Musk Announces Return-to-Flight Date For Falcon 9 Rocket 114
Rei writes: After being grounded for six months after a strut failure doomed the launch vehicle, Elon Musk has confirmed rumors that SpaceX plans to try for launch again on December 19th, with a static test firing on December 16th. SpaceX will also attempt a landing of their first stage — not at sea, but on land. Lastly, this will be the first launch of a Falcon 9 "Full Thrust" variant, where the propellants are supercooled (with the oxygen just above its freezing point) to increase their density and thus fuel flow and thrust.
just a comment (Score:3, Interesting)
This return to flight launch is going to be scrutinized by a lot of folks. Hopefully SpaceX has truly determined the problems for the accident. A landing back at the Cape would be awesome.
Re:Been there, done that (Score:4, Informative)
Hope there's one scrub (Score:2)
I'm selfishly hoping that they have to scrub the launch on the 19th, I'm going to be in the Orlando area on the 20th and 21st so a delay that allowed me to watch the launch would be awesome.
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Here's the 10-day forcast [wunderground.com] - hope that that "chance of rain" on the 19th turns into "thunderstorms and strong upper level winds" ;)
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I used to live in Orlando - by my faulty memory one Shuttle launch in five or so went up on the planned day, so this guy's odds are good I think.
There's an urban legend about how the Cape got picked despite the troublesome weather: someone looked at the average wind velocity there and the daily average was almost zero! (The always-present coastal winds reverse direction in the evening.) Silly, but it would explain a lot.
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a delay that allowed me to watch the launch would be awesome.
And the launch is the more boring part! With more notice (and not the week before Christmas!), I would have hopped in the car and motored the boy down to Fla. to see history in the making. Musk is messing with the fanbois - expect a scrub or two. ;)
Supercooling (Score:5, Interesting)
Aren't supercooled materials actually cooled below their freezing point, but kept in a liquid state? Oxygen "just above its freezing point" is damned cold, but not supercooled. So, which one is it?
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This is more of an engineering term. If you let Liquid Oxygen sit around at ambient conditions it will be at the boiling point. Getting it colder requires additional systems to lower the temperature.
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You realize that what's in the tank is liquid oxygen, right? And that it's pressurized by helium? More to the point, hot helium?
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Only after losing its heat to the LOX. The helium is heated by the engines.
And yes, all of this has more than been accounted for - although it can be fun to be a Slashdot Rocketician sometimes ;)
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landing location (Score:3)
Re:landing location (Score:5, Insightful)
Turnaround is much easier when the stage is nearly empty. First off you have air resistance killing off part of your lateral momentum for you, and you already have altitude. Your stage is vastly lighter as well, having used up most of its propellant and separated from the second stage and payload. Your last kilogram of propellant delivers about 23 times more delta-V than your first (in a way it's kind of problematic - even with just one engine operating and throttled all the way down (70%) it can't "hover", it still has way too much thrust). So turnaround is actually quite doable, if you have a little margin left over. It depends on how heavy your payload is and what sort of trajectory it's being launched to.
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The first stage is probably all about altitude and so can 'fall' down in place. Only when the craft is above most of the atmosphere does the lateral buildup of speed to orbital insertion begin.
Re:landing location (Score:4, Informative)
A huge fraction (90% ?) of the energy an object must gain in order to reach orbit is tangential velocity. By comparison the gain in potential energy from gaining altitude is relatively small.
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I seem to remember it's 95% for low Earth orbit - theoretically less for higher altitude/slower orbits, but I think most launches aim for LEO first.
So yeah, the vertical energy needed is a tiny fraction of the total, and since the first stage is typically designed to deliver most of the energy required, it is far more concerned with speed than altitude. They go for altitude quickly mainly to reduce the efficiency losses due to air resistance at high speed.
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On the other hand, first stages are limited in how fast they can accelerate due to aerodynamic drag, and they face far more gravity losses. The first stage pays for most of the "losses" that the craft will encounter in its ascent. Lastly, the first stage is only 32% of the total burn time. The most important part of any first stage is to get the craft out of the atmosphere so that the second stage engine can be optimized for vacuum. A first stage can be built for more burn time, but its nozzle - having b
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Quite right about getting out of the atmosphere being a priority, as I mentioned. That's why they go almost straight up for the early part of the launch - to reduce air resistance as much as possible before putting on speed. But as I recall most first-stage rockets are optimized for the extremely low ambient pressures experienced for the majority of their burn, though obviously there's some compromises made for the sake of the initial low-altitude portion of the flight that can be eliminated for the second
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What you call "support force" I call "gravity losses" - see above :). The first stage pays both aero losses and most of the gravity losses, which usually eat up what would otherwise be an additional 1000-1500 m/s delta-V per launch. And the first stage is only a third of the total burn time. And has to be a lot more acceleration-limited during the earliest parts of its flight to minimize aero losses, otherwise you waste even more energy fighting the air (and put more stress on your vehicle at max-Q, which
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On Space Shuttle the SRBs were purely to gain altitude, which is why they could be recovered near the Cape. It was main engine thrust that took it to orbital speed after SRB staging.
Re: landing location (Score:5, Informative)
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They renovated LC13 and it's now a landing pad.
http://spacenews.com/spacex-le... [spacenews.com]
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Have they finished that? I remember seeing that article back in February, but haven't heard anything since. Conceptually it shouldn't be hard to renovate it as a landing pad, doesn't need nearly the infrastructure of a launch pad, but I have no idea what details might be involved.
I certainly hope so, a stationary surface should simplify landing, and I'm sure SpaceX could use a triumphant return to operation.
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Ah, shame on me for not reading the summary better. Sounds like they still don't have approval for use, but are hoping to get it in time to land the next launch. Here's hoping.
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They have long detailed the plan as try at sea at first and later have it return directly to the original launch area. Although, with some launches of Falcon Heavy they expect to only be able to try landing the central core downrange at sea, if at all.
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As far as I know, there's still not official word from the FAA approving land-landing, only from the Airforce.
Also, depending on the mass of the payload, and with the Full Thrust upgrade, they should have enough propellant margin to attempt landing every rocket they send up from now on, but not necessarily enough to redirect all of them back to the launch site.
And when the Falcon Heavy finally takes flight, while the side boosters should be able to return to the launch site, the central core will probably n
Why Doesn't SpaceX Provide Timely Information? (Score:2)
One of the things that has frustrated me about SpaceX is it's lack of comprehensive communications about the status of the analysis, what are the corrective actions and what is it's return to launch (and beyond plans).
I just took a look at their website (http://www.spacex.com/) and what do I see? CRS-7 Updates, dated July 20th. Under "Updates", the last entry is July 20th. On twitter, the last time Musk commented on the Falcon issue was July 5th.
The dearth of timely web page updates and information just
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How about ever? I put down a deposit on a Model X, as did my brother. 2 years late and we didn't have a single communication. Not one. Same with PayPal.
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Ha ha ha ha. "In production"? Really? Have you seen one? A demonstrator? Photos?
Anyway, its a little over 2 years after laying down $5K that I asked for my money back (about 7 months ago. At that time, they would not talk about a time line. Last week, my brother got an email asking him to design his X, and a note that it would be a minimum of 10 weeks before delivery.
Anyway, the point is that Musk's business model doesn't involve communicating, which isn't really up for discussion.
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SpaceX is it's lack of comprehensive communications
As others have mentioned it's a private company and like pretty much all have no intention of communicating anything except glowing press releases. There is NASA though they perform a wide range of activities though much of their communications gets bogged down in guvmint bureaucracy.
Speaking of communications, I sometimes scour the internet for techie stuff on communication systems used by spacecraft but I don't find anything of value. Of course govt and companies are not going to post entire documentati
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If it looks like some sort of ugly beast from the 90s, you've definitely arrived.
I found a couple of those, also makes it nice to print or save in case the site disappears (in that case, archive.org to the rescue). Your suggestion of ignoring "news" or "press" sites sounds good (hmmm, do a search with the term followed with "-news"?)
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If it looks like some sort of ugly beast from the 90s
I found one! Looks very 1990s Geocities but has diagrams, charts, etc. http://spaceshuttleguide.com/s... [spaceshuttleguide.com]
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Why Doesn't SpaceX Provide Timely Information?
Lawyers.
Even though FAA rules don't preclude company communication during an accident investigation, ass-covering lawyers insist on a total shutdown anyway.
And since you're paying your lawyers to cover your ass... you do what they say.
Re: Why Doesn't SpaceX Provide Timely Information? (Score:2)
Quite a lot to be tested (Score:1)
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Indeed... really they just need to land one successfully for now before going onto the next stage, which is working to prove that they can demonstrate and refine a process for refurbishment and return to flight in an affordable manner. One first stage returned intact gives them something to work with.
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Quite. I imagine there will still be lots of refinement of the landing process for some time to come, but once they have landed one, then they can start figuring out what's necessary for refurbishment. I wonder if there will be a period of high-risk, cut-rate launches to test early refurbished rockets? I imagine there are a lot of projects out there where the cost of getting to orbit dwarfs the cost of the satellite itself, so that a high failure rate of early refurbished rockets would be an acceptable r
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Oh, sure, no question. Pretty much anything that's large and what you would call a "technology demostrator" (solar sail, experimental reentry system, large tether experiments, inflatables, anything of that nature) would go crazy for a cheap, even if high risk, rocket - when your spacecraft only costs a couple tens of thousands of dollars to build (or less) but launch costs are in the tens of millions, who cares if you lose the craft if it can save you a relevant chunk of the launch price? No question that
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Because like any company they'd much rather be able to charge $65m per rocket rather than $30m per rocket ;) They want the Falcon 9 series to be seen as dependable and thus worthy of higher-value payloads - even if they haven't refined relaunch yet. It's particularly important because they plan to use it for humans, so it needs to be seen as safe - at least for the new rockets fresh off the line.
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They're already less than half the price of the competition, IIRC, and I'm sure there's plenty of folks who would be willing to take the chance. I'd say more likely it's mostly a combination of two things that you've hit on: Keeping insurance costs as low as possible on their standard flights, and maintaining good PR. Plus the raw cost - I seem to recall hearing that they're currently barely breaking even on a launch, i.e. the launches are priced to get someone else to cover the costs of an R&D launc
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Haha, love the idea ;) Maybe paint the words "Mun Or Bust" on the sides in sloppy children's handwriting just for added emphasis ;)
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Re:The solution is simple... (Score:5, Funny)
Unlike during the last Falcon 9 launch, I hope that they don't get impatient and turn on time warp again - everyone knows that it makes the physics unstable.
Any tips for attending the launch? (Score:2)
Is there a public viewing area? Is the space centre and museums still open on launch days?
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Good tips. Thanks. This may be an historic landing.
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Launch complex 13 (now Landing Pad 1) is located closer [google.com] to Coco Beach so perhaps I will try there first.
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Much appreciated. Thanks.
Space Launches Schedule (Score:5, Informative)
SpaceX has a number of launches coming up according to Space Flight Now [spaceflightnow.com] including:
* 19 Dec - Falcon 9 rocket will launch 11 second-generation Orbcomm communications satellites.
* Dec ? - Falcon 9 rocket will launch the SES 9 communications satellite.
* Jan - Falcon 9 rocket will launch the 10th Dragon spacecraft on the eighth operational cargo delivery mission to the International Space Station.
* Jan - Falcon 9 rocket will launch the Jason 3 ocean altimetry mission. Jason 3 will measure ocean surface topography to aid in ocean circulation and climate change research for NOAA, EUMETSAT, NASA and the French space agency, CNES.
* There are others scheduled for early 2016
Re:Space Launches Schedule (Score:5, Interesting)
Not to mention Falcon Heavy planned for around April to May of 2016 - which probably means "summer". I'm so looking forward to that one... 55 tonnes to LEO for somewhere around $100m... can you imagine what sort of probes we could launch with that kind of launch economy? Picture any probe we've launched thusfar and imagine what the designers could have achieved on that mission if they'd been given five times the mass budget.
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So saying that SpaceX schedules will inevitably slip makes me the SpaceX PR department?
here's hoping (Score:2)
They've proven they can put it down in a preselected area, the only hang-up appears to be the landing which judging from the last two attempts is due to not having a decent sized pad more than a control difficulty. Here's hoping that a landing on a much larger pad gives them the area they need for success.
As.. (Score:2)
As every KSP player knows, moar struts.
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if less than 1/3 of your spaceship, in parts-count, are struts, you're not doing it right.
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Yup. [imgur.com] ;)
Picture of SpaceX Landing Pad (Score:3)
Article and pic here [spacenews.com]. SpaceX is planning a main landing pad as well as four contingency landing pads at Launch Complex 13 at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, according to a June 2014 environmental impact statement.
The U.S. Air Force announced Feb. 10 that SpaceX has signed a five-year lease for Cape Canaveral’s Launch Complex 13, which was used to launch Atlas rockets and missiles between 1956 and 1978. In its new role, it will serve as a landing pad for Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy booster cores launched from Florida, the Air Force said.
“The contingency pads would only be utilized in order to enable the safe landing of a single vehicle should last-second navigation and landing diversion be required. There are no plans to utilize the contingency pads in order to enable landing multiple stages” at once, the assessment said.
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Huh, curious end-quote positioning, if it had been
>"There are no plans to utilize the contingency pads in order to enable landing multiple stages at once"
or even "[at once]", I would have accepted that as obvious - multiple stages will by their nature land at very different times. The second stage is after all going all the way into orbit, performing its mission, and only then returning at its leisure, with the option to land pretty much anywhere since th entire planet is "downrange" once you're in orbi
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You forgot something: the Falcon Heavy, which begins launching next year, is basically two Falcon 9s hooked to an extra-long Falcon 9. Here's a video of the concept [youtube.com] - basically, the side boosters simultaneously return and land, then the center booster returns and lands, while the third stage (which is the 2nd stage on the Falcon 9) isn't recovered. The design really stresses the SpaceX line of thinking - use as much duplication of parts as you can so that you can get economies of scale on production as we
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Fair point, I did forget about that. That would likely call for three independent landing pads - you don't want the engine wash from a landing rocket to knock over one already on the ground, to say nothing of having shrapnel from a failed landing tearing through one that landed successfully. I.e. don't drop bombs on your own valuable assets.
What problem do you see with the OTRAG? From the wikipedia article it sounds like an extremely viable concept. A bit lacking in technical elegance perhaps, and with
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OTRAG takes things too far. Yes, propellant and raw materials costs are only a small fraction of the total, but that doesn't mean that you can just toss ISP out the door. When you have to make a veritable mountain to launch a tiny payload you're giving yourself massively increased overhead costs - and unlike propellant costs, overhead is a big part of rocketry costs. You're also putting yourself in a far harder situation concerning environmental permiting, and the heavy (frequent) staging requirements and
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Word salad crunches gracefully over pineapple sunsets.
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Wow, is this an example of a metatroll?
Re:Good thing ULA was there (Score:4, Insightful)
It might be because the Atlas flies on Russian RD-180 engines? If the entire manned space program ended up depending on the continued goodwill of the Russians; well it would be sort of embarrassing at that point.
Re:Good thing ULA was there (Score:5, Informative)
It makes you wonder why they don't always spend 2 1/2 times more per launch? Really, that's something you don't understand?
Atlas is the 7th generation of a rocket family that's been around since 1957. One would hope that they'd have gotten most of the kinks by now. By comparison, Falcon 9 is a 2nd generation of a rocket family that's been around since 2006.
Re:Good thing ULA was there (Score:5, Informative)
Again: "Atlas is the 7th generation of a rocket family that's been around since 1957. One would hope that they'd have gotten most of the kinks by now. By comparison, Falcon 9 is a 2nd generation of a rocket family that's been around since 2006." Not sure how you missed that part. When the Atlas family was 9 years old, it was still undergoing regular failures. Atlas LV-3A, which was used from 1960 to 1968 (and would thus be the development-time equivalent of the Falcon 9) had 49 launches and 38 successes, or a success rate of only 77%.
Now, of course, that was a different time. The had less knowledge and technology base... although contrariwise they had far larger inflation-adjusted budgets. But let's just say that the technology issue means that Falcon 9 should prove itself much faster than the Atlas family did. Okay, so maybe the comparable level is to how Atlas was performing in the 1970s? The two Atlas rockets active in the 1970s (Atlas SLV-3C and Atlas SLV-3D) had a success rate of 84%. Okay, let's say the 1980s. The Atlas SLV-3D extended into the 80s, and there was also the atlas G, with a 67% success rate. It wasn't until the 1990s that they got up to a nearly 95% success rate - decades after the creation of the family.
You want perfection in under a decade of the creation of a new orbital rocket family. Please point me to a single case where that's happened, with a statistically significant number of launches under their belt. Proton? Nope. Soyuz? Nope. Delta? Nope. Arianne? Nope.
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If you are going for "man rated" in the commercial world, having a structural failure should *not* happen. The last Falcon 9 launch was due to a structural failure, long before it reached maximum G-loads as I recall.. I'd accept a valve, turbo pump, or even a control system failure as the cost of learning, but a structural failure that costs you the vehicle is a really bad indicator. Man rated systems should have significant safety margins, epically in its structure. I realize that this literally is "rock
Re:Good thing ULA was there (Score:4, Informative)
It was a structural failure from a third-party part that didn't even approach its claimed specs. And it's not like SpaceX never tested the struts - they did, just not every single strut. The third party (which has reportedly had their contract terminated) clearly had process consistency problems.
SpaceX has never had a problem with its turbopumps.
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Maybe between Atlas II and Atlas V, but Atlas V shares a lot in common with Atlas III. Atlas III was a real learning experience, and it shows in what was changed between III and V - for example, dropping the first stage balloon tanks in favor of isogrid (balloon tanks give great performance but they get you in the handling costs). And III was of course an evolution of II - even though II and V now have relatively little in common.
Read "Atlas V Launch Vehicle Service Guide" Appendix A about the history of t
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