading the paper. That's said, the abstract says nothing about human activities causing this on Earth. Please leave alarmist bullshit out of stories. The submitter and the editor who posted it should be ashamed.

    • by Dahlgil ( 631022 )

      Glad you said this because I was otherwise not going to bother reading the story. The first sentence of the summary had me intrigued about a potentially new scientific discovery, but the second made me think that the story was probably just bait to make me read yet another global warming parable.

      "Once upon a time there was a nice planet called Venus. Billions of years ago Venus may have been similar to the Earth in some respects, having oceans, etc.. However, its closeness to the sun and slow rotation ca

    • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

      To add some numbers (be they what they may) and some citations... We have about 1.1 Billion years until the Sun expands enough to evaporate the oceans. Odds are life would end prior to that processes completion as running up to that would likely be rather unpleasant.

      That said given that Humans have only be around for 60,0000 years, and civilization for about 8,000 years... looking at developments, population growth, the odds of any of us lasting that long is probably remote.

  • Is there any evidence to indicate that the surface temps were ever below the boiling point? If not, then the claim of oceans evaporating, um, evaporates, and the H2O was always in gas form.

    • "If you can't prove your theory, then my theory must be true even though I have no proof either!"

      Yeah, that's not how science works.

      Unless you have evidence that proves that the surface temperatures weren't ever below the boiling point of water, the question of whether Venus had oceans remains open for debate.

      • It remains open to debate until we have direct evidence one way or the other. We cannot even resolve this question with Mars with eyes and instruments on the ground and looking down through clear, thin, atmosphere. On Venus we have a bit less than three hours of total ground based lander observations, taken from three landers that survived an average of maybe 50 minutes or so each. Broken, dying landers, looking through 500 C, 90+ atmosphere, acid laced atmosphere while the heat penetrated them to where

  • Venus may represent a near Earth example of what is in store for the future of our world if we don't make it a number one priority to address.

    No.
    At least not unless we are talking billions of years and plans to address it include things like drastically changing the orbit of the earth.

    Global warming may be bad for humanity but our planet and life itself will do just fine.

  • by Dunbal ( 464142 ) *
    Habitable temperature range != habitable planet. While nerds at NASA may be constantly arguing about the air conditioner thermostat setting, there are other quite important factors necessary to sustain life. Like oxygen in the atmosphere (there is none) and the lack of poisonous, corrosive chemicals like sulfuric acid
    • Habitable temperature range != habitable planet. While nerds at NASA may be constantly arguing about the air conditioner thermostat setting, there are other quite important factors necessary to sustain life. Like oxygen in the atmosphere (there is none) and the lack of poisonous, corrosive chemicals like sulfuric acid

      Oxygen? Where do you think the oxygen in Earth's atmosphere came from? Hint - it wasn't from geological processes. Better hint: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

  • NASA scientists need to learn the difference between evidence and simulation. There is almost no evidence to support this hypothesis -- the best that one can say for the simulation is that it shows that the hypothesis isn't overtly incompatible with the little evidence that there is. People need to read Jaynes' lovely book on the logic of science and Bayesian analysis so that they can quit confusing model consistency with model correctness. As it is, it is as if one has the hypothesis that there was a se

    • Gotta love jackasses. Hey Zippy, the point of the article was that: "Venus may have had a shallow liquid-water ocean and habitable surface temperatures for up to two billion years of its EARLY HISTORY..."

      Over time Venus climate changed which gave rise to the current one. It's an interesting study. The implications for Earth have to do with the consequences of heat build up over-time. Earth's oceans could evaporate over time if heat builds up to such levels.
      • Well, yes, or maybe not.

        Did you get the bit about "insufficient evidence to even speculate out loud" in a public forum? Because building a model that shows that it could have been so is not, actually, evidence, and -- as I tried to point out, "Mr. Zippy" -- even if the model built doesn't CONTRADICT any of the limited collection of factual evidence we have on Venus, that at best raises the model hypothesis by only a paltry amount relative to models that AREN'T EVEN consistent with that evidence, and doesn'

  • ...because Venus is closer to the sun, then how the hell did they form in the first place? This story is BS.

Every nonzero finite dimensional inner product space has an orthonormal basis. It makes sense, when you don't think about it.

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