Next NASA Vehicles To Resemble Shuttles 205
ausoleil writes "Spaceref.com has an internal NASA memo outlining potential plans for the next generation of launch vehicles. They will closely resemble the current Shuttle and use some of the same hardware. Of course, they plan to leave the exploding parts out of their next versions. From the article: 'NASA has decided to build two new launch systems - both of which will draw upon existing Space Shuttle hardware. One vehicle will be a cargo-only heavy lifter, the other will be used to launch the Crew Exploration Vehicle.'"
Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:5, Informative)
The "Shuttle-C" cargo stack (and variations) were originally publically discussed in the early '80s as reasons why the shuttle was worth all we were spending (you don't just get the shuttle, you also get a "normal" heavy-lift launcher). Those variants, however, have had problems [thespacereview.com] that could only be resolved by massive cultural change at the NASA level. One of the biggest issues was payload capacity of the side-slung configuration. Since then variations including the Ares stack and the more recent Shuttle-B [gzspace.com] have appeared and pretty much gone nowhere.
I suspect that the United Space Alliance's (USA's) "risk averse" culture will actively hinder and ultimately frustrate all of these plans. If you've ever worked for a government contractor, you'll understand the culture I'm talking about. They (Boeing and Lockheed-Martin, the companies in the USA partnership) don't have to compete in markets, and are positively allergic to any hint that they may have to compete with other companies for revenue. If NASA's hoping for bargains, they won't find them when dealing with USA.
Regards,
Ross
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:5, Insightful)
Second cynical point: If our one big goal is to go BACK to the MOON within the next decade (or was it twenty years?), why do we need such new complex spacecraft? We did it in April of 1969 with the computing power of today's calculator, but we need a complete overhaul to manage to do something we already did almsot four decades ago?
I'm seeing us spending a lot of money here. Doing a lot of grunt work here. Yet, all we're achieving is the same thing we've already achieved. How disapointing.
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2, Insightful)
It's not merely disappointing --- it's disgusting. The shuttle was a bad idea from the start, and that the same mistakes will be recapitulated is awful.
Is the real reason we backed away from manned exploration in the 70's because the "right" people weren't making a profit off of it? It could well be that, until there is a consistent and projectable profit to be had from the manned exporation of space, we will be stuck back here on Earth. I memorized every announced space launch, manned or otherwise, wh
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:4, Interesting)
The only "big" space events and launches in my life time were the Columbia, which exploded, when I was seven years old, the next successful launch to occur after that disaster (not a big deal, other than everyone in the world tuned in to see if they made it through the launch) and then the explosion upon re-entry a couple years ago.
So really, my generation knows little more of the space program outside of historical events, save for disasters and budget crunches.
People are so narrow-minded and short-sighted that they think "we should be spending money on helping our own people here on earth instead of exploring space". Well, look, there will always be misery and poverty and hunger and war on earth. We're not going to change that and we can't sacrifice exploration and the future of the human race (and ever creature on the planet for that matter) for some fantasy date way off in the future when the world will be perfect and we can proceed with uncharted territory.
Personally, I want us to be a major player in space. We should have stations and colonies already. We should be looking toward a future when mankind has several planets and when his existence as an entire species isn't hinging on the potential devestation of any number of cosmic events that could occur on his home world.
Space exploration is inherently about the continuation of the human race. There is nothing more natural, human or - even - American than that. And damn it, I want to have the awe and thrill of watching heros do amazing things and take amazing risks to explore the universe. My generation needs their own Right Stuff. We need our own glued-to-the-television-in-anticipation experience.
I mean, does anyone even think that landing on the moon a second time is going to be much of a news story? I doubt there will be much coverage (and certainly not real-time) of the launch. And even when they make it to the moon, it will probably rank as a quick blurb in between sports scores and weather on the news. Nothing more. There won't be parades. There won't be speeches. There wont' be much of anything. And I sympathize with the astronauts who probably themselves dream of conguering new territory rather than re-hasing what others have already done.
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2, Funny)
And yes, I'm nine years old. You can tell by the Slashdot UID that I joined when I turned two years old!
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
The problem with the current line of shuttles is that Americans aren't comfortable with the 1/40 expected fatal disaster rate. Splitting the cargo away from the crew lets you pay extra for an extremely safe crew launch, and run a cost b
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
If these were conscripts going into space, that'd be one thing. However, I don't see why the American public cannot accept the fact that astronauts are people who want to go up into space, while knowing the risks better than anyone else. If the people going up can't accept the risk, they don't take the offer. That simple.
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
Well; mostly the money goes to the contracters such as boeing, and other large companies who do nasa's work
Ensuring Quality at NASA (Score:2)
The group of companies submitting the winning prototype will receive the bulk of the funding to build a fleet of shuttles. However, the group of companies su
Re:Ensuring Quality at NASA (Score:2)
Why Japanese companies? Wouldn't it be better to approach Russian companies, assuming that the idea is to build a manned spacecraft which dosn't kill it's crew.
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:3, Insightful)
A secret shuttle? Unlikely. Remember, US ground-based telescopes can be used to look at the space shuttle (remember the blurry photo of the damage to Columbia?) so keeping it secret from other nations would be near-impossible. Add in the capability to track such missions by radar and it becomes an impossibility.
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
If you covered the top with black radar absorbing material and had it run radio silent, you could easily keep it secret from other countries.
The only difficult thing is launching something that big without random people seeing it and blabbing.
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
Totally tinfoil hat. Why do you think shuttle pilots always seem to hold an Air Force rank? The military put all its manned-launch eggs in the shuttle basket (and GPS satellites are launche with unmanned Delta rockets). They might have conceivably developed such an orbital vehi
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
You want your JetBlue pilot landing the shuttle? The thing launches at 4 Gs and comes back in starting at over mach 20. Supersonic jet fighters are just a starting point for teaching someone to fly the shuttle.
Re:Nice to see an Ares stack finally getting props (Score:2)
Does anyone really belive that the US doesnt have a shuttle like craft? I am sure the military has some type of way to get up and work on sattelites without the shuttle.
It would be rather hard to hide launching such a vehicle. Trying to hide a launch from a miltary base would be rather stupid, since the obvious "wrong conclusion" would be that an ICBM was being launched.
Returning a shuttle type vehicle to Earth is, if anything, even less stealt
Vehicles only to look like shuttle on the outside (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Vehicles only to look like shuttle on the outsi (Score:2)
American Space Progam Casualties: 17 (20 if you count the Apollo T-38 training accident)
Soviet Casualties: 150+
Re:Vehicles only to look like shuttle on the outsi (Score:2)
Besides, your comparison is meaningless. The Soyuz system may well be the safer design, but accidents may be due to cheaper materials. Furthermore, what's the total number of manned launches of each nation?
Re:Vehicles only to look like shuttle on the outsi (Score:2, Interesting)
Over 100 of those was due to a single incident in 1960 which was actually an ICBM test, not a general-purpose space mission. Under extreme pressure from the top government ranks to keep the cold war test on schedule, safety regulations were ignored while frantic launch preparations were made on a fully fueled missile. Somebody accidentally made an electrical connection that ignited the second stage, which engulfed the ground crew in fire.
That singular incident really doesn't have
That's just great (Score:5, Insightful)
So, as always, (good science/actual military need/sensible budget-keeping (pick appropriate phrase based on article) ) takes a backseat to Senator Whosit saying, "You won't cost my state jobs!"
SRBs not SSMEs! (Score:5, Informative)
Re:SRBs not SSMEs! (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:SRBs not SSMEs! (Score:3, Informative)
[frustrated sigh] You do realize that the Feynman report was written nearly twenty years ago?
The frustrated sigh is because of people who keep quoting that damm report and act as if the Shuttle is stuck in some kind of time warp. The amount of utter ignorance on Slashdot about the Shuttle amazes and frightens me... Here's an incredible ongoing engineering feat with tons of information avail
Re:SRBs not SSMEs! (Score:2)
NASA promised the sky with the shuttle (fast turn around, high reliablity, and high throughput come to mind) and when they could not deliver what they had promised, systematically covered it up and ignored good engineering practices. Has this aspect of NASA changed in 20 years?
Re:SRBs not SSMEs! (Score:3, Informative)
What's old is new again (Score:5, Informative)
Take the case of SkyLab vs. the International Space Station. According to Wikipedia, the two stack up as follows: Now with some simple math, we find that SkyLab averaged 77,088 kg per launch which the ISS averages about 8,380 kg per launch.
If you didn't just do a double take, you should have. The booster that lifted SkyLab stuck over 9 times the mass into orbit that current ISS flights do! Just what is going on here?
The answer lies in the Saturn V Booster vs. the current Space Shuttle. A three stage Saturn V had a maximum payload of 118,000 kg. (That's enough to send the entire ISS up in only 4 flights.) The Space Shuttle, OTOH, only has a cargo of 28,800 kg to LEO. So why does NASA want to reuse the tech? Because of the weight of the shuttle itself.
The Space Shuttle orbiter weighs in at a whopping 104,000 kg! Combined with its cargo capacity, the Space Shuttle is capable of 132,800 kg to LEO! That's way more than the Saturn V could manage on all three stages. So if we ditch the orbiter itself, the shuttle's infrastructure could be the most powerful superbooster ever designed.
Re:What's old is new again (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:What's old is new again (Score:2)
It did occur to me that one way of reusing the engine may be to use a two-stage central section. This of course adds weight and complexity (mor
Well, sorta (Score:3, Interesting)
You're leaving out the fact that a portion of the engine is built into the orbiter. I'm not sure exactly what it masses, but I'd take a guess it's bigger than the difference
Re:Well, sorta (Score:2)
Block II Space Shuttle Main Engine [boeing.com] weight 7,774 lb
Now using Google Calculator:
7 * 7774 lb to kg = 24 683.5896 kilograms
So yeah, it is a bit more, but not that much.
Re:Well, sorta (Score:2)
Re:What's old is new again (Score:2)
What's going on? Ignorant comparison of apples and oranges.
Yes, there are 50 flights to ISS during the construction phase - but that includes the manned Soyuz flights, which carry crew, not construction materials. Of the 39 Shuttle flights only about 20-21 of them carry construction materials, the remainder carry crew and/or
Re:What's old is new again (Score:2)
While I was being simplistic, you forget that I left off the ~30 Progress flights that support the ISS. That's where the brunt of the human carrying capacity is.
Even if we take your figures a
Exploding parts? (Score:3, Insightful)
The escape hatch also has exploding bolts.
The only exploding part that should be left off is the leaky o-rings that helped the chalenger to exploded in '86.
now if we'd stop spending our money exploding things in the middle east, where could have these new luanch vehicles sooner rather than later.
Re:Exploding parts? (Score:5, Interesting)
The solid boosters ignition starts with a small Nasa Standard Initiator (NSI) http://www.hstc.com/pdf/nsi.pdf [hstc.com].
That then ignites a small pellet of boron / potassium nitrate.
Which ignites a small rocket motor which is about 4 inches long.
Which ignites a medium sized rocket motor about three feet long.
Which fires a jet of flame for about a tenth of a second, all the way down the whole inside length of the solid boosters, which ignites the whole inside at the same time.
Re:Exploding parts? (Score:2)
The shuttle's SRBs would take the platform up with it if the bolts are not blown. I believe this is the last possible thing to go wrong that you can pull back from (At like t minus
http://yarchive.net/space/spacecraft/explosive_bo l ts.html [yarchive.net]
good designs but... (Score:3, Insightful)
The only problem is that this continues the massive NASA workforce, which is going to limit the actual implementation of said designs. The standing army needs to be repurposed instead of played to - shutting down the OPF isn't enough. These are massively labor intensive rockets they are creating - they may create as many problems as they solve.
The Shuttle has got to go, I'm glad Dr. Griffin is taking this step.
Josh
Re:good designs but... (Score:2)
What's On The Drawing... (Score:4, Insightful)
What we need is NASA to get out of the vehicle design business and let the free-market industry come up with innovative designs to build, test and deliver. It should be like building cars when the designs keep getting better and more reliable every year.
Re:What's On The Drawing... (Score:5, Insightful)
Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:4, Insightful)
Even the Space Elevator doesn't have this problem. Surely there are better things to do with the money to lower cost-to-orbit than building giant bottle-rockets. As long as we remain under the paradigm of taking our fuel with us, it seems to me the cost and complexity goes through the roof. My two cents only.
NASA Budget Shows Shuttle Phase-Out [whattofix.com]
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:3, Informative)
Check out the site. It's full of fascinating stuff.
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:2)
You can just as easily use "skyramps" to launch missiles, as demonstrated by the Luftwaffe. The problem is that they can be more easily damaged by enemy attack than harderned silos.
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:2)
I don't know about you, but there is one thing I certainly don't even want to think about when going at Mach 3 on a jet sled: mechanical friction.
There is only one way to *safely* launch a spacebound vehicle on a horizontal lauch pad: Magnetic rails.
And *pooof* goes the "reduced cost" argument.
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:2)
I have no idea how much money maglev rails cost to run, but you only would need to build them once, as opposed to over-and-over again with conventional systems.
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:2)
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:2)
Well, we've built and 'fired' them in the lab. The technology doesn't really require any breakthroughs, just the refinement of existing technology.
It's true that building a large-scale one is currently out of our reach for the above-mentioned reasons; but the Navy is embarking on a huge project to develop them for armaments, and there will undoubtedly be spinoffs from their R&D.
Star Trek-style transporters on the other hand require at least three major breakthroughs in theory, so that was a poor
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:2)
Re:Do We Have To Keep Carrying Our Fuel With Us? (Score:2)
Reminds me of fusion for some reason
I do think that if serious money/brainpower/computer time is thrown at EMRs that we'll have one soon. The Navy certainly seems determined - and I find I agree with their reasoning... plus I like the idea of the tech propogation thru the space industry. Even if it isn't feasible to use a EMR to launch from Earth (and there are plenty of other difficulties there!
No exploding parts? (Score:2)
The parts that explode are the fuel tanks, and without them the craft wont get very far off the ground. The exploding parts stay!
Exploding bits? (Score:4, Interesting)
Erm, actually they are keeping the "exploding bits" and leaving out the bits that so far haven't exploded. The SDV will include the solid rockets (which doomed Challenger) and the fuel tank (which doomed Columbia). The only bit they are leaving out is the orbiter, which has so far has worked properly.
Having said that, it is still an extremely good design. It's almost exactly what the Soviet Union built (separate Energia heavy lift and Soyuz crew vehicles). The only difference is the use of solid motors (which explains why the stock price of Thiokol's parent company has been going up like a, erm, rocket).
Re:Exploding bits? (Score:2)
As for the solids, yeah, I agree. They should not be used for space exploration. They are mostly useful for military missiles, which need to be storable and fast to fire.
Re:Exploding bits? (Score:2)
No 'exploding parts'? (Score:2)
Didnt know NASA was that advanced yet.
Re:No 'exploding parts'? (Score:2)
NASA to Buy Commercial Transport to ISS (Score:5, Interesting)
At a recent talk, Michael Griffin outlined NASA's plans [space.com] for helping to generate a robust and competitive commercial market in orbital spaceflight. The speech [spaceref.com] and Q&A [spaceref.com] transcripts from the talk are available. In a move reminiscent of the US government kickstarting the early airline industry by purchasing airmail services, NASA plans on supplementing government-derived transport by purchasing cargo delivery services to the International Space Station from commercial providers, followed by crew transportation after the systems have proven themselves. Unlike traditional government contracts, sellers wouldn't see a profit before the services are delivered and the emphasis will be on actual performance instead of process and specifications. Aviation Week has some commentary [ecnext.com] on the announcement.
Re:NASA to Buy Commercial Transport to ISS (Score:2)
You should rename yourself to 'Roland Piquepaille'
Re:NASA to Buy Commercial Transport to ISS (Score:2)
Re:NASA to Buy Commercial Transport to ISS (Score:2)
So, to go forwards... (Score:5, Insightful)
On the one hand, I'm glad. The Shuttle has proved to be a horrible waste of money, a boondoggle of 1970s technology dictated by political pork and military paranoia rather than being designed for an actual specific purpose, and I'm glad it's going to be replaced.
It's just a shame that the only way we can get people out into space seems to be with 1960s technology rather than 2000s. At least, under the current government-funded model.
Re:So, to go forwards... (Score:2)
Re:So, to go forwards... (Score:3, Insightful)
Part of that is that the "older" aerospace technology is often so close to optimal that only tiny tweaks are needed to get improvements, and that massive changes are often far more costly than they get in return. This is especially the case with aircraft, and I am not surprised that it may be the case with spacecraft too.
In reality,
They're leaving out what now? (Score:2)
We're talking about rockets. They rely on exploding parts, otherwise they tend not to go anywhere.
Unless NASA will be opting for nuclear power on these things (HA!), rest assured that the launch area will be heavily laden with "NO SMOKING!" signs.
One word: "Never happen" (Score:2)
Bad news: The glamour of having a real spaceship is going to dissappear.
The stacked heavy lifter is going to be so expensive and so inflexible, only 1 launch is going to be possible per year, containing all the cargo for the entire year.
The delta IV would have been a better match for the CEV. We old timers just have a lot of bad memories of solid rock
Does not at all resemble the Shuttle (Score:3, Interesting)
The key difference between the new models and the existing shuttle is serial architecture versus parallel architecture. The Space Shuttle is an example of parallel architecture - all of the stages firing together. The new proposals operate in serial, one stage at a time. That's a lot safer: abort modes are easier to implement. A first stage failure is not immediately a fatal incident. Also notice they are implementing the CEV for the crew module, not a shuttle.
And although the spaceref article and pretty pictures are new, the ideas/rumors have been floating around the Aerospace community for quite some time now.
-everphilski-
Re:Does not at all resemble the Shuttle (Score:2)
This isn't FARK, leave the crude headlines to them (Score:5, Insightful)
Terrible idea! (Score:2)
1) we're reusing the solids which have already killed one crew, and which are neither cheap, reliable, efficient nor reuseable. A single shot of this new vehicle will be at least $100 million - 5 times what a Soyuz ride goes for.
2) We're reusing the SSME engines, which are the latest 1970's technology. They have a decent specific impulse, but are very expensive to
Re:Terrible idea! (Score:2)
Simple really: a space vehicle is always going to be expensive to build - you have very stringent quality controls and tolerance requirements, as well as exotic materials and complicated fabrication procedures. A reusable vehicle should allow you to amortize that construction cost over many flights. Imagine how much it would cost to fly from Boston to LA if they threw away the 737 after every flight.... And a 737 is a lot less c
Re:Terrible idea! (Score:2)
That logic may apply in the future, but it do
seems rather complex (Score:2)
Look to Private Enterprise for Space Sex... (Score:2, Interesting)
Ok, so I'm probably not the only one here who's dissapointed in finding that NASAs next big plan looks and sounds really BORING. But if we're really serious about space exploration, then what's most important is what it can do to further that progress, not how it does it. Now, my big gripe is that "progress" itself doesn't seem all that important in this design as Congress keeps whining about space program employment and timeline crunches, but if this is the quickest and cheapest way to improve the space
Upward compatible means that we get to keep... (Score:2, Interesting)
Horrible, horrible idea. They're taking two of the three worst components of the current shuttle platform and reusing them in a system where we have already made and used much better systems. The only way they could make it worse is to rely on the current shuttle thermal tiling.
So, lets look at the other two pieces. SRBs? They killed Challenger. They've never worked properly, or we wouldn't have been getting blow-by as routine. If NASA is insisting on sticking with solid
The HLLV was in the original shuttle design... (Score:3, Interesting)
Man, I hope they let NASA do it right this time. If they reduce the weight of the new shuttle so the SSME don't need to run over redline just to do their jobs, maybe they won't have to rebuild it after every flight like it was some damn MIG engine... and if the HLLV doesn't need to be man-rated they can use a less expensive version of the SSME in it and save even more.
The devil you don't.... (Score:2)
Not all launch vehicles will look like the shuttle (Score:3, Funny)
Titanium frame instead of aluminum? (Score:3, Interesting)
Is this true?
Regardless, it seems clear that any launch hardware intended for reuse should be made of the best strength-to-weight materials available even at larger initial cost, so either there's less energy (the fuel itself is rather cheap, but less of it means smaller launch vehicles, fewer complications, fewer SRB's, etc.) required to launch, or a larger payload could be put into orbit with the same launch energy because of the lighter hardware.
Re:Titanium frame instead of aluminum? (Score:2)
Also, unlikely (Score:2)
>Maybe it's just me, but I didn't find that attempt at humor cute. It's in poor taste and I don't believe it was proper for a submission.
Rockets are little more than controlled explosions. Take away the explosion, and you have a shuttle that sits on the pad and never goes anywhere.
The problem is not to get rid of the explosion, but keep it under control.
Re:Also, unlikely (Score:2)
NASA = Need Another Seven Astronauts (Score:2, Insightful)
relax, comedy is some peoples way of dealing with terrible events, ever heard the phrase i didn't know wether to laugh or cry, now you know
Nope, he's just... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Nope, he's just... (Score:2)
Re:Nope, he's just... (Score:2)
I believe a submission shouldn't treat events that led to the deaths of several brave men and women as a opportunity to crack a joke.
I thought it was in poor taste and said so. I do not however believe I should be protected from being offended. In fact, I wasn't offended by it in the common use of the word. I thought it was in poor taste but it didn't "hurt my feelings" or anything. I just do not believe it was proper.
There's a very large difference between positing my opinion o
Re:a rocket? (Score:2)
Because they got nowhere near orbit.
"A re-usable vehicle that could take off from space, go into orbit, dock w/ space stations, etc., and then land back on earth is well within our reach technologically."
Within our technological abilities? Perhaps. Within our budget? Heck no. And then there are other options that could help that trigger the NIMBY crowd, like nuclear propulsion.
Re:a rocket? (Score:2, Informative)
where:
delta-V = 7600 m/s for LEO (a little more for space station)
g = 9.8 m/s^2 (gravity)
Isp = 295-450 1/s (Specific Impulse, basically a thrust rating of a propellant. 295 for a solid in a vacuum, 450 for a SSME in a vacuum. Lower on the surface of the earth)
m0 = takeoff mass
m1 = mass on orbit
Play around with the numbers. You will find out quickly that single stage to orbit with any significant amount of payload is
Simple Answer; Costs and Politics (Score:2)
Reagan, Poppa Bush,and Clinton pushed the ISS. ISS may be a nightmare, but it also started other nations AND our private enterprise thinking about how to get to space. In addition,the bigilow space station was actually designed by NASA during clinton's time. It was suppose to be the next ISS. GWB
Re:a rocket? (Score:2)
Re:a rocket? (Score:2)
A single stage to orbit is REALLY HARD.
A new and innovative launch system is risky and Expensive.
Take a look at the X project ships. Only one flew with a crew and none of them would have gotten close to orbit. Heck none of them got close to the X-15 in speed and that was over forty years ago. Not to dismiss what Rutan did but it IS not up to what Nasa was doing over 40 years ago.
I swear people who do not know understand something seem to instantly assume that it mus
Re:a rocket? (Score:2)
Re:a rocket? (Score:3, Insightful)
Okay I should not bother since you are clearly insane but I am bored.
1. Rutan's propulsion system has a MUCH lower specific impulse than the shuttle. A hybrid rocket that could reach orbit would be HUGE. And a single SSTO using the propulsion system that Rutan built would be impossible.
2. Just to build and test man rated spacecraft would take more than two years! Just to write and test the fli
Re:a rocket? (Score:2)
Re:The new design looks top-heavy. (Score:3, Insightful)
Space is still way the heck up there, and you still need lots and lots of fuel and oxydizer to get up to LEO. You don't see stuff the size of sounding rockets getting up there.
Besides, the bigger the pieces we can send up there, the less on-site (i. e. on-orbit) assembly is needed when it gets there. Even for us on the ground there is a lot to be said about pre-fabrication.
Re:The new design looks top-heavy. (Score:2)
Perhaps we need to do more work on post-fabrication technology
If we're going to move to a small-mass cargo transport for individual cargo pieces (ala the space elevator, smaller launchers, "railguns", etc) it would make more sense to develop advanced tele-operated assembly capabilities anyway, wouldn't it? That begs the question of whether multiple smaller launchers wi
Re:The new design looks top-heavy. (Score:3, Interesting)
Suppose that the way you got a new automobile was by having it mailed to you in 50 pound packages. It is probably possible to get cars this way, but the cars would be very different from the cars we have now --- heavier, slower, less fuel efficient, leaving a rather larger tr