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Public Relations Firm Shapes Opinion with Fake Science 137
Ironsides submitted this BBC link about a conference on climate change and global warming. When you read it, you'll note that there's a real conference with real scientists being held a few days later. So what is this, if it's not the real conference? This is a fake, public relations "conference", organized by a corporate lobbying group, specifically to create doubt about an issue of considerable public importance. So the real scientists doing real work meet on Feb 1-3, the fake ones being paid for their opinions schedule a press opportunity for Jan 27, and the press covers them as if both their opinions should be given equal weight. Jon Stewart's media criticism applies: You're hurting [the world].
for the uninformed (Score:4, Interesting)
if people sense bias (this sense is dulled in some folks) they won't believe a word they hear.
people know when they're being lied to. they might not let on that they know, and they might vote for the liars, but they know when they're being lied to. they just choose to ignore the lies, and see things their way. if people choose to ignore evidence, they get what's coming to them.
the environmentalists of the world just have to take caution and present a believeable case with as little embellishment as possible. environmentalists should paint the true picture, not the doomsday picture. i'm an environmentalist (born on Earth day, no less) and we've been saying that the world is ending for a while now, but we're all still here.
i dunno... i'm filled with nyquil. i won't even remember this post in an hour. moderate to your hearts content.
Re:for the uninformed (Score:2)
The problem is, as the environmentalists argue, that we don't have time to wait for the undoubtable evidence of global warning, and need to act upon the worst-case scenario.
Why we don't need to worry (Score:3, Insightful)
And in a hundred years, the world economy will be how many thousand times larger? We'll be able to blink and create superstructures that today's engineers and architects can't even dream about. We'll have cities with thousands of times the popu
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:2)
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:4, Informative)
The worst case scenario does not predict that the temperature will rise 1F. The worst case scenario predicts that the temperature will rise exponentially due to positive feedback, well beyond the temperature at which life on earth can survive (this is called the "runaway greenhouse" if you want to find out more about that theory). This theory doesn't have too much creditability yet, since there are so many variables that affect the earth's climate, but you did ask for the worst-case scenario.
The worst case scenario that a reasonable percentage of scientists believe is going to happen in about a century is a rise of the mean temperature of around 10C (18F). This will have a bunch of ramifications, most of which I doubt we have even realized yet.
As society gets bigger, it's going to require more energy. Unless we look to energy sources that involve less greenhouse gas emission, the problem is only going to get worse. No matter how much easier it will become to manage the problem (and I doubt it will; the greenhouse effect was first attributed to atmospheric gasses in the mid-19th century by Fourier, and it's no easier to manage now than it was then), there's still the matter of actually doing something about it!Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:2)
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:2)
Obviously our only option is to build a space elevator and deploy a giant space parisol. The only real drawback is that it will make our whole race look pretty sissy when the aliens visit.
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:1)
That's much better than the best cast scenario.
Worse case scenario would be enough warming to trigger the methane hydrates.
For a geologic preview:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene-Eocene_ther mal_maximum [wikipedia.org]
Tropical forests on the north coast of Alaska would mean that much of the lower 48 would be unlivable. The economy might fail to grow. Horrors! Might even get smal
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:2)
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:1)
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:2)
If peak oil is real, and has occurred already, property values will collapse. Fuel will become too expensive to support transportation in the suburbs. I'm not yammering about $5/gal, more like $50/gal.
And remember, you don't own the house until you pay off the mortgage.
Re:Why we don't need to worry (Score:2)
I doubt it. Things cannot grow indefinitely. It's against basic principles of physics. I believe that in 100 years, the economy and the population will be much smaller than now. I won't be here to witness it, but I may see the beginning of the decline (if I quit smoking, maybe).
"If just the present world population o
Re:for the uninformed (Score:1)
Granting equality to fundamentally unequal propositions is ridiculous and counter-productive. The weight of evidence accumulated by serious, diligent scientists that demonstrates global warming is
Re:for the uninformed (Score:2)
So, instead we should present any unsubstantiated viewpoint as fact and science? God, I hope not!
Do they really? If every bit of fluff that comes in front of them is presented as valid and substabtiated
Re:for the uninformed (Score:1)
ad hominem, anyone? (Score:4, Insightful)
Science or PR? (Score:5, Insightful)
A "scientist" shilling for a corporate client without first shedding the mantle of science is not only of great public interest (so we can be certain whose claims to disregard as corrupt), but attracts the justified anger and ire of real scientists for dirtying the public view of science.
Re:Science or PR? (Score:1, Troll)
How about a "scientist" shilling for the environmental movement? Any difference there?
Not everything is politics, Dubya notwithstanding (Score:2)
Re:Science or PR? (Score:1, Informative)
Re:Science or PR? (Score:2)
Re:Science or PR? (Score:2)
Personal financial interest drives most science these days. If a scientist does not produce the expected result from their research, they don't get further funding and may lose their job at whetever research institution they work at. Currently very few 'unbiased' sources of funding renew any grants to scientists whose previous work s
Personal financial interest drives science? WTF? (Score:5, Insightful)
In the case of climate research, there is one hell of a lot of prestige which would come with a correct debunking of the global-climate models which all predict warming. There might even be a Nobel in it. But note that I did say correct debunking; anyone withoute the facts on their side need not apply. Have you noticed where the huge majority of the climate scientists (who have the facts such as they are) stand today?
You're implying that "all scientists are self-interested, therefore nothing they say can be trusted". I suppose that you disregard everything you're told about the safety of the water supply, the recommendations for nutrients in your diet, the effectiveness and hazards of drugs, and everything else that was researched and published by a scientist. Because, y'know, "there are bad scientists and they're all just out for their personal interests"?Regarding climate science, I refer you to this entry: [realclimate.org]
It takes some gall to deny something which can be measured by infrared absorption in a test cell, or the Keeling curve [ucsd.edu]. And it's certainly not honest, far less honest than anything I've seen from the "self-interested" scientists. Calling someone an "industry shill" is one of the most flattering things you could do.Re:Personal financial interest drives science? WTF (Score:1)
(2) Any increase in carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases will change the radiation balance of the Earth and increase surface temperatures. This is basic and undisputed physics that has been known for over a hundred years.
If this was undisputed we wouldn't be having this conversation, would we?
Unprincipled dispute (Score:2)
Re:ad hominem, anyone? (Score:1)
Missing validation. (Score:1, Interesting)
Fake scientists? (Score:3, Interesting)
How about you, Michael? Just what sort of scientist are you?
Maybe you're just using your position as a slashdot editor to manipulate us.
Don't waste your time. Most of us can think for ourselves. We don't need your help deciding who is a fake and who is real.
That's right (Score:5, Insightful)
A slight spin on it would be to present the views of 99.9% of all scientists, give equal time to the 0.1% of scientists who disagree, but not to explain that the 0.1% who disagree are complete raving loons. Instead the impression is made that there is an actual controversy in the field, when there is actually none. Evolution vs. creationism is a good example. There's no controversy, except in the minds of the supremely ignorant.
Re:That's right (Score:2)
Re:That's right (Score:1)
Fake scientists (Score:4, Insightful)
As much as I believe in global warming, these "scientists" weren't force do join this society, and weren't forced to speak at this conference. Can people not meet to discuss alternative viewpoints? If they have good points, let them be heard.
Fake? (Score:3, Insightful)
I realise that you're supposed to be editors, but I could do with less editorialising. At the very least, those strike me a semi-serious allegations, yet not one of them is substantiated, either in the editorial comment or in the provided links. That would have been appropriate.
Re:Fake? (Score:2)
I think that the point is this: the "fake" conference gathers the people who are against the global warming propaganda. On the other hand, the true conference gathers all kinds of people with different views. The best we let them debate against each other. That's what "science" is all about.
Ah but you don't understand (Score:2)
Well you see, there are editors, and then there is michael.
Note to self... (Score:1)
The next story on a conference about climate change may look like a dupe, but isn't really.
Unless, of course, they dupe this one first...
The BBC article (Score:3, Informative)
So, I looked them up myself and found the following links pretty quickly:
SourceWatch [sourcewatch.org] and GMwatch [gmwatch.org] which seem to coroborate the claims of duplicitousness in the original submission.
Re:The BBC article (Score:2)
Re:The BBC article (Score:2)
Re:The BBC article (Score:2)
This could affect things like planetary heat redistribution, reduced precipitation, etc.
I have a hard time buying that. Heat distribution and weather is mostly affected by high altitude winds like the jet stream, not the near surface winds used by windmills. Until anyone produces actuall evidence of significant enviromental effects of windmills it's just pure FUD.
Re:The BBC article (Score:1)
Obviously, you've bought it. (Score:4, Insightful)
Of course, whether or not you believe that is up to you. But in this case at least, one opinion is much less idiotic than the other [mediadazzle.com].
Re: Obviously, you've bought it. (Score:1)
> [mediadazzle.com] [mediadazzle.com]
Best... argument... ever!
Re: (Score:2)
Luckily /. is protecting us from Fake Science (Score:1)
Editorial control should be exerted... (Score:2, Insightful)
Michael's description of one set of scientists as "fake" and another as not-fake is a much worse public relations ploy than the so-called fake scientists are making. They aren't even claiming that GW is false, they are simply pointing out that many claims made by the so-called not-fake scientists require leaps over large gaps in knowledge and studies.
Of c
Re:Editorial control should be exerted... (Score:3, Insightful)
Your post is chock full of outlandish unsubstantiated claims. Could you at least provide one, high-quality, citatation for this claim? If you want to back up any of your other claims, please feel free to do so too, I'd be mightly impressed if you could find much REAL science for them either.
Re:Editorial control should be exerted... (Score:1)
Okay....maybe these scientists do have a vested interest to get grants so they can keep their jobs, but anyone that thinks that large corporations that produce greenhouse gasses don't have an exponentially larger financial interest is completely insane.
Okay.....
My thoughts (Score:1)
Why should give any credence to... (Score:1, Troll)
@Ironsides (Score:2)
I think we all would be interested to see exactly what you wrote in your article submittal to michael. You were not quoted at all in this current article's summary. I was initially ready to call you out for calling these scientists "fake" but realized that the summary was not yours.
You posted quite a bit in the "New Climate Change Warning" article of yesterday. I figured you'd have an opinion to share on this.
Re:@Ironsides (Score:5, Informative)
Thats about what I posted, the only thing I'm not completely shure about is how I worder "Choice Quote" originally. I forget what I originally put the title down as, I think it was along the lines of "Climate Change Scientist Disenters" or something like that.
As for what michael did to it, I'm pissed. As for what these guys say, since all I've ever heard anyone talk about is "We're all going to die and it's ?ALL YOUR FAULT (imaginie someone poking you in chest with their pointer finger as you read that last part)" (or seems that way) I'd like to at least here what these guys say. Seems like anytime anyone says something against global warming the get killed in the press. Always makes me interested when someone says that and makes me want to listen more.
As for the definition of Global Warming, I have heard it is something like this:
Global Warming is the Theory that humans are the cause of the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere and that said increase will cause the average temperature of the planet to increase.
If anyone else can elaborate, please do. As for the poles and all the glaciers melting and what not, that has yet to be proved. If they get a lot warmer, they will. But GW also predicts some areas will get warmer (such as the poles), and some will get colder. Last I checked, the majority of the antartic was getting colder, I'd like to hear if any of the several thousand glaciers in other parts of the world are expanding as well.
Lets see, to cover anything else that may come up, I drive a honda acord (2004). I was looking at the civic hybrid, but it felt to "plasticy" to me to be a good car. That and the fact that the dash was mesmerizing (and would have caused me to get into an accident) led me to get the accord instead. If I had known about the 2005 accord hybrid I would have waited to look at that (still need to take a peek at it). Mainly for the extra fuel economy is why I considered it. I do know several people who drive SUVs. They use them as intended. Just last week a lot of them went to West Virginia for skiing and it snowed. The 4WD helped them a lot more than the 2WD did for us. Also on the camping we do monthly it helps out a lot as well. I realize that a lot of idiots use the SUVs only in cities where they could get by with a smaller car, but I don't know any (yet) that do.
Well, that's what I have to say, it's a bit of a ramble, but that's how I think.
Expanding Glaciers (Score:2)
http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=3 1&art_id=qw1106022963550R131 [iol.co.za]
http://boards.historychannel.com/thread.jspa?threa dID=300034074&messageID=300411450 [historychannel.com]
Showing the southpole has been holding steady temp: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/update/csci/show_ station.py?id=700890090000&data_set=2 [nasa.gov]
Re:@Ironsides (Score:2)
What threshold, how can you know it will be cataclysmic, and you even say hard to predict, if it is at all possible to do so.
Since what I submited got so butchered... (Score:2)
So much for
Re:Since what I submited got so butchered... (Score:1)
Any tremendously complex system is hard to understand key aspects of, but the evidence I've seen (such as the plots of CO2 concentrations vs temperature), the systems modeling I've done, and the exhaustive global modeling done by hundreds of s
Re:Since what I submited got so butchered... (Score:2)
He said they were fake scientists. Provided no links or supporting info. Uses rhetoric in the summary with still no supporting info. How is this reporting?
and found that they were an industry-friendly group of scientists and "others" with a vested interest in seeding doubt of the Global Warming hypothesis.
Like it or not all scientists get funding from somewhere. As for them having a "vested interest", prove it. And then prove that the ones su
Humans are slowly destroying the earth. (Score:2)
I'm posting this from a mountain city in Brazil near Sao Paulo city. Twenty years ago, they grew fruit trees here that need to freeze once or twice in the winter to bear fruit in the summer. Now some of the trees are here, but there is no fruit.
Humans are slowly destroying the earth by having too many babies.
There is only one thing that will stop global warming. Show women that it is not advantageous to them to have so many babies.
Re:Humans are slowly destroying the earth. (Score:2)
As a side note, a birthrate of 2.1 is supposed to be "required" to maintain population. The USA is bellow this currently and has only managed to maintain population due to imigration. Any below 2.1 and it shrinks (due to accidental deaths killing of people before they can have kids).
Re:Humans are slowly destroying the earth. (Score:2)
Lets see, if we need to remove 1/3rd of the population of the USA, that would knock the population density down to 20 people per kilmoeter^2. That would mean that (among others
Re:Humans are slowly destroying the earth. (Score:2)
Hear, hear!
That is why I have a hard time taking blowhards like Al Gore seriously. He never stops pontificating about the many ways we selfish peons need to turn our lives upside down to save the Earth, yet he goes and has four kids. His footprint on the Earth's non-renewable resources is twice my own, therefore I will feel no shame in buying a car that uses twice as much fuel
Troll, troll, troll!! (Score:2)
Sorry to burst your bubble, Sims, but the world doesn't give a rat's ass what we do to it. Take a look at Venus: greenhouse gases, surface temp around 400 degrees, yet the planet is still very much there.
Oh, perhaps you mean "the world's life"?! Better not get too crazy about that one, son. Life is known to exist in extreme conditions.
Oh, wait, you probably mean "human life," right? Well, to quote Rush Hour: "Wipe yourself off. You're dead."
YAAT. YHL. FOAD.
Give me that old time science. (Score:1)
A distributed compute-engine simulation calculated a worst case temperature rise of 11C. While I have absolutely no doubt that their simulations produced these results, I - unlike most of the population listening to this on the news - am fully aware of what simulations are and how they work.
It requires accurate initial conditions, accurate models, and an accurate physics engine.
So what does this mean?
As an example, a story from one of the grad
OR!!! (Score:1)
You know, Like this post!
This is Standard Operating Procedure (Score:2)
BTW, this topic is very important and really should be front page on slashdot.
Re:One fake conference followed by another (Score:2)
That's the difference between fake and real. The fake media won't be able to produce anything that provokes scientific debate. Philosophical debates are useless (did I just criticize the mass of the
Re:One fake conference followed by another (Score:3, Insightful)
> Let's see, you're claiming what again? That 200 years (at most) of industrial activity influences a planetary system?
Yeah, it's just coincidence that our earth, sea, and sky have suffered huge spikes in pollutants since then, and an even more amazing coincidence that we're getting extinctions, meltdowns, and deep-sea fish contaminated with mercury at the same time.
> And that there are no natural causes that can explain this?
Heck, there might even be supernatural causes that could explain it.
B
Re:One fake conference followed by another (Score:4, Insightful)
This isn't about the validity of global warming. This is about how science is being discussed by the uninformed masses and what bad influence it has to policy making. Example? The AC's response: "it's the job of the party making the extraordinary claim..." Don't you know that scientists have produced such evidences for everyone to study? Here, have a look at global warming in Wikipedia:
Global Warming [wikipedia.org]
It even discusses the pros and cons of the current global warming study. Read it up and learn.
But the root of the problem is that the common mass generally don't understand science enough to appreciate the evidences presented there. And scientists aren't exactly the best media to disseminate such info in a simpler term, either. So the general audience tends to listen whatever they can comprehend, which generally requires no math or analytical skills. They will approach you only with the common frame of reference...via examples like, "the changes in the Sun correlates with the change in temperature [true, btw]. It must be the reason for global warming, not us! (but safely ignore the fact that careful atmospheric modeling excludes the possiblity that the rate of temperature increase cannot be explained by the current radiative transfer model...but to appreciate the degree of "deviation" between the theory and measurement, you have to be able to evaluate the model, statistics, and measurements....
In any case, this is why a government forms a scientific study group (e.g., NAS) to study difficult topics like weather, etc., and let them inform and advice to its policy makers. Again, that's because not all the general audience can't make out what all those scientists are telling. And for scientists, they have a "real" scientific conference to discuss science by gathering evidence and debating the hell out of them. Some agree and other disagree. That's science. On the other hand, the fake conference gathers the believers of their theory and agree with each other and figure out how to inform their consensus to the policy makers. I leave it to you to decide which group is more worthy of listening; I have chosen the former.
To me, these uninformed "experts" are true terrorists who are against what's good and civil.
Re: One fake conference followed by another (Score:2)
> promoting bogus "man-made global warming" theories
Why do you think the theory is bogus? Do you doubt the extraordinary spike in greenhouse gasses since the beginning of the industrial revolution? Do you think the spike was caused by something else? Do you doubt the physics of the greenhouse effect? Is there some other problem with the theory?
Please be specific.
Scientific Analysis (Score:2)
Yes. Question: How long have we been recording CO2 levels? How accurate are our measurements?
Do you think the spike was caused by something else?
I doubt the spike exists. Once we prove that we are in the middle of a CO2 spike then we can talk about where the CO2 is coming from.
By the way, it has been shown that if we can attribute human causes to the supposed rise in CO2 levels, then North Ameri
Re:Scientific Analysis (Score:3, Informative)
We have been measuring CO2 levels for at least 50 years. Not a long time geographically. We have a suitably accurate record of the global average CO2 concetration for over a thousand years. Rather longer. Regardless, the trend from both recorded CO2 concentrations and measurements of historic concentrations from Antarctic ice cores demonstrate a very clear spike in CO2 levels around the time of the industrial revolution.
Here, if you feel the USGCP (US Global
Re: One fake conference followed by another (Score:2)
Please provide a reference that describes the *source(s)* of pre-industrial revolution measurements. Who was measuring greenhouse gasses then and why? What was the nature of the instrumentation used to make the measurements and good/accurate was it?
Without reliable pre-industrial revolution data, the "spike" is meaningless. Ditto for temperature measurements. They call it GLOBAL warming. How good w
Re: One fake conference followed by another (Score:2)
> > Do you doubt the extraordinary spike in greenhouse gasses since the beginning of the industrial revolution?
> Please provide a reference that describes the *source(s)* of pre-industrial revolution measurements. Who was measuring greenhouse gasses then and why? What was the nature of the instrumentation used to make the measurements and good/accurate was it?
> Without reliable pre-industrial revolution data, the "spike" is meaningless. Ditto for temperature measurements. They call it GLOBAL
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:3, Insightful)
> Insteead, there seems to be largely a grab for grant money and political power, as opposed to real science
Fortunately, we've got some big altruistic corporations ready to intervene on behalf of our best interests.
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:3, Informative)
Here for the global cooling myth [realclimate.org].
I begin to wonder what is hurting more, an objector, or a bad arguing proponents.
As a "tree-hugger", I begin to think the latter.
Don't confused science with the media (Score:3, Informative)
Except they didn't. Scientists published data on historical temperature changes and ice ages (definitely science), and noted that the Earth was currently in a part of the orbital/axial tilt cycle which has coincided with the onset of glaciation in the past. Some scientists speculated that we might be heading into a new ice age in a geologically short time (and science is what if not speculation fol
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
The only real debate is over causation, the correlation is obvious.
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Or, what if human beings are making a difference, and we're really staving off an ice age [examiner.ie].
Or what if global warming is happening, and whether or not we have anything to do with it, we'd see increased crop-yields and all the benefits thereof for the needy and starving of the world?
We don't have enough
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Maybe because we instead see More And More Deserts On Earth [cbsnews.com]?
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2, Insightful)
Nice idea, but it is just too convenient. Suspiciously, and unrealistically convenient.
Some argue that we don't have a good enough understanding of global warming to justify changing. I can see where they are coming from. My argument is that the theory makes sense, and the consequences are so dire that it cannot be ignored.
We are rapidly burning fossil fuels that were of created over millions of years. The theory that this is having a detrimental impact on our c
Do you _believe_ in Global Warming? (Score:2)
See also Rufus's speech on ideas vs. beliefs in Dogma.
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:5, Insightful)
Yeah, it's really terrible that scientists should change their predictions when new evidence is found, rather than sticking to their ideas no matter what, like a priest or a politician.
And despite that:
1) You're wrong anyway
2) Even if you weren't, after 25 years the top climatologists are not the "same folks"
3) If the original evidence did point to global cooling, then the current rise in global temperatures is even more indicative of human influence.
Carrying on:
There's no actual consensus on 'global warming' is in fact happening,
Wrong! Absolutely no one with any credibility suggests that global warming is not occuring.
whether or not human activity has anything to do with it.
Any fringe theory will find a handful of scientists to support it.
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2, Funny)
If so, whether the Earth revolves around the Sun or vice versa is still up for debate in the U.S.
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Based on the successes the creationists have been having lately, I expect it will be soon.
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:1)
"In 1992, 359 years after the Galileo trial, Pope John Paul II issued an apology, lifting the edict of Inquisition against Galileo: 'Galileo sensed in his scientific research the presence of the Creator who, stirring in the depths of his spirit, stimulated him, anticipating and assisting his intuitions.' After the release of this report, the Pope said further that
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:1)
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:1)
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Their reasons vary from worshipping of idols (statues in catholic churches), worshipping of false gods (praying to Saint Mary and other Saints), and believing in "salvation through works" rather than "salvation by accepting Jesus" (apparently, as long as you're "saved", you can be a mass murderer and all-around horrible person, and still get into heaven. Meanwhile, everyone who's not a born-again Christian go
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2, Interesting)
There is some very compelling evidence that there are environmental changes going on around us. Consensus? No probably not, but then for the longest time there were enough holdouts to prevent a consensus between a causal link between smoking and cancer. The other part of your statement on the question of human involvement is an interesting one... but I would dare sa
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:3, Interesting)
Actually, 25 years ago "these same folks" realized what was wrong with the global cooling idea. Namely that it a) only looked at the northern hemisphere, and b) that it likely was caused by all kinds of dirt that was released into the air by industry, and has since been reduced because it killed people even faster than global warming. The Discovery of Global Warming [aip.org]
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:5, Insightful)
Be a little careful what you say, you are treading dangerously close to the bounds of being outright wrong.
First of all, in the past global cooling would have been more of an issue, as engines were more prone to release particulates, which tend to cool the earth. Now that devices of all sorts produce much less particulate pollution (but about the same quanitity of CO2), it seems reasonable that the problem will shift.
True there is no absolute consensus, but the general trend looks highly anomalous (look at a graph of temperatures, it's hard to deny what's happening), the mechanism is reasonably well understood, and the whole scenario is far beyond plausible. It is highly likely that CO2 is heating our planet. Nobody has really proven very well exactly what this means, or even whether or not it'g a good thing, but it is certainly dangerous to tread into unknown territory so quickly with so little understanding. The primary reason for restraint is not that we know what will happen, but rather that we don't know, but we strongly suspect that something is going to happen, and it is not likely to be good.
You fall into all the same fallacies. Just because people were wrong before, doesn't mean they're wrong now. Furthermore, you didn't even show that they were wrong, as far as I know, if we had continued to use 1960s era technology to the present day, perhaps global cooling would still be the more likely scenario.
It is true that a few anecdotes don't make data, but wake up. It is hard to deny that the weather has been unusually harsh lately. The global temperatures are rising (easily enough verified by satelites and simple record keeping). In Idaho (where I grew up) it is undeniable that the weather was shifting, and this was 10 years ago, it's even more clear now.
Even if the odds of global warming are only 50-50 (and evidence indicates that it's at least 90-10 in favor, most scientists claim more certainty than that), the cost to reduce it is not so great, and the possible consequences are huge. We should at least attempt to mitigate the situation, whether we truly believe or not.
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Nuclear winter was about nuclear war (Score:2)
The theory of Nuclear Winter is about the effects of an all out nuclear war on the climate, not the effects of greenhouse gasses on climate -- two totally different things. The theory of Nuclear Winter was controversial and unwelcome by some segments of
Re:Nuclear winter was about nuclear war (Score:2)
I keep seeing lots of claims of a "reversal" on predictions from cold to hot. However I distinctly remember as a child being told that pollution was going to heat the world up. The fact that opponents of global warming are willing to lie about history is pretty revealing, but I don't have proof, perhaps I am just not remembering things correctly. But I do suspect they are trying to confuse Nuclear Winter with the earlier "Earth Day" type predictions and thus get p
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:1)
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:1)
Re:What makes you think the -scientists- are hones (Score:2)
Re:Oh, the irony (Score:2)