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Space Science

Mysterious Object Glimpsed Decades Ago Might Have Actually Been Planet Nine (sciencealert.com) 101

It's one of the most intriguing questions about the Solar System from the last five years: Is there a large planet, lurking out in the cold dark reaches, on an orbit so wide it could take 20,000 years to complete? The answer has proven elusive, but a new study reveals what could be traces of the mysterious hypothetical object's existence. From a report: Astronomer Michael Rowan-Robinson of Imperial College London in the UK conducted an analysis of data collected by the Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS) in 1983, and found a trio of point sources that just might be Planet Nine. This, Rowan-Robinson concludes in his preprint paper, is actually fairly unlikely to be a real detection, but the possibility does mean that it could be used to model where the planet might be now in order to conduct a more targeted search, in the quest to confirm or rule out its existence. "Given the poor quality of the IRAS detections, at the very limit of the survey, and in a very difficult part of the sky for far infrared detections, the probability of the candidate being real is not overwhelming," he wrote.

"However, given the great interest of the Planet 9 hypothesis, it would be worthwhile to check whether an object with the proposed parameters and in the region of sky proposed, is inconsistent with the planetary ephemerides." Speculation about the existence of a hidden planet in the outer reaches of the Solar System has swirled for decades, but it reached a new pitch in 2016 with the publication of a paper proposing new evidence. Astronomers Mike Brown and Konstantin Batygin of Caltech found that small objects in the outer Solar System's Kuiper Belt were orbiting oddly, as though pushed into a pattern under the gravitational influence of something large.

But finding the dratted thing is a lot more complicated than it might sound. If it is out there, it could be five to 10 times the mass of Earth, orbiting at a distance somewhere between 400 and 800 astronomical units (an astronomical unit is the average distance between Earth and the Sun; Pluto, for context, is around 40 astronomical units from the Sun). This object is very far away, and quite small and cold and probably not reflecting much sunlight at all; and, moreover, we don't know exactly where in the very large sky it is. So the jury is out on whether it is real or not, and the topic is one of pretty intense and interesting debate. IRAS operated for 10 months from January 1983, taking a far-infrared survey of 96 percent of the sky. In this wavelength, small, cool objects like Planet Nine might be detectable, so Rowan-Robinson decided to re-analyze the data using parameters consistent with Planet Nine.

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Mysterious Object Glimpsed Decades Ago Might Have Actually Been Planet Nine

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  • by Anonymous Coward
    Real soon now!
  • Or maybe (Score:2, Insightful)

    it may have been that thing called "Pluto" that was the ninth planet for decades until fairly recently.

    • Re:Or maybe (Score:4, Informative)

      by UnknowingFool ( 672806 ) on Tuesday November 16, 2021 @11:28AM (#61993409)
      It is unlikely that astronomers who know where Pluto is would have not already ruled out Pluto as being the source. The readings suggest that the object has a large mass; Pluto does not have a large mass.
      • Unlikely? Seriously? Unlikely implies there is a chance it is, but actually there is zero chance that it is Pluto. There is zero probability that any astronomer would mistake Pluto for anything. These are objects thousands of times fainter than Pluto. If they are going to mistake it for something it would be one of the thousands of Kuiper Belt Objects. Everyone knows where Pluto is and it is extremely bright on any serious observatory telescope.

        • Generally in science, there is always room for correction later and there is always a chance for new evidence to overturn existing conclusions. In this case, the chance is very close to zero but there is a chance (aka. Dumb and Dumber: "So you're telling me there's a chance")
          • Yes I am aware of that, but in this case it is in the realm ridiculous. If you want to include ridiculous doubts you wouldnâ(TM)t be able to state anything without qualifiers. I mean would you say the moon is unlikely to be made of cheese? Yes it is possible the moon is made of cheese, but then not only would all the conspiracies would have to be true (which alone could be arguably in the realm plausible) but also all logic would be suspended too about possible origins of cheese. Mindlessly using the w

            • We don't know for sure that aliens did not create a wormhole and moved Pluto into the position for the reading then moved it back. I'm not saying it was aliens. But it was aliens. Also "unlikely: not likely to happen, be done, or be true; improbable." So you are complaining I am using the word exactly as it is defined?
  • Comet? (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Comboman ( 895500 )

    Objects circling the sun with highly eccentric, long orbital periods that take them very far away for most of their orbit are usually called comets.

    • Re: Comet? (Score:4, Interesting)

      by IdanceNmyCar ( 7335658 ) on Tuesday November 16, 2021 @11:55AM (#61993515)

      Note how you say usually. That's the problem. The actual 9th planet is unusual in a sense of mass, it's close to the point we can call it an asteroid, debris left from something which still orbits our sun. The mass of this object makes it clear the rules we set last time though. As it turns out, naming things isn't trivial. The more interesting fact would be does this thing exist at all and did we really pinpoint it. If so, it's likely significantly bigger than Pluto

    • by Ungrounded Lightning ( 62228 ) on Tuesday November 16, 2021 @12:30PM (#61993631) Journal

      If it's a frosty dust bunny, sure. If it's a ball of rock several times the mass of the earth, not so much.

      According to the 2006 definition, a planet is something that meets three criteria:

      1. It must orbit a star (in our cosmic neighborhood, the Sun).
      2. It must be big enough to have enough gravity to force it into a spherical shape.
      3. It must be big enough that its gravity cleared away any other objects of a similar size near its orbit around the Sun.

      So unless it's orbiting something bigger rather than the sun (in which case it gets to be a "moon") or in some mutual orbit or resonance system with another of its kind or other space junk and the two-or-more of them orbit the sun together, it looks like "planet" would be the correct term.

      • 2. It must be big enough to have enough gravity to force it into a spherical shape.

        How close to spherical? Does it have to be a perfect sphere? Ellipsoid?

        I hope it can be agreed upon on /. that the Earth is not perfectly spherical...

        • Crisp definitions don't actually exist in the real world (i.e. outside mathematics). Orbits aren't really elliptical either, since Planet 9 is also attracted to Jupiter and the Earth and so on. The ellipse is just a mathematical model which things in the real world may resemble to a greater or lesser degree.
          • But why can't they have a crisp definition? Sounds like crisp definitions could not be agreed on. Why not say "must orbit a star, must be 90% spherical, and have a diameter no less than 500 meters" or some such B.S. "Smoother than my left nut" can be substituted for "must be 90% spherical"

            Bazillionaire toker Musk might not like his "trip" planners (multi-level pun not intended, in your head use a Hillbilly Jethro voice) telling him "Well, we turn this here rocket on for a little bit, and when we get cl
      • 3. It must be big enough that its gravity cleared away any other objects of a similar size near its orbit around the Sun.

        Never bothered to check - did they ever define "near its orbit" in a way other than "I'll know it when I see it"?

    • long orbital periods that take them very far away for most of their orbit are usually called comets.
      Not really. A comet is an icy object that comes close enough to the sun to melt, gas out an atmosphere and have it ionized by the solar wind and make it glow.

      If it was a rock, it would not glow, and would not be a comet.

  • Planet 10 (Score:1, Insightful)

    by Crashmarik ( 635988 )

    Pluto is planet 9

    • by schwit1 ( 797399 )

      YES! Pluto was grandfathered in after the definition was changed.

    • "Where are we going?" -"Planet 10!" "When?" -"Real soon!"
    • No, Pluto is planet 10. Ceres is planet 5.
      • by spth ( 5126797 )

        How about Sedna?

        We don't know her weight yet, but its probably similar to Ceres.

        • Planet, 2006 definition:

          1. It must orbit a star (in our cosmic neighborhood, the Sun).
          2. It must be big enough to have enough gravity to force it into a spherical shape.
          3. It must be big enough that its gravity cleared away any other objects of a similar size near its orbit around the Sun.

          Are Ceres and/or Sedna big enough that they squished themselves into essentially spheres despite the strength of their material? Did they clear out orbital gaps for themselves in the asteroid belt? If so, they qualify.

          • Pluto used to be considered a planet. At one time, Ceres was also considered to be one. Return them to status just for old time sake.
            • What's wrong with having a consistent definition for a planet and call these other objects dwarf planets or whatever?

              P.S. I mostly blame Charon for Pluto's demotion.

  • Too bad it's not Planet X. My understanding is that we're running low on Illudium Phosdex, the shaving cream atom.

  • ...many machines... , new machines, better than the ones on Richese

    • I didn't get the reference at first - but now I see that planet IX or "Planet 9" from that brilliant scifi movie that everyone's talking about right now.. "Planet 9 from outer space" Thank you ;)
  • They keep saying planet nine in outer space when it should probably be Plan 9 from Outer Space [imdb.com].
  • The conference was over, 90% of the astronomers had left, when the remaining 10% decided Pluto was a dwarf planet, not a real planet. I have heard, over and over, including from a friend who's a well-known astronomer, that almost no real astronomers consider Pluto anything but planet 9.

    • Most of the Astronomers that left weren't concerned with Solar System objects. Say, I'm studying dark matter, what difference is Pluto being a planet or not to me? Let the ones who study that determine the rational. If Pluto remained a planet, than Eris, Haumea and Makemake would have to be ones, too.
  • This little spacecraft from ~40 years ago, with a mission life of under a year, just keeps on giving.

  • They already know where planet 9 is, they just don't want to publish the location in case the Russians blow it up.
  • What if it's more massive than they though, and even further out? Something terrifying like a black hole orbiting our solar system, waiting to nom us up.

    • If it's orbit is stable, wouldn't it take something pretty massive falling into it (or absorbing it) to start nomming the solar system? I mean, it could make for some interesting theoretical hard sci-fi, but I'm not too concerned even if it is a black hole that I or any children's children down the line from my family would have to worry about it for a long time to come.

      • by Tyr07 ( 8900565 )

        Well, realistically if it was ever going to happen I'm sure it's like, millions or billions of years out depending on it's orbit if it's stable or not and so on. Black holes are just cool and terrifying things either way in my opinion. I didn't mean to imply it's like some sort of immediate danger.

        Just waiting for the day when we figure out how to leave our solar system and someone is like oh shit oh shit oh shit as they left at the wrong orbital period.

    • Something terrifying like a black hole orbiting our solar system, waiting to nom us up.

      I don't get the "terrifying" bit, because if it were orbiting the Sun, in the outer part of the Solar system, then it has been there for about 4.5 billion years and, pending something changing the gravity field of the Solar system, it isn't going anywhere but on the orbit that it has been on for 4.5 billion years.

      Beside, if there were a black hole in the Kuiper belt, then we'd see X-rays from the solar wind interacting w

      • by Tyr07 ( 8900565 )

        I just think black holes are as much neat and interesting, also terrifying conceptually given the forces they exert. I wasn't trying to imply some sort of immediate danger. You know, just something ominous lurking in the not too far unknown.

        Which (now this is the complicated bit) we don't.

        Not sure if you're just trying to be a smartass there or something. If you could just step away from that, that'd be great. I'm sure you could be right, as it would have to be quite close to really only affect the outer regions of our solar system which would make it clo

        • or if spin would affect the direction the x-rays flowed if we could detect them or what not.

          Hmmm.

          Now that is a question. Would the frame-dragging of a rotating black hole impose a directionality on the emissions from an accretion disc?

          I can't think of a process in a sheared spacetime (rotationally sheared, laterally sheared, or something more exotic) that would influence the direction of emission of thermal photons. OR Hawking photons. The sheared spacetime itself may well "beam" the radiation out along t

          • by Tyr07 ( 8900565 )

            TL;DR I asked a question, I didn't make a statement, hence it cannot be wrong. Sit down, you're getting ahead of yourself, and spell check before being an asshole, the internet is well known to call that out when someone is being a prick.

            Sorry, I come from a generation where if people made mistakes they were called out on it. Also, it was possible to fail an exam. I do realise that "prizes for everyone, and nobody loses" is the current childcare paradigm, but that doesn't make me think it's right and certainly doesn't encourage me to follow it.

            Okay, I made an innocent suggestion, you decided you wanted to be condescending about it. Instead of letting it go, you decided to double down on it.
            First off, if you're going to be critical and condescending to people, spell check your work. You spelled realize wrong. You

  • it could be five to 10 times the mass of Earth...very far away, and quite small and cold and probably not reflecting much sunlight at all

    So, it's made of some sort of exotic matter? I'm assuming "quite small" means smaller than Earth. But if it's 5-10x more in mass, it's made from what? Earth is 5.514 g/cm^3 which is less than the density of iron, (7.874 g/cm^3), which makes sense since it's not 100% iron. But if you 5x or 10x that number, you're looking at an average density that's way off the viable section of periodic chart of elements.

    Did we finally find unobtanium?

    • You're misunderstanding the descriptor "quite small".

      Jupiter has roughly 11X the diameter of Earth, ~88K km vs 8K km. If we cube that ratio to compare volumes, we could fit about 1,300 Earth-sized objects into one Jupiter-sized object.

      Even if Earth were 10X its current volume, it would still be tremendously smaller than Jupiter. So something could be significantly larger than Earth and still be small, in the grand scheme of things.

      There are three things that affect the visibility of objects in the solar sys

      • by Reeses ( 5069 )

        Well, what's the baseline for "quite small", "small", and "normal"?

        I was operating under the assumption that they were going at it from an Earth-centric view, with Earth being "normal" sized. But I just did the math, and Neptune is "Average sized" in our Solar System, with a radius nearly 5X that of Earth.

        It's still kinda confusing.

        • Well, what's the baseline for "quite small", "small", and "normal"?

          Since I'm not interested enough to read either article, did you get the "quite small", "small" or "normal" from the Arxiv paper, or the ScienceAlert journalism?

          Hint : don't expect precision from journalism. Read the paper.

          (Kudos to msmash though, for linking to the paper.)

        • But I just did the math, and Neptune is "Average sized" in our Solar System, with a radius nearly 5X that of Earth.

          Check your sources.

          Neptune is a bit less than 4 time the diameter (or radius) of Earth, so about 64 time it's radius (elementary geometry), 17 time it's mass, and about 1/3 of it's density.

          You can't actually easily compare mass, geometry and density, except in the smallest of bodies (smaller than Ceres, or so). Once you get more than a couple of thousand km below the surface (be it a "rocky"

    • Volume and mass have a fun ratio, assuming I’ve not screwed all this math up, a rocky planet with similar composition to earth 10x the mass of the earth would only have a circumference just over twice that of earth, (allowing for rounding to simplify the math). The easiest visual reference I could make up is if earth were the circumference of a pingpong ball, this missing planet, at 10x mass, would be slightly larger circumference than a baseball.

      For reference, the earth’s circumference is r
      • by Reeses ( 5069 )

        So, is 2x the size of Earth "quite small"? I would have figured "quite small" would be Pluto. Or Mercury.

      • a rocky planet with similar composition to earth 10x the mass of the earth would only have a circumference just over twice that of earth,

        The first binary digit is right, but I doubt the second.

        You've neglected gravitational compression, as I've just described in a reply to Reeses' GP message.

        A 10 Earth-mass planet would have a diameter considerably less than twice that of Earth, even if it was made of the same materials in the same proportions. But add (say) 2% by mass of water and you'd possibly balloon

        • Good point. I readily admit the math I used had a lot of rounding for simplification because I was searching for the relevant data on my phone very quickly due to low battery, and had to make allowances for my ability to keep the units straight and deal with such large numbers. (At one point I was trying to convert a volume of ten trillion cubic kilometers to circumference in kilometers, because its been decades since I used this math, and could not think of a better path to the info I wanted.)
          I never eve
          • I never even considered gravitational compression.

            It's important. Sometimes even at the first binary digit.

            I was searching for the relevant data on my phone very quickly due to low battery,

            I do my Slashdottery on a plugged in laptop. If you're going to try to consider "sciency" things, and "stuff that matters", you really need to check your own working.

            If I find myself using a bit of astronomical data often enough to think "I looked that up a few weeks ago", I tend to shove it - and possibly a ready-reckon

            • I would much rather have done a more accurate job, I got caught up in the ‘well that needs a reply’ mode while browsing waiting in a Doctors office. I appreciate your clarifications on the subject! I readily admit I am not even remotely an expert in the subject, but knew enough to remember mass and volume are easily confused by many, and new I could google my way to an approximate answer. Glad i was at least in the rough neighborhood honestly, and that there still people on /. With the expertise
              • but knew enough to remember mass and volume are easily confused by many

                Oh, absolutely. A cubic metre is a cubic metre, but it doesn't always contain a tonne of water.

                It's been a while since someone has told me, here, that water is incompressible after I have told them that it is. Invariably, they're talking about the low pressure (300 atmospheres, that sort of thing - down where my consumer grade diving bottles get tested) systems that they are familiar with, and I am talking about medium pressure systems

                • That reminds me of the day I learned that the old “A Pint is a Pound the World round” is in fact, quite wrong. I had been taught that rhyme, and that a gallon of water was 8 pounds in school, and heard it repeated by people my entire life, until a friend of mine started working in oil drilling, where mixing of drilling mud requires the more accurate weight of a gallon of water (8.34 pounds) be used. Everyone at the party argued with him that he was wrong and a gallon was 8 pounds until he broug
                  • until a friend of mine started working in oil drilling, where mixing of drilling mud requires the more accurate weight of a gallon of water (8.34 pounds) be used.

                    Your friend was working with seawater. That is - in "oilfield units" - 8.34 ppg. But fresh water - such as you need to use for pre-hydrating your bentonite at several hundred pounds per barrel concentration - is 8.0 ppg.

                    I did a job once for a French company, working on a field originally drilled by Americans and Brits, with an American "company ma

                    • hat is for along-hole depths and true-vertical depths below drill floor and true vertical depths below sea level (the reference datum

                      I found a lovely bug in our depth-managing software when I worked on a job on the shores of the Caspian Sea. Can you guess what it was?

    • Plenty of asteroids are considered pretty massive/solid in the sense that they perhaps mostly contain one element only: carbon, iron, gold, iridium etc.

      • Is that true?

        Please cite your sources - from science papers, not meaningless journalism.

        For example, the popular (for asteroid-mining fans) "metal asteroid" 16 Psyche has a density of about 3800 - 4000 kg/cu.m meaning that it can only be "pure" metal if it is made of aluminium. If it is a mixture of iron and nickel - like the metallic meteorites we sample from the asteroid belt by hitting them - then it is about 50% by volume metal and 50% olivine (or other iron-rich silicate minerals), which would make i

        • C'mon Angelo - you've got a brain quite capable of handling reality. Why are you making such unrealistic claims?
          Because that is what I learned in school and university.

          No idea if it is unrealistic ... you tell me?

          • I just gave you some evidence to look at.

            Our best evidence for the composition of asteroids is meteorite falls (which we've add spectroscopy to in the last few decades) and the composition of (say) pallasite meteorites (olivine-iron meteorites, named for their original classifier, a Russian by name of Pallas in the late 17th/ early 18th century. Put almost any of the technical terms in this reply into Wiki, and you'll get more references than you'd want to read.

            This stuff was in the text books on astronom

            • I don't get your point.

              You are referring now to meteorites which are nearly 100% iron.

              So?

              This stuff was in the text books on astronomy and geology that I read in the 1970s.
              Exactly. Probably the same books I read.

              So: what is your damn point?

              • You were claiming that asteroids exist which are composed of a single element.

                I pointed out that the closest approach to that - so called "iron" meterorites - are at absolute best composed of two elements - iron and nickel in approximately equal quantities (but in several phases - remember the Widmansatten pattern [wikipedia.org] - that's the two phases interdigitated). Far more meteorites are "stony irons" (Pallasites etc) which add elements silicon, oxygen and magnesium to the iron and nickel for FIVE elements. And mete

                • You were claiming that asteroids exist which are composed of a single element.
                  Correct.

                  And no idea what your objections is. Unless you want to point out that most of them have an aggregation of "other elements" on top of them, like simple rock.

                  My damned point is that you made a claim, and I refuted it, with evidence. Got it now?
                  I got your point now. But: you did not refute my point. You simply started a completely pointless nitpicking discussion.

                  And meteorites (and their asteroid progenetors) with more compl

                  • Like the dinosaur killer which was basically pure iridium.

                    Who the hell (apart from you) is claiming that?

                    People have made claims that their calculations of the iridium mass-balance budget for the "KT-clay" layer suggests a more asteroidal (Bulk Silicate Chondrite) than cometary ("dirty snowball, with some grit) impactor, but even at that level they're talking about an average meteorite (chondrite - a dozen major elements and a few dozen more minor elements) versus an approximately average meteorite, with a

                    • Who the hell (apart from you) is claiming that?
                      The people doing such geological investigations and pointing out that there is a thin iridium layer fitting the date.

                      So: no idea what your which hunt is about.

                      If you've got a paper claiming what you assert : journal, volume and page (lead author as a cross-check ; title similarly). If you haven't got that, your claim is not worth considering.

                      Again: I dod not claim anything. I repeated my school knowledge.
                      And: no, I have no paper. And I'm not googling now for an

                    • Again: I dod not claim anything. I repeated my school knowledge.

                      Then your memory, or your schooling, is wrong.

                      The people doing such geological investigations and pointing out that there is a thin iridium layer fitting the date.

                      If that's what you took away from your schooling, then you've missed three important little letters : "ppb". The "iridium spike" (when you plot multiple measurements of iridium content from a sequence against distance along section - which is a proxy for time ; sometimes it's combin

                    • If that's what you took away from your schooling, then you've missed three important little letters : "ppb". The "iridium spike" (when you plot multiple measurements of iridium content from a sequence against distance along section - which is a proxy for time ; sometimes it's combined with microbiology and/ or magnetostratigraphy to assign exact dates to the sample positions) is parts per billion ("ppb") of iridium in the sediments, not claiming that there was anything approaching a single layer of iridium

                    • Not worth the effort of significant response.
  • ...budget deficit. It sucked in all the good asteroids and is now coming after Earth.

  • It seems like most of the debate on this page is whether Pluto is a planet or not. So let's dive into the definition for a moment.

    1. In orbit around the Sun.
    This is just a back-handed way of saying "no moons allowed." When you consider that there are literally billions of things in orbit around the Sun, but only a few hundred "moons" in orbit around something that's not the Sun, this requirement filters out a vanishingly small number of things. Add to that the fact that "cleared the neighborhood" renders th

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