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Mars Space

Missions To Mars With Starship Could Only Take Three Months (phys.org) 159

alternative_right shares a report from Phys.Org: Using conventional propulsion and low-energy trajectories, it takes six to nine months for crewed spacecraft to reach Mars. These durations complicate mission design and technology requirements and raise health and safety concerns since crews will be exposed to extended periods in microgravity and heightened exposure to cosmic radiation. Traditionally, mission designers have recommended nuclear-electric or nuclear-thermal propulsion (NEP/NTP), which could shorten trips to just 3 months. In a recent study, a UCSB physics researcher identified two trajectories that could reduce transits to Mars using the Starship to between 90 and 104 days.

The study was authored by Jack Kingdon, a graduate student researcher in the Physics Department at the University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB). He is also a member of the UCSB Weld Lab, an experimental ultracold atomic physics group that uses quantum degenerate gases to explore quantum mechanical phenomena. [...] As outlined on its website, conference presentations, and user manual, the SpaceX mission architecture consists of six Starships traveling to Mars. Four of these spacecraft will haul 400 metric tons (440 U.S. tons) of cargo while two will transport 200 passengers. Based on the Block 2 design, which has a 1,500 metric ton (1,650 U.S. ton) propellant capacity, the crewed Starships will require 15 tankers to fully refuel in low Earth orbit (LEO). The cargo ships would require only four, since they would be sent on longer low-energy trajectories. Once the flotilla arrives at Mars, the Starships will refuel using propellant created in situ using local carbon dioxide and water ice. When the return window approaches, one of the crew ships and 3-4 cargo ships will refuel and then launch into a low Mars orbit (LMO). The cargo ships will then transfer the majority of their propellant to the crew ship and return to the surface of Mars. The crew ship would then depart for Earth, and the process could be repeated for the other crew ship.

Kingdon calculated multiple trajectories using a Lambert Solver, which produces the shortest elliptical arc in two-body problem equations (aka Lambert's problem). The first would depart Earth on April 30th, 2033, taking advantage of the 26-month periodic alignment between Earth and Mars. The transit would last 90 days, with the crew returning to Earth after another 90-day transit by July 2nd, 2035. The second would depart Earth on July 15th, 2035, and return to Earth after a 104-day transit on December 5th, 2037. As Kingdon explained, the former trajectory is the most likely to succeed: "The optimal trajectory is the 2033 trajectory -- it has the lowest fuel requirements for the fastest transit time. A note that may not be obvious to the layreader is that Starship can very easily reach Mars in ~3 months -- in fact, it can in any launch window, over a fairly wide range of trajectories. However, Starship may impact the Martian atmosphere too fast (although we do not know, and likely SpaceX don't either actually how fast Starship can hit the Martian atmosphere and survive). The trajectories discussed are ones that I am confident Starship will survive."
The paper describing the work has been published in the journal Scientific Reports.

Missions To Mars With Starship Could Only Take Three Months

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  • Apparently in the future we're sending crews to reach Mars in six to nine months, but wait! If we have this fictional "Starship" we need just 3 months, wow. Hope such a thing exists in the coming years. Decades. Centuries possibly.
    • by drnb ( 2434720 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @03:11AM (#65428786)

      Apparently in the future we're sending crews to reach Mars in six to nine months, but wait! If we have this fictional "Starship" we need just 3 months, wow. Hope such a thing exists in the coming years. Decades. Centuries possibly.

      You realize "Starship" is a brand name for a particular make and model undergoing testing today. Its not referring to the general concept of a ship that travels between solar systems.

      • by Anonymous Coward
        Once they install the 2nd half of the warp gate it won't really matter anyway.
      • by bloodhawk ( 813939 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:00AM (#65428848)
        The propulsion mentioned to achieve 3 months is most definitely NOT undergoing testing or development for the current Starship.
      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        This guy seems to be hoping to get Musk's attention and maybe a job out of it, given that there is no reason why Starship needs to be used here. Starship isn't using the kind of propulsion he proposes, and offers no other benefits for his plan.

        • by drnb ( 2434720 )

          This guy seems to be hoping to get Musk's attention and maybe a job out of it, given that there is no reason why Starship needs to be used here. Starship isn't using the kind of propulsion he proposes, and offers no other benefits for his plan.

          Does the proposed propulsion require a rather large vehicle?

      • by whitroth ( 9367 )

        You mean the one that's known for popularizing the acronym RUD?

    • Did you read the same article I did? What changed the trip from 6 months to 3 months was calculating a different orbit. Given this has been a problem people have been working on, with various devices to aid in their computations, for somewhere close to a century now this is a rather surprising development. I'd like to know more on what new mathematics they were using to get to this discovery.

      I fully expect some new mission to Mars to test out this orbit. It might not be a SpaceX Starship, it doesn't hav

      • The new mathematics Iâ(TM)m afraid isnâ(TM)t terribly new, or exciting, itâ(TM)s just stuff that takes a long time. Specifically, itâ(TM)s just trying lots of computations and seeing what works. We havenâ(TM)t done it before because the space (pun intended) to explore for this particular optimisation problem is *huge* and we donâ(TM)t have very good tools for figuring out the global minimum.

      • No, what changed the trip was the large deltaV available. Assuming Musk, who promised teslas would self drive without a driver at all from LA to NY within 2 years in 2016, isn't being overly optimistic about his orbital fueling plan and his rockets firing just fine after weeks in orbit.

        Yes, people haven't bothered plugging those parameters into the old software because there's no need to calculate fantasy trajectories. Well I'm sure someone at spaceX has - likely with a lot of different values for fuel amou

    • by mjwx ( 966435 )

      Apparently in the future we're sending crews to reach Mars in six to nine months, but wait! If we have this fictional "Starship" we need just 3 months, wow. Hope such a thing exists in the coming years. Decades. Centuries possibly.

      Is this a calendar month or a Musk month? If it's 3 Musk months that means it'll never happen. FSD has been 3 months away for 5 years now.

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        FSD has been 3 months away for 9 years, now. 2016 was the original announcement and launch of cars that were supposed to be capable. I've lost track of how many hardware revisions we have had, but it's more than 4. From what I heard anyone with the old hardware is SOL as Tesla's promised free upgrades have been cancelled, and their vehicle will never achieve full self driving, assuming it doesn't rust away first.

    • by dbialac ( 320955 )
      I uhm, can't begin to describe how bad of an idea having a return crew is. There are possible signs of life on Mars in places underneath the surface. We don't know what's there and how it will react to those of us who inhabit the earth. This needs to be a one-way voyage so that we can all get just a little bit of an idea of what's there. Even then, just like on earth, organisms will vary because of geography.
  • Sure (Score:2, Insightful)

    Let's keep chucking scarce resources at a frozen, irradiated and poisonous planet we have zero chance of populating.

    That will accomplish... .something.

    • Re:Sure (Score:5, Insightful)

      by phantomfive ( 622387 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @03:17AM (#65428794) Journal
      It is 10,000x better than throwing them at each other to try to kill each other, which is what we are currently doing.

      Cold wars are better than hot wars.
    • Let's keep chucking scarce resources at a frozen, irradiated and poisonous planet we have zero chance of populating.

      That will accomplish... .something.

      Or maybe we could send sensors instead of people. Oh wait, that's already happened, so this really is just a pissing contest.

      • Re:Sure (Score:5, Funny)

        by gtall ( 79522 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:12AM (#65428854)

        We could send Elmo and tell him to get back to us on what he finds. Think of him as a somewhat dimwitted sensor. Suit'im up, he's ready!

        • We could send Elmo and tell him to get back to us on what he finds. Think of him as a somewhat dimwitted sensor. Suit'im up, he's ready!

          Thanks for the laugh! I would make one small change - send Elmo and tell him "don't call us, we'll call you".

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        The reality is that getting people on Mars doesn't cost all that much in the scheme of things. A small fraction of the US military budget, for example. It's worth doing just to advance technology - look at all the stuff we got from Apollo.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by MacMann ( 7518492 )

      The point of Apollo wasn't to get to the moon. It was to demonstrate to the Soviets we have rockets big enough to plant a nuclear warhead anywhere on Earth. We proved we had the navigation and computing technology for making these rockets land with considerable precision. We proved we had life support systems to keep humans alive in environments like high flying aircraft, or in deep sea submarines. We proved we had the money for doing such things over and over, so if the Soviets got froggy then they'd k

      • You think China or Russia can't put a satellite in a high orbit? You're weird.

      • The point of Apollo wasn't to get to the moon. It was to demonstrate to the Soviets we have rockets big enough to plant a nuclear warhead anywhere on Earth.

        Absurdly incorrect.
        We had rockets capable of doing that in 1959.

        The rockets we built in the coming decade could nuke Pluto.
        The Russians weren't particularly militarily concerned with that capacity.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Barsteward ( 969998 )
      They should spend all that money on fixing the man made mistakes on this planet.
      • They should spend all that money on fixing the man made mistakes on this planet.

        Do you realize how many technologies came from the Apollo missions that have solved so many problems for so many people on Earth? It might be nice to think we could have got to the same place without the "waste" of putting men on the moon but those missions were meant to solve problems we created on this planet. We had Soviets that believed they could beat NATO in war. This was proved wrong with Apollo by showing we had better rockets, better computers, better medicine and life support, better logistics

        • First, the most revolutionary of those "Space Race" technologies were likely inevitable.

          Second, there is absolutely no reason to believe a second "Apollo" program would result in the same advances, in the same time frame. NASA has been funding research into all of these areas for literally decades, and no miracle breakthroughs have occurred. Simply setting a deadline to launch will not accelerate this, if the miracle technology is even possible. It's like all the claims that AI will bring about utopia - evi

          • by KGIII ( 973947 )

            Yeah, not so many of those 'space race tech' things were really all that relative. We like to imagine so. People like to say so.

            Here's NPR being optimistic and trying to explain all the great things that came from the Apollo missions:

            https://www.npr.org/2019/07/20... [npr.org]

            There really isn't that much. For some reason, we remember history differently. We look at the grand accomplishment (which it was) and seem to have to believe that it had some great benefits for mankind as a whole. Maybe that's how we justify it

    • But if some alternative propulsion tech to rockets, nuclear or otherwise that doesn't involve chucking matter backwards to go forwards is developed in the coming centuries (no, I've no idea what) and the time to Mars is reduced to weeks or even days then it just might become feasible to get enough equipment, food and water there to build something useful. But for now and the near to mid term future that's going to remain sci fi.

      • Mars has nothing to offer us.

        The Moon would serve the same purpose at a fraction of the stupid costs.

        • Mars has more gravity. Kinda important in the long run.
          And moon dust is very very sharp and it gets everywhere. That is a problem for a permanent base.
          • Re:Zero now for sure (Score:5, Interesting)

            by bleedingobvious ( 6265230 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @09:12AM (#65429264)

            Mars has more gravity. Kinda important in the long run.

            Nowhere near enough. Plus - we have enough trouble with childbirth on this planet imagine trying that when your vascular system is compromised.

            And moon dust is very very sharp and it gets everywhere. That is a problem for a permanent base.

            Martian regolith presents the exact same problems whilst also being irradiated *and* presenting high perchlorate concentrations.

        • Re:Zero now for sure (Score:4, Interesting)

          by MacMann ( 7518492 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:02AM (#65429120)

          Mars has nothing to offer us.

          The Moon would serve the same purpose at a fraction of the stupid costs.

          Mars has a very Earth like day/night cycle, and dirt that has been weathered by wind and therefore not having the "shattered glass" texture of dirt on the moon. This is important so that people on Mars could build greenhouses to grow food. With the reduced solar flux from being further from the sun than Earth there may be a need to supplement the sunlight but it is still an improvement from the moon where night lasts for 14 Earth days.

          The atmosphere on Mars is so thin that it could be considered little better than the vacuum of interplanetary space. As thin as it is there's CO2 and nitrogen that can be drawn in to habitats to create something that could be safe for humans and plants. There would be a need to add oxygen but that's a nearly trivial matter of splitting oxygen off some CO2, a much easier process than extracting oxygen from moon rocks. There's water ice on the moon from which oxygen could be extracted but that water is an already valued resource for sustaining human life. Mars has water too, and that could also be extracted from the thin atmosphere than having to dig it up from rocks and dirt.

          I'm not going to say that it is impossible to have colonies on the moon. I expect that in time there will be permanent settlements on the moon. Given the difficulties in extracting resources on the moon versus that on Mars the moon is likely to take much longer to become self sustaining than a similar effort on Mars.

          Given enough time and people on Mars there's at least a chance for Mars to become quite Earth-like. Maybe not to where it is a shirt-sleeve environment outside a habitat but it could be like going out on a high mountain where people would need little more than a kind of snowsuit and an oxygen mask. Getting Mars to where crops could be grown outside the habitat is at least a possibility, on the moon the people there may as well be living in a cave or submarine. This might not be too bad since we have people that live in submarines for six months at a time with no real detrimental effects on their health. This also goes for people living on ISS and similar orbital habitats, people have lived there for months and returned to life on Earth in good health. A big part of this, at least by my understanding of the issue, is that people in these situations know they can return to life on planet Earth in a matter of hours (perhaps days) should anything go seriously wrong. Life on Mars would mean weeks to months for a return trip, without some means to reach an approximation of life on Earth would wear on the body and mind of most any human. Because Mars is already quite Earth-like the potential for making life safe and comfortable for humans is almost trivial.

          Mars has plenty to offer us.

          • Re:Zero now for sure (Score:5, Interesting)

            by Viol8 ( 599362 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:55AM (#65429228) Homepage

            Unfortunately the large fly in the ointment is the perchlorates in the soil. Even if somehow the mars atmosphere was terraformed so walking outside without a suit was possible, the soil would still remain toxic to earth life.

            • There's no doubt that the Martian soil contains perchlorates, and that these substances are toxic, but here's plenty of ways to remove these chemicals from the soil.

              Perchlorates are water soluble and so they can be rinsed from the soil as it is brought in for growing potatoes like Mark Watney in The Martian. If the Martian potato farmers did not take this precaution first then the toxic effect has been described as being like growing food in soil contaminated with some heavy metals, it wouldn't be exactly

    • You could say the same thing about the Apollo moon missions. However, the push to do something so difficult pushed a huge number of technological advances.
    • It's a stepping stone to other planets or bodies. Research into how to survive and live on Mars will help us here on earth which is getting harsher by the decade.
    • They say it's about reaching Mars. And I guess it is. But I'll tell you a "secret", that you can easily see is true from what happened when we first sent humans to the moon: It is a LOT more about the things we will learn and the technologies we will develop in the attempt, which will then be turned around for application here on Earth. You're literally kvetching about a "wasteful" space program using technology developed in part because of it.

  • We're not going to see crews anytime soon. At best we'll have an unmanned mission that delivers a Cybertruck. A bunch of camera equipped drones will be deployed. The Cybertruck rolls forward a few feet, a folded flag mast pops up out of the bed and the US flag is flown. Drone imagery sent back to HQ. The Cybertruck becomes a charging station for the drones as they do some exploration.

    If you think the above is ridiculous. Consider that a Falcon Heavy put a Roadster into solar orbit.
    • I think the above is ridiculous. Consider that a Falcon Heavy put a Roadster into solar orbit because it was a test flight and had spare capacity, whereas every kilo to Mars will cost (initially) millions.
      • by drnb ( 2434720 )

        I think the above is ridiculous. Consider that a Falcon Heavy put a Roadster into solar orbit because it was a test flight and had spare capacity, whereas every kilo to Mars will cost (initially) millions.

        Every kilo to earth orbit costs too. Are you saying Space X / Musk are not capable of expensive stunts? I think the Roadster demonstrates otherwise.

    • by Grog6 ( 85859 )

      I just want to steal the tesla in orbit, land it on utopia planatia,and do donuts until I hit something, becoming the first space pirate!

      • by drnb ( 2434720 )

        I just want to steal the tesla in orbit, land it on utopia planatia,and do donuts until I hit something, becoming the first space pirate!

        Sounds more like the first space delinquent. Pirates generally go well beyond the doing donuts stage. :-)

  • The one that explodes every time because it is defective by design?

    I won't hold my breath.

    • Well Block 1 finished its tests correctly. Its Block 2 they're having problems with, but they do try to cram as much changes into each flight, which might be the real problem. But let's see how flight 10, 11 and 12 will go. They also had a lot of problems during testing of Falcon 9, but now it is the workhorse of current space exploration/launches.. they will fix the problems and Block 3 is already around the corner (the current engines used on Block 2 weren't actually designed for Block 2, the actual engin
      • Well Block 1 finished its tests correctly

        Of course, because it doesn't have the power output that is destroying the current iteration.

        And the power isn't going down, so the issues are not going away.

      • They also had a lot of problems during testing of Falcon 9, but now it is the workhorse of current space exploration/launches..

        Not really, no.
        They had problems landing it- but that was expected.

  • The idea of nuclear powered spaceships has been around since the 1950s.

    A non-nuclear test model was actually built to study propulsion via explosion, but it got abandoned when most of the world signed the Partial Test Ban Treaty which prohibited nuclear explosions in space.

    • Not all nuclear rockets are powered by throwing bombs out the back (in fact, thatâ(TM)s a relatively out there idea). Instead, the more commonly proposed design is to simply use a nuclear reactor to make a propellant extremely hot. That propellant is usually hydrogen, because it gives you the best specific impulse by being extremely light, and easy to accelerate.

    • by Creepy ( 93888 )

      A nuclear powered spaceship for this exact task was also in Popular Science like 20 years ago. It has nothing to do with the 1950s drop a nuclear bomb behind you to propel you faster, it was using a nuclear reactor to power an ion drive with a time to Mars around 30 days. Gen IV fast nuclear reactors may even speed that up. Russia has the advantage there, since the US government abandoned fast fission in 1994, but private companies may catch up (they are behind, BN-350-800 leads the US by far).

      • That is not a nuclear engine, but an ion drive engine.

        The simplest principle is a long pipe with a radioactive coating on the inside that produces enough heat to simply expand and accelerate gas (or water).

        Completely different principles, no conversion to electricity needed and: much much higher thrust.

        What makes me wonder however: why are the vasimir plasma engines not an option? I thought they work nicely and only wait for an early adaptor?

        See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

        However I see at the end: at

  • They are going to pay for all of this with BitCoin.

  • by MacMann ( 7518492 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:23AM (#65428936)

    The fine summary tells us that there's two ways we know of to get to Mars in about 90 days. We can use NTP on the orbits we have been using for decades, or we can use the same propulsion technology on a new orbit. Doesn't this mean we can get to Mars in 45 days by using both NTP and this new orbit they calculated?

    But then I've been seeing plans to get to Mars in 45 days for some time. Here's one example: https://www.popularmechanics.c... [popularmechanics.com]

    If there is a newly discovered orbit that can shorten the trip for chemical rockets from 6 months to 3 months, and we expect a nuclear rocket to make that trip become more like 45 days, then couldn't we get to Mars with a nuclear rocket and this new orbit in less than a month?

    The hard parts of getting people anywhere beyond Earth orbit is protecting people from radiation and having enough food stored up for the trip. With people on the moon or on Mars the risks of radiation exposure is immediately cut in half because they are standing on a big rock. Add in that the people can pile up pieces of these rocks over an enclosure the risks of radiation become little more than we'd see on Earth.

    Getting food to people on the moon or Mars becomes less of an issue because with some rocks to work with there is the potential to have materials to build greenhouses for growing food. If there's a need to send them food then it's a simpler issue of getting close enough for a buggy ride to pick up the care package than needing to be precise enough that the care package needs to dock with them in orbit.

    Once people are on some kind of solid ground many problems of keeping people alive get so much easier. The shorter we can make the trip to solid ground the greater chance we have to get people there alive and healthy. If nuclear propulsion means cutting the transit time in half then i see it as inevitable that we will be using nuclear propulsion to get to the moon and Mars. I doubt we'd ever see a manned mission to Mars that did not use nuclear propulsion.

  • Talk about hair brained ideas....
  • Ha, yeah, nuclear powered spacecraft can do the trip quick, like 30 days, but beating public indoctrination of anti-nuclear is probably impossible. An ion drive (with a fast nuclear fission engine) was actually in Popular Science like 20 years ago, with 30 days to Mars, I'm actually applying to fast fission and fusion nuclear jobs, so I've done a ton of research.

    • but beating public indoctrination of anti-nuclear is probably impossible
      A nuclear propulsed space ship has nothing to do with a Chernobyl or Fukushima like reactor. /FACEPALM

  • by Tough Love ( 215404 ) on Thursday June 05, 2025 @07:14AM (#65429064)

    Robotaxi is going live and taking over the world this very month, doncha know? Shortly after that, Starship launches for Mars. Honest.

  • and that it's not an abject failure, years behind the FIRST HLS milestone in the contract THEY WROTE.

    SpaceX can't get Starship into stable orbit, much less to the moon, without bits of it exploding randomly, so forget about getting it to Mars. We'd be better off chucking all of Starship funding back into the open pool and letting everyone, including universities, to design and build a functional heavy lift rocket. Preferably one that doesn't explode like it's the 1950's all over again.

    Let SpaceX fund
  • Elon is trying to rehabilitate his image. It's why he came out against Trump's horrific big beautiful bill. When that bill passes and crashes the economy Elon can say, see I told you so and act like he's hot shit.

    It'll probably work. He's got billions of dollars and the news media is on his side whether they want to be or not. Since they are owned by his billionaire buddies.

    What I'm curious about is right now slashdot has a unfavorable opinion of musk. So much so that the muskbots can't keep control
  • Could.
  • If I used my fictional Spaceship with lightspeed drives. That beats their fictional Starship.

  • So, one trip for one ship takes 16 launches?

    And the reason we don't toss that tosser, and put up a *real* space station, and shuttle real spaceships, that never land, but go from orbit to orbit, using at *least* nuclear-thermal propulsion?

  • Starships will refuel using propellant created in situ using local carbon dioxide and water ice

    What chemical reaction would extract energy from carbon dioxide and water ice? I guess they would need to first turn it into methanol or methane, but that requires an energy source. Are they going to install a nuclear reactor on Mars?

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