Mars Orbiter Sees Changes 354
pin_gween writes "The long-lived Mars Global Surveyor (8 yrs and flying) has enabled scientists to see changes in the surface of Mars. From the article: 'New gullies that did not exist in mid-2002 have appeared on a Martian sand dune. New impact craters formed since the 1970s suggest changes to age-estimating models. And for three Mars summers in a row, deposits of frozen carbon dioxide near Mars' south pole have shrunk from the previous year's size, suggesting a climate change in progress.' The probe's primary mission ended in 2001 and scientists are hopeful the orbiter's life can be extended for another 5 -10 years."
puberty? (Score:2, Funny)
Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:4, Funny)
Every we go we seem to fuck up the climate.
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:4, Insightful)
Actually, it clearly shows we do not have enough information about weather to make "predictions". Sometimes I wonder how we humans can be so arrogant. We can't figure out where Katrina is headed or how powerful it is, but we are "smart" enough to establish that global warming is real and will cause $x degrees increase over $y years.
If we were as powerful as we think we are, why didn't we just stop the hurricane while it was in the Gulf? We aren't powerful, we don't understand long term global weather, we probably need to take reasonable steps to reduce pollution, but we need to stop making "predictions" about things we, as a species, are very ignorant of.
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:5, Funny)
Katrina was accurately predicted. That is why they started evac of NOLA 2 days ahead of time (a none prediction would have waited until it hit). Of course, it was not predicted 4-5 days ahead, but only 2. Just as right now, the prediction is that Rita will hit somewhere in Texas. It may hit NOLA again, but the prediction is that rita will hit at Houston or just south. And that is 4 days out.
Now, as to global warming; That is also real. That is fact. The fact that glaciers all over the world are shrinking at an unheard of rate is absolute proof. Print not good enough for you? Then there are plenty of pix of glaciers from 100 years ago, that clearly show they were much larger. Google a bit. In fact, the only ice that is growing is Antarctica which the models clearly showed would happen due to increased moisture in the air (it is still DAMN cold there).
The real issue is not Global Warming (which even your leader has now accepted as happening). The issues are
As to stop making predictions based upon ignorance, well, yes, I would very much like that. In fact, it would be nice to not deal with posts made on ignorance as well. My prediction is that neither will occur.
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:3, Funny)
One hydrogen bomb wouldn't do anything. How about fifty ?
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:3, Funny)
Oh, wait. I forgot about the Beagle 2 probe the brits lost. Nevermind.
I sure hope the scientists didn't count that one in their age-estimating models.
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:5, Informative)
WTF? It's practically the only thing heating up these planets in the first place. What could possibly have more of an impact on global temperatures than the sun?
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:3, Insightful)
Guess why it's hotter on Venus than on Mercury.
(And no, the answer does not involve women in any way)
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:2, Informative)
One 'day' on Mercury is 176 Earth days, so the ground gets a very long exposure (88 days) to a very close sun, followed by a very long exposure (88 days) to deep space. Averaged out, it is cooler than
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:5, Interesting)
NASA doesn't think so, and I'd much rather trust them. In fact, according to them the _average_ temperature on Venus is higher than the _maximum_ surfact temperature on Mercury
http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/planetfact.ht ml [nasa.gov]
Nothing to do with the sun (Score:2)
I never said there weren't other factors, but without the sun both of these planets would have temperatures near 3 K, and the sun is the primary reason they are so much hotter than this. Add to that, the fact that Venus could not have a gaseous atmosphere were it not for the sun.
So yes, the sun most certainly is the primary factor.
You must be kidding? (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:You must be kidding? (Score:2)
Actually, if the sun increases its size, then the effects on earth are not as much due to the closer photosphere than to an increased luminosity due to the larger size of the sun.
And by the time that happens, we should look for a way to relocate really quick, preferably to s
Re:That may be true! (Score:3, Informative)
Last time I heard that it was "500 times as much carbon dioxide as one metropolis produces per year".
Re:That may be true! (Score:3, Funny)
OMG, you're right! It's not even the most evil, pernicious or destructive of the greenhouse gases. We must sign an international treaty immediately to stop this incredible threat [nasa.gov] to the earth.
After much research (mid-post), I have discovered that the threat is much more far reaching [dhmo.org] than mere climate change. We must do something now!
In Pasta we trust, RAmen.
Re:That may be true! (Score:5, Insightful)
Strictly speaking, not everybody is assuming that. Those with a political motivation for assuming so often assume that, and those with a political motivation to assume the opposite often assume the opposite. Those not inclined to let their political inclinations determine their opinion (which includes those cynical enough to see past their political idealism) are a mixed lot. The environment is such a politicized issue that it's hard to take a sensible position without being shouted down by one group of zealots or another. "Obviously mankind couldn't possibly cause global warming" vs "Obviously if we hadn't elected Bush, global warming wouldn't be a problem today."
I, for one, am agnostic about how much mankind has contributed to the current bout of global warming, though I am attracted to some aspects of environmentalism or conservationism for quality of life reasons (I prefer to breathe clean air, etc.)
Re:That may be true! (Score:3, Informative)
I still remember Bush Sr's take on the problem. He told the environmental groups that he would speak with them on global warming as long as they sent him a scientific expert on the problem. As reported by Paul Harvey at the time (as he gleefully pointed out that book stores were hi
Re:That may be true! (Score:3, Informative)
Except that's not a fact. A mere minute with google would have avoided your embarrassment.
Volcano emissions estimate wrong? (Score:4, Informative)
Kilauea kicks out only 8,000 tons a day.
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v351/n6325/a
Etna kicks out 13+-3Tg/yr, or roughly 1,171,000 US tons of CO2 per year...
Seems like a lot, but, US CO2 production is something a billion tons of CO2 per year. So, the volcanos give out 1/1000 of CO2 as the USA does.
Rock on!
Re:You must be kidding? (Score:2, Informative)
Yes; on the back of an envelope (it's a simple calculation). The variation from solar min to solar max would be very small and dwarfed by the changes we've seen on Earth in the past thirty years. Unless you can suggest a mechanism for a sudden solar heating or enlargement, there's not much point to proposing it as an explanation for global warming. And i
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:2, Insightful)
I wouldn't doubt that the sun has that much influence. Perhaps a stable sun SHOULDN'T have that much influence - but then there's a great deal we don't know.
There are some theories that part of global warming is due to differences in the sun's output. Many who subscribe to that theory are the den
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:2)
Studying Mars climate is useful in general to help improve climate models, but it doesn't work the way you think it does.
Climate change on Mars is predicted and expected, and it is based on factors that are radically different fro
No, it would increase the urgency (Score:3, Interesting)
I have yet to find a scientist (I mean a real one with a science degree, not a PR person or a journalist) who would disagree that adding
Re:No, it would increase the urgency (Score:5, Insightful)
First it has to be established that Earth's heating is anthropogenic. That hasn't happened and there's a piss-pot full of data that shows the earth has been hotter in the past than it is now. In fact, for the past million years, every 100,000 years or so the earth has heated up just like it is now. And yes, the last time it happenned was 100,000 years ago. Before you go chasing CO2 as the culprit, you'd better be sure it's the guilty party otherwise you're wasting resources that could be better used elsewhere.
The second issue is that the developed world represents about 1.5 billion people whereas there are another 5 billion people out there who have yet to get out of crushing poverty. As they climb out of that hole in the next century, their contribution to CO2 is going to drawf whatever cutbacks we would make. Even if we cut back 100%, it's still going to rise. IF CO2 turns out to be the hazard some would have you believe it is it makes more sense to figure out how to get it out of the atmosphere because there isn't much prospect of preventing those 5 billion from adding to what's already there. You can't very well say to them, "No, you're stuck in grinding poverty because if you crawl out, you'll make the world warmer."
Re:No, it would increase the urgency (Score:2)
And if CO2 is that serious, what do we do about all the volcanos?
Re:No, it would increase the urgency (Score:3, Informative)
You know, fossils are not the only way to get oil to burn and make CO2. You can make it bio and it makes just as much CO2. so does burning wood, trash, or anything else that burns.
Oh, that's not a real problem. CO2 can be extracted from the atmosphere with technical means.
* The atmosphere is big. How do you process millions of cubic kilometers of air ?
* The process, of course, requires energy. Lots of energy.
Its called "plants". You coul
Re:No, it would increase the urgency (Score:3, Informative)
OTOH, if you're goal is to reduce the amount of extra carbon in the atmosphere (that was previously trapped in the earths crust), then you have a win (assuming you can make biodiesel without burning regular oil/coal -- which is something we havn't done yet.
The fact of the matter is that it's pretty ha
Re:No, it would increase the urgency (Score:2)
http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/reg15n2g.html [cato.org]
Re: Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:3, Insightful)
>
That would in fact be surprising, since Mars is a smaller, cooler planet with no oceans and a thinner atmosphere. Even if you applied the same stress to the two systems, you wouldn't expect to get the same results.
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:2)
It would only really be interesting if there were another outside factor responsible for the heat increase on both planets, like if the sun were in a period of increased activity...
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:2)
Re:Wouldn't it shake things up if... (Score:2)
"Look at that bank account, it's emptying. Oh, well, just keep spending, things change."
Fact is that if you do something that hurts you, you ought to change your behavior. If external factors make the consequences of your behavior even more serious, then you have to be extra careful to change your behavior.
Yes, the climate always changes, and that has consequences. Whether NO was caused by global warming or not, it is th
Climate change? (Score:5, Interesting)
Not saying we don't have issues we need to address as well... but isn't that an interesting co-incidence?
Global Warming on Mars? (Score:5, Interesting)
Now of course with Mars we have even less history of their climate than our own but we could extrpolate from earlier photos just how much the visibile frozen material changed on the poles.
One could hope that since climate study on Mars should not be easily politicalized, at least early on, it may give us new isights into our own.
Re:Global Warming on Mars? (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Global Warming on Mars? (Score:2, Funny)
Not a chance - global warming is highly politicised here on Earth, and it immediately becomes politicised on Mars if someone tries to make a connection - by BOTH sides
I can see it now:
Greasy Capitalist Oil Baron: "Clearly we can see that this proves that global warming is actual a solar-system wide effect that has nothing to do with hydrocarbons"
Rabid Socialist Masquerading as Environmentalist: "Destroy the corporation
Re:Global Warming on Mars? (Score:2)
In all seriousness, this really could alter the whole GW thinking. This could be a solar-system wide cycle OR a trend.
spinning and agendas (Score:5, Insightful)
Congratulations! That's an excellent use of rhetoric. In a single stroke, you make climatologists look like idiots ("The sun! Oh my god, we forgot about the sun!") and you push your political agenda.
Do you really expect readers to be naive enough to believe that Martian or terrestrial climatologists have not incorporated solar output into their models? Of course they have, for as far back as those measurements exist. Solar output is taken into account both for climate models on Mars and on earth, and it fails to account for global warming on earth. Climate change on Mars is expected and has been predicted.
Re:spinning and agendas (Score:4, Insightful)
Climate change on Mars is expected and has been predicted.
Interesting. What is the cause of that climate change? Can you point to a source, please?
Re:spinning and agendas (Score:5, Insightful)
I'm not swallowing anybody's lines. I'm saying that your reasoning is clearly spurious and probably driven by a political agenda.
Which are probably flawed, because of insufficient measuring equipment and understanding of how the processes work together.
Of course, many climate models are flawed; that's not the issue here. We aren't discussing whether terrestrial climate models are accurate, we are discussing your spurious reasoning about conclusions we can draw from changes in martian climate.
and treating other people like idiots if they don't
Your statement was idiotic, regardless of whether one believes that global warming is man-made or not: global warming on Mars tells you nothing about global warming on earth, because the one common factor that is known, solar input, has been properly controlled for.
It's ironic, isn't it, that when climatologists make careful arguments about why correlations are causative, you people dismiss them saying that you don't accept that, but when two planets separated by half a light hour coincidentally warm, you immediately jump to conclusions about common causes. Get real, and start using your head for once.
Re:Global Warming on Mars? (Score:2)
It still doesn't change anything. We still need to do something here on Earth, otherwise it's going to get hotter and hotter - *especially* if we know that the sun's output is increasing.
So it makes no difference whatsoever what the
Just do the liberal thing (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Climate change? (Score:2)
Re:Climate change? (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Climate change? (Score:2)
Re:Climate change? (Score:2)
Re:Climate change? (Score:2)
I think it's very interesting. Do you realize what rate of climate change Mars would need to noticeably lose ice in the polar caps in a mere few years?
Buildings (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Buildings (Score:2)
Re:Buildings (Score:2)
Yeah, but the evidence you provided for the nutcases who do actually believe the moon landing was faked was worth posting anyway
And in other news... (Score:4, Funny)
The Mars face has started to smile.
Age? (Score:4, Interesting)
Okay, we're using impact craters for age definition. On a surface as windy and subject to sand storms as Mars' is, isn't that a bit subjective? Can they really extrapolate the age of a surface based on erosion?
In the next paragraph they state,
However, the extent and duration of dust storms varied from year to year.
Seems to me they may need to reevaluate age determination some more.
Re:Age? (Score:2)
Bad puppy! (Score:3, Funny)
Beagle II has been digging to bury alien bones!
Re:Bad puppy! (Score:2)
To which Beagle II responds "Woof!" and then happily hikes his leg and pees all over the newly discovered Martian ruins. And your pants leg. Sorry.
Martian climate change (Score:5, Insightful)
While it may be tempting to draw parallels to what is happening to the climate on earth, keep in mind that:
* Correlation does not equal causation.
* Data from Mars is only available for three years, while data from Earth is available for thousands of years.
* Climate dynamics on Mars might be completely different from Earth.
But it does show one thing (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Martian climate change (Score:5, Insightful)
Besides, it would be total mystery if Earth wasn't warming up due to human activity.
We know CO2 is a greenhouse gas, we know we're increasing its levels by a lot, it would be a massive shock to science to find out that those two didn't mean the planet was heating up.
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
We know people are heavy (and getting fatter!), we know we're drastically increasing the # of people (and their getting fatter!), it would be a massive shock to science to fi
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
To clarify this point, because I think it's the only thing people may actually be concerned about (the logic being sound of course). By excercise, I mean LOW impact activities like riding a stationary bike, swimming, or doing sit-ups. You absolutely would be prohibited from jumping, running, power lifting, or any other activity that resulted in a concentrated force being applie
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
We also know that the cattle on this planet offput more "greenhouse gas" through the methane in their farts and bowel movements, or the output from volcanoes.
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
Yes, but the facts often get in the way of a good theory. The evidence for mars points to the fact that at least part of the warming may not be anthropogenic.
We know CO2 is a greenhouse gas, we know we're increasing its levels by a lot, it would be a massive shock to science to find out that those two didn't mean the planet was heating up.
Unfortunately climatology isn't so simple. We also know air pollution, which goes
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
And have more than 3 years of data.
Re:Martian climate change (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
Pirate jokes are SOOOO two days ago.
Days late, sharks and elephants short (Score:2, Flamebait)
Also, on Earth, piracy is actually a worsening problem [ibc-asia.com] in areas like the Malacca straits. Our climate is getting warmer, though. So it's not an inverse correlation at all, is it? Huh?? Seems like pirates might be contributing to the problem.
Personally I think we have a much bigger set of information -- across multiple planets and decades of data -- showing that unmanned interplanetary probes inhibit
Re:Martian climate change (Score:5, Informative)
Studies of earth based photos/images and drawings over decades have also suggested the South Polar Cap has been shrinking for a couple of decades. Nice to see the MO data supports this.
Those of us who image and track Mars with amatuer telescopes have known this for quite a long time.
Currently, the North Polar Hood, a blank of clouds that form over the north polar area during the start of the Martian winter has become larger and more complex then any of us have seen going back to the 1950's.
I've just always found it amazing most pro global warming folks toss aside with little worry solar effects. Measuring solar energy output is not very easy and hasn't been done over long periods of time.
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2, Informative)
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
Correlation does not equal causation
You're right. The fact that Mars' climate may be warming at the same rate that Earth's climate may be warming does not mean that Earth's climate change is causing Mars' climate change. Very good observation.
Sarcasm aside, more study is needed on both situations. I tend to believe that while man's pollution may be contributing to climate change, it would be happening regardless. Darwin was almost right. It is not survival of the fittest. It is survival of those most ab
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
Only if it is used in a fallacy ("Correlation does not equal causation, therefore correlation never means causation").
My favourite example (Score:2, Informative)
During the 50s in the UK the rise in refrigerator ownership correlated perfectly with the rise in the crime rate. If correlation equals causation then this close correlation implies that purchasing a refrigerator makes you a criminal (or is it the other way round).
If you're using correlation to demonstrate causation you need to demonstrate the linkage as well. Correlation is never enough.
Re:Martian climate change (Score:2)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chewbacca_Defense [wikipedia.org]
any green flashes? (Score:2, Funny)
Amazing stuff (Score:2)
We really need to send humans there to explore and search for that bacterial life that I personally believe once did evolve there, and might still exist.
DO NOT (Score:2, Insightful)
DO NOT believe the evidence! Just because warming trends are happening on two different planets is NO reason to think that there might be a common cause, like the solar energy cycle [stanford.edu]. DO NOT read up NASA predictions for solar cooling and cooler weather on Earth [udel.edu]. DO NOT look at the graph showing the correlation between solar out [web.dmi.dk]
Re:DO NOT (Score:5, Insightful)
It is important to not thought that this is data runs just THREE YEARS. This could be a fluke, or it could be mars warming. Again it just the last THREE YEARS. This is by no means a smoking gun.
Finally, the Kyoto Protocol. First of all, lets go with the why. We don't know why the climate is warming up. We have various ideas, but like I said before the data isn't there to concretely state that one of them is correct. What we do know is that it the Earth is heating up and it could cause us some problems.
That being said taking some reasonable steps to try to reduce what ever effects we might be having on the environment wouldn't be a bad idea.
Also it wouldn't have been all that hard to meet the kyoto protocols. The technology is already here for the most part. The biggest thing would have been speeding our assets more wisely. For example improving public transit, and not rolling back EPA rules. Yes you are correct that developing nations were not asked to reduce as much as americans. However there are some important differences.
Mainly that the average American is producing so much more green house gasses then some family in the Congo burning a wood fire to cock their meals. The average american manages to produce more than even other develop nations. So yeah whatever
Re:DO NOT (Score:4, Insightful)
Thats the exactly the problem with the Global Climate Change movement.
If anyone looks at any data beyond CO2/Greenhouse gases causing climate change they are called idiot, crank, jerk, etc.
The above poster linked to a number of sites on solar climate data, if you'd looked at them, are not about Mars, but about the Sun, and because they are not about human activity you throw them out.
Re:DO NOT (Score:2)
Assume I agree. I am curious, however. Please explain to me why, if CO2 is reflective in the infrared, an even larger amount of infrared energy is not reflected back into space before ever reaching the surface in the first place. Is it reflective in only one direction? Can it tell whether infrared radiation is coming from above or below? Inquiring minds want to know.
Re:DO NOT (Score:3, Insightful)
No.
Can it tell whether infrared radiation is coming from above or below?
Nope.
Please explain to me why, if CO2 is reflective in the infrared, an even larger amount of infrared energy is not reflected back into space before ever reaching the surface in the first place.
Simple: The energy _input_ from the sun comes in a wide spectrum of wavelengths (... sunlight), many of which are unaffected by CO2. However, once the energy arrives at the surface of the planet, the maj
How about Jupiter (Score:2, Interesting)
Who knows, but I have a feeling that certain cycles are coming together to really shake things up in this solar system of ours.
Re:How about Jupiter (Score:2)
Pirates on Mars (Score:4, Funny)
We start looking and see changes, duh! (Score:2, Insightful)
Hang on!!!!!!!! (Score:2)
Isn't this somewhat similar to what's happening at the North Pole here [independent.co.uk]? More ice is melting than is refreezing, something they say is caused by global warming - but if something similar is happening on all the planets...?
Climate warming! (Score:2)
Oh, what's that you say? Both Earth and Mars have this fucking huge ball of plasmic gas burning not too far away from us, thousands of times the size of our planets? And its going through a cyclical "hot" season?
Re:Climate warming! (Score:2)
I wouldn't say "didn't exist" (Score:3, Informative)
From TFA: After looking at the images, I'd say that the gullies became more prominent, but not that they didn't exist. I can clearly see evidence for the source of the more 'northerly' gully as well as a channel leading to an eroded area in the valley for the more 'southerly' gully.
I agree that the findings are very interesting and important, but to state that the gullies "simply did not exist" is overstating the facts, IMHO.
Sun Energy Output At Over 1,000 Year Peak (Score:3, Interesting)
Sun Energy Output At Over 1,000 Year Peak
http://www.futurepundit.com/archives/002242.html [futurepundit.com]
Hmm...
Terraforming Mars (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Imagine that... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Imagine that... (Score:2)
You are leaving out the other causes:
* Too many homo sapiens breathing.
* Anything with a smokestack or chimney (even if the building is vacant)
* Anything with the word Nuclear in it
* Gasious emmissions from farm animal killing facilities such as farms, stockyards, chicken coops, etc.
* The unjust war in ______ (fill in nation)caused by unjust American foreign policies.
* Shrinking wetlands
I'm sure I left something out. Shame on me, my city shall be leveled by a ____
Re:Imagine that... (Score:2)
Re:Imagine that... (Score:2)
"Your SUV is so big it is causing global warming on Mars."
"Save Mars, mess up Earth first."
"Ban Mars Rovers, they cause global warming."
"It's a natural cycle, stupid!"
SUVs and Global Warming on Mars? (Score:3, Funny)
Americans land two mini-SUVs on Mars, tool around the countryside making tracks, and triggers global warming!
Q.E.D.
Re:Global Warming on Mars? (Score:2)
Re:Global Warming on Mars? (Score:2)
Re:Climate Change on Mars (Score:3, Insightful)
Yeah, it's the Republicans (Score:3, Funny)
I tell ya, they just don't care about protecting the environment...