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Science Technology

Quake-Catcher Aims to be Largest Distributed Seismometer Network 75

Nature is reporting that a new distributed computing application is looking to monitor earthquake data using the accelerometer in many computing devices. In the long run, "Quake-Catcher" will hopefully be fast enough to give warning before major earthquakes. "If it works, it will be the cheapest seismic network on the planet and could operate in any country. It wouldn't be as sensitive as traditional networks of seismometers, but Lawrence says that's not the point. 'If you have only two sensors in an area, you have to have a perfect system. If you have 15 sensors in a system it [can] be less perfect. One hundred, one thousand, ten thousand -- your need for the system to be perfect becomes much smaller,' he says. 'That's really our approach -- just to have massive numbers.'"
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Quake-Catcher Aims to be Largest Distributed Seismometer Network

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  • by __aaclcg7560 ( 824291 ) on Friday March 28, 2008 @10:28PM (#22902286)
    How many more server mods do we need for Quake?
    • Just one more...
    • by Artuir ( 1226648 )
      If you've got a clan it's easy enough to skew the results. Just arm everyone with rocket launchers and fire simultaneously at any given point on the ground! Insta-quake Quake. :P
  • Accelerometers (Score:2, Interesting)

    by junner518 ( 1235322 )

    using the accelerometer in many computing devices
    Like a Wiimote?
    • Re: (Score:2, Offtopic)

      that would be VERY unreliable data.. laptops sit on desks when they're not being lugged around, but wiimotes? On carpets with kids running around, or god forbid on couches.
      • Re:Accelerometers (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Harmonious Botch ( 921977 ) * on Friday March 28, 2008 @11:05PM (#22902468) Homepage Journal
        The aggregate would be reliable, not the individual data.
      • Re:Accelerometers (Score:4, Informative)

        by zappepcs ( 820751 ) on Friday March 28, 2008 @11:16PM (#22902534) Journal
        Every piece of data that can be corroborated will help. Sure, wiimotes shake normally, but if all of them in L.A. start shaking.. well that is something to look at. That is what the summary alludes to with the statement that with more than 2 sensors the system can be less precise.

        The fact that you could have corroboration from 1500 points in a 75 square mile area is quite an improvement on what they have now, and at a much cheaper price.

        If you spend time analyzing data, it's amazing what you can find. That is one of the reasons that the US government wants to monitor everyone's communications... to spot small trends... and of course to gather evidence to use against political rivals thus ensuring their unending reign of ... what did the French call them ? oh yeah, terrorists

        Back on track. The sensitivity of things like the wiimote add huge potential to such an endeavor. Just through sheer numbers, the size of the area shaking makes a big difference on the impact or relevance of the seismic event. It's physics, and if you are trying to see the true graph of something, the more data points you have to plot, the more informative it is. Even if some of the sensors are unreliable, they have the ability to ignore anomalous readings and use those that match others. Since you can be certain that there is an event happening (old system still in place) you can ignore or throw out data from sensors that are TOO active or not active at all, then sift through what is left to see what you find.

        I'm reasonably certain that they will see a lot when they learn the true extent of the area affected by any particular event. For example, if the event stays limited to only the fault area it would be much different than if an entire area were affected outside the fault line area. Having thousands of sensors will help show that. Perhaps through this they will learn that certain geologic structures actually do redirect the energy to other areas, allowing predictions of damage to match what before were unpredictable events thus adding perhaps minutes to the warning times. That would save lives and that is what they want to do. Mapping effects through an area will help. Thousands of sensors will help achieve that despite the seemingly unreliability of the sensors themselves.

        There are millions of ants in an ant hill, kill a couple hundred and they carry on. This is the same sort of idea.
        • OK but I don't think you're grasping how great the unreliability would be for any sort of localized quake warning system. But it would work on a far larger level.. say, if there are 20 wiimotes in a square mile and 19 of them are shaking, find the average sensitivity and use that to color the pixel representing that square mile in a map of the United States. Zoom out. It would be fascinating to see what that map looks like.
      • On carpets with kids running around
        All the the same time, in all locations?
        That'd be awesome! They might even bring down a bridge or two...
        • Every child jumping at once... blow out volcano craters all around the world and sink the crust to the bottom of the mantle :D
  • Similar Project? (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Talkischeap ( 306364 )

    I signed up for the Tsunami Harddisk Detector project, but don't know if they are related.

    "Thanks for your interest in the Tsunami Harddisk Detector project. We are currently installing the system on a world wide basis. To keep the system in a stable state, further installation is an incremental process. We have put you on our mailing list and will inform you as soon as we can make the software available to you. Best regards, Michael Stadler ____________________ www.ninsight.at "

    So I sent off an email

  • Hope is not a plan (Score:3, Insightful)

    by westlake ( 615356 ) on Friday March 28, 2008 @11:28PM (#22902620)
    In the long run, "Quake-Catcher" will hopefully be fast enough to give warning before major earthquakes.

    and the scientific basis for prediction is what, exactly?

    a meaningful prediction has to be precise in location and in time.

    time is the enemy:

    the thirty second warning is little better than "duck and cover" if it cannot be communicated effectively.

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      In the long run, "Quake-Catcher" will hopefully be fast enough to give warning before major earthquakes.


      and the scientific basis for prediction is what, exactly?

      Precursor tremors [findarticles.com].
    • by Animats ( 122034 ) on Friday March 28, 2008 @11:49PM (#22902712) Homepage

      the thirty second warning is little better than "duck and cover" if it cannot be communicated effectively.

      Actually, a 30 second warning is quite useful, but not to humans. There are such warning systems in California. When the warning system trips, elevators stop at the nearest floor, subways and BART trains stop, gas valves at schools and mobile home parks close, and some hazardous processes shut down.

      But the data from that comes from fixed seismic stations, not somebody's random accelerometer.

      • Actually, a 30 second warning is quite useful, but not to humans. There are such warning systems in California.

        I was aware that this was being tried.

        But has anything been proven in the real world? Has a 30 second warning ever stopped a train?

        It's not much time to communicate anything useful to a system as mechanically constricted as a passenger elevator. You can't change speed or direction instantaneously. Level the cars. Open the doors.

        There are quite simple cup-and ball solutions to shutting off the

    • I'm sure Jesse Lawrence, PhD, professor of seismology, hasn't thought of that! You'd better e-mail him right away and tell him how worthless his plan is!
      • I'm sure Jesse Lawrence, PhD, professor of seismology, hasn't thought of that!

        can you link to a single prediction - or even a theoretical basis for prediction - that has stood up to critical examination? yielded the right time? the right place? the right magnitude?

    • the thirty second warning is little better than "duck and cover" if it cannot be communicated effectively.

      Except that "duck and cover" can be fairly useful, and it is a hell of a lot better than nothing. Insofar as earthquakes go, thirty seconds warning could get me out out of this room, filled with bookcases and other missile hazards, and into a small hallway that's nothing but doorways (and thus extremely strong and safer in a quake).
    • by IvyKing ( 732111 )
      Thirty seconds would be a huge help for a nuclear power plant - this would be more than enough time to start the back-up diesel generators and shut down the reactor.


      Thirty seconds would also be enough time to bring most rapid transit systems to a halt - though I wouldn't want to be halted in the middle of a long tunnel, especially BART's transbay tunnel.

  • I can definitely see seismologists not paying attention to their warning equipment while they're busy pwning some n00bs.
  • Seriously, Gamespy already did this like 13 years ago.
  • So, Sparky the poodle starts chewing on a Macbook, and meanwhile, in a remote location, seismologists freak out that Indiana is falling into the sea
  • Seriously, did no one think of the Tremors [imdb.com] series while reading this?
  • A few months ago I wrote up a post [evilmadscientist.com] wondering why no one had done this yet. Put those accelerometers to work!
  • oblig (Score:1, Funny)

    by turtleAJ ( 910000 )
    Wow! Imagine a Beowulf cluster of these!!
  • Will this be a separate channel on my WII?

  • Tagged: 'noclip'
  • Am I the only one picturing a group of 4chan wackos simultaneously shaking the shit out of their MacBooks ?

    Don't put anything in the hands of people unless you're ready to deal with the collective stupidity of said people.
  • I have interest in earthquakes and I have setup my own seismometers to record earthquakes. Now given what I know about earthquakes doubt that this plan is going to work. Not only because of the false signals he is going to get, but because with just only two sensors (even with more sensors like this I still doubt that this is going to work) that aren't sensitive enough to detect the pre-earthquakes when they happen, he isn't going to be able to predict a larger earthquake in one area. But small pre-earthqu
  • ...for going to the effort to implement this idea. IMHO this network's real goal should be to provide rapid warning of an earthquake that is already happening:

    http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=440258&cid=22283136 [slashdot.org]

    I do not see how anyone's privacy is violated if the government monitored the Internet and looked for patterns of computers going off line. An disk shaped pattern expanding at about 5000 m/s would be one pattern to look for.

"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts." -- Bertrand Russell

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