SpaceX Delays Plans To Send Space Tourists To Circle Moon (cnet.com) 124
SpaceX will reportedly no longer be sending a pair of space tourists to circle the moon this year. The flight was scheduled for late 2018, but has been delayed, according to The Wall Street Journal. The reason for the delay is unclear. CNET reports: The flight was announced in February 2017, with SpaceX saying that two unidentified private citizens had put down a "significant deposit" for the trip and that other flight teams had expressed interest in taking a similar journey. The plan was for the tourists to fly on a Dragon Crew spacecraft launched from Earth by a Falcon Heavy rocket.
"SpaceX is still planning to fly private individuals on a trip around the moon and there is growing interest from many customers," company spokesman James Gleeson wrote in a statement. "Private spaceflight missions, including a trip around the moon, present an opportunity for humans to return to deep space and to travel faster and farther into the solar system than any before them, which is of course an important milestone as we work toward our ultimate goal to help make humanity multi-planetary."
"SpaceX is still planning to fly private individuals on a trip around the moon and there is growing interest from many customers," company spokesman James Gleeson wrote in a statement. "Private spaceflight missions, including a trip around the moon, present an opportunity for humans to return to deep space and to travel faster and farther into the solar system than any before them, which is of course an important milestone as we work toward our ultimate goal to help make humanity multi-planetary."
Waiting on NASA (Score:3)
Latest estimated date for SpaceX's first NASA manned test flight is January 2019.
Makes sense that SpaceX won't fly private passengers on Dragon 2 in 2018 before NASA approves the vehicle for flight and sends up their own test astronauts.
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You would not say that if you knew someone who worked on the lunar module program. NASA was no picnic back then, either.
I guess Heinlein was right, when he wrote about an entrepreneur running a successful space program. In fairness to NASA, they had to do all they did first, before this was possible.
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In fairness to NASA, they had to do all they did first, before this was possible.
As a proxy war with the Soviet Union, the space race was WAY better than a real war.
But otherwise it violated the basic principle of sharpening your ax before cutting down the tree. We should have spent the first decade pouring billions into better computers, better alloys, better robotics, better polymers, etc. before shooting for the moon.
Fifty years later, we are finally getting close to the point where going to the moon actually makes sense.
Re:Waiting on NASA (Score:4, Insightful)
And Ferdinand Magellan should have waited for inertial navigation.
Of course, that's silly. A good deal of technology was developed for Apollo, including the integrated circuit. But you could say the same thing today - that we need to develop better technology before we should consider such a mission - that you could have said in 1960. At some point you have to go and that generally happens as soon as it's first possible.
Re: Waiting on NASA (Score:2)
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I'm not seeing that...
Jack Kilby's original integrated circuit
Newly employed by Texas Instruments, Kilby recorded his initial ideas concerning the integrated circuit in July 1958, successfully demonstrating the first working integrated example on 12 September 1958.[11] In his patent application of 6 February 1959,[12] Kilby described his new device as "a body of semiconductor material wherein all the components of the electronic circuit are completely integrated."[13] The first customer for the new inventi
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Unfortunately you are wrong, which you easy could google, but your parent is an idiot nevertheless.
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If someone is "misinformed" it is not a lie, you moron.
If I lie to you and tell you my local temperature is -15C and you tell your mother, you did not lie to your mother, you just repeated what I told you, idiot.
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We should have spent the first decade pouring billions into better computers, better alloys, better robotics, better polymers, etc. before shooting for the moon.
Why? the alloys proved good enough. What could they have improved?
The computing power of the moon orbiter, lander and return vehicle combined was less than a washing machine in the late 1990s had. And that was enough: why having better (more advanced) computers when the ones ad hand were fully adequate?
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Crew Dragon has not yet flown. You're complaining about NASA not certifying something that hasn't flown? Their requirement to fly a few missions in the same configuration seems perfectly reasonable to me, and perfectly reasonable to SpaceX too.
Color me surprised (Score:2)
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I was talking about a billion plus for a single ride, not to get the masses to orbit. As to how much it would help, it is more than enough to fully pay for the development of SpaceX's Dragon 2. This is why we are entering the age of commercial manned space travel. The costs are now within the range of the resources of some individuals to fully fund not only flights, but the development.
As to your expansion of the subject, I doubt we will ever achieve affordability for the billions of people in our "masses"
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Liability?
Liability is only an issue for the first 90 seconds. After that, they are outside of American legal jurisdiction.
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ah, just like there's no liability with ocean going vessels or planes, got it.
you see what I did there... (Score:2)
Duh (Score:5, Funny)
Can't have the masses finding out the Earth is flat.
Old news (Score:1)
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I know why. (Score:1)
It's the auto pilot.
SpaceX has other priorities right now (Score:5, Insightful)
Human-qualifying the Falcon Heavy, which would be necessary for tourist flights around the moon, isn't a priority for SpaceX. They're pretty much through with Falcon-9 engineering. Now they will make the Dragon 2 work, but their main direction is to eventually replace Falcon 9 and Falcon 9 heavy with a much larger methane and liquid oxygen rocket which is as powerful as Falcon Heavy with just one "stick" rather than three.
There's a lot to be done between here and there, and every rocket engineering project has major risk, but this will potentially be a much more practical path to human space exploration than the SLS system which is an albatross around NASA's neck IMO and exists mainly as a pork-barrel jobs program.
In fairness to NASA and congress, we didn't know that SpaceX would be this successful when SLS was approved.
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No NASA rating is needed for SpaceX to fly humans anywhere in any of their rockets, unless those humans include NASA astronauts. However, NASA may get snippy and not allow any of their launch facilities for a SpaceX 'experimental' rocket, depending on the details of their lease agreement. If SpaceX were to have their own private launch facilities, then they'd have no significant restrictions.
The short version is that SpaceX only needs to file a flight plan to 60,000 feet and man their rocket with an IFR r
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No, as we know from Mad Mike Hughes, any idiot can make a "rocket" and fly whoever is willing (in this case, only himself). But SpaceX thinks they will have the larger rocket soon enough that there is no point in playing these games with Falcon Heavy.
The details (Score:2)
You have to read pretty deep into the details of the Apollo missions before you come across full descriptions of the day-to-day life on those spacecraft. It was uncomfortable, unpleasant, and often disgusting. Since there has been no miracle breakthrough in propulsion the weight constraints in 2020 are essentially the same as in 1964, and if built a Space-X around-the-moon tourist vehicle will be more like living inside a discarded can of ham and beans for a week than flying on a luxury aircraft.
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don't compare today's bottle rockets with a Saturn V
Just a matter of priorities (Score:2)
The reasoning is obvious... (Score:1)
Reality set in and they discovered it is harder to plan a safe and technically feasible trip for a casual tourist than it is to send seasoned astronauts who gladly did so at a very high risk for country patriotism in nothing more than a tin can with flashing lights.
So the question is which commercial space company today wants to be the first to kill a tourist. Oh i am sure the stock price will go well that day. Having an optimistic guestimate of late 2018 was just for PR purposes, nothing more. It cer
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At some point that is certain to happen. But so what? Humans are not in short supply. Billions more where those came from.In the early days of aviation, it was extremely risky. Passengers and pilots died on a routine basis, and often horrifically. Yet we didn't stop doing it or wring our hands in faux horror and insist that nobody try any more. It's not dangerous any more, so it's easy for us to forget how dangerous the early days of aviation were, from our cushy 21st century perspective.Space travel will be no different. People are going to die.... people who freely signed on board to take that chance.
Yup; I hereby volunteer to be the crash test dummy/spam in a can for their "proving" flight :)
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NASA says 7 unmanned non-events before manned (Score:1)
I read that NASA wants a new rocket to be flown 7 times without incident before it will qualify form manned-flight rating. Since SpaceX has yet to fly their new Block 5 rocket with the redesigned high-pressure helium tank, they have yet to start the 7-flight count. This, apparently, pushes the flight-qualification complete to after the end of 2018.
Flat earthers (Score:2)
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Is there any way to force all the leading flat-earth movement leaders into this? Sure would be nice to shut them up.
Along with the telephone sanitizers?
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Do we really need the piper?
Reason for the launch delay (Score:2)
It all comes down to cold hard cash? (Score:1)
$$$ Always wins:
1) Delays in NASA human rating is going to cost SpaceX $$ in salary which otherwise would have been spent on this.
2) SpaceX is bringing in tons of contracts for launch services so they spend (and make!) $$ in this business model
Between Engineers working Falcon Heavy and Dragon 2 and the $$ coming in from the existing launch business, there are no resources or incentives to make this timeline beyond newspaper headlines. And, if they can just keep talking about it, the headlines will get gene
This is not news. Literally not. (Score:3)
Elon mentioned this last July 2017. How it became "news" now is a lot about the Koch brothers, the Murdochs, and a whole lot of other actors pumping out false memes to slow down Musk and through him the conversion to renewables and electric cars. This is war.
This was never.... (Score:1)
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How does it not make sense? People with large amounts of disposable money have been buying tickets to ISS for years, and before that Mir... and that largley through the so recently communist Russian's eager to take their money.
Given the delays in full on use of Falcon Heavy, is it really so surprising that they would delay manned use? Let alone tourist use?
Re:I'm shocked (Score:4, Insightful)
...but you think a way to get NOWHERE will have a market? Beyond novelty?
Nearly every vacation I've ever taken has ended in the same place it started. Sometimes those trips are just to go take in a view. People go to the Grand Canyon & Carlsbad Caverns all the time and they're just big holes in the ground. Why is making a trip to see one of those so different than wanting to see the Earth from a distance?
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...but you think a way to get NOWHERE will have a market? Beyond novelty?
Nearly every vacation I've ever taken has ended in the same place it started. Sometimes those trips are just to go take in a view. People go to the Grand Canyon & Carlsbad Caverns all the time and they're just big holes in the ground. Why is making a trip to see one of those so different than wanting to see the Earth from a distance?
Not only that but a Mars trip which Musk is really wanting to do, would require a deep space module, and a trip around the moon would be a perfect test for that and probably have to be done anyway. Still need radiation shielding, artificial gravity, much better seals, better food and water conservation, etc before a two year Mars trip will be ready to go.
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Trips to Mars don't take two years. SpaceX's Mars plans involve transit times of 3-4 months. You don't need artificial gravity for that, and it is well within what can be done with prepackaged food. A shorter trip also greatly reduces the amount of radiation shielding required.
You do need something a lot bigger than Dragon, which is why BFS has a payload capacity of 150 metric tons and would only start to carry humans to Mars after several unmanned spacecraft had already landed with supplies. It also will h
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Trips to Mars don't take two years. SpaceX's Mars plans involve transit times of 3-4 months. You don't need artificial gravity for that, and it is well within what can be done with prepackaged food. A shorter trip also greatly reduces the amount of radiation shielding required.
You do need something a lot bigger than Dragon, which is why BFS has a payload capacity of 150 metric tons and would only start to carry humans to Mars after several unmanned spacecraft had already landed with supplies. It also will have toilets, something that Dragon lacks, which I suspect is something those tourists will be happy to delay their trip a few years in order to have.
I don't think I've seen any transfer orbit times around 3-4 months, although they depend on which attempt you make, but I think we just missed the short trip opportunity for the next 20 years.. They mostly go for about 9 months, so twice that plus another four to six months actually on Mars before they can attempt a return journey, and it's close enough to two years to call it so. Also have it include assembly time in orbit before launch if not a single module, which I doubt it will be. In deep space, radia
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...no. There's no modules, no assembly in orbit, only refueling. The transits would average 115 days, but could be made much shorter at a cost in payload. BFR does not use minimum-energy transits, it starts out with 6+ km/s of delta-v in LEO when carrying its maximum launch payload of 150 t, and is burdened with far less payload when it starts off with the same propellant load from the surface of Mars. There's huge amounts of information available about the BFR system, go look.
The plan is not to come back a
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Re:I'm shocked (Score:4, Funny)
Space-x uses liquid fuel.
Solid fuel for humanned flights is a bad idea because there is no way to throttle or abort. Once they are lit, they run until the fuel is exhausted.
The only exception was the solid fueled boosters on the Space Shuttle, which was so super-duper safe that failure was unthinkable, so there would be no need to abort.
Things you can't do with solid fuel (Score:2)
Not to mention that landing a solid-fuel rocket would be... problematical :-)
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Oh, landing isn't a problem ...
("That'll happen pretty definitely" - Wash Hoburn)
It's landing in a controlled fashion that's tough.
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It's landing in a controlled fashion that's tough.
Next time a plane flies into the side of a mountain I'll look for anybody in the world calling it "a very uncontrolled landing".
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Not that I disagree that solid rocket motors are bad idea for manned flight, but whilst they can't be throttled thrust can be removed using blowout panels. Solid fuel ICMBs use Thrust Termination [everything2.com] to kill thrust as desired.
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The only exception was the solid fueled boosters on the Space Shuttle, which was so super-duper safe that failure was unthinkable, so there would be no need to abort.
... and Ares I (cancelled), and SLS (~10 years in development and going on), and Atlas (for Starliner).
And lets not forget the Challenger, however I would presume your post was intentionally sarcastic.
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You're acting like this is a problem???
No (Score:2)
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What about just using hydrogen and oxygen?
That may make sense for the upper stage, but not the main booster.
H2 has low volumetric energy density, which means a big tank with a big surface area, that all needs to be kept at 20K with lots of insulation that adds to the cost and the weight (which adds to the cost).
That doesn't make sense for fuel that is going to be mostly burned within 20 km of earth's surface.
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Liquid hydrogen is troublesome stuff. It has to be colder than anything else you could use, and you have to keep it that way. It leaks out of anything. Liquid methane is a lot easier to handle.
It does make carbon and water when you burn it.
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Space travel is not a great way to preserve the human race. It would be far more cost effective to solve problems on earth, or even to establish scattered self-sufficient survival colonies, rather than hope you can create a self-sufficient colony on other worlds.
Re:No (Score:4, Insightful)
Unfortunately "survival colonies" scattered around earth are poor protection against many of the most likely ends of civilization: super plague (GMO or otherwise, affecting humans or staple crops), nuclear warfare, or even sufficiently severe ecosystem collapse. Sure, they *could* be sealed ecosystems deep underground with no contact with the outside world - but what sort of sorry nutjob is going to lock themselves away from the world on the off-chance that it all comes tumbling down so fast that locking the doors after the fact might be too late?
Besides which preserving the human race is one of those extreme-long-term secondary visions anyway. So long as we live on only one planet, sooner or later something *will* kill us. Our exploding sun if nothing else. The real goal is to expand into new challenges and frontiers. Have elbow room to live the way people were meant to live - whatever that happens to mean to you. Frontiers have been good to our species, but we've pretty much filled them all up on Earth. Space offers the promise of an unfillable frontier - an endless expanse in which dreamers and malcontents can try to find their land of milk and honey. It offers both a pressure relief valve for society, and fertile ground for our adventurers - a kind of individual that has historically enriched our species in many, not always expected, ways.
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what sort of sorry nutjob is going to lock themselves away from the world on the off-chance that it all comes tumbling down so fast that locking the doors after the fact might be too late?
The same kind of nutjob that is going to lock themselves away on Mars.
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Nope - entirely different sort of nutjob is going to space - one with dreams of humanity among the stars, or of escaping the stifling societies on Earth. Underground vaults offer none of that - they're purely a survival ark in case something goes wrong.
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On Mars you'd be stuck in a vault as well. Maybe above ground, and maybe the vault will have windows, but you're still stuck. And outside the vault is nothing but inhospitable wasteland as far as the eye can see. If you enjoy that kind of stuff, there's plenty of it here on Earth still.
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Perhaps at first - but you're building towards a future in which humanity goes to the stars - not just hiding in a hole.
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More likely the colony would be underground, in order to utilize soil as a radiation shield. But they would be trapped in their sustainable living tubes/containers/tunnels.
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but we've pretty much filled them all up on Earth. Space offers the promise of an unfillable frontier
Filled them up? Yes, the Earth is overcrowded, but far from filled up. I'm just back from Alaska, and wow, there's some frontier, but I digress. No place in our galaxy offers habitable space without creating an artificial atmosphere. You might as well start moving people underground, or into the ocean depths. It would be much lest costly, and oh(!), it's another frontier. No, we'll never again explore in the ways that our ancestors had the opportunity. But yes, we should still pursue space travel eve
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Why move people underground? What's the long-term goal? Survival vaults are incredibly expensive to build and maintain for their own sake, and you're not going to get many forward-thinking people to volunteer.
It may take a while before we develop a self-sustaining colony elsewhere, but it'll *never* happen unless we try. And there's no particular reason to assume it'll be incredibly difficult, especially if we start someplace like Mars that has immense easily accessible reserves of the two most importa
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So long as we live on only one planet, sooner or later something *will* kill us. Our exploding sun if nothing else.
Our star isn't massive enough to explode as a nova or supernova. It will, however, expand during it's red giant phase which should cause Earth to fall within it.
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The red giant phase is the explosion, albeit a very slow one.
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> . It would be far more cost effective to solve problems on earth
Its far more cost effective to start wars (that destroys infrastructure and slaughters lives) in order to utilize regions like Antarctica for survival colonies???
Its always more cost effective when dealing with reasonable parties, but that's not the state of societies on Earth right now. You can try to run far enough to not be economically feasible to target, or you can try to exterminate populations to remove impediments to "saving the w
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Space is a vaccuum. There's a finite amount of material needed to separate your living environment from vaccuum.
Oceans deep and far away enough from shore to avoid sovereignty claims, exert enough depth pressure to crush/collapse most human engineered structures. You don't have to travel as far as space, but depth pressures do not make those environments any more cost effective than vaccuum.
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Re: No (Score:2)
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For that matter, the atmosphere of Mars alone is a good equivalent for Earth's magnetic field, giving a human naked on the surface better radiation shielding than someone on the ISS:
https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/space... [nasa.gov]
Obviously, someone naked on the surface would have a short life expectancy for other reasons, but the same is true of most of the Earth's surface. There are only a few locations where humans can survive without technological assistance. The idea that we are somehow so super-specialized for Earth
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Spoken like a pointless, irrelevant, anonymous coward.
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it's only one planet and planets are not forever.
It's much easier to keep this one in a good condition than it is to find another one that's even remotely suitable for us. And face it, even if we can terraform Mars, and we have regular rocket service there, 99.9999% of all people will be doomed to die on Earth anyway.
Re: No (Score:2)
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Life has survived billions of years of natural disasters. I'll take my chances. Besides, if we can't take care of one planet, there's no reason to assume we could take care of another, or that we would even be ready to invest trillions of dollars to colonize it.
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This precisely. In a thousand years, we're unlikely to have anything more than a tiny colony on Mars. And I'm not against pursuing that over time. But let's not throw huge amounts of assets (tax dollars) at a sci-fi pipe dream.
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Life has survived. but many species went extinct. I'm a little selfish. I want MY species to survive.
Frontiers are good for us. I don't want tax money to pay for punching holes in the frontier but I would like to have our species be (mostly) free to go out and reach for that frontier.
One thing not mentioned here (yet) is how much more efficient we tool users could be when we're outside the bounds of our fragile ecosystem. What if we could strip-mine an asteroid using methods that would be cheap but pos
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we need to get the human race off of the planet
Why? Who is hurt if the planet goes boom and mankind is wiped out?
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