Safest Seat on a Plane, Or How to Survive a Crash 454
Ant writes "Popular Mechanics shares a short article on an exclusive look at 36 years' worth of National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) reports and seating charts to determine the best way to live through a disaster in the sky. Move to the back of the Airbus."
It's safer in the back and... (Score:5, Funny)
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/ne ws/2007/07/19/wfat119.xml [telegraph.co.uk]
This is absurd to concern oneself with anyway since the death rate for commercial air travel is around 0.14 per billion miles. The death rate for automobile travel is 11,350% higher.
http://www.dallasfed.org/fed/annual/2001/ar01f.htm l [dallasfed.org]
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If I die, the fact that I've travelled a large distance in the process will hardly be much of a consolation.
Replacing deaths/mile by deaths/hour gives figures far less different.
Re:It's safer in the back and... (Score:5, Insightful)
Replacing deaths/mile by deaths/hour gives figures far less different.
But even at that, statistics are largely irrelevant on an individual scale. Statistically, you can say that every time someone flies on a plane, they lose 15 minutes off their life. This is, however, only true in the aggregate, as the loss is not spread across all passengers, but rather concentrated in those rare instances when 150 people lose an average of 30-odd years each all at once because they died in a plane crash.
/If/ you die? (Score:4, Funny)
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Comment removed (Score:4, Funny)
Re:It's safer in the back and... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:It's safer in the back and... (Score:5, Funny)
During the crash you will be covered with turds and blue water before being incinerated with jet fuel. Which is about as dignified as the rest of air travel these days.
Re:It's safer in the back and... (Score:5, Funny)
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If there's one bit of mysticism I believe.. (Score:5, Insightful)
Which is good, cause it fits in nicely with a bit of wisdom that a lot of people should take to heart:
don't worry about stuff you have no control over.
Re:If there's one bit of mysticism I believe.. (Score:5, Insightful)
rj
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Now back to the actual point. The GP wrote "if your time has come". This outcome is not determinable in advance. If you die in a crash then your time has come. If you survive then your time has not come. This is kind of like Schrodinger's cat.
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Trust me, I don't want to worry about anything, but I'm too worried not to.
Infinite loop head explode.
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Which is exactly the point of this article -- you DO have some control over survival!
Control (Score:2)
Usually when I fly I'm in the pilot's seat. Is this:
(1) good because I have control, or:
(2) bad because having control means I should worry?
Sit in the rear (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Sit in the rear (Score:5, Funny)
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My dad told me that 20 years ago!
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Its not just a theory, it did happen this way for flight 901 in 1979. There were no survivors, all 257 passengers and crew died in the initial impact (with Mount Erebus) and fireball.
What are the odds? (Score:5, Insightful)
Therefore, a far more useful article would be "How to survive driving off a seaside cliff into the ocean."
Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Insightful)
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Re:What are the odds? (Score:4, Insightful)
PItch motions are usually pretty gentle in airliners. Roll motions can be more severe, especially in widebodies. Sit closer to the centerline. On a one-aisle plane, sit in an aisle seat; on a two-aisle plane, sit in the middle bank of seats (a center seat is best). That said, sitting close to the wing isn't a bad idea either.
Re:What are the odds? (Score:4, Funny)
Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Funny)
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Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Interesting)
"Aortic dissection. This is what kills you. It's the most common, lethal deceleration injury. Of course if you're going fast enough you're simply crushed, but at "lower" speeds a sudden deceleration is enough to rotate the heart (which is fairly mobile in the chest) and rip it off the aorta (which is fixed to the posterior chest wall). The arteriovenous ligament doesn't help, either. So the aorta ruptures and you die of a cardiac tamponade. Oh and this is how Princess Diana died."
They wanted to install seats facing backwards in airplanes specifically to reduce the deaths from the initial crash. Howver, they determined that the flying public wouldn't accept rear-facing seats. Considering all the BS the flying public puts up with nowadyas, maybe its time to float the idea again.
Oh, another Princess Di joke - "I heard Princess Di was on the radio... And the dash. And the seat ..."
Re:What are the odds? (Score:4, Funny)
Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Interesting)
Aortic dissection. This is what kills you. It's the most common, lethal deceleration injury. Of course if you're going fast enough you're simply crushed, but at "lower" speeds a sudden deceleration is enough to rotate the heart (which is fairly mobile in the chest) and rip it off the aorta (which is fixed to the posterior chest wall). The arteriovenous ligament doesn't help, either. So the aorta ruptures and you die of a cardiac tamponade. Oh and this is how Princess Diana died.
That's a good story. I wonder if it's true.
By a strange coincidence (only on Slashdot), I just went to a conference on aortic surgery. And I used to edit the Stapp Car Crash Conference Proceedings in the 1970s (great series) and I remember at least one article on aortic damage.
Bottom line: Most of the aortic damage in automobile collisions occurs to people who weren't wearing their seat belts. Those lap and shoulder belts (which the U.S. auto companies refused to install until 1967) really work well. You can thank Ralph Nader for saving about 25,000 lives a year. The auto companies also made steering columns that were positioned exactly right and strong enough to impale the driver's chest, often with a heart puncture. Thanks to Ralph Nader, they replaced them with a collapsable steering column around 1967.
Let's see the latest stuff, um, http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/332/6/356 [nejm.org] Smith MD et al, Transesophageal Echocardiography in the Diagnosis of Traumatic Rupture of the Aorta, N Engl J Med 1995 332:356-362. (Well worth reading; great X-rays.) 7 were not restrained, 2 were. Smith says:
Whaddya know, the poster has a point. Aortic trauma is still a major cause of automobile fatalties, usually but not always when people aren't wearing seat belts (Diana wasn't).
But wait, Smith also says,
I forget how to do the equations, but as I recall when a car collides against a solid barrier at 50mph, it has about 50 inches of crush space in which to come to a halt, and that comes to about 50g, which everybody told me is survivable. (One of you young whippersnappers can check my numbers.) John Paul Stapp tested it himself on his rocket sled and lived. But if you subjected 100 people to 50g, I don't know how many of them would get aortic rupture.
The other major cause of death (mostly to people who aren't wearing seat belts) is head injury. Thanks to Ralph Nader, those windshields are carefully designed with plastic laminate that has just the right elasticity to bring a passenger's head to a stop with low enough force to avoid breaking his
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It reall
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That's interesting about Nader -- I did see a book about this once, but didn't read it.
That's probably Unsafe at Any Speed. Even though it was published in 1965, it's still a great book about how automotive engineering failed -- the engineers did a great job of figuring out how to save lives, but the politicians and corporate owners brushed them aside for reasons that I still can't understand.
Every engineer should read this book. (The Wikipedia entry sucks BTW.)
If this event and 9/11 had happened around the same time, Nader would have been laughed at compared to The Evils of Terrorism. While 3000 people dying in one year is a tragedy that would be great to avoid, obviously, 25,000 a year is a greater tragedy
Thomas Schelling, the Nobel laureate in economics, said that 9/11 is three months of auto fatalities, and more people die eve
Re:What are the odds? (Score:4, Funny)
Speaking as a guy, tamponade sounds like a really embarrassing way to die.
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What a load of crap. That might be true at low speeds but if an aircraft impacts with a mountain at 400kph (thats 110 metres per second) even a 70m 747 will be crushed flat in less than a second. Barely enough time for the occupants to even register they've hit something never mind do anything about it.
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I'm willing to get in a car. I'm willing to accept a certain amount of risk.. Why is it when it comes to air travel I don't have the option to accept the same amount of risk as I'm obviously willing to accept? That's a rhetorical question; I know the answer.. government regulations. The real question is, why are government regulations so much m
Re:What are the odds? (Score:4, Insightful)
rj
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Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Insightful)
There are no parachutes on airliners for the following reasons:
1. Parachutes are heavy, so a plane equipped with them could carry less cargo or passengers and ticket prices would go up.
2. Parachutes are very complex to pack, and would have to be unpacked, inspected, and repacked at regular maintenance intervals, at considerable expense (not to mention increased time out of service for the plane).
3. If the plane is high enough that parachutes will be of any use, it's impossible to open most exit doors as pressure seals them against the inside of the fuselage.
4. Only a tiny fraction of passengers would understand how to use parachutes. When all the others slam into the ground at terminal velocity -- especially if the plane somehow survives -- it's a brave new world of stupendously huge liability for the airline.
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Obviously the physics involved in doing this for large commercial aircraft is just slightly more difficult. But by the same means, car air bags were first envisioned decades before they became possible - and really only in recent years with smart airbags that sense & adjust based on t
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You are still more likely to be involved in a fatal car crash that you can't do anything about than you are to be involved in an air accident. To think more clearly about it, think *only* of the probability of dying in a crash you can't control -- you're still in more danger in a car.
Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Funny)
That's true, most airplanes crash on the ground.
Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Informative)
Jumping from 37,000 feet and hundreds of MPH requires training and equipment. At that altitude the ambient air temperature is -70 fahrenheit. If the average terminal velocity of a person skydiving is 250 ft/s then you'll take about 2m30s to get to the ground without a 'chute. At 250 ft/s the wind chill is really, really significant. You've then got a choice to make (any perhaps the airline would instruct you about the best action): open the 'chute immediately after exiting the plane or wait until you are nearer the ground.
Opening the parachute early means you are certain to hit the ground slowly but maximized your exposure to very low temperatures and low oxygen with all those inherent injuries.
Opening the parachute later means more wind chill and possibly more tissue damage. Your betting that you'll be conscious to pull the rip cord. You also have much less time to perform an maneuvering to get to a "good" landing spot.
That said, given the choice of almost certain death on a severely disabled airliner or possible death by parachute I'd probably choose the parachute.
Re:What are the odds? (Score:4, Insightful)
For accidents that occur during landing or just after take-off, even ignoring the time factor, your altitude is far too low to safely bail out.
There could be some scenarios where parachutes would save lives, and the crew would be in a position to know that parachutes would be safer than trying to land, but I rather suspect these scenarios are going to be rare.
At some point you have to ask yourself if the odds of this solution saving lives justify the enormous costs of implementing it.
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http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/lcod.htm [cdc.gov]
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That's only because the average human does a whole lot less traveling by plane than he does by car.
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Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Insightful)
By contrast, in a plane, you're totally at the mercy of the pilots and air traffic controllers. You don't know them, and you know that if they screw up there's pretty close to nothing you can do about it. So even if the risk is actually less, it appears to be greater, because you are giving up control over whether you live or die.
Re:What are the odds? (Score:5, Funny)
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My friend, you lost control of that the moment you were born.
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- Don't drive while drunk
- Don't drive while tired
- Don't call while driving
- Don't verbally fight while driving
- Don't speed
- Fasten seatbelts
- No sex while driving
Who want's to read that, heh?!
Yes - but what are the odds of ... (Score:2)
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The answer is self-evident - as you're driving off the cliff, simply aim your car at a passing airplane. Once you've embedded your car into the side of the plan
Statistics can mean anything you want (Score:2)
Given I use my car everyday and I fly about twice a year max (and that probably roughly applies to a lot of people) it would seem to me that my car is actually safer than the plane. In fact you could say that for most people the safest method of transport is the space shuttle since hardly anyone will ever travel in it!
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People die right AFTER their whole lifetime.
Reminds me of... (Score:5, Funny)
http://www.greenharbor.com/fffolder/carkeet.html [greenharbor.com]
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Re:Reminds me of... (Score:4, Funny)
Worry about something else (Score:5, Insightful)
Watching and reading the news is your real problem. Things that happen on the news are extremely unlikely to happen to you. That's why you never see headlines like "Jill Larson Goes to the Market. Buys Coffee. (Subtitle: Coffee purchase exceeds analysts' expectations by 100%)"
That's all. I have to go to the market. But I'm not buying coffee, so no commercial airliners will crash today.
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Oh like that will work... (Score:3, Funny)
Okay, so it would work up to a point. The 'point' being the airliner that crashes into your house.
BBC already did this... (Score:5, Informative)
The best place is "near an exit door".
Statistically, most crashes are survivable if you can get out. The biggest impediment to getting out is the number of other people between you and the door. The ones who don't get out die of smoke/fire.
Front or back seat of a car (Score:3, Funny)
Not on Oceanic 815... (Score:5, Funny)
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And, strictly speaking, he wasn't a tail section passenger. His assigned seat was midsection, he just happened to be in a tailsection bathroom when the excitement started. (Although IIRC he had time to strap himself into a seat which ended up in a tree.)
(I just got Season 2 from the library and watched the whole thing in about three days. Probably fried some neural circuits.
Excuse me... (Score:5, Informative)
So, they are working off of a sample size of twenty??? Not sure if I would draw too many conclusions from this dataset.
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Re:Excuse me... (Score:5, Insightful)
Given thier analysis, and what often happens in a plane crash, this is what I think might be a more reasonable conclusion.
In the event of a passenger jet crash, probability is that everyone will die. If everyone does not die, the statistics still favor a majority of the passengers being killed in the crash.
The analysis in the paper appears to show a slightly higher probability of survival in the back of the plane, but did not show that the level was statistically significant. In the other cases the was not a clear effect of seat position, and often the back of the plane appeared to be preferentially fatal.
So, in summary, the passenger jet is not likely to crash. In the few cases where a crash does occur, and fatalities ensue, then there are not, on average, going to be many survivors. In the extremely rare case that jet crashes and there are survivors, a passenger may be safer up back, unless it is one of those cases where you are safe in front. Therefore, the best thing to do is sit somewhere in the middle.
The MythBusters say it is the (Score:3, Interesting)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MythBusters_(season_
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Is it expensive (Score:4, Funny)
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If you're sitting in the back of a plane that hits the ground nose first, all that damage and crumpling buys you time since the plane is changing kinetic energy into "damage". By the time your section enters the impact zone (and yes we're talking milliseconds) you will have decelerated a little. This means less G forces when your section hits the ground (which is NOT that flexible a
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Probably, but the shocks would still kill you, however, you can pickup a cheap black plastic bag at your local supermarket and pretend it's like the real thing. Warning though, do not try while driving. Better use your tinfoil hat.
Best way to survice a crash... (Score:5, Funny)
excellent (Score:4, Funny)
Oh well (Score:2)
Don't sit in the back! (Score:5, Funny)
First Class (Score:4, Funny)
I want to die like my grandfather... (Score:5, Funny)
not like the passengers in his car, screaming and yelling
The safest seat in a crash (Score:2, Funny)
I disagree... (Score:2, Funny)
Sitting in back is counterproductive (Score:5, Interesting)
When you sit in the back, it takes longer to get off of the plane because you have to wait for all the bozos in front of you to fumble for their personal belongings. I'd say that a conservative estimate is an average of 5 extra minutes. So before your first expected crash, you'd waste 5 * 7,000,000 minutes, or 66 solid years waiting at the back of planes. So to save each life, you're essentially using up an entire lifetime standing hunched over watching old codgers wrestle with their suitcases. (It's actually much worse than that, because only a fraction of fatal crashes even have a difference in outcome between the front and the back. A lot of times, everybody dies and sitting in the back doesn't help anyway.)
Um, semantic quibble (Score:3)
1 jet crash in the last "five-plus" years? Doesn't five-plus = five or more?
I'm pretty sure that there has been more than one fatal crash in the last "five or more" years, no?
Perhaps he meant "slightly more than five"?
Chivalry has not died (Score:3, Funny)
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The return flight took 5 hours and cost me $149.00
After seeing so many whacko drivers on the road during the trip I have no doubt in my mind that the driving portion was vastly more dangerous than the return flight!
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What the heck are you smoking??? Have you been on a train in the USA lately? My god, even the nicer Amtrak Acela are barely decent.
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OK, air travel can be unpleasant and unpredictable, but it's still *way* safer than driving. Saying you'll drive because you're afraid of an air crash is like saying you'll run Windows 98 because you're afraid of the security holes in Vista.
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Do not do this.
The initial flight was unpleasant, with not only my ears, but even my sinuses popping. I'm talking about the ones near your nose. Fleeing those pop at 36000 is at once relieving and incredibly disturbing. Anyway, something must have gotten in on that flight, I suspect from one of the many other passengers who spent the flight snorting, snuffling and blowing their noses.
By the time of the return flight a week later I had spent
Re:Anti-EU much ? (Score:4, Informative)
"Move to the back of the bus." is a common phrase in America.
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