DARPA To Sponsor R&D For Interstellar Travel 364
Apocryphos writes "The government agency that helped invent the Internet now wants to do the same for travel to the stars. In what is perhaps the ultimate startup opportunity, DARPA, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, plans to award some lucky, ambitious and star-struck organization roughly $500,000 in seed money to begin studying what it would take — organizationally, technically, sociologically and ethically — to send humans to another star, a challenge of such magnitude that the study alone could take a hundred years."
News? (Score:2)
This article showed up elsewhere over a month ago:
http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/06/nerds-darpa-wants-your-advice-on-interstellar-flight/ [wired.com]
WHERE ARE THE PRIVATE INVESTORS? (Score:2, Interesting)
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WHERE IS YOUR CAPS-LOCK KEY? (Score:5, Informative)
The private investors are investing in things like non-orbital launch systems (Virgin Galactic/Scaled Composites); orbital launch systems (SpaceX); and orbital space stations/hotels (Bigelow Aerospace). All of these private ventures would never have happened if it weren't for almost half a century of government funding of NASA and the Air Force before that.
There are whole classes of radical advancements that, simply, can't happen without significant initial investment without a guarantee of success. Examples of such things include space travel and the nuclear bomb. Historically, some of these kinds of discoveries have been made because an individual monarch was willing to take a gamble (ex. Queen Isabella funding Columbus) but modern business structures are designed to work against such things because they are often wastes of money (ex. the search for El Dorado and the fountain of youth).
When it comes to traveling to other stars, there are obvious advantages to be had to science as well as humanity as a whole. On the other hand, even if it works in the end, there are no obvious profits to be made on it with our current understanding of science. Any resources we find in a distant solar system would be so hard to transport back to Earth that it'd be cheaper to just manufacture it (atom by atom) in a particle accelerator (which we could do with present technology). In such cases, governmental spending is the ONLY way for it to get done.
All caps expresses my out-rage to all (Score:2)
Re:WHERE IS YOUR CAPS-LOCK KEY? (Score:4, Insightful)
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I'm not anxious to defend the bankers involved in creating the mess but I thought that much of the TARP fund was eventually repaid. Is that not the case?
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Exactly. We need to start with exploring our own solar system, and getting a mining and manufacturing industry in place up there, but worrying about interstellar travel seems like putting the cart before the horse.
We'd have to start dealing with time dilation once it got fast enough, however I suspect humans will develop technology to extend our lives more and more to where it won't be as big of a deal at least in our own Solar system.
Even if we could make humans so they didn't age, people I think would st
Re:WHERE ARE THE PRIVATE INVESTORS? (Score:4, Insightful)
There are two basic problems with what we would call private investment today.
First, there is the question of returns. OK, so we are absolutely assured of there being something that is needed out in space - we just have to find it, figure out exactly how to exploit it, and get it back here. None of these are trivial problems but neither are the rewards. Let's talk about exactly how much a big chunk of asteroid that is 50% gold and 50% platinium would bring on the open market. Or, a big chunk of "rare earth metals".
But these returns are not really certain within a given time period. Nobody can say they are going to be able to bring back 100 billion dollars in gold in two years. However, it is a dead certainity that you would be able to have that 100 billion in gold in a vault in 100 years.
That brings us to the other problem. Today, the world pretty much runs on an annual basis if not quarterly. The government talks about saving 400 billion dollars over 10 years - with the assumption that nothing will change for 10 years. Companies are comparing last year's revenue to this year;s and that is about it. The best investment you can get is one where the investor is demanding a nearly certain return in five years at at least 10 to 1.
Nobody on the planet is making investments for ten years and we are talking about requiring investments on the order of 50 or 100 years. The thinking has been that only a government can think that far ahead and make plans that far out. Well, that may have been true in 1492 to some degree but even then they were looking for gold on the table within a few years.
Today it is doubtful that any democratic government could get away with making an investment that wouldn't pay off for 100 years. The people just wouldn't stand for it. Hugo Chavez might be able to, but even he doesn't think he will be in power in 100 years. No, I don't see the human race making any long term comittments or long term plans. Not at all.
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No, but you still have to make some kind of goals, even if you change them later on. As the OP said, for all we know, there could be an asteroid on a collision course with us, and we haven't detected it yet. In fact, we've only started really looking for such things, and the more we look, the more asteroids we find, and there's a ton of them in the inner solar system. It's probably only a matter of time before one hits us. And it's not like it's never happened; there's tons of meteor craters on the eart
You need to ask? (Score:4, Interesting)
Think about it. Launches are expensive. Spaceflight is expensive. Nobody has found a pure gold asteroid, and even if they did it would take more money to get any of the gold back to Earth than the gold would be worth. Communications satellites only exist because the phone companies can charge users a fortune in bills over decades.
Private investors don't give a shit about technology, and certainly certainly not for technology that has no possibility of a financial return.
Remember, billionaires got that way because they're damn stingy and only give in order to get more. Wannabe billionaires are even more that way. Where they donate, it is purely for tax reasons. (They can offset all the taxes from income and capital gains and still make a fortune.) It's not for charity and it's certainly not for the benefit of industrialists who could become rich if the technology pays off. This isn't even putting the billionaires down at all. This is simply the logic of economics and it is the logic of economics that create the uber-wealthy in the first place.
The ONLY people who have both the money AND the incentive to do this kind of work is government. That is why the US and USSR have space programs and Argentinia (which had no shortage of private individuals with know-how for sale after the war) does not. If private investors had any motivation to actually do something in space (as opposed to paying an agency to lob yet another radio/tv/bittorrent relay into orbit), it would have already happened. The closest we've seen yet are Virgin Galactic (which doesn't even reach orbit) and some guys launching small rockets from old oil rig platforms (who, incidentally, you don't hear much about these days).
As for half a million - it might sound a lot but it would pay for five mid-grade private sector researchers for a year. Not equipment, computers, space, or anything else, just the salaries of those five people. Public sector workers would be cheaper - you could get easily two or three times as many - but this is funding for a private effort so you're limited to five. This research is going to require pushing what we know about human hibernation to the absolute limits. It is going to require some amazing work on radiation shielding. In order for the people on board to develop normally, it is going to require some fantastic developments in materials science (you will need a vehicle 3/4 of a mile in diameter to be able to develop artificial gravity without inducing motion sickness - and then you will need to figure out how to put that vehicle in orbit).
And, yes, those are mid-grade researchers. Top-end researchers in the private sector would limit you to two or three people, which wouldn't even get you enough to have one specialist per major problem to be solved.
This is another reason the private sector is a Bad Choice for this kind of work. Public sector scientists are much much cheaper and, since they have access to shared regional or national computation resources, don't require as much money to get a project like this off the ground. The private sector is simply not cost-effective for this kind of work.
Obligatory (Score:2)
1. Invent internet
2. Invest in travelling to other stars
3. Expand internet to said stars
4. ???
5. Profit!
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Would the pony freeze or explode when exposed to space?
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You use space ponies. Duh.
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Most likely freeze, but very slowly. Exploding and freezing instantly have both been, as far as I know, de-bunked as what would happen if a person was ejected into space. You wouldn't explode because your body would be able to contain the fluids it couldn't out gas and would out gas any it could. As for freezing, assuming you weren't so close to something hot (like a star) that you'd be roasted, there is no air to conduct your body heat into and away from your body.
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4. ???
Sorry, here's one case where step 4 is not question marks. All you need is a good to trade at the destination and this handy future value formula. [wiley.com]
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and this handy future value formula.
Hats off to You for this reference, Sir! Amazing that this is not a science fiction book. Should you, however, fancy extrapolations about a universe with trading speed limited by the speed of light and subjective time, may I counter-recommend Ken McLeod's "Engines of Light" [wikipedia.org] trilogy.
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What Darpa wants is another resource rich land to invade, colonize and populate. But what's likely to happen is they land on a planet, call it Plymouth Rock, smoke the rock and marry into the local tribes and vanish without a trace.
Then we will send more people to overthrown the indigenous people in the name of science, the crown, or my left shoe, kill most of them, marry into the rest and declare their independence from the Homeworld.
Next will ensue a series of wars as this new people struggle with an iden
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Have you read any of Timothy Ferris' books? In several (The Mind's Sky is the one I remember specifically, but he said it in others) he proposes that an inter/intragalactic network of computers is probably going to be set up by someone (or possibly already has been set up, and we just haven't been contacted by it yet) which would be a data repository for information on other civilizations. That way you don't have to spend eleventy jillion years traveling somewhere to learn about it.
In other words, pretty mu
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That way you don't have to spend eleventy jillion years traveling somewhere to learn about it.
But what if they're lying?
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3 is basically already done. See Delay Tolerant Networking [dtnrg.org], which is already used for orbital packet switched networks.
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Nope, round trip. don't forget to account for time dilation on the packets themselves.
Sci - Fi (Score:2)
Maybe we'll get some good sci-fi stories out of the submissions.
Esp since the first [insert quantity here] submissions will be previous sci-fi story lines.
-AI
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No kidding. If I personally had to pick, I'd say a generation ship carved out of an asteroid a la Greg Bear's Eon. Though how you get something that large moving at an appreciable speed would be an interesting challange... I don't think even a thermonuclear powered Orion drive could manage to move a mass that large at anything approaching acceptable speeds (and for a generation ship, a thousand years transit time could be deemed 'acceptable')
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cool (Score:5, Insightful)
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Uh, no (Score:3)
a challenge of such magnitude that the study alone could take a hundred years.
Uh, no. The research and infrastructure buildup necessary to actually carry out such a mission could easily take over a hundred years. But if the _study_ on what would be necessary to do it takes a hundred years, or even ten, then you're doin it rong.
Also, if the study takes over 100 years, the grant works out to $5000 a year. Although perhaps the kind of organization that operates on $5000 a year would take awhile to get things done...
500k (Score:3)
Is a bit more than support for one graduate student for five years. Almost nothing, in other words.
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There is a 50-60% overhead charged by the university. Overall, it is somewhere around 60k/year to support a student. Add travel, equipment, etc, and 500k is not that much more.
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Is a bit more than support for one graduate student for five years. Almost nothing, in other words.
But it should be enough to study the field, review the literature (including all the relevant SF - nerd heaven) and actually work out what the critical questions are (including some energy budget calculations which might put the kaboosh on the whole thing). Which is a pretty good first step.
Golga-frincham-tastic (Score:2)
$5,000/yr? (Score:2)
I mean, if it's going to take 100 years, then that $500k seems like a good investment if we're going to be hiring a whole team of "researchers" full time. But I suspect that 500k isn't really going to be stretched that thin ;-)
I saw this.... (Score:2)
Waste of money (Score:3)
I rarely say this. I am always willing to spend money for basic research, where an immediate benefit is not obvious. But interstellar travel? Now? Ridiculous. Baby steps, please. Such a project for a permanent station on the dark side of the moon would already be very ambitious, but at least not totally scifi. Next step a permanent space station on Mars. If this can be accomplished and is more or less routine, it might start to make sense to think about interstellar travel. But certainly not earlier.
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Actually, a permanent space station on Mars will not make interstellar travel any more feasible. We do not have any even semi-realistic propulsion system to get to the nearest stars in less than a few thousand years. Until such system exists, interstellar travel will remain sci fi.
On the other hand, developing and testing a system of interstellar propulsion will probably cost billions and trillions, while a lot of publicity can be obtained with a lousy $500k.
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I am well aware of that. At least what you said about propulsion systems. There is a good chance that ftl is generally impossible regardless of level of technology. Even travel close to light speed would be absolutely deadly for h
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Wait for the Singularity (Score:2)
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Aren't we already stored in machines? Squishy ones?
But they're magic machines. Because they're squishy.
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Errrmmmm... if we can be stored in a machine then what is the point of finding other planets to live on?
So you can find a new planet to take over where you could build massive computers to store your trillions of AI slaves.
The main issue where I disagree is that there's no reason to send slow ships if they're just carrying a few AIs, since the ships can be so small that accelerating them to 50-90% of the speed of light would probably be possible. Or just send a dumb ship that sets up a receiver in the new system and transmit yourself there at the speed of light once that's done.
Not a 100 year project (Score:2)
The 100 year starship project is supposed to study what it will take to sustain private sector investment into a long range program of building a starship.
http://www.100yss.org/about.html [100yss.org]
It is not itself a 100 year project to build a starship, or a 100 year project to figure out how to sustain investment...
Also, if you're interested in interstellar research, check out Centauri Dreams:
http://www.centauri-dreams.org/ [centauri-dreams.org]
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The 100 year starship project is supposed to study what it will take to sustain private sector investment into a long range program of building a starship.
Well, that's dumb, because it's never going to happen. No private company is going to spend a hundred years building a starship when they can just wait a hundred years for the technology to become viable and then spend five years building it.
It's like starting a project to build a space shuttle in 1880.
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Seperated feelings (Score:2)
I wouldn't say I have mixed feelings, since some things don't mix well.
on one hand, I think investigation into interstellar travel is cool, and would be nice to see someone working on, even if just to see what comes out of the research. Long term, very cool projects.
On the other hand... I thought that foreign wars were stretching it for a "Defense Department". Interstellar travel? What exactly are they defending against?
Escape velocity is the biggest barrier. (Score:2)
The high cost to the human race's colonisation of space is caused by the complexity and danger of reaching and leaving escape velocity within the earth's atmosphere.
The Space Shuttle turned out to be an expensive and dangerous white elephant, the reason the Shuttle was so expensive is, because of its complexity with millions of different manufactured parts, and the need to cover it with the equivalent of bathroom tiles.
There is another route, we can reach the edge of space no problem Burt Rutan proved this
What if UFOs are real? (Score:2)
SWITS (Score:2)
I've already sent them my SWITS (Single Wide Interstellar Travel Standard) for adoption. NASA refused it but I think these guys are a lot smarter. I've even included weight restrictions for duct tape.
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to a galaxy, far far away... ???
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Through a hole in Cheyenne Mountain.
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"I owe the credit card company twelve thousand dollars, why don't I skip breakfast today?"
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We are 14.6 trillion dollars in debt with no way of paying it off other than letting our kids and grandkids pay for it somehow or devaluing the US dollar to nothingness (which is already happening).
Plus, whenever you have the government involved in giving out money left and right for research, without a clear, attainable goal, you end up with nothing but a request for... more money.
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This is half a million dollars we're talking about here, a drop in the bucket by government standards. It probably costs that much every time a fighter jet flies.
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You could make any number of good arguments for this research, but that argument is complete crap. I can explain why with only a single sentence:
Trillion dollar budgets are made up of lots of smaller expenses.
The problem is, everybody thinks that their $5,000 or $50,000 or $500,000 expenditure is important. At some point, you have to judge the
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Dude - those are necessities. Why don't we just agree to go 3-1/2 weeks between haircuts instead of 3, and call it good. And if, for some reason, I need to go sooner than 3-1/2 weeks, then I'll promise to skip my PPV that day.
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$500,000 << $14,000,000,000,000
I think a more appropriate analogy might be "I owe the credit card company 12 million dollars, why don't I skip that cup of coffee this morning." We're talking about 7-8 orders of magnitude here.
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Right! All you have to do is find 28 million programs of this scale, and we'll be back on our feet!
Re:FTFY (Score:5, Insightful)
Well, you did say it was flushing money down the toilet, which was a pretty unfounded claim considering you spouted it on an invention that was funded by DARPA.
The whole POINT of DARPA is to throw money at projects that aren't likely to succeed right away, because if DARPA doesn't do it, no one will and it will never get done.
The internet never would have happened if DARPA hadn't flushed money down the toilet for it, because when the internet/arpanet was first being assembled, no one saw any sort of profitability in large networks of computers - and in fact when the idea first started being looked at in 1968 no one saw profitability in consumer computers at all.
Re:FTFY (Score:4, Insightful)
Perhaps you'd like to look at the ROI that [D]ARPA gets from its research. For example, take a look at ARPANet. A few million of up-front investment gave the US government all of the tax revenue that every company in the .com boom paid, and the ongoing tax paid by companies like Amazon, ISPs, and so on. That tax income alone is enough to finance all [D]ARPA projects of this nature.
Your analogy would be more accurate if you said 'I owe $12,000 to the credit card company, I'll save my $2 bus fare by not going to work today'.
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I owe the credit card company twelve thousand dollars. So why don't I skip buying insulin to keep myself alive and turn off my phone service even though I am expecting a call about a new job with a twelve thousand dollar signing bonus?
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If the US government passed 10 of these every single day for the rest of eternity, and taxes were evenly divided among every man, woman and child in America, the resulting cost would still be less that 6 USD annually per capita.
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Yep, move a thousand soup ladels, enough to empty the water out of the bottom deck broom closet...
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When I need to find room on the server, I always find it best used of my time and effort to search out and remove a couple thousand 5kb files instead of the single 37gb file.
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It's also a terrible analogy for two reasons:
First, the Titanic is too extreme an example because far too much of the ship was gone, and the ship could not possibly have been saved by any amount of bailing. The U.S. government isn't anywhere near being on the verge of declaring bankruptcy, so the analogy fails miserably.
Second, the captain of a chip certainly can't bail out the entire boat with a single soup ladle. However, the captain can scream at all the other occupants of the boat if they aren't doing
Re:FTFY (Score:4, Insightful)
DARPA To Flush More Taxpayer Money Down the Toilet
FTFY.
I have a crazy idea. Instead of flushing this money down the toilet, why don't we use it to pay the government's debt instead?
The time it would take for the water to swirl down is longer than it takes the federal government to rip through a lousy 500K. Here's a tip: the federal government's spending habits need drastic fixes, not penny ante items like this. No, it isn't a good start because it's so incredibly miniscule. 500K isn't even a rounding error. You trivialize government debt problems by commenting this amount of spare change should go towards fixing that problem.
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If the research is useful and worthwhile, it should be defended on its own merits, not on the principle of, "our government spends way more than that anyway, so comparatively, it's like, free." If you piss away 50 cents a day, every day, at the end of the year you've pissed away about 180 bucks. Doesn't sound like much, but when you start pissing away 50 cents a day, every day, on 50 different things... it adds up quick.
Budgeting & spending needs to be prioritized - the government isn't exempt from th
Re:FTFY (Score:4, Insightful)
If the research is useful and worthwhile, it should be defended on its own merits[...]
Ok, how about this. In order to even begin to think about starting to build an interstellar ship there are many, many problems that need to be solved. Each and every one of them has potential benefits to the people right down here on planet Earth.
Cheap transit to LEO.
Orbital mining for metals and volatiles.
Artificial intelligence and other computer science areas.
New energy storage and generation technologies.
Genetic engineering.
Advanced hydroponics.
Yep, nothing in there worth researching at all.
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I said:
You responded:
Thank you. That's *exactly* what I was asking for - not a handwaving "you'll never even notice the money's gone anyway, so just shut up with your complaints about spending." These are areas we coul
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so why the sudden need for a vague catch-all grant that won't seriously fund much research in any of these areas[?]
Because saying: "In 30 years it will be impossible to feed everyone in the world using current technology due to shortages of petroleum based fertilizers, increased fuel costs, and exhaustion of arable land. We need to invest money into advanced, sustainable hydroponics or we'll be facing a Malthusian catastrophe" just doesn't have the same ring to it. Something like this is designed to capture the public's imagination and even more importantly, is meant to attract attention to a wide range of specialti
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If the research is useful and worthwhile, it should be defended on its own merits, not on the principle of, "our government spends way more than that anyway, so comparatively, it's like, free."
Yes indeed - I was addressing the usefulness of snidely commenting that the money is best spent towards debt payments, not the worth of any particular program this size. When the federal Department of Labor alone is pissing away $300,000,000,000 on nobody knows what (checked unemployment lately?) the Department of Agriculture is wasting 15,000,000,000 paying farmers not to grow crops and the Department of Education 100,000,000,000 on teaching to standardized tests, it's strikes me as silly to go on about $
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Fair enough, and I agree - all of these programs should be reviewed, I'm not suggesting that we should only be looking at projects costing 500k-1mill, or anything like that. And it's entirely possible that there's a dozen medium-sized 50mill projects in the DoL and DoA that are pissing away money on less value than this study would provide, and are far more worthy of being cut. Absolute dollars spent is just about the worst metric to use to judge the worth of a project. Some 800 billion dollar expenditur
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So I have another crazy idea: how about people stop demanding the government stops funding any program they don't directly use. Not onl
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There is no real politics or vote buying involved in funding these agencies
Actually, that's not really true. Look at where NASA contracts get awarded - they're very regional. While a lot of that spending is worthwhile, it's also used to buy votes.
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Re:FTFY (Score:5, Funny)
irony (n) 1. using the Internet to trash government spending on DARPA projects
What is the cost, really? (Score:2)
I have a crazy idea. Instead of flushing this money down the toilet, why don't we use it to pay the government's debt instead?
And what would that achieve, exactly? You would reduce the overall balance sheet of the economy, since the government's debt may be less than it would otherwise be, but also somebody's assets are less.
It is futile to think about the cost of government in monetary terms. The only useful measure of cost of government is to think about whether the government's spending uses real resources (goods, services, human labor) that could otherwise have been enjoyed to further the well-being of private citizens in a be
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A small community might be willing to start the trip knowing they'll never make it in their lifetime. Through reproduction the community would eventually make it there, even though their ancestors are long gone.
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However interstellar travel without FTL is plausible. It may not be you going, but there will not be any shortage of volunteers. Even if its a 30+ year journey.
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Why?
Have we forgotten that time is relative? If you can get to a significant portion of the speed of light...but still under it... then the subjective time for the traveler can be under a decade to some of the more nearby stars.
Or as Wikipedia explains it: ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interstellar_travel#How_far_can_one_travel_from_the_Earth.3F [wikipedia.org] )
FTL (Score:2)
Until FTL travel becomes a possibility
Not just FTL, but order-of-magnitude-faster-than-light with magic deflector shields so you didn't get vaporized if you collided with something big like a hydrogen atom. Or wormholes that can pass more than a squirt of randomized radiation.
Even traveling at ~1c will take a minimum of about 4 years, probably much more, to get to the nearest star (that depends on how your we-haven't-invented-it-yet space drive works - how long will you spend accelerating/decelerating, will you experience time dilation etc).
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And man will never fly..
You have predestined us to failure. You have insufficient data to make such an outrageous claim.
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Direct flight FTL certainly has with our current understanding of relativity and c but last I checked we didn't have a complete understanding of the universe(s) so I won't rule out faster than the speed of light travel completely. I would put it in the same probability as politicians spontaneously evolving into humans or disease, war, and famine being eliminated within the next 100 years.
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In the 1800's plenty of people had proven that manned flight was impossible. It was, using nothing but muscle power and steam power. It took having a small, light internal combusion engine and gasoline to make it possible.
FTL within the bounds of Newtonian physics is impossible. We have pretty much proven that with quantum physics there are a lot more things about the universe than Newton would have ever expected. I believe on a small scale we have already seen FTL movement of particles through quantum
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In the 1800's plenty of people had proven that manned flight was impossible. It was, using nothing but muscle power and steam power. It took having a small, light internal combusion engine and gasoline to make it possible.
No one had proven any such thing. Science made it clear that "manned flight" was most definitely possible, and scientists and engineers attempted to make flying machines at an ever increasing pace until their efforts resulted in success.
FTL within the bounds of Newtonian physics is impossible.
Newtonian physics has absolutely no problem with v>c.
We have pretty much proven that with quantum physics there are a lot more things about the universe than Newton would have ever expected. I believe on a small scale we have already seen FTL movement of particles through quantum entanglement.
No, not "movement," and no information traveled faster than c.
Also, while travel on a galactic scale is probably pointless without FTL, with the right power source we could easily achieve a substantial fraction of C making a trip to Alpha Centauri possible within 8-10 years. Still too long for cable news networks but certainly possible within human limits.
Maybe!
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No, those things are bigger on the inside than on the outside.
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It's just the seed money - a preliminary stage. They're paying $500,000 for the plan that would let us get to another star in 100 years. Ostensibly they would pay a fair bit more than that for the actual program.
It'd be like soliciting architectural plans. You don't want the architects to actually build the building for such a low cost, you just wanna see the design.
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From what I have seen it would take from thousands to tens of thousands of years to travel to the nearest star.
10% of the speed of light seems viable for small ships and 1% for large ones (well, unless you want to mine billions of tons of Helium-3), so you're really talking decades to centuries. But if you're going to live on a ship that takes centuries to travel to another star, there's probably not much point traveling to that star in the first place; you could just fly through space living on your ship... you'll need resources eventually but to survive on it for five hundred years you'll have to reduce your requi
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What should we call this device?
A brake.