Excess Coffee May Be Linked To Early Death 220
Mr.Intel writes "Should we believe it? Those of us under 55 who drink a lot of coffee – more than four cups per day – may be at greater risk of an early death. And not just death from heart problems, but death from all causes. The study, published in Mayo Clinic Proceedings (abstract), followed people for almost two decades, and found that in both sexes, younger people were more likely to die of anything than people who drank less."
Juan Valdez (Score:3)
Must be spinning in his grave ... oh wait...
Re:Juan Valdez (Score:5, Funny)
People who drink more coffee also have more sex.
It's the sex that kills 'em off. But what a way to go! Buzzed and polished.
Re:Juan Valdez (Score:5, Insightful)
I should be dead, because I've been drinking a whole pot every day for over 40 years. But then, I'm in the middle of few Bell curves.
Perhaps there's no causation behind this correlation? Perhaps what kills you isn't the coffee (like you said humorously) but substituting coffee for sleep? If a and b or correlated, sometimes the causative factor is c which triggers both a and b.
I drink a lot of coffee, but I also sleep 7 to 9 hours a night. This needs further study.
Mea Culpa (Score:5, Funny)
"If a and b or correlated"
*facepalm* Someone slap me, I must need more coffee!
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"If a and b or correlated"
*facepalm* Someone slap me, I must need more coffee!
And, there will be outliers that don't fit the pattern (or correlation) either, possibly you in this case. That doesn't mean that everyone or even a majority of cases will be like you! If there's one thing I learned during my chemotherapy for Hodgkin's is that everyone's body chemistry is different. Everyone! Just because a majority happen to die given the same dosage of the same drug doesn't mean everyone will, and just because one outlier doesn't die from the same dosage also doesn't mean everyone won't d
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Yes, more study needed. Here's a correlation I bet they could prove: companies where employees go through company provided aspirin bottles rapidly have employees who die younger. We used to joke that the effort and often results from employees could be measured by the aspirin bottle, sort of like measuring coffee consumption.
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In other news: doing something to excess might not be good for your health. Actually, that's not news; it's a tautology.
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eh (Score:4, Funny)
causation versus correlation (Score:2, Interesting)
if you are the kind of person who drinks that much coffee...
anyway it's not clear that coffee is the problem
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:5, Informative)
if you are the kind of person who drinks that much coffee...
anyway it's not clear that coffee is the problem
Doesn't matter in the market, though, expect Starbucks stock to dip on the news. Wait for it to go to a sufficient low and buy, because caffeine addicts will rationalize their fear away (the way smokers are real pros at) and be back in two shakes of a lamb's tail.
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:5, Interesting)
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Most shocking thing to me is that 4 cups of coffee a day is considered "a lot of coffee". Of course I live in Seattle so my view may be a bit skewed.
There are Cups and there are Cups. Starbucks coffee, even just the straight stuff I baffle people with (when I endeavour to slum) is far more potent than the stuff I make when at the office or camping. I thin it out pretty good (you can actually see through it) and sip it, rather than wrap my mouth around the cup and tilt my head back with a sound like a toilet bowl draining.
Perhaps there's something like a Caffeine Molarity to be considered.
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:4, Funny)
Why would you ever want to thin it that far?
I find Starbucks coffee already too weak. I want a fork to stand up in the coffee, ideally.
Re: causation versus correlation (Score:3)
We keep the 16 M coffee under the hood. Be sure to wear gloves and goggles when handling.
Re: causation versus correlation (Score:5, Funny)
Add DMSO and apply directly to the skin. It's the only way to be sure.
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:5, Funny)
I want a fork to stand up in the coffee, ideally.
No, the fork should dissolve.
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:5, Funny)
No, the fork should bend out of the way to avoid entering the coffee at all.
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Maybe you should consider just eating roasted coffee beans.
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I like the commercials where they say cigarettes have urea which is found in cat pee. All I can think is, you mean they use the same fertilizer they put on all those vegetables you eat?
{don't get me wrong there is no smoking in my house but those commercials are silly}
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Starbucks stock didnt move on the news. Any other advice?
Either coffee drinkers are more bound to their daily dose or quicker on the uptake of rationalization than Krispy Kreme fans, when the word got out that donuts can make you fat.
Or people are more conscious of how they appear than how they feel about early onset of bucket kickin'
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Actually, it appears SBUX peaked around 11am (about when the Forbes article went up if I'm right about the timezones), then dropped until about an hour ago, and is now going back up.
Probably just a coincidence though.
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:4, Insightful)
Stop considering taking stock tips from random slashdotters. Not even as a joke.
That's almost worse than trolling "Ask Slashdot" for career advice.
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:5, Funny)
Stop considering taking stock tips from random slashdotters. Not even as a joke.
That's almost worse than trolling "Ask Slashdot" for career advice.
Yeah, us random slashdotters haven't learned a thing about the stock market over the years.
sent by my butler's assistant's lackey's peon
Re:causation versus correlation (Score:4, Insightful)
Totally agree.
I drink a lot of coffee, but it's probably the whole 75 hour work weeks that lead me to do so that are the problem (and the associated lack of sleep and terrible diet).
Re: causation versus correlation (Score:2)
Could also be pesticides. Gotta keep those Peruvian Coffee Weevils at bay.
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Re:causation versus correlation (Score:4, Informative)
Absolutely, the mortality risk from accidents, heart attack, stroke high blood pressure related deaths etc doubles for people who's sleep is lessened by 2 hours from 7 to 5hours. Excessive coffee drinkers group is highly likely to have a big overlap with the sleep deprived group.
(sleep deprivation causes your blood pressure to rise).
So, sort your life out! - I mean that in a nice way.
Life without coffee? (Score:5, Funny)
Why would you even want that?
Re:Life without coffee? (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Life without coffee? (Score:5, Insightful)
Maybe you didn't realize this but... (Score:3)
Maybe you didn't realize it; but you've given us a rather succinct re-telling of the Mexican fisherman story [noogenesis.com]
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Buy coffee now AND later. When you have no retirement savings, someone ELSE will pay for it, guaranteed!
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I don't believe in life before coffee.
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Why would you even want that?
Well good news: Cofee May Reduce Risk of Suicide [harvard.edu]
Correlation not cause (Score:5, Interesting)
Possible correlation to people who drink a lot of coffee and people who work crazy hours/lots of stress/not much sleep/eat poorly/etc..
My excessive coffee drinking is a symptom of my shitty lifestyle.
Re:Correlation not cause (Score:4, Interesting)
Possible correlation to people who drink a lot of coffee and people who work crazy hours/lots of stress/not much sleep/eat poorly/etc..
My excessive coffee drinking is a symptom of my shitty lifestyle.
I was a serious caffeine addict for the better part of a year, while putting in 14-16 hour days - yeah, I think the lack of sleep alone, plus the spice of stress, was doing quite a bit of damage. Now I only have a little now and then, preferring tea. Life is better.
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And yes, there are many possible root causes for the link. One you already cited: Living excessive is connected to both early death without a dominant cause, and excessive consumation of certain products.
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My excessive coffee drinking is the cause of my awesome lifestyle. You're doing something wrong.
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I think that's at least partly causative. The coffee enables people to work the crazy hours.
Fits the data (Score:3)
Possible correlation to people who drink a lot of coffee and people who work crazy hours/lots of stress/not much sleep/eat poorly/etc..
My excessive coffee drinking is a symptom of my shitty lifestyle.
There probably is a strong correlation between younger people who drink a lot of coffee and have an unhealthy lifestyle. Supposedly the researcher corrected for smoking but not for things like too little sleep, too much stress, etc. (Been there. Done that.) If that describes you and you survive into your 50s, chances are that your lifestyle gets healthier but you still have the coffee habit and then the health benefits of coffee consumption kick in. (There now. Doing that.)
I'm down to only about 5 mugs
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You can drink a lot of coffee and work regular forty hour weeks and have a fifteen minute or less commute too. (I know half a dozen people like that.)
I'm worried! (Score:5, Funny)
Re:I'm worried! (Score:4, Funny)
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Thank the godz I'm over 55!
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Well, I am 53... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Well, I am 53... (Score:4, Funny)
In American English your comment is very funny. You mention forgetting homosexuals, but you drink tea. I know what you meant, but man you are a bunch of Nancies.
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Says the guy who has not tried out modern beer.
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If they are from West Virginia they are not Yanks to us. They are southerners. They are likely religious and don't drink at home.
Where did those studies go .. (Score:2)
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Did they look at other habits too? (Score:2)
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As should be expected, smoking nicotine increase the rate at which the body eliminates caffiene, actually cuts the average plasma half life in half. This means smokers, who have a higher than average likelihood of early death, who drink coffee, can be heavier coffee drinkers easily.... leading to a bit of a selection bias if they didn't controll for it.
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Also, smokers smoke more heavily when drinking coffee (just like alcohol).
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"However, after stratification based on age, younger (28 cups per week) and all-cause mortality after adjusting for potential confounders and fitness level (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.30-1.87 for men; and HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.26-3.59 for women)."
I believe the standard next step is to assert that they couldn't have possibly checked for all possible correlated variables, and hence all studies are meaningless. If you're into that sort of thing.
Make up your mind, dammit! (Score:5, Insightful)
Or even sometimes they say it actually lowers the risk of death. [slashdot.org]
Other times they say it's horrible [slashdot.org] and should be avoided. [slashdot.org]
Can you please make up your minds already? |:
Re:Make up your mind, dammit! (Score:4, Insightful)
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This reminds me of decades ago when I was poor and they decided butter was bad for you. The price of butter plummeted and the price of margarine shot up, which was a GOOD thing, as I love butter but couldn't afford it when it wasn't bad for you and I had to settle for (yech) margarine.
Like the studies you point out, then it was margarine that was bad for you, but by then I was no longer poor and could afford butter.
As to coffee, perhaps this will bring the price of coffee down, it's doubled in price in the
Correlation equals Causality (Score:4, Funny)
Every good junk scientist knows that correlation always equals causality. I am a member of the junk scientists world club. We meet every year. Everyone flys to the west to get to our meeting so that no one will end up flying off the end of the earth. Correlation equals causality is thesis of every speach. So it can't be that people addicted to coffee might be more likely to be addicted to something else as well. If coffee is correlated to death then coffee must cause death!
Oh Shit (Score:2)
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As a guy who can drink 2L of coffee a day that is scary.
Like the Bruce Willis movie (spoiler alert), you're already dead!
Thinly disguised non-story (Score:2)
They make this claim in the first paragraph and then spend the next four pages pointing out that they didn't check lifestyle, didn't distinguish caffeinated and decaff and that half a dozen other studies have shown health benefits of drinking coffee, and conclude by saying that health experts are not putting coffee on any lists for lack of hard evidence.
Should we believe it? (Score:2)
Bloody Confounded Epidemialogical Studies! (Score:2)
This study tells you nothing useful. How much more confounded can you be than with the lifestyle choices that associate with coffee drinking?
Dup comment (Score:3)
those who don't drink coffee (Score:3)
Those who don't drink coffee are more likely to die in their sleep.
In other news... (Score:2)
Excess leads to death. As if, yakknow, we all didn't know this already.
It didn't take long to figure this out (Score:2)
TFA says, "...may be at greater risk of an early death. And not just death from heart problems, but death from all causes..."
This is obviously because people who drink more than four cups of coffee a day are awake and actually doing things. People who don't are sleeping their lives away, all safe and tucked away in bed. And except for that poor bastard in Florida who got eaten by the sink hole, remarkably few healthy people die while they're peacefully snoring away in their own bed.
QE-frickin'-D.
The candle which burns twice as bright... (Score:2)
Fuck that - life without coffee isn't really life, amiright?
May as well ask me to give up bacon.
Running out of hearbeats (Score:2)
Two decades or so ago, I read an article in Scientific American that bascially said biological organs have a maximum "cycle duty". In other words, humming-bird hearts and human hearts get pretty much same number of beats before they wear out, but since their hearts beat 1260 times a minute [wikipedia.org] instead of 70, they only live 5 years [wikipedia.org] instead of 90.
Now, this is clearly a simplistic view of anatomy. However, if he's onto something, then you'd expect people who regularly raise their heart rates (eg: with large dail
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However, if he's onto something, then you'd expect people who regularly raise their heart rates (eg: with large daily caffine intakes), to live a bit shorter lives than everyone else on average.
If that's the case than people who get a lot of exercise should die young. Note that this study said more folks died "of all causes". That suggests to me that it's the lack of sleep that does it; someone who gets 4 hours of sleep and drinks that coffee on the way to work is in some deadly danger (as are all the peopl
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No, because if you exercise regularly your resting heart rate will be lower, which presumably will compensate for the higher rate during exercise (I exercise a lot, and my resting heart rate is 49 bpm - a real athlete's rate will be even lower).
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Contradicting studies (Score:4, Interesting)
As soon as I read the headline, I was reminded of an earlier slashdot article [slashdot.org] from last year.
In the linked NIH study, drinking 3 or more cups of coffee a day was associated with a lower risk of death. From all causes. This study is probably a follow up to the earlier study, and they came to the opposite conclusion.
Conclusion: not enough studies to change your daily habits one way or another. Obligatory xkcd [xkcd.com]
This just in... (Score:5, Funny)
Coffee drinkers studied by Mayo Clinic scientists have a greater chance of dying than NIH coffee drinkers.
Large cup size? (Score:2)
Since there is no legal "standard" coffee cup does the study define a cup? Could be anywhere from 5 ounces to 8 oz.
Obvious conclusion: (Score:3)
Bad for those under 55 years old, huh?
So, you're saying I only have to survive 4 more years until it starts being good for me?
I'm in denial (Score:2)
Excess Posting Of Comments To Slashdot (Score:2)
"has been linked to an early d....ACK, GAG" (thud).
What does this phrase mean? (Score:2)
"younger people were more likely to die of anything than people who drank less." ???
And in 30 years... (Score:2)
When Global Cooling seems imminent, they will determine that coffee reduces the incidences of heart attacks, cancer and stupid posts on Slashdot.
Amateurs (Score:2)
I'm a 48-year old card-carrying member of the Serious Coffee Drinkers of America. I drink my first four cups of coffee before I leave for work in the morning. My coffee cup at work is actually a travel mug, and it's never empty or contain cold coffee. I drink a full pot of coffee between dinner and bedtime. Most workdays, I drink 20-30 cups of coffee, easily. I cut back to only 10 cups or so per day on the weekends.
Sooner or later (Score:2)
Life is gonna kill you.
This is why I hate academia (Score:2)
Ok first, even though as about 20 people have posted "correlation does not equal causation", the authors are also aware of this and therefore control for many other things. So whenever you doubt the causual relationship claimed by a study, it's always good to actually read the paper.
However in this case, the "correlation does not equal causation" crowd were right, and the authors even admit it
Obviously (Score:2)
Excess [anything] May Be Linked To [something bad]
That's why they call it "excess".
Meh (Score:2)
Re:Not always... (Score:4, Funny)
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I assume you take your dead fetus dredged through elephant shit drenched in horse semen instead, then.
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That is a good question. In the US, most coffemakers are graduated such that a cup is 6 US ounces (an official cup being 8 ounces). I drink 2 good-sized mugs of coffee every morning, which is about 4 coffeemaker cups, so about 3 official cups.
But I am over 55, so I have nothing to worry about. :-)
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But I am over 55, so I have nothing to worry about.
Yes you do, just not death. I'm 61 and for the last year or so if I drink too much coffee I get the shakes. I've cut my consumption down... a little. When I get the shakes I have to pour out the rest of the cup.
Not a good thing. I love coffee.
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A correlation was shown, but with a 6 digit UID you've been here long enough to know that correlation does not necessarily mean causation. The possibilities:
Coffee causes early death (doubtful)
Early death causes coffee (impossible)
Something else causes both (most likely)
Coincidence (possible but unlikely)
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The possibilities:
Coffee causes early death (doubtful)
Early death causes coffee (impossible)
Something else causes both (most likely)
Coincidence (possible but unlikely)
OR
Author of study has some terrible disease that means he can't drink coffee and has it in for the rest of us coffee drinkers (obvious answer).
BSD drinks too much coffee! (Score:4, Funny)
It is official; Netcraft now confirms: *BSD is drinking more than four cups of coffee per day.
One more crippling bombshell hit the already beleaguered *BSD community when IDC confirmed that *BSD coffee consumption has risen yet again, now over more than 4 cups a day. Coming close on the heels of a recent Netcraft survey which plainly states that *BSD has drunk more coffee, this news serves to reinforce what we've known all along. *BSD is drinking pots of coffee every day.
You don't need to be a Juan Valdez to predict *BSD's future. The kettle is on the stove: *BSD faces a bleak future. In fact there won't be any future at all for *BSD because *BSD is drinking too much coffee. Things are looking very bad for *BSD. As many of us are already aware, *BSD continues to drink coffee. Coffee flows like a river of coffee.
FreeBSD is the most endangered of them all, having drunk more than a pot a day for years. The unwashed cups on the desks of long time FreeBSD developers only serve to underscore the point more clearly. There can no longer be any doubt: FreeBSD is drinking coffee.
Fact: *BSD drinks excessive amounts of coffee.
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That actually sounds like the lifestyle of most of the Third World.