NASA Says 2005 Could Be Warmest Year Recorded 655
Ant writes "CNN reports that a weak El Nino and human-made greenhouse gases could make 2005 the warmest year since records started being kept in the late 1800s." From the article: "While climate events like El Nino -- when warm water spreads over much of the tropical Pacific Ocean --affect global temperatures, the increasing role of human-made pollutants plays a big part."
Cool! (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Cool! (Score:4, Funny)
BRING ON GLOBAL WARMING!
I'm sick of living under constant cold and rain, this news is fantastic. If only we humans could influence and accelerate this global warming thing, rather than it being just a natural variation, it would be fantastic! Long hot summers, warm winters, sunny springs and autumns, life would be a hundred times better.
Re:Cool! (Score:4, Insightful)
Think of the dirty '30s dustbowl as being the norm, not an exception.
Think of Europe having much colder winters because of the lack of a thermocline to drive the gulf stream currents.
Think of rising oceans as the Greenland and Antarctic ice caps melt, and as the waters around the earth rise due to thermal expansion.
Think of recurring global catastrophies that make the recent tidal wave look like "just another day".
Think of what we're handing our kids.
Think - everyone said "don't worry, it won't happen in our lifetimes anyway."
I think they were wrong.
--
Re:Cool! (Score:3, Insightful)
Ah....long hot summers, I can't wait. As for dry and crop failure, that's what we have water for. It generally counteracts the effects of dryness. Also, there are countries with warm sunny climates and they haven't died of famine, in fact they'r thriving. What are you talking about? Are you saying that Italy for instance is an arid wasteland, where not even olives can grow?
Think of Europe having much colder winters because of the lack
Re:Cool! (Score:5, Insightful)
Your picking of Italy as an example shows you know little on agriculture. Olives (and wine) do not need much water to grow. But you can't live on wine and olives. You need grass to feed the herds on, you need a lot more water to grow crops, vegetables and fruits. Southern Italy is becoming really dry by now, esp. Sicily.
Hot summers can be dangerous to old people, as over 10,000 dead in France during the 2004 (or 2003) summer show.
Re:Cool! (Score:3, Insightful)
I recently moved away from Florida. While there, the drinkable ground water level dropped significantly each year.
The aquifer that supplies that region extends up into Georgia and slopes downhill into Florida. As more water is sucked out for use by Floridians (for lawns, golf courses and industry) brackish water is drawn in, permanantly contaminating the aquifer. This trend is moving steadily south as the water level drops each year and can be seen by maping the increase in private wells contaminated by sa
We have large areas of the North... (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Cool! (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Cool! (Score:3, Funny)
Thats an easy one, don't reproduce!
(Not only intended as funny)
Re:Cool! (Score:3, Interesting)
Well, for one thing, their trying to stay warm during winter in housing not made for the climate will mean increased demand for fossil fuels for heating at the same time that you want them. Not only will this contribute further to the global warming trend, but it will also drive up energy demand, which mean
Global Uncooling (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Global Uncooling (Score:3, Insightful)
Don't worry over it (Score:5, Funny)
It will only be the hottest year on record for a year or so.
Re:Don't worry over it (Score:2)
Make up your mind, NASA! (Score:5, Insightful)
Sudden global climate change is a serious issue that should be dealt with, but it is interesting how on one side NASA feels it's possible to control and affect positive massive global climate change on Mars but fears comparatively tiny changes on Earth.
The difference is.... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:The difference is.... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:The difference is.... (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Make up your mind, NASA! (Score:5, Insightful)
Hmmm, think maybe it has something to do with the fact that Mars is an uninhabited wasteland, whereas if Earth gets screwed up, all we know is destroyed and we all die horrible agonizing deaths?
Of course that might not happen -- but when the stakes are very high, you should pay a lot more attention to the risks...
Re:Make up your mind, NASA! (Score:5, Insightful)
There is much sound data and research in the field of climate study that isn't completely understood, while there is a lot of political hyperbole as well. I'm trying to learn as much about it as a layman can while avoiding the political agendas.
Re:Make up your mind, NASA! (Score:3, Insightful)
Interesting site that. Tell me, as an "outsider", why are discussions relating to ecology so highly politicized in the US? This seems strange to everyone elsewhere, where "science is science", and regarding the natural world isn't totally tangled up with political rhetoric. It's just science, which makes it all seem clearer to begin with.
As an "Insider"... (Score:3, Insightful)
When you hear the US talking about a "war on [fill-in-the-blank]", you have to realize that the main philosphic drivers of the attitude are a belief that a zero-sum game is in play. The US has excelled, in the private sphere, at pareto-optimal games, but politically, has never gotten the hint.
Confirmed in Calgary, Canada (Score:5, Funny)
Definitely warmer this year!
Good (Score:2, Funny)
Its been a cold summer down under (Score:2, Funny)
Where the hell is global warming when u need it?
Re:Its been a cold summer down under (Score:2)
Also, it doesn't rule out any area from having a cold year.
Where I am (NYC), I've almost forgotten it's winter after a few days with +15C weather during the dead of winter. It's been a very warm winter aside from the blizzard.
Re:Its been a cold summer down under (Score:3, Interesting)
What the "models" show is exactly what kind of results are required to receive more grants to study climate change.
Did you know that one? (Score:5, Funny)
First planet: "You're not looking too well! Are you ill?"
Second planet: "Yeah, I got homo sapiens!"
First planet: "Never mind, that's one illness that quickly runs out. You may get some fever because of all the greenhouse gases, but in the end, they'll just wipe themselves out..."
Re:Did you know that one? (Score:5, Insightful)
Yeah, funny .. but actually it's interesting to compare our behaviour to that of a deadly virus: the latter will also consume all available resources multiplying as quickly as possible until its host is completely destroyed, and unless it can find a new host, it will die along with the host.
Personally I'd like to believe that we're more intelligent than a virus cell, but all evidence seems against it.
Re:Did you know that one? (Score:5, Funny)
(or Elrond, I can't keep you two straight)
Re:Did you know that one? (Score:3, Insightful)
Humans have demonstrated the ability to alter the host to serve it's needs such that it can support an increasing numbers. On a local scale areas of the earth that were not habitable were developed through irrigation, building, etc, to support humans. On a macro scale, there were those that said the earth could never grow enough food to support billions of people, however techniques have progr
Re:Did you know that one? (Score:2)
Going along with the ideal that the human race is actually a virus, it could be said that mother nature's "turning up the temperature" is partly her attempt to get rid of us.
Hopefully we'll be smarter viruses and help keep the temperature down, or else we'll be needing to "e
Re:Did you know that one? (Score:3, Informative)
shit analogy, the earth isn't an organism like that.
and humans aren't the first species to affect the globe either - but humans ARE the most(or damn nearly) adaptable race(without having to evolve ourselfs) on earth ever(spread wide, capable of making a living off from just about anything and cruel enough to kill each other if need be).
Think of the Children (Score:2, Funny)
Americans are different (Score:5, Interesting)
(1) Gun control. Way more smart Americans believe in the right to carry a weapon than smart non-Americans. Most of the rest of the Western world thinks the US is kind of insane on this issue, actually.
(2) Global warming. It is near-universally accepted outside the US that this is happening, and that humankind is responsible. But many smart Americans doubt this.
I resist the urge to inject my own views here because I simply wanted to point this out. It's odd.
Americans are sensible (Score:2)
We have a government that does pretty much what we tell it because we have two guns for every three citizens and a tradition of cleaning house when needed. You can forget that self defense and sporting use stuff you here - its all about keeping the state in line.
Global warming is deadly serious business and anyone with half a brain sees it coming. You're thinking of the Christian right behind Bush - they believe in this thing called 'the end of days' - this Christian prophecy makes it OK for them to
Re:Americans are sensible: welcoming the end (Score:2, Insightful)
How is this sensible?
Re:Americans are sensible (Score:4, Insightful)
You mean the American revolution? As far as democratic change goes, that was a pretty lightweight and recent effort. Nations like France fought long and hard for democracy, other nations in Europe have had a tradition of democracy going back a thousand years, and yet others had democracies and lost them again. America is a newcomer in the area of creating and maintaining democratic government, and there is no support for the view that America's gun policies are responsible for the current existence of democracy in the US, in particular since attitudes towards guns and gun ownership were altogether different around the time of the American revolution.
Re:Americans are sensible (Score:3)
I suspect you're referring to the book "Arming America". Are you not aware that it has been pretty well established that the author committed academic fraud. IOW, he misrepresented records in some cases, and in other cases made up facts supposedly based on records which he didn't realize had been destroyed long ago?
Re:pretty scary stuff (Score:3)
You are confusing "lack of absolute proof" with "lack of evidence". There is most certainly some evidence of fabrication, as the report clearly states:
If Professor Bellesiles did indeed read Contra Costa records believing they were from San Francisco, then the issue could again be one of extremely sloppy documentation rather than fraud. There are three aspects of this story, however, that rai
Re:Americans are sensible (Score:2)
You're thinking of the Christian right behind Bush
Really? One only needs to read most of the comments on slashdot to realise that thousands of people here think it isn't happening or isn't a problem. Are the majority of /. readers part of the "Christian right"?
driving (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Americans are sensible (Score:2)
Well-informed non-Americans are generally aware why some well-informed Americans consider guns to be a good idea. They still think it's bizarre.
In my experience, anyway. If you haven't been brought up with guns freely available, it seems very strange indeed.
Re:Americans are sensible (Score:2, Interesting)
There was an article [globalclimate.org] in a 1975 edition of Newsweek where scientists were sure of a global cooling. Now it's a global warming?
I think it's foolish to think that us humans can have such an impact of the climate. I'd hedge my bets that volcanic eruptions and other natural occurrences play a far more significant role that cars and buses.
You're thinking of the Christian right behind Bush - they believe in this thing
Re:Americans are sensible (Score:3, Insightful)
There was an article in a 1975 edition of Newsweek where scientists were sure of a global cooling. Now it's a global warming?
Scientific hypothosi(sp?) evolve; religious nut jobs stay the same. That's the big difference. I'd be a lot more worried if thirty years of scientific research resulted in no changes in theory.
So what source do you cite that says Christians think it's okay to ignore global warming because of the Second Coming? I'd like t
Re:Americans are sensible (Score:5, Insightful)
Seriously though, your "tradition of cleaning house when needed" would come to an abrupt end when that small gathering of armed civilians gets an Apache-helicopter-beatdown. Don't kid yourself about being able to wrest control of the government away by force.
Funny enough, do you know what the US would look like if this scenario were to play out?
Iraq.
Re:MOD Parent as exactly right (Score:5, Insightful)
There are other differences (Score:5, Insightful)
In the US, we allow people to call themselves neo-Nazis and salute Hitler while holding a sign proclaiming that "God hates fags." And, as nauseating as I find those points of view, I think people should have the right to express them (but not to act on them.)
The bottom line is that the right to keep and bear arms is directly linked to the right to free speech (which most of us cherish). And one could argue quite strongly that the American tendency to hold opinions that differ from (todays) academic orthodoxy is itself a direct application of that same right of free speech.
If the rest of the world jumps off a cliff, should America join them?
Re:There are other differences (Score:5, Insightful)
I like to think that my own country (the UK) has comparable levels of freedom of speech, and it's true, to a degree - there's some discrepencies (for example burden of proof in libel cases) which impede it to some degree.
The arms rights thing is an interesting issue. I believe the US should keep the right to bear arms -- perhaps a more rigorous licencing system might be in order in some cases, but in general it's how the country has developed and it's what works there. This is not, however, a "be all and end all" decision -- the US is not a "better" country because of this right (I'm also not sure how it's linked to freedom of speech in a modern society, although in the formative stages of a newer society I could see it coming in). The UK, given the right to bear arms, would probably be negatively affected. It's not part of our culture. The same goes for a lot of countries. A lot of Americans don't understand how countries with gun control can be described as "free", and a lot of countries with gun control don't understand how America can be considered "sane" -- it's what works in the situation. The US is a culture that was born in the times when people had guns, it's built upon it. The UK's devolution from a monarchy to a democracy (yes, I know it's still technically a monarchy, but the difference is moot in context) is a different type of formation of a modern society than that of the US. I don't believe it makes the country better, it's just what fits the culture.
On note, though, obviously there's people arguing against what I'd see as sane here, too. I've had long, drawn-out discussions with the kind of people who want to ban, for example, parties like the BNP [bnp.org.uk], because, as deplorable as I find their policies and views, I should not have the right to stop them expressing them
It's a shaky subject, in any case. And this is getting waaaaaay off-topic.
Re:There are other differences (Score:5, Insightful)
Put down the goddamn crack pipe!
Nobody's going to overthrow any government using the weapons that are legal for U.S. citizens to own.
Look at the last few decades of history. The only weapons that have even the slightest impact on modern militaries are suicide bombs and car bombs, and even then that's only because of heavy TV coverage. If that were censored, you wouldn't have a chance in hell of affecting anything.
News flash: U.S. citizens already aren't allowed to keep bombs in their homes. Bickering over the right to bear your peashooter popguns is a red herring designed to keep you pacified. The only way to avoid tyranny in a world full of armed flying drones and H-bombs is to work within the system to prevent it from happening in the first place.
Re:There are other differences (Score:3, Insightful)
The bottom line is that the right to keep and bear arms is directly linked to the right to free speech (which most of us cherish).
Not in any practical sense. Do you really think that the army is afraid of the citizenry because of their weaponry? The idea is crazy. The thing that protects you is the same thing that protects Australians, Canadians, Brits, the French, the South Africans etc. You have a military that has a culture of deference to civilian leadership and civilian leadership with a tradition
Re:There are other differences (Score:3, Insightful)
You most be kidding me? Last time I heard US Patriot Act was used to stop union demonstrations. IMC and RaiseTheFist has been seriously attacked, etc. etc.
When so many people get their news from Fox something most be wrong. The freedom in the US looks more and mor
Re:Americans are different (Score:5, Interesting)
(3) Creationism. This is not a serious option anywhere in the Western world, but a large percentage of smart Americans still think that evolution is doubtful and that creationism is a real competitor.
As you say, the difference between the US and elsewhere is odd.
Re:Americans are different (Score:2)
Indeed, and in many circles in America that takes the form of looking upon God as an advanced extraterrestrial species and mankind as a genetically engineered (or uplifted) species.
So what? It could be true...
Re:Americans are different (Score:3, Informative)
Instead of wisely shaking your head and opining that it's just human nature for the EU to do this, try finding some actual evidence for your assertions
Re:Americans are different (Score:2)
Re:Circumcision is good (Score:3, Informative)
"healthful" - bullshit. Despite what even some doctors claim, circumcision does not bring any health benefit. It is also potentially lethal (by related hemorrhage and infections) and monstrously painful.
"better sex" - just the opposite. The foreskin is extremely sensitive erogenous tissue. Circumcision seriously decreases man's capacity to feel sexual pleasure.
"more women" - and in certain parts of the world a woman can not find a husband if she is n
Re:Americans are different (Score:2)
(3) Creationism and the banning of evolution in schoolbooks? I think by now the USA has the worst schoolbooks in the world, AFAIK it's the only country in the world that allows creationism in it's schools.
Re:Americans are different (Score:2, Flamebait)
Smart non-Americans have a tendency to speak for the opinions of the rest of the world as if there wasn't a mind-numbing diversity of it.
Smart Americans generally don't give a crap about the opinions of the rest of the world.
Re:Americans are different (Score:3, Interesting)
Of course, I think that owning anything more damaging than a pistol or shotgun is too much, but our nation was founded on the blood of tyrant
Re:Americans are different (Score:5, Insightful)
What comes to the first issue: it is U.S. internal politics, so I don't worry about it that much. If the Americans want to let any nutjob out there to have guns, it is their problem, as long as it happens within their borders, i.e. they are only killing each other.
Not that I wouldn't find it insane, though. The pro-firearms people always say that "guns don't kill people, people do" as their main defense. But same applies to cars, and still driving a car is not a constitutional right, but a special privilege granted only for those, who have obtained a driver's license. And yet killing living things -- including, but not limited to humans -- is the primary function guns are actually designed for, but this is definitely not the case with cars.
The problem with global warming instead just seems to be that when people are not absolutely sure that global warming happens and that CO2 emissions caused by humans are actually contributing to it, they are willing to do nothing, as they feel that the preventative measures are too expensive to take without certainty of their necessity and effectiveness.
Unfortunately, this viewpoint is just as shortsighted as quarter-year capitalism -- and like that, it seems to be most common in the U.S. The problem is that these people do not realise two facts about the measures that should be taken to stop the expected global warning.
1) That if the humans have, in fact, contributing to global warming, as is assumed, the preventative measures must be taken now to be effective. If we postpone this until we have the bulletproof evidence, then it means that large-scale global warming is already happening, and it will be too late to take any preventative measures; we would have no option left but to deal with the conseqences, and we already know that that would become helluva lot more expensive than any preventative measures as the glaciers of Greenland and Antarctica would melt in large scale, raising the sea level several metres and the extreme weather systems would become even much more common than they are now. Over time, it would probably cost a lot of human lives, too.
2) That if we take the preventative measures, and we'll find out later that we could have never done anything to stop the global warming, or that it wasn't actually even happening in first place, the technology we had developed wouldn't still be in vain; first of all, we wouldn't be dependent of oil anymore, which problem would need to be solved anyway, as oil is not really renewable energy source.
Second, we would likely have developed lots of new high technology stuff along the way, creating many entirely new businesses. These businesses and the value they would have added to the economies of the countries that would have developed them wouldn't be going away.
Car is a good analogy again, as Americans love their SUVs; consider, that in future SUVs would all be using fuel cells. Now, to avoid CO2 emissions, the hydrogen used in those must not be produced using fossil fuels. Nuclear is a good option, of course, but fission is not renewable either, and then we'd yet have to deal with all the waste, which still seems to be somewhat problematic. So how about if U.S. would just invest so much money to fusion research (still pocket money comparing to the war in Iraq), that it would become the leading provider of fusion technology in the world, for example? An entirely possible scenario. Lots of extra research among renewables would not be bad idea either. The way to turn all this into good business will be there, if political will is.
Re:About global warming (Score:3, Informative)
There's no denying that global warming is happening (at least in the short term). It's the cause that that's uncertain. The dinosaurs had much higher global warming but we have yet to find a single dinosaur factory or dinosaur SUV. Unless the dinosaurs ate a huge number of baked beans, I don't know how they could be responsible for generating a significant amount of greenhouse gases..
Are you stupid? There is no longer any doubt that mankind is at least largely responsible for climate change. Let me give y
Re: (Score:2)
Re:About global warming (Score:2)
Keep your pants on there fella, these 'scientists' can't even agree amongst themselves how the dinosaurs died out.
They can't agree on the cause of the climate change, but they do agree that whatever caused it, the climate change was comparatively slow; this is known from the fossil records. The dinosaurs took over a million years to die out.
Re:About global warming (Score:2)
Keep in mind that we need global numbers for these, not a few hand-picked locations that illustrate a point. Climate is extremely geographically variable.
The fact of the matter is,
Re:About global warming (Score:2)
I want some real scientific proof, not just theories and extremism.
Do you really want real scientific proof? I mean, really? Because if you do, why are you only asking on slashdot? Why don't you go and read some peer-reviewed science journals that publish studies about climate change and other climate studies? There is now an overwhelming body of real science on this issue to be read if you just go out and look for it. If you can't find it, the only reason for that would be if you aren't really looking, a
2005 could also be... (Score:5, Insightful)
the wettest year on record
the dryest year on record
the fewest storms on record
the most storms on record
Depending on where you live, your exact location could have any of these conditions. It's funny how the most generic weather predictions can always be proven true.
All in all, 2005 looks to be pretty scary. I wouldn't go outside, based on NASA's findings.
---gralem
Re:2005 could also be... (Score:2)
From my point of view, this year's been shaping up to be the coldest one yet. Here in Kentucky it's barely made it above 50 degrees all year (even though it's less than 60 days into it so far). We haven't seen any record-setting snowfall yet, but that's not surprising either.
Wake me up when March rolls to a close. I could use some warmpth.
Re:2005 could also be... (Score:2)
That's right, it isn't.
Re: (Score:2)
Re:2005 could also be... (Score:2)
Living in Kentucky also, I'm going to have to have to jump in here and say this has been a friggin' warm winter compared to many in the past. According to NOAA [noaa.gov]:
"The average temperature in January 2005 was 38.9 F. This was 4.8 F warmer than the 1895-2005 average, the 18th warmest January in 111 years. The temperature trend for the period of record (1895 to present) is -0.2 degrees Fahrenheit per decade."
Interesting (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Interesting (Score:2, Informative)
The problem with hydrogen is that no "natural" hydrogen available. Hydrogen essentially acts like an efficient battery and the energy used up creating it (via electrolysis of water, or the current cheapest way it's produced now, seperation of natural gas) is simply transferred into as potential chemical energy. Electrolysis is like charging up hydrogen, where water is the "used up" battery.
When you factor in the costs of transporting
Pre-emptive climate change faq (Score:5, Informative)
I find it very helpful.
anyone want to trade timeshares? (Score:2)
come to think of it, nevermind... 50 or so tropical hurricanes are forecast for this year
in alaska
A little bit of sci fi (Score:2)
Re:A little bit of sci fi (Score:2)
I think we'd have a lot better luck genetically engineering some kind of moss that loves cold temperatures, eating carbon-oxide rich rocks and outputting oxygen. Get enough of the moss on the surface to pump a certain quota of oxygen, then burn some of the moss, releasing CO2. Of
Re:A little bit of sci fi (Score:2)
Re:A little bit of sci fi (Score:2)
The energy budget for such a scheme (even including the as yet unrealized technology of a space elevator) would be such that if you just spent that energy directly on mars, you'd wind up warming the place to a greater degree using nothing more than waste heat.
And do we even want to talk about how much waste heat would be released into the earth's atmosphere on this end?
You're suggesting that we collect and move gigatons of material across tens to hundred
In other news... (Score:5, Funny)
There may exist controversy... (Score:3, Interesting)
But if the fear of global warming causes people to adapt a cleaner and healthier lifestyle then so be it and i'm all for it and infact there should be active participation by all people to keep the enviornment clean.
People should, however, learn to share their concern about global warming with other global disastors happening.. or waiting to happen.. Illiteracy rates, population explosion, terrible health care for people, etc.. should all be taken care of and they all pose a huge short term risk which is much greater than the risk of global warming.
its gettin' hot out here (Score:2, Insightful)
It won't be the hottest year on record for long.
The only uncertain thing about global warming is when mankind will realize that the end of that development is to be avoided.
Not so minute differences (Score:5, Interesting)
One can say "only a 1 or 2 deg. Celsius". In fact, first it is a mean temperature, second, the climate might turn out to on the verge of some major deterministic chaos [wikipedia.org] state.
As an example, during the so called Little Ice Age [wikipedia.org] the global temperature dropped by about 1 deg. C, but it caused the following: (from Wikipedia)
Glaciers in the Swiss Alps advanced, gradually engulfing farms and crushing entire villages. The River Thames and the canals and rivers of the Netherlands often froze over during the winter, and people skated and even held fairs on the ice. In the winter of 1780, New York Harbor froze, allowing people to walk from Manhattan to Staten Island. Sea ice surrounding Iceland extended for miles in every direction, closing that island nation's harbors to shipping.
The chaotic nature of weather patterns might, in turn, hypothetically cause that some very small change causes a major switch, i. e. in sea currents. I do not know if anyone now either predicts or excludes for sure any such event, though.
So, concluding, I think that we do not really know how much serious to the climate the global warming is.
CNN's Crediblity (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:CNN's Crediblity (Score:2)
Their stories have been filled with hype and falsehoods on the hope that their ratings will not continue to fall.
It is just as interesting what they don't say as well as what they do. All of the networks, not just CNN, have a tendency to leave out important details, so that while they are not telling you lies, but they tell you just enough to lead you in the wrong direction.
when they can consistantly give... (Score:5, Funny)
Forcast: Partly cloudly and a high of 41
Actual: 1 inch of snow, high of 33
You know what else is crazy? (Score:3, Insightful)
But I don't believe him anyway (we all know there are liars, damned liars, and statisticians). I asked him what number the ball would land on next, and he didn't know! H
Re:You know what else is crazy? (Score:3, Insightful)
I find it quite amusing that you open with language quite similar to that of the rhetorical buffoon in my post ("I've been around the block a few times").
Talk about extrapolating from scant evidence. Why is it that you think that casual observations during a long life and travel make you more qualified to discuss climatology than the many climatologists who have spent their long lives and travel in the active and specific study of the sub
Solution (Score:2)
NASA Wrong -- GWB Knows Best (Score:4, Funny)
-- Governor George W. Bush, Jr.
Sorry, couldn't resist.
Re:NASA Wrong -- GWB Knows Best (Score:4, Insightful)
http://www.snopes.com/quotes/candidate.asp [snopes.com]
More study is needed (Score:3, Insightful)
That's just typical. It takes the arrogance of some NASA rocket scientist to proclaim world shaking doomsday scenarios based on a single transitory fluctuation like 30 years of data. President Bush says we don't know enough to be able to make predictions about the changing climate one way or the other. And who are you going to believe? A man who told us that 'God talks through him' or some ivory-tower egghead who studies weather satellite data all day?
Re: (Score:2)
Re: Not much we can do about it anyway (Score:3, Interesting)
> The Earth's 'normal' temperature isn't what we are used to anyway. Our civilisation has developed entirely in the aftermath of an ice age, and the Earth is still warming up after that.
I don't know what the concensus of scientists is on that, but I've read several articles lately that say we would already be freezing up again, if not for anthropogenic global warming. The problem is, we're warming things up too much, so in additon to neutralizing the onset of an ice age we are actually warming things
Waterworld or Cooling World? (Score:2)
I personally am waiting for the satisfaction of the prediction from the 70s that we're entering a new Ice Age. I want more skiing, damnit!
Re:State of Fear (Score:5, Informative)
Before you base your response to a very serious environmental situation on a work of fiction, please read this [realclimate.org]. Crichton uses a bunch of proven-false arguments, and wraps a transparent opinion piece in a layer of fiction, yet still tries to make a political point. And in the process he basically slanders a whole bunch of very earnest, hard-working scientists. It's really quite despicable.
Personally I think there has to be a balance where we work to protect the enviroment but do not have to tramatize our kids with scary tales of the world ending in their lifetimes.
I grew up in the 80's; the nukes could fly any minute (that really could've happened). I turned out just fine. So I'm not too worried about traumatizing kids. Besides, the consensus view states that there would be a 2-6 deg increase in global average temperture, not "that the world will end". You can infer from such a rise that the disruption will be very severe, but I think it is simply idiocy to argue that we shouldn't warn people "just because it might scare the kids".
Re:State of Fear (Score:3, Informative)
No, it wasn't. It was based on a mixture of outright falsehoods ("Global warming is defined by the global mean surface temperature...[]..it's effect is presumably the same everywhere in the world"), and selective use of facts in such a manner as to be outright misleading (Antarctic cooling does NOT contradict the idea of global warming; in fact it is consistent with the results from models, which show local cooling there). Again, read this rebuttal [realclimate.org], written by scientist
Re:State of Fear (Score:3, Insightful)
Well, you read a book by a guy who firmly believes global warming is a myth and he claims to show that it's all bunk... so, which are you going to believe? An author of fiction, or a bunch of scientists whos professional code requires that they be objective? Obviously not all scientists achieve that objectivity; the difference is that they are expected to. Crichton can claim the
Re:Global Warming isn't based on science (Score:3, Interesting)
What that should have said in order to be meaningful was "simulating nuclear weapons". But you knew that. :-)
Re:It just has to be... (Score:3, Informative)
Well, if you look at the graph of temperatures, then there is indeed a warming trend between 1900 and 1950 that comes before human GHG emissions would be expected to have caused any effect; but the warming post-1980 is far greater than what would be predicted by the 'sunspot-only' model. Indeed, if all natural forcings are used, then we should have seen a very slight drop in temperatures over this period. Climate modellers do indeed look at external influences.