NASA To Retire Atlantis by 2008 238
SirBruce writes "As reported by Space.com, Spaceflight Now, and elsewhere, NASA is now planning to retire the Space Shuttle Atlantis by 2008, after just 5 more flghts. By doing so, they would avoid a costly and time consuming scheduled overhaul, and could still fly the remaining 12 missions (17 total) with Discovery and Endeavour, which are just now completing their ODMPs (orbiter maintenance down period). Atlantis would be kept for spare parts to keep Discovery and Endeavour flying until the shuttle program is shut down in 2010."
Old rule. (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Old rule. (Score:5, Insightful)
For every DC-3 or B-52 bomber that's flying 50+ years later, there's a dozen lesser models that never made it that far. One of the success factors for these planes were their elegance -- simple but sufficient components that are easily maintained and replaced.
Unfortunately I don't think the space shuttles fit into this category. We've learned alot from them...but probably more of 'what not to do' than 'lets build 20 more!'.
I think canibalising it for parts is a good short-term move, when the program wraps up though I agree they should find a way to preserve the learnings of the shuttle program. Lets hope its replacement is safer, cheaper, and more effective!
The Sad Thing Is... (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Old rule. (Score:5, Insightful)
If you're planning on buying a car and making it last for 20 years or more, which do you think would be easier (and cheaper) to maintain?
Re:Old rule. (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Old rule. (Score:2)
Re:Old rule. (Score:5, Insightful)
I guess the differences between air combat and space flight make the numbers deceiving, since the shuttles were supposed to be a work-horse, and expectation they never fully lived up to. I guess the space shuttle is more like the XB-70, a Mach 3 heavy bomber prototype built in the 60's: technologically very impressive, but ultimately the wrong approach.
Whose expectations? The shuttles had an optimistic schedule that was hyped by some political appointees, when in reality they were experimental craft. There was nothing like it that had flown before. We learned a lot from the shuttles about how things really work in space and reusability. Anybody else recall watching the capture of the Hubble? The Shuttle has been a learning vehicle, not just a space vehicle.
When bad things happened in a very dangerous occupation, we got media hysteria and political grandstanding. Look at all the lives and ships lost during normal early American trade. Our ancestors would be unable to understand our timid response to expected losses and even trivial damage in a hostile environment. I wouldn't call the Shuttle the "wrong approach." It was the approach we chose to test first. We could have chosen to try nothing new, and we would have learned nothing new.
Re:Old rule. (Score:2)
Re:Old rule. (Score:2)
Re:Old rule. (Score:5, Funny)
You know you want to know.
Re:Old rule. (Score:2, Funny)
will run Linux? Who cares (Score:2)
At half a billion a flight (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Old rule. (Score:2)
Ancients outraged. (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Old rule. (Score:2)
Consequences. (Score:2)
However, I know this is a step in the long-term goal of phasing out the shuttle program altogether, but what is it going to do to NASA's ability to launch missions if it only has two shuttles? The pace is ridiculously slow as it is.
Re:Consequences. (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Consequences. (Score:4, Interesting)
Nothing. At this point, having three shuttles probably merely just increases the risks of cutting corners in order to meet launch schedules. Face it, the only significant mission of the US space shuttle program is the same as the TV show Quark [tv.com]; haul garbage from the ISS. To paraphrase a the quote made at the K7 bar in "Trouble with Tribbles". "The Space Shuttle should not be hauling garbage, it should be hauled AS garbage". I will take that back if NASA actually implements a mission to refurbish the Hubble Space Telescope. (Me bitter? What makes you think that...?)
So what's next? (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:So what's next? (Score:3, Interesting)
Not staying up on news? (Score:5, Informative)
The rockets are disposable.
I would not be surprised to see a future admin use private rockets to get crew and small loads to the ISS. Why? Just to keep us with the capacity to have multiple crew launch systems.
Re:Not staying up on news? (Score:2)
Re:Not staying up on news? (Score:2)
Actually, its the Russians [wikipedia.org] and the Chinese [wikipedia.org], not the Japanese or Europenas, who haved orbital manned spaceflight capabilites. Last time I checked, SpaceShipTwo [wikipedia.org] will not be orbital. SpaceShipThree [wikipedia.org] MIGHT have ISS docking capabilites, but its design is all contingint on SS2's success.
Yay wikipedia linkage.
Re:Not staying up on news? (Score:2)
How do we stack up? If we build it, we are way ahead. If we do not, well, w
Re:So what's next? (Score:2)
What would be the benefit of making the replacement system re-useable?
The major part of any launcher will be fuel that will be re-cycled in the atmosphere anyway.
The target of a new system must be to be cheap and reliable. If this target is most easily reached by making the system re-useable then do that. If re-qualification and repair is more expensive than building a new launcher from scratch then drop the re-useable part or melt the returned launcher and re-use it as beer-cans.
Re:Compromise (Score:2, Interesting)
So what will they use to launch kids into space? (Score:3, Interesting)
Just my T-minus-10-9-8's worth....
-RickTheWizKid
Re:So what will they use to launch kids into space (Score:2)
Max is my friend!
Re:So what will they use to launch kids into space (Score:3, Funny)
I keep trying to tell her they don't exist, and she keeps saying I'm wrong. (She also didn't know what Chernobyl was...)
Re:So what will they use to launch kids into space (Score:2)
Anti-gravity rooms DO exist... they're called airplanes in free fall [wikipedia.org]. (Well, not really free fall, they use parabolic flight paths that simulate free fall, but you get the idea.)
And yes, the KC-135 was used to film many of the microgravity scenes in "that movie," Apollo 13... Ron Howard had Command Module and Lunar Module sets built in the planes, and could film 35 seconds of weightlessness at a time. There was a rumor
Re:So what will they use to launch kids into space (Score:2)
She still claims ground-based rooms exist.
Re:So what will they use to launch kids into space (Score:2)
Re:So what will they use to launch kids into space (Score:2)
Off-topic: Clueless teachers. (Score:2)
Of course, the teacher was quite certain that we'd just been served Nine Pizzas and any deviation from that order was heresy. When a trip to the encyclopedia proved otherwise, it convinced her that I was out to u
Re:So what will they use to launch kids into space (Score:2)
Don't cobble it up for parts. (Score:3, Insightful)
Just make sure all the toxic monopropellants have been thouroughly cleaned out.
There already is (Score:2)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_Enterp
Re:There already is (Score:2)
Yeah, but Enterprise is just a glide test article that never flew in space. Atlantis would be much cooler to see in the Smithsonian. Yeah, they've got some scorched capsules and such, but nothing that's been to orbit and back 26 times [wikipedia.org] (31 by the time it's retired).
Re:There already is (Score:2)
It's guarded by a railing, but you're literally within feet of it. In fact, you can stand under the wing.
It's a fantastic sight. Really, truly fantastic.
What I found interesting is the leading carbon-carbon edge is missing on one of the wings (I forget which); that's the one they took to test after the Columbia disaster.
A significant piece of history; for me, it was even more interesting than seeing the Blackbird parked in the hangar; and the Blackbird is
Re:There already is (Score:2)
Re:There already is (Score:2)
DSC_1717 [buran.org]
DSC_1716 [buran.org]
The tires aren't original; one of my photos of the nose gear revealed the stamp "NOT FOR FLIGHT".
DSC_1751 [buran.org]
And yes, that is THE Spacelab module back there!
Re:There already is (Score:2)
Re:Don't cobble it up for parts. (Score:2)
Re:Don't cobble it up for parts. (Score:2)
I smell a movie (Score:3, Funny)
So when Discovery and Endeavor are mysteriously trapped in space and/or unable to respond to a global space-related emergency, an astronaut crew will be pulled from retirement (or useless promotion) to pilot Atlantis to the rescue! (...and possibly destroy it/themselves in the process of saving the world)
Mark my words: it will be on television if not in the movie theatres.
Re:I smell a movie (Score:2)
Re:I smell a movie (Score:2)
Bonus mod points if you name them all!!
Re:I smell a movie (Score:2)
s/That/Those/
I can see the SpaceShuttleTrader ad now: (Score:5, Funny)
Phone: 202.358.0001
* [wikipedia.org]
Re:I can see the SpaceShuttleTrader ad now: (Score:2)
Thank you from CrimsonJihad.com, the one-way-flight division.
Not all news from NASA are bad (Score:3, Insightful)
Two weeks ago, the important Landsat-8 was confirmed [gcn.com] while NASA also saves a lot of money by simply adopting interoperable practices [geospatial-online.com].
Now, if only NASA [google.ca] Worldwind [slashgeo.org] (and Punt [sourceforge.net]) could get more popularity over Google Earth...
And then... (Score:2, Funny)
comments from Atlantis staff (Score:5, Funny)
ODMP (Score:2, Funny)
ISS in jeopardy? (Score:5, Interesting)
The NASA plan already calls for completing the construction of the ISS and then grounding the shuttles, immediately. This of course leaves no way to get to the newly constructed ISS to do research. The plan also doesn't seem to accomodate lifting new modules to the ISS during its fully functioning research lifetime, which was originally part of the ISS vision for a living breathing station.
NASA is in trouble. The Bush Administration has saddled it with goals that are unrealistic given its funding level. A vague return to the Moon, and eventual trip to Mars, as well as completing the construction of the ISS to kinda sorta meet our international obligations on that project are all likely to fail if we cannot choose between them.
Space research needs a reliable transportation system. This might mean more than one new vehicle. Without a significant increase in funding to NASA, the Space Shuttle should be scrapped immediately and the ISS should be mothballed if possible, scrapped if not. NASA should focus on fixing the problem -- reliable access to space is needed before other lofty objectives can be met.
Re:ISS in jeopardy? (Score:5, Insightful)
*rolls eyes*
The ISS will never be anything but a useless pork-barrel corporate-welfare project. Something happening to end it would be the best thing that could happen to NASA. Just imagine the billions of dollars NASA has wasted over the last thirty years on the ISS and Space Shuttle co-dependant welfare programs. Look at the huge success they've had with every other program which have been universally starved for funds because of the Shuttle/ISS debacle.
Re:ISS in jeopardy? (Score:2)
Re:ISS in jeopardy? (Score:2)
But because a project is "international" doesn't mean that it can't be unwound in an ethical way. I think a reasonable compromise would be for NASA to give the ISS and any US-owned components to the other members, compensate them roughly for how much it'd cost to maintain the ISS an
Re:ISS in jeopardy? (Score:2)
Re:ISS in jeopardy? (Score:2)
Re:ISS in jeopardy? (Score:2)
Re:What worthy research? (Score:3, Interesting)
Here's a somewhat old article [acs.org] that discusses some of the research done in microgravity.
One of the interesting comments from the article is that the problem with using the Space Shuttle is that it's flight time of about two weeks are not long enough for statistically meaningful research.
Anyway, read the article.
Re:ISS in jeopardy? (Score:3, Informative)
so all those Russian missions that dock there with crew and supplies are faked on the moon landing sound stages in Nevada then?
The United states is not the only country with a crew module that can make it to the ISS.
They really seem to be winding down manned mission (Score:3, Interesting)
We'd better be friends with the Russians and the Chinese who will have the only manned launch capability at that point.
Re:They really seem to be winding down manned miss (Score:4, Insightful)
I'm not really sure that getting people into space ius really that big of a deal anyway, unless you plan on doing something other than invesigating the effects on humans in LEO. Most of what is done, that isn't just for show, is controlled remotely. I'm a big "Rah! Rah! Manned Space Flight!" kind of guy, but there really is a limit to the value we're getting for our manned space flight dollars. Right now, I think it's money down the tubes, but if we're really going to be ambitious, we need to be a bit more proactive in getting a replacement vehicle up before we lose the in house expertise in manned spaceflight. I mean, lets face it, the only people with orbital spaceflight experience in this hemisphere are the ones currently doing it at JSC. Lose them, and we'll get to start all over in a couple of decades when the next program is finally ready to get off the ground.
Re:They really seem to be winding down manned miss (Score:4, Interesting)
But what about the space program's future? (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:But what about the space program's future? (Score:2)
Re:But what about the space program's future? (Score:2)
A somewhat simpler and better solution to this one is basic birth control. Trying to ship billions of people to other planets to alleviate overpopulation is an extreme solution when a simple one is available.
The problem we have is poverty, poor education and religious fundamentalism works against birth control and are helping create the overpopulation problem that may well ultimately destroy us, or at least lead to such a poor quality of life it may not b
Bad idea! (Score:4, Funny)
A chance for a change. . . (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:A chance for a change. . . (Score:3, Informative)
Actually, except for a few satellites recovered/serviced by the shuttle (the total number of which could be counted on the fingers of one hand!), this is in fact the modus operandii for all satellites since sputnik. Generally, if it's an important enough constelation, a few 'spares' will even be kept on orbit so that service can be maintained even in the even of a premature failure, without waiting for a new satellite
Atlantis retired? (Score:3)
Already getting rid of Atlantis? (Score:3, Funny)
Yes, I know. Don't bother telling me.
And what about the Chinese? (Score:4, Interesting)
We used to think it would be the Russians. Little did we know how far China would come in 60 years. When you consider it took the United States approximately 7 years to go from the Mercury program to the Apollo program then the launch of Chinese men into orbit is at the Mercury stage.
When looking at that we could estimate that China will reach the moon by 2012. And do not think for one moment that Chinese didn't learn from our Apollo and Shuttle programs. I think they'll be looking to put down a manned presence just to thumb their noses at the rest of the western world.
Re:And what about the Chinese? (Score:2)
Heaven forbid we miss out on the opportunity to blow $30 or $40 billion a year supporting a manned lunar base, which gives us exactly nothing in return for our investment.
Let the Chinese bankrupt themselves doing it, if they care to. I'll wave up at them on cloudless nights.
I'd rather the US not blow my hard-earned tax dollars on this foolishness.
Re:And what about the Chinese? (Score:3, Insightful)
Or consider that the Iraq war has eaten up roughly ten years worth of support for a moon base that will serve as a launch platform to Mars and beyond.
Re:And what about the Chinese? (Score:3, Interesting)
I don't know. IIRC, Arthur C. Clarke wrote a short story where the Chinese were the first to make it to one of Saturn's or Jupiter's moons. It seems that at least he thought that they would leap ahead of everybody else.
History (Score:2, Insightful)
Why so expensive? (Score:2)
Chris's manned spaceflight rant (again) (Score:2)
Give all of the money they would have spent to private enterprise, give them 5 years to land on the moon with a permanent base.
In 5 years, I guarantee we'll have a moon base.
Fund Raiser (Score:2)
Vital question goes unanswered ... (Score:2)
No, I rather doubt it... (Score:4, Funny)
I think Sci-Fi will keep it at least to 2009 or 2010.
Re:Whats next? (Score:2)
http://www.tv.com/salvage-1/show/3650/summary.htm
NASA is so 1900's... (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:NASA is so 1900's... (Score:2)
The Chinese may not leapfrog the U.S. unless their current manned launch capability is scaled up by three times in the next 5 years and adds a serious heavy-lift component.
If the Russians get
Re:NASA is so 1900's... (Score:2)
On our side of the fence, things have changed. The discussion back when we were in grade school was always very general, and typically looked more at supplementing the shuttle with concepts like the X-33 rather than flat out replacing it. Sure
Re:NASA is so 1900's... (Score:3, Interesting)
Fuel is not a real consideration here. Fuel is cheap (IIRC a few dollars per kg). The real crippling factor for the Shuttle was the low launch rate. There are huge fixed costs per year (eg, maintaining an army of workers and the launch facilities) that come up whether or not you launch anything. This is going to be the same problem with the ne
Re:Whats next? (Score:5, Informative)
Crew Exploration Vehicle [nasa.gov]
Re:Um... (Score:2)
Re:Um... (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Um... (Score:2, Informative)
Enterprise hardly had any parts that were useful to the real shuttles. Endeavour was built from a brand new set of spares that NASA wanted built "just in case". They were entirely new parts, not reused ones from Enterprise.
Re:Um... (Score:2, Informative)
Re:Um... (Score:2)
Also, it comes from a deep desire from both the Houston and Cape Canaveral bases to have a rusting shuttle sitting on their front lawn "for spare parts"
Re:Um... (Score:2)
Atlantis funding (Score:3, Interesting)
Not to be cynical- but keeping Atlantis for spare parts doesn't put money in anyone's pockets.
It does indirectly. The budgets costs of parts and Atlantis support infrastructure will be applied directly to the CEV, the new moon rocket, and lunar lander. The new budget reality is taking hold. This is good news. For the first time in 30+ years the US is back in the business of space exploration.
Re:Um... (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Um... (Score:2, Interesting)