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Earth Science

Tree Planting 'Has Mind-Blowing Potential' To Tackle Climate Crisis 424

Planting billions of trees across the world is by far the biggest and cheapest way to tackle the climate crisis, according to scientists, who have made the first calculation of how many more trees could be planted without encroaching on crop land or urban areas. From a report: As trees grow, they absorb and store the carbon dioxide emissions that are driving global heating. New research estimates that a worldwide planting programme could remove two-thirds of all the emissions that have been pumped into the atmosphere by human activities, a figure the scientists describe as "mind-blowing." The analysis found there are 1.7bn hectares of treeless land on which 1.2tn native tree saplings would naturally grow. That area is about 11% of all land and equivalent to the size of the US and China combined. Tropical areas could have 100% tree cover, while others would be more sparsely covered, meaning that on average about half the area would be under tree canopy. The scientists specifically excluded all fields used to grow crops and urban areas from their analysis. But they did include grazing land, on which the researchers say a few trees can also benefit sheep and cattle.
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Tree Planting 'Has Mind-Blowing Potential' To Tackle Climate Crisis

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  • Not much good... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by vix86 ( 592763 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @07:17PM (#58874976)

    If we can't stop cutting down the largest forest in the world first: the rainforest. We're losing that at ~100k acres a day.

    • Re:Not much good... (Score:5, Interesting)

      by ShanghaiBill ( 739463 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @07:41PM (#58875062)

      If we can't stop cutting down the largest forest in the world first: the rainforest. We're losing that at ~100k acres a day.

      Rainforests are shrinking, but temperate and subarctic forests are expanding.

      Global tree cover has increased 7% since 1982 [independent.co.uk]

    • by ghoul ( 157158 )

      Instead of stopping the development of poor countries, why not convert the midwest to forests. Noone actually needs the corn. Its exported or fed to pigs. As a plus we wont have to pay farming subsidies to grow useless corn anymore.

  • so how are our corporate overlords going to cash in on this activity?
    • so how are our corporate overlords going to cash in on this activity?

      By selling seedlings and shovels.

      • By selling sterile seedlings and shovels.

        FTFY. There wouldn't be enough profit in it for Bayer-Monsanto if you could buy just one tree and it could create others.

  • by joe_frisch ( 1366229 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @07:29PM (#58875016)

    11% of the worlds land is not a small thing. Is there that much land with sufficient water that is not already used for agriculture? They may have studied this in detail, but a lot of grazing land is pretty dry and trees won't grow quickly there.

    Clearly it makes sense to first stop cutting down trees - but that is generally done to expand agricultural land in poor countries. Is there a viable solution that provides jobs and food for people in those countries?

    Trees of course are only a medium term solution - over hundreds to thousands of years they die or burn down and release the carbon again. Needs to be investigated as part of a long term plan.

    In some areas forests go through a regular, and not all that long term fire cycle, and a lot of the biomass gets returned to the atmosphere.

    • a lot of grazing land is pretty dry and trees won't grow quickly there.

      I grew up on a farm, so I can point out another flaw in this plan: Cows eat seedlings.

      • Lots of things eat seedlings, one of the approaches I saw was from an effort to increase the number of trees somewhere in Africa - they toss seed pods all over the place, wrapped up in charcoal balls. This keeps animals away from them in the early stages of growth and also acts as a booster fertilizer.

      • This is this sort of thing that matters. Sometimes what sounds like a good idea may have issues that aren't at all obvious to people who don't have detailed knowledge. sometimes the problems can be fixed but that might or might not make the whole idea impractical.

    • by PPH ( 736903 )

      11% of the worlds land is not a small thing. Is there that much land with sufficient water that is not already used for agriculture?

      More and more as time goes by. Global warming is extending the growing season in northern latitudes. It happens that there is a lot tundra that will support such growth as it becomes warmer.

      Trees of course are only a medium term solution - over hundreds to thousands of years they die or burn down and release the carbon again. Needs to be investigated as part of a long term plan.

      Cut them down before they burn or fall and rot. Use the lumber for building stuff. Plant more trees.

    • Not just that, the tree planting should be done in places where pollution is the greatest. Places like China, India, etc. Planting trees in North America or Europe wouldn't do much to offset the pollution in factories in Bangalore or Suzhou
    • It is likely that forested land, under a shaded canopy, with organic soils that build up, will retain moisture better. Trees actually also store some water in their structure. In many areas trees can also capture moisture from the air through condensation and fog capture.

      • by hawk ( 1151 )

        I live in the desert (Las Vegas).

        We were surprised at just how much difference lawn by the bedroom window made on the indoor temperature in that room.

        Eventually much of my lawn will go, but not before establishing an alternate green band around the house . . .

        Other recent studies have found things such as that additional trees in an area as small as a few blocks lowers temperature by a noticeable amount.

        hawk

    • Bullshit Roundup (Score:5, Informative)

      by drinkypoo ( 153816 ) <drink@hyperlogos.org> on Thursday July 04, 2019 @10:26PM (#58875554) Homepage Journal

      Trees of course are only a medium term solution - over hundreds to thousands of years they die or burn down and release the carbon again. Needs to be investigated as part of a long term plan.

      No. Even when trees burn down, a portion of the tree is retained as biochar, some of it becomes ash and washes into the soil, and some of it (about 20%) is root mass which is also in the ground. It's tiresome to see people continually repeating the falsehood that the entire tree simply up and vanishes into the atmosphere when it burns.

      Now, off to other points along the thread...

      Hold on (Score:1)
      by Ol Olsoc ( 1175323 ) (#58874972)
      Unless they are going to eventually bury the trees in a deep mine and fill it with concrete, trees are carbon neutral. They sequester Carbon until they die, then release it back into the atmosphere as they rot.

      They release a percentage of their carbon back as they rot, and a portion is retained in the soil. They also have lifespans measured in tens to hundreds of years.

      Re:Not much good... by ShanghaiBill (#58875062)
      Rainforests are shrinking, but temperate and subarctic forests are expanding.
      Global tree cover has increased 7% since 1982

      When we talk about floating sea ice, we care about the extent more than the mass, because the floating ice won't increase sea level much at all — but the change in albedo affects heating from insolation. But when we talk about trees specifically from the standpoint of carbon sequestration, we care about the mass more than the area, because large mature trees fix carbon more quickly than young ones. That's partly because trees only grow from a small layer under the bark called the cambium, and partly because the rate of growth is also limited by the rate of photosynthesis. The larger the diameter of the tree, the larger the cambium; the larger the tree, the more sunlight it can make use of, and the more photosynthesis.

      We both need to plant fast-growing species, and also more importantly stop cutting large trees. Tree farming may be a sustainable and carbon-negative process where access is very convenient and the energy costs are low, and should probably continue to be a part of the overall solution, but it is imperative that we promote and protect large trees.

      TL;DR (for the whole comment): Large trees really do sequester carbon.

  • Apparently as climate change gets worse, trees absorb less CO2 [popularmechanics.com]?

  • Then and now (Score:4, Insightful)

    by AndyKron ( 937105 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @08:01PM (#58875130)
    I always thought by far the biggest and cheapest way to tackle the climate crisis is to have less babies. I still think that too.
    • by Tom ( 822 )

      Yes, but here's the problem:

      In the developed world, many countries are already below the replacement rate.

      It's the poor countries where humans breed like rabits, and you can't tell a person who already has nothing in life to also give up on the one thing that might make them have a life when they are old, because family structure support is a thing.

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      The world fertility rate is already getting towards the steady state level of 2.2. The continued increase in population is mostly due to people living longer.

      There are also economic problems that come with a falling population. If there is a fall it needs to be slow to avoid causing problems.

      Which is all fine as long as we make the effort to become carbon neutral fairly quickly.

  • by Livius ( 318358 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @08:01PM (#58875132)

    It sounds a little too easy, but I do like that it's a suggestion that addresses the issue without utopian (dystopian?) visions of planet-wide de-industrialization and radical decrease in standard of living.

    Might even create jobs for all the people who will supposedly be unemployed because of automation and artificial intelligence.

  • Well duh! (Score:3, Insightful)

    by oogoliegoogolie ( 635356 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @08:21PM (#58875204)

    70% of the planet has been deforested by us pesky humans in the past 400 years, much of it in the tropics so we can grow our bananas, avocados, soy beans, palm oil, and coffee plants-to name a few. Obviously replacing a rich diverse forest that contains hundreds or thousands of different plants with an agricultural mono culture will have a big impact at the regional level (flooding, landslides, erosion, loss of biodiversity) and global level (temperature moderation, rainfall, loss of biodiversity).

    Up until the late 70s, coffee was grown in the shade of existing mature trees in order to retain some habitat for birds, insects, and other animals, but they stopped doing that and cut down the mature trees so they can use 100% of the land, at the expense of the wildlife, and an increased usage of fertilizer and water. We have to stop doing stuff like that just to squeeze out an extra 10% of revenue. So ya, planting trees and farming practices that include some old stock plants could/will make a big difference if incorporated on a large scale.

  • by Dasher42 ( 514179 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @09:30PM (#58875434)

    This article was on the brink of covering some really important topics that could simultaneously resolve our climate issues and reform our agricultural system to bring it into better harmony with the land and its natural cycles.

    For example, it suggested that two or three trees in every cow pasture would help. Project Drawdown (https://www.drawdown.org) goes further, and describes silvopasture, mixing sparse forest with grazing animals, as an old practice ripe for revival that, for an estimated $41.59 billion USD net implementation cost worldwide, would yield $699.37 billion USD in savings. This is one of many approaches that make sense when one draws on ecosystems for inspiration for designing systems that can support human life, without wrecking the planet.

    Drawdown's write-ups are significant because they represent a lot of research and solid estimates of what the costs and benefits are of many approaches that, in unison, could resolve the climate crisis.

    Other significant write-ups:

    https://www.drawdown.org/solut... [drawdown.org] (Basic forest-planting as most people think of it)
    https://www.drawdown.org/solut... [drawdown.org] (Restoring tropical rainforests)
    https://www.drawdown.org/solut... [drawdown.org] (Biochar, which if you research leads into a fascinating revival of the creation of carbonaceous soils which better retain water and nutrients, while sequestering CO2 more rapidly than forests and is immediately applicable to our grasslands and plains)
    https://www.drawdown.org/solut... [drawdown.org] (Multistrata agroforestry...)
    https://www.drawdown.org/solut... [drawdown.org] (Tree polyculture which conveys benefits for resilience, resistance to pests, soil health, and multiple yields from the same land)

    Towards the end of that list you might notice a theme of pursuing polycultures in agriculture, which 20th century industrial agriculture eschewed for obvious reasons. Might we not revisit that? A combination of ancient polycultural techniques which allowed complementary plant species to maintain long-term yields and new levels of AI-guided farming may well finally unite our ancient and current knowledge and help solve this crisis.

  • not gonna happen (Score:5, Interesting)

    by hdyoung ( 5182939 ) on Thursday July 04, 2019 @10:28PM (#58875558)
    This is a repost. It's all well and good for researchers to think about climate change. To me, it's pretty clear that climate science has the general picture right, even if individual models are all imperfect.

    However, I doubt anything serious will be done until it becomes a *real* and *immediate* problem that's undeniable to *most* of the planet. In the past, humanity was able to do things proactively, like agree to limit fluorocarbons to fix the hole we punched in our ozone layer. Unfortunately, forward-thinking and cooperation is mostly dead, at least for the time being. Humanity is currently engaged in a full-blown session of head-up-ass (on multiple issues, not just climate change) and the bar for action in this area is very, very high.

    A slight rise in temperature isn't real enough.
    A slight increase in storm severity isn't enough.
    The loss of one or two major breadbasket regions isn't enough. Food production will just shift around.
    Anything that happens in a poor country isn't enough, including starvation. Poor people simply don't count enough to those with power and wealth.
    Any effect that is limited to the coasts isn't enough. People will just move.
    Any extinctions short of country-scale ecological collapse isn't enough. Most people don't care about plants and critters beyond eating them.
    Anything that is limited to the arctic isn't enough. Nobody lives there.
    Mass migrations from poor countries won't be enough. Rich countries will just put up barriers and allow populations to die.

    Actually, humanity is starting to de-carbonize, but incrementally and not for ecological reasons. Renewables are slowly becoming more economically competitive than carbon-based energy. Will it happen before we change the planet in ways that impede our progress as a species? The jury is still out on that one.

    As far as I can see, There are the only things that will force humanity to deal with the problem at a faster pace: One: environmental-related destruction that renders entire cities in the rich world uninhabitable. That level of economic damage won't be deniable. Two: loss of enough major food-producing regions to affect the dinner tables of people in the rich world. When steak becomes unavailable, it'll be serious.

    Beyond that, it's business as usual. Let's hope that geo-engineering is a viable option, because I suspect that we're going to need it.
    • >Humanity is currently engaged in a full-blown session of head-up-ass

      Not on climate change. In the past 10 years, Western countries practically stopped increasing production of CO2. In the same period, India and China dramatically increased production of CO2.

  • ..they'll beat a path to your door.
    I'm serious. Find a way to make planting more and more trees more profitable than other things that destroy forests and people and businesses will fight each other for a chance to get in on it.
    Here's an idea: make more 'durable' things out of wood. Not just houses and other buildings. Promote the use of wood as a construction material for any number of things, instead of plastics or metals. Yes, I'm advocating going backwards a bit technologically-speaking -- or am I? Wh
  • Me and my wife bought and planted six trees in the elementary (K through 6) school yard near our house to provide a place where kids could sit in a shaded place. That was forty years ago. I've planted some trees in my yard that died because it's too hot for them to survive, even when I watered them every day. I have two bonsai trees and a succulent plant in my home office (the gas chamber) that I put outside for a few hours per day. Trees help. Politicians don't. People can.
    • Would it make sense to have multiple trees and plants and rotate them into the office and outside daily/weekly?

  • by Tom ( 822 )

    Grazing isn't the only thing. Our farms are optimized for big machines. Medieval farm lands did have trees around and inside the fields. They provided shadow, kept the soil from eroding and gave workers a nice resting place during harvest.

    Roads with trees get less hot, due to shadow. Cities with trees get less hot and have cleaner air.

    You can't exaggerate the benefits of trees.

    So yes, plant more trees. There's no reason not to.

  • win-win regardless (Score:5, Insightful)

    by r2kordmaa ( 1163933 ) on Friday July 05, 2019 @01:17AM (#58875910)
    While I'm dubious about this plan doing much of anything about CO2 concentrations, you can't really go wrong with planting trees in otherwise unused spaces. Especially in cities, nothing like a little greenery to improve the general look and feel of a place. Plus you get more shade, it cleans the air a bit, improves water retention, there is really no downside. And if you eventually do need the land under the tree for something else, well no problem, we are pretty good at cutting down trees.
  • It also has mind blowing potential of draining the waterbed and causing insanely massive forest fires, like the ones you see every year in California.

  • by Chas ( 5144 ) on Friday July 05, 2019 @02:11AM (#58876016) Homepage Journal

    They're just one solution among a plethora.

    [El Guapo] Do joo know what a plethora eez?

    Okay, jokes aside.

    Tree planting is the one that can be implemented immediately.
    There are other forms of carbon capture out there as well.
    What we do NOT need, is another 40 years of wrangling about picking "the best" way.

    Implement (to greater or lesser extent), ALL of them. Or at least a mix of the most promising ones.

  • It seems that filling up the areas which could support trees (and I love trees so I like the idea) would eventually absorb 10 years' worth of human emissions of CO2. Some of that is already absorbed, so it might be more of net emissions. Trees might take 30 years to get to maturity so if they could absorb 30 years of net emissions that would be a great breathing space, but it would still mean a lot of work on power generation etc would need to be done too. And how fast could they be planted?
  • They should calculate a number of trees to be planted per country and allow countries to trade up/down based on a credit system.

    It is quite straight forward really. What I would be curious to see is the timeline under which it would make an impact. Is this something that takes 20 years once planted or takes a year? Does it result in a steady state system or is it a once off measure to capture the output?

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