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Space

X-Rays From a Nuclear Explosion Could Redirect an Asteroid (space.com) 42

Scientists have proposed a method to deflect dangerous asteroids using nuclear explosions, not by directly blowing them up, but by detonating a bomb above the surface to create an X-ray burst that vaporizes part of the asteroid and changes its course. Experiments using the Z machine at Sandia National Laboratories simulated this process, showing that it could potentially redirect even large asteroids to prevent catastrophic impacts on Earth. Space.com reports: In a new study, the researchers employed the Z machine at Sandia National Laboratory, the most powerful laboratory source of radiation in the world. It generates powerful electric pulses, magnetic fields and X-rays to find out how materials react under high pressures and temperatures. "At present, there is only one way to generate an intense enough X-ray burst to do an experiment like this, and that's using the Z Machine," said [Nathan Moore, a physicist at Sandia National Laboratories in Albuquerque, N.M.]. The scientists used electrical pulses from the Z machine to generate powerful magnetic fields. These in turn compressed argon gas to generate plasma, the same form of matter that makes up lightning and stars. This argon plasma produced the X-ray burst the researchers needed to simulate a similar one from a nuclear explosion.

"You have to concentrate a lot of power, about 80 trillion watts, into a very small space, the size of a pencil lead, and very quickly, about 100 billionths of second, to generate a hot enough argon plasma, several millions of degrees, to make a powerful enough X-ray burst to heat the asteroid material surface to tens of thousands of degrees to give it enough push," Moore said. The scientists hung up a pair of targets in a vacuum, each 0.47 inches (12 millimeters) wide -- one made of quartz, the other of fused silica. These materials are similar in composition to known asteroids. Previous attempts to study various asteroid deflection strategies all held targets fixed in place, "which wasn't very realistic," Moore said. "After all, asteroids in outer space aren't attached to anything. Besides, how would a mock asteroid accelerate realistically if it was anchored down?"

To overcome this problem, the researchers devised what they called "X-ray scissors." They hung the targets up using thin metal foil just 13 microns thick, or about one-eighth the thickness of an average human hair. This foil vaporized when the X-rays hit it, freeing the targets to accelerate naturally in space. The X-ray pulses generated vapor plumes from each target and accelerated each one to about 155 mph (250 km/h), matching computational predictions. "The ability to deflect miniature asteroids in a laboratory using the Z Machine is unlike anything else you can do anywhere else on Earth," Moore said. Scaling these findings up to a 2.5-mile-wide (4 kilometer) asteroid, with a 1 megaton nuclear bomb exploding about 1.25 miles (2 km) from its surface, the researchers suggested the resulting push could help deflect dangerous asteroids away from Earth.

"For reference, a 4-km [2.5-mile] asteroid is predicted to be large enough to cause global devastation and possible disruption of civilization, according to the NASA Planetary Defense Strategy and Action Plan," Moore said. Moore noted that asteroids come in a variety of compositions. "This new technique can be used to investigate the deflection response of different asteroid materials," he said. "Understanding how different asteroid materials vaporize and deflect will be critical for preparing for a planetary defense mission, should the need arise."
The study has been published in the journal Nature Physics.
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X-Rays From a Nuclear Explosion Could Redirect an Asteroid

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  • by test321 ( 8891681 ) on Wednesday September 25, 2024 @03:01AM (#64815425)

    using thin metal foil just 13 microns thick, or about one-eighth the thickness of an average human hair.

    What they mean is they are using kitchen aluminium foil (11 m cheapest from supermarket, 33 m science grade).

  • I'm all for starting work on the wave-motion gun for Space Battleship Yamato but doesn't this presuppose the asteroid in question is solid?

    As I understand, most asteroids are more like rubble piles that a good shove will just break apart anyway, leaving you the same mass headed for earth, but now dozens of chunks instead of one.

    • leaving you the same mass headed for earth, but now dozens of chunks instead of one.

      If a nuke blows apart a rubble pile [wikipedia.org] weeks or months before impact, the debris will scatter across a cross-section far larger than the Earth. Most will miss.

      Even for the debris that hits the atmosphere, it is much better to arrive in smaller chunks.

      Chicxulub had a mass of a trillion tonnes. The ejecta from the crater was a hundred times that amount. If it had arrived broken up, so each fragment burned up before reaching the surface, the dust would've been 1% as much, and there would've been no tsunami.

      • Even for the debris that hits the atmosphere, it is much better to arrive in smaller chunks.

        Depends, really.
        Chicxulub split into discrete chunks would have caused obscene devastation.
        That energy has to go somewhere.
        If not into creating ejecta, then it goes into turning the atmosphere into a fireball- that must expand diabatically.
        There's a good chance it'll just end up putting the first few inches of topsoil across an entire side of the planet into the air.

        • Chicxulub split into discrete chunks would have caused obscene devastation.

          Yes, of course, but far less than what actually happened.

          That energy has to go somewhere.

          Yes, but it could've gone into superheating a small part of the atmosphere (where it would be mostly radiated into space) rather than ejecting 10,000 cubic kilometers of dust into the stratosphere.

          When supervolcanoes erupt, the heat is very localized and causes minimal damage. The dust causes the global consequences.

          • Yes, of course, but far less than what actually happened.

            Doubtful.
            Though I think it depends on what we consider devastation.
            Would there be a tsunami? Of course not.
            The atmosphere as a whole though would have absorbed *vastly* more kinetic energy, and the resulting thermal pulse would have been far worse.
            You talk about localization of damage- the best localization of the kinetic energy is for it to hit the ground.
            The debris that comes down, while hot, has expended by vast majority of its energy by the time it reenters.
            A huge amount of energy is spent just de

    • by Rei ( 128717 )

      Rubble piles have been extensively simulated as well.

      (A) Nukes still work great against them, including no-breakup scenarios (nukes can be used to either impart a small kick or impart enough kick that the rubble pile breaks up);

      (B) Contrary to popular myth, many small impactors are usually a much better scenario than a single giant one, and indeed, the vast majority of typical rubble pile particle sizes are too small to even make it through Earth's atmosphere at all; and

      (C) except with very late diversion e

      • by Rei ( 128717 )

        And honestly, a destroyed rubble pile entering Earth would be the most spectacular night sky you've ever seen ;) The orbit of individual particles that do reenter would be spread out into a long ellipse. Along that ellipse it would be like every shooting star that's happened during your lifetime times a hundred all happening at once across a streak of the sky. Parts of the rubble pile that aren't fully diverted and do enter as the size of boulders (at least 5 meters across) may still reach the ground, but

        • by Rei ( 128717 ) on Wednesday September 25, 2024 @08:49AM (#64815951) Homepage

          Forgot to include Earth Impact Effects calculations for Bennu hitting Earth whole (assumed 1500kg/m3, 45 degrees, 17km/s):

          Incident frequency: Once every 10k years.
          Starts breaking up at: 72,5km
          Reaches the surface at: 16,1 km/s
          9 times as much energy hits the ground as is lost to the atmosphere. Atmosphere experiences a 34 MT blast, while the ground experiences a 305 MT blast. Basically a good-sized fusion bomb.
          Impact spread out across 1,4km x 1km

          If hitting sedimentary rock:

          Transient crater ~5km wide by 1,7km deep
          Final crater ~6km wide by ~500m deep
          For comparison, Meteor Crater is ~1,2km wide by ~0,18km deep.
          From the thermal flash: Wood ignites at 40km distance. The body gets 3rd degrees at 50km distance. Grass and paper ignite at 60km distance. The body gets 2nd degree burns at 70km distance. Etc.
          An earthquake of scale 6,9 is caused
          Ejecta: at 25km, about 30cm with mean size 1,44m. At 40km, 7,3cm with mean size 41,5cm. At 70km, 1,4cm with mean size 9,4cm.
          Air blast: at 25km, 303 m/s (678 mph), 107dB, 218 kPa (31 psi), all but the most hardened concrete structures destroyed.. At 40km, 149 m/s (334 mph), 98dB, 83kPa, most multistory buildings still collapse. At 70km, 61 m/s (136 mph), 89 dB, 29 kPa, wood frame buildings and about 30% of trees blown down. At 100km, 34 m/s (77 mph), 84 dB, 15,6 kPa, glass shatters.

          If impacting the ocean (depth 1000m):

          Tsunami: At 25km, an 80-160m wave. At 40km, a 50-100m wave. At 70km, a 30-60m wave. At 150km, a 13,5-27m wave. At 300km, a 7-13,5m wave.

          By contrast, one of Bennu's larger boulders, say 10m solid dense rock on the same trajectory:

          * Probably airbursts at around 30km into small fragments. Fragments moving at 13km/s, so significant burnup of them. No meaningful flash. Air "blast" right underneath it is 1,23 m/s (2,75mph) and 54db. No crater and no tsunami.

          Let's go big and say there's a 25m boulder in there.

            * Airbursts into fragments at 17,7km. Fragments moving at 9,6km/s, so still some burnup. No meaningful flash. Airburst is 8,9m/s (20mph), 72db, and just barely powerful enough to shatter glass if you're right under it. No crater and no tsunami, though the breakup fragments may physically damage what they hit.

          Now which would you rather have hit Earth, the large fusion bomb, or a random shower of loose rocks? And again, this scenario assumes that the explosion doesn't divert the lion's share of the mass away from Earth.

          • Since the chance of the large fusion bomb being targeted at a ground target, or satellite target, is far higher than the chance of an asteroid strike, it's a moot point. Or haven't you noticed the current criminal, sexually abusive, and treasonous Republican candidate for the White House whose followers tried to extort the election count from his own vice president?

            • by Rei ( 128717 )

              Can you people please stop trying to turn every single topic, no matter how esoteric, into one of US politics?

      • (B) Contrary to popular myth, many small impactors are usually a much better scenario than a single giant one, and indeed, the vast majority of typical rubble pile particle sizes are too small to even make it through Earth's atmosphere at all; and

        Bullshit.
        A Chicxulub worth of kinetic energy deposited across the upper atmosphere of a large fraction of the side of the planet would be unbelievably lethal to everything unfortunate enough to see it.

        • Caveat: If the impactor is small enough to only really cause local damage on impact, i.e., its energy easily absorbed within the atmosphere- then breaking it apart is indeed ideal.
          This is the case for something like a 50m impactor. A 10km impactor? No. You must divert it, or the result is close to the same.
        • by Rei ( 128717 )

          Nobody is talking about Chicxulub. We have no ability to do anything about Chicxulub impators. And they'd be devastating regardless of what percentage of the energy goes where. Chicxulub was so massive that the returning impact plume rained down fire across the Earth for three days - indeed, the most devastated place outside the immediate impact site was the opposite side of the planet, and the megatsunamis that ringed around the planet did nothing to put out the almost universal widefires across the sur

          • We have every ability.
            Diversion is easy with significant warning.
            The math has been checked and double checked. It's via simple momentum transfer.
          • Further, I'd argue it's far from clear that absorption by the atmosphere is really any better than impact, even for smaller impactors.
            Compare meteor crater with Tunguska, for example.
            Will there be less dust fired into the air? Sure. But it's not like Tunguska didn't also destroy everything within a >2000km^2 area.
            Bennu has at least one boulder within the range of Tunguska size. If it were to come in over London, the death toll would be in the millions, without ever touching the Earth.

            Even smaller on
  • I'm pretty sure we need a large meteorite impact or two now

  • by fahrbot-bot ( 874524 ) on Wednesday September 25, 2024 @01:49PM (#64816769)

    ... deflect dangerous asteroids using nuclear explosions, not by directly blowing them up, but by detonating a bomb above the surface to create an X-ray burst that vaporizes part of the asteroid and changes its course.

    Unless the core of asteroid is composed of naquadah, then they'll have to use a hyperspace window through the Earth to get it past the fail safe [fandom.com] line

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