

Thimerosal Does Not Cause Autism 298
jamie found an article over at Washington Monthly discussing the recent finding that there is no link between thimerosal and autism. It seems that after the mercury-based vaccine preservative was withdrawn from use in 1999, no drop in autism rates has been observed in a large California study. Here's the Science Daily writeup on the study, published in the Archives of General Psychiatry.
And it isn't even used in vacciens anymore (Score:2, Interesting)
Because of that our vaccines are significantly les stable and have shorter shelf lives!
Re:And it isn't even used in vacciens anymore (Score:4, Insightful)
Don't forget the added "benefit" that now people are extra scared of vaccines because of all of this.
Re: (Score:3, Informative)
These are researchers looking to make a huge splash, and their premise is faulty. While it is possible that the removal of the thimerosal is making no change, it is impossible at this point to reach that conclusion. We would need to have a stable rate for autism in the general population before this sort of statistical analysis is adequate.
That being said, it could very well turn out that
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Of course it's possible to reach that conclusion, the evidence has not ever supported the supposed link with autism. This new study is nothing more than another nail in the coffin of this conspiracy theory.
As for "safety", what is much more unsafe than a tiny amount of mercury is vaccinating less people against horrible diseases. Many vaccines have always been slightly unsafe (e.g. those made from weakened but complete germs) and that has never been an argument for avoiding vaccination.
Re: (Score:3, Interesting)
Do not conflate the MMR theory with that of thimerosal as a cause of autism. The two are totally different [...]
Actually, there is absolutely no way to separate them. They are being promoted by the exact same people (Wakefield went from attacking MMR in the UK to attacking Thimerosal in the US without batting an eyelid - of course, he's facing severe charges of scientific fraud if he ever shows his face in the UK again), and one of the arguments is that Thimerosal is used in the production of MMR and other multi-vaccines to help combine the individual component vaccines into one. Of course, once Thimerosal was con
Re: (Score:2, Informative)
Not sure I want it back. (Score:3, Insightful)
Until that point, I'm not big on the idea of injecting a solution containing a large amount of ethylmercury into my body. Most mercury compounds aren't really anything that anyone would want to inject.
It's no better to be irrationally pro-ethylmercury just because it's a good preservative...The reason the uninformed freak out
Re: (Score:2)
Which is not an issue in the west (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Informative)
1. lots of clinics with reliable refrigeration will let those clinics preserve samples where an outbreak of something really nasty, such as Ebola Zaire, is suspected. Better roads, or even runways and committed planes, will let local governments and the UN respond to such outbreaks more quickly. A dedicated radio type link w
Re: (Score:3, Informative)
What is not in question is that, since 1999, the amount of Mercury children have been receiving via Thimerosol has dropped drastically but the rate of autism diagnosis is still increasing.
Turned on its head you could argue that since the rate of autism has increased since the removal of Thimerosol, then Thimerosol must actually have a protective effect against autism. (That assertion is, of course, utter nonsense. But that's what you get when you go chasing a non-corre
Conspiracy nutters won't be discouraged (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Conspiracy nutters won't be discouraged (Score:5, Funny)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2, Funny)
I used to be a grader at Lehigh for the Informal Logic course - trust me, there are some folks you CAN'T teach logic to.
And if there's anyone out there who took the course between about '87 & '90: I'm the one who graded your homework "0 plus" on a scale from 0 to 2 - you may have handed it in, but there was no resemblance in any of your answers to anything remotely resembling log
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2, Interesting)
Most of the so called "fallcies" you claim are far from that. The people I know who are anti-vaccine generally tend to be more intelligent, better educated and
Re: (Score:2)
Please link to the studies you're talking about and I'll be glad to take a look at them.
Re:Conspiracy nutters won't be discouraged (Score:4, Insightful)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
He puts the same level of fact (and coincidentally, about the same mix of ad hominem and frustration) as in your original post, and you tear him apart.
Re: (Score:2)
"The people I know who are anti-vaccine generally tend to be more intelligent, better educated and questioning than the people who aren't."
I'm a bit rusty on my fallacies, for I've misremembered the name of this one--but no, you cannot claim that because your particular group is somehow 'smarter' your argument is automatically correct.
Error 1: It assumes facts not proven (viz. the allegedly high intelligence of this particular group).
;-)
Error 2: It's another form of Appeal to Authority. The argument runs something like: (i) my group is a smart group; (ii) my group has concluded A; (iii) therefore, you should conclude A.
HTH.
Re: (Score:2)
PARAGRAPHS! PARAGRAPHS! PARAGRAPHS!
Re:Conspiracy nutters won't be discouraged (Score:4, Informative)
Cite or get off the pot. Speaking of which, I would suggest this paper [ehponline.org] and this paper [informaworld.com] as a good start. There is major concern from Thimerosal toxicity in long term treatments, such as blood plasma programs, due to the introduction of more Thimerosal to the system then ethylmercury, the type of mercury that Thimerosal becomes, can be cleared. However, there seems to be more risk from dental amalgam then a single vaccination. Concern should be for long term series, such as a long term gamma globulin series, which is becoming rare.
Re:Conspiracy nutters won't be discouraged (Score:4, Interesting)
Western society (and, it seems, the US in particular) has developed into a culture of blame. In some ways, it is understandable, as it is much easier to find someone to blame and from whom to demand retribution than to face up to the harsh realities of life, but it is not very productive. People need to understand that life is hard and often unfair, that they need to take responsibility for themselves and their kin, and that sometimes things get broken that you just can't fix - you have to cope and move on.
Autism is a very complex subject. Autism-spectrum disorders are actually much more common than one would think, and statistics seem to show they are on the rise. Part of the reason is that it was previously (and may still be) underdiagnosed due to social stigma and a poor understanding of the milder forms. Another part of it is that there seems to be a correlation between autism-spectrum disorders and other characteristics which are favorable to success and survival in an industrial society, which basically means that natural selection is currently working in favor of autism (just like natural selection works in favor of sickle-cell anemia in parts of Africa because it is linked with improved resistance to malaria). The most blatant evidence in favor of the latter interpretation is that autism-spectrum disorders seem to occur more often in children whose parents both work in IT or engineering.
Personally, I suspect that once we come to realize and accept that far more people thank we think suffer from varying degrees of autism, it will become clear that autism is in fact hereditary and that neither Thimerosal nor any other chemicals really have anything to do with it.
By the way, autism is far more survivable / treatable than was previously believed (or than many people still seem to think). Forget Rain Man; many autistic children who even thirty years ago would have been doomed to a life in an institution can actually be taught to function in normal life if you take the time to try to understand them (something medical professionals used to think was below their dignity). Elizabeth Moon (author of the Paksenarrion series) was told some twenty-odd years ago that her son was congenitally incapable of processing language, yet she taught him to speak, and to interact socially, and in the process developed a different idea of what autism is than what was prevalent at the time (in particular, she considers autism a developmental problem rather than a cognitive one). She has also written both fiction and non-fiction on the subject, which you may find worth your time to look up.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Actually, there are many studies which refute this, and I think the scientific verdict is still up in the air. However, we'll know in the next decade or so-- diagnoses of the whole spectra of disorders is so widespread now that you'd definitely see a peak and drop if this were the cause.
I think many people agree with you that there are probably environmental triggers which are more
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
They'll just blame something else in vaccines (Score:5, Insightful)
It's a bit like homeopathy in reverse. Many of these guys have a superstitious fear of "toxins," and no matter how low the level might be, they will be convinced that it is poisoning their kids.
Of course, the real problem is that the age at which autism symptoms develop is about the same as the age when kids normally get their shots. A reasoned explanation of the difference between correlation and causality is often beyond the grasp of parents who are desperate for an explanation, or better yet, somebody to blame.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
I've already heard the claim that it's the thimerosal in your vaccinations that causes autism in your kids.
This isn't mere superstition we're taking about. This is a full-on conspiracy theory. In fact, full-on antivaxers really seem to think that "mercury poisoning" is some kind of demon posession, even to the point of staging elaborate and deadly exo
Re:They'll just blame something else in vaccines (Score:5, Informative)
And you are presenting this in favor of the hypothesis that vaccines cause autism? Seriously?
And who told you this? The guys selling "vaccines cause autism" books and quack chelation therapy? I was at the Neuroscience meeting in San Diego last year, and I saw row on row of posters describing work on the causes of autism. Try this: go to PubMed [nih.gov] and type "autism" into the search box. There have been some important recent breakthroughs indicating a genetic basis for autism [harvardmagazine.com]. Identifying the genes is an important step toward figuring out what goes wrong and developing a therapy. What doesn't contribute is investing yet more time and money pursuing the long-rejected notion that mercury or vaccines causes autism.
Oh wow, an article in the respected scientific journal Rolling Stone. And it has not been refuted by anyone? Not even here? [blogs.com] Or here? [blogspot.com] Or here? [aappublications.org] Or here? [neurodiversity.com]
Re: (Score:2)
This is established (Score:5, Informative)
Isn't this too short a time to draw conclusions? (Score:2)
Taking screening at 24 months (autism can take up to 19 months or so before it becomes evident), that means the test is using 6 years of data -- 6 years during which the testing times for screening autism have changed and the tests themselves have changed. This means that a lot of children who would not have been fla
Autism detectible earlier than is commonly found (Score:3, Interesting)
I have no idea why these earlier tests aren't being used (looking for rapid excessive head growth, lack of eye contact, etc) - especially since they don't require fancy equipment or major investments.
I find the head growth particularly fascinating (here's a link to the abstract)
http://jcn.sagepub.com/cgi/content/short/22/10/1182 [sagepub.com]
I don't mean to be the guy everyone hates, but... (Score:2)
'statistical correlation' != 'causes'
I know enough people who have observed a direct correlation between their children being injected with mercury and an observable shift in behaviour to be concerned about injecting mercury into my children. I also know enough people who have observed a correlation between chelation and improvement in the child's intelligence, even in later years, to try chelation if I ever have an autistic child.
I know that some people, when
Re: (Score:2)
What? How the hell do you figure that? The recorded diagnoses of autism rose at roughly the same rate as vaccination using vaccines containing mercury as a preserving agent. Based on the subsequent hue and cry, the mercury preserving agents were removed. Thus, exposure to mercury as a preserving agent in vaccines has fallen to zero. Despite this, the number of autism diagnoses has not dropped. Therefore, there is no other conclusion but to say that the m
Re: (Score:2)
The term you're looking for is "power". Obviously the study didn't have 100% power, and some tiny effect might have gone undetected. As the authors say (I don't know why you're demanding "references" so angrily, as if the link here didn't contain a thorough summary and more than enough information to find the original article [ama-assn.org]) what can be excluded is that thimerosal had any major effect.
Re: (Score:2)
Correlation is, roughly, necessary but not sufficient for causation. Two variables that are statistically correlated are correlated, but they may not have a causal relationship. Two variables that have a causal relationship will be correlated. Two variables that are uncorrelated have no causal relationship.
Correlation is the clouds and causation is the rain, if you will.
The rest of the ggp is all anecdotal, which is not the same as correlation. (
Re:I don't mean to be the guy everyone hates, but. (Score:2)
Point missed in a very major way. We really need some better education standards, paticularly simple science that describes the difference between elements and compounds. What we are seeing here is the stupid alzheimer's disease vs aluminium debate dumbed down a notch and instead of misleading evidence (was contamination by a preservative in that case) we have no evidence.
Autism Isn't Rising (Score:2, Insightful)
Age and volume vs. thimerisol (Score:3, Insightful)
Anecdotally, of the 6 children in my son's special education kindergarten class, 3 of the children developed seizure disorders within a week of similar vaccinations, one of which was administered at one week of age. Most countries wait until at least 6 months of age before beginning the injections of MMR and DtAP vaccines.
Personally I think that thimerisol is a red herring distracting folks from considering any contributing factors of age and volume of vaccines administered. I think we'd do well to compare current vaccinations correlation to autism versus a program that staggers vaccinations with individual vaccines starting at 6 months of age to see how much that contributes to the rate of autism.
And the plural of anecdote is.....? (Score:3, Informative)
Given that a child's immune system is at best only partially developed before the age of six months, it's somewhat irritating to me that doctors regularly inject 7 vaccines at a time into children as young as 1 month of age.
Um, there's your answer. Your 5 year old does not need as much protection as your 5 month old, because the 5 year old is more capable of fighting infection. The only reason we don't give newborns a full round of shots as soon as they come out of mom is that they have to reach a certain age to respond well to most shots (not so to hep B.)
Most countries wait until at least 6 months of age before beginning the injections of MMR and DtAP vaccines.
First off, its DTaP, not DtAP (which becomes important below.)
Second your statement is quite untrue. If you look at the WHO's vaccine information, you can see the va
Would you risk your child? (Score:2)
I'm a recent parent who insisted on a thiemerasol-free vaccine for my child. Note that I'm not against vaccines -- I just asked for the one without the mercury. They're available and didn't cost anything extra.
Why? Because if there was even a 1/1000th of a percent of a chance that it could cause irreparable harm I wasn't going to take the risk. I don't put much stock in
Re: (Score:2)
> harm I wasn't going to take the risk.
So then, your child will never cross a road?
(I'm a parent, but this is ridiculous)
Re: (Score:2)
I'm also a parent and see nothing wrong with eliminating a risk when there's no developmental benefit to exposing the child to that risk. (e.g. take the Phthalates out of toys). Expose the child to risks that will help him develop (e.g. don't use stupid hand sanitizers every 10 seconds, let them take the risk of getting a cold and develop a healthy immune system).
-G
Re: (Score:2)
Now, the thing is, when something isn't 100% sure, nothing you
Re: (Score:2)
There are alternative cost-effective preservatives/methods that don't involve using thimerosal. Basically it boils down to this: Why take the risk, no matter how small, if you can eliminate it altogether at relatively no/low cost?
The best part is that you can arrive that conclusion using jus
Re: (Score:2)
These matters aren't quite as simple as you make them out to be. Thimerosol is an antiseptic, antifungal agent. What's the likelihood t
Put my child on the "alter" of science? No. (Score:3, Insightful)
BTW, children can die by water, even in a bath. ANd that is fact, not just "alter" of science. I know. I have pulled them from the bottom of a lake.
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Re: (Score:2)
I do tend to put my faith in doctors and scientists. Maybe that is because I know a few of them.
The truth is that they know Mercury is dangerous, they know that it is being put into vaccines that there kids have taken, so logically it should be looked at
Re: (Score:2)
The parents are often desperate and deluded, but I've more often than that seen cases in which unscrupulous "therapists" tout various types of undocumented snake oil in order to capitalize on that desperation. I've seen parents that will try all kinds of chelation, crazy diets, sensory therapy, etc. to no avail--and the lack of results often doesn't diminish their determination in trying these wacky treatments. They are fighting as hard as possible to help their kids and others are capitalizing o
Re: (Score:2)
Currently. The thing is that there must be a cause. Probably a physical cause of some kind. Viral, chemical, or genetic. Probably a combination of genetic and some trigger. Once we know that we may come up with better treatments. Looking for the cause is a good thing, reacting out of fear and panic is a bad thing.
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Re: (Score:2)
But the fact is that very few of them have the expertise or the knowledge to make valid judgments about this issue, and yet they continue to spread unsupported claims about vaccination as though they were facts.
You say they don't have the expertise or the knowledge, but I think what they don't have is a solid, scientific explanation for the things they see happening before their eyes. As I read on a different Slashdot post earlier today, the plural of anecdote is not data, but you may be surprised to know how many parents witness seizures in their children the same day they have a vaccination, and then over time the autism sets in. Jenny McCarthy was on Oprah a few months back discussing this same thing, and
Re: (Score:2)
Here's another one: sample size cannot overcome sample bias. What you have is a very biased population coming together and drawing conclusions based on their size.
To have any real discussion and make any kind of progress, we have to be able to at least listen t
Re: (Score:3, Informative)
It quickly became obvious to othe
Re: (Score:3, Interesting)
The anti-thimerisol movement has been driven largely by parents of autistic children looking for an explanation (I'm not unsympathetic, but that shouldn't affect the scientific method) and the anti-vaccination lobby, which is a mix of paranoiacs and people who can't see that a small number of vaccine-caused deaths is preferable to a larger number of d
Re: (Score:2)
Nice attempt to discredit the climate science by implication, though.
I wouldn't necessarily assume that. There are so many things he could have been attempting to discredit - why do you assume climate change?
For instance, it is pretty sensible to respond to climate change by increasing energy efficiency wherever possible. Worst case scenario is improved productivity, competitiveness, and profit.
You need to explain what you mean by "increasing energy efficiency" then. If we are talking about product design, then increasing energy efficiency could very well mean LESS productivity, competitiveness, and profit. If you are talking about lifestyle changes, well, bicycling to work rather than driving would definitely decrease my productivity, and moving closer
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Funny)
Re: (Score:2)
Doesn't the act meet definition of terrorism by a chance?
Re: (Score:3, Informative)
The link to autism has never been there, every study has shown it. Its time to spend money looking for the real culprit and not blaming vaccines.
A more likely route is look at the age of the fathers, there seems to be evidence pointing to parental age having to be a likely cause of autism rates rising (that and the mass over diagnosis, and more mental illnesses being classified as Autism.)
This is not a simple issue. And the mercury = autism
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Re: (Score:2)
If you look at autism statistics in northern california (aka tech central) they're a lot higher than the national average. Now what is fairly unique about this area? Yes, it's full of engineers. People who are good at math and logic and perhaps having some social shortcomings. Given that we didn't start diagnosing autism in milder cases until quite recently a significant fraction of them could be mild autistic cases themselv
Re: (Score:2, Funny)
I love the way my earlier post is modded as a troll. NOTE TO FUCKWIT MOD: Having a contrary opinion backed up by actual knowledge is NOT a troll.
Do you have links to your "actual knowledge" for verification? Note that GeoCities pages with animated spinning GIF skulls and flames are not considered reliable sources of information.
Are your precious bodily fluids pure? (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Correction, there's been a big increase in the rates of diagnosis of autism, which is an entirely differe
Re: (Score:2)
It's also a documented fact that the exposure of the US population to Starbucks coffee spiked starting around 1990. Why isn't that being investigated in correlation to the autism "spike"?
Or, to spell it if you didn't catch my drift: two events occuring in succession don't necessarily have any causal relationship.
Re: (Score:2)
But not every pregnant woman receives flu vaccine, so surely there would be some decrease in the rates due to removal of mercury from other vaccines, shouldn't there? And if there is some delay due to old stocks, one would by now have expected the rates to have dropped in other count
You got that right (Score:3, Insightful)
That's for sure. My nephew is autistic, and I have met some of the other children who receive IBI therapy with him. I know that autism is a continuum and not a binary variable, but I think that calling some of those kids autistic is a bit of a stretch. Admittedly, I an no expert in such matters, and for all I know, the exp
Re: (Score:2)
Re:Trigger, not cause (Score:4, Insightful)
Even if it were just "triggering" autism, the removal of thimerosal would, eventually, result in a change of the frequency of observed autism. It doesn't.
Re: (Score:2)
If a major source of the "trigger" goes away, and the incidence rate doesn't drop noticably, the trigger wasn't doing anything.
Re: (Score:2)
Well, all of those things could be true, but that's not what the anti-vax crowd has been crowing about all this time. They've specifically pointed to vaccines => mercury => a
Re: (Score:2, Informative)
It's EVERYWHERE!
Re:Mercury (Score:4, Informative)
Sodium(I) is critical for sustaining life.
Just because Mercury is toxic, and organomercury compounds will kill you stone dead, doesn't mean every single compound with mercury in it isn't safe. Oxidation state and ligands make all the difference. Linking to "Mercury hazards" is meaningless.
A descriptive demonstration I like to repeat... (Score:3, Insightful)
Oxygen and hydrogen are explosive and flammable gasses. Water is made of oxygen and hydrogen. It is obviously wrong, though, to posit that drinking water will cause a person to catch fire and explode.
It's not a completely parallel situation, natch, but it's vivid enough an example that people might actually listen.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Funny)
Obligatory fluoride-related movie quote.... (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Funny)
"Coming right up, sir. Enjoy your trip."
Re: (Score:2)
Ruling out things that are not the cause is an excellent way to narrow down the number of things we need to study, and propel research in this field into looking in new directions. Proving and disproving are both valuable efforts in the scientific method. I fully agree that we need to keep looking for the cause of autism, but the fact that this study definitively tells us w
Re:Any contradictory beliefs must be beaten down (Score:4, Insightful)
Here are my top five "better suggestions":
5) Increased genetic susceptibility among the human race as a whole.
4) Increased awareness of autism spectrum disorders.
3) Better diagnostic methods.
2) Relaxed criteria for positive diagnosis.
And my #1 favorite:
1) Any of a number of synthetic chemicals children might be exposed to in increasing amounts today, rather than decreasing amounts like thimerosal.
It could be any combination of any, all, or none of the above. Chances are it's more than just one thing and, as this study suggests, thimerosal does not appear to be one of them.
Re:Any contradictory beliefs must be beaten down (Score:5, Funny)
Increasing gas mileage and alternate energy
Voting machine fraud, WMD's, Kennedy, John Lennon, Ghandi, Tim Leary,
GM vs. Organic food. Smoking causing or not causing cancer, Marijuana
Tesla, Laithwaite, Hutchinson, Darwin, Galileo, Copernicus, Columbus
Perendev, Searl, Cold Fusion, The Earth Being round, String Theory, E8,Quantum Physics , Roswell
Jesus, Moses, Noah, The Ark of the covenant, the chalice, Troy, 12/12/2012, the holocaust, revelations.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Funny)
Re:We'll all start listening to scientists any min (Score:2)
The rate of deadly infectious diseases is far below the rate of autism. That's plenty of reason to make "radical" choices. A child can be vaccinated later if circumstances change, and the likelihood of the child developing autism goes down drastically with age. But a child's brain is very delicate in the first
Re: (Score:2)
Can anybody suggest why that might be the case?
While I can agree that any research that gives us information is a good thing, I think that our research time might have been better spent elsewhere, since it appears to have confirmed what the experts have been saying all along. Would I welcome a study that shows that good oral hygiene doesn't lead to ca
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Are these are 'upsides' or 'downsides' to you?
Assuming you don't vaccinate and (s)he has autism anyway. What then?
Re: (Score:2)
They won't die or be crippled for life from a preventable infectious disease. Good enough?
Re: (Score:2)