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Science

The Theory That Volcanoes Killed the Dinosaurs Is Officially Extinct (phys.org) 20

"Sixty-six million years ago, all dinosaurs (except for birds) were wiped from the face of the Earth..." writes Gizmodo. "What's indisputable about this pivotal moment in Earth's history is that a 6.2 to 9.3-mile-wide (10 to 15-kilometer) asteroid struck what is now modern-day Mexico. Around the same time, however, volcanoes in what is now India experienced some of the largest eruptions in Earth's history."

Those volcanos "have long been proposed as an alternative cause for the demise of the dinosaurs..." writes Phys.org. But "Now, climate scientists from Utrecht University and the University of Manchester show that while the volcanism caused a temporary cold period, the effects had already worn off thousands of years before the meteorite impacted." Earth scientists have fiercely debated for decades whether a massive outpouring of lava on the Indian continent, which occurred both prior to and after the meteorite impact, also contributed to the demise of dinosaur populations roaming Earth. These volcanic eruptions released vast amounts of CO2, dust, and sulfur, thereby significantly altering the climate on Earth — but in different ways and on different timescales to a meteorite impact. The new publication provides compelling evidence that while the volcanic eruptions in India had a clear impact on global climate, they likely had little to no effect on the mass extinction of the dinosaurs.

By analyzing fossil molecules in ancient peats from the United States of America, the scientific team reconstructed air temperatures for the time period covering both the volcanic eruptions and the meteorite impact. Using this method, the researchers show that a major volcanic eruption occurred about 30,000 years before the meteor impact, coinciding with at least a 5 degrees Celsius cooling of the climate... Importantly, the scientists discovered that by around 20,000 years before the meteorite impact, temperatures on Earth had already stabilized and had climbed back to similar temperatures before the volcanic eruptions started.

The study is published in the journal Science Advances. And Gizmodo shares this quote from Bart van Dongen of The University of Manchester, who worked on the research.

"The study provides vital insights not only into the past but could also help us find ways for how we might prepare for future climate changes or natural disasters."

The Theory That Volcanoes Killed the Dinosaurs Is Officially Extinct

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  • by Baron_Yam ( 643147 ) on Sunday December 22, 2024 @10:45AM (#65032559)

    A 5c drop in global temperatures would be very ecologically damaging. 30,000 years is not enough time for biodiversity to recover.

    I would expect that while those volcanoes didn't wipe out the dinos, they likely had some kind of significant effect on the outcome of the asteroid strike that followed.

    Hell, maybe it increased the survival rate by having pre-selected for animals and plants that were more cold and starvation tolerant. Maybe without those eruptions, the ancestors of today's birds wouldn't have made it.

    • Your nuanced take is more likely to be correct than their simplistic model.

      Also the idea that an astroid with that much kintic energy could slam into the crust and not set off all the volcanoes around the globe that would have erupted independently in the next decade due to structural instability just seems silly.

      "It's complicated" is far more often true than "single causal factor".

    • if everything above the 55th degree is wiped out, is that really a mass extinction? sounds like plenty of time to repopulate. e.g. at the end of the last ice age humans literally followed the ice sheet's withdrawal north.

      • Well, yes, that's a mass extinction. But it's not just one area getting wiped out, it's climate change for the entire globe. And it's not just climate change for the entire globe, but rapid onset climate change for the entire globe. Sure, 5c isn't like everything everywhere would have dropped dead, but there would have been significant habitat shifts and reductions in biodiversity as all the species that couldn't cope died out.

        Evolution (and species migrations) take time to fill empty niches with replace

  • by LordHighExecutioner ( 4245243 ) on Sunday December 22, 2024 @10:54AM (#65032567)
    ...xkcd quote [xkcd.com].
  • It was your asteroid.

    Happy holidays everyone =]

  • An earlier bunch of volcanoes caused previous mass extinctions.

    The asteroid caused the cretaceous extinction event. There was another extinction at the beginning of the Jurassic period, but the biggest one was between the Permian and the Triassic period. Continental drift led to really big volcanic events, and 90% or so of species disappeared.

    The current mass extinction (the 6th) is being caused by humans.

  • by RockDoctor ( 15477 ) on Sunday December 22, 2024 @11:42AM (#65032613) Journal
    I mean it's a perfectly respectable journal, and the work is perfectly relevant. For physics, you might have a body that declares a 5-sigma statistical deviation from "the norm" as meaning a new particle "officially exists, with these parameters". But in the historical sciences such as geology, that ain't so. The best you get is a consensus, arrived at over a thousand coffee tables in fifty thousand conversations between three thousand people interested in aspects of the question, delivered over a few years. THat's the formal version of "official" ; the normal version is looser.

    But the timescale is just trivial to the point of near irrelevance. The Deccan LIP (Large Igneous Province) - or "plateau basalts", or "Traps", to use two other names for the same set of rocks recording the same events - was running for around 2 million years before the Chicxulub impact, and maybe a million years after. Nobody is disputing that the Chicxulub impact was a bad day for life on Earth, but the question remains : would it have had the same level of effect if life hadn't been subjected to 60 times as long a period of sporadic significant volcanigenic climate changes before the impactor (we can discount the changes after the impact).

    Remember the "Great Dying"? Permian-Triassic or Palæozoic-Mesozoic boundary ; 4% survival at the genus level versus about 25% survival across the Mesozoic-Cænozoic boundary. Big event. Ascribed, at different times in my career to the Siberian "traps" (LIP, etc), to the Manicouagan (CA) impact (with possibly simultaneous Boltysh (UK) and Rochechouart (FR) impacts). and to (flavour of this last decade or two) an oceanic anoxic event. Or, all three occurring too close in time to be distinguished in the fossil record. BIG event. Well, the most recent dates (last few years ; I only noticed the date revisions a couple of weeks ago) put Manicouagan about 30 million years (~12% relative to today) after the "Great Dying", so probably not at all related, while Boltysh and Rochechouart are at different times even more recently (so the putative "3-crater chain" beautiful hypothesis is slain by the ugly fact of the dates, now we've got better dates), leaving the Siberian plateau basalts combined with the oceanic anoxic event as the remaining hypothesis on the table (since most people put the Traps as triggering the anoxic event after thrashing the climate up and down for for a million-odd years).

    Just to put that into context : the last climate event comparable to the one we're producing today took about 120,000 years (1/8th of a million years) for natural processes to restore the atmosphere to something like it's pre-CO2 injection state. So, assuming we stop pumping CO2 into the atmosphere tomorrow, we're probably on track for 1/8th of a Mesozoic-Cænozoic boundary extinction. Noticeable, but probably not era-defining. (Of course, if we don't stop pumping CO2 into the atmosphere tomorrow - very likely - then the total level of change goes up.)

    We (Earth ; it's residents) get hit by substantial impactors at relatively frequent, irregular intervals. Most of them don't trigger a major extinction (except for those species confined to the impact zone, who get an opportunity most planetary scientists would consider, briefly, before passing up). LIPs/ "trap eruptions", "plateau basalts" are pretty common too. And most of them only produce modest extinctions. But on those rarer occasions when you get an impactor land at random in the middle of a LIP sequence ... you can either get a little extinction or a big extinction (Mesozoic-Cænozoic boundary versus Palæozoic-Mesozoic boundary). For those wanting comforting predictions on predictable laws, your comfort is that it could randomly happen tomorrow. Or it might not. Sleep easy, and learn to knap hand axes yesterday not tomorrow.

    • Looks like I got "FRIST PROZIT!" too. And I spent plenty of time composing that one.

      Is America asleep?

      Oh, don't tell me - some news item of earth-shattering importance? Should I turn the radio on? Practice hand-axe knapping?

  • Gizmodo is now a reliable source?

    • Compared to CBS, NBC, ABC, PBS, FOX, CNN, The NY Times, etc, etc, yes it is.

      No, I'm not happy every news organization out there has perjured themselves for either ratings or ideological purity, but there you are.

  • Everyone knows they died after they got off the ark!

    Except for the pterodactyls. We've got pictures of them being hunted by civil war vets.

    Koalas on the other hand somehow managed to make it from Mount Sinai all the way to Australia without a single eucalyptus leaf.

    Oh and everything I just wrote is something somebody believes.
  • Plausibly a large meteor impact could send a shock wave through Earth's liquid core to affect some mantle on the other side. We already track earthquake seismic waves that take such a deep path.
    • Yes, however those pressure waves would only cause eruptions in places that were already on their way to erupting. I doubt we'd know if there was a commiserate drop in eruption frequency for a period afterwards. On these times scales all these things look the same age.

      Whats not in evidence I think is a reason to think that its even possible for volcanoes to cause that level of extinction. Some theories are stretching a lot more than other theories. We know its possible for a space rocks to do it.. its not

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