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Earth Science

Belize's "Blue Hole" Reveals Clues To Maya's Demise 80

An anonymous reader writes The collapse of the Mayan civilization has been a mystery for decades, but now new research suggests that the blue hole of Belize could provide an answer. Studying minerals from Belize's famous underwater cave, researchers have discovered that an extreme drought occurred between AD 800 and AD 900, which is when the Mayan civilization collapsed. From the article: "Although the findings aren't the first to tie a drought to the Mayan culture's demise, the new results strengthen the case that dry periods were indeed the culprit. That's because the data come from several spots in a region central to the Mayan heartland, said study co-author André Droxler, an Earth scientist at Rice University."
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Belize's "Blue Hole" Reveals Clues To Maya's Demise

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  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 29, 2014 @12:11PM (#48690161)

    It's so bad that even the past is affected.

    • by cyberchondriac ( 456626 ) on Monday December 29, 2014 @12:17PM (#48690205) Journal
      They should have performed more sacrifices!
      • by Anonymous Coward
        They did. They kept performing sacrifices until they were too few to maintain a civilization. Then the few remaining people wandered off.
        • Aha, so it was not the global warming that caused their extinction but the human sacrifices. Got it!
    • Global warming! (Score:5, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 29, 2014 @12:21PM (#48690255)

      You do realize that current leading theories of the cause of the drought in question was mass deforestation caused by the Mayan Civilization?

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        This.

        And, poor farming practices -- not entirely the Mayan's fault -- and a refusal to migrate away from great wealth and technology.

      • by Livius ( 318358 )

        In other words, climate change caused by human activity?

        • by Optali ( 809880 )

          Well, it is happening right now in a lot of places and it has happened in the past in the USA too during the infamouse "Dust Bowl Years" in the 1930s.

          It is also notorious in a huge part of the Mediterranean such as Spain where human activity has changed the whole southern sea shore from a Mediterranean climate rich in woods into a desert with a large erosion (I have been able to see land eroding away some 2-3 meters in a couple of years). This is Climate Change, and it is certainly Human Induced unless you

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Livius ( 318358 )

      Regional climate change brings down civilizations -- maybe global climate change is something to take seriously.

      • America is not interested in global issues, since they only affect "foreigners" who are "abroad."

        On average, they just don't get that there is an outside world.

    • Their calendar was just a little bit off, is all. Just a minor bug. Could happen to anybody, you know. Would you like to buy a parrot?
    • Everyone knows that is not possible. The climate never changed before the age of SUVs.
  • by rubycodez ( 864176 ) on Monday December 29, 2014 @12:19PM (#48690233)

    Not really new news to me, 30 years ago taught that a megadrought was likely cause for collapse of most (not all, continued in the north) of Mayan civilization

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      This seems to be confirmation of that old hypothesis (not theory).
      • by rubycodez ( 864176 ) on Monday December 29, 2014 @12:27PM (#48690305)

        there was evidence for it, so more than hypothesis

        • Aren't theories kind of systematic? As in, general, not just speculations about one event.
        • there was evidence for it, so more than hypothesis

          That *is* the definition of a hypothsis. Without evidence it would be a "wild ass guess"... perhaps even a "scientific wild ass guess".

          When that hypothesis makes predictions capable of falsifying the model, and those predictions are tested and shown accurate... then we can discuss "theory".

    • Drought also makes a lot more sense than the other theories put forward in TFA.

  • At the same time the Vikings started to become a factor in Northern Europe. So it's not improbable that this was a global phenomenon where many other changes also occurred.

    Wikipedia attributes the fall of the Mayan Civilization to the 10th century [wikipedia.org], but some delay from cause to effect is not unexpected.

    In any case - this overall indicates that changes topples some structures while new ones starts to thrive. If your civilization starts to relax then nature will throw something unexpected at you and if you hav

  • ...we were already pretty sure "whodunit".

    Although the findings aren't the first to tie a drought to the Mayan culture's demise, the new results strengthen the case that dry periods were indeed the culprit.

    This is kind of an understatement. Drought has been one of the (if not THE) leading theories for the Mayan decline source. Jared Diamond called it out as the cause in his popular book Collapse [wikipedia.org] almost a decade ago.

    Its good to see some more data points confirming this theory, but that appears to be all this is.

    • i came here to say the exact opposite thing: evidence, not discovery. FTFS:

      Studying minerals from Belize's famous underwater cave, researchers have discovered that an extreme drought occurred between AD 800 and AD 900

      i chafe whenever anybody says something like "scientists discovered that...". A good scientist will tell you that all he does is find evidence which may support or contradict a number of competing theories. Nobody "discovers" anything.

      • Well, be chafed. (Score:2, Informative)

        by Anonymous Coward

        Nobody "discovers" anything.

        That is patently ridiculous. Definition of "discover" [merriam-webster.com]:

        to see, find, or become aware of (something) for the first time
        to show the presence of (something hidden or difficult to see) : to make (something) known
        to learn or find out (something surprising or unexpected)

        The "finding of evidence" sounds exactly like what is defined here. Evidence itself is discovered. If the just-discovered evidence is sufficiently compelling to accept a conclusion, then as a matter of linguistic conv

    • Almost a decade ago? Wow! When I was a child three decades ago, I read a book from the 1960ies, where this theory already was put forward -- based on evidence from excavations in the 1930ies. What is really interesting is the new evidence which is not based on cultural artefacts.
      • by T.E.D. ( 34228 )

        Not unexpected (but cool to know!). Jared Diamond is essentially a popular non-fiction author who can "speak science" thanks to a background in Biology. Thus any information in his books is known ("old") information being synthesized for a popular audience. Sometimes the logical results of that synthesis might be somewhat novel, but the information itself is not. So I knew when I read it (again a decade ago), that this must have already been the accepted consensus for a while.

        The book by the way is Collaps [wikipedia.org]

        • I would also recommend the more recent work (2005) of scientific popularization 1491 by Charles Mann. He also has a good section devoted to the Maya.

  • by rainer_d ( 115765 ) on Monday December 29, 2014 @02:44PM (#48691417) Homepage
    Look into the past to see your future.
  • It's been repeated many times. Sinagua, without water. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org] The Anasazi: http://www.desertusa.com/ind1/... [desertusa.com] QED.
  • Wow, they must have really ticked off their gods. A 100 year drought? What did they do, accidentally sacrifice a non-virgin?

  • So their End of the World calendar was just a tick late?

If all the world's economists were laid end to end, we wouldn't reach a conclusion. -- William Baumol

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