A Link Between Autism and Thimerosal? 153
tessellation writes "Environmentalist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has just published a review of evidence for the link between thimerosal (a mercury-based preservative added to vaccines until 2003) and the autism epidemic. It also details attempts by the FDA and CDC to protect the drug industry from litigation by producing favorable results rather than objective studies: '"Four current studies are taking place to rule out the proposed link between autism and thimerosal," Dr. Gordon Douglas, then-director of strategic planning for vaccine research at the National Institutes of Health, assured a Princeton University gathering in May 2001. "In order to undo the harmful effects of research claiming to link the [measles] vaccine to an elevated risk of autism, we need to conduct and publicize additional studies to assure parents of safety." Douglas formerly served as president of vaccinations for Merck, where he ignored warnings about thimerosal's risks." How often are studies successfully altered by funding agencies to conceal negative results?"
Experimenter Bias (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:4, Informative)
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:2)
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:2)
Second, I specifically asked for background material; all you did was provide names, not actual information, links to information, or even citations that could have been decoded.
Third, this 'learning on their own' thing you cite is a red herring: you expect what, exactly? That a person who is well-versed in, say, Ru
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:2, Troll)
There is no spoon (Score:2)
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:2)
It's not limited to /. (Score:2)
Re:Experimenter Bias (Score:2)
For myself, the whole of quantum physics sounds pretty fucking bizarre, but there's no way I'm going to tell a physicist "you're talking unproveable gobbledygook" when they mention Heisenberg or
irrelevant here (Score:3, Informative)
However, while observer bias is an issue in many studies, it probably wasn't one here: it did not involve an experiment in which experimenters could have shown bias; the hypothesis ("thimerosal causes autism") wasn't even known or stated during data collection.
Re:irrelevant here (Score:2)
"Four current studies are taking place to rule out the proposed link between autism and thimerosal"
Sounds like the conclusion of the study had already been decided.
Re:irrelevant here (Score:2)
Come on, don't be so naive: such studies don't involve people driving around diagnosing patients. These kinds of epidemiological studies are based on patient records. The diagnoses were made years ago by qualified doctors who knew nothing then about the hypothesis being tested today.
"Four current studies are taking place to rule out the proposed link between
Re:irrelevant here (Score:2)
We all (hopefully) agree that that is the Scientific Method, but since statistics can be made to say anything you'd like, I wonder if bias flaws these kinds of studies from the beginning?
Re:irrelevant here (Score:2)
Mr Kennedy's a qualified researcher now? (Score:5, Interesting)
Now, don't get me wrong; it may still be the case that thimersol or some other vaccine ingredient contributes to autism. However, the balance of evidence [nih.gov] from qualified medical researchers is against this viewpoint at the moment, and it's unethical of Mr Kennedy to start spreading what is essentially FUD unless he has the epidemiological data to back it up.
you're missing the point (Score:4, Insightful)
As a scientists, I hope the day will never come in which only "qualified researchers" can publish on controversial issues. Voting age citizens are supposed to be able to comprehend, judge, and evaluate information for themselves.
Re: you're missing the point (Score:2)
> Kennedy doesn't have to be a "qualified researcher" in order to publish something in Salon.com, even something with scientific content. Salon.com is not a scientific journal, it's an on-line magazine for journals and writers, and Kennedy qualifies as one of those.
Strictly speaking he doesn't have to be a "qualified researcher" in order to publish in a scientific journal either, so long as he does his homework, justifies his method of collecting data, and draws his conclusions by applying sound reaso
Re: you're missing the point (Score:2)
Re: you're missing the point (Score:2)
> When he does all that, he is a qualified researcher.
Good point.
Re:you're missing the point (Score:5, Insightful)
From the very beginning, the scientific case against the mercury additive has been overwhelming.
That's not exactly balanced. Furthermore, above that he writes:
It was only after reading the Simpsonwood transcripts, studying the leading scientific research and talking with many of the nation's preeminent authorities on mercury that I became convinced that the link between thimerosal and the epidemic of childhood neurological disorders is real.
It's unethical for someone who has studied the "leading scientific research" and talked "nation's preeminent authorities" to so misrepresent the preponderance of evidence and the positions of those who disagree with him; he cites and dismisses "some skeptics" in the paragraph after my quote as believing the increase in autism prevalence is due to better diagnosis, which may be true, but doesn't even mention such "skeptics" may think the cause of the increase remains totally unknown!
In addition there's a lot that contravenes common sense. For instance:
In 1930, the company tested thimerosal by administering it to 22 patients with terminal meningitis, all of whom died within weeks of being injected.
Patients with terminal meningitis died? As in "terminal" meaning "incurably near death"? Who would've thought?
I could go on and on for a while, but I hope my point has been made. If you're a notable public figure writing on a contentious issue, you have an obligation to present the evidence in a balanced manner, rather than picking and choosing your sources to prop up your own biases and conclusions.
Re:you're missing the point (Score:2)
Well, I'm glad that you do. It's not what the grandparent post said.
it's a free world. I do, however, think that he should fairly represent the current state of research, or at least acknowledge that the point is undecided,
Sure, but that's a very different statement from the original one; now you are criticizing the article on content, not authorship.
Re:you're missing the point (Score:2)
Re:you're missing the point (Score:3, Insightful)
Scientific journals tend to (or are supposed to) carry out some factual checking on article content before publishing. Salon.com apparently just published without checking. Kennedy is claiming an ability to spot connections which is not backed up by evidence, or by a superior scientific ability.
If this were an editorial expressing one person's opinio
Re:you're missing the point (Score:2, Insightful)
Although I agree with this in concept, the problem here is not that people shouldn't be allowed to have their opinions and discuss controversy, but rather that when people read stuff like this, that claims geniune scientific method and discovery without having either, they grow
Re:you're missing the point (Score:3, Insightful)
When these people go to the voting booth and vote on issues like health care, national defense, social security, and the justice system, they need to make the same kinds of evaluations of expert opinions, and they decide over the life and death of hundreds of thousands of other people every year. If we entrust people with that responsibilit
Re:Mr Kennedy's a qualified researcher now? (Score:2)
Regardless of what the truth turns out to be, something desperately needs to be changed. Medicine, for a long time now, has been a fake science. They start with the conclusion they want and work from there. Medicine is full of monopolies, conflicts of interest, and hipocrocy. The prevailing mentality that ethical issues are only important for lesser beings is a great example of the view the medical community has of itself.
Don't believe me? Well.. t
Re:Mr Kennedy's a qualified researcher now? (Score:2)
The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Just the fact that a single thimerasol-containing vaccine (such as the flu shot) contains 40 times more mercury than the FDA guidelines allows for adults, and that these vaccines are given to infants ought
Link Correction (Score:2)
www.autismanswer.com [autismanswer.com]
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Indeed, families with autistic children (such as ours) tend to suffer a large financial burden as a result of the government's negligence. My wife had to stop working to administer his special education program at home; this is more typical than not. We a
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
http://www.unc.edu/~cory/autism-info/orgautsa.htm l [unc.edu]
http://brain.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/ awh330v1 [oxfordjournals.org]
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd= Retrieve&db=PubMed&dopt=Abstract&list_uids=1593599 3 [nih.gov]
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Only the first of the articles you point to talk about genetics at all - and this article in the context of predisposition. 20 years ago, individuals with the same facial characteristics (e.g. low corners in mouth) did not normally develop autism.
My son, for
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Even though Autism is usually diagnosed at 1.5 to 2 years of age (or older), the condition itself is known to start at or before birth. It is known to not be caused by damage to the brain - but by developmental problems - studies from the past 5 years have consistently shown there are meas
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Again, not to get too bogged down in a lengthy discussion (I have better things to do), but you ought to know that Autism is a multifactorial disorder. This means that - yes - genetics, such as large amounts of white matter in the brain - has a role, but that there are other factors as well. One of these is mercury. Another one is the part of the Thimerasol molecule that is le
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
I hope you've also enrolled your son in an ABA program while you pursue a "cure".
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
As for being informed... I'll stick with serious journals instead of the delibrate misinformation that is put out there by "informational" websites. Why is it that the sites that mention the "1 in 150"
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
One more time: Autism (or more accurately, Autism Spectrum Disorders, ranging from full-blown Autism via Asperger's, to ADHD and ADD) is a multi-factorial disorder, or if you will, disease. One of these factors is genetic predisposition. But if that was the only factor, you could not explain why:
Another point... (Score:2)
Both my own son, and one of the other kids in our neighbourhood who is going through DMPS chelation, are now "dumping" large amounts of mercury from their bodies (as seen in urine tests, and more informally via so-called "detox rashes" on their skin). Simultaneously, they are both acquiring language and social skills at a rate that would not be possible by ABA, OT, or ST alone.
One more point of data for your reference.
uh... you're arguing about views I don't have. (Score:2)
First off - I wrote about that "1 in 150" figure already.
Re:uh... you're arguing about views I don't have. (Score:2)
What was that? When you mock chelation, gluten free diets, and "cures", aren't you inferring that:
The one
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:2)
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:4, Insightful)
Hey, dummy, how do scientific hypotheses get formed? Scientists turn casual observations - "hmm, these dietary changes seem to improve symptoms of autism" - or logical conjectures - "hey, mercury is really fucking poisonous in general - shouldn't we look for negative effects from giving so much of an untested mercury-containing substance to babies?" - into formal studies blah blah blah. This takes time - but the observations of parents will be a critical link in this chain. Those parents report chelating to have a positive effect very consistently.
Something else I'll tell you about parents and their children's medical problems: if you knew anything about dealing with a sick child - clearly you don't - you'd know that very easy in talking to parents to distinguish between overzealous, overoptimistic people who fool themselves and/or blame doctors at every opportunity and latch on to every quack cure in sight and those parents who are thoughtful, powerful agents in their child's care.
The suppression of information reported in the Salon article is fucking scary - large scale epidemiological databases showing dead obvious connections, then said data is removed from public view permanently by officials with deep industry connections defending their own policies. Whether the thimoseral connection shakes out or not, that public health policy was made this way is incredibly fucking stupid. But you don't care as long as you can take the lazy pose of a skeptic.
Science wouldn't progress quite so quickly without the parents observations being given credibility. Did you know that until the 1970s, most infant surgery - from circumcision on up - was done without anaesthesia? Why? Because scoffing skeptics like you (only with MDs) insisted their nervous systems were to immature to feel pain. In retrospect, we can see pretty clearly how stupidly obviously wrong that was. Striking a skeptical pose doesn't make you scientific, it just makes you arrogant enough to believe your version of things is "obvious" and others are "fooling themselves".
Re:The link is definitely there. (Score:3, Interesting)
The only thing that is "scary" about that article is what a serious hackjob and scare piece it is. The sad thing is that I had a lot - a lot - of repect for RFK Jr before that article.
And don't take my word for it - please. Look it up for yourself. Take a look at the
Opposing viewpoints and reg-free link (Score:4, Informative)
Then some counterpoints to the article:
And finally, as was posted earlier, the MetaFilter thread [metafilter.com] is well worth reading before making up your mind one way or another.
Half-truths (Score:5, Interesting)
Autism is not on the list of known effects and many of those who do make the link are involved in expensive remedies that have no established effectiveness whatsoever. As such, I would regard them as being just as dubious as the American pharmaceutical industry.
Now, it is well established that the CDC and FDA have been involved in gross coverups and scandals - not too long ago, they were caught having forged the results of "studies" in Africa on an antiviral. The results weren't merely "not good", they were utterly bogus. Further research actually showed that patients had a distinct habit of dying from the medication, which was damn inconvenient for those wanting to make a fast buck.
It is entirely possible that certain vaccinations MAY have untoward impact on the brain - we don't know all of the allergic responses to vaccinations and have no means of predicting them in advance. (Why do you think you're asked to sit and wait, after getting shots? Because they need someone to prop the wall up?)
However, the link is unproven to be connected with autism and if you look at the mechanics of autism, there is no reason to believe that that is where the link lies.
Autism involves sensory overload shutting parts of the higher levels of the brain down. This is why a severely autistic child is quite capable of interacting with environments that are relatively slow-moving and over a very small fraction of the field of vision. Anything more simply puts the brain into shock.
It is also why geeks are commonly associated with higher-functioning autism and aspergers, as computers are generally not moving a great deal. The range a person needs to contend with is vastly reduced.
Nobody - absolutely nobody - knows the cause of autism, or how to diagnose it except empirically. There are no diagnostics beyond observing a person's responses, which is somewhat medieval. Studies of autism involving PET, CAT, fMRI or EEG devices are limited at best (I know of exactly none), so the amount of neurological data is limited.
Autism is likely to be genetic, as couples on the autistic spectrum do seem to have a higher chance of producing autistic children, but even that is not really proven. It could equally well be dietary. No gene has been found linked to autism, despite some work in this area, which raises the possibility that there is no gene to be found.
In the meantime, I don't suggest cutting back on vaccinations over fear of autism, though because vaccinations can have unexpected effects, I don't advise ever taking a vaccination unnecessarily. It is not something to mess with. On the other hand, superbugs, misdiagnosed lethal infections, killer viruses, etc, are considerably more lethal. If a vaccination is a live hand grenade, the pathogens we live with are a live neutron bomb.
My advice to those concerned about any kind of mental disease is to increase your intake of follic acid to twice current recommended levels, increase your intake of fresh fruits and don't mix citric acid and vitamin C with anything with a high metal content (tea, coffee, swordfish, etc) as those two CAN (under some circumstances) increase your uptake of some of the nastier metals.
Do that and I don't think you'll have anything to worry about. At least, nothing more than usual.
Re:Half-truths (Score:2, Interesting)
That is the public reason given by CDC for bending over backwards to keep any vaccine on the market: they know, to 3 sigma, what happens if you DONT get vaccinated and, having satisfied themselves of the cost/benefit tradeoff of the vaccination, set about downplaying those sideeffects so the public wont avoid the vaccine. Only problem is, its an incredibly high stakes game for Big Pharma and the poor and poorly publi
Chelating? (Score:3, Interesting)
Damien
Re:Chelating? (Score:3, Interesting)
Chelation to treat autism is about as useful as a tinfoil hat. Why would you take the word of a site that is clearly for the Chelation industry?
Re:Chelating? (Score:2)
Just because some information is posted on a site called quackwatch does not make it the be all end all.
And just because some information is posted on a site about chelating does not make it the be all end all. But you know what? I'm much more inclined to trust Quackwatch, because they don't have a financial interest in convincing you that anything on their site is true. Whereas the chelating site sells more of their crap for every person (like you) who buys into their nonsense.
Did y
Re:Half-truths (Score:2, Interesting)
True, but this recent one [neuropsych...eviews.com] is definitely of interest.
My son is on the autistic spectrum. Our "safe side" is that we insist on thimerosal-free vaccines, but he still does get vaccinated. Even if this issue gets put to bed once and for all, we're still not going to inject mercury into our kids, for all the obvious reasons.
The other thing we do, which is
Re:Half-truths (Score:2)
Re:Half-truths (Score:4, Interesting)
The drug companies have not used it in child vaccines since 2002. In the US. As for other countries, most notably third world countries that are accepting "charitable donations" from drug companies, are stuck being guinea pigs until the true risks are discovered.
So you've got drug companies on the one hand saying "there's no risk" and on the other hand, removing the suspect chemical and lobbying congress to make it impossible to be found liable.
I don't think TFA would have such a sense of outrage and urgency if this hadn't been bubbling up for some time. It was on the cover of the NY Times magazine back in 2001 or so, and that article illustrated the possible risk and stated that more comprehensive studies were underway. Those studies have since been completed, and no matter how you cut it, suggest a risk. Maybe not the smoking gun that everyone needs to put this to bed, but enough of a risk that the drug companies themselves could no longer claim the lack of risk. So they removed it from the US supply, where the threat of litigation is great.
The outrageous part of it is that the former Director of the US Pediatric Vaccination program went on record (in 97 or so) stating that we since it's not a critical component of the vaccines (it makes it cheaper to produce), and it may be a risk, it should be removed while further studies are completed. The drug companies refused to consider that possibility, as that would be close to an admission of liability.
No tinfoil hats needed here.
Re:Half-truths (Score:3, Insightful)
So, you are weighing a known risk (risk of childhood diseases) against an unknown risk (risk that vaccines will cause autism) and assuming that there is a problem?
In that case, let me inform you that the US population
Re:Half-truths (Score:2, Interesting)
Interestingly my sons symptons are much the same as my own just more severe (officially I was diagnosed as oxygen starved at birth though I have an IQ in the high 140s. State of diagnoses in the late 60's)
One other thing of interest is that my son started talking and mellowed out enourmously after cutting out all diar
Interesting article... (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Interesting article... (Score:5, Insightful)
It could also be simply the Amish kids are diagnosed with Autism far less than non-Amish. Do the Amish go to the doctor as much?
The article is troubling, and I'd be interested to learn more about the whole controversy, but I can't say it's very definitive.
Re:Interesting article... (Score:3, Insightful)
When looking for a good control group (though, you can't really call them that in a post hoc study), you want them as similar as possible to the treatment group.
The Amish live a radically different lifestyle from your typical American. Does their low Autism rate result from a low vaccination rate? Does it result from using minimal, if any, AC power? Pesticides? Growth hormones
So true (Score:4, Insightful)
My grandfather had scarlet fever in high school and it took him more than a year to get over it.
Too bad they made me get a penicillin shot. I probably would have been cured much quicker without it, like my grandfather.
Re:So true (Score:2, Funny)
Much more research is needed. (Score:2, Interesting)
What a waste. (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:What a waste. (Score:2)
Obvious problem really (Score:2)
Who is funding these studies and how can anyone involved claim this to be sound scientific research when the research itself starts off with a bias?
I'll feel better about this after some proper unbiased research has been done.
Orac Knows! (Score:2)
Changed Data (Score:2)
From my experience in other fields, this would be a regular occurrance.
At one time I was a chief engineer for a commercial AM radio station, a new construction in the same area that Marconi orignally used for his US experiments. After construction, field strength measurements showed excellent protection for the dominant station on the frequency about a hundred miles away -- in fact they were so good, they were at
Whistleblowing in Salon?! (Score:2)
Duh! (Score:2)
Further, it turns out that the drug companies continued to use the mercury based preservative for upto two years AFTE
Re:Duh! (Score:3, Informative)
I am not commenting directly on your son's friend's case, as I haven't even met them, and all sorts of things happen to cause problems for children. Heavy metals do cause massive neurological problems in children, and I have seen the effects. Having said that:
It is extremely common in the Autism-Asperger's communities for families to come up with
Rate parent up (Score:2)
To claim that a particular child's disease was caused by mercury in their vaccine is to ignore and disparage the millions of children who were saved from disease by that same vaccine; not to mention it ignores those countries that have stopped using mercury in their vaccines yet haven't seen a drop in the occurrences of autism.
The last study I read said (Score:2)
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/34AD7ABA-F 1 F1-4677-9A24-CEB4FA637690.htm [aljazeera.net]
Anyway, if it really was the vaccines (which I find higly unlikely) then shouldn't we have had a HUGE drop off in autsim rates over the last few years?
Re: (Score:2)
In brief.... (Score:4, Informative)
Here is the brunt of the IOM study/panel:
Skeptism is how science progresses. If you have read the "Structure of Scientific Revolutions" (had to do it for a class), you would see this is how science is forwarded. That said, studies has been published in both Europe and the U.S. clearly showing no link. Skeptism, when shown to be unfounded needs to be put to rest. Literally millions of lives have been saved by vaccination programs worldwide.
The current theory favored by many experts is that autism is a genetically-based disorder that occurs before birth.
Studies of persons with autism are finding abnormalities in brain structures that develop in the first few weeks of fetal development.
The original report, published in the Lancet in 1995 included a editorial piece criticizing it, partly due to its very small study population (12 patients). Another facet of the story that is oft left out of the discussion is that the hypothesis, which had no data associated with it, was that perhaps the MMR vaccination prevents gut absorption of minerals and vitamins which caused the autism.
Anyway, there is alot of data involving this, which I have referenced below. I would like to note that I have been taking this primarily from a piece [quackwatch.org] written by Dr. Barrett. The collection is quite complete and slightly longish. Have a go at it.
References
Do these vaccines go back in time after injection? (Score:2)
Suicide deaths during anti-depressant trials (Score:2)
Chelation IS the key! (Score:2)
The issue with all the research is the assumption that all bodies are the same and we all know that this is not the case with the human body.
The key process that is extremely important is Chelation which is a natural process. Some of us are better than others at it. This natural chelation process, if missing will grea
Re:Chelation IS the key! (Score:2)
I had all silver amalgm fillings removed 6 years ago!
Re:Chelation IS the key! (Score:2)
Name Your Poison (Score:2)
Amish (Score:2)
Using this approach, there is a strong link between vaccines and autism and between vaccines with thimerosal and autism.
I do believe there was a 60 Minutes report on this recently.
Thimerosal? (Score:2)
The radix "thio" comes from the greek "theio", meaning sulphur. Thiomersal contains both mercury and sulphur and is the active ingredient in Merthiolate, a shortening of "mercurothiolate".
Ow, my head! (Score:3)
> And I don't see how they can't be held liable if a link isn't found.
Could you rephrase that with a few less n'ts?
Re:Art Bell (Score:3, Informative)
Except that there's a lot of evidence that shows that autism is the result of genetic factors.
Re:Art Bell (Score:2)
Re:Art Bell (Score:4, Funny)
A crackhead can't get a rider written into the Patriot Act or an Omnibus spending bill, as the pharmaceutical industry has.
Re:Art Bell (Score:2)
Well, GW isn't talking about his past drug use, so we're not sure if that's true or not
Re:Art Bell (Score:2, Interesting)
The RIAA charges $17 for a CD and you call it "over priced" and "evil". Drug companies fix pricing so that they're more expensive than hard core narcotics and they're an "industry that does a lot of good".
Funding research for you to exploit isn't "doing good". It's just a matter of "doing business".
Re:Art Bell (Score:2)
What I find interesting is the difference in price of those drugs on either side of the US/Canada border. Why doesn't the US adopt a similar policy of restricting their price? They are addicted to the economic benefits of the situation they have created in selling out their own citizens. Particularly the less fortunate ones.
You can't trust any corporation to do anyt
Re:Think? (Score:2)
Well thanks very much on behalf of Canadians. If I were a US consumer, I would be mad as hell about that. Especially if I was one who was in need of the medication.
Re:Think? (Score:2)
Or maybe you should ask any economist slightly to the right of Lenin whether price controls work.
Re:Think? (Score:2)
I'll do that. It would also be a good idea for you to look at what other countries do, and see how many of them use the US model of a free market for pharmaceuticals.
You can worship the free market system if you like. Don't pretend it's the answer to everything though, because it's not.
Drug re-importation would also help correct your system, but do it from somewhere else. You can't epect a nation of 30
Re:Think? (Score:2)
Take a look at the chart Chart [actupny.org] about halfway down.
Re:Art Bell (Score:2)
Maybe you missed economics 101. The whole point of capitalism is to rig a society so that in order to make money you need to do something that other people want in order to convince them to pay you. So there's absolutely no incompatibility between "doing good" and "doing business". Pharmaceutical companies need to do decades of expensive research to find good drugs. Record companies just need a recording studi
Re:How Tall is YOUR Soapbox? (Score:2)
Re:How Tall is YOUR Soapbox? (Score:2)
Chemo giveth, and chemo taketh away. I know one sufferer from lung cancer who didn't go into remission until he took himself off chemo, which was wrecking everything else in his body, and relied strictly on naturopathy and prayer. So maybe it cured you.
Re:My personal experience with my son and MMR. (Score:4, Informative)