How Earth Avoided a Fiery Premature Death 114
Hugh Pickens writes "Space.com has a piece about changing theories of planet migration. The classic picture suggests that planets like Earth should have plummeted into the sun while they were still planetesimals, asteroid-sized building blocks that eventually collide to form full-fledged planets. 'Well, this contradicts basic observational evidence, like We. Are. Here,' says astronomer Moredecai-Mark Mac Low. Researchers investigating this discrepancy came up with a new model that explains how planets can migrate as they're forming and still avoid a fiery premature death. One problem with the classic view of planet formation and migration is that it assumes that the temperature of the protoplanetary disk around a star is constant across its whole span. It turns out that portions of the disk are opaque and so cannot cool quickly by radiating heat out to space. So in the new model, temperature differences in the space around the sun, 4.6 billion years ago, caused Earth to migrate outward as much as gravity was trying to pull it inward, and so the fledgling world found equilibrium in its current, habitable, orbit. 'We are trying to understand how planets interact with the gas disks from which they form as the disk evolves over its lifetime,' adds Mac Low. 'We show that the planetoids from which the Earth formed can survive their immersion in the gas disk without falling into the Sun.'"
Neptune - Uranus shuffle (Score:5, Interesting)
For me the most amazing aspect of planetary migration is the probable exchange of order for Neptune and Uranus, with Neptune being thrown out to the position of outer planet; without it being ejected from the system, plunging into the Sun or colliding with other big body. Though who knows, perhaps some planet was doomed that way; certainly wild axial tilt of Uranus isn't a testament of calm times.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nice_model [wikipedia.org]
PS. There's some joke here, with Uranus ending up closer to the Sun, about total asses always ending the race in better place...
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ok neat, But how did the main asteroid belt form again,
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ok neat, But how did the main asteroid belt form again,
Roche Limit [wikipedia.org] fail? Jupiter was nearby, relatively speaking, could have been a disruptive influence.
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Gravitational influence of Jupiter; Roche limit - NO!!! That's a very specific term, dealing with tidal forces when bodies get very near. In case of Jupiter & asteroid belt it was more about orbital resonances & energy transfer.
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ok neat, But how did the main asteroid belt form again,
According to Heinlein, the inhabitants of the original 5th planet annoyed the Martians.
Re:Neptune - Uranus shuffle (Score:5, Funny)
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You may want to contact the manufacturer of your targeting system. It appears the target selection queue order has been accidentally reversed. Hopefully they have an update and you can finally get your kaboom.
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In space no one can hear your kaboom.
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Though who knows, perhaps some planet was doomed that way
One was -- Earth. They think the moon formed when a Mars-sized object collided with Earth, and the molten rock that splashed condensed and coalesced into what is now our moon.
What I wonder is how the collision affected its orbit?
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Not exactly. The body that caused formation of the Moon likely formed in Earth L4 or L5 point; technically making it not a planet. Coming from there also gives less chance for axial tilt such wild as in the case of Uranus...
Since it was already gravitationally bound with Earth, I don't think it changed its orbit in significant way.
Re:If it didn't happen, it wouldn't have happened. (Score:4, Insightful)
I suppose so but this article is about why it didn't happen.
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I think it's more about how it didn't happen. Why is left up to philosophers, theologians and the like.
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I first read that as "designed to exist." Was gonna mod you funny.
Re:If it didn't happen, it wouldn't have happened. (Score:5, Interesting)
Destiny doesn't really factor into it. What we're learning is that essentially our planet is rare. Rocky planet of about the right size, at about the right distance, where our planet didn't fall into the sun, nor did a gas giant falling inwards destroy us, and with a very large moon serving to stabilize the planet's wobble.
All those things coming together for our perfect scenario seem like being very, very against the odds, but the reality is that there's an effing huge number of stars in the universe, and repeat their formation process enough times and you're bound to get our scenario play out from time to time (it obviously happened here or we wouldn't be here).
Only downside is that with all these specific things we're learning that make Earth like planets so rare, it may just be the case that such planets are rare enough that we might as well be the only one. The reality is that if they were rare enough that there were only say, 1 such planet per galaxy, then while the universe itself would be pretty much swimming in Earth-like planets (billions of them), but we'd never be able to detect them, much less contact any possible civilizations on them.
Re:If it didn't happen, it wouldn't have happened. (Score:5, Insightful)
I just want to point out 1 more important factor in contacting, or meeting other civilizations in the universe: Time.
The age of our sun is a blink of an eye in the cosmological time scale. It's like tiny little lightbulbs going on and off and on and off. We might not reach an "on" one before ours turns "off", the destination is simply not turned on yet. It's a very lonely picture, but highly probable.
Not quite true. (Score:2)
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On the other hand, it is estimated that the universe will have stars in it for around 100 trillion years. Given that, the lifetime of a star like ours really is a blink of an eye, it's just that we will be one of the first ones to blink.
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Seeing how the development of life in general, and our technology in particular, seems to follow an exponential curve, I don't think that Sun dying really has much to do with that probability, unless it's going to die next m
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compact and clear. Great.
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Destiny doesn't really factor into it. What we're learning is that essentially our planet is rare. Rocky planet of about the right size, at about the right distance, where our planet didn't fall into the sun, nor did a gas giant falling inwards destroy us, and with a very large moon serving to stabilize the planet's wobble.
Are we learning that?
I thought things were heading in the opposite direction. Considering that we've been finding exoplanets basically as fast as our capability allows, and every time we
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Part of Earth being rare is linked to those discoveries though.
We know basically this: gas giants will form outside the orbits of rocky planets. The star is going to blow the gas outwards and so a gradient is established.
Now, from what we've been seeing, a huge portion of the planetary systems consist of one or more "hot Jupiters". Massive gas giants orbiting extremely close to their parent star. They almost certainly had to have formed farther out and migrated inwards - their orbits might not even be st
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Now, from what we've been seeing, a huge portion of the planetary systems consist of one or more "hot Jupiters". Massive gas giants orbiting extremely close to their parent star.
You mean a huge portion of planets we've found, and the reason for that is because they are by far the easiest exoplanets to find -- massive planets close to their sun create the most obvious wobble in the star and the shortest period over which to see it. These are the first exoplanets we were able to find, and we've been looking
Lottery analogy (Score:3, Interesting)
From the viewpoint of the lottery winner, it always look like destiny: "if my birthdate is the winning numbers, I must be special in some way".
From an outside viewpoint, some random guy won lottery because when millions of tickets are bought, there's a high probability that someone checked the winning numbers.
Difference is, in the case of a planet not forming, there's no exterior viewpoint: losers and non-players simply don't exist.
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Don't. It's a work of fiction and a pretty boring one at that.
All that begatting and not a bare breast in sight.
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Whatever next - suggesting that the kosher/halal rules for food make sense for avoiding food poisoning in a hot climate with no refrigeration? That's crazy talk!
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All that begatting and not a bare breast in sight.
You should check out R. Crumb's "Book of Genesis".
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All that begatting and not a bare breast in sight.
Plenty of sex (check out the Psalms sometime) and violence, though. Especially violence.
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I believe you are thinking of the erotic Song of Solomon
Yes, you're right. What little I know about the Bible was learned many years ago (and against my will) so it's sometimes a little sketchy.
The violence part still stands, though. Plenty of that all through the Old Testament.
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Re:It wasn't like that! (Score:4, Funny)
My haiku is poor!
Each line must end with p-tags!
I am mortified.
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--Greg (No, I'm not one of the folks who moderated it!)
Soft on outside Crunchy on inside (Score:5, Interesting)
This would seem to suggest the inner planets formed first and swept the disk of hard derbies, leaving nothing but the gas, which was ultimately blown outward by the pressure of the sun as the disk was swept clear of big chunks.
The gas giants would accumulate at a much slower rate, and almost by definition must be far younger than the rocky planets.
Then there are the oddball moons of the outer planets. Captured planetoids forming late, almost falling into the sun because the disk was pretty much cleared by that time, but being slung outward and captured by chance?
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This would seem to suggest the inner planets formed first and swept the disk of hard derbies...
Then the disk sang to the Sun: "I'd tip my hat to you, but I haven't got a hat".
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Say now...
I save my best spellink for peopl whu pay me...
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> This would seem to suggest the inner planets formed first and swept the disk
> of hard *derbies*...
So the Earth's crust is old hat?
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Who knows (Score:2, Insightful)
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Or maybe we ARE plummeting into sun, but at a rate that is too slow to be observable.
Al is that you?
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Or maybe we ARE plummeting into sun, but at a rate that is too slow to be observable.
Except for the fact that if something is falling slowly, it ain't a plummet. From the Oxford American Dictionary:
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I admit I didn't know the exact meaning of plummet when I posted it. Thanks for the info.
Now there's another interesting idea. It's possible that the fall is quick in comparison to the sun's or earth's age, while still being many orders of magnitude longer than human lifetime.
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Earth is plummeting towards the Sun, just always misses it.
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"Or maybe we ARE plummeting into sun, but at a rate that is too slow to be observable."
Well, we ARE plummeting into Sun at a very observable rate. It's only that such rate is exactly the same we move to the side to avoid the mark.
How did we avoid firey, premature death? (Score:5, Funny)
How Earth Avoided a Fiery Premature Death
The dinosaurs were smart (especially the Velociraptors). They stopped driving SUVs. That's why we're here.
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I had to check [google.com.au].
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The article isn't great for the lay-person (Score:5, Interesting)
My question is. Why does the gravitational effects of a gas disk around a star cause inward migration? The only thing I would expect to cause inward migration would be friction resulting in the loss of kinetic energy. I haven't the foggiest idea how a temperature gradient can cause matter to climb out of a gravity well. Maybe I should go looking for the original paper.
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Why does the gravitational effects of a gas disk around a star cause inward migration?
Throw a ball up... it comes down. This is gravity. The "base state" for gravity is everything sticking in the centre. Now when something has the right velocity this acceleration towards the centre just causes it to form an orbit around the body.
However given that gasses expand to fill up available space its very hard to have a stable orbit of gas moving at a constant velocity and thus obtaining an orbit. Gasses just do
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"Throw a ball up... it comes down. This is gravity. The "base state" for gravity is everything sticking in the centre."
Nope. Your ball analogy doesn't work here. Things in orbit STAY in orbit unless they somehow lose all of their kinetic energy. A ball behaves differently because it NEVER gains enough energy for an orbit. The article says it is the interaction between the cloud and the proto-planet that causes the proto-planets to migrate towards the sun.
"We show that the planetoids from which the Earth formed can survive their immersion in the gas disk without falling into the Sun."
I can understand this part. But the article also says that a gas disk with varying temperatures would cause certain orbits to migrate outwards instead of inwards and THIS
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Things in orbit STAY in orbit unless they somehow lose all of their kinetic energy.
Nope, they have to have ENOUGH velocity (Kinetic energy is about the energy required to get it to a given speed) at the right angle in order to counteract the acceleration of the object towards the planet. If the velocity (a vector) isn't right then it will either move out of the orbit into a further orbit (or even escape) if it is too fast or it will fall towards the planet if too slow (as inner orbits require faster veloci
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Yes. That's why I said things in orbit (meaning they already have an appropriate amount of speed in the right vector) stay in orbit... I didn't say random objects in the solar system stay in orbit.
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I can understand this part. But the article also says that a gas disk with varying temperatures would cause certain orbits to migrate outwards instead of inwards and THIS is why proto-planets can survive. But it doesn't say how a temperature gradient can cause migration.
My guess is that there's some sort of considerable net light pressure away from the star. Not acting directly on the planet, but on the gas cloud. What's probably different is that in old models, the light pressure acted only on the surface of the gas cloud, while in this model, due to the temperature gradient, you have light pressure much deeper in the cloud. This means the gas cloud is experiencing net force away from the star throughout a considerable portion of the cloud. That'll help keep planetoids fr
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I didn't read the whole article - far too mathematically dense - but I did get this understanding of the matter:
Planetesimals orbit under essentially the rules of Kepler ; this establishes a baseline of velocities for comparison.
A gas disk with a uniform temperature wi
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I haven't the foggiest idea how a temperature gradient can cause matter to climb out of a gravity well.
Thermophoresis [wikipedia.org] causes particles in a fluid to move because of a temperature gradient. The similarity parameters (Reynolds / Mach / Knudsen) for a planetesimal in an accretion disk are probably similar to the aerosal particles in air that the wiki article talks about.
Worst. Semantic. Structure. Ever. (Score:2, Insightful)
The incorrect use of periods to indicate emphasis is not linguistic evolution. It is just semantic stupidity. I wish it didn't catch on.
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Isn't it meant to emulate the delivery of one W. Shatner esquire, who pronounces each word as if it's a separate sentence?
Here's some more info (Score:4, Informative)
So look for more reports of this sort over the next few years. Still, it looks like a big jump forward for our early-solar-system models.
--Greg
Re:Here's some more info (Score:5, Informative)
You misread. The relevant paragraph is, "We used a one-dimensional model for this project," says co-author Wladimir Lyra, a postdoctoral researcher in the Department of Astrophysics at the Museum. "Three dimensional models are so computationally expensive that we could only follow the evolution of disks for about 100 orbits -- about 1,000 years. We want to see what happens over the entire multimillion year lifetime of a disk."
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Good catch. Thanks.
--Greg
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Presumably, you'd do your modeling as a slice through the disk. Basically, what you're interested in is the effects at different distances from the sun. Hopefully, you can ignore the part about distance above/below the ecliptic and the actual whizzing around the sun, and just focus on a single radial.
I probably *am* the only one. (Score:4, Funny)
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The question is, how many slahsdot readers would it take for the probability of you not being alone becoming non-negligent. Given that, and the rate at which we find new slashdot readers all the time. It only follows that one day someone just like you will be found. but they might have tentacles.
Premature? (Score:1)
How do we know if the death of Earth is premature? We have absolutely no relative data to compare an M-class planet's typical life.
0.3 billion years old (Score:3, Funny)
> 4.6 billion years ago
I like the way it's just a bit bigger than 2^32 to stop you using 32 bit variables for the year.
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That's why the appearance of 64-bit processors took so long in this solar system - never before necessary!
Premature death (Score:1)
Premature? More like "long overdue" amirite.
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gravity as a side effect (Score:2)
So in the new model, temperature differences in the space around the sun, 4.6 billion years ago, caused Earth to migrate outward as much as gravity was trying to pull it inward
Or, perhaps, gravity could be a consequence of temperature differences [scientificblogging.com], so the "pull" and the "push" don't really happen.
Something about this seems wrong to me... (Score:1)
Very informative article (Score:1)
half the stars may have planets (Score:2)
inference by nostalgia (Score:2)
Any statistic significantly skewed by adding or subtracting 1 to either your numerator or denominator is a statistic too fragile to support a conclusion.
The "we are here" argument is a functional celebration of innumeracy, which reminds me of Operation HUMBUG when Canada first introduced Metric: inference by nostalgia.
Contradicts basic observational evidence (Score:1)
'Well, this contradicts basic observational evidence, like We. Are. Here,' says astronomer Moredecai-Mark Mac Low.
Well, this didn’t stop dark matter supporters, did it? ;)
Best. Quote. Ever. (Score:2)
There is no better way to sum up some of the gaps between theoretical and applied science other than: "This contradicts basic observational evidence, like We. Are. Here." Did the proponents of the "classic" model not notice this minor flaw in their reasoning?
SirWired
Re:First post! (Score:4, Funny)
Morbo: Orbital mechanics do not work that way.
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Well then what part of orbital dynamics suggest the inner planets would have crashed into the sun?
After all, accretion would happen mostly from the "back" side (hemisphere opposite the orbital direction). The planetoid wouldn't "catch" anything in its orbit, but would be over taken by things on more elliptic orbits.
Therefore the impacts would be accellerative, and puhs the planetoid to a higher orbit.
So where did the original assumption that they would spiral into the sun come from?
Re:First post! (Score:5, Informative)
A transfer of angular momentum from one region of the disk to another would cause some section of the disk to migrate toward the sun while another set migrated outward. However, it probably isn't caused by a drag force through the residual gas in the disk as most of it is orbiting the same direction as the debris its self. As for accretion, it depends on the distribution of close encounters with objects in a more elliptical orbit. It's fairly easy for an object in orbit to catch up to an elliptically orbiting body.
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> It's fairly easy for an object in orbit to catch up to an elliptically orbiting body.
Well, not really.
Elliptical orbiters are going much faster as the approach the orbits of the inner planets, and they exit faster too. Most of these are crossing paths.
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Take a look at the velocity vectors; not all of that velocity is effectively directed in the same direction as the object it's colliding with that has a lower eccentricity.
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Well, yeah, I've wasted some youth at the pool table...
But of many thousands of hits by smaller objects one would expect it to sort of average out...
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Indeed, it should largely cancel; the momentum transfer should be a bell-like curve centered near zero depending on where the material is in the nebula.
Migration effects (Score:1, Informative)
So, the writer of the space.com article got a wee bit confused, understandably so given that it's quite a tricky topic.
The orbital migration is driven by three effects, one of which was neglected in the original calculations showing inspiral. The main one that was treated was the *imbalance* in the shapes of the spiral arms produced in the disk gas by the orbiting planet. Each spiral arm exerts a gravitational torque on the planet, and the negative torque (removing angular momentum, causing inward migrati
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Nothing. According to that theory, everything always gets sucked into everything else, and the universe would be one giant star. Obviously that's not the case, so anyone operating under that theory has a screw loose.
>Therefore the impacts would be accellerative, and puhs the planetoid to a higher orbit.
They don't need to. We could have started from a higher orbit and fallen inward to where we
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After all, accretion would happen mostly from the "back" side (hemisphere opposite the orbital direction).
Not really. Simulations show that the accretion happens pretty much symmetrically from both sides.
The planetoid wouldn't "catch" anything in its orbit, but would be over taken by things on more elliptic orbits.
In its precise orbit, no. But from nearby circular orbits? Yes. And the planets tend to feed on stuff from nearby like that. (They definitely have access, where is chance strikes from elliptical orbits are harder to engineer.)
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Why? When I drive in the rain more raindrops hit the front of my car than the back.
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Actually, no. Original poster is right, the gas in the disk orbits slightly slower than the solids do. So there is drag. However, the gas is pretty tenuous, so the drag only really affects things that are small, say less than a meter or so. (Or so classical theory has argued.)
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Yes, but going slower... makes you go faster. From a certain point of view.
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True, but I think what the OP meant was that it'd lose energy and move toward the Sun.
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