Is Ethanol the Answer to the Energy Dilemma? 342
n0xin writes "According to Fortune, "The next five years could see ethanol go from a mere sliver of the fuel pie to a major energy solution in a world where the cost of relying on a finite supply of oil is way too high." In an effort to meet fuel-economy standards, automakers already have 5 million ethanol-ready vehicles on the road. Supporters are optomistic that "we can introduce enough ethanol in the U.S. to replace the majority of our petroleum use in cars and light trucks." Are SUVs included in this category?"
Better uses (Score:2)
Obligatory Simpsons quote: (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Better uses (Score:2)
Re:Better uses (Score:3, Funny)
Of course is it. (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Of course is it. (Score:4, Insightful)
Or, we'll turn most of Russia into a big ethanol farm... oh, wait...
"environmentally friendly" wasn't the point (Score:2)
The great thing about ethanol, if it replaced oil, is that we would no longer have to support evil dictatorships l
Misguided, a bit. (Score:2)
Reguarding dictatorships, I
Re:"environmentally friendly" wasn't the point (Score:2)
Hydrogen has its flaws here. I'm thinking we need to move away from such a dependence on portable stored energy. More light rail, less cars. Even so, can't eliminate it completely, so we probably need something revolutionary in solid state energy storage. Just no clue what it could be.
Re:"environmentally friendly" wasn't the point (Score:2)
I'd give them 10 days if they also pulled out the expats who run the computer systems for the military and police.
Look around you (Score:3, Insightful)
Historically it has been. Historically, the USA was an oil exporter too; that changed when US production peaked in 1970, while consumption continued to rise. Now oil production of the entire world is peaking or about to.
Historically, most people farmed for a living. If the future was going to be just like history, we wouldn't have history as we know it. Eras end. The era of cheap oil is ending.
Oil prices are near their inflati
SUVs (Score:2, Informative)
No (Score:3, Informative)
Re:No (Score:2, Interesting)
Perhaps there just needs to be a change in focus, especially if you can ferment the non edible parts of food crops for fuel (such as the stalks on grain crops) and waste vegetable matter it could be a win win.
Re:No (Score:2, Interesting)
Would *you* want to plant a crop of corn if it were likely that people from another country were going to dump their surplus crop int
Re:No (Score:2)
Considering the glut of corn-based junk foods out there, that actually might be a good thing.
Re:No (Score:2, Funny)
-matthew
Re:No (Score:3, Informative)
Re:No (Score:2)
Production of ethanol does not take up more land. The land is already producing corn. What the production of ethanol does is to make use of the corn closer to where it is produced and to convert it into a form (a liquid) that is easier to transport and use.
Re:No (Score:4, Informative)
The stalks aren't made in to feed, the seed is, again for the same reason - low carb content. And I really hope you mean the cob and not the stalk, because if you've ever driven by a corn field you can clearly see that they don't even bother to pull up the stalk.
The production of EtOH has been increasing, but the appropriate question to ask is would it be cheeper than gas if the EtOH subsidies were removed. It wouldn't have two years ago, but we may be getting close to the point where it is now.
However, if a farmer is going to sell a portion of his crop to EtOH production, that is all it would be used for.
Very interesting (Score:4, Informative)
From the article:
Instead of coming exclusively from corn or sugar cane as it has up to now, thanks to biotech breakthroughs, the fuel can be made out of everything from prairie switchgrass and wood chips to corn husks and other agricultural waste.
This biomass-derived fuel is known as cellulosic ethanol.
Cellulose is ethanol's only chance... (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Very interesting (Score:2)
I knew about this Back in the third Future.
No it's not (Score:2)
Re:No it's not (Score:5, Informative)
Ethanol need not be produced from corn...From TFA:
Cellulosic ethanol requires little far machinery and no pesticides. From Renewable Energy Access [renewablee...access.com]: Between its lesser environmemtal impact (up to 80% reduced emmisions) and its cost-efficiency, cellulosic ethanol is far more environment-friendly than fosil fuels.
Re:No it's not (Score:3, Interesting)
Of course, I'm
Re:No it's not (Score:2)
Think about it for a second, if all of the nutrients in the soil came from other plants and animals that bio-degraded, then the ecosystem in that area would be unsustainable over the long haul.
Re:No it's not (Score:2)
Anyway, I give up. I don't want to say that the article is wrong because I don't have the knowledge to say so. Maybe that the kind of culture they are speaking of would only need nutrients that come from the rain to be a sustainable culture, but I'm skeptic.
Re:No it's not (Score:2)
Re:No it's not (Score:4, Insightful)
Where ethanol has the advantage is that conventional car engines can run well on it without much work and it's easier to ship around. Methane can run in diesel engines without much work - but due to the high sulphur content of US oil there aren't a lot of diesel vehicles currently in the USA and as a gas it makes more sense in fixed installations than vehicles. Biodiesel makes sense so long as it's made out of waste products - specificly growing Canola for it is burning oil to make fertilizer to make biodiesel and is a losing prospect.
There's no one true energy - even for vehicles. Anyone who says otherwise is selling something or has swallowed a sales pitch.
Re:No it's not (Score:3, Interesting)
Corn -> Ethanol + distillers grain
distillers grain fed to animals -> "fertilizer" + meat
"Fertilizer" + corn ground -> more corn
Re:No it's not (Score:2)
Re:No it's not (Score:2)
Both of those methods add nitrogen to the soil. As near as I've seen, the bulk of the fertilizer applied to corn fields is anhydrous ammonia - nitrogen.
The production of anhydrous ammonia is where a great deal of fossil fuels (natural gas, I think?) is expended.
Ethanol seems best (Score:5, Insightful)
With gas prices being so high, all that's standing in the way of Ethanol is this constant argument over whether or not it's energy positive or not. Of course, this completely ignores the issue that hydrogen isn't energy positive either. You need powerplants upstream to crack hydrogen, just as you'll need upstream energy to supply farming equipment. Even in Ethanol isn't energy positive (which I don't believe for a minute), it's still a better option than hydrogen.
What we really need for Ethanol to take off is a proper hybrid vehicle [blogspot.com] capable of burning both gasoline, ethanol, and various blends.
Re:Ethanol seems best (Score:5, Informative)
These are all over the place here in Brazil. Last I heard, something like 80% or 90% of small cars were sold with hybrid ethanol-gasoline engines (nicknamed Flex around here). Many shops (even small ones) already have the technology to convert an ordinary gasoline engine to a hybrid, and it isn't that expensive either.
I should remark that Brazil was a pioneer in the usage of ethanol for car fuels, but in the last decade or so it was getting out of fashion. With the advent of hybrid engines we're seeing a revival of sorts, particularly given the lower price (which unfortunately has been rising though).
For my part, I believe the future is biodiesel, not ethanol, though.
You forget one factor... (Score:3, Informative)
To produce enough ethanol to sustain the US alone, would require hudreds of thousands of acres of crops. Regardless of the sustainability of the crops, it is a huge management issue in and of itself to control all that production.
Hydrogen, on the other hand, can be produced readily in a power-plant type fashion.
Ethanol is here now, hydrogen is a pipe dream! (Score:5, Insightful)
Dude, do you have any idea at all of the number of acres of crops in the USA?
Hydrogen, on the other hand, can be produced readily in a power-plant type fashion.
Other than in science fiction, where do you have a hydrogen power plant? A hydrogen-powered car? Ethanol has been a *practical* reality for decades. My first car powered by 96% ethanol was a Brazilian 1983 Chevette. At that time, about 90% of all new cars being made in Brazil were powered by ethanol.
For the last 28 years, every single fuel station in Brazil has had ethanol pumps. Have you ever seen a hydrogen pump in any fuel station anywhere in the world? Apart from straight ethanol, all the gasoline in Brazil contains at least 20% ethanol.
There has never been a single hydrogen powered car sold commercially anywhere in the world. In Brazil, tens of millions of 92% ethanol powered cars have been sold in the last 30 years, and many more cars powered by 20% ethanol.
Do you still have any doubt on which fuel can be "produced readily"?
Re:Ethanol is here now, hydrogen is a pipe dream! (Score:4, Interesting)
BMW would like to disagree with you:
http://www.theautochannel.com/news/press/date/200
http://www.engineeringtalk.com/news/asc/asc109.ht
I believe, ethanol, can be, at best a transitional fuel, what with the human population increasing, the future will have less land available for such uses as a fuel crop.
I heard of hydrogen cars (non-production) in the '60s already. If fusion ever comes online, 0% land is needed, and there would be plenty of energy for electrolysis, or perhaps the more efficient steam electrolysis. Even if fusion doesn't pan out, solar energy could be harnessed for that purpose (I'm not talking about purely solar photaic cells, but a hybrid system of a parabolic dish design.) Afterall, collectively, millions of acres of roofs are being unused everyday!
Another Brasilian here -- you tergiversed. (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Ethanol is here now, hydrogen is a pipe dream! (Score:3, Interesting)
Wrong. Natality decreases faster than mortality, so that the trend is population stabilisation. Absent major cultural shifts, we would see even a decrease. Japan has already started to shrink, and Europe won't be long.
Hundreds of thousands of acres vs Rhode Island (Score:4, Informative)
To produce enough ethanol to sustain the US alone, would require hudreds of thousands of acres of crops.
Want a ballpark figure? 640 000 acres = 1 000 square miles [google.com]. That's smaller than the State of Rhode Island (1 545 sq.mi) [google.com]
Re:Hundreds of thousands of acres vs Rhode Island (Score:2)
Re:You forget one factor... (Score:2)
Like this Ford? (Score:2, Informative)
Re:Like this Ford? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Ethanol seems best (Score:2)
a) a massive 10's of Billions of dollars of Fossil Fuel investment (dating back to the 60's) - You'll have to do your own homework but the keywords here are: President Regan, GH Bush (Cia Director), Noriega, Iran, Panama, Bush (41), Iran, Iraq, Bush (43), Saudi Arabia, Sept. 11th, Fox News, Iran, War on Christmas, Iran, Iran.
b) Hydrogen is the future, but no new energy can come about without the approval of item a)
Re:Ethanol seems best (Score:2)
Why not try to help it along? The national security reasons ought to be enough in themselves.
Re:Ethanol seems best (Score:3, Informative)
Of course, oil isn't energy positive either.
Okay, sure it's energy positive from the time we extract it from the ground, but any fair consideration needs to take into account the amount of energy that, once upon a time, was required to create that oil, since essentially what we're required to do is replace the whole supply chain (or, wait a few hundred thousand years -- or more! -- for the supply chain to replenish the stocks we've taken).
I'm led to believe that the figure is approximately 24 tonnes of [eurekalert.org]
Because ethanol "just works" (Score:3)
Re:Ethanol seems best (Score:2)
They're currently being held artificially low by the government oil reserves. The price per barrel of sweet crude oil hasn't budged much from its ~$60 position. Ethanol is extremely competitve at that price, and has been blended in many areas to help keep gasoline prices down.
Ethanol is much more expensive in the long run -- compare mileage for the same amount.
The bad news? Ethanol is less energy dens
What kind of question is this? (Score:2, Interesting)
Isn't this something better solved with a quick Wikipedia search [wikipedia.org] and a quick Google query [google.ca]?
All the biologists and physicists I've spoken to say no. It's a fuel source, yes, but not a viable replacement for oil. It has a much lower fuel efficency, and it is still non-renewable. It might solve SOME of the pollution problems, but that's still a "might". It won't solve the growing energy need, and it won't solve the issue of non-renewability.
If you'
Re:What kind of question is this? (Score:4, Insightful)
All the biologists and physicists I've spoken to say no.
Really? All of them? Care to provide a list of these sources?
It has a much lower fuel efficency, and it is still non-renewable.
Wrong and wrong. From Renewable Energy Access [renewablee...access.com]:
Re:What kind of question is this? (Score:2)
As a North Dakotan (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:As a North Dakotan (Score:2)
Cars can handle 10% ethanol with no modifications
20% ethanol eats away at various gaskets and other plasticy/rubbery parts.
So you can run your car on a 40% ethanol blend, but I wouldn't expect it to last a long time. And maybe you should keep one of those ABC fire extinguishers [survivalinstinct.com] in your car... just in case one of the gaskets give up & your engine catches on fire.
Why does there have to be just one solution? (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Why does there have to be just one solution? (Score:2)
yeeaaaah riiiiight
I am looking forward the day when every wheel in the car will have its own size, when there will be 234 different types of DVD, of course mutually incompatible, and i could finally write my
cant wait
Cost? (Score:3, Interesting)
HERE is the cost (Score:2)
Oil is around $1.20 per gallon right now. I'd be lucky if I could find a cup of coffee for that price!
Brazil also produces coffee. A cup is R$0.50 regular, R$0.75 espresso.
Re:Cost? (Score:2)
She is soooo into you. In your MIND!!!
Stop griping Greenies (Score:2, Insightful)
One good thing that may come out of this... (Score:2)
Trust me, it tastes WAY better.
Re:One good thing that may come out of this... (Score:2)
I really like what Brazil has done with EtOH. But as a chemical engineer, I'm much more fond of biodiesel. Both for the engine technologies, performance characteristics and overall robustness of infrastructure. It can be transported in any kerosine/diesel/gas truck no sweat. And it keeps engines a lot cleaner than fossil derived fuels.
Ethanol makes sense for brazil, but bio makes more sense in a lot of places. Just think: to make et
It's a part of the solution... (Score:3, Interesting)
IIRC ethanol can be blended into regular fuel up to 15% and be used in cars already on the road in the USA, while an 85% ethanol/15% gasoline (E85) can be used in "flex-fuel" vehicles that can be purchased from most manufacturers on request. It's only a stopgap, because ethanol is currently expensive to produce. This may change with biotech to improve fermentation, as well as a shift in US trade policy to facilitate the import of sugar cane, a much better starting material for fermentation (or just import the ethanol!)
Still, I believe the biggest limitation is, even assuming moderate improvements in conservation and efficiency, there isn't enough land available to produce the corn/beets/sugarcane needed. Plus, the biggest consumers are commercial (i.e., diesel) vehicles -- we might be better off investing in carbon-neutral catalytic solutions like Changing World Technologies [changingworldtech.com] or AlphaKat [alphakat.de], which can use a wide variety of biomass as input and produce diesel fuel.
Energy Return on Energy Invested (Score:5, Informative)
A look at a small table [eroei.com] of energy return on energy invested figures gives ethanol from corn a 1.3, ethanol from sugarcane something like 0.8 to 1.7 (meaning it could possibly be a net energy loser!), and ethanol from corn residues 0.7 to 1.8. Compare that with petroleum's EROEI, which is today something of the order of 23, and had once been higher than 100. Even at the maximum efficiency level, it would probably take dedicating all of the arable land in the United States to grow corn for conversion to ethanol to allow business as usual. Also, mechanized farming techniques are so heavily dependent on petroleum-based (and natural gas based) fertilizers and pesticides. Here's a good article [fromthewilderness.com] on how to properly evaluate these schemes for alternative energy, and ethanol doesn't fare very well.
No, the only real solution to the energy crisis is to abandon the grossly wasteful American way of life, and take steps towards serious conservation efforts.
Re:Energy Return on Energy Invested (Score:4, Interesting)
Technology has advanced a long way since 1984, particularly in the area of enzymology to break down chemically resistant carbon in plant tissues, like cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin. Brazil's ethanol program relies heavily on conversion of sugar; to make ethanol economically competitive in the US, we would need to rely on conversion of cross-linked starch and long-chain polymers. The phenolics in lignin would be a feedstock for industrial chemistry. Here's some more general info [energy.gov].
The USDA's Crop Conversion Science and Engineering Research Unit [usda.gov] is all about developing new tools to increase the efficiency of extracting usable energy from plant products. Here are a few examples:
Aqueous Enzymatic Extraction of Corn Oil and Value-Added Products from Corn Germ Produced in New Generation Dry-Grind Ethanol Processes [usda.gov]
Economic Competitiveness of Renewable Fuels Derived from Grains and Related Biomass [usda.gov]
Enzyme-Based Technologies for Milling Grains and Producing Biobased Products and Fuels [usda.gov]
Full disclosure: I don't work for these guys, and I have no financial interest in bio-based fuels (other than the usual "No Blood For Oil" thing). I just think that what they're doing is cool.
Yes! (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Yes! (Score:3, Funny)
Yet another fallacy. (Score:2)
This time, it's with alcohol.
Well, farming the corn necessary to fuel the US will need far more land than there is in the US... And processing the corn needs energy, too.
Forget SUVs, it's not sure that hybrids could be powered!!!
Petroleum rules for a very good reason: it has the highest energetic density, which was attained through millions of years of insolation used to grow the plants that became oil.
When oil runs out, cars will have to g
Re:Yet another fallacy. (Score:2)
The post is wrong for the same reason people who hype hydrogen as the solution
are wrong. Ethanol and hydrogen are storage mediums, not energy sources. It's
true that ethanol is traditionally dervied from fermentation, but in this case
the energy source is *biomass* not ethanol. It's technically no different than
tossing logs into the boiler of a train.
>Well, farming the corn necessary to fuel the US will need far more land than
>the
Re:Yet another fallacy. (Score:2)
> more land than there is in the US
Source?
What about intensive farming? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:What about intensive farming? (Score:3, Insightful)
Which is better (Score:2)
After reading these posts it seems like NOTHING will work.
Not enough land, Not enough oil....
No ice cream! No cake! happy birthday.
switchgrass (Score:2)
Seaweed (Score:2, Interesting)
- Current agriculture remains unaffected, thereby also unaffecting most food supplies.
- Kelp is a weed that grows without any special help: just make sure it gets enough sunlight.
- Kelp grows in the ocean where, last time I checked, few people (if any) live. No issues with taking up land.
- Maybe
Comment removed (Score:4, Insightful)
Wrong. It could. (Score:5, Informative)
Re:Wrong. It could. (Score:2, Insightful)
biodiesel is unquestionably energy-positive (Score:2)
Not all fertilizer is petroleum based (Score:2)
But aren't plants are produced from fertilizer which is made from oil?
Not everywhere. Agriculture in many countries still uses natural materials (Mel suggests equal parts compost, peat moss, and vermiculite [squarefootgardening.com]).
Re:Still doesn't (Score:2, Interesting)
One other option: nuclear winter cancels global warming. It is up to YOU (yes, you!) to decide whether this is a good idea or not.
Re:Still doesn't (Score:4, Informative)
Re:Still doesn't (Score:2)
The worst problem was pH levels in lakes. (-: Forests are the only things growing well in most parts of e.g. Sweden. :-)
Re:Still doesn't (Score:2)
Depends on who you ask:
Against: CU scientist terms corn-based ethanol "subsidized food burning" [cornell.edu]
For: Industry Argues That Ethanol Delivers [journeytoforever.org]
Re:Still doesn't (Score:5, Interesting)
It's also wrong.
First off, lets start with the fact that even if a fuel were a net energy loser, it's irrelevant. Ethanol converts a source of energy that you can't put into your gas tank into one that you can. Usually that's natural gas, but sometimes it's agricultural waste or even waste heat from other processes or power plants. The nazis converted coal to oil with horrible efficiency (using far more energy's worth of coal than they got out in gasoline), but it powered their war machine.
Ignoring that, it's not even close to a net energy loser. Everyone's studies except Pimentel comes up with this fact. Why does Pimentel get such different numbers from everyone else? He rigs the game. Instead of assuming, logically, that if ethanol demand increases, people will build more modern plants, he uses the efficiency numbers of plants from the '70s. He uses the world's worst efficiency numbers on fertilizer production. He assumes that all corn that would go toward the ethanol production comes from irrigated land (very little corn is irrigated). Some people defend this last point, saying that the corn would require new land, and any land that it would have to grow on that wouldn't need to be irrigated is already in use. This is incorrect; the corn would take the place of plants that can tolerate drier conditions, which would move into the more arid land. Overall, total irrigation use would increase, but is is incorrect to pretend that it would increase by the amount as if you had to irrigate all of the newly needed corn.
In short, Pimentel cheats to get his bad result. And he is routinely criticized for doing so. Find me an anti-ethanol study that doesn't have his name on it, and I might care.
By the way, part of the reason why ethanol is so expensive has nothing to do with energy balances, or even its production costs: it's transportation. You can't ship ethanol in much of our current oil pipeline infrastructure.
My main complaint about ethanol is simply the land issue. More farmland=More deforestation. Especially in tropical countries, this is a major issue.
Re:Still doesn't (Score:3, Insightful)
I know that in this region, it has been pumped up as a great way to diversify our agriculture, and a great way to prove that these feed lots are a good thing rather than a bad one.
An agriculture economics student that I am related to sought to prove how great ethanol was for her project class. She studied the many variables surrounding the plant that was to be built near here. Despite the fact that she was biased toward
Re:Still doesn't (Score:5, Informative)
Re:Still doesn't (Score:4, Insightful)
1. The superficy needed to grow the corn
2. The amount of energy corn takes from the ground, resulting in an usable ground in a very little time.
The solution for our energy abuse is
Stop abusing energy.
Sometimes even logical solutions sound stupid.
Re:Still doesn't (Score:2)
Electric cars give us real choices about how we power our vehicles, and how (and for how long) we maintain them.
Re:Still doesn't (Score:2, Insightful)
Ok but you might not like it, Nuclear, fission that is. Really the only (proven) viable option.
Or coal (or tarsands/gas/other burnable shit), we got tons of that, but no help with the global warming. Geothermal could theoreticaly fit the bill but isn't there yet. Solar and wind power have their niches. There's zero point energy, but the NSA will continue too suppres it. Some form of fussion, but not until its too late. Or something else, unforseen by ME, unlikely.
Re:Who are the supporters? (Score:4, Insightful)
Ask the corn industry what fuel technology will succeed, and you'll likely hear ethanol.
You might try reading TFA next time. From TFA: You're criticizing ethanol based upon old technology. Cellulosic ethanol doesn't depend upon corn, and is more cost-effective in the bargain.
Re:Who are the supporters? (Score:2, Insightful)
Joe HighSchoolQuarterBack working the fry machine at McD's isn't going to be making a fortune in his side business selling used freedom fry oil.
Need to look for a positive balance (Score:3, Insightful)
Considering that most agricultural ethanol production processes require energy (to harvest and transport raw biomass, to grind it, to heat and break cellulose, to mix, etc), it's easy to see why you should be very careful with your energy balance, otherwise you might
How about your front yard? (Score:2)
It would appear that what we should be looking into is a way to divert the biomass we're already growing and harvesting to a different destination.
And no, I don't expect it to power the entire country. I wou
Hemp! (Score:5, Insightful)
But no-o, we can't have people growing hemp because it's too similar to marijuana, and we'd have to put even more stoners in jail (who shouldn't even have to be there anyway)!
It's completely absurd and pathetic.
Re:Hemp! (Score:2, Insightful)
By that logic alone, the founding fathers should have been hanging on the gallows. And those people who operated the underground railroad as well.
A stupid law causes comtempt for all laws. If a law
Re:Hemp! (Score:2)
Re:Hemp! (Score:2)
Oh, I guess that's why they should be in jail.
The same logic would justify rounding up the Jews and throwing them into concentration camps. The law stated that they needed to be marked, rounded up, and destroyed. Obviously throwing a kid in jail for smoking weed is not the same as incerating jews, but the extreme example serves its point.
Oh Goodwin, your wisedom is e
Re:Who are the supporters? (Score:3, Informative)
The idea is simple. You take any plant matter containing cellulose {a long chain polysaccharide which is fairly immune to yeast}, and hydrolyse the cellulose into mono-, di- and short-chain polysaccharides. Then you have something that will undergo fermentation.
Any dilute acid will hydrolyse cellulose, but then you have the problem to get rid of the acid {which will harm the yeast} without creating a salt which also will harm the yeast. {Might