Japan Considering Moon Base, Shuttle Projects 338
ScentCone writes "A brief article at Newsday mentions a Monday report that JAXA, Japan's counterpart to NASA, is looking at robotic probes on the moon by 2015, and construction on a solar-powered manned research base starting there by 2025. The (very) big bump in the agency's budget will also get spent on tsunami warning technology and other terrestrial communications technology development."
Good (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Good (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Good (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Good (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Good (Score:3, Funny)
Briefly?
Re:Good (Score:2)
Yep, it's grown as a result. Umm lessee, says His Holiness. This half of the moon belongs to Spain, this half to Portugal...
Re:Good (Score:5, Insightful)
I'm most interested in the new craft, because we need to get costs down, Before people start bashing the notion of a "shuttle-like craft", please remember that the shuttle wasn't supposed to be this way. The original shuttle would have been a titanium frame design without external boosters; however, most of the way through the design process, its budget was almost halved without a decrease in its capability requirements. A titanium frame, while more expensive up front, gives a significant payload boost (I've seen numbers at around 30-40%) and decreases maintainence costs (you need a much simpler TPS, and it doesn't fatigue like aluminum). And, of course, we know the problems that they've had with the boosters.
When it comes down to it, fuel is incredibly cheap. If a low-maintainence reusable is developed, it will clean the market up. The problem is maintainence. Some people argue instead for mass-produced disposables, but just the amount of raw materials needed and the difficulty in producing engines seems to make it unlikely that mass production costs (if you could convince governments/companies to mass produce rockets when there's not a market) could, in the long run, compete with reusable launch costs. If your costs end up being little more than your fuel costs, space travel will be incredibly cheap.
The shuttle has really been a research project (one that was forced to take an essential role, unfortunately). Many people don't realize that the cost for operating the shuttle is calculated by looking at its annualized operating costs and dividing by the number of launches; however, the operating costs of the shuttle not only include administrative overhead, but a lot of research on ways to improve reusable craft. Whoever designs the next generation will not only have the benefit of hindsight, they'll also be standing on the shoulders of giants, technologically.
Besides... if some of the new titanium manufacturing costs come online, not only will titanium be much cheaper than it is now (which is cheaper than it was in the 60s/70s), but could approach aluminum in costs. One interesting one is that they've discovered that they can do direct electrolysis on titanium oxide without having to dissolve it in a solution first.
Re:Good (Score:5, Interesting)
In many cases, there may not even be a reason to bring the last stage back, such as satellite deployment, etc, and the last stage mission requirements will vary so widely that it may not make sense to reuse it even if it is free.
Re:Zubrin is a monomaniac (Score:5, Informative)
There is a reason's Columbus' home country of Portugal refused to fund his voyage. (Portugal was a major power at the time, they had the money, perhaps more than Spain) In fact, it is the same reason Spain's King refused to fund the mission until his wife got interested.[1]
The kings were well aware that the earth was round, and they knew how big the earth was. This was calculated about 200BC(IIRC). Columbus calculated the earth's size at about 1/4th the correct size. With the correct size it isn't worth sailing around the world to get to Asia, with Columbus' size it was.
When Spain finally gave Columbus sponsorship they gave him junk ships and essentially prisoners as crew. As they watched him leave they were fully expecting that he would starve to death on the trip. (And if you read the accounts it is clear they came close) Spain was surprised when he came back reporting he found land.
[1]Those who are married can understand why you would pay for a stupid mission if you wife was interested.
Re:Zubrin is a monomaniac (Score:4, Informative)
Colon wasn't the only southern European traveller to the Americas in the late 1400s, either. The whole Atlantic had been a Portugeuse pond from the 1450s onward. The settlement of the Azores and Madieras spawned plenty of journeys that included possible settlement in Puerto Rico and the discovery in the 1470s of "Lavrador" by Juan Corte Real, sailing a privately funded mission. Maps from the 1400s (based on Ptolemy even) show the Americas as a third peninsula hanging off China - the oldest sometimes just show Mexico and isthmus of Panama, the later ones (1448 Walsperger, IIRC) have complete maps of S. America rivers and coastal N. America labelled as "India Meridionalis".
What Columbus/Colon did was not original but part of a spectrum of trips that were taking place at the time. The Portugeuse contibution is obscured because of the Lisbon earthquake and the fact that much of the School of Navigation's work was a state secret. An argument could be made that the only thing Columbus did was commit an act of supreme treason against the Portugeuse Crown.
ObSpace: we can draw VERY important lessons from exploration and frontiers of the past - but the new situation is equally different in nature. "Space" still needs to pay for any of us to be able to go - so NASA, JAXA, ESA are only going to be bit-players in a truly space-faring future.
Josh
Re:Good (Score:2)
It has it's own set of stress-fractures, although these are brought out mostly by impurities. It reacts to all kinds of stuff that Aluminum doesn't, and, even better loses structural integrity after being splashed by a variety of useful chemicals.
We've come a long way, but it's still a pain. For the same quality of weld, you are going to spend a lot more time welding.
So, yeah, we could have built a much lighter shuttle with Titanium. But
Re:Good (Score:5, Informative)
Good quality titanium welds are doable; you just need people properly trained and with proper equipment - you need to weld in very pure argon (applied both front and back), you need to clean the area with good solvents beforehand, you need to keep the argon flowing until the metal is relatively cool, etc. Plus, at all times, you want to use gloves when handling the titanium to be worked (to prevent chlorine corrosion from perspiration) and avoid contamininating it by using aluminum tool surfaces (frictional heat from working with tools can cause localized alloying). In short, you need to use clean conditions and use good tools - something NASA excells at.
Also, a nice thing about titanium is that impurities produced marked discolorations, making a poor weld or corrosion easy to spot. This is a whole lot better than aluminum fatigue, which you need specialized equipment to determine.
T
Re:Good (Score:2)
I would also build unmanned versions of the next shuttle as well as manned. All of these could be ready very soon with very little effort.
Re:Good (Score:3, Informative)
Furthermore, disposables can't use superalloys nearly so extensively because they're tossing the contents away. Superalloys can give major boosts to payload and safety/reliability.
In short, disposable
Tsunami Ringtone? (Score:2)
Having just read the previous story, now I can't help but wonder 'what ringtone would best signify the impending doom of a tsunami?'
Re:Tsunami Ringtone? (Score:2)
Lots of good options
You've been paying too much attention in school (Score:5, Insightful)
While there may be tangible benefits from competition by nations in space exploration, there are certainly benefits from cooperation as some recent explorations have shown, particularly Cassini/Huygens. Two nations with $10 billion each can do projects together that are impossible alone.
Part of the problem with your thinking is that you seem to think that nations aren't driven to innovate in the field of space research. The main problem right now is that there isn't enough money to do what they imagine they can do; we're not short on ideas by any means, but we're short on means to be sure.
My belief is that we're not going to see significant care shown to the space programs here in America any time soon, as most politicians are too busy solidifying their power bases by exploiting whatever hot-ticket item they can. Space exploration isn't going to win over Nascar dads, but being pro-life and imprisoning American citizens without hearings because they are suspected of terror ties that cannot be proven seems to work.
At last! (Score:2, Funny)
Moon tsunami, I fear you no longer!
Me too (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Me too (Score:2)
Yay, can't wait till we colonize the Moon (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Yay, can't wait till we colonize the Moon (Score:2)
Re:Yay, can't wait till we colonize the Moon (Score:2)
Other than that, yea
Where's the money? (Score:2)
First thing that came to mind... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:First thing that came to mind... (Score:2)
Because JAXA is powered by Java (Score:2)
I'm considering annexing my neighbors house (Score:4, Interesting)
THATS NO MOON! (Score:2)
Here come the star wars quotes, followed by the Anime crowd, then followed by SkyNet.
Re:THATS NO MOON! (Score:5, Funny)
Now witness the power of this fully armed and operational tentacle station upon the quivering form of a miniskirt-wearing Sarah Connor!
Never underestimate the power of the otaku side.
Launch explosion? (Score:4, Interesting)
One month after China's breakthrough, a Japanese H-2A rocket carrying two spy satellites malfunctioned after liftoff, forcing controllers to end its mission in a spectacular fireball.
Well first, go Japan. This should make things interesting (competition spurring innvovation and all that.)
Second, did anyone else miss the story about the failed Japanese launch? I'd imagine the video clips must be pretty spectacular -- anyone see them or know where one might find a link? Torrent?
Re:Launch explosion? (Score:4, Interesting)
I wish JAXA all the best, but I don't think it takes a lot to figure out that this is more symbolic than anything else, and certainly isn't business driven which is a shame, because the X Prize etc., seems to have made more people get interested in space again, on a commercial, private level. Japan is feeling the Fear with a rising China right now, and is desperately trying to flex itself again, but you only have to look at stories like the Livedoor vs. Fuji TV to see the internal conflict Japan's industry has.
Also, the word 'tsunami' seems to get bolted onto everything now in an attempt to get funding. I just hope some of it gets spend on the tsunami victims.
What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:3, Interesting)
Sure, any country with enough balls and explosives can stick a flag there, but, unlike terrestrial land, I doubt that other countries take that as a solid stake of ownership.
If there isn't an official body, what happens when, say, Japan decides to plant themselves in some choice piece of real estate, like the lunar equator, or wherever in lunar geography is best for launching rockets for Earth? That's a pretty easy to imagine situation, and it would put the Japanese (or the Russians, or the US, or whoever) in a pretty solid dominating position.
This not been thought of before?
the moon treaty (Score:5, Informative)
Re:the moon treaty (Score:2)
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:4, Interesting)
It's not a new phenomenon--at the start of the last century, the border between the United States and Canada was very vaguely defined in the area of the valuable seaports in Southeast Alaska and British Columbia. How was the situation resolved? The United States Army built Fort William H. Seward in the disputed territory and trained its guns on the narrow waterways. Now, 105 years later, the US controls all the port cities in Southeast Alaska and the Canadian border is 40 miles away from the ocean most of the way down.
See? No politics required. It's called "staking a claim".
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:4, Interesting)
IIRC they can put research facilites and whatnot there, and they own the facilities but not the ground they're on.
The other side is that international law makes no mention of nongovernment agencies (ie Corporations) claiming parts.
Basically it's going to all come down to ability to claim and hold an area. We've got crazy people all over the earth who "buy" plots of land from compainies who purport that they can claim parts of the moon even though they've sent no one there and have no intentions to.
Mining resources is also going to bring up interesting implications, since countries can't claim the land and minerals, how can one make money from the sale of it?
This whole thing has been the subject of countless SciFi books and will probably come to the fore front soon as we approach the capabilities to actually use extra-planetary sites.
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:2)
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:3, Interesting)
Read the section on withdrawl from the treaty, and you will see just how much weight current space law really has from the 1960's idealism. Basically, not much. These treaties are just a speed bump to a full militarization and nationalization of space. Sorry to be pessimistic.
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:5, Insightful)
PLEASE tell me you're joking!?!?! Somehow the concept of the US being the only defender of the UN (or its resolutions) is making me giggle and wince at the same time.
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:2, Flamebait)
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:2, Informative)
Re:What's the propertie status of the moon? (Score:2)
I fixed your typo for you
It's getting crowded up therre... (Score:4, Informative)
Re:It's getting crowded up therre... (Score:4, Interesting)
It would be great if all this interest was purely for scientific and discovery purposes, but under the surface of any programme will be a significant component for the development of millitary technology.
Hope they have really good batteries... (Score:2)
Re:Hope they have really good batteries... (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Hope they have really good batteries... (Score:2)
http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/helium3_0
Re:Hope they have really good batteries... (Score:2)
Re:Hope they have really good batteries... (Score:2)
Re:Hope they have really good batteries... (Score:2)
Duh, they're going to build train-tracks around the moon and have the base on top of those. That way it always moves with the sunlight.
In other news... (Score:2, Funny)
The Moon belongs to America! (Score:3, Funny)
OK, maybe I do watch The Simpsons way too often.
Tsunami research and Lunar Bases? (Score:2)
Nerd Point (Score:3, Interesting)
It was a poignant read.
somebodies got to do (Score:3)
Japan will win (Score:2)
Anyone who thinks I'm kidding has never been to Japan, or is not tall enough to notice.
Re:Japan will win (Score:2)
... how delightful ... (Score:4, Interesting)
My only question, and it's a question that crops up every time I hear about nations/people hollering for moon missions, is "What do you do once you get there?"
I've heard about mining and spaceship fabrication, but both of those have very high transportation costs involved. Just getting a habitable structure for the lunies (or is it "loonies"?) to stay in for weeks/months at a time is going to be a fantastic challenge -- do you use inflatables? -- do you burrow bug tunnels into the moon?
Back when I had an interest in tokamaks (those plasma-fusion-toroid-shaped doohickeys), I'd heard that the moon has a fairly rich quantity of Helium-3, a good fuel for tokamak-style fusion reactors. One shuttle bay full of moondust could power the whole earth for a year, supposedly. How much would it cost to get a shuttle to the moon, fill it with dirt and send it back? It must be a lot of moolah. Would it be worth it? I dunno.
Somehow, though, I'll bet the Chinese and the Japanese could work it out.
Still, my inner skeptic holds sway -- I don't believe it when the President says it, and I have a feeling that China and Japan will reconsider when the costs of such far-flung plans become real.
whatever does the trick (Score:2)
Re:whatever does the trick (Score:2)
The US can't afford a race like this. We're too busy spending all our money on preemptive wars to do anything productive with it.
Re:whatever does the trick (Score:2)
This time there is more than merely two different nations going into space. I would count on China, Japan, India, and possibly Iran and Brazil as a couple of dark horse candidates. If the EU gets involved, somehow I think it will be more of a pr
I'm not so sure . . (Score:2)
Re:I'm not so sure . . (Score:2)
Interesting look into the future (Score:3, Insightful)
Leave it to Japan to start something like this =)
Re:Interesting look into the future (Score:2, Funny)
The coolest part about this (Score:5, Funny)
All your *moon* base belong to us ? (Score:3, Funny)
The NASA of today.... (Score:2)
Following in corporate footsteps, they'd probably outsource a program to India.
Better to build rockets than unnecessary dams (Score:2, Interesting)
With all the current focus on China, people forget that Japan has (in dollar terms; the CIA World Factbook figures use slightly dubious purchasing-power-adjusted figures) the second largest economy in the world. It's an economy in a deep recession, but huge gove
Things don't always go as planned (Score:4, Informative)
Look where that ended up.
So, as for the Japan's plan for a moon base, I'll have to see the thing actually under construction before I believe it. I find the robotic probe plan to be much more realistic. I think they have a pretty good chance of succeeding there.
Oh dear (Score:4, Funny)
ob. heinlein (Score:3, Interesting)
seems to me the real space race has started.
Yay Japan (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Yay Japan (Score:4, Informative)
Please be sure to pass that along to the Japanese troops that are in Iraq right now. Because they, like us, know that things like space exploration, and liberating places like Iraq from corrupt regimes are not mutually exclusive. Read the damn news, why don't you? The Japanese are still embarassed by the last war they started, but they understand the need to get involved the "fighting amongst ourselves" so that it can be stopped. Doing so, just as ending the Soviet rule of Eastern Europe, brings huge peace dividends: which we can spend in space (I hope!). Less turmoil, and fewer crazy tyrants with pet oilfields in the world is crucial if we want to really focus on things like space. But we can work on both at the same time.
Re:Yay Japan (Score:3, Funny)
I can't speak to the embarassment part, but until our fearless leader convinced them to send troops to Iraq postwar Japan was content to be a very pacifist nation with a self-defense military. I predict that will have some entertaining side-effects in the decades to come, although I can't judge its future ranking on the "Dubya, Gosh THAT Wa
Re:Yay Japan (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Yay Japan (Score:3, Interesting)
Hmmm. Can't imagine what you mean. Losing to whom, by what standard?
And you, being the enlightened American, are not embarrassed by the firebombing of innocent civilians in Tokyo or the nuking of Hiroshima and Nagasaki
Actually, no, I'm not. Because we didn't start the conflict, and because even as they knew their abject aggression throughout the Pacific was a lost cause, the Japanese refused to cease hostilities. The bombing of Hiroshima and
not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:2, Interesting)
The UN has estimated that for 81 billion dollars a year everyone on Earth could be fed.
Now nevermind the US military budget
Err.. space travel is cool. but someone has to say it. Priorities?
I guess the real point is that we could have space travel and no world hunger (and hense no terrorists and far less wars) but..
err.. interested to see if anyone has any thoughts (always
Re:not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:2)
Re:not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:2, Informative)
Re:not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:4, Interesting)
Why you're at you should probally just take every cent you don't spend on rent on food and send it to the UN. After all that last food program they had worked out real well didn't it...
Re:not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:2)
Logistical issues are indeed huge, and trying to get food from where it is abundant to where it is needed can often be a huge problem. In many of the "traditional" areas of the world that seem to have a perpetual food shortage, it is also where you find the transportation infrastructure almost non-existant. That is no reliable paved highways, railroads, or seaports. In order to be able to fe
Re:not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:2)
Re:not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:3, Insightful)
And how much would it cost the year after that? How about a decade later?
Re:not to take the wind out of everyone's sails (Score:3, Informative)
And that's the fresh food that is time sensitive in transportation. Someone is making a profit moving fruit from Chile to Kentucky quickly at a price even I can afford.
The comment that "Greed is good" was addressing exactly what you're talking about. In order to make a profit, someone
My question is... (Score:2, Funny)
Silly Japanese (Score:2, Funny)
Implications (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Implications (Score:2)
somebody please just mod this idiot out of his misery
Re:Implications (Score:5, Interesting)
I can easily imagine that Japan may be able to seriously leverage the commercial use of space the way the current corrupt leadership in the US cannot. What mean if the Japanese seriously started space based businesses while the US did not?
What country has even come close to what the U.S. has done to further the world's commercial use of space? Our telecommunications pioneering alone lead the world into a new age. Of course Europe (and to a certain extent now, Asia) are catching up. But as country with an industrial focus in this area, it's no contest. Is the US focus in space spread around too awkwardly of late? Yes. I'm glad to see Bush's recent directives to NASA to focus some more riveting projects. Can't wait for more of the same.
Now, will Europe use an arrangement not unlike Airbus to actually get those governments directly into the business? Will the Japanese government become a bigger part of their country's corporate space business? Probably.
But: is some "corruption" (as the twit poster put it) keeping the US out of a healthy commercial role in space? Please. And, to your point: I didn't "refute" the post because it was so non-specific (non-meaningful, really) that there's nothing but anti-Americanism to refute. As nothing more than a cranky-sounding excuse to say that America is corrupt, I called that troll a troll.
And I'm considering getting Nicole Kidman (Score:2)
If they put their base on the moon, that will be news. Their "considering" is not news.
Will there be any Japanese left? (Score:2)
Re:James Bond (Score:3, Interesting)
Moonraker (Score:2)
Re:Moonraker (Score:2)
it was one of the better movies IMNSHO
Re:Can I Come ?!?!?!!!111!1!one (Score:5, Funny)
Oh wait, no atmosphere...
I guess a Type R sticker will have to do.
Re:That was Daffy Duck (Score:2)
FWIW, the one with Marvin and Bugs was where Bugs mistakenly hops aboard a rocket bound for Mars; there, he finds Marvin getting ready to destroy Earth using a new explosive cannon.
Re:Moonu Basu? (Score:2)