No Moon Needed For Extraterrestrial Life 246
sciencehabit writes "Given the generally accepted idea of how Earth got its big moon — through a dramatic collision with a Mars-sized body that knocked a huge chunk of Earth loose — astronomers estimate that only 1% of all Earth-like planets in the universe might actually have such a hefty companion. That would mean planets harboring complex life might be relatively rare. But researchers have now carried out large numbers of detailed numerical simulations of 'moon-less Earths,' which show that the consequences are less dire than is generally assumed. According to the simulations, these planets would have ample time for advanced land life to evolve. As a result, the number of Earth-like extrasolar planets suitable for harboring advanced life could be 10 times higher than has been assumed until now."
No Werewolves! (Score:2)
YAY! We can be safe from Werewolves on these 'that's no moon' planets.
Also, "10 times higher" did they just pluck that number out of thin air?
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Re:No Werewolves! (Score:4, Funny)
YAY! We can be safe from Werewolves on these 'that's no moon' planets.
Also, "10 times higher" did they just pluck that number out of thin air?
Possibly someplace darker and smellier.
New Jersey.
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Possibly someplace darker and smellier.
I was trying to think of a way to work Uranus into this, but failed.
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as long as we're allowed to work a way into Uranus ....
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did they just pluck that number out of thin air?
No, what they pluck out of thin air is what "advanced life" is. Unless they mean "life as we know it".
and given that assumption is now questioned... (Score:2)
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You'd have to be nearly omniscient to know that.
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Because, the default position has been that life is exceedingly difficult to make happen, and that you needed a truck-load of favorable conditions to even hope it could happen. I think the notion was that we were a rare and unique solar system.
I seem to recall in the late 80s/early 90s when the notion of finding an exoplanet was pretty far fetched.
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Well, according to the definition of life, planets are already life anyway, just not self-replicating life, and probably not intelligent.
Me, I think the SETI
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By what definition of 'life' is a planet 'alive'?? None that I've heard.
No, they're restricting their search to actual s
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While I agree with you and also see the analogies between electrons orbiting in atoms clustered to form cells, and planets, stars and galaxies and wonder, I don't think it's fair to call the SETI guys closed minded for not. You are basically espousing fantasy, not open-mindedness. The speed of light is fundamental, and so is information theory. You can't have intelligent life the size of an electron, there isn't anywhere for their intelligence to be stored. An alien the size of the universe would be
Power of Ego (Score:2)
Because, the default position has been that life is exceedingly difficult to make happen, and that you needed a truck-load of favorable conditions to even hope it could happen. I think the notion was that we were a rare and unique solar system. ...
The more time passes, the more it's hard not to look at Drake's equation and figure that he might have been onto something
For any denominator in Drake's equation where we don't have the technology to measure it, shouldn't the null hypothesis be that Earth (and by
Re:and given that assumption is now questioned... (Score:5, Insightful)
I don't know that I'd call it wishful thinking ... it's a framework to discuss the likelihood that another planet exists out there with an intelligent civilization.
Whether or not we're alone in the universe has been one of the "great questions" of man for centuries now ... I don't think knowing the answer to that, or working towards one it just wishful thinking.
Drake's equation is more of a starting point to have a discussion, it mostly just tries to frame the complexity of what's being discussed. It's like Moore's law -- it's value isn't so much in that it authoritatively explains anything. It certainly has very few assumptions inherently built into it -- it's an expression of what the chances are based on how much we think the values of the individual terms change. It is definitely more of a thought experiment than it is an equation, which was the whole point.
Quite frankly, I'd rather know that there's life out there, even if we can't ever reach it or communicate with it. If for nothing else, to have something to throw up in the face of the creationists who believe that god created the entire universe just for us -- not that I'd expect them to believe anything based on science.
I think now that we've started discovering hundreds of exoplanets, Drake's equation starts to get a few more terms filled in -- and the number of stars with planets has become a much greater number than previously thought. I seem to recall 15 or so years ago, the assumption was that stars with planets would be exceedingly rare and that we were a fluke. Change that one assumption alone, and you need to think about it differently.
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I suppose the average distance between planets with life is pretty large. But that doesn't mean there are cases where the distance is much less than average. Take the number of stars in the universe, and take the number of those stars that have a planet with life. If the number of planets with life is just around the square root of the number of stars in the universe, it is reasonably likely that somewhere in t
What about tides, seismic activity? (Score:4, Insightful)
Don't tides and seismic activity play big roles in how we think life evolved?
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The sun also causes tides.
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The sun also causes tides.
I would expect so, but my hasty back-of-the-envelope (read: Wolfram Alpha [wolframalpha.com]) says that the Moon's influence is about 75 thousand times larger.
IANAA, so please point out how I'm wrong but bear in mind that just saying "you're wrong" isn't at all helpful.
Re:What about tides, seismic activity? (Score:5, Informative)
Actually, the Moon's influence on the tides is only 2.21 times larger than the Sun's:
http://imagine.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/ask_astro/answers/961029b.html [nasa.gov]
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Actually, the Moon's influence on the tides is only 2.21 times larger than the Sun's:
http://imagine.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/ask_astro/answers/961029b.html [nasa.gov]
No. Everyone knows that 2.21 is the number of "Jigga-watts" it takes to travel in time.
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You can leave your nerd card at the door
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I think you need to square distance in that equation (G*M1*M2/r^2). That gives a factor of 199 instead of 75,000. Wolfram Alpha [wolframalpha.com]
D'oh!
Well spotted.
Please explain (Score:5, Interesting)
Why was there ever an assumption that a moon is required for complex life? Stabilization of the axis and climate regions? Or did we just assume it because it worked here?
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As I recall, the moon itself protects the planet from some amount of meteors and asteroids. Might reduce the chances of life getting wiped out too early.
And, I think that the tides provided by a moon would keep things moving around instead of stagnating.
Those are my best guesses from memory.
Re:Please explain (Score:4, Interesting)
And, I think that the tides provided by a moon would keep things moving around instead of stagnating.
Not to mention the tidal forces make the Earth's surface flex about 1ft (as evidenced by my GPS) per day. All that flexing keeps the insides hot as well as triggers earthquakes that would otherwise be more devastating, and helps lava flow so that smaller, more frequent volcanic outbursts occur instead of less frequent super volcanic activities that would extinct us all.
Conversely, why the hell we think only land life would be sentient and capable of technology is beyond me -- Seems that artificial water filled environments might be easier to maintain in space too (holds heat better, freezes at the edges for insulation, shields against certain UV wavelengths... There's a reason life happened in the watter first, making it to land doesn't seem all that important to me. Dolphins may actually be close to sentience -- they returned to the water because land life was harsh.
Basically... Yeah. (Score:3)
On all of your points.
According to TFA we did assume based on some calculations from 1993 that "Without the moon, gravitational perturbations from other planets...would greatly disturb Earthâ(TM)s axial tilt".
And as with all other assumptions we ever made on extraterrestrial life - if it worked here...
There IS though, another point in the "moon equation" that is only hinted at in the article. Possibly cause it is assumed to be taken for granted (more of the "if it worked here...").
That would leave ample time for advanced land life to evolve under relatively stable climatic conditionsâ"although what would happen to such life during an axial shift remains unclear.
If you want your sea-
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If you want your sea-dwelling life to migrate to land, stable yet powerful tides that regularly wash the aforementioned sea-dwelling life ashore surely are a plus. For plants and for animals that would feed on them.
I think you got it backwards; life started in the sea, so there would be nobody to feed upon the first creatures that were washed and/or moved ashore.
Plants went ashore to avoid being grazed upon, then followed the grazers to graze without competition and without being preyed upon, and the predators were last to follow to prey upon forementioned grazers without competition in those new hunting grounds.
Plus, the buffer zone exists anyway because oceans are turbulent- my guess is tides would not be that cruc
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Plants went ashore to avoid being grazed upon
Unless you are talking about triffids, plants didn't go anywhere - by themselves, that is. They were washed ashore and they multiplied from there.
Also, being that they tend to be stationary plants don't really "avoid being grazed upon". Most of them actually count on it for procreation.
Those that do develop defenses again mostly do that in a passive way - thorns, poisons, hard protective bark, resilience, quick procreation...
What I'm trying to say is - plants are not really that pro-active. BUT... they DO h
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dynamo_theory [wikipedia.org]
Tidal interaction has nothing to do with it. Actually, the Earth's magnetic field would likely be stronger without the Moon since tidal interactions have transferred angular momentum to the Moon and slowed the Earth's spin over geologic time.
Mars' core has likely long solidified given its small size and Venus rotates very slowly, which is why neither of them has a significant active dynamo.
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Collision? (Score:2)
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This theory bothers me as well, but more for the simpler perspective of how the hell did the chuck of rock knocked off earth become so round in space? Shouldn't it be more like a big jaggiedy piece?
No. Gravity of any sufficiently large object causes it to become spherical over time.
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Especially if it's soft and gooey.
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Because when something like Mars hits something like the Earth, they tend to become molten from the energies involved and gravity does the rest. I believe this is one of the things pointing in favor of the big impact theory. Trips to the mo
This is a SIGNIFICANT problem (Score:3, Interesting)
Here's what a rational, realistic analysis of tech progression would expect. GIVEN that life on earth can self replicate itself and use a huge range of molecules for fuel, it seems obvious that more sophisticated life is possible than already exists. Our star exhausts enormous amounts of free energy into space every second. Thus, one would expect that some day, perhaps next century or thousands of years from now, we will develop more sophisticated life that can use ALL of the matter in our solar system (rather than just a narrow range in the biosphere) and will use solar energy to rapidly convert all matter into parts of this life. This expectation is known as the singularity, and generally is assumed to require both artificial intelligence and molecular manufacturing (nanotechnology) to take place. There are plausible reasons to think that this event might happen in this century.
Well, if this is GOING to happen, and one would expect other intelligent life to do the same, and to eventually reach the same point. Then why don't we see the evidence of this out in space? Most of the stars should be missing, radiating mostly in the infrared. There should be a cacophony of data transmission between stars, although we might not be able to detect this. There should be other evidence of lively interstellar civilizations.
Theories :
1. The singularity is not physically possible. That means, of course, that our theories of physics are massively wrong as well, and that all our assumptions about intelligent life are as well.
2. Every single intelligent civilization self destructs. This also seems ludicrous...even if it happens some times, there should at least be remnants.
3. We are the first within our region of space. It took life on this planet ~3 billion years to get to this point, and many billions of years for this planet to form with the elements it has. The universe is only ~13 billion years old. Possible...
4. Technology can do even more than we assume. Maybe you don't actually need to surround stars with solar collectors to get energy...And our neighbors obey the prime directive...
And so forth. The number of possible theories is infinite, the number of probable theories large.
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We've had already two dozen civilizations on earth that self-destructed, so this seems like a likely scenario. The remnants are likely too hard to detect. Our current civilization is pretty much undetectable beyond the orbit of Pluto, and is probably already past its peak.
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We've had already two dozen civilizations on earth that self-destructed, so this seems like a likely scenario. The remnants are likely too hard to detect. Our current civilization is pretty much undetectable beyond the orbit of Pluto, and is probably already past its peak.
Depends on your definition of civilization. If you take "Rome" as a civilization, sure it collapsed. But if you take "Humanity" as the civilization, it has never collapsed- just gone from strength to strength, occasionally with a new guy on top.
If we found an alien civilization, I doubt you'd hear anyone saying "Wow, we've found the planet of the Gilgargiangan civilization; it's a real shame that the Flofringian civilization already died out due to barbarian invasion, that would have been way better".
And I'
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We're running out of cheap oil, and have nothing planned for its replacement that can be ready in time. Not even the Chinese.
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Uhh..nuclear....
I mean, it may be dirty, and it may have some nasty problems..but it DOES WORK. And there's more of it than we can use...
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Sure, but is it going to be ready in time ? Running cars on nukes will require lots of new reactors, a complete overhaul of the grid, better battery technology, and replacement of about a billion cars. Even if we knew what to do, how long would the implementation take ? Note that the nuclear option isn't very popular right now.
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We have vast amounts of wealth, most of it we fritter on wars and entertainment. If energy prices went up 10 times, and our very survival was an issue, things would change very rapidly. Simple economics would dictate that...saving energy and batteries and a grid overhaul would all be cost effective if energy was expensive. Look at what happened during WW2 : the Axis powers developed novel methods to replace oil in a FEW YEARS WHILE BEING BOMBED.
This is because they were desperate.
We have a gigantic reser
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You consider present-day civilization to be past it's peak? I'm really having a hard time comprehending why anyone would think this. I guess I don't understand what you mean by a self-destructed civilization. For me the collapse of human civilization means humans go extinct, or at least human population shrinks to such an extent that all progress comes to a halt and humanity reverts to a hun
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I mean "past its peak" in the sense that the dot com bubble was "past its peak" in 1999, even though the literal peak was in 2000. The last bit was just inertia.
And I'm not talking about extinction, just the loss of radio technology for instance. Something that would make us completely undetectable as an intelligent life form viewed by somebody living a few light years away.
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I also don't think it naturally follows that a civilization's ultimate achievement is using stars. Stars are awesome and all, but couldn't there be a more efficient energy source than a huge blob of hydrogen fusing in the middle of space? I think there might be sources of energy heretofore barely imagined, like
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Thus, one would expect that some day, perhaps next century or thousands of years from now, we will develop more sophisticated life that can use ALL of the matter in our solar system (rather than just a narrow range in the biosphere) and will use solar energy to rapidly convert all matter into parts of this life.
why would one expect that?
If the lifeform you vagely described evolved after N generations, you can't even begin to imagine what N-1 looks like. So even if we have 1,2,3,4,5,6 up to some finite generation which describes life on earth today, and even if we observe some trend towards efficiency (in fact we didn't.. but let that slide), without knowing how N-1 converts into N, or knowing for a fact that N-1 will automatically lead to N, then we have no rational expectation that N is inevitable, or even that
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Because we have prototypes of this kind of life, and they work. (I am talking about the combined efforts of existing human beings and factories). Because anyone who builds high end versions of this would have an unbeatable economic and military advantage. Because once various examples of this kind of life exist, the ones that freely replicate to use all of the available resources will overwhelm the ones who do not.
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I strongly suspect that projects like interstellar colonization and Dyson spheres are theoretically possible, but that so far no intelligent species has ever managed it. It seems the simplest explanation by far. My theory is that advanced civilizations only last for a few centuries before they run out of metals. Or at least, that this is what will happen here on earth. See what you think: http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/3451 [theoildrum.com]
It's possible that the answer to Fermi's Paradox is a depressing one...
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That's ridiculous. Every atom (except for helium) we ever used in our civilization is still on this planet, somewhere. We get more energy falling for free on the planet every day than we have ever used. If we can't figure out a way to solve our problems given these resources, we deserve our fates.
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Meh. I don't. The universe is big. Small odds *will* happen. All conditions you mention will occur in other systems, even within our galaxy. By the way, the moon is being lost, just slowly.
Size has nothing to do with it. If you divide the number of planets other than the earth known to have life (Zero) by the number of stars in the galaxy, you end up with Zero and if you take that same number and divide the number of stars by that number of known planets with life outside of the earth you end up with a divide by zero error. A lot of nothing is still nothing.
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(Also, you are wrong about there being no giant stars for hundreds of ly. Pollux is a giant, and only 33 ly distant. Ar
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A quick googling didn't help, so I'll ask you instead: what is the Copernicus Test?
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Thermodynamics dictates that there must be some waste heat. Although...theoretically..since T cold is 3 kelvin....it might be VERY small.
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Obviously. But the LIMIT on the singularity is arbitrary control over matter, and access to all matter that you have the energy to process. That is, at the minimum (this is using what we know today, not what we would know if we were millions of times more intelligent) you would be able to put all of the solid matter in our solar system (all the planets, all the asteroids, jupiter, the moons, etc) to productive use. (as in, convert it to robots or more computronium or use the elements you don't have a use
Non-science. (Score:2)
'There would be more then enough time' presumes you know what conditions are necessary for that time to start counting, Just because life started on earth at a specific time, does not mean every planet would have that event happen , if it ever, at the same point in planetary time line as it did on earth. there is no way to know if 'enough' would be normal when you can't explain IF little lone WHEN there is a start.
Ridiculous Speculation (Score:2)
We have no fucking clue what it takes to support life as we know it, and we won't until we fully understand life and the process of abiogenesis. We do know a lot about where life cannot survive though, e.g. no oxygen, no water, etc. These equations are pretty much arbitrary.
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No, we don't.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loricifera#In_anoxic_environment [wikipedia.org]
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They still need oxygen for oxidization.
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We have no fucking clue what it takes to support life as we know it, and we won't until we fully understand life and the process of abiogenesis. We do know a lot about where life cannot survive though, e.g. no oxygen, no water, etc. These equations are pretty much arbitrary.
Ugh. Our assumptions are ignorant. Blood Falls. [wikipedia.org]
TL;DR: Bacteria that live without oxygen.
Don't get too excited (Score:2)
Validation (Score:2)
Fermi Paradox (Score:2)
once again (Score:2)
What about tidal forces? (Score:2)
Tidal action certainly contributed to the evolution of aquatic creatures to land-based creatures, and without a large moon, tidal action is not as great. I didn't see this mentioned in the article. Am I overestimating lunar influence on tides?
Almost always better chances for life. (Score:2)
First let me state that, to paraphrase an SMBC comic [smbc-comics.com] don't listen to people talking about something they are not an expert in.
Second, rarely do the "you can't have life/intelligent life because..." people have both a biology degree and an astrophysics degree. You need both to make those kind of comments.
Thirdly, we now just about jack-sh!t about the majority of the mass of the universe. Most mass is "dark matter", and of the stuff that isn't dark
on a world with no moon (Score:2)
Intelligent life may evolve differently, for example the dominant lifeform might be 3 legged with 2 heads and its brain in its belly.
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Sample size of zero indeed. Well one could say it is one. However in statistics this is still the same thing thereabouts.
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It's only idiotic if you demand that it be accurate, if you use it as a framing of the discussion, it is a nice place to start.
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Yes, given that there was no real reason to believe that a large moon is necessary for complex life to exist. A look at the rotational axes of planets in the solar system indicates that they are more stable than would be expected with the naive moon-no-moon estimate. The only reasonable way that would happen is if other tidal torques are large enough to add stability. But given that it took nearly 4 billion years for complex life to arise here, it's probably fairly rare even if conditions would allow it
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Something between zero and one.
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And how many of those civilizations in our galaxy are close enough that we actually have a decent chance of picking up on their communications ?
Unless somebody is aiming a high power directional antenna right at the earth, the signal is going to drown in background noise very quickly.
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Well, most of it is guesswork but it's becoming less and less guesswork. Take for example the number of planets. 20 years ago we didn't have a single confirmed extrasolar planet, now we're gathering statistics on them. True, we don't know what "habitable" is but we're approaching it from both angles:
1) We're trying to determine just how "earth-like" a planet is - this is a never ending story of orbit, mass, composition, satellites and whatnot getting closer and closer
2) We're trying to determine just how fl
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Only for R, fp and ne; with ne being dubious, as we have only one planet's experience with what can constitute life and we've not found all the variants here.
The problem with calling this a real equation (aside from the format) is the use of the word "actually". We have to either; 1 - find and catalog intelligent life or, 2 - be around long enough and have investigated heavily enough to reasonably determine there aren't any.
E
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Re:Fake forumla continues to sink (Score:4, Insightful)
R* = the average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy
fp = the fraction of those stars that have planets
ne = the average number of planets that can potentially support life per star that has planets
fl = the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop life at some point
fi = the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop intelligent life
fc = the fraction of civilizations that develop a technology that releases detectable signs of their existence into space
L = the length of time for which such civilizations release detectable signals into space.[3]
So, with fl,fi,fc and L (4 of 7) being completely unknowable, the result N is something more than parlor talk? No.
I'm all for parlor talk and will ponder extraterrestrial life with anyone. My personal opinion is there is other intelligent life, it's just really friggin' far away.
Make a percentage estimate? Pfffft! It's bullshit.
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You're forgetting the Bs factor:
http://xkcd.com/384/ [xkcd.com]
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The Drake equation:
So, with fl,fi,fc and L (4 of 7) being completely unknowable, the result N is something more than parlor talk? No.
My own opinion is that the most important unknown in the Drake Equation will turn out to be "fi" - the fraction of life-bearing planets on which intelligent life develops. I say this, because, on this planet, it took several billion years for that to occur - and it seems safe to say that it appears to have been a product of sheer random chance.
I suspect we will discover the approximate value of "fl" sometime in the next four or five decades (note I said "approximate value"), by employing space-based telesco
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The problem is that we'll only be able to measure fl, fi, fc, and L by the time we know the answer (hell, we may be take a long time after we know the anwser just to discover L). By that sense those numbers are unknowable. By the way, at least for our galaxy we kow that the number of alien civilizations with interestelar travel capability that go into exponential growth (as everything alife seems to go) for up to a couple handred years ago is zero.
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So, let's start with facts and then extrapolate.
Number of planets confirmed to have life? 1.
Number of star systems confirmed to have life? 1.
Number of galaxies confirmed to have life? 1.
Alright, I've done the hard work. I'll let the rest of y'all get on with the figuring and equationizing.
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Long term, tidal lock to the star will happen. A moon slows that down.
Yeah, I can see that is the reason. I can see all the aminoacids and whatnot swimming in the early oceans, happily combining into more and more complicated molecules, searching for the one that can self-replicate, suddenly looking towards the sky and saying: "Oh shit, no moon here, in like billions of years this planet will become tidal locked to the star, and it will be a very unpleasant place to be. Forget it, guys, lets pack up and g
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As far as large moon being necessary for magnetosphere, that should not be too hard to find out. We have several planets right here in the solar system to look at. Are there any of them that have magnetosphere without having a large moon?
As for the suggestion to look for magnetic field when looking for extraterestrial life, are we actually able to detect such small magnetic fields over such distances? I don't know, but I would assume that if we could do it, we would hear about it more often, when we read
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You really don't understand the law of large numbers, do you? Yes, the chances are vanishingly small, but the number of solar systems is exceedingly large. Multiple the two together and you will still get a very, very large number.
Uh, do yo know the definition of insanity? Repeating the same action over and over again expecting a different result. Since there is not a single example of life outside of this planet, the chances are not small but rather unknown. You would have to have another data point other than Earth to even begin to speculate on the "chances" of extraterrestrial life. Large numbers have nothing to do with it. For example, Zero divided by any number regardless of size is still zero.