Google's $30,000,000 Lunar X PRIZE 217
chroma writes "It's been a long time since anyone has explored the surface of the moon. But now Google has teamed up with the X PRIZE Foundation to offer a $30,000,000 bounty to the first privately funded organization to land a robotic rover on the moon. Google, of course, has offered the free Google Moon mapping service for a few years now. Looks like the other search engines have some catching up to do in the space exploration department."
Self serving (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Self serving (Score:5, Funny)
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Re:Self serving (Score:5, Funny)
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All fo these prizes are self-serving. (Score:2)
No no no no. It's not that at all. (Score:2)
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> The Google Copernicus Hosting Environment and Experiment in
> Search Engineering (G.C.H.E.E.S.E.) is a fully integrated
> research, development and technology facility at which Google
> will be conducting experiments in entropized information filtering,
> high-density high-delivery hosting (HiDeHiDeHo)
Those acronyms have nothing on the Google Open Access Taut Sphincter Explorer, opening on a
Solomon
Shoot the Moon (Score:5, Funny)
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Re:Shoot the Moon (Score:5, Funny)
Use a solar-powered antenna to broadcast this [evolution-control.com] on a HAM band. Once a month.
Then kick back and enjoy the FCC going into paroxysms of incoherent rage trying to shut down a pirate radio broadcaster who happens to have a transmitter on The Fucking Moon. (Sure, the FCC can pull your licnese, but it'll still have to divert half its budget into a followup lunar mission to shut the transmitter off!)
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Re:Shoot the Moon (Score:4, Funny)
Winning the X-prize : $30,000,000.00
The amount of money the FCC wastes to shut down your lunar pirate radio : Priceless.
Capricorn One Studios (Score:2)
Yea, the moon landing was all staged. There was no real moon landing.
FalconInquiry (Score:2)
Or do they just press the 'I'm feeling lucky' button?
Prediction... (Score:4, Funny)
fuck that, lunar x-games! (Score:5, Funny)
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Lunokhod program; other thoughts (Score:5, Interesting)
Power was supplied by a solar panel on the inside of a round hinged lid which covered the instrument bay, which would charge the batteries when opened. A polonium-210 radioactive heat source was used to keep the rover warm during the long lunar nights.
During its 322 Earth days of operations, Lunokhod 1 traveled 10.5 km and returned more than 20,000 TV images and 206 high-resolution panoramas. In addition, it performed twenty-five soil analyses with its RIFMA x-ray fluorescence spectrometer and used its penetrometer at 500 different locations.
Lunokhod 2 operated for about 4 months, covered 37 km (23 miles) of terrain, including hilly upland areas and rilles, and sent back 86 panoramic images and over 80,000 TV pictures. Many mechanical tests of the surface, laser ranging measurements, and other experiments were completed during this time.
Also, rovers are a great way to captivate people's attention. Just look at how much the Mars rovers has increased people's attention at what's going on with Mars. For my generation, lunar exploration (human or robot) is something that exists only in history books. Seeing the Moon through the eyes of a rover (a rover put up by entrepreneurs, not a government) can change that, and increase support for human exploration of the Moon.
Also, I think this is a great way for the "space == science only" crowd to get interested in private space activity. Thus far, many of them have either been ambivalent about private space, or outright antagonistic about it ("just a way for rich people to waste money"). This prize helps cement the idea that yes, private spaceflight can have benefits for science.
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In fact, (Score:2)
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Prize Not Quite Adequate (Score:5, Insightful)
Traditionally, prizes have encouraged people to invest a wide range of resources. Lindbergh was one of few to spend less than the prize amount during the Orteig prize--others, like Admiral Byrd, spent nearly $100,000, or four times the $25,000 prize value. It has been reported that Mojave Aerospace Ventures spent significantly more than the $10 million purse to win the Ansari X PRIZE. Teams are willing to spend more than the prize value, as they get to keep their intellectual property and capitalize on it. In the case of the Google Lunar X PRIZE, we expect some teams to be willing to spend more than the value of the prize. Other teams may be able to complete the mission at or below the value of the Grand Prize purse.
Just to put this into perspective, the pair of Mars rovers cost NASA $820 million [space.com]. Granted you're only expected to send one and it's only to the moon, NASA does already have the infrastructure & experienced personel to do this. Even an 1/8 of that cost is 3 times the prize money.
Add the requirements of a 500 meter 'rove' and hi def 'Mooncast' and I think you're looking at too much risk for any person--possibly any company.
Frankly, I don't think $30 million is enough. I know it may sound ridiculous but I personally think $300 million would start to entice competition. What intellectual property would you have in the end? You would have patents on specifically design tools for getting a piece of machinery to the moon only capable of Mooncasts & 500 meters of roving. I'm not so sure any company would try to enter this competition as it is a major investment and a major risk with very little gain.
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Laser Angioplasty
Memory foam
Cardiac Imaging System
Infrared Thermometer
De-icing senors for air craft
Thermal Video
Space Technology for Firefighting - Lightweight air cylinders patterned on technology originally developed for rocket motor casings
Advanced Pacemaker
Implantable Heart Aid
Vision Trainer
Vehicle Controller - Lunar Rove
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Re:Prize Not Quite Adequate (Score:4, Informative)
In this case, to put it in perspective, 100,000$ in 1919 is 1.3 million [westegg.com] in today's dollars. A realistic price for this mission by small teams is 50-100 million, with a high risk of failure. For that kind of money, you're not going to get a bunch of little teams like you got for the regular X-prize, which was a (proportionally) extremely simple task. You're not even going to get the idealists. The budget rules out the vast majority of them, and the few idealists who love space issues enough to put forth that kind of cash -- like, say, Musk -- are already going to be putting their money toward space in their preferred method (with their own companies) instead of competing for some prize. That kind of money for investment in this prize would have to come from Wall Street, which wants a return on it's investment.
Not going to happen.
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A realistic price for this mission by small teams is 50-100 million, with a high risk of failure.
I could be faulty, but my assumption is that the bulk of the cost will be the launcher, which would likely be purchased as an off-the-shelf service from SpaceX, Russia, or some-such. I kind of figure that a team would spend its money developing the launcher and lander (expensive, but not -that- expensive), and then after doing that would commit to paying for the launcher. Of course, I think it's also assumed that as with the Ansari X Prize, the prize will only cover part of the cost.
I figure you might know
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There is no single "minimal weight for launcher + lander". Minimal weight for the lander is x as x approaches 0, if you don't care about lunar impact speed
SpaceX (Score:2)
You're not going to get a better buy than the Falcons, so better hope that they work and SpaceX doesn't go belly-up ;)
Although it's possible SpaceX will go belly up, I seriously doubt it will, the only way I can this happening is if they can't deliver. If it were then Richard Branson wouldn't be investing or putting in orders for any SpaceShipOnes [globalsecurity.org] so he could offer flights to space tourists. His Virgin Galactic [usatoday.com] has sold tickets to its first 150 passengers for $200,000 each. They have collected more tha
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The budget rules out the vast majority of them, and the few idealists who love space issues enough to put forth that kind of cash -- like, say, Musk -- are already going to be putting their money toward space in their preferred method (with their own companies) instead of competing for some prize.
And who's to say one of those companies won't be the one that does it? I bet Richard Branson will be willing to invest in a company that shows they are capable of landing a craft on the moon. He's already offe
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Frankly, I don't think $30 million is enough.
Some people may aim for the prize simply because it's fun. No other reason is needed.
Why climb a mountain? Why live? It's a pretty sad life that's only interested in putting extra zeros on a bank account.
---
Insisting on absolute safety is for people who don't have the balls to live in the real world. [yarchive.net]
-- Mary Shafer, risks researcher, NASA
May not be so hard.... (Score:4, Insightful)
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Granted, a little rover and a delivery system can weigh significantly less than a 3 person capsule and a manned lunar lander, but it still takes a lot of energy to get out of the atmosphere and to a lunar orbit.
If you know how to build a rocket capable of sending something to the moon for less than ten million bucks, then you really should start your own company.
This rover could be Really Small (Score:3, Insightful)
And something that light should be able to piggyback on almost any launch.
Thad
robots.txt? (Score:5, Funny)
Will this robotic rover obey the moon's robots.txt? (It's available by querying the Tycho crater).
FYI the robots.txt for Jupiter's Galilean moons looks like this:
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This is great for space exploration (Score:2)
Property Rights? (Score:2)
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No one owns the moon... (Score:2)
But I see Columbia, for instance hasn't signed... so if some drug lord funds the trip, and they launch from Columbia, maybe they can claim it.
I want to know if you can grab old Apollo landing memorabilia... if you could return it to Earth, it would fetch quite a price on eBay.
If you can't return it, is it black mail to collect money for NOT defacing it?
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As I recall, the Space Treaty doesn't apply to individuals or private companies, only governments.
Actually the wiki article says it does:
"Responsibility for activities in space" [wikipedia.org]
"Article VI of the Outer Space Treaty deals with international responsibility, stating that "the activities of non-governmental entities in outer space, including the moon and other celestial bodies, shall require authorization and continuing supervision by the appropriate State Party to the Treaty" and that States Parties s
We need to up the stakes (Score:5, Funny)
I'll do my part. The pot is now up to $30,000,005.00.
That's cash money!
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Post not meant to be condescending (Score:2)
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Privately funded? (Score:5, Funny)
You mean like Congress?
If IBM, Apple, Sun, or even MS was smart (Score:2)
3rd place (Score:2)
All the vehicles? (Score:4, Interesting)
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I guess they could build their own launcher, although it seems more likely that they'll purchase services from an existing company. From the MSNBC article it looks like SpaceX [wikipedia.org] is one of the official supporters and is offering a 10% discount on launch services to contestants:
SpaceX says it will offer each team an in-kind contribution that, in effect, represents a 10 percent reduction in the price of a Falcon rocket launch. ...
But this week, SpaceX's millionaire founder, Elon Musk, told me he thought an unmanned trip to the moon was eminently doable in that price range.
"They might be able to get this done maybe for $20 million, and they could actually potentially make money with the prize," he said.
Musk said SpaceX's two-stage Falcon 1 could get a payload to the moon, as long as the team's spacecraft was equipped with third-stage capability for entering lunar orbit. "I would just take the same engine I was going to land on the moon with, and add some tanks that you could drop off," he said.
Musk said his current pick to win the prize would be Texas-based Armadillo Aerospace, which has spent years developing a succession of rocket prototypes. Led by video-game programmer John Carmack, the Armadillo team is considered the favorite to win the top prize in the $2 million Northrop Grumman Lunar Lander Challenge at next month's Wirefly X Prize Cup, an annual rocket festival in New Mexico.
Why does Google do this? (Score:2)
Cool, but (Score:2)
Google Should Go Nuclear Instead... (Score:4, Interesting)
For those who missed it, Dr. Bussard gave a talk at Google, and the video is available here [google.com].
Google on the moon (Score:2)
Perhaps Google can partner with Richard Branson, but then again perhaps Branson will win it.
Falconanalysis of the prize (Score:2)
5 Reasons No One Will Win Google's X Prize (Score:5, Interesting)
The USSR did this in 1970 (Score:5, Informative)
The USSR sent robots to the moon in 1970 and 1973. [wikipedia.org] Big, car-sized rovers. They worked well, too. Lunokhod 1 was operational for 322 days, and and Lunokhod 2 for about four months. $1 travelled about 10km, and #2 travelled a total of 37km, so those large vehicles got around quite a bit.
It would be possible to redo that mission today. Lunokhod 3, never launched, is in a museum. Improved versions of the Proton booster used in 1970 are available from International Launch Services. The lunar landing module would have to be newly constructed, but the design is proven.
Already working on it! (Score:3, Funny)
I've got a subscription to the Iqbot magazine so in about a year I've got the robot covered.
Now for the launcher I'm going to need some help: send me all the rubber bands and pillows you can find. I'll need about 505 million and 4 rubber bands to get the robot into a decaying orbit around the moon. 5000 pillows should be sufficent to give the robot a soft landing.
Ofcourse the launch window has to be exactly right. This has to be Cowboyneals bedroom window, we might need to remove a few walls, roof and floor to accomodated for the rubber band robot launcher. And since we have to launch at exactly 11:23pm, some neighbours may complain about a bit of noise. This should be limited to about the sound of being in the center between 4 jet-engines running at full power, but should last only about 4.3 seconds. The ear ringing might last a week or two.
Ofcourse our research isn't complete yet. We are still working on the radiation protection of the robot, finding the cheapest sunblock creme isn't that easy. But we expect to be ready to launch around newyear 2009.
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Brett
Re:$30,000,000 is a lot (Score:5, Informative)
I beg to differ. You can buy a human-safe launch, stay on the ISS, and return to Earth for $30m. You can get a lift to LEO with an LM-2C for $20m [spaceref.com].
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Re:$30,000,000 is a lot (Score:5, Insightful)
In short, this isn't going anywhere, and Google knows it. Sure, it doesn't hurt to offer the prize. It's essentially free publicity for Google.
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Most of the expense of the mission will be launch costs ($20m+). These can be easily purchased from one of the many companies that offer it, like Sea Launch, United Launch Alliance, SpaceX, etc. The cost of developing the robot itself, which is what this contest is really trying to spur research on, is much lower, and enters the same tier as th
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If it was possible to land a probe on the moon for less than $30 million, then what would be the point in this competition? Google could do it themselves, and get much more PR for that. Who knows, maybe there's someone out there who could do it for $25 million, but hasn't had the funding. Until now.
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Sure. Probably all of them, 7 years from now.
Besides, could you get away with something even lighter than Falcon9? You can get 750kg to LEO for $7-$8 mil today, on Falcon 1. From LEO, would it be possible to use an ion drive to get to Moon orbit? I don't know if delta-v needed to get there is achievable with an ion drive in realistic time-fra
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From there, you can go off into discussions about the Deep Web, the Semantic Web, etc. IMHO, Google is a *long* way from that stated goal, which is something fundamentally impossible (how do you deal with literally innumerable d
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The idea isn't to do this for the sake of the prize, even the X prize cost more to get the first time than it actually rewarded. The idea is to use the contest to fuel research and a huge publicity factory for the companies involved in the competition. I for one, think it's a good idea. Much better than raising my taxes to fund it centrally.
Aboslutely!
FalconRe: (Score:2)
Its CHICKEN FEED for this type of mission. You can't even buy a launch for $30 million, never mind develop and manufacture a lander. It'll be the most expensive $30 million you ever got.
I don't think anyone realistically expects the prize to pay for it, but it gives people some motivation. Anyone who does it is liable to come out with some money making patents or opportunities. Someone like Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic can offer vacations on the moon to the wealthy. They've already got more than
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Re:$30,000,000 is a lot (Score:5, Insightful)
Heck, it costs NASA billions to put them on the moon.
The point is to have private industry be able to do it for millions, or less.
Its not "Its been done before", its to make it possible to do it again, and again, and again.
Do it without putting the whole country into a deficit.
Make that possible, and then maybe the impossible that costs trillions can use the same technology.
A hand-made car, only a few can afford.
Mass-produced cars, we all can afford.
Get the space technology to that level, and finally we'll be able to really explore outside our planet.
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Given the investments of participants from the last one, where Scaled Composites spent $20 Million for a $10 Million prize, I'd expect that if someone does this, it will be for less than $100 million. I would guess that to be able to get a capable robot to the moon would require a launch vehicle on the order of the Falcon 9,
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Of course, then you get to the robot that's that small and capable, which I don't know as much about it. From what I understand, the point is
its alot, but big business stands to make more. (Score:2, Insightful)
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Re:Man (Score:4, Funny)
leaving a man on the moon (Score:2)
You would have to bring a man back home, ...
Says who? I nominate George Bush, with a second flight (to prove it wasn't just a fluke success) carrying Dick Cheney.
I second that, all in favor signify by saying Ay.
FalconRe:Just one question. (Score:5, Informative)
They seem to hemorrhage money sometimes.
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Re:Just one question. (Score:4, Informative)
Easy, they don't pay (Score:5, Informative)
I think the odds of this being won in the next 20 years (and they only have 5 years to do this) are pretty small. This is similar to Branson's prize he's offering for removing CO2 from the atmosphere at some rather significant rate; the challenge to be surpassed in meeting the qualifications are high enough that there is little chance of having to make a payout.
If they do have to make a payout, the publicity is huge, and it's certainly possible that they have some commercial return in mind...perhaps rights to the rover design. I think the field of contenders will be small and weak, because the challenge is significant and the prize amount is unlikely to match the cost. At least for the original X-prize there was a hypothesized market for system developed as a result.
Of course, if I'm going to say this on Slashdot, I'd better be prepared to back it up:
The guidelines [googlelunarxprize.org] are that it must soft-land on the moon by the end of 2012, roam 500+ meters, and send back video and pictures. The basic prize is $20 million. If it can be done by 2014, the prize is $15 million. There is an additional $5 million if a second lander (by any competitor) to land by 2014. There is a bonus $5 million for extra duties like roaming 5000+ meters, photographing existing man-made objects on the moon, surviving the 14 day lunar night, or discovering water-ice.
The requirements and bonus objectives are roughly inline with the design parameters of the Mars Exploration Rovers. I'm sure a private group can build a device with that kind of capabilities for less than $30 million. However, I'm positive they can't get it to the moon for that little.
Landing a meaningful payload on the moon requires a fairly decent-sized launch vehicle. If we assume a mass similar to the old Surveyor Lunar landers, which were about 1/3 as heavy as the MER's (landing mass, not mobile mass) and not mobile, then we can start looking at launch vehicles capable of sending it on it's way.
The Surveyors were launched on Atlas-Centaur rockets, which have an LEO payload of about 5000 pounds. There isn't anything directly comparable currently on the market. There's few offerings that are too small. A Falcon 1 ($8 million, 1500 pounds) won't cut it. A Falcon 9, on the other hand would be significant overkill, with 21,000 pound LEO capacity and a $35 million price tag.
A Russian Dnepr would probably be the best bet. These converted ICBM's are what Bigelow hired to launch his two prototype inflatable modules with. It has an 8000 pound LEO capacity and costs $15-20 million.
So you're left with $5-10 million (because the last $5 million are only available to a second mission) to develop and build the rover (piece of cake), but also a reliable landing platform and an earth departure stage. The latter can probably be adapted from existing upper stage products, but the first two are being done from scratch.
I just can't imagine that much work being accomplished, even with heavy use of volunteer labor, for that price.
However, if somebody out there has got the money to front and wants a mechanical engineer to work for peanuts part time on such a nerdy project, the above doesn't mean I'm not interested.
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It's too bad SpaceX decided to cancel the Falcon 5, which would've been closer to the needed sweet spot.
I suppose another alternati
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Re:While you're there, look for Helium-3 (Score:2)
There was actually a rather informative documentary on the Science Channel rec
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I've not only read the Wikipedia article, but I helped write it long, l
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Re:A colosal waste (Score:5, Informative)
http://www.ethicalatheist.com/docs/benefits_of_space_program.html [ethicalatheist.com]
http://www.thespaceplace.com/nasa/spinoffs.html [thespaceplace.com]
http://techtran.msfc.nasa.gov/at_home.html [nasa.gov]
http://www.fas.org/news/usa/2000/usa-001012.htm [fas.org]
http://www.look-to-the-skies.com/space_program_spinoffs.htm [look-to-the-skies.com]
http://www.cnn.com/HEALTH/9811/02/space.medical/index.html [cnn.com]
And on and on and on.
Re:A colosal waste (Score:5, Insightful)