Warm January Weather Breaks Records Across Europe (theguardian.com) 75
Weather records have been falling across Europe at a disconcerting rate in the last few days, say meteorologists. From a report: The warmest January day ever was recorded in at least eight European countries including Poland, Denmark, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, Belarus, Lithuania and Latvia, according to data collated by Maximiliano Herrera, a climatologist who tracks extreme temperatures. In Korbielow, Poland, the mercury hit 19C (66F) -- a temperature the Silesian village is more used to in May, and 18C above the 1C annual average for January. In Javornik in the Czech Republic it was 19.6C, compared with an average of 3C for this time of year.
Temperatures in Vysokaje, Belarus, would normally hover around zero at this time of year. On Sunday they reached 16.4C, beating the country's previous record January high by 4.5C. Elsewhere on the continent, local records were broken at thousands of individual measuring stations, with nearly 950 toppled in Germany alone from 31 December to 2 January, Herrera said. Northern Spain and the south of France basked in beach weather, with 24.9C in Bilbao, its hottest ever January day, and records broken at stations in Cantabria, Asturias and the Basque region. Only Norway, Britain, Ireland, Italy and the south-east Mediterranean posted no records.
Temperatures in Vysokaje, Belarus, would normally hover around zero at this time of year. On Sunday they reached 16.4C, beating the country's previous record January high by 4.5C. Elsewhere on the continent, local records were broken at thousands of individual measuring stations, with nearly 950 toppled in Germany alone from 31 December to 2 January, Herrera said. Northern Spain and the south of France basked in beach weather, with 24.9C in Bilbao, its hottest ever January day, and records broken at stations in Cantabria, Asturias and the Basque region. Only Norway, Britain, Ireland, Italy and the south-east Mediterranean posted no records.
Good (Score:5, Insightful)
Anything that derails Putin's plans to weaponise energy and resources is good. I'll take global warming in 2023 if that makes Russia fail at bullying Europe.
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Insane increases in energy bills (Score:5, Interesting)
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This! We got quite lucky in Europe. The Dutch TTF gas futures (the main trading index for gas in Europe) is now just below the pre-war price thanks to the mild weather. https://www.theice.com/product... [theice.com]
This doesn't mean the crisis is over by any means. Europe relies a lot on gas storage for winter and there's going to be an uphill battle to refill the storage come March without the pipelines operating, but at least right now, this winter, what Putin was trying to do has not gone his way.
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Global warming can bully Europe way beyond what Putin could ever dream of.
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Be prepared to watch Mr. Putin threaten the West with NUCLEAR ARMAGEDDON... again. *YAWN*
Russia is not a superpower, they are a regional joke that claims to have fake superweapons (e.g. NUCLEAR TORPEDO) and shoots at people who can't s
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Well, I'm safe from that since I can't read Japanese.
Re: Good (Score:2)
The warm weather is a double edged sword. It means a prolonged mud season in Ukraine limiting the potential for Ukraine to take advantage of Russia's current weaknesses and keep on the offensive. It allows Russia to make the most of their mobilization efforts which is not good.
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Re: And not a single story about the deaths in US (Score:1)
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Lula da Silva will fix the stupidity that Jair Bolsonaro (the "Tropical Trump") did here
It's going to be an uphill road to reforest the amazon.
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The last time I checked (might be out of date) Lula was in favour of Ukraine surrendering and strengthening Brazil's strategic cooperation with the Kremlin.
For the people in Brazil that may be a good thing because Bolsonaro has been way worse, I really can't say because the effects geo-politics are a bit more complex than black and white where one's villain can be another one's hero (and vice versa). But for people in Eastern Europe, that's not a good thing, because fr
Re: And not a single story about the deaths in US (Score:1)
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Surprise: Putin isn't what you think
Putin is exactly what we think. He is a dictator who wants to expand his borders to natural chokepoints, necessitating the annexation of Ukraine, Moldova, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and parts of Romania. People who think it is is resurgent nationalism, a wounded sense of pride, longing for past greatness, etc. completely miss the point. Putin knows climate change will cause massive political and social upheaval, and associated mass migrations, and he wants to secure Russia's borders by conquering o
Re: And not a single story about the deaths in US (Score:1)
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The Soviet Union put a lot of effort into propaganda for the 3rd World to convince them that all evil only comes from the 1st World and that the Soviet Union are the good guys and justified in everything because the West is so much more worse and therefore hypocritical in any criticism.
A
Re: And not a single story about the deaths in US (Score:1)
Who is it? https://multipolarista.com/202... [multipolarista.com]
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Re: And not a single story about the deaths in US (Score:2)
At a certain point, weather is suggestive (Score:5, Interesting)
Weather is not climate, but at a certain point, enough extreme weather events should be a serious wakeup call that climate change is likely happening now already. At this point, we can't avoid at least some climate change with some damage, but we can still mitigate it. So what can you as an individual do to help?
There are three main ways you can help, personal, political and charitable.
In terms of personal things, you can drive less, eat less meat, insulate your house more, and turn down the temperature in the winter and use less air conditioning during hot periods. If you do need to buy a new car, buy a hybrid or even better an electric car. No car is even better, but for a lot of people that just isn't an option. All of these not only help reduce CO2 and methane production, they save you money.
In terms of politics, you can vote for parties and candidates who help with climate issues, both in terms of policies which make less CO2 and also in terms of policies which will mitigate damage from climate change. Right now, in the US that means voting for Democrats. The Democrats haven't been perfect on these issues. Some have been anti-nuclear which is obviously bad, and some have been very in favor of the sort of damaging restrictive housing policies which force people to spread out and live in suburbs. But overall, they are much better than the other options for this. Individual candidates may vary, but the Republicans have largely kicked out all the people like Christie Todd Whitman and Arnold Schwarzenegger who cared about climate change. Outside the US, things can be a bit more complicated, a lot of the Green parties in Europe have taken strong anti-nuclear stances which is directly bad for helping deal with climate change, so voting for them is at best counterproductive. It will depend a lot on where you live.
The third category is charitable giving. Here are three good examples. Everybody Solar https://www.everybodysolar.org/ [everybodysolar.org] [everybodysolar.org] get solar panels for non-profits like homeless shelters and science museums. The Solar Electric Light Fund https://www.self.org/ [self.org] gets solar panels for developing countries in locations they don't have electric power. This helps provide resources for severely impoverished people. It also helps make sure that as those countries transition into modernization they don't need to go through the same high fossil fuel use that the rest of the world did. For wind power, the New England Wind Fund https://www.greenenergyconsumers.org/newenglandwindfund [greenenergyconsumers.org] is a good option. New England has a lot of wind, but currently has little wind power, so this is an efficient use and more wind power isn't going to stress the grid. I'd like to be able to recommend a nuclear charity, but there doesn't really seem to be any good option there. But more wind and solar is still a good thing. Every little bit helps.
Re:At a certain point, weather is suggestive (Score:4, Interesting)
In terms of personal things, you can drive less, eat less meat, insulate your house more, and turn down the temperature in the winter and use less air conditioning during hot periods.
I'm not saying don't do those things, but it's a fart in a windstorm compared to industrial emissions (even when alternatives exist) and to ever-accelerating "natural" (in fact AGW-exacerbated) methane emissions.
In terms of personal things, go forth and guerilla garden bamboo in any empty spaces that will support it. Its CO2-fixing potential makes trees look pathetic. Yeah, it's an invasive bitch, but that's why it can help. Trees aren't invasive enough. Just don't put it where it's going to cause problems soon. And oh yeah, don't have any goddamn kids, especially in most highly developed nations where their CO2 impact is massive.
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Re:At a certain point, weather is suggestive (Score:5, Interesting)
Growing bamboo is pointless unless you also have a plan to sequester it.
Not at all true. For some reason people like to pretend that when the part of a plant you can see falls over and dies that all of its carbon is released back into the atmosphere, but that is a nonsense idea that ignores biology and physics. It would be better if you had a plan for actually making use of the bamboo, making room for successions.
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Growing bamboo is pointless unless you also have a plan to sequester it.
Not at all true. For some reason people like to pretend that when the part of a plant you can see falls over and dies that all of its carbon is released back into the atmosphere, but that is a nonsense idea that ignores biology and physics. It would be better if you had a plan for actually making use of the bamboo, making room for successions.
What is the physics that says that plants don't give back their carbon? Where does it go?
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What is the physics that says that plants don't give back their carbon? Where does it go?
The carbon that doesn't get released into the atmosphere goes into the soil. Anaerobic decomposition does result in a lot of carbon release, but aerobic decomposition does not. Remember that a significant percentage of the mass is also subsoil, so even in a fire not all of the carbon is being released (and biochar is highly stable, so the percentage that doesn't actually burn has a chance to be sequestered.) Soil is 2-90% organic mass (usually under 10% though) and that's mostly carbon [wa.gov.au].
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Any individual category is a small chunk of total emissions. And of course you personally quitting driving won't change anything either.
But overall road transportation, of which passenger travel is the majority, is as good place to start as any.
https://ourworldindata.org/emi... [ourworldindata.org]
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overall road transportation, of which passenger travel is the majority, is as good place to start as any.
Yes, but we're dicking around with EVs instead of going all-in on trains, which would do a dramatically better job of reducing emissions and increasing efficiency.
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Don't look at me, I'm all for trains! Or at least making everyone else take the train :)
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I'm not saying don't do those things, but it's a fart in a windstorm compared to industrial emissions
It is nothing of the sort. Firstly industrial emissions make up less than 1/4 of total emissions.
Secondly personal direct emissions make up well over 10%.
Thirdly a lot of the other direct emissions are personal emissions in disguise: E.g. Electric power is split out by itself in most graphs, half of that chunk is residential electric demand. Transportation cost is split out by itself and 1/4 of that personal mobility (you and I driving).
And finally most of the remainder of the emissions are indirectly perso
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When someone never addresses the argument and keeps saying the same thing, that tells you everything.
Re:At a certain point, weather is suggestive (Score:4)
In terms of politics, you can vote for parties and candidates who help with climate issues...
The Party doesn't allow those kind of people on the ballot, and the average American doesn't vote for anyone other than their designated "Team Red" or "Team Blue" cheerleader.
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Right now, in the US that means voting for Democrats (me: for climate change). The Democrats haven't been perfect on these issues.
You are 100% correct, but in the US there is only one way to get people off of fossil fuels, higher prices. Nuclear would have been a good bridge, but NIMBY will stop any new construction. Again France has shown the world how to plan for energy needs.
But, the Dems had a perfect chance to get the conversation going without doing anything. Instead of letting gas prices rise in the US, they released the reserves to get the prices down. So, if your job is imperiled, you do whatever you can to keep it, even
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er, no, sorry. there is no party or candidate that helps with climate issues, it's all just fads and demagogy. you directly mention us democrats and they have amply demonstrated already to what extent they are just bluffing. does the name "al gore" ring any bell?
The US just passed the IRA which included massive amounts of climate related assistance. See discussion here https://www.wri.org/update/brief-summary-climate-and-energy-provisions-inflation-reduction-act-2022 [wri.org]. That was only possible because there was a Democratic president and congress.
climate change is basically an "industrial" problem and industrial elites simply won't allow any political entity, present or future, to screw up their profits in some meaningful way. they will dictate the level and speed of transformation, not politicians.
Industrial issues are a problem certainly. But some of them get are getting handled naturally simply because wind and solar are becoming so cheap that they are beating fossil fuels in the regular market. And in fact, if the
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The US just passed the IRA which included massive amounts of climate related assistance.
thanks, that was an interesting read (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation_Reduction_Act_of_2022#Energy_and_climate_change).
however, color me skeptical. first, it will have to be seen if all those billions in tax credits and subsidies actually have a significant impact, let alone in the intended sense. according to wikipedia, "several independent analyses" project the law to "reduce 2030 U.S. greenhouse gas emissions to 40% below 2005 levels". however, there is no source whatsoever to any of those "inde
Protestants, the Spanish Armada and 1688 (Score:3)
English Protestants point to the weather's role in the defeat of the Spanish Armada in 1588 and it role in getting William of Orange across to England in 1688 to remove Catholic James II as evidence of God's view of the political Catholicism of the day. At what point can we draw similar conclusions about God and that nice Mr Putin?
Re:Protestants, the Spanish Armada and 1688 (Score:4, Funny)
So you're saying the 2 million guilder loan Francisco Lopes Suasso [wikipedia.org] gave to William was an act of god?
God uses evil for good (Score:2)
As Joseph proclaims over the way his brothers selling him into slavery in Egypt worked out (Genesis 50)
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William of Orange almost certainly would have said so.
say meteorologists (Score:1)
> Weather records have been falling across Europe at a disconcerting rate in the last few days, say meteorologists
Those meteorologists were living under the rock for last ten years. We would be luck to have snow in January in Lithuania.
As much as I love the climate change stuff, (Score:2)