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Neil DeGrasse Tyson Urges America To Challenge China To a Space Race 275

An anonymous reader writes: According to a Tuesday story in the UK edition of the International Business Times, Neil deGrasse Tyson, the celebrity astrophysicist and media personality, advocates a space race between the United States and China. The idea is that such a race would spur innovation and cause industry to grow. The Apollo race to the moon caused a similar explosive period of scientific research and engineering development. You might prefer the Sydney Morning Herald piece on which the IB Times article is based.
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Neil DeGrasse Tyson Urges America To Challenge China To a Space Race

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  • by rubycodez ( 864176 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @01:51PM (#49792553)

    How about collaboration, a team can do more than single entity

    • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday May 28, 2015 @01:58PM (#49792641)

      And it creates a shit ton of overhead, bureaucracy and finger pointing. Look at ITER. If one country had the will to carry it out, it would actually be built by now. Instead a decade gets spent trying to agree on a site. And the main qualification of the guy running it is that he is able to deal well with the political bullshit, but even he is tired of it.

      Bottom line, cooperation would be a royal detriment to progress.

      • To be fair, they now understand the initial design would not have worked.

        Jumping in with both feet doesn't always work out. They were right to keep it in the lab and not just start prototyping.

    • How about collaboration, a team can do more than single entity

      How about we focus on different goals? The Chinese are focused on establishing a human presence on the moon. America is focused on robotic exploration of Mars, the outer solar system, and asteroids. That seems like a good division of resources.

      Close collaboration can be a victim of political friction caused by, say, your partner invading one of your allies.

      The moon race is not a good model for success. It squandered huge amounts of resources, while having few long term goals beyond "winning". The glory

    • We already do, if you count stealing business and science data "collaborating." In most other accounts China is a hotbed for faked scientific information gathering. Every single "new science discovery" from China is just some fake data popped up by a corrupt government and their tightly controlled media.

    • A big part of the reason why this won't happen is that space-related technology tends to be inherently dual-use, i.e. much of it has military purposes. In fact, that's probably the single biggest reason why there was a space race at all in the 1950s/1960s. Since China is already known to be developing military capabilities specifically to counter the US navy/naval air, and has ongoing territorial disputes with at least five neighboring countries that I can think of offhand (several of which are close US a

    • How about collaboration, a team can do more than single entity

      Because it won't work. There is a reason we have competitive markets instead of collaborative markets. Collaboration works on a small scale but you need to harness competition to really push the boundaries quickly. Not to say collaboration is a bad thing but it simply will not make things happen. Sad but true.

      NdGT makes a very good point [youtube.com] that the only technologies that are really expensive (like space travel) that get funded are either in response to existential threats (i.e. nuclear war, etc) or for ta

      • NdGT makes a very good point [youtube.com] that the only technologies that are really expensive (like space travel) that get funded are either in response to existential threats (i.e. nuclear war, etc) or for tangible financial gain.

        Except he gets his facts completely wrong. For example, Columbus' Voyage was privately financed, and the risk of such voyages was generally privately insured.

        When it comes to space exploration you simply cannot quantify the risks sufficiently to get a return on investment so fin

        • For example, Columbus' Voyage was privately financed

          And where do you think Queen Isabella got that money? She wasn't a tech billionaire. The funding came from the Spanish Royal Treasury. That means Spanish peasants paid for it and spoils of war paid for it and outright theft paid for it.

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

          You think that solid gold throne Queen Elizabeth sits on when she's wearing her Imperial Crown that contains 2,868 diamonds, 273 pearls, 17 sapphires, 11 emeralds, and 5 rubies was paid fo

    • In fact, China just explicitly asked for space cooperation:
      http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/28/... [cnn.com]

  • Nothing brings a species together like breaking the moon into lots of tiny bits and dropping them on the planet we live on.

  • by jellomizer ( 103300 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @01:59PM (#49792653)

    If you are competing to be #1 there are two strategies.
    Make sure you perform better than the rest.
    Make sure the rest performs worse than you do.

    If your goal is to be #1, the easier strategy will be the one taken.

    If say the US is more focus on just advancing then being #1 then our efforts will be to build up other countries, and at the same time we will grow much further.

    • Perhaps you are right but the spirit of NdGT's (are those the appropriate initials) are most certainly for advancement of everyone.

  • by portwojc ( 201398 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @02:07PM (#49792745) Homepage

    If he hasn't noticed China is already racing ahead. We've rested on our laurels for too long.

    • Bullshit, guy. China is just got it together to get to the moon in 2013; fucking 40 YEARS later and without any live crew (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_landing#Chang.27e_3_.28China.29)!
      And they did that with the many plans they stole to build their knock-off rocket tech. Get a clue before you spew, buddy.

      You might want to look up this while you're getting new clues: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M... [wikipedia.org]

      Now, tell us again why getting to the moon 40 years late is "racing ahead"? Idiot.

      • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

        by Anonymous Coward

        Except they got to the moon for real. We staged our landing.

        • I know he's a troll/humorist, but I maybe some denialist will answer.

          I've always wondered about this. Were all the Apollo missions faked? Because, beforehand, there were the Ranger and Surveyor missions. Were those faked, too? What about the Apollo missions that didn't land on the Moon? Was Apollo 7, which just hung out in Earth orbit, faked? How about Apollo 8, which orbited the Moon? Apollo 9 stayed in Earth orbit with a LEM and Apollo 10 went to the Moon but didn't land. Were those faked, too?

          • yes I've also heard that the Earth is flat too so they must have faked the round blue ball thingy that we all saw.

          • Yes, because aliens on the moon told us to. We know this because when Neil Armstrong saw the aliens on the moon /in space, they brainwashed him. If this seems contradictory or paradoxical its because that is what the aliens want you to think!

            It's aliens all the way down.

    • Does China even have a man rated launcher yet? The US Launcher(s) aren't terribly far off, so that may be a bigger deal than who is spending more money.

      • Does China even have a man rated launcher yet?

        There is this thing called Wikipedia [wikipedia.org] that is just chock full of answers to questions like that.

      • by sconeu ( 64226 )

        You might want to ask these people [wikipedia.org] if China has a man-rated launcher.

        • In fairness, a country can have lots of astronauts without having the ability to launch them itself. After all, right now, the *USA* doesn't have a man-rated spacecraft, yet we still routinely send astronauts to the ISS. We just use Russian launches for it.

    • by aralin ( 107264 )

      We are not in it, because without the Chinese engineers, who would do the math necessary to get it done? :)

  • by mpthompson ( 457482 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @02:12PM (#49792785)

    If a space race would spur innovation through rivalry, why stop there? A full cold war would really get the rivalry juices flowing... Rah, Rah, go Team America and defeat the communist yellow man. [/sarcasm]

    This idea is very childish. The heated passion of rivalry does not make for good policy and planning decisions. As great as Apollo was for tangible technology spin offs, from a space policy perspective it was disaster. It did long term damage and did much to keep man in low orbit for following 50 years or longer. Another "space race" would just be a repeat of one step forward, two steps back that epitomized Apollo. Instead, if we are to venture into space, lets do it soberly and with calculation required to actually start long-term exploration and colonization efforts. Or, at least step out of the way and encourage those who want to explore and colonize space in an adult manner.

    • "It did long term damage and did much to keep man in low orbit for following 50 years or longer." -- I have not yet seen a convincing argument which backs this fairly common assertion up. I have seen arguments that the missile based spacecraft crowded out the "space planes" which were under development in the 50's, but those aren't even technically achievable now. Maybe, just maybe, the argument can be made that a stretched out program of going to the moon would have kept the public interested for longer

    • Imagine the innovations on both sides if we went full world war instead!

    • The heated passion of rivalry does not make for good policy and planning decisions.

      Sometimes it does and sometimes it does not. What is certain is that competition gets results. Our entire economy is based on it. The ONLY reason we went to the moon was because we were at (cold) war with the Soviets. Take away that driver and the Apollo missions simply would never have happened. Once it was clear the Soviets weren't going to the moon, the Apollo program was folded like a cheap tent and we haven't been back since.

      As great as Apollo was for tangible technology spin offs, from a space policy perspective it was disaster. It did long term damage and did much to keep man in low orbit for following 50 years or longer.

      I have seen no compelling argument or evidence to support this assertion

  • by painandgreed ( 692585 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @02:20PM (#49792873)

    China asked to join in on the ISS and we vetoed it. China said that they would launch their own space station. This is scheduled for 2020. We have already started a space race and are quite simply, waiting for the Chinese to catch up. They just got to a person into space in 2003 and landed something on the moon in 2007. Their proposed time table has them returning moon rock to earth in 2017, launching a space station in 2020, and a moon walk in 2024. So arguably, in a little less than ten years from now, they will have caught up with where the US was around almost two decades ago. Still, China proposes lots of things and fails to come through on them. If they actually get a space station launched and the ISS is retired with no replacement in the works, then I expect that the US will pay attention and start running again rather than walking.

    Personally, I expect Musk to have his own space station up sooner.

    • Something else [spacenews.com] to passively aggressively show that the US is thinking about separating from Russia and having a possible three way space race, or even giving China some aid.

    • We have already started a space race and are quite simply, waiting for the Chinese to catch up.

      What the hell kind of race do you wait for the opponent to catch up?

      • What the hell kind of race do you wait for the opponent to catch up?

        If the opponent can never catch up then it isn't a race. A race is a competition by definition. If one side can never win then it was never actually a competition in any meaningful sense of the word.

  • The original space race was a lot more about nuclear weapons fears and saber rattling than I think Neil appreciates. It may have been publicly perceived as a fun thing, but behind the scenes it was about military paranoia and a Cold War that came all-too-close to becoming VERY hot.

  • by avandesande ( 143899 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @02:25PM (#49792937) Journal

    I still find the Apollo Program amazing and audacious considering the technology of the time. Now a race would be just a question of political will and funding, not nearly as exciting.

  • For example, China and the US could have a bet -- loser's premier/president has to sing the national anthem of the other on international television. Or they could bet a really nice dinner in Paris. Or maybe they could bet, I dunno, world domination and possession of all lunar resources in perpetuity. I know which one The Brain would pick...

  • by Tablizer ( 95088 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @02:33PM (#49793015) Journal

    Manned missions are expensive, risky, and provide very little of value for the money other than knowledge of space's impact on the human body.

    Manned missions also take money away from robotic missions, which have proven to be far more scientifically valuable per dollar spent. I'd rather see a Titan boat probe and a Europa submarine probe than a manned near-orbit asteroid sampling mission.

    I believe other technologies have to catch up to make humans-in-space practical, such as automated dwelling construction and mining, and automation of space-based manufacturing and repair. It requires a lot of labor to make a self-sustaining colony, and space-suits make such impractical and risky. We need better helper robots first. Otherwise, we are just spinning our wheels. These problems will NOT be solved by yet more manned missions alone.

    Robotic probes are highly effective and efficient, while humans-in-space is currently very clunky, wasteful, risky, and expensive at this point in time. We are doing it wrong. Let other tech catch up first.

    • by Spy Handler ( 822350 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @03:19PM (#49793373) Homepage Journal

      Robot science missions are great, but they're not the end goal in space exploration (and they shouldn't be). If all we did was launch Voyager and Mars Rover type missions every few years, there would be no need to develop anything beyond the ULA Atlas rocket. There would be no Saturn V, no Falcon HR etc.

      Humans *want* to step on the moon and Mars and other places, so that gives us an incentive to develop the means to get there.

      • I don't think the GP was limiting the scope to science missions - instead, we should also be developing robotic missions to prepare for eventual humans. And more than just robots; even stuff as relatively trivial as 3D printers will make the difference between sustainable human presence versus short-term missions that won't last. There are many other components: better radiation shielding, genetically optimized plants, improved solar cells, and so on.

        Remember, ISS is only a few hundred feet up and it's st

      • One major problem of "getting there" involves going to places that are about as inhospitable to human life as one can possibly imagine and doing much to destroy the one livable planet we have. The other is that most of the "there" is so far away, that even if we develop rockets that are 1,000's of times faster than those currently available, what we already know about human biology clearly indicates without any doubt whatsoever that no one would survive the trip, which should we leave the solar system wou

    • We are doing it wrong. Let other tech catch up first.

      And what better way to "catch things up" than with a space race!

      • Our current gap is not really in space-specific technology. An "AI race" and/or 3D-printer/replicator-race would probably better serve the goal of living in space than a "space race" that only focuses on space-specific technology. We should focus on the bottlenecks, and those bottlenecks so far appear to NOT be space-specific.

        Think of how difficult it would be to do space exploration in general without compact computers. Computer technology is not space-specific, but computer technology miniaturization happ

    • Yup, and it is actually much more difficult than that. We're talking really exotic stuff in terms of technology. Centuries off from anything that we have today probably.

      You need lifeforms, or self replicating machines, that can survive in places like Mars and make useful byproducts for the colonizers, like oxygen, nutrients, etc. Either that, or some sort of replicator machine that could make anything, including copies of itself.

  • by ErichTheRed ( 39327 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @02:38PM (#49793065)

    One of the things that people seem to not realize is that, even though they are trade partners, there is another Cold War going on. It's not the nuclear kind, but it's definitely there in the form of Chinese state policy vs. the US's policy. China is willing to pour any amount of money into infrastructure and other projects to keep its economy growing...look at all the spending that is happening post-2008. (Google "ghost cities".) China is also able to do whatever it wants regardless of public opinion, which is directly opposed to the US way of doing anything. For example, they are literally picking up and moving millions of people from the countryside into the cities they have built to improve service delivery...try that here and see how far you get. These things, combined with a population advantage, guarantee China's success long-term absent any other forces.

    The only thing that could tip the balance is ideology-driven races like this. The Apollo program was similar to current Chinese policy -- pour anything and everything into it as long as we win. Same went for all the Cold War spending, because people were convinced we would be destroyed otherwise. You can argue the military buildup was a waste, but look at the employment and technology transfer it enabled. It also hammered home the need to educate scientists and engineers, and real dollars were put behind that (see the 50s-70s buildup of the national labs and state university systems as an example.) In the current US political climate, funding education and fixing roads is evil socialism and money should never be spent on public projects. Focusing people's limited attention spans on an external power might be a good thing.

    • These things, combined with a population advantage, guarantee China's success long-term absent any other forces.

      Only up to a point. Part of the reason why China has been enjoying enormous rates of economic growth is that it had so far to go. Once their economy and standard of living starts to get much closer to that of the existing advanced industrial economies, and they lose their advantage of cheap labor, all they're left with is the population advantage. And they'll be busy strip-mining the third worl

      • And they'll be busy strip-mining the third world

        They are also strip-mining their own country. Its easy to sustain a lot of growth as long as you can mobilize ever larger amounts of resources. This is in fact how the soviet union was able to compete for so long, but eventually it could not keep increasing the amount of resources that it mobilized.

        The western world also fuels growth in part through resource mobilization, but a non-trivial amount of that growth is also from pure value creation. Most people don't know that gasoline started as a waste prod

        • This is in fact how the soviet union was able to compete for so long, but eventually it could not keep increasing the amount of resources that it mobilized.

          I almost mentioned Russia in my comment - there was a time in the 1930s, when the US and Europe were stuck in the Depression, many Westerners thought that communism might end up totally eclipsing their (at the time) failed economies. And the USSR did grow from a nation of mostly peasants into an industrial superpower incredibly quickly. China has done

  • How do we get technology? Space Race How do we get a space race? Cold War
  • so says George Jones..... http://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics... [azlyrics.com]
  • From the Sidney Morning Herald:

    In the search to find the high-paying jobs and industries of the future, Neil deGrasse Tyson has an idea for a novel solution. How about a militarised space race to Mars?

    More specifically, the famed American astrophysicist says that if he could just get China's leaders to leak a memo to the West about plans to build military bases on Mars, "the US would freak out and we'd all just build spacecraft and be there in 10 months".

    Ignoring the fact that the US and China (and over 100 other countries) have signed the Outer Space Treaty [slashdot.org], which prohibits establishing military bases on other planets, just who would you be defending from / attacking from a Mars military base? Martians who want a second War of the Worlds [wikipedia.org]?

  • We could challenge them to a dance off.

  • Instead, let's challenge China to create the most carbon efficient economy on the planet. That way even the looser wins. Wasting precious time on another space race, while the Earth warms at an exponential rate will only produced losers, no matter who "wins" the space race.

  • China says, "No ... (Score:4, Interesting)

    by CaptainDork ( 3678879 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @04:55PM (#49794069)

    ... thank you."

    China is busy going after resources.

    The South China Sea is a land grab for oil.

    The Moon is a land grab for minerals.

  • by NostalgiaForInfinity ( 4001831 ) on Thursday May 28, 2015 @05:45PM (#49794369)

    Neil deGrasse Tyson is the guy who claimed that Columbus was "government financed":

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]

    In fact, he is wrong on numerous accounts. First of all, these voyages were not all that expensive, probably less than $100 million in modern dollars; they were less than 10% of what Spain paid that year to get the Moors out of Spain. And Queen Isabella was a totalitarian ruler who effectively invested her private money in this venture, and she very much wanted a return. Furthermore, the expedition to the new world was insured by private insurers, so it was actually the private sector taking the risk; much of the expense of such exploration was, in fact, for insurance. Finally, about half of the money for the expedition actually came from other private investors.

    So, when deGrasse Tyson advocates that we should engage in a government-funded space race with the Chinese, he is guided by numerous wrong assumptions. deGrasse Tyson always sounds like he is very authoritative (it's the voice and the delivery), but his actual knowledge of economics and history seems to be poor. And don't kid yourself, the guy is lobbying in his own interest, because once private space exploration takes off, people like him will become irrelevant.

    When he says that it is wrong that "if we had given the money we spent on NASA to the private sector, we would be on the moon and on Mars more cheaply", he is, however, absolutely right. He is right because it makes little difference whether government pays its cronies in the private sector directly or through NASA; the error in both cases is that government takes the money and reallocates it in ways that are driven by lobbying and politics, not efficiency and results.

  • How about a green energy race while we're at it?

  • by tsotha ( 720379 )
    The whole idea rests on some questionable pop history. Much of what people claim to be the product of the "space race" was developed far earlier for military or commercial uses. Velcro, for example, commonly cited as NASA breakthrough was actually patented in Switzerland in 1948. If we're going to pour resources into something, instead of doing a pointless vanity project like a moon landing let's do something useful this time. Nuclear fusion, for example, or diabetes research.

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