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Space United States Science

The Future of NASA 714

fishbonez writes "According to this article, the President's new space exploration initiative parallels his military strategy for space. The article doesn't directly say that NASA will become an integral part of the military plan but clearly that conclusion could be drawn without the need for a tinfoil hat. We have already seen that Hubble will be allowed to expire prematurely as a result of this new initiative. Is the re-allocation of funds within NASA really for getting to the Moon and Mars? Or is it just a cover for shifting toward military space applications? If true, how badly will NASA's scientific mission be effected if it becomes a conduit for giving research and development money to defense contractors?" UPI has a lengthy piece covering the development of the new space plan.
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The Future of NASA

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  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:08AM (#8018245)
    So we must protect it from the Chinese. We'll also own Mars once we land some people there and plant a flag. Defending our territory is very important.
    • No, we don't! (Score:5, Informative)

      by Lord Kano ( 13027 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:17AM (#8018299) Homepage Journal
      Article II of the "Outer Space Treaty" states that

      "Outer space, including the moon and other celestial bodies, is not subject to national appropriation by claim of sovereignty, by means of use or occupation, or by any other means."

      See it here [greaterearth.org].
      • Re:No, we don't! (Score:3, Insightful)

        by Anonymous Coward
        Its convenient to have signed that treaty for now. It allows us to take actions against violators who we also bully into signing. But when the time comes, we'll throw it away as fast as we threw away the ABM treaty. When you are a large country that can get away with discarding some treaties, yet also able to enforce others, signing treaties gives you immense power over smaller countries.
        • Re:No, we don't! (Score:5, Insightful)

          by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:38AM (#8018687)
          Its convenient to have signed that treaty for now. It allows us to take actions against violators who we also bully into signing. But when the time comes, we'll throw it away as fast as we threw away the ABM treaty. When you are a large country that can get away with discarding some treaties, yet also able to enforce others, signing treaties gives you immense power over smaller countries.


          Which has, of course, nothing to do with the fact that a lot of people don't trust America or Americans. It has absolutely no relation with terrorist attacks on US targets all over the place.

          Nopes.

          That's just jealousy.

          --
          Mirror Inc.
        • by cosmosis ( 221542 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @03:32AM (#8018897) Homepage
          I just wrote a piece [floatingplanet.net] on my blog [planetp.cc] about a possible space program that we could have if we spent the $87 Billion on a SUSTAINABLE and commercially viable space program. The results I think are spectactular - including the completion of a working space elevator, reduced cost to orbit of $10 per pound (that's only $2000 per person to go to space), asteroid mining, solar power satellites,and permanent, sustainable space colinization.

          Of course this won't happen, which to me boggles the mind, as the boon to the economy and the world would be tremendous.

      • Re:No, we don't! (Score:4, Insightful)

        by quetzalc0atl ( 722663 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:33AM (#8018381)
        since when does international law mean anything? just look at antarctica, according to "international law" it is divided up nicely into slices with many different countries each having a piece. yet everyone knows that the USA and Australia have grabbed the whole thing..and if anyone doesn't like it, what are they gonna do about it?

        IL doesn't mean anything since no one has the balls to back it up. and when you talk about space: anyone out in space is going to be in the same league and therefore the same position as the USA so they wont be arguing against property rights either. the only ones arguing will be those nations that dont have the ability to go out there.
        • Re:No, we don't! (Score:4, Interesting)

          by ktanmay ( 710168 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @04:58AM (#8019173)
          yet everyone knows that the USA and Australia have grabbed the whole thing..and if anyone doesn't like it, what are they gonna do about it?

          Do you know why nobody does anything, it is because Antrartica holds no strategic importance. Scientific, yes, but politically and militarily it is not worth it.

          Space on the other hand is a whole different ball game, militarily, it has more strategic importance than any military base on earth.

          For example, if a CIA spy is caught in China, it results in a huge political crisis, but there is no reaction to a US spy satellite overlooking Chinese territory. So the job is done without any negative political effect.

          The same goes for a Chinese or Russian spy satellite overlooking US territory. Space technology will represent the next arms race.

      • "Treaties, to god-damned hell with treaties! We have no treaties. In fact, we don't need treaties. I don't have to show you any stinking treaties, you god-damned cabron and ching' tu madre!"

        --Liberally adapted from Treasure of the Sierra Madre
      • by Dukeofshadows ( 607689 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:44AM (#8018433) Journal
        ...and control of facilities on a piece of property like this is as good as owning the property. The US does not own Antarctica but our presence at McMurron and other bases gives us de facto control of the area. There is a key piece of lunar territory on the south pole that gives great visualization of the Earth, and a military observation facility there would be difficult to root out since the building would be United States Territory. In addition, holding a large base in Copernicus crater would give us de facto control of the crater and the space beneath it. An underground facility using the crater as an airlock/entryway would be owned by the United States. Officially the control would be by default, but it would take military force to actually remove the personnel, again granting de facto control to the occupying force.
        • by EinarH ( 583836 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @05:33AM (#8019299) Journal
          There is a looong way from building research and mining structures/buildings on the moon to deploying strategic weapons in space. Any country that want's could set set up a reseacrh base in Antarctica tomorrow if they had the money, but you can't deploy strategic weapons there.
          Actually The Outer Space Treaty (according to fas.org) "was the second of the so-called "nonarmament" treaties; its concepts and some of its provisions were modeled on its predecessor, the Antarctic Treaty. Like that Treaty it sought to prevent "a new form of colonial competition" and the possible damage that self-seeking exploitation might cause."

          As long as US don't deploy strategic weapons on the moon who cares? As long as the moon is open to other countries for harvesting, science and recreation you can build the next Disneyland there if you want. Just stick to the signed and ratified [fas.org] treaties like other civilised countries.

      • Re:No, we don't! (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Quirk ( 36086 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:45AM (#8018437) Homepage Journal
        I hope the cost of space exploration will be too much for any one state to undertake. Throughout history monumental undertakings have informed cultures. The pyramids, Stonhenge or other monumental undertakings have permitted cultures to defined themselves in relation to their neighbours and the universe. The exploration of space represents the first time we as a world will make our mark outside the boundaries of our home planet. It would be fitting if the exploration of space required the coming together of many nations and aide in the development of a world government.
      • Re:No, we don't! (Score:5, Interesting)

        by kfg ( 145172 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:47AM (#8018445)
        Yes, that's all well and good, up until the point someone is actually standing on the celestial body -- with a gun.

        Have you noticed, per chance, that virtually all earthly nations were formed by some sort of violent appropriation and/or occupation?

        Well, how on, ummmmmm, earth, do you think the future nations of the solar system are going to be formed?

        Or do you expect that in all the human universe only the earth will have nations and conflict and all the rest of it will be one, big, happy, rainbow coalition commune?

        KFG

      • Re:No, we don't! (Score:4, Informative)

        by isomeme ( 177414 ) <cdberry@gmail.com> on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:07AM (#8018537) Journal
        And I'm sure that, in the face of pressing national interest, this treaty will prove just as sturdy as the Kellogg-Briand Pact [yale.edu].
        • Re:No, we don't! (Score:4, Interesting)

          by WegianWarrior ( 649800 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:26AM (#8018633) Journal

          In fact, it is in the US 'pressing national interest' not to break the treaty. Because if the US breaks it or discards it, the treshold for others, like Russia and China, to do likewise is severly redused.

          Article IV
          States Parties to the Treaty undertake not to place in orbit around the earth any objects carrying nuclear weapons or any other kinds of weapons of mass destruction, install such weapons on celestial bodies, or station such weapons in outer space in any other manner.
          The moon and other celestial bodies shall be used by all States Parties to the Treaty exclusively for peaceful purposes. The establishment of military bases, installations and fortification, the testing of any type of weapons and the conduct of military manoeuvers on celestial bodies shall be forbidden. The use of military personnel for scientific research or for any other peaceful purposes shall not be prohibited. The use of any equipment or facility necessary for peaceful exploration of the moon and other celestial bodies shall also not be prohibited.

          Read the first paragrah again - the treaty forbids the deployment of nukes in space. If this treaty don't hold, what is to stop the Ruskis and the chinks to launch several satelites with huge nukes and have them in orbits putting them right over the US? Think EMP, virtually zero reaction time attacks and blackmail... do the US goverment want that to happen? I seriously don't think so. Despite all the stupid stuff politicans do all over the world, they are usually good at not putting themself in a situation where they are at the mercy of someone else.

    • by Dukeofshadows ( 607689 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:02AM (#8018514) Journal
      Let's face it: China's successful launch of a man into orbit and ambitions to go to the moon have caused a stir among the current Administration. In this administration, most budgetary increases are going towards military or security applications, thus it was inevitable that NASA be asked to perform dual-use or even exclusively military research and development projects. Between the threat of China potentially capitalizing lunar/martian resources before we do and the need to win the elction, NASA got a kick in the pants to show that America is still able to explore space. While I thoroughly disagree with how the funding is being handled (cutting homeland security's budget in half and giving it to NASA would be a start), it is clear that the future of NASA is a dual mission.

      First, NASA is to become more of a publicity tool whose true merits are sidelined by the need for good press. We've already seen this in the failure of NASA management to save Columbia by having it dock with the ISS until another shuttle could launch and with the failure of NASA management to prevent the Challenger launch to gain reputability with then-president Reagan. Perhaps the whole show should be run by engineers and the head of NASA made a 20-year Congressional appointment as a way to solve the problem. If nothing else, the shuttle should be either overhauled or replaced outright over the next 20 years as it was never able to live up to its original promises anyway.

      Second, NASA will be the place for the military to test new high-altitude and orbital equipment. Air Force personnel are already working on a shuttle capable of deploying teams of people anywhere in the world inside of 12 hours while the "Star Wars" project or an equivalent will be deployed against potential threats from nations possessing limited quantities of intercontinental ballistic missiles. Other exotic military technologies and observation/communication equipment will be deployed using NASA to get around the existing military treaties or just to replace outmoded technology.
      • by RevMike ( 632002 ) <{moc.liamg} {ta} {ekiMver}> on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:25AM (#8018624) Journal

        We've already seen this in the failure of NASA management to save Columbia by having it dock with the ISS until another shuttle could launch...

        I thought that this wasn't a real option simply on account of the different orbital inclination of the Columbia mission and the ISS? (I'm not sure I'm using the right terminology. I mean the angle of the orbital plane and the equator.)

        The ISS orbits on a fairly large inclination. This allows craft from the Russian launch facilities to reach the station easily. Nearly all flights (other than ISS missions) from the Kennedy Space Center orbit at a shallower angle.

        It is relatively easy to adjust your orbital altitude in flight, but large changes in inclination require a lot of energy. I doubt that the shuttles manuevering thrusters would have been able to perform the large adjustment of inclination.

  • by ObviousGuy ( 578567 ) <ObviousGuy@hotmail.com> on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:11AM (#8018262) Homepage Journal
    Because people can use it for bad things. That's what this article is all about, isn't it?

    Maybe when you tree huggers finally realize that there will never be peace and love the world over, only then will you finally come to terms with the world as it really is.

    Technology will be used in evil ways. However, it will also be used in ways that are amazingly good.

    Have some faith.
    • by mindaktiviti ( 630001 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:59AM (#8018500)
      More like people are inherently bad. More specifically, greed, and the hunger for power is what drives the already-powerful to bring down the rest of the people.

      If you manage to completely automate the manufacturing process, and improve renewable energies then everything should theoretically become cheaper. Throw humanity in the equation and you have 1984. :D
    • by bakes ( 87194 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:06AM (#8018530) Journal
      Maybe when you tree huggers finally realize that there will never be peace and love the world over, only then will you finally come to terms with the world as it really is.

      Only after the last tree has been cut down,
      only after the last river has been poisoned,
      only after the last fish has been caught,
      only then will you find that money can not be eaten.
      (Cree indian proverb)
    • by Lemmy Caution ( 8378 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:50AM (#8018738) Homepage
      More like, technology is a reflection of the desires and intentions of the people who control it, and the people who can afford and control most space technology are avaracious, nationalistic, paranoid and short-sighted men.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:13AM (#8018275)
    Need a
    Another
    Space
    Army

    Makes perfect sense. Bush loves spying.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:14AM (#8018281)
    I am very interested (and concerned!) about the USA's military use of outer space, but what about China?

    They must surely have plans as well, but we never hear anything about them -- no news, no speculation -- nothing.
  • by fejikso ( 567395 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:15AM (#8018286) Homepage
    If his space strategy parallels his military strategy, then we're all in trouble...

    About the Hubble, IIRC, the "official" decision to abandon it is more because of the reduced shuttle fleet (not worth risking the few shuttles left) and the upcoming better space telescope. The latest Bush space plan has little to do with the Hubble... or that's what they say.
  • by tymbow ( 725036 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:15AM (#8018287)
    They will never be happy until they have a missile base and a McDonalds drive through on every chunk of rock in the solar system bigger than 2 square metres .
    • by vkg ( 158234 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:30AM (#8018654) Homepage
      NASA always had a culture of exploration: to see what is out there and find out what it means. Exploration and discovery go hand in hand.

      Turning NASA from an Exploring agency to an empire-building agency is evil, pure and simple.

      This was supposed to be a nation dedicated to freedom and increasingly we're becoming the most frightening and dangerous regime on earth. Our civil liberties have been strip mined, and we're saddled with a government we can't trust and may not be able to get rid of.

      We started as Athens, and now we're rapidly heading towards Rome. What a lousy, bloody, stupid waste of the potential of a great nation this Bush has wrought.

      I'm tired of the Democrats, and I'm tired of the Republicans. The libertarians show promise, but the Libertarians suck. The greens are a good idea, bu the Greens are fascists, and Nader is a basket case.

      We need fundamental fixes: to admit that the Limited Liability Corporation was a grave error, or at least that the Constitution has proved inadquate in it's current for to keep such beasts under control, for starters**. We need to find a way of representing out views outside the follow-the-herd thinking of conventional political parties, so that intelligent debate, healthy scepticism and scientific fact get a fair hearing in the political arena.

      NASA really once was our crown jewel: an essentially peaceful effort put the first human being on the surface of another world. Yes, there were nationalistic reasons for doing it, but we did it in peace, and we did it for everybody.

      To see it militarized when there is no credible space-related threat to the safety or liberty of Americans is anathema.

      I don't know what we can do to reverse this corruption of our ideals, but I hope somebody else does. How's about using this thread to think about that.

      (**) The Bill of Rights would have contained a clause banning the formation of corporations, had not the states of the time had adaquate anti-corporate legislation themselves. In hindsight, this may have been the most critical error the Framers made.
      • Please god tell me you are kidding. Limited Liability is the backbone of any economic growth.

        Limited Liability makes jobs possible. Business needs to be able to make mistakes. Investors do not make day to day decisions in the business, so they should not be punished for day to day mistakes. They are only punishable for what they have invested, nothing else. If investors were liable for any potential thing the business does, they would not invest nearly as much. This spells bad news for economic growth, w
        • by vkg ( 158234 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @03:07AM (#8018812) Homepage
          Further arguments on why abolishing limited liability is the Right Answer [deletetheweb.com]

          In a nutshell: companies are taking too many risks in areas like biotech, handling of toxic chemicals, and consumer safely. They're using the unlimited protection afforded them by the government in ways which harm us all.

          Abraham Lincoln on Corporations [commondreams.org]

          "As a result of the war, corporations have been enthroned and an era of corruption in high places will follow, and the money power of the country will endeavor to prolong its reign by working upon the prejudices of the people until all wealth is aggregated in a few hands and the Republic is destroyed. I feel at this moment more anxiety than ever before, even in the midst of war. God grant that my suspicions may prove groundless."

          Now, does this sound familiar to you? It is modern America. Yes, we've got very used to the economic benefits of limited liability. However, the policital cost - individual voters losing control of the political process to big money is simply unacceptable.

          It's time to rein in corporate power and put people back in the driver's seat.
  • Math Geeks (Score:4, Funny)

    by chunkwhite86 ( 593696 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:16AM (#8018295)
    NEW YORK:
    At New York's Kennedy airport today, an individual later discovered to be a public school teacher was arrested trying to board a flight while in possession of a ruler, a protractor, a setsquare, a slide rule, and a calculator.

    At a morning press conference, Attorney general John Ashcroft said he believes the man is a member of the notorious al-gebra movement. He is being charged by the FBI with carrying weapons of math instruction.

    "Al-gebra is a fearsome cult," Ashcroft said. "They desire average solutions by means and extremes, and sometimes go off on tangents in a search of absolute value.
  • by WombatControl ( 74685 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:19AM (#8018304)

    The fact remains that the militarization is space is virtually inevitable - if not by us, by someone else. One of the reasons for the Chinese Shenzhou manned-spaceflight program is to put electronic and optical intelligence platforms in orbit. The rear section of the Shenzhou orbiter is left in low Earth orbit where it can be used for photographic and electronic surveillance. Just as our space program lead to more advanced space-based intelligence platforms, the Chinese are doing much the same.

    What's more worrying is the threat of satellite hunter-killer devices. Imagine if someone developed the technology to knock out the GPS grid - both our military and our economy would suffer greatly.

    We can't naively assume that space will only be used for peaceful means, and if we don't take the initiative in ensuring that we have adaquate countermeasures we take on significant risk.

    On the other hand, the process is going to be slow. Space exploration is very expensive, and only a major power can afford significant investments in space. We're not going to see al-Qaeda or even North Korea develop a sat-killer any time soon.

    Chances are we'll see a new space race between the US and China, with the moon being the primary goal for both. The technological advancements from such a race will be as important as the advancements we got from Apollo. New materials, new energy source, new biotechnology are all potential spin-offs from space exploration.

    Rather than fear increased space travel, we should be welcoming it. Yes, there will be a military presence in space, but the benefits of space exploration far outweigh the risks.

    • by tealover ( 187148 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:30AM (#8018358)
      I for one welcome our new American overlords...oops

      I meant to say I welcome American militarization of space. Only the Americans can do it, only the Americans can be trusted not to abuse the power. If it were China or Russia, I'd be much more scared because they've both shown no compunction about killing millions of their own people. I shudder to think what they would do to the rest of us.

    • We're not going to see al-Qaeda or even North Korea develop a sat-killer any time soon.

      I don't know about that -- Captain Midnight [textfiles.com] did a nice number on a satellite with little more than the right opportunity. My apologies for the comparison, as Captain Midnight was certainly not a force of evil like those two entities, but the point stands to say -- you don't have to put a bullet through a satellite to kill it.

    • The very truth... (Score:5, Insightful)

      by interactive_civilian ( 205158 ) <mamoru.gmail@com> on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:43AM (#8018427) Homepage Journal
      WombatControl said:
      We can't naively assume that space will only be used for peaceful means, and if we don't take the initiative in ensuring that we have adaquate countermeasures we take on significant risk.
      The truth of this statement almost makes me want to cry.

      It is such a shame that those who don't take these kinds of initiatives put themselves at risk because if NO ONE took the initiatives at all, there would be no risk. I often wish that was how the world worked. Instead we get the endless cycle:

      Country 1: We have to build it first or we will be at risk.
      Country 2: Look Country 1 is building them, so we have to build them also to keep up or we will be at risk.
      Country 3: Well, if Countries 1 and 2 are building them then we can't be left behind.
      Country 1: Uh-oh. Countries 2 and 3 are building them, so no we need to build more and better ones or we will be at risk.
      Country 2: What's that? Country 1 is building more?? Well, fire up the factories. We need more too.
      Country 3: Us too!!!
      Country 4: Hey guys. I have an idea. How about none of us build any of them and there will be no risk.
      Countries 1, 2, and 3: *Simultaneous Laughter*
      Country 1: Now...where were we? Oh yes, BUILD MORE!!
      Countries 2 and 3: US TOO!!!

      ad infinitum

      *sigh*

    • by vandan ( 151516 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:53AM (#8018466) Homepage
      This kind of argument - that technology of war is being developed for our own good and protection - is always given by right-wing apoligists when they don't have anything else to fall back on.

      The simple fact is that most of the world's people are quite content withouth space being militarized, and the only people who long for weapons can be divided into 2 categories:

      1) The agressors, and
      2) Those who feel a need to defend themselves from (1)

      As recent world history has shown us, despite all the scare-mongering over 'Weapons of Mass Destruction', the real agressors come from the country that makes and sells more weapons of mass destruction than all the rest of the countries combined. And for those interested in the competitors, Israel and the UK come a distant 2nd and 3rd.

      I'm not implying by this that Americans are inherintly evil or backward ( as they imply of their enemies ). The US is simply the pinnacle of the world's capitalist empire, and as such, is the most glarying obvious example of what capitalism is really about: profit at any cost.

      And that's why the US targets societies with different value systems to it's own for conquering and assimilation: as examples of alternatives to capitalism, they are the biggest threat to the US goal of total global military domination. Don't think that's what the plan is? Check out http://www.newamericancentury.org/RebuildingAmeric asDefenses.pdf [newamericancentury.org], which was prepared by such war criminals as Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Elliot Abrams, Jeb Bush, and Paul Wolfowitz. While you're at it, check out the web site it comes from: http://newamericancentury.org [newamericancentury.org]. It will shock you into becoming a socialist!
      • Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Elliot Abrams, Jeb Bush, and Paul Wolfowitz.

        I consider all of them heroes. They are the Minuteman of this era. They will do anything to protect America and to ensure that those who threaten it are destroyed. There is nothing wrong about that at all.

        If you're not with us, that is.

    • by spitzak ( 4019 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @04:09AM (#8019010) Homepage
      China has been able to launch electronics into orbit for a long time. The manned flights have a different purpose that to get spy sattelites up there.
  • X-33 (Score:5, Interesting)

    by WindBourne ( 631190 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:20AM (#8018309) Journal
    I noticed that the X-33 was canceled in W's early days. One of the issues with it was the composite cryo tanks for the h2. The interesting thing was that W's ppl (and the military) insisted that it was to be stopped, and dismantled. Yet, they allowed the tests of the engines at stennis and they continued the work on the cryo tanks. I suspect highly that W simply moved a near working system to being under the military.
    • This isn't true! (Score:4, Insightful)

      by UPAAntilles ( 693635 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @03:28AM (#8018881)
      When the Columbia went down, I made it my goal to find out what went wrong. Ultimately I decided that the Space Shuttle was a dated piece of equipment that needed to be replaced. Endeavor should have never been built, instead a new 2nd-gen shuttle should have. (The program existed, but was later canceled) The lack of funding by the Clinton administration is what led to its ultimate demise. The Venturestar Program was the 3rd generation space shuttle (called the Space Launch Initiative), and the X-33 was the prototype. Actually, it wasn't even that, it was a "technology validator". So it makes sense to test the components that had been built already (like the linear aerospike engine, which is revolutionary due to its efficiency and the composite fuel tanks would be a boon to any launching system, shuttle or otherwise) The program was cancelled because too many things had gone wrong and NASA under Clinton appointee Daniel Goldin had shifted focus to small, unmanned probes (faster, better, cheaper) so they were unwilling to tough it out. You can find out all about the X-33 at ALLSTAR or [fiu.edu] NASA itself [nasa.gov].
    • The 90% completed X-33 is at Edward's AFB, in a hanger, by a launchpad. The hanger, the launchpad, and the prototype are jointly owned by Lockheed Martin and NASA, President Bush could not take it without buying Lockheed Martin out ($356 million), and transferring NASA's share to the Air Force. Thing is, everyone that follows space exploration closely would know about it, no matter how much they tried to cover it up. (It would have to go through Congress). It's useless anyway, it can't haul cargo or any
  • Lots of He3 but... (Score:4, Insightful)

    by rcpitt ( 711863 ) * on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:21AM (#8018312) Homepage Journal
    how much of it is extractable with reasonable effort? A million tons in the whole moon might mean only a few hundred can be extracted without rendering the whole moon into dust. The statements need to be qualified before we can rely on them in any way.

    On the other hand, I'm generally in favour of space exploration - especially if we can send some of our polliticians out on non-return trips ;)

    In fact, the sooner we open up this new frontier to the point where our chompin'-at-the-bit youngsters can get off planet before they ruin this one for the rest of us, the better.

    Dear governments of the world - please let those who would sacrifice their lives on a less than 50/50 chance of success in this venture have a go at it. Our fore-fathers had about the same chance when opening up new territories here on Earth - and the energy accumulated in the recent generations is chafing enough that it is causing the rest of us grief.

    • by Anonymous Coward
      Easy to extract from the upper centimeter of lunar regolith. Just heat by microwaves to about 500 degrees. That drives of 90% of the He3. One space shuttle payload bay full (not the way it'll be done, but just to use a specific volume) would power America for a year, assuming you have a fusion reactor to use the He3. Check out the published articles in space conferences. Use google. Articles from Rockwell by Waldron. Articles by criswell. Dudes, it's easy. All we need is fusion reactors and a lunar
    • by toxic666 ( 529648 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:58AM (#8018492)
      I did a back of the napkin based upon the He3 info posted on space.com.

      http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/helium3_00 06 30.html

      They said there is about 70 tons He3 per million tons of regolith.

      That comes in at concentrations that would be a nice gold or platinum deposit on earth (about 1.75 oz/ton He3), but is a very low concentration for anything other than a precious metal. The extraction temp quoted in the article is 800C (1470F) and would require a lot of energy. This would require very large solar panels and MANY trips to get them up there.

      No, you are not going to fabricate solar panels on the moon.

      Then there is the distribution of He3 in regolith. If it only occurs in the top few inches of regolith, you need the kind of equipment that can mine only that portion. Otherwise you dilute the ore feed and end up treating material devoid of the resource at great cost.

      Then you have to deal with removing the gasses that come off in addition to H3. Water and O2 woudl be useful, but F, Cl and the other volatiles typically found in rocks and regolith would be a problem.

      Assuming we come up with a feasible fusion reactor, it looks like it will be cheaper to deal with neutrons than import a clean fuel from the moon.
  • by metroid composite ( 710698 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:22AM (#8018313) Homepage Journal
    I mean I know I can remember growing up as a kid, and thinking how cool it would be to go discover new things on the moon, or go make friends with aliens. I mean has anybody here not dreamed of being an Astronaught someday?

    Now compare that with launching missile pads up into space. It's just not the same. I mean if I wanted to do Military stuff, I'd want to fly a fighter jet, or something...not monitor space weapons we'll never use from the ground.

    NASA's recruiting potential --;

    • by _Sprocket_ ( 42527 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:24AM (#8018621)


      I mean I know I can remember growing up as a kid, and thinking how cool it would be to go discover new things on the moon, or go make friends with aliens. I mean has anybody here not dreamed of being an Astronaught someday?


      That's because you were a kid. You're an adult now. You understand more. And you're probably much more cynical. Your world view has shifted dramatically.

      The program you are all sentimental about was part of a pissing contest between two superpowers holding guns to each other's heads. That doesn't really fall in line with the whole concept of discovering new things and making friends with aliens.

      Heck - during the 60's, American culture couldn't even hold on to the "making friends with aliens" idea. SciFi flicks of the era started with aliens being our friends and possibly saviors. Then Hollywood latched on to the idea that aliens might not be friendly. Aliens became all manner of monster and mennace. Mix in a bit of Red Scare and you got Invasion of the Body Snatchers.

      Back to reality.

      Why did the US get so upset over Sputnik to begin with? It doesn't take much imagionation to see the military aspects.

      Don't get me wrong. I think the space program is more than military application. But the military aspect has always been there. Whether you recognized it or not.
  • Face it (Score:5, Insightful)

    by SengirV ( 203400 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:23AM (#8018319)
    The shuttle blows. The ISS is barely in space. We need to break the gravitational bounds of earth again. What good is going 200 miles up? It's pointless? Been there done that. We need to grow a a pair and get going. I'm glad that NASA is getting a good kick in the pants. We can't waste another 30 years with crap like a 300 miles in space POS shuttle.
    • Re:Face it (Score:3, Insightful)

      by tinrobot ( 314936 )
      I agree about the Shuttle. But the question remains what will we do once we get to the moon/mars... if we ever get there at all?

      -- Build space weapons to make Bush's buddies rich?

      -- Or do real science that enriches mankind?

      I have a sinking feeling science is going to lose out.
    • Re:Face it (Score:3, Informative)

      by _Sprocket_ ( 42527 )


      What good is going 200 miles up? It's pointless? Been there done that. We need to grow a a pair and get going.

      Exactly. I mean - we keep doing this kind of thing. What the hell was the use of constantly sailing to this "New World" place? I mean - ships already hit the shoreline once. All this colonization and exploration crap. Worthless. History's superpowers should have been more worried with building ships to sail further.


      I'm glad that NASA is getting a good kick in the pants. We can't was

  • am a bit curious (Score:3, Interesting)

    by katalyst ( 618126 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:24AM (#8018322) Homepage
    about a few issues-
    (1) Whoever goes to the moon next - should find the flag left behind the astronauts (right?)
    (2) It is kinda early to worry about, but how will extra-planetary real estate be organized? First come first serve? (yah, a lota land rite now - but what about the next 50 yrs or more)
    Assimov comes to mind, he painted this horrific image of colonies on other planets - looking down on earth and earthlings - and finally milliniums later - refuse to believe that life originated on a single planet.....
    As we plan for the future, we don't look far enough into the future (nucleur weapons and global warming being immediate examples)
  • Hubble Schmubble (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Bowie J. Poag ( 16898 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:25AM (#8018329) Homepage
    You guys make it sound like Hubble is the last telescope we will ever make, let alone put up in orbit.

    Hubble is a Cracker Jack toy compared to whats on the books right now. Letting Hubble fall into obsolescence is a _blessing_ in a way, since it paves the way for newer, better (interferometer!) telescopes to go into the mix.

    Besides, it's not like we're at a loss for data. Hubble generated enough data to keep researchers busy for decades. Let it burn up, as far as i'm concerned. Make way for the bigger and better.

    Cheers,
    • by Kulic ( 122255 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:40AM (#8018412) Homepage
      You guys make it sound like Hubble is the last telescope we will ever make, let alone put up in orbit.

      The James Webb telescope isn't scheduled to go up until 2010. Hubble is expected to fail between 06-08 without maintenance. Also, Hubble has capabilities (particularly UV detection) that no other currently planned telescope has. They are not replacements, but companions.

      The other thing that needs to be brought up is that O'Keefe said only 40 million will be saved by not fixing Hubble. Over 200 million has already been spent on developing the new instruments and the replacement parts (batteries, gyros etc) for it. The astronauts want to volunteer to fix it, safety concerns be damned, and the proposed rockets to maneuver it safely through the atmosphere (so it comes down in the ocean) are likely to cost more than the shuttle mission.

      Hubble is a unique resource (and a piece of history) that IMO should be kept operational for as long as possible, and then be brought back to the Smithsonian. Sure we have lots of data to analyse, but why shouldn't we keep making new discoveries and learning about the universe we live in?
    • by jesterzog ( 189797 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:07AM (#8018539) Journal

      Hubble is a Cracker Jack toy compared to whats on the books right now.

      It's also there and it's working right now. Hubble has proven itself to be reliable for longer than a decade, which is one of the best possible guarantees that could be hoped for in space. Throwing it away to invest entirely in something not yet proven is a big gamble. The cost of keeping Hubble working for a few years longer is quite low compared with the overheads of designing, building and launching entirely new projects.

      Of course it'd be great to have future projects in due course, but suggesting that Hubble has "generated enough data" is a very shallow viewpoint. There are never a shortage of applications for people to use it -- big telescope time is hard to get. There are also $200 million instruments that were designed and built for the next Hubble mission that will now never be used. The James Webb Space Telescope, for example, which is still in a relatively conceptual design phase, also doesn't obsolete Hubble. They're designed for quite different things.

      In any case with George Bush's massive "reallocation" of funding within NASA, this is one of the shakiest times for this type of genuine scientific project. Don't be surprised if the JWST and other similar projects are also scuttled in the near future in favour of the politically popular but scientifically dubious goal of getting more human ballast into local space.

  • No offense (Score:5, Informative)

    by Ryvar ( 122400 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:26AM (#8018332) Homepage
    But wasn't this pretty obvious from the start?

    What other reason would the figurehead for PNAC (earlier post on them here [slashdot.org]) have for announcing an enhanced space initiative when the biggest problem his administration is facing is budgetary concerns?

    When this was first announced the first sentence out of my lips were "Oh fuck, here comes the militarization of space." Just so we can establish a Cringely-esque track record, when I saw the WTC collapse the first words out of my mouth were "Oh fuck, there go our civil liberties" (and Patriot II was just passed under our noses this last month).

    This should come as a surprise for absolutely nobody save foreigners just chiming in. I suggest picking up Perle's new book for a roadmap of what we'll see this administration try and pull if they get elected next term (and they probably will).

    --Ryvar
  • Helium 3 & Fusion (Score:5, Informative)

    by zaxer ( 739595 ) <zaxer100@hotma i l . c om> on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:27AM (#8018339)
    Note the one justification for going to the moon for military or economic purposes that the article gives - to mine helium 3 - still requires that we have working fusion reactors to process that helium. The article http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/helium3_0006 30.html [space.com] has more information. Among other things, you also need to heat the surface to 800 degrees celsius to mine it.

    Thus, a moon base by 2020 would have absolutely no connection to this in my mind. Frankly, you aren't going to get any militaristic benefit from going to the moon, other than cowing other countries into submission. And we should already be able to do that through other means...

    All this, of course, is not to say that I don't support going back to the moon - I do, for scientific reasons - but as a military objective, this whole helium 3 thing is silly right now.

  • by shanen ( 462549 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:27AM (#8018341) Homepage Journal
    Carlyle is a big BushCo business, and this space thing is exactly their kind of scam. They mostly look for defense-related companies that are relatively cheap. The "relatively" is the tricky part. It depends either on insider knowledge that is liable to soon change the value of a target company's products, or sometimes the use of overt influence to change defense spending priorities to make the company's products more valuable. In either case, what they bought cheap suddenly becomes much more valuable--and they sell it off and look for another.

    Space technology has been on the fringes of their interests. However, if you want to figure out the real motivation behind this latest space deal, look to see what the Carlyle folks have been buying lately. These guys only think with the brains in their hip pockets.

    By the way, Poppy Bush and his friends are major participants. Saudis like the royals and Bin Ladins used to be big players in the group, too, but they were persuaded to get out. Looked bad, you know.

  • by mveloso ( 325617 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:27AM (#8018345)
    It was a toss-up whether the hubble was going to be put on ice or not, and it looks like nasa made a decision.

    But really, what's wrong with the militarization of space? Almost all the sci-fi tv shows dealing with space, yes, the ones you know and love, are populated by military folks: star trek, babylon 5, stargate sg-1, battlestar galatica come to mind. The only space show I can think of that didn't have the military as primary characters was firefly, which died an unfortunate (and probably premature) death.

    Let's face it, the military are the only ones who are crazy enough to spend billions for a strategic position. No sane commercial enterprise is going to spend that much to build a space beachhead, because there's no ROI. If commerical enterprises can leverage off of the military infrastructure, well, that makes it a bit more acceptible from an ROI point of view.
  • by DumbSwede ( 521261 ) <slashdotbin@hotmail.com> on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:28AM (#8018348) Homepage Journal
    I think most at NASA would tell the reason that Hubble is being abandoned is due the remaining shuttle being designed to service the ISS. I believe Columbia was the last shuttle that could easily reach the orbit of the Hubble, and be equipped to service it. Plus there are scarce enough mission slots now to maintain the ISS. NASA is also now looking ahead to "The James Webb Space Telescope" Hubble's successor.

    That said I wouldn't argue that a build up of the manned space program could be a cover for taking the high ground in space. Control of the skies is what gives the US such a commanding advantage in wars these days. Certainly a reason the US is none too happy to see Europe launching Galileo its own GPS system.

    I won't debate whether this makes the US evil or not, but it could be seen as prudent in maintaining a lead militarily. To expect China to remain to peaceful purposes only in space may be a bit naive. At this point I don't support nor condemn US space initiatives. I wait to see if this all turns out to be political rhetoric. We all rejoiced in the science and progress of the Apollo era, but without a cold war to drive it there would have been slower progress in space. Now that the world has become a more dangerous place again, we may see such programs again. A boon for science, but with a cloud inside the silver lining.

    • by Kulic ( 122255 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:48AM (#8018450) Homepage
      I think most at NASA would tell the reason that Hubble is being abandoned is due the remaining shuttle being designed to service the ISS. I believe Columbia was the last shuttle that could easily reach the orbit of the Hubble, and be equipped to service it. Plus there are scarce enough mission slots now to maintain the ISS. NASA is also now looking ahead to "The James Webb Space Telescope" Hubble's successor.

      Just wanted to clarify this. Columbia was the only shuttle with a large enough cargo bay to fit Hubble inside it. This is only a problem when you want to bring it back to earth safely (although IIRC Columbia was used to launch Hubble, but that's not a problem anymore).

      It's probably not the only reason for cancelling the service mission, but a shuttle can't reach the ISS from Hubble's orbit. Thus no lifeboat if something goes wrong (besides sending up another shuttle). Never mind that this has been the case for all (5-6?) previous Hubble missions.
  • by kcbrown ( 7426 ) <slashdot@sysexperts.com> on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:28AM (#8018349)
    Is the re-allocation of funds within NASA really for getting to the Moon and Mars? Or is it just a cover for shifting toward military space applications?

    This is a rhetorical question, right?

    Of course this is just a cover for shifting towards military space applications. Bush, like any modern elected federal politican, doesn't listen to the people -- he listens to the media corporations and the corporations that bankrolled his election (that would be most of the big ones, for anyone who cares to ask).

    Because of this, Bush will do whatever is in the interests of those corporations. One of those interests is to make sure the U.S. remains on top militarily, because the U.S. can't sieze the assets of other countries (e.g., Iraq) or credibly control the actions of other, smaller countries without a strong and influential military.

    As difficult to defend against as the U.S. military is right now, it will be completely unstoppable if it manages to gain and retain control of space. Space-borne gun platforms simply can't be touched by anything any third-world country can produce, and producing the required equipment would probably bankrupt many of them. That makes such platforms impossible to defend against.

    Now that China and India have shown some initiative in their quest for space, Bush and the corporations that back him want to make sure they can never challenge U.S. military authority. That requires that the U.S. take over and control space in Earth orbit at the very least. Hence the rush.

    It goes without saying that a number of the U.S. corporations that back Bush will also benefit from the lucrative contracts that will be given to them for all of this. Contracts paid for by everyone who pays U.S. income tax. Contracts paid for at gunpoint.

    If the U.S. develops a manned presence on the moon and elsewhere, it will be a military presence only, at least until corporations figure out how to make it profitable in the short term to be there.

    Frankly, I don't think we'll get to Mars prior to a U.S. economic collapse due to the long term consequences of the "jobless recovery" we're currently in. That means we won't get there at all.

  • by Quirk ( 36086 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:29AM (#8018350) Homepage Journal
    "At a gathering of space professionals in Washington on Dec. 18, both Boeing and Lockheed Martin presented PowerPoint slides showing nearly identical plans for future space missions. The presentations were so similar that either company's representative could have used the other's with no confusion whatsoever"

    PowerPoint dumbs down another presentation

  • Hubble (Score:3, Insightful)

    by bazarodin ( 739960 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:30AM (#8018356)
    Why do so many otherwise smart people lose it when it comes to Bush's policies? For example, the Hubble telescope. How many manned space flights has NASA sent up in the past year? The observant among us may remember that the shuttle is GROUNDED. How can we service Hubble without the shuttle? Not to mention, a bigger and better Hubble replacement is due to be in orbit within 5 years. Besides this--it's not like hubble is going to come hurtling into the ocean tomorrow, it has probably years of functionality left. What's the problem?
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:30AM (#8018360)
    These articles overlook the fact that no matter what Bush is planning, NASA already has a lot of overlap with the military:

    1. Most of NASA's contractors are also defense contractors (Lockheed, etc.), so, it is obvious that _any_ increase in NASA's budget will lead to some defense contractors getting more money.

    2. Many of the astronauts are air force officers, since the skills needed to pilot a space craft and a fighter plane are similar. (Chiefly, the ability to stay conscious at a high # of G's)

    3. The _original_ space program and the Moon Mission were intended to show the Soviets US tech was better. If the new program competes with the Chinese, it will be the same situation with only the names of the countries changing.
    • 1.) Yes 2.) a.) No, the autopilot is far more advanced than the human in the loop (if they ever GET in the loop). As it stands the only reason that the autopilot doesn't engage the landing gear is because the pilots objected to being thrown so far outside the control loop. b.) The shuttle is designed to pull ~3Gs coming in. Much more and you are dead already. 3Gs is nothing. c.) If your idea of a fighter plane is something that moves really fast, then sure, its like a fighter. I tend to think 'agile' when t
  • So? (Score:4, Insightful)

    by TexVex ( 669445 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:30AM (#8018365)
    Throughout human history, technological advancement has been driven primarily by military need. Considering that military force is the ultimate expression of religion, politics, and economics, that should be no surprise.
  • by rockwood ( 141675 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:31AM (#8018371) Homepage Journal
    A permanent base on the moon is the only thing I strongly side with him (Bush) about. Personally a permanent base on the moon would have been a much more viable solution than the current space station.

    The costs of both the space station and a moon base would not be that different from one another. Though the moon base would have allowed for much larger living quarter, plant life for primary oxygen supply. Further plant life could have been that of vegtables and other garden eatery. Exercise room, A real bedroom

    Plus this would have allowed for daily sampling, atmospheric tests, and a wide variety of other scientific tests that the previous short lived manned mission to the moon could not have provided due to time constraints.

    With the recent issue of the space station losing air pressure due to a leak (I beleive was in the living quarters), could have been potentially deadly. While a moon base could have a stock of oxygen and food that is never touch that would last as long as they needed until help could arrived. If the space station were to lose air at a high rate or have severe structural damage.. hwo long do you think it would take to get there? Answer... Too Long!

  • by citanon ( 579906 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:36AM (#8018395)
    NASA technology and expertise will flow to the military. Applicable military technologies will flow to NASA. This will benefit both sides as long as both sides think clearly about what technologies and costs could beneficially be shared and what technologies and capabilities should not.

    In the past, for example, shuttle development costs grew as a result of military requirements. Let's hope that this will not happen again.

    The general approach should be modular. For example, much of the data architecture, flight software, crew protection, and engine technology could be designed as modular components that plug into an overall standard. The military and NASA would then assemble their own spacecraft while benefiting from shared development costs and manufacturing overhead.

    Those who wish to keep the military out of space have their heads buried in the sand. Today, a vaccuum of power exists in space because no country as of yet has the capability to project its power there. It would be foolish for the US not to strive to project power into space while we have an advantage. Because wheter we do or we do not, nations that decry our military efforts today will themselves grab for power when it is within their reach tomorrow. Treaties and regulations do not pacify conflict. Historically, they have only served to codify and legitimize balance of power and pervasiveness of justice that prevents conflict. When no such balance exists, using treaties and accords to contain conflict is like trying to wrap up fire with paper. Witness, for example, the Mideaster peace process.
  • by cloudnine ( 183773 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:42AM (#8018416)
    So NASA, with their increased allowance, can now buy 1/2 of a steath bomber! [msn.com]. Wow, I never knew Bush really cared about space exploration. I get the feeling that this is one of those "Don't pay attention to the man behind the curtain!!!" situations.
  • by caitsith01 ( 606117 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:43AM (#8018431) Journal
    Why not make space, or at least the space around the earth, the same as the air: the space above a particular country belongs to that country, space above the international oceans is open to all. Thus it would be necessary to have other countries' permissions before orbiting anything over them, and issues like spying and weapons platforms would be somewhat marginalised. This would also allow each country to develop a space program as it saw fit in its own bit of space, or optionally to rent that space to others.

    As it is now, space seems a bit like the wild west - noone cares who they fly over, or what's orbiting above them, or whatever.

    Likewise we should develop a method for dividing up the moon, mars etc. that is not based on present capabilities but on the likelihood that one day any nation will be capable of utilising these resources. Or better yet put them all under the total control of the UN, as things too big for one nation to claim for itself.

    I'm not a US basher, but just because the US is powerful right now doesn't mean it should have total rights to everything it finds in space. I mean, by that logic the US itself would still be part of France and Britain.

    Personally I wish there were more collaborative space exploration. Instead of 3 countries/consortiums sending a probe each to Mars, we could have a probe to Mars, one to Europa, and one to Venus.

    On a political note [not for moderation]: America, the rest of the world is praying that you wake up and dump Bush this year. It may be 50:50 in the polls in the States, but from outside your continuing refusal to realise that he is a dangerous, incompetent, scheming, money grabbing, corrupt fool is increasingly alarming. Mod -100000 for flamebait, but that's how it is. Please realise though: I love the US, I just wish someone would drive it in the right (or should that be centre-left) direction.
    • by zaxer ( 739595 ) <zaxer100@hotma i l . c om> on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:50AM (#8018737)
      Orbiting is not like flying over a country - after all, you can purposely do a 30 degree turn in a plane to avoid a country, but try doing that on a satellite and you'll run out of fuel in no time. So are you going to have to get the permission of 20+ countries for every non-geosynchronous object put in orbit?

      For example, there's no chance that we could put a space station in geosynchronous orbit. So if China decides they don't want us to do any space station research, we'd have no way to develop it.

    • Why not make space, or at least the space around the earth, the same as the air: the space above a particular country belongs to that country

      Because the first satellites were launched by the superpowers, and other countries didn't want to argue with them. There was actually some talk of dividing space up like this at the time, but when the USSR launched Sputnik, the US decided not to complain about it flying over. After all, the US wanted to fly its satellites over the USSR too.

      Technically, some geostati
    • My country (Venezuela) put something like that at the constitutional level. We claim sovereignty over the "ultraterrestial space" covering our national territories up to the limits of national legislation and international treaties.

      Not everyone is proud of that touch of legal genius.

      Legislation has no meaning without enforceability. That is a fact of politics and a fact of life.

      Aerial space can be legislated because it is both enforceable and has a direct reason to be enforced:
      - It is clearly viable that
  • by VoidEngineer ( 633446 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:46AM (#8018440)
    "Is the re-allocation of funds within NASA really for getting to the Moon and Mars?

    It's on the record as being re-allocated for those purposes, so that seems like a redundant question. I supose you're asking "is that their real purpose"? Perhaps a longer-term perspective would ask the question of, what is the purpose of getting to the Moon and Mars, besides "exploration"? Historically, exploration has had economic, security, and political motivators. This is just more of the same, it appears...

    Or is it just a cover for shifting toward military space applications?

    Same argument. When Columbus sailed the ocean blue, and the King and Queen of Spain underwrote his voyage, don't you think that people complained that the government was using that voyage as a cover for shifting towards military nautical applications? Of course they did... Ever heard of the Spanish Armada? Spain succeeded in developing it's military nautical applications... war galleons, collonies in the americas, gold, etc. etc. Of course, they later lost control of most of it, but at the time it was simply an investment which later paid of in terms of economic, political, and military applications...

    If true, how badly will NASA's scientific mission be effected if it becomes a conduit for giving research and development money to defense contractors?

    Maybe none at all. There is a "science of war" after all... Take the Atlantic Research Corporation, for example... They conducted scientific research into the area of solid-fuel rockets... Pretty serious scientific applications, all things considered. Also very serious defence, political, and economic research as well. All things considered, NASA's scientific mission could possibly be improved if they could develop a new line of shuttle replacements that could also serve defence applications... And the armed services have a repuation of having equipment which works pretty well, now-days... You never know when some extra terrestrial object or species is going to start landing on our chunk of rock... Better be ready...
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:48AM (#8018449)
    Okay, so the US space program should become militarized because of China being a military threat.

    Perhaps I am missing something. (Namely, ignorant of a huge modernized navy China has been hiding somewhere or something.)

    I'm trying to imagine a war with China happening realistically. (Which seems unlikely unless one or both countries end up with idiots/nutcases in charge.)

    I'm trying to imagine the US and China getting into a full balls-to-the-wall war, and the rest of the world just standing back and not getting involved. That's really hard.

    I'm trying to imagine a scenario where China tries to invade the US, somehow transporting troops over the Pacific Ocean without getting picked off by US forces en masse. Where China doesn't have to worry about Japan sitting off its coast, India, Pakistan, Taiwan breaking away, internal rebellion happening while troops are diverted, Islamic rebels in the western provinces, even Russia and former Soviet states along its north border. Unless China has a magically unsinkable troop transport capable of carrying a few dozen million troops, I have problems seeing this happening.

    I'm trying to imagine a scenario where the US invades China successfully. I keep imagining China just shrugging and saying, "We surrender -- make us part of the US!" and, a decade later when the US goes bankrupt from struggling with dealing with a population five times its size over seas, a multiplicity of languages and ethnic groups, etc., China quietly return to what it had been doing.

    I can't see either side waging a war and succeeding (they might 'win', but that's different from being able to survive a victory.) The economic impacts, both local and globally, would be immense. Now, I can see a nuclear exchange, or a mutual destruction potentially happening (successfully, for certain definitions of success), but I can't see a conventional war working out.

    This doesn't mean that military defenses aren't needed -- the scenarios above presupposes neither side has become easy pickings, but as is, the cost in waging a war seems far, far more than any unlikely gain.

    The battlefield seems more likely to be in the economic arena at this point than the military. Yah, we need a strong arm to keep the cost of any military action high, but outside of stupidity or insanity, I'm not sure why fear is necessary.

    Maybe someone can explain to me how China is a threat, militarily? (Outside of a nuclear exchange, which even then I am pretty sure the US holds a noticeable fire power edge. I've not heard a damned thing about any Chinese subs with nuclear missiles. I guess they have some(?)) Is there some battle plan by which they can just pop over on this side of the Pacific without worrying about Japan, India, Russia, Australia, the Pacific Fleet, and much of the rest of the world? I mean, I'd assume they would have to give the US some warning by taking out Japan, South Korea, etc. etc. first.

    It just doesn't seem to make sense. Some amount of caution seems reasonable, but fearing China militarily seems to be overstating things. Regardless of the size, I just haven't heard anything about their ability to get their forces anywhere outside their borders.
  • by GringoGoiano ( 176551 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:53AM (#8018464)

    If true, how badly will NASA's scientific mission be effected (wrong! should be "affected") if it becomes a conduit for giving research and development money to defense contractors?

    This usage note for the reference manual for the word affect [reference.com] indicates the "effect" and "affect" have different meanings:

    Usage Note: "Affect" and "effect" have no senses in common. As a verb "affect" is most commonly used in the sense of "to influence" (how smoking affects health). "Effect" means "to bring about or execute": layoffs designed to effect savings. Thus the sentence These measures may affect savings could imply that the measures may reduce savings that have already been realized, whereas These measures may effect savings implies that the measures will cause new savings to come about.

  • SDI offensive? (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Ian Bicking ( 980 ) <ianb@@@colorstudy...com> on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:57AM (#8018488) Homepage
    I'm of the strong suspicion that the Strategic Defense Initiative is really a (thin) cover for the militarization of space as well. The idea of effective SDI is rather absurd... so maybe it's just a way to funnel off money to corrupt defense contractors. But if it was, why would other countries care? We wouldn't be wasting their money. I think they care because we'd be putting large weaponry into space, and because while missiles are very hard to hit, there are many other targets that could be hit from space. Is it really all that far off to imagine assassination from space? We probably have the spy satellites to sufficiently identify and target someone from space, we just need the weapon to fire.

    So, I'm not surprised that this would be another attempt to militarize space. However, it is not inevitable. Maybe the spy satellites are inevitable, maybe conventional weapons proliferation is inevitable, but there's nothing predetermined about putting offensive weaponry in space. An offensive satellite isn't something that happens without a huge amount of infrastructure. It's not something that happens in secret -- even if the US wants to do it, we still have to make up a story (this case in point).

  • asteroid threat (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Quirk ( 36086 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @01:59AM (#8018496) Homepage Journal
    I'm surprised there has been no mention of asteroid threat [bbc.co.uk]. It's pretty much a given that it's just a matter of time before we face possible annhilation from an asteroid. If the current Administration wants to spend big on a space program why not jump start technology presently suggested as a means to meet with the threat of a killer asteroid? Are asteroid/comet threats considered to be outside of NASA's bailiwick?
    • Re:asteroid threat (Score:3, Interesting)

      by Teancum ( 67324 )
      The one problem with democracies (particularly coupled with sensationalist journalism rampant within the USA) there is a strong tendancy to solve problems after the fact.

      With the military, it is often said that they are preparing to fight the last war very well. The US military is particularly noted for this.

      Other examples can include hurricane preparation, earthquake & fire codes, and more, although in most of these cases the situation does actually work out due to the fact that these natural disast
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @02:52AM (#8018750)
    I've seen a few articles mention plans to build solar-cell production factories on the moon, lay out a few square miles and beam the power back to Earth orbit via microwave, then relay down to the surface...

    Seems this is about new energy sources.
    The WOT was about wresting control of dwindling oil reserves (check 'Peak Oil' on google)

    First Afghanistan to get access to central Asia reserves, then Iraq to start things off in the MidEast (Syria looks like a follow-up)

    There is an energy crisis coming, and we can't avoid it with biodiesel, solar/wind/hydro or reducing usage. The population density & rate of increase of our species is only sustainable because we've tapped stored bio-energy in the form of oil. Super-concentrated plant energy...

    What happens when it runs out?

    Yes, I know about switching to shale oil, coal, etc etc etc. Won't last 5 years at our current rate of consumption.

    And China? They want to industrialize too.
    Once that country picks up the pace, we'll see a face-off just like you'd see at a drying-up watering hole in Africa, two packs of lions fighting to the death over a 2-foot puddle of mud.

    The US is clueing into the fact that if we get off this rock in the next 10-15, there's a chance to sustain our rate-of-growth. Simple as that.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @03:47AM (#8018942)
    with all this hot air, someone would think that an election was on its way.

    *sigh*
  • by UPAAntilles ( 693635 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @04:05AM (#8018999)
    Is the re-allocation of funds within NASA really for getting to the Moon and Mars?

    YES! FOR THE LOVE OF ALL THAT IS HOLY, YES! Manned space exploration was a top priority for NASA since its inception and creation. The point was "putting a man on the moon". That is why NASA was founded! Then we had run-ins with Carter and Clinton, where that vision was fogged by poor administration and judgement. It took a great president, Ronald Reagan, to see the Space Shuttle project to completion and to put NASA on track for the future (SS Freedom, 2nd gen shuttle, Space Launch Initiative, Moon Bases, Man on Mars) He knew we didn't have the time nor the technology to go to Mars yet, but that was still the unltimate goal, a "when we're ready" kind of thing. Then George H.W. Bush happened. He rolled back the programs, but he did not completely destroy them, he cut things down to a bear minimum. Clinton destroyed them. I remember hearing that Dan Goldin thought exploration through robots was just as good as human exploration. Growing up in Langley AFB (the NASA facility is intgrated with the base), I got to hear directly what the NASA engineers thought of Clinton back in '94-95, and it wasn't pretty. Clinton killed the programs created during the 80's. He didn't do it directly, he (through his direct control and the appointment of Goldin) just cut their funding to below minumum levels, so he could write it off as "NASA's fault, not the administration's". We need another Reagan to get us back on track. We've found him- He's George W. Bush. NASA's mission is once again manned exploration.

    Or is it just a cover for shifting toward military space applications?

    NO! NASA and the military (primarily the US Air Force) work together because they research the same things. The applications of that research differ, one is a civilian organization, and the other is a military one. The AF had an interest in the Venturestar program, a single-stage to orbit (SSTO) craft would be wonderful. It would be mobile, easily, safely, and cheaply launched. They could build a good number of them, give them different jobs (like mounting a laser on one). NASA is actively engaged in the Airborne LASER project. The AF loans aircraft to NASA all the time. Heck, the only reason I got to see an SR-71 and F-117 regularly in flight in the early 90s was because of the NASA research facility attached to the Air Force Base. NASA explores aerodynamics and aerospace. The Airforce is an aerodynamics and aerospace power, see the connection? When NASA develops an aircraft (e.g. the forward-swept wing, X-29), the AF would like to know the results of it for use militarily. Any way you look at it, NASA and the military both have the same research goals.

    If true, how badly will NASA's scientific mission be effected if it becomes a conduit for giving research and development money to defense contractors?

    It's not true, and NASA's money goes directly to NASA. If the military and NASA work together, it is good for NASA becase NASA gets the boost of military funds, not the other way around. Every joint development project is funded by NASA AND the military until NASA can't use it as research anymore, at which point a NEW military project based on the results of the NASA/military one would be created. (NASA is a civilian agency, and is more or less transparent in where its money goes, unlike the military)

    NASA is not an agency of 'progress for the sake of progress'. It is an agency dedicated to improving mankind. The safe voyage to the moon and back was more important than exploring the moon. A Moonbase could produce fuel. The ultimate result is not "the moon is composed of this % of that and this % of this" It's, "we can use this to make that which helps us in the end." The important thing is not the science itself, it's how it's used. President Bush sees that. Clinton did not.
    • by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 19, 2004 @04:40AM (#8019115)
      SIGH
      So many stories that get told, all in the interest of hopeing that it is true.

      As an ex-nasa engineer, I can tell you that some of what you say is true, but your political spins are way off base.

      The decay started with Nixon. He is the one responsible for the shuttle. Carter was mostly handsoff but also low budgets. But, it was Carter that started much of the research that carried the 80's. It was in 1977, that DOD started a serious program about radiation abaeyence (which has usefulness to us) with the goal of a stealth aircraft. In fact, it was the main reason why the B1 was canceled by him. But it was still mostly ignoring us.

      Reagan was actually worse. More money seemed to flow, but not really. It was in the support of the military, not for NASA. Yes, a number of inititives were taken, but they were not really funded. In fact, it was more political than anything. So many projects with no real increase. We lost the challenger and that was a hard hit. But a lot of that was bad management from up top. Simply more politics (which it would appear was in ivolved with the columbia than is known).
      As to the 2'nd gen shuttle, well, it was dead before it started. It was mired in politics for a decade. One thing about the venturestar was that it only had 4 years.
      About the only thing from Reagan that was useful was the begginning of the space station. Had we taken the low-budget approach of skylab, we would probably have several stations up there. Instead, between Reagan, Bush, and Clinton, it has become a bit of a nightmare. It now holds us back.

      Bush really did not help us.

      Clinton was not bad, but he changed the focus. He did cuts, but then again he was not doing that much.

      Now we have a president who is aksing the agency to do more, but is really not providing funding. O'keefe has been a nightmare inside of there. Total demoralization. He has been a top down guy who if you say one bad word about the president then you will be shot. At least under Goldin, we could critize the president for being stupid at times.

      What Bush says would be useful, but the politics is horrible, the funding will more likely be along the same line as "No children left behind" (none), or along the line of Iraq (oh, we will give haliburton 100 Billion to build this; No real worry if they do not do a thing).

      Do we need a leader? Yes. Was it in Reagan? No way. Is it in this Bush? I am guessing that he will do it the same way that he was in military; AWOL and just doing a political stunt..
  • War in space (Score:3, Interesting)

    by theolein ( 316044 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @05:24AM (#8019263) Journal
    I remember a non-fiction book on this subject when I was a young adult back in the cold war. Reagan's SDI stuff was in the news and Gorbachev was the new saviour. The book explained what the possibilities of future combat in space would be, including things as space based lasers, anti-satellite missiles, communication systems and electronic counter measures.

    Everybody knew that, in a traditional conventional war, controlling space would be one of the keys to controlling the battlefield down on earth. Of course everybody thought about putting nuclear missiles into orbit, even as early as kruschev's days, because orbital missiles would be almost impossible to provide early warning against. But, apart from many science fiction stories based on that premise, no one ever did it. The danger of said missiles falling out of orbit by accident was very real, apart from which such missiles would be be very vulnerable to first strike counter measures from the other side.

    However, the Bush administration has seen the obvious direction of China's space effort, and to a certain extent India's as well. China's space agency is fully integrated with the military, much the same as NASA is (although neither nation advertises this fact). China has stated that they plan to put a man on the moon in the 2015 to 2020 time period and China's military has expressed interest in developing methods of destroying satellites in order to deny the enemy the advantage of communications and navigation in time of war.

    In terms of national prestige it would be an obviously huge boost to China's image to be able to land on the moon, and I cannot a nationalistic US President such as Bush allowing such a feat to take place without the US getting there first. However the the budget allocated for this endevour is almost certainly too small, and will stretch the US economy if a permanent manned moon base is implemented. Apart from the national prestige there is no real benefit to the national economy and given that a future US government might just see this as a waste of money and resources.

    But I can see the US and China getting involved in a ridiculous race in space in both arms and to the moon that will benefit neither in the long run as the modern Chinese government is obviously not given to costly foreign military adventures and will simply go at a pace that it can afford as opposed to the US tendency to want it all and now.

    Not only this but presumably, given that Russia unexpectedly recently renewed the lease on its Baikonur launch base in Kazakhstan, it could very well be that a nationalistic Russia under Putin might want to get in on the act. And what about a future nationalistic India?

    I find it both sad and a testimony to nationalistic stupidity that only the military and nationalistic pipe dreams get such priority in an area which could finally break down the barriers of space.
  • by Jonathan Burns ( 717637 ) on Monday January 19, 2004 @05:29AM (#8019285)

    Don't forget that bit.

    I would have been very sorry to see America turn its back on preeminence in space. It accomplished great things and probably will again.

    But here's the thing. Apollo may have begun as a techno-military tour de force, and sure it was intertwined with nuclear delivery systems, and phalloidal to boot. But it changed. As the project neared the goal it dawned on people everywhere, as well as the ones actually doing it, that this was really happening, and it was a step up, and the human condition had changed.

    By the time Armstrong stuttered out the historic words and set the plaque down, it was too great a matter to be only America's possession: it was America's gift. There was just no other way it could be.

    I've been saying to friends lately, Look, for some time to come, space is going to be owned by the USAF. But that doesn't mean I've forgotten the gift. And you shouldn't either, because it's your inheritance and one day you'll be proud to pass it on.

"Why should we subsidize intellectual curiosity?" -Ronald Reagan

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