Tropical Storm Alpha Sets Naming Record 344
vekron writes "Tropical Storm Alpha formed Saturday in the Caribbean, setting the record for the most named storms in an Atlantic hurricane season. This is the first time the U.S National Hurricane Center has resorted to using the Greek alphabet since it began naming tropical cyclones in 1953. The previous record of 21 named storms had stood since 1933. Alpha was the 22nd to reach tropical storm strength this year, and the season doesn't end until November 30. At 8 p.m. EDT, Alpha was 70 miles south of Santo Domingo, in the Dominican Republic. Tropical storm warnings have been posted for the entire coastline of the Dominican Republic and Haiti and for the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. The storm is moving northwest at about 15 mph with winds at the center of 40 mph and is expected to make landfall late Saturday or early Sunday. The National Hurricane Center is tracking this storm; it is offering updates about its development as an RSS feed."
So what's after Tropical Storm Omega? (Score:5, Interesting)
Aleph, No way (Score:2)
Hebrew alphabet (Score:2)
However, if we have THAT many tropical storms in a year, we will have more to worry about than nomenclature.
Don't feed the Zonk. (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Don't feed the Zonk. (Score:2)
Re:Don't feed the Zonk. (Score:2)
Re:Not to spout Zonk food, but (Score:2)
Re:Not to spout Zonk food, but (Score:2)
Re:Not to spout Zonk food, but (Score:2, Informative)
Glaciers at sea level have been retreating fast because of a warming climate, making many other scientists believe the entire ice cap was thinning.
"The overall ice thickness changes are ... approximately plus 1.9 inches a year or 21.26 inches over 11 years," according to the experts at Norwegian, Russ
When they said "use Greek letters"... (Score:5, Insightful)
But no, apparently they're just using the Greek letters themselves. Quite apart from being unimaginative... what happens if Hurricane Epsilon is particularly destructive and NOAA decides to retire the name [noaa.gov]? They can hardly retire a letter of the Greek alphabet.
Re:When they said "use Greek letters"... (Score:2)
As for the "they can't retire a Greek letter" thing...of course they can. They just don't use it as a storm name anymore.
Maybe I'm missing something
Re:When they said "use Greek letters"... (Score:2)
Re:When they said "use Greek letters"... (Score:2)
Re:When they said "use Greek letters"... (Score:3, Interesting)
easy (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:When they said "use Greek letters"... (Score:5, Funny)
Who started this tradition anyway? (Score:2)
Re:Who started this tradition anyway? (Score:2)
On the maps which show storms' predicted paths, it's much easier if you can write "K" to mark a storm's position rather than "Katrina". In order to avoid confusion between storms, you obviously need to use different letters; the "full names" are just invented because the general public finds it easier to talk about "Hurricane Katrina" rather than "Hurricane K".
Re:Who started this tradition anyway? (Score:2)
Ah, thanks. Makes sense. Although I think it would probably be just as practical to use numbering scheme. But, not being a cartographer nor a meteorologist, I will defer to the wisdom of the profession. I am sure they are all very smart people who know what they're doing.
Re:When they said "use Greek letters"... (Score:2)
It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:5, Funny)
H.
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:2)
Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Dennis, Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irene, Jose, Katrina, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, Philippe, Rita, Stan, Tammy, Vince, Wilma
How about... Quincy, Ulysses, Xander, Yoda, and Zack?
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:2)
duh..
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:2, Funny)
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:4, Funny)
Especially if someone a the EFF decides to buy a nasty hurricane and hve it called "Software Patents" or something... "We're reporting live from Podunk, Texas, where fifty people were killed by Software Patents".
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:2, Funny)
You don't want that. MS can afford to buy a lot more names:
"We're reporting live from Podunk, Texas, where fifty people were killed by Open Source Software".
"Thousands left homeless by The GPL"
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:2)
http://www.babynames.com/Names/X/ [babynames.com]
http://www.babynames.com/Names/Y/ [babynames.com]
http://www.babynames.com/Names/Z/ [babynames.com]
Re:It's just because they're unimaginative. (Score:3, Informative)
Frequency vs. severity (Score:5, Informative)
If this is true and if global temperatures are affected by CO2 emissions, then human activity is probably causing these storms to be (on the average) more severe.
While I feel sympathy for the poor bastards suffering in NOLA and elsewhere, I feel it's a good thing that Katrina is making Americans sit up and think about possible connections between environmental cause and meteorological effect. It's human nature to tend not to think much about things that don't affect one personally. I wonder how GWB's stance on emissions would be affected if a storm were to dismantle his ranch in Crawford?
Re:Frequency vs. severity (Score:2)
Two 'ifs' in that sentance. Doesn't sound like something we should worry too much about.
Oh, and did anyone else see the report that the ice caps are melting...on Mars? Guess there must be something else going on other than CO2 in the atmosphere. I wonder what could effect the tempature on the Earth, and on Mars, at the same time??
Re:Frequency vs. severity (Score:2)
1) this IS a record breaking hurricane season, no 'ifs' about it.
2) Global temperatures are inextricably linked to CO2 levels, its a simple fact, read any high school text book.
There may be some, ableit public rather than scientific, debate about whether humans are causing the CO2 rise. Although I say public because the vast majority of scientists agree human emissions are the cause and many of the few that don't agree have vested interests like working for Exxon and f
Measured frequency, not actual (Score:3, Insightful)
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200513.as p [wunderground.com] http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200514.asp [wunderground.com] http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200509. [wunderground.com]
Re:Frequency vs. severity (Score:5, Informative)
Since Crawford is about 250 miles inland, if circumstances were such that a hurricane powerful enough to level it came about, then he'd be too busy dying with the rest of the world to have time to think about it. Same reason I don't have flood insurance on my house: if I ever actually needed it, I'd be too busy building an ark to care.
Re:Frequency vs. severity (Score:4, Funny)
I wonder how GWB's stance on emissions would be affected if a storm were to dismantle his ranch in Crawford?
The "Axis of Evil" would become Iraq, Iran, North Korea, and Mother Nature. (Mother Nature would come after North Korea because that's the order in which he would actually do anything about them.)
Re:Frequency vs. severity (Score:2)
Re:Frequency vs. severity (Score:2)
Lucky we didn't waste $ on greenhouse reduction... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Lucky we didn't waste $ on greenhouse reduction (Score:2)
However, they said that the thickening seemed consistent with theories of global warming, blamed by most experts on a build-up of heat-trapping gases from burning fossil fuels in power plants, factories and cars.
Warmer air, even if it is still below freezing, can carry more moisture. That extra moisture falls as snow below 32 Fahrenheit.
Number of letters (Score:2)
Aren't there, like, 25 or 26 letters, something like that? And no, I will not RTFA (read the fucking alphabet) - it's early on a Sunday morning.
Re:Number of letters (Score:2)
So while you start out with 26 letters, those storms that are nasty get their name revoked forever.
Which might indicate this really isn't THAT bad of a storm season. But you never know.
Re:Number of letters (Score:2)
Re:Number of letters (Score:2)
Hurricane beta (Score:5, Funny)
Poor Haiti (Score:2)
Alpha's "only" a tropical storm, but the latest track forecast has it going right over Haiti.
From what I understand of Haiti, if it's edible or burnable, it's been eaten or burned - so there's virtually no tree cover left in some places. The wind isn't the problem; I worry that the rainfall will bring flooding, mudslides and mass death.
Florida will be fine. Haiti? I'm worried.
Is that or ? (Score:2)
Naming convention...get it right! (Score:4, Informative)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml [noaa.gov]
"Since 1953, Atlantic tropical storms have been named from lists originated by the National Hurricane Center and now maintained and updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. The lists featured only women's names until 1979, when men's and women's names were alternated. Six lists are used in rotation. Thus, the 2004 list will be used again in 2010. Here is more information on the history of naming hurricanes."
You don't have letters like Q or X because you really don't have a large pool of names to draw from (equally male and female). Once a NAME is retired, it is never used again. A LETTER is NEVER retired (though I'm not sure what they would do if a an Alpha or Beta was retired).
Names alternate male-female. The beginning sex alternates each year. The first storm this year was Arlene, the first one next year will be Alberto.
Wrong years? (Score:2, Interesting)
This is the first time the U.S National Hurricane Center has resorted to using the Greek alphabet since it began naming tropical cyclones in 1953. The previous record of 21 named storms had stood since 1933.
Am I reading this wrong, or is that a typo? If they did not start naming storms until 1953, how were there 21 NAMED storms in 1933? Did they go back and name the ones in the past?
Re:Wrong years? (Score:2, Insightful)
Recent records (Score:4, Funny)
Just wait until Corporate America hears about this (Score:5, Funny)
Hurricane Pepsi has strengthened to a "category 5 delicous" and is expected to be refreshing residents of the Florida coast by early Tuesday morning.
Next year... (Score:2)
If this is just an is
Cue the global warming posts (Score:3, Interesting)
What gets me is all of these "record breaking lows/highs" and along with it comes "it hasn't been this hot/cold/stormy/etc since (insert 30 to 70 year old year here)". Well what was the excuse back then? Seasons and temperatures fluctuate all the time. Records aren't broken every day, nor every year...they just get randomly broken.
So please explain to me why exactly, when referring to 1933, there were 21 storms back then - was it global warming? No.
Before you mod this flamebait or troll, I'm just trying to make a logical point. I'm not a believer or non-believer of global warming, I just get sick of the years-ago referrals as if it were significant without someone thinking it out logically and using it for their "global warming" agenda.
Re:...so? (Score:5, Informative)
That said, we seem to also be having a few more hurricanes and tropical storms than usual, although I'd like to think this is more of just a coincidence than related to the magnitude cycle, although I wouldn't rule out that it could have something to do with global warming.
I'm really not completely sure why the 50-year magnitude cycle occurs, but it's well-documented.
Re:...so? (Score:5, Interesting)
Actually it was 1900, and it was the city of Galveston which was hit, and the high death toll was largely due to the fact that nobody was evacuated, and this was due in part to a turf war between the weather forecast offices in Galveson and Cuba.
"Isaac's Storm" written Erik Larson chronicles this storm and the events leading up to it. Highly recommended.
Re:...so? (Score:2)
Re:...so? (Score:5, Insightful)
A 50 year cycle is confirmed after only 150 years of bookkeeping? This doesn't sound like a very solid prediction scheme. I'll stick with industry fueled climate change as the most likely suspect until I see hard data to the contrary.
Re:...so? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:...so? (Score:5, Interesting)
This cycle is known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation [john-daly.com]. The theory is that this is caused by interference effect between the sunspot cylces and El Nino/La Nina.
And this would seem to affect fishery catches fishery catches [nationalgeographic.com]
Re:...so? (Score:5, Interesting)
Second, the PDO is completely irrelevant when one is discussing increased hurricane activity in the Atlantic. In the Atlantic, only one periodic effect is widely observed, and that is the North Atlantic oscillation. The NAO, as the name might suggest, does not have an effect on hurricanes in the South, its period is not the same as the possible periodic hurricane effect, and it changed phase in the 80s making it exceedingly unlikely that the two events are actually related in any meaningful way. Even the Antarctic Cirumpolar wave is most likely irrelevant, as it has a period of four years and directly effects only the South Atlantic. There may very well be another effect in the Atlantic, but three cycles is most certainly not enough to definitively say. Climatologists accept the PDO because it has been observed in data going back to 1661. Until sufficient evidence is provided for this Atlantic effect, we must not presume that it exists. It may simply be coincidence.
Re:...so? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:...so? (Score:5, Informative)
Re:...so? (Score:2)
Re:...so? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:...so? (Score:2)
Is that the number to actually make US landfall? There have actually been 11 storms to reach hurricane level this year. Plus 3 of those reached category 5 (new record as well).
Re:...so? (Score:4, Informative)
Heh, sorry, I was on my way out to exercise this morning and was afraid that comment was a little ambiguous; I should have clarified. My point was that of the 22 named systems so far this year (up through Alpha), 14 have been relatively weak storms. Plus, the number is actually 12 to have made hurricane force, not 11. The break-down is as follows:
Re:...so? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:...so? (Score:3, Informative)
Note, this graph does not yet include 2005, so we can look forward to another spike.
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:4, Informative)
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2)
I think they should just use 7 bit ASCII names, and if that's not enough, go to Unicode.
Just need to think of some names beginning with [, \, ],
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:5, Informative)
More information is available at NASA's Hurricane Names [nasa.gov] page.
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2)
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2, Informative)
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2)
In 1975, just after cyclone Tracy obliterated Darwin in 1974 the Australian BOM [bom.gov.au] decided to use a mix of male and female names for cyclones.
I think this naming convention was just a slightly sexist joke on the part of the people who do the naming. In this day and age I think it would be best if these weather systems were just given numbers. It is not like people are going to forget they are there, after all./p.
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2)
Unfortunately though, the names don't seem to have been tested for inter-cultural ironies. The name of the latest cyclone to hit India, Pyaar, for instance, was named in Burmese to mean 'flattened', but in Hindi, the same word means 'love'. We've just b
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:5, Funny)
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2)
I see you have never been married.....
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2, Funny)
They scream when they're coming and take your house when they leave.
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:3, Funny)
"Why are storm names female?"
Back in the day when hurricanes really were given exclusively female names, the common answer was because there's so such thing as a HIMicane.
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:2)
Re:A bit off-topic (Score:3, Funny)
The millions of us named Andrew have trouble sleeping every night.
Because God wants to test them (Score:2, Informative)
If God Fearin' folk get hit by natural disasters, it's just like in Job and their faith is being tested.
If Godless goat sodomising strangers get hit by natural disasters, they are evil and are being righteously punished for their sins.
Simple eh?
Fortunaately most Godbotherers are intelligent enough to understand that if you chose to live in a hurricane zone, you will get the occassional hurricane.
Xix.
Re:Can you just stop and think for a minute? (Score:5, Funny)
Like all forms of suffering, you can just play the "Mysterious Ways" trump card, and be instantly absolved of explaining why a being that is supposedly omniscient, omnipotent and benevolent permits suffering to happen.
The obvious logical explanation is that either there is no such being ; either it is absent or a supernatural sentience does exist, but lacks at least one of those three qualities (i.e. it doesn't know, can't do anything about it or doesn't care).
Of course, logical arguments are usually countered with the "La-la-la, I'm not listening." move or the "Repeat my viewpoint over and over again in lieu of actually providing a chain of logic" tactic.
You could proabably make a trading card game based on this ... "Atheists vs <insert most culturally appropriate religion here>". Heck, you could have different sets of booster packs for each religion. I hereby patent this idea!
"Theology : The Blathering"
they're used to it (Score:3, Interesting)
It's also the case that the US Gulf Coast is arguably the only highly-industrialized, high-population piece of the First World to have been so regularly pummeled by hurricanes
Re:they're used to it (Score:3, Insightful)
Oh, please. I've been a Midwesterner most of my life (Colorado, North Dakota, and now Minnesota; BTW, whether Colorado is "Midwest" or just "West" is debatable, but there's no question about the other two) and people here are no more a "tough breed" than anywhere else. Every place on Earth has its hardships, and overall the life
fair enough (Score:2)
But do let me note I didn't say they in the Midwest are tougher than others, just that they are a tough lot. I agree every place has its hardships, but the response of people who live there varies. Some are whiners and some just get on with life. When I compare my neighbors in the Midwest with my regrettable neighbors in LA, I think the former look pretty good.
I didn't think my post was entirely unrelated to the question. The point was to suggest tha
Re:fair enough (Score:2)
Heh. There's different types of whining. When the Minnesotan says, "Oh, yah, sure, didja hear about Ole Nordqvist, went missin' last October, and they just now dug him out?" and the North Dakotan replies, "Well, ya know, oh for sad, and here, have some more lutefisk!"
LA is an
Re:they're used to it (Score:2)
I've heard several plausible answers. Maybe by holding out for "convincing" you're setting the bar too high.
Re:they're used to it (Score:2, Informative)
The explanation that makes the most sense is that bad things happen to everyo
Re:they're used to it (Score:2)
Re:Can you just stop and think for a minute? (Score:2)
But I'm willing to bet that fundamentalist Christians in the US will just say that it's because the existence of sin in the US i.e. homosexuality, the teaching of evolution, etc. ignoring the fact that it doesn't really seem as if the liberal "sinner" states are the ones getting hit. In fa
Microevolution in creationist theory (Score:2)
But I'm willing to bet that fundamentalist Christians in the US will just say that it's because the existence of sin in the US i.e. homosexuality, the teaching of evolution, etc.
The teaching of evolution is not always a lie, as mainstream creationists such as myself believe in microevolution. The gist is that the Lord God created the animals according to their kind, which is broader than a "genus" but possibly more narrow than a "family". God created animals with genes for all sorts of niches such that
actually, it's the reverse (Score:2)
We'll see them sacrificing money, posessions in order to attempt to appease their particular deitie
Sarcasm of some sort, me thnks (Score:2)
Well, I don't even think 'sarcasm' is the right term. More like when you try to explain something to a child and use metaphors because the plain thruth is just too much for t
Re:Can you just stop and think for a minute? (Score:2)
Re:Last time was in the 30's (Score:2)
Re:Last time was in the 30's (Score:2)
Re:Naming system needs to be changed (Score:2)
Re:Naming system needs to be changed (Score:2)
Experience shows that the use of short, distinctive given names in written as well as spoken communications is quicker and less subject to error than the older more cumbersome latitude-longitude identification methods. These advantages are especially important in exchanging detailed storm information between hundreds of widely scattered stations, coastal bases, and ships at sea.
Also, distinctive names make it easier to remember year to year which storm you are referring to. So while you might
Re:Naming system needs to be changed (Score:5, Funny)
Well, I'm just glad that you can come here to 66.35.250.151 and post your comments! I mean, the 66.35.250.151 crowd will definitely know where you're coming from. I was about to wish you'd mentioned a couple of other web sites in your discussion of the non-naming of Japanese storms, but it's just as well, since we wouldn't want those sites to get 66.35.250.151'ed.