America's FDA Grants Emergency Approval for a 15-Minute Coronavirus Test (nbcnews.com) 88
While many coronavirus tests provide results within hours or days, America's Food and Drug Administration "has authorized the emergency use" of a new rapid coronavirus test from medical device manufacturer Abbott that could results in less than 15 minutes, reports NBC News:
The FDA told Abbott it authorized the test's use after determining that "it is reasonable to believe that your product may be effective in diagnosing COVID-19," based on the scientific evidence presented. The agency added that the "known and potential benefits" of the test outweigh potential risks, such as false positives or negatives. The technology being used for the new test is similar to the one found in rapid flu tests, according to the FDA's authorization letter and Abbott.
The FDA also said Friday it has issued at least 19 other emergency use authorizations for diagnostic tests to detect COVID-19, and that it is working with more than 220 test developers who are expected to submit emergency-use authorization requests soon...
Abbott said it is ramping up production to deliver 50,000 tests to the U.S. health care system starting next week.
The FDA also said Friday it has issued at least 19 other emergency use authorizations for diagnostic tests to detect COVID-19, and that it is working with more than 220 test developers who are expected to submit emergency-use authorization requests soon...
Abbott said it is ramping up production to deliver 50,000 tests to the U.S. health care system starting next week.
My test has results in 1 minute! (Score:5, Funny)
If both false positives and negatives are acceptable, you may as well use my test, which will give the results in less than a minute. And it is only $19.99, including shipping and handling.
Call now, operators are standing by!
Re: OK so I get a fast test.... (Score:2)
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Coronavirus and SARS aren't related?
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Okay, I'll bite. How come we cannot just petition G-d to handle this for us. He's a loving and enlightened sort of fellow. Surely he'd see fit to help if we asked nicely. Maybe the Prosperity Preachers (Trump has his own) could organize this. Then once the petition is done, we can give to Pence for a Prayer Seance to deliver it.
Since you seem up on biblical lore, how come Noah could get the hundreds of thousands of species of critters into Ark when it clearly wouldn't hold them all, or the stuff to feed the
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He's a loving and enlightened sort of fellow.
What are you talking about? He flooded the entire earth because some people weren't following his laws that they probably didn't even know about.
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Okay, I'll bite. How come we cannot just petition G-d to handle this for us. He's a loving and enlightened sort of fellow. Surely he'd see fit to help if we asked nicely.
George Carlin & AaronRa have both fairly humourously addressed this. Carlin - if God has a plan, praying for him to change something is trying to fuck with God's plan. AaronRa - God knows all things, past, present, and future. He has always known what was going to happen, and therefore has no free will to change the future.
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See Leviticus 11:19
I'll get right on that. Nothing like the bible for some good comedy reading material when you're stuck at home for weeks.
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Discussions here https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/... [cebm.net] and https://www.livescience.com/ch... [livescience.com] as well as the link I originally gave, https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/... [cebm.net]
We should know more soon.
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Thankfully, hydroxychloroquine seems to do really well in combating the infection.
Well, Dr.Trump is still waiting for his extensive clinical research on that to come back from medical peer review, so we don't really know yet. So far all results have been purely anecdotal.
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Please present your predictions and actual results in link-pairs, or they will be returned unread.
Re: My test has results in 1 minute! (Score:1)
And US-American culture means the USA is extra-susceptible to it.
So there's that.
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And the alleged administration's culture ensured it got a good start in the U.S. before they only recently became alarmed. It seems being anti-science has its downsides.
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It really doesn't have a good start in the US. Over half the cases are in the greater NY Metropolitan area. It's a city-wide epidemic with a few scattered cases elsewhere. Get rid of that geographic region, and the rest of the US is lower in terms of infections and deaths than just about any country in the world.
Of course, when you have a mayor telling people as late as early March to continue on with live without concern [washingtonexaminer.com] and a Governor hoarding thousands of ventilators [breitbart.com], what more do you expect?
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It really doesn't have a good start in the US. Over half the cases are in the greater NY Metropolitan area. It's a city-wide epidemic with a few scattered cases elsewhere.
Wrong.
The US has 120,000 cases - far the most of any country in the world. 44,000 cases are in the state of New York, 9000 in New Jersey, 1000 in Connecticut. That leaves 66,000 other cases in the US, which currently puts the rest of the US behind only all of Italy, all of China, and all of Spain.
That is not "a few scattered cases". That is a massive outbreak.
Sources:
https://www.worldometers.info/... [worldometers.info]
https://plague.com/ [plague.com]
Re:My test has results in 1 minute! (Score:5, Informative)
So about half the cases in the greater NYC Metropolitan area. About what I said. And 66K cases in the rest of the US would put the infection rate (per capita rate) much lower than Italy, Germany, China, etc. With 66K infections for 300 million people, that's a rate well below just about all other countries.
This is an epidemic in a specific metropolitan area, rather than nation-wide. The numbers show it.
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US would put the infection rate (per capita rate) much lower than Italy, Germany, China, etc.
You know China has 1.4 billion people...
Their rate is obviously much lower.
Even including Wuhan China's rate is lower than the US.
You wan't to take out the worst place and compare the rest of the country? China without Wuhan would be even lower again.
Can't believe anyone thought you were insightful...
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If you believe American numbers you're just as foolish.
Even a factor of 3 still puts the Chinese numbers lower...
Counting deaths instead of infections still puts America worse. (even with NY removed)
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First you make a stupid statement that is easily exposed.
Then you move the goal post to some equally stupid and wrong per capita argument.
After that fails you head straight for deflection through bigotry and racism.
Yep a Fox junkie. Fucking idiot.
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Wait, how was my statement exposed? His links confirmed my statements - this is a NYC metropolitan area epidemic, and a mild issue elsewhere in the rest of the US. That's factual. And if you believe the Chinese testing numbers are correct, and their tests are good, then why are Turkey [middleeasteye.net], Czech Republic, Spain [nationalreview.com] and many more returning the Chinese test kits that are 35% accurate?
It's not racism, it's facts - and it's because of the way the country is structured. I lived in China full-time for 6 years, still
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Why are they quarantining and isolating more towns and cities?
Which towns and cities would that be?
You should ask your stepdaughter to take a few pictures of the thousands of dead bodies lining the streets of Shanghai for Mashiki [slashdot.org] He's having trouble finding his own.
Seriously though, if you know someone in China now, you must realize how much different the response is in China and America. Why would you be at all surprised it's working? Shouldn't Shanghai be much much worse than New York is now, since they've had such a big head start. Doubling of deaths every 3 days
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Also that article is from March 3...
Care to try again?
Anyway why wouldn't they try to prepare? Not everyone waits until it's too late.
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But all that still doesn't make Beijing a new town or city...
Or change the fact it was a whole month ago...
Beijing has had hundreds of cases. Not sure why you're claiming they never had an outbreak. (And according to you those hundreds probably mean thousands.)
Unless you are extending your claim to also say that Beijing wasn't locked down before? Because that's just even more laughable.
Still care to try again? Or just finally admit you made it up?
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I accept your defeat.
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Just wait a few more weeks, and you will see how fast it has spread. If the US doesn't act now and prevent infections nation wide, you will see tenths of thousands of deaths.
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Lynwoodrooster:
This is an epidemic in a specific metropolitan area, rather than nation-wide. The numbers show it.
You might be right, but I do not think there are sufficient numbers for you to draw the above conclusion.
What I suspect is that the rate of infection closely follows the rate of testing. If this suspicion is true, then it would show that the virus has spread far faster than our ability - or willingness - to test for it. This is similar to the math of Nyquist sampling theory: if you measure a signal below twice it's fundamental frequency, your measurement will be garbage data. I don't beli
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Get rid of that geographic region, and the rest of the US is lower in terms of infections and deaths than just about any country in the world.
Wuhan, Hubei locked down hard when they had only ~500 cases.
At of now, more than 25 states in the US [worldometers.info] have more than that. How many of those have a lockdown as hard as Hubei?
With numbers doubling every 2-3 days, another 10 or more states would have more than 500 cases in 3 more days. And in a week, every state in the US would have more than 500.
Even without NY, it is already past the time for the US to lockdown hard, or you are going to have 50 Hubei on your hands starting next week. Starting from Easter,
Re:My test has results in 1 minute! (Score:5, Insightful)
Actually a rapid screening test with a moderately high false positive rate would actually be useful. Let's say 25% of your results were positive, and 80% of those positive results were false. You'd still have to use the existing test to confirm, but you conserve 75% of your precious reliable tests.
The real danger is false negatives. Relying on a test with even moderate false negative results could accelerate the community transmission of the virus.
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Hmm, lets use your 25% false positive rate...
Imagine we have 3 million people with Covid-19. And 330 million without.
So, the 3M people with the disease are shown as having the disease. As well as 82.5M who don't have the disease....
Frankly, losing the actual victims of the disease in a sea of false positives (27 false positives for every actual positive) seems like a great way to waste enormous effort to
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Hmm, lets use your 25% false positive rate...
Imagine we have 3 million people with Covid-19. And 330 million without.
So, the 3M people with the disease are shown as having the disease. As well as 82.5M who don't have the disease....
Frankly, losing the actual victims of the disease in a sea of false positives (27 false positives for every actual positive) seems like a great way to waste enormous effort to no real gain....
You haven't considered the other factors of testing. Speed and Cost for example.
330 million cheap tests and then 85.8 million expensive tests is cheaper than 330 million expensive tests.
330 million quick 15 minute tests and let the 244.5 million go back to work while quarantining just the 85.5 million waiting for the slower test.
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A test with only false negatives xor false positives might be useful, yes. But if both inaccuracies are possible, then it is useless...
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There no such thing as tests in clinical medicine without false positives and false negatives. There are some that have very low rates. None are perfect.
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Could you elaborate on the usefulness of a test, that can err in both directions?
Whatever the test's results, you can declare the tested neither healthy nor infected... What good are they, then?
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If a test has a 2% false Negative rate and a 10% false positive rate but is otherwise fine then you can use it very safely and usefully to trigger quarantine. You will now have 98% of your infected people not infecting people and 90% of your non-infected people will be able to do useful work in the community.
This is much better than the current situation where we have a "mostly" lockdown where everyone is still at slight risk of infecting others (when they go out to shop) but nobody is able to work.
Thi
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But the 2% you didn't quarantine are still walking around — convinced, they are healthy, infecting the rest of the uninfected population... They are happy go get back to work, infecting coworkers, and shop, travel, visit loved ones in nursing homes (as well as and attend concerts and parties, if there are any). Because, hey, they got tested — and it came out negative.
I can't tell, off hand, if that's "better than the current situation" — and Abbott's test may well have much higher than 2%
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But the 2% you didn't quarantine are still walking around — convinced, they are healthy, infecting the rest of the uninfected population...
You are kind of right, however if they do infect someone then that should detected pretty quickly since you should be testing everyone. Also you have to give them instructions to be careful until they have at least one more test that comes out negtative.
They are happy go get back to work, infecting coworkers, and shop, travel, visit loved ones in nursing homes (as well as and attend concerts and parties, if there are any). Because, hey, they got tested — and it came out negative.
I can't tell, off hand, if that's "better than the current situation" — and Abbott's test may well have much higher than 2% rate of false negatives...
You will still have to run social isolation for e.g. nursing homes for quite a while until the general population infection rate falls to almost zero. This situation will be better than total lock down for the simple reason that it can be sustained indefin
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What good is the test then? We're doing those things already, and we still wouldn't be able to exempt anyone from these measures no matter what the test says...
Which test will that be? And, if you have to administer another test — presumably, one more expensive/complicated — to all those, who tested negative, why not start with it?
The
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The practice of medicine is all about collecting information, placing it in the right context and using good judgement. Tests used without any context can be more harmful than good for many reasons. One is because there is no such thing as a perfect test.
Things like a thorough history and exam are where things should start. A good clinician will have a working probability of what the different possible problems are and the tests that in that situation that will be helpful to rule in or rule out workin
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There are tests with good specificity and with good sensitivity. The main thing which bothers me is that people start talking about 'this is a bad test' without looking at the specifications. AFAIK antibody tests are fast but they are best used to find out if you have been ill, not whether you are ill.
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Well, both are always possible.
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I should add that most doctors, unfortunately, aren't really very good at the statistics end of things -- e.g. recognizing the base rate fallacy. At least in my opinion. What they do have is clinical experience, which is a gut level Bayesian calculation.
The thing about gut feelings is that their reliability depends pretty strongly on how experienced your gut is with a situation. I'd trust the gut of someone with twenty years of family medicine practice over some Internet rando. Now epidemiologists and
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No just accepting tests without a lot of testing.
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Brothels have been closed since about Thursday in Australia. Haven't you closed yours as well?
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Elizabeth Holmes is kicking herself right now (Score:2)
Theranos would have ruled this space. /s
A good idea, but ... (Score:1)
... another factor that will distort the counts, both via tests done and via false positives/negatives.
Keep that in mind, when seeing a large rise in the time after.
Especially when the media predictably fearmongers the shit out of it. (On top of the realistic fears.)
No private sector tests! (Score:1)
Critics of private sector involvement in medicine should be content with taking one of the government lab tests and waiting 3 or 4 days for results.
Abbott labs makes profits and they're critical of that. Shouldn't we all help these people avoid compromising their principles?
Re: No private sector tests! (Score:2)
Re: No private sector tests! (Score:1)
I'm critical of profit-seeking middlemen in medicine
God damn; a-fucking-men to that.
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Comment removed (Score:5, Interesting)
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Greets.
The new Rapid Test for Covid-19 by Abbott Labs was developed with R & D in San Diego, California and Scarborough, Maine. It is NOT an Antigen test and was NOT developed in Belgium.
Since I logged in, I can't declare anything else but consider this authoritative.
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According to this how it works video [youtube.com] from Abbott labs this is indeed an antigen test, not an antibody test. The video explains that a chemical solution cracks open the virus exposing the RNA then the machine replicates a portion of the RNA thus making it detectable.
As you said, this is not the new 15 minute test from Belgium [brusselstimes.com]. That test is also an antigen test but has low sensitivity. The test from Belgium comes in the form of blotting paper [www.rtbf.be] like a pregnancy test. This is very different from the A
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It's a molecular test. It detects virus RNA by taking swabs from the nose or back of throat and sticking them in the reagent part of the machine with rapid amplification.
An antibody test would be serological and by definition require a blood draw. The id now system doesn't handle blood.
The links don't seem to show error rates (Score:3)
The test looks interesting, but it's not clear what the rates of false positives and false negatives are. In fact they don't mention even what kind of errors will be expected.
FWIW, I expect it's an antigen test that is likely to miss the early infectious period and to continue reporting presence of the disease after the immune system has cleared active viruses (unless those reports from China mean that active viruses are only being temporarily suppressed). But even after looking at the articles this is a guess.
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Actually, they do, assuming that houghi is correct that this is a Belgian-developed test [slashdot.org]. Their claim is that the false positive rate is low, while the false negative rate is high:
"Leading virologist Marc Van Ranst commented on the test: âoeThe new antigen test will certainly speed up diagnostics in hospitals, because in fifteen
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Ha, you won't get treatment merely because you're infected, you'll be told to go home and stay their, and not call for help unless you're dying.
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Well, for me the FDA link returned a blank page, and for the other links I only followed them down one level. On those I didn't see anything about error rates, even on rechecking them. I'm not sure one can assume that it's the same test as the one another company announced, but it may be.
The links that I saw didn't even assert that it was an antigen test. I expect it is, but that's my expectation, not something that Abbot Labs is claiming (on the directly linked pages).
Still, the error rates you asserted
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https://fda.gov/media/136525/d... [fda.gov] The clinical study is at the bottom with 100% identity of expected results. If the virus mutates, tests will be off. Lots of gotchas as you would expect around a EUA.
ReInfection (Score:1)
This might be why we are seeing reinfections... People that tested positive may not have it... and when they test positive again... they still may not even have it...
Hmm... not sure if we should be using this test since it is at risk of over or under reporting proper results. I would like to know just like everyone else if they have this stuff when they get the sniffles but if we are not accurate enough... then there is no point to testing at all.
Bioscience is making progress (Score:4, Interesting)
Between RNA molecular tests like this that detect active virus and progress in blood tests that detect antibodies in people that have acquired immunity we will be able to get a handle on infection rates and progress towards herd immunity. This is a more likely outcome than waiting for a possible vaccine in the summer/fall of 2021.
On Thursday the FDA allowed use of more than two dozen blood tests - that aren't all fully tested and there are many caveats, but they should become inexpensive and universal. The tests that work well will come to the fore and will quickly dominate the market.
The FDA list (under 'serology tests') is at:
https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/emergency-situations-medical-devices/faqs-diagnostic-testing-sars-cov-2
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No find "serology tests" anywhere on that page.
Just like those 15-minutes exercise routines ... (Score:3)
I'll wait for the 14-minute test to come out.
That's 6 minute abs (Score:2)
What if someone comes up with a video for 5 minute abs?
https://www.abbott.com/corpnew... [abbott.com]
More Trumpian stupidity? (Score:1)
Like somebody else said: I'm fine with false positives, but false negatives could have misdiagnosed carriers wandering the city infecting people. It'll look good for Trump until,, 3 weeks down the road, you've got a thousand more victims cascaded from the one false negative.
We really do need to see some
Waiving QUALITY CONTROL requirements???!!! (Score:1)
I am waiving the following requirements for your product during the duration of this EUA:
From the authorization letter [fda.gov]
yep.. Sounds like Trump. You can make a lot more tests if you don't have to worry about the quality
Detection of All Infected People (Score:1)