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Space

Columbia Accident Investigation Board: Final Report 414

ssclift writes "After nearly 7 months the Columbia Accident Investigation Board has released its final report into the February 1st loss of the Shuttle Columbia and all 7 crew members. This is more than a technical assessment of the immediate causes of the accident. Once again, sadly, the world's flagship space agency gets a thorough and grim review. Press briefings will begin at 11:00 EDT along with a webcast."
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Columbia Accident Investigation Board: Final Report

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  • by tha_mink ( 518151 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @09:55AM (#6793874)
    I actually read that they are blaming this accident on the "Culture of NASA". Meaning, that if you were some small fry in the organization and you saw a problem with a process, you would be afraid to approach the 200 suits. Even though they stand there and say "Anyone have a problem with what we're doing?" "Our doors are always open.."

    Sound familiar anyone?
    • by the MaD HuNGaRIaN ( 311517 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:00AM (#6793938)
      Where I work, the doors are always open...it's the ears that aren't.

      I suspect it's the same situation at all large organizations.

      You can lead a manager to an idea, but you can't make him/her think.
      • The visible difference being that most large organizations are not funded by the government, and do not strap men and women to tons of explosives and try to get them back without any danger to the astronauts or the people of Earth.

        • by DrMorpheus ( 642706 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @11:16AM (#6794961) Homepage
          The visible difference being that most large organizations are not funded by the government, and do not strap men and women to tons of explosives and try to get them back without any danger to the astronauts or the people of Earth.
          When or not a large organization is or is not funded by the government makes no difference whatsoever, market arguments notwithstanding.

          The key is, children, it's a large organization. Being so it's relatively immune to external forces, or rather it's got internal resources to withstand any outside pressures to change. Again, this is true whether or not it's a government body or a corporate body. Local government bodies, like town councils are much, much more flexible than their equivalent in state or federal levels.

          This holds true in private organizations too where small businesses, or ones with a thin layer of management are much more responsive/sensitive to outside pressures than are those from hugh behemeths like Microsoft, etc.

          That same flexibility is also a weakness in that when a small organization has a good idea, government body or not, and faces a hostile environment it's not likely to succeed in implementing that idea relative to a larger organization so it's a trade off. Small and responsive, but also vulnerable and weak versus large and strong, but also insular and bullying.

          Bottom line is, there's no single organizational structure that works in all circumstances for all times.

          • When or not a large organization is or is not funded by the government makes no difference whatsoever, market arguments notwithstanding.

            I have to dis-agree with you here. It is not just a matter of office politics (a factor in all big organisations), but also national and international politics.

            The problem with NASA is that the geeks and nerds are no longer in control of the big decisions. Most responsible scientific minded people are horrified by the nature of NASA today. Most people my age that could

    • by Frymaster ( 171343 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:01AM (#6793962) Homepage Journal
      Sound familiar anyone?

      of course. now how would you or anyone build a system that was more open? even the japanese "tan" system has failed...

      the suits will always be there and they will always want "yes men".

      • More generally, there is a coefficient of organizational friction to overcome.
        See Kuhn [amazon.com], (and I am not shilling for Bezos).
        The only irony in all of this is the hidden assumption that propeller-head organizations differ somehow from private sector ones. Sorry, all: peeps is peeps.
    • Oh so familiar... (Score:5, Interesting)

      by RetiredMidn ( 441788 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:20AM (#6794218) Homepage
      NASA's problem is a reflection of the institutional behavior I have seen at my last 4-1/2 employers (the least recent morphed into a pathological organization while I was there); it has become more important to appear to have a product or strategy (or quality) than to actually have it. Nothing Scott Adams hasn't been saying for years.

      BTW, the mindset did not start within NASA. In the 60's, the mandate was to spend what was necessary to build the best solution that could be conceived; starting in the 70's, it was all about compromises.

      It Would Be Nice if NASA could be given a mandate and execute on it in such a way to once again set an example on How It Should Be Done, but I think we ultimately need to fix our broader culture about the standards of how we conduct business.
      • Re:Oh so familiar... (Score:3, Informative)

        by pmz ( 462998 )
        In the 60's, the mandate was to spend what was necessary to build the best solution that could be conceived...

        And the 60's was also the era of the moon missions, the SR-71 Blackbird, and lots of other projects that modern engineers look back on with total amazement. Remember that 3GHz 32-bit CPUs hadn't even been dreampt of, yet--these engineers did things in their minds and with slide rules (yes, boys and girls, that is possible without Matlab and Pro/ENGINEER!).
        • Let us also not forget that the goal of these projects was to go out and do. They had budgets, and constraints of technology. But folks were willing to spend money. Now, if you tell a supervisor you will need $50,000 and 5 people to complete a project you will get $25,000 and 3 people.

          And it's not exactly like we are getting a whole lot of benefit from these "optimizations." All we end up with is a system that is either never completed, or is only a slight improvement over its predicessor.

          Wait, I'm seei

    • by cybercuzco ( 100904 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:25AM (#6794279) Homepage Journal
      There is a culture of NASA. I had a professor tell me a story about how they came up with the toilet on the shuttle. Aparently they already had a perfectly good toilet design from skylab, and it actually worked nearly as well as a conventional toilet, you didnt have to strap yourself down or anything. Just hold on and a centrifugical pump in the bowl takes care of everything. At any rate, it was designed at Marshall Spaceflight center. Of course the shuttle was beign designed at Johnson Spaceflight center (or maybe it was the other way around, dont quite remember) At any rate, Johnson couldnt use ANYTHING that had been designed by Marshall (and vise verse) So Johnson deisgned a completely new toliet, at very great expense to the program (~$10mil) When they could have used an existing design for much cheaper(probably still ~$1mil, but hey thats 10 times less). Similar thing happened with the flooring of the ISS. Again same two center, but reversed in stupidity. Skylab had an "isogrid" flooring system which basically was a bunch of aluminum triangles. You put a rubber triange on somebodys boot and voila, you canstand wherever you want and work without floating away by jamming your boot into the floor. Well that wasnt designed where the ISS was being designed so that was out the window. I think they use some sort of seat restraint system and velcro on the ISS now. Velcro is fine but it wears out over time, and of course seat restraints are more expensive than the floor you have to put in anyways. NASA needs to get rid of the Not Invented HERE (tm) syndrome and use the best ideas available and not whatever will boost a certain centers prestige.
    • by L0C0loco ( 320848 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:58AM (#6794725) Homepage
      First a disclaimer: I work for NASA.

      The small fry is not afraid of 200 suits, just two or three in the level or two of management above them. There are many levels of management in NASA and it is likely that someone somewhere in that chain of management (I was going to call it command, but frequently the managers high up have insufficient command/knowledge of the topic they manage) will not want to pass bad news along. They'll either decide to report nothing or spin it into something less distasteful. Generally there are two concerns: Somebody goofed or We need more time/money to do it right. The latter is not acceptable since NASA has a fixed budget and congress is already unhappy about the growing cost over-runs in some programs. It all really boils down to too much to do with too little resources. Just look at the way things worked under the moon program or the way it works under the dark side of DOD where money was/is frequently no object. Nowadays, everybody underbids to get the contract and then tries to do what they can with the money (not necessarily what was promised). Yes, checks and balances would help a little a few years down the road once the short-comings are caught and exposed, but by then any last shred of confidence in NASA by the public will have evaporated.

      Bottom line here is that you get what you pay for.
      Congress and the voters have to decide what they want to do given realistic costs. The costs are frequently adjusted by managers trying to get the program to boost their self esteem or pay-grade with little regard as to what will happen to the likelhood of success. The underlings are all too eager to try and make do for similar motivations. Now toss in contracting functions out to the lowest bidder and you're really asking for trouble.

      Sorry if this borders on being a rant for some.
      • If you want a good read on organizational dynamics, especially in regards to Engineering, take a flip through The Mythical Man Month by Frederick P. Brooks, Jr.

        The book is a series of Essays that illustrate the problems inherent in trying to use techniques for managing unskilled labor on a skilled workforce. The book is primarily structured around Software design, but it's teachings are readily adapted to most Engineering disciplines. It's chock full of un-intiuitive facts of life in engineering projects:

  • by LordYUK ( 552359 ) <jeffwright821@NOSPAm.gmail.com> on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @09:56AM (#6793886)
    "On Monday, NASA Administrator Sean O'Keefe told CNN's Miles O'Brien that the agency missed signs of trouble that led to the accident.

    "This was a case where we missed it. Just flat missed it," he said of the significance of the foam strike. "

    At least they arent trying to cover it up. Now they can move forward, and hopefully we'll continue to explore space even more proficiently than before.

    Who knows, maybe our grandkids (or their grandkids) will get to land on mars!
  • A rare opportunity (Score:5, Insightful)

    by TopShelf ( 92521 ) * on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @09:57AM (#6793891) Homepage Journal
    I wouldn't say that it's "sad" that NASA gets a thorough review. Quite the contrary, I think it's a rare opportunity to make the case that cost-cutting measures involve tradeoffs that have a significant impact on how an organization like NASA operates. What is sorely needed is a public champion to advocate for increased NASA funding, as part of a commitment to keep America at the forefront of technological leadership worldwide. Particularly as other countries are stepping up their space efforts, this is going to be a growing concern in the years ahead.

    Not having followed the eeaaarrrrllly presidential campaigning, are there any strong proponents for NASA out there?
    • by RevMike ( 632002 ) <{moc.liamg} {ta} {ekiMver}> on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:30AM (#6794346) Journal
      What is sorely needed is a public champion to advocate for increased NASA funding....

      I don't think it is a budget issue, though. Throwing money at this sort of problem rarely solves anything. The problem is a cultural one.

      Organisations frequently have an upward focus. Too many people concentrate on what their boss wants to hear, instead of what needs to be said. Everything is about satisfying one's boss by helping them satisfy their boss, by helping them satisfy their boss, ad nauseum. It is more important that things look right the most senior administrator than that they are right.

      An organisation that depends on highly skilled highly professional people at relatively low levels needs to have a downward focus. The most senior people need to focus on how they can help their direct reports do their job, and those people need to focus on helping their direct reports do their jobs, ad nauseum. In the end, this type of culture helps the engineers and technicians actually do their job.

      The US military went through this kind of transition in the early 1980s. More and more command and control was moved lower and lower in the hierarchy. Tactics were left to the people on the scene. The senior personnel focused on strategy and logistics, coordinating and supplying, which enable the local personnel to do their jobs effectively. Taking out a machine gun nest is a job for a sargeant or lutenant on the scene - not a general in Washington.

    • by ImpTech ( 549794 )
      I dunno... seems to me if you wanted to make sure the US was the leader in space technology, the first thing you'd do is tell NASA and their funding to promptly go to hell, or maybe make them into a regulatory agency. I mean c'mon... they've been pushing this whole "space shuttle" thing way too far. Smarter people than me will tell [washingtonmonthly.com] you it was an abortion of an idea to start with, and its STILL being used despite its exorbitant cost and inefficiency for most tasks. Some would say that if NASA had more fun
      • by Mr_Matt ( 225037 )
        Seems to me there's no pressure on NASA to be practical or cost efficient, which is whats really needed.

        Not only does this pressure exist, it has been listed as a contributory cause to both the Challenger and the Columbia accident. Chapter 5 and 6.2 of the CAIB final report goes into this in great detail.

        "An Agency Trying To Do Too Much With Too Little" seems to sum up these sections. Keeping in mind that NASA's budget varies between one-half and one percent of the national budget, that's not to far af
    • by cybercuzco ( 100904 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:32AM (#6794366) Homepage Journal
      Unfortunately, I think NASA is pretty low on every candidates radar. Things here on earth tend to take precedence. So NASA makes an easy target for people who need a few million dollars here and a few million dollars there. Same thing happens with foriegn aid. People think its alot more than it is, and nobody really corrects them, so when candidates say "slash foriegn aid" people think its ok. (Americans think that 15% of the budget goes to foriegn aid, and it should be around 5%, wheras in reality its more like .4%)
    • per se. We need a real goal! Putting men into space just to have them there is a great waste of money with little return. If we set our sights on Mars then we would have a workable goal. As it is now we just have a big pork barrel that we shove into space 6 times a year. What science was on that last shuttle mission that couldn't have been done on the space station?
    • Another thing I think NASA needs to do is make the public more aware of just how much *good* it does, especially commercially.

      I think they should produce quarterly/yearly results of their findings/discoveries, commercial applications, patents, etc along with thier respective monetary implications. Then maybe people like my dad will stop complaining about the "hundred of millions" of dollars wasted by some people just "floating around in space" and can see some of the more tangible benefits of space explor
  • The future of NASA (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Liselle ( 684663 )
    NASA appears to have fallen from a great height. I wonder if this means that the space program is going to become more and more privatized. It also makes me curious: if there was more public interest in space program in general (ie: more tax money for NASA), would this sort of thing still happen, or would it just be on a larger scale?
    • NASA more or less fell flat with the decision to persue the Space Shuttle. They did not have the backing to do the project right, so they ended up selling their soul to multiple competing interests and clodged together a camel of a spacecraft.

      It was a big hauler for the Military, which required so much tweakage to the engines that they require complete rebuilds between flights. It contains parts made from congressional fiefdoms scattered around the country. For example, the O-Rings were needed because the boosters are built in Minnesota and flown in chunks to Florida. The size of the shuttle and short shrift Congress paid to its budget led to useful items like atmospheric propulsion for landing to be scrapped during development.

      The best thing NASA can do for itself is to just let the Shuttles sit in a hanger. They cost too much to launch and keep running. If the money that went into keeping the fleet running went into R&D they could have a replacement in a few years.

      What sort of replacement? The shuttle has 3 almost mutually exclusive roles.

      • A manned orbital shuttle, needing proven engines, endless testing, and tons of life-safety equipment for takeoff and landing.
      • A high-performance heavy-lifter, where every pound is accounted for.
      • An orbital space platform for short term experiments.

      NASA has no shortage of heavy lift rockets. What they can't hurl into space, the Russians surely can. The ISS is in orbit 24/7, it can take over the "can ants in space sort tiny screws" experiments. So the only the part that NASA needs is the getting people to and from orbit part.

      Once you strip the need to carry cargo, the shuttle suddenly shrinks. Every pound you don't have to launch is 3 pounds of propellent. You also save weight on the structure of the craft itself, it's landing gear, brakes, etc. The engines can be de-rated back to a range where they don't tear themselves apart every liftoff. Or better yet, just design them to use a cheap, quickly replaced, and disposable motor.

      Since you are not riding the edge of performance, you can also utilize easier to handle hydrocarbon based fuels like aircraft Kerosene. Sure it's not as efficient, but it is readily available and simpler to store.

      Even though you do have a permanent orbital platform, I do see some merit to keeping the ability to orbit for several weeks, not to mention the robot arm. EVA protocols will have to be adapted working without the cargo bay, but it could be done.

      In short, by reducing the requirements of the shuttle you end up with the very simple spacecraft NASA had originally intended.

  • Summary: (Score:5, Insightful)

    by RealityProphet ( 625675 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @09:58AM (#6793904)

    "A terrible accident occured. It's nobody's fault, really. These things happen. We'll try to be more careful in the future. But, spaceflight is risky business, we can't make any guarantees."

    • Re:Summary: (Score:4, Insightful)

      by applemasker ( 694059 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:14AM (#6794143)
      What I find most distressing is how the mission managers and program managers have all run for cover. There are people to blame, starting with the folks who never followed up on the previous foam issues; the managers who squelched engineers requests for imagery; and the mission team who met a handful of times during the flight (even though the regs require daily meetings) and never thought of what might happen if the foam had hit the RCC. Come on, it IS rocket science guys.
      • The military/intelligence services had a hand in the imagery issue, because they hadn't cleared the Shuttle Program Manager to be briefed on the spy satellite's capabilities he was operating under the impression that they were unable to image small enough details. I don't remember where I read this but it was in one of the earlier reports.
  • 248 pages and this is only volume 1.

  • by gowen ( 141411 ) <gwowen@gmail.com> on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @09:58AM (#6793906) Homepage Journal
    What they're saying is that
    for a successful technology, reality must take precedence to public relations, for nature can not be fooled.
    Well, surprise, surprise. Thats what Richard Feynman said is his minority report on the Challenger accident.

    Plus ca change...
  • Lessons learned (Score:2, Interesting)

    by byolinux ( 535260 )
    Hopefully there can be some valuable lessons learned from this tragedy. Hopefully something like this will never happen again.
    • Re:Lessons learned (Score:5, Interesting)

      by sphealey ( 2855 ) * on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:12AM (#6794122)
      Hopefully there can be some valuable lessons learned from this tragedy. Hopefully something like this will never happen again.
      While no one is in favor of needlessly throwing away life, do consider that the bones of a good percentage of the settlers who tried the Oregon Trail can still be seen along the sides of that trail today. For the ones who made it, Oregon was a good life. But quite a few did not make it, and that is the nature of exploring/pioneering.

      Also consider that that same week 90 people were roasted/squashed to death while attempting the life-altering experience of seeing "Great White" live on stage. Seems to me that space exploration is worth a bit more risk than that event.

      sPh

    • Re:Lessons learned (Score:4, Insightful)

      by Urkki ( 668283 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:27AM (#6794308)
      Hopefully something like this will never happen again.

      Yes sure. But something like this inevitably will happen again. I just hope it won't deter us from continuing with manned space exploration. (There might be other reasons to have a pause in manned space exploration, but fear of loss of life should never be one.)
    • Re:Lessons learned (Score:2, Insightful)

      by SpamJunkie ( 557825 )
      Hopefully something like this will never happen again.

      That's what we said last time. Spaceflight is a risky business and will be for a while.
  • by JeffWhitledge ( 675345 ) <jeffwhitledge@oddpost.com> on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @09:59AM (#6793919) Homepage
    "The total blame for the Colombia accident rests squarly on the shoulders of Kim Johnson of Springfield, MO." Ever have one of those days?
  • by tinrobot ( 314936 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @09:59AM (#6793925)
    Funny how the History Channel special on the early space program came out this week. After watching it, I realized how much different NASA is today. They have no fire in their belly, seems like they're more interested in keeping their jobs than anything. If we want to continue sending men into space, we had better start doing it right once again.
    • I don't blame them. Since the end of the space race with the USSR, NASA funding has been continually eroded over time. Understandably, NASA personnel have become more conservative and focused on keeping their jobs rather than taking risks. NASA isn't the problem, it's politics that's retarding their progress.
    • by stratjakt ( 596332 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:09AM (#6794075) Journal
      I realized how much different NASA is today. They have no fire in their belly, seems like they're more interested in keeping their jobs than anything

      You know this how? You work at NASA? You were in mission control when Columbia went up?

      About the only thing that's changed is that there's a no smoking rule. I live only a stones throw away from Gottard, and know dozens of people at various levels within NASA.

      They are all extremely passionate about their work, and they all took Columbia very, very personally.

      Dont make overly broad statements about a group of people you know absolutely nothing about.
      • Thank you.

        This reminds me of sports fans, only obviously it's much more serious and real and consequential with NASA.

        A guy across the cube divide from me here rants about his favorite Major League team not trying hard, having bad morale, being a bunch of overpaid, soft millionaires, and so on. He's a Red Sox fan. From back in the day, when I followed baseball, I could suggest six or seven much more curious opinions about what's ailed them over the years -- Fenway and the "Devil's Theory of Park Effects"

    • by urbazewski ( 554143 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:29AM (#6794333) Homepage Journal
      They have no fire in their belly,

      I agree that NASA seems to be wandering rathering than striding forward. I personally think the primary cause is lack of a clear goal. I worked as a contractor at the NASA Ames Research Center for several years, and I had a look at NASA's 'mission statement' which came out in a very glossy 25 page booklet. (This was when Dan Goldin was Chief Admin.) It had a vision statement, key values, crosscutting procedures, about 10 significant questions, which all had subquestions, as well as some goals. My overall impression was "this could only have been produced by an organization that has no idea whatsoever what it's trying to do." A bit of an overstatement, but I think that the individual researchers and engineers (including myself) had plenty of drive but not enough direction.

      Not to mention, NASA had its share of PHB type memos, particularly the ones Goldin used to send around about 'safety'. Worse was the requirement for each group to have a 'safety marshal' to give little talks on 'safety'. Alas, no shiny plastic badges or hats were issued with the job.

    • Back in the "good old days", there was enough money and people to do things the right way, even with some overkill. The post-Apollo era has been a long slow slide downhill. Much of NASA is now a hollow organization. Budget cuts have resulted in dramatically lowered standards. The institutional memory is fading away as people retire, die, move on to better jobs or get laid off. New hires are rarely seen. Periodic reorganizations try to mask the fact that the agency is decaying. The question is never "What do
  • by NerdGirl82 ( 621642 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:01AM (#6793950) Journal
    ...for anyone to RTFA.
  • by yoshi1013 ( 674815 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:03AM (#6793994) Homepage
    "So how's the shuttle doing?"

    "Hmm, I don't know, all this equipment is for measuring TV ratings"

    :P

  • by Alrocket ( 191107 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:03AM (#6793999) Homepage
    I don't seriously believe that the culture of NASA will change as a result of this report. Feynman noticed all of these issues and made sure that he met the engineers alone, without any management, when he needed to find out the real answers.

    It didn't change since then, it's not going to change now.

    • by ChuckDivine ( 221595 ) * <charles.j.divine@gmail.com> on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:17AM (#6794185) Homepage

      Sadly, you could be right about NASA not changing.

      There are, however, some hopeful differences. Let me list a few:

      • There have been a lot more obvious blunders committed in the public eye. Consider Hubble's focusing problems, the crash on Mars of probes because one group was using metric and the other English units, space station woes, the X-33 failure.
      • Compared to 1986 there are more people with real knowledge about the agency who are willing to speak up about the agency's problems. In 1986 extremely interested people were far more willing to cut NASA a break. That's not true anymore.
      • Significant politicians (e.g., Mikulski) are more aware of the problems and are willing to take action.
      • The CAIB's citing of a "culture" problem marks an important step. People are no longer looking just at technology, but at the organization that creates and uses the technology.

      This event is being viewed as NASA's Vietnam. That's a real wake up call.

      Yes, things could still go wrong. There are plenty of well entrenched people who have turf to protect. But that's going to be much harder now.

      And, I suspect, a lot of the good people who still manage to work in aerospace are also going to work to change things.

  • Time to shrink NASA (Score:5, Interesting)

    by chroma ( 33185 ) <chroma AT mindspring DOT com> on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:04AM (#6794015) Homepage
    I used to be a big believer in the NASA Myth: that they were the only ones capable of doing big space launches and that space access for humans was inherently expensive.

    Then I heard Jerry Pournelle speak a couple years ago at a convention. He said something that shook me: NASA has many good people and does many good things but needs to get out of the business of launching people and robots into space. It surprised me because here is a guy who is in favor of space exploration but against NASA.

    NASA as an organization doesn't really care about cheap, reliable space launches, because that would mean that their budget would be cut! The shuttle accidents are a symptom of bureaucratic mentality. Think on this: the Russian space agency will charge you about $15M for a trip to the space station. It costs between $500M and $1 billion just to do a shuttle launch.

    NASA does a great job building Mars rovers and such, let's keep them doing that. But we should turn everything else over to private industry.
    • Turn what over to private industry?

      Theres nothing to turn over, private industry can just go ahead and launch stuff into space, and do, as they shroud our planet in satellites.

      Thats like saying the Air Force should stop researching new airplane technology. Let private industry develop the SCRAM jet.

      Private industry isnt interested - they're motivated by profit. There's no money to be made studying the effects of 0 G on lima beans.
    • by geekoid ( 135745 ) <dadinportland@y[ ]o.com ['aho' in gap]> on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:18AM (#6794205) Homepage Journal
      whew, I guess that explains why there budget doesn't get cut all the time... hmmmm

      Private industry can not take up the flag for space exploration until a cheaper way is found to get there. In order for that to happen there must be central agency that focuses on this, and the agency must get government funding.
      Nasa needs to keep doing what it has been doing, and it needs to be able to explore other RnD efforts.

      The only company the could do priovate space launch successfully would be microsoft, and even there 40+billion wouldn't ge them far.

      Actually, it doesn't have to get cheaper, but it oes have to get profitable.

      once private companies do start backing manned space exporation, we had be damn sure there is a controlling body for safty, and launches. I do not want the space equivilent of baby bells.

      • NASA is the only organization that can work on nuclear rockets, which I believe will prove to be the only efficient way to get into orbit for reasonable prices. Other aspects should be left to private enterprise.
        • NASA will never work on nuclear rockets. The political dangers are staggering, and NASA lives and dies on the whims of congressmen and their idiot special interest groups. They can barely sneak radio-isotope reactors out of the atmosphere as it is, imagine them trying to use a nuclear rocket on Earth.
    • Agreed. I also buy the analogy the Rutan brothers and the X-Prize folks are using for their efforts to the time of the Wright brothers: even while heavier-than-air-aircraft would have been a huge military deal just before WWI, most of the true research and development happened by individuals and private companies --and that way of thinking and excelling continued straight into WWII.

      In those days NACA (NASA's pre-cursor) did not compete with aviation companies, like NASA does today. NACA would conduct ex
    • by gclef ( 96311 )
      Wait, you're using the fact that a totally government-supported group (Russian space agency) will do something cheaper than a public-private consortium (shuttle) as evidence that the *private* sector does this better? Funny, your example seems to prove the exact opposite.
    • How this parent get modded to 5?

      > NASA as an organization doesn't really care about cheap, reliable space launches, because that would mean that their budget would be cut!

      NASA has quite a few projects under research and development. See NASA Projects [nasa.gov] -- NASA is researching cheaper ways to conduct space launches. Believe me, it behooves them to do so. Cutting costs in ANY area leaves more to apply to additional research. Congress doesn't ask NASA for bill based on the "cost of exploring space" -
    • Let's see, it costs NASA 500M and the Russians only 15M. Unless they have some kind of magic rocket technology that the USA doesn't know about, I'm going to assume that the Russian system probably lacks a number of "frills" from their American counterparts. And now the obligatory Simpson's quote:

      Crazy Vlaclav : She'll go 300 hectares on a single tank of kerosene.
      Homer : What country is this car from?
      Crazy Vlaclav : It no longer exists. But take her for a test drive, and you'll agree: (states their slo
  • *sigh* (Score:4, Informative)

    by rwven ( 663186 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:05AM (#6794025)
    It's interesting that the first thing they said about it was that there was only a tiny chance that the foam had anything to do with it. It's weird how things turn around like that.

    I think the bottom line behind all this is most likely money. They have cut so many budgets as far as space goes and forced them to do fewer and fewer pre-flight inspections that something like this was almost guaranteed.

    "Confidential interviews with shuttle workers at NASA and its contractors, 'from line technicians all the way through management', found no one who believed that preflight safety inspections were adequate, a member of the independent board investigating the loss of the Columbia has said." Linkage (and more of the same): http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/05/29/10541776 72378.html [smh.com.au]

    It's sad that it had to come to something like this for a wakeup call to be heard, but i guess all they can get out of it is to be more careful and not let it happen again. what else can ya get i guess... :-/
  • change of mindset (Score:4, Interesting)

    by mks180 ( 442267 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:05AM (#6794026)
    It seems to me that somewhere along the way NASA has changed from an operation mode where you had to prove that something was safe to proving that something is not safe.
  • It's Huge! (Score:5, Informative)

    by Jeremy Erwin ( 2054 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:08AM (#6794067) Journal
    Look's like a 10 megabyte pdf-- you can download chapters individually,but unless you're piqued by soul inspiring names such as "Chapter 3", Chapter Nine", and "Chapter Seven", it's a bit of a black box.

    So, for handy reference, here are the chapter titles.

    PART ONE THE ACCIDENT
    Chapter 1 The Evolution of the Space Shuttle Program
    Chapter 2 Columbia?s Final Flight
    Chapter 3 Accident Analysis
    Chapter 4 Other Factors Considered
    PART TWO WHY THE ACCIDENT OCCURRED
    Chapter 5 From Challenger to Columbia
    Chapter 6 Decision Making at NASA
    Chapter 7 The Accident?s Organizational Causes
    Chapter 8 History as Cause: Columbia and Challenger
    PART THREE A LOOK AHEAD
    Chapter 9 Implications for the Future of Human Space Flight
    Chapter 10 Other Significant Observations
    Chapter 11 Recommendations
    PART FOUR APPENDICES
    Appendix A The Investigation
    Appendix B Board Member Biographies
    Appendix C Board Staff
  • by hughk ( 248126 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:09AM (#6794068) Journal
    In an engineering led process any engineer has the right to say "stop, I believe we have a problem". The problem may be proved to be non-existant, but someone must address it and escalate it.

    Regrettably, many organisations insist that you be "Part of the solution" not "Part of the problem" (I think this was an AC buzz-phrase). This meant that unless you could deliver a problem with a solution, you were associated with failure. At the bottom engineers may gripe but unless the PHBs supervsing them help the problems be escalated, nothing will happen.

    In the end if we want public money spent responsibly, then projects have to be managed and accountants must count the beans. However, engineering must have a voice that is equal to that of the manager and the accountant. It is right that an experimental program takes risks, but they must be informed.

    Lastly, the space program has provided some very good examples of the managed delivery of quality projects. With Columbia and Challenger we have two major counter-examples. It is both useful and a good memorial to those who died if everyone, both inside and outside NASA learned from this.

  • by MtViewGuy ( 197597 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:11AM (#6794099)
    The final report on the loss of Columbia reminds me a lot of the Apollo 1 fire that killed three astronauts in January 1967. =(

    It appears that NASA frequently ignored safety warnings about the fragility of the shuttle tiles, and it appears that in a way that the switch to a more environment-friendly external tank foam material in 1997 may have contributed to the accident due to the fact the new foam had a tendency to shed material at an alarming rate. It reminds me a lot about the issues that caused the Apollo 1 fire in the way NASA engineers tacitly ignored the serious fire dangers of exposed wiring, flammable materials and 100% oxygen atmosphere on the ground.
    • and it appears that in a way that the switch to a more environment-friendly external tank foam material in 1997

      One of the reasons that Columbia wasn't in the same orbit as the ISS was that Columbia was using one of the older, heavier tanks, and as I understand it, those use the older type of foam.

    • Now I don't know anything about NASA, but I think with projects of this scale, project management is more difficult than one might think at first.

      If you ever have participated in a bigger industry project you will have noticed that every specialist involved has a _lot_ of objections to how things currently are done. Yet, the optimum solution is often not feasible due to cost constraints. As a result, project managers constantly get a lot of emails in their inbox with people bitching around that this-or-tha
  • by Mahrin Skel ( 543633 ) * on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:13AM (#6794130)
    NASA hasn't been the leader in space technology for a long time. They spend too much, accomplish too little, and paradoxically they make it *too* safe. If we were throwing up a launch every other day, and losing a bird a year, we'd get used to it. Astronaut would be just another dangerous profession, like "test pilot", "commercial fisherman", or "underground coal miner".

    But because we've lost only 3 crews, and spend over a billion on every launch trying to bring it to zero (and therefore don't get a lot of launches), people are able to delude themselves into thinking that space travel should be safe. So when we do have a problem, everyone looks for someone to blame, NASA writes a few more books of safety procedures, launches get more expensive and less frequent.

    You know why we lost the Columbia? Because NASA regulations didn't allow anyone to go out and look at the damned wing in orbit without specific orders. If the astronauts weren't treated as remote voice-controlled drones by the ground crews, and the shuttle commander had the responsibility and authority that goes with that title in any other field, somebody would have put on a suit and taken a look. But an EVA requires the input of hundreds of desk jockeys, and an "emergency" EVA requires authorization from the agency director. What kind of bullshit way to run a railroad is that?

    Disband NASA, turn over civilian spaceflight regulation to the FAA (after first burning every regulation NASA ever wrote), turn the shuttle over to the Air Force and unmanned launches over to the civilian companies that really run them already. Otherwise, get used to the idea that the good old USA is no longer a space-faring nation, and other countries with the stomach for it are going to take the lead.

    --Dave

    • Because NASA regulations didn't allow anyone to go out and look at the damned wing in orbit without specific orders

      There was no way to do so even if they had an idea there might be something wrong. It's impossible to be crawling around the underside of the craft in orbit.

      It had nothing to do with regulations. It was simply not possible.
    • I would hope that NASA already operates like this, but the gist of what I'm getting is that mgmt. in NASA are "big picture" people and don't really understand how to effectively let the people who know what's going on and how to solve problems do the actual work. With something that complex, understandably you should have 2nd, 3rd and 4th opinions, but the engineers and commmanders need a little autonomy to do things like go on EVA's and bring to light any problems. Like you said Dave, they should be paid
    • by Spamalamadingdong ( 323207 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @11:34AM (#6795183) Homepage Journal
      You know why we lost the Columbia? Because NASA regulations didn't allow anyone to go out and look at the damned wing in orbit without specific orders.
      And if they had looked and did find a hole in the wing, then what?

      Same outcome, one way or another. Either they try to de-orbit regardless and crash, or they don't de-orbit, run out of power and oxygen and then lose the Orbiter when it comes down due to air drag. There was no place to park it and no way to rescue the crew on orbit. Screwed.

      All the orbiters should have been in museums by now. The whole Shuttle system should have been replaced long since. Our failure to do so is testament to the triumph of inertia and pork over concrete goals.


      • BS. Once the breach had been identified, any number of out-of-the-box solutions could have been worked out to go and rescue the astrounats... E.g.

        - resuply with a Progress ship
        - rescue with a Long March
        - send space-age duct tape with an Atlas
        - send more fuel to the escape pod in the SS, then use the scape pod to ferry astrounats from the shuttle to the SS
        - dust off an Apollo re-entry capsule from the Smithsonian and send it on an Ariadne 5 to be used as re-entry pod

        and on and on... With so many options av
        • Resupply with progress.... intresting notion but progress can't make Shuttle's primary orbit which is where Columbia was. That is the reason for ISS's odd orbit, it is the compromise position between shuttles ability and soyuz.

          Rescue with long march... ummmm they havn't even sent a person up yet that I know of in a long march. Also questions about orbital inclnation possibilities.

          SPace age duct tape.. right let me go down to wally world and pick some up. It dosn't exist. Tile is custom fitted and fixing t
  • by Snags ( 18929 ) * on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:14AM (#6794138) Journal
    This document has some beautiful photos of Columbia and Challenger in it, especially at the beginning of each Part. These pics are add a nice memorial feel to the report, in addition to the let's-not-let-it-happen-again tone.
  • by greygent ( 523713 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:18AM (#6794190) Homepage
    Fuck all this talk about privatizing space exploration, you people HAVE seen the Aliens films, right?
  • ...said exactly the same thing 16 years ago. Makes you wonder who's going to be saying it in 2019, doesn't it?
  • by Uncle Op ( 541486 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:20AM (#6794233)
    The second speaker, who was charged with reviewing the history of how the accident could have come about, observes that it's dangerous to use beta tools for a long time as if they are production ready.

    The shuttle is and was an experiment. It's effectively a very functional prototype, but the completion - or at least the ongoing refinement - of the shuttle program has been in stasis for too long. We're not driving Model-T's anymore for a reason.

  • I'm planning on reading it over the weekend. Looks like I'll be able to learn a LOT about NASA in the process.

    Marcos
  • Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)

    by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:24AM (#6794278)
    Comment removed based on user account deletion
    • I hazzard a guess that the long-term benefit to the people of Iraq and Afghanistan of the recent US interventions will be much larger than the benefit to them of the Space Shuttle.
    • 1. Bush tried the inpiring goal bit with his announcement of a "Mission to Mars." Which lasted until he was presented with the price tag on the order of $450 billion dollars. The Mission to Mars did not survive the ongoing crusade of "Tax Freedom", not to mention the expense of the war of Iraq and new military adventures in a "War on Terrorism" which has no forseeable end.

      2. NASA's separation from the military is nothing more than a relic of Cold-War propaganda. If you check much of the pre-60's litera
  • by Ridgelift ( 228977 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:26AM (#6794294)
    This is a little long, but it gets to the heart of the accident and why it happened:

    Executive Summary: Paragraphs 2,3 and 4

    The Board recognized early on that the accident was probably not an anomalous, random event, but rather likely rooted to some degree in NASAs history and the human space flight programs culture. Accordingly, the Board broadened its mandate at the outset to include an investigation of a wide range of historical and organizational issues, including political and budgeary considerations, compromises, and changing priorities over the life of the Space Shuttle Program. The Boards conviction regarding the importance of these factors strengthened as the investigation progressed, with the result that this report, in its findings, conclusions, and recommendations, places as much weight on these causal factors as on the more easily understood and corrected physical cause of the accident.

    The physical cause of the loss of Columbia and its crew was a breach in the Thermal Protection System on the leading edge of the left wing, caused by a piece of insulating foam which separated from the left bipod ramp section of the External Tank at 81.7 seconds after launch, and struck the wing in the vicinity of the lower half of Reinforced Carbon-Carbon panel number 8. During re-entry this breach in the Thermal Protection System allowed superheated air to penetrate through the leading edge insulation and progressively melt the aluminum structure of the left wing, resulting in a weakening of the structure until increasing aerodynamic forces caused loss of control, failure of the wing, and breakup of the Orbiter. This breakup occurred in a flight regime in which, given the current design of the Orbiter, there was no possibility for the crew to survive.

    The organizational causes of this accident are rooted in the Space Shuttle Programs history and culture, including the original compromises that were required to gain approval for the Shuttle, subsequent years of resource constraints, fluctuating priorities, schedule pressures, mischaracterization of the Shuttle as operational rather than developmental, and lack of an agreed national vision for human space flight. Cultural traits and organizational practices detrimental to safety were allowed to develop, including: reliance on past success as a substitute for sound engineering practices (such as testing to understand why systems were not performing in accordance with requirements); organizational barriers that prevented effective communication of critical safety information and stifled professional differences of opinion; lack of integrated management across program elements; and the evolution of an informal chain of command and decision-making processes that operated outside the organizations rules.
  • by LoneStarGeek ( 626553 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:28AM (#6794314)
    I am a former Software Developer for a NASA contractor. In 2000, I left this job due to inpending cuts by the agency. I saw many talented developers, engineers and scientists do the same thing. NASA seems to cut the budget like this about every 10 years (once a decade). They are attempting to shift a lot of the day to day operations over to contractors and alleviate the need for in-house staff to handle the load. Unfortunately, with a reduced technical staff and unapproachable executive style directors they have let launch safety slip on the Shuttle once again. I am sad at the loss of the astronauts onboard this doomed craft and pray for the famlies that have lost more than NASA can repay.

    Time to get out the broom and clean the house.
  • Both space shuttle disasters have a common thread: The inability of an engineer to communicate. In the first disaster, NASA was faxed a "don't launch" from some rocket engineers with pages and pages off scribbled supporting data in random order. NASA couldn't make sense of the scribblings, and twisted a few arms and got a "go ahead and launch but don't blame us" from the rocket engineers. We all know what happened.

    The second disaster, engineers noticed the debris and said that this needed immediate investi

  • (Thick Australian accent) You slashdotted NASA!

    (With apologies to The Dish [imdb.com].)
  • by TNN ( 19310 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:51AM (#6794609)
    p.217: "In the years since the Shuttle was designed,NASA has not updated its engineering drawings or converted to computer- aided drafting systems.The Board's review of these engineering drawings revealed numerous inaccuracies.In par- ticular,the drawings do not incorporate many engineering changes made in the last two decades."

    p.219: "While ISO 9000/9001 expressed strong principles, they are more applicable to manufacturing and repetitive-procedure industries, such as running a major airline, than to a research-and-development, non-operational flight test environment like that of the Space Shuttle"

    And it goes on with interesting points regarding maintenance documentation, procedures, design flaws, and managerial training.

  • Once again... (Score:3, Informative)

    by TastyWords ( 640141 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:54AM (#6794658)
    We see a situation whereby engineers feel (maybe can't substantiate it at the moment) or know something "isn't right". They pull the rip cord and are made to feel like an idiot, usually instigated by a herd of PHBs. There were stories of this happening in this story. Engineers thought something wasn't right but were afraid to stand forward. Unfortunately, this likely helped cause the loss of the mission. Sure, the engineer(s) should have stood their ground, even to the point of their job(s)/reputation(s), but...suppose they'd hit the red button and nothing bad happened?

    Secondly, Look at the missing tiles, et alia? They're applied manually, one-by-one. Do we need sensors (e.g., a filament) on every one of them so we know which ones are still there (or not)? The same goes for all of the other sections of the shuttle. Sensor mesh ingrained to various parts of the body, inside & out, learning to know "what's normal" and "what's not"? We take a lot of chances simply because we've gotten away with it. (It's good if it works - not unlike the software industry) If we had to make another landing on the moon, could we do it (and return safely) without a lot of flights to start over, just as we did in the 60s (for those reading this who were alive in the 60s) to get us "ready" for such a trip? How long will it be before we have a real-life "Capricorn One" (including OJ Simpson in the cast) and this is the twenty-fifth anniversary of that movie: Capricorn One [allmovie.com] There really wasn't any science in this movie - it's the suspense from finding out what happens with a doomed flight to Mars and the fact the public can't be told it fails. (Let's hope no schlockmeister gets the opportunity to remake it just as they did with other classic such as RollerBall.) Seriously, Capricorn One is worth the rental or late-night viewing.
  • No news (Score:5, Insightful)

    by EinsteinWasRight ( 697927 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:55AM (#6794677) Homepage Journal

    My family has had several of its members working for NASA for the past 30 years. We have seen NASA locked in the same vicious cycle for the past 7 presidents, it goes something like this:

    1. Congress tells NASA to cut budget.

    2. Congress says no Centers, no matter how useless can be closed.

    3. Directors of centers give actual job of cutting budget to middle managers(Who haven't done any engineering in decades)

    4. Middle managers vote to fire everybody but themselves(What a surprise!) that is fire all the engineers under them and farm out the actual engineering to contractors.

    5. Make wild claims of success

    6. Repeat after next election cycle.

    This has been repeated now so many times that NASA doesnt do any actual engineering any more. Furthermore many of these MMs farm out even the writing of the specs!

    It is the opposite of what private industry does which is to fire the MMs and keep the engineers(Flatten the organizational chart, keep the Indians fire the chiefs, etc.)

    There are so many reasons why this is bad that I wont list them all here (the average Slashdot reader knows them anyway) but the most devastating effect is zero accumulation of organizational knowledge. Constructing space vehicles is very technique oriented; the devil is all in the details. That is the difference between success and failure may be knowing that the lubricating grease on the control moment gyro needs to be of a specific viscosity and quality. (Speaking hypothetically, no slur to ISS, really). Going outside of these parameters means that the CMG fails which means that the spacecraft cant change attitude which means that you have a 100 M dollar piece of junk.

    This has been has been documented at NASA ad nauseum but the basic organizational structure prevents accumulation of knowledge. Which means that we pay to reengineer every time will build something.

    Now add in ?Low bid always wins? and see what happens. An experienced contractor who has built spacecraft now knows that they have NASA over a barrel because they are the only ones who know how to build what they want. So they jack up the price. The bid then is won by the inexperienced contractor who now has to learn everything all over again. Repeat.

    The solution? Do the same thing private industry does: Keep the Indians, fire the chiefs. Prevent the loss of organizational knowledge at all cost. Begin the slow process of knowledge accumulation so that eventually the price of space vehicle construction will come down.

    Naaah, makes too much sense.

    EWR

    • Re:No news (Score:3, Insightful)

      It is the opposite of what private industry does which is to fire the MMs and keep the engineers(Flatten the organizational chart, keep the Indians fire the chiefs, etc.)

      I don't know what dreamworld you're living in, but most of the time in private industry it's the engineers who are fired when there's a budget cut, not the managers. I've been working for NASA for two years and my impression is that it's no worse at NASA - and potentially better: JPL just created a new fund specifically to pay the salari
  • by kurtkilgor ( 99389 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @10:56AM (#6794695)
    People are commenting that if 100 flights took place in a year instead of 4, we wouldn't worry about safety so much. But I think what's frustrating about the Columbia and the Challenger accidents is that they were caused by seemingly simple problems which were known before the accident occurred. Not a single astronaut has been killed by any of the things that make space dangerous: asteroids, radiation, etc. They have been killed by essentially terrestrial things that we expect to happen on a passenger car (leaky seals, cracked body panels) but not a multi billion dollar spacecraft. It's like sailing out of a storm alive and then drowning as you step off the boat.
  • by Smallpond ( 221300 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @11:12AM (#6794908) Homepage Journal

    Here's the relevant figures for various dangerous modes of transportation. Based on this I would say its not about how dangerous it is to life and limb, its about the money, period.

    Fatalities per 1 million passenger miles

    Auto: 110
    Urban transit: 83
    School bus: 14
    Shuttle: 0.006

    Shuttle data so you can check my math

    Total fatalities: 7 on Challenger, 7 on Columbia
    Total passengers: over 600
    Total time on orbit: 19179 hours
    Avg orbital period: 90 minutes
    Total miles: 329 million
    Avg crew: 7
    Total passenger miles: 2304 million
  • by podperson ( 592944 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @11:21AM (#6795018) Homepage
    The organizational causes of this accident are rooted in the Space Shuttle Program?s history and culture, including the original compromises that were required to gain approval for the Shuttle, subsequent years of resource constraints, fluctuating priorities, schedule pressures, mischaracterization of the Shuttle as operational rather than developmental, and lack of an agreed national vision for human space flight.

    Emphasis mine.
  • by Unknown Kadath ( 685094 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @11:53AM (#6795427)
    For my senior thesis, I helped design a proposed Mars mission. I was working at Johnson when Columbia broke up, but I've since graduated and am no longer associated with NASA, and can speak freely.

    I'm not sure to start on what's wrong with NASA. Many other posters have covered that in detail, and I think many of them are spot on.

    But there is one thing very, very right--the people. From janitors and groundskeepers, all the way to the directors of the various centers, NASA employees are passionately devoted to the job they do. Losing Columbia hurt like losing members of their families, hurt their professional pride, hurt that part of their souls where they keep their their dedication and hope. They will continue because there is still work to be done, because the journey is still unfinished, because that's what their fallen comrades wanted. This spark is fundamental to NASA--the institutional culture cannot extinguish it, but I fear that it may become impotent.

    Space travel is costly and risky. It will be centuries before we can consider it routine. The people of NASA have the expertise and the will to carry on, but will they be permitted to do so? I say, Stand aside and let your scientists and engineers work. Let your astronauts fly. They may greatly fail, but it will be because they have greatly dared.

    We've forgotten courage, I think.

    -Carolyn
  • Read chapter 6 (Score:4, Informative)

    by Animats ( 122034 ) on Tuesday August 26, 2003 @01:56PM (#6796905) Homepage
    Much of the report is background, filled out with huge glossy pictures from the NASA PR department. Read chapter 6, though, for what actually went wrong in the organization. The whole process of organizational denial is laid out in detail.

    The basic problem, of course, is that the Shuttle's foam insulation flakes off and the thermal protection tiles are too fragile. Both of those problems have been known for decades, but not fixed. The only reason this didn't happen earlier is that a big piece of foam hadn't happened to hit a weak tile in a vulnerable spot. Big pieces of foam have fallen off before, they've hit tiles before, and they've caused damage before. Twenty years ago, foam caused serious tile damage. The damaged tile just happened to be covering an antenna mounting plate, so there was extra metal there to protect the structure. So that shuttle survived.

    Buran, the USSR space shuttle, had a better tile design. (Buy surplus Buran tiles here.) [9f.com] The designers of Buran had the advantage of doing it after the US, and Buran has some advantages over the US shuttle. It's sad that Buran was retired so early.

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