Personal Spaceflight Leaders Form New Federation 197
Neil Halelamien writes "A number of entrepreneurs in the nascent commercial space industry are establishing the Personal Spaceflight Federation, an industry group which will work with federal regulators to come up with standards to promote crew and passenger safety. The founders include both suborbital and orbital spaceflight entrepreneurs, such as Armadillo Aerospace's John Carmack, Scaled Composites's Burt Rutan, SpaceX's Elon Musk, and t/Space's Gary Hudson. Commentary available on MSNBC, Space.com, and Space Race News. In related news, NASA is looking at commercial options for resupply of the International Space Station."
Damn! (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Damn! (Score:2, Funny)
Pun intended?
Re:Damn! (Score:3, Funny)
How about "A Federation of the Willing"? Oh, wait, that's Coalition of the Willing. Never mind.
Re:Damn! (Score:4, Interesting)
"VSS Enterprise" and
"VSS Voyager" (where VSS is Virgin SpaceShip).
So yes, I suspect that the thought had crossed their minds
Re:Damn! (Score:2)
pity this wasted opportunity
Re:Damn! (Score:2, Insightful)
I suspect "Starfleet" is now trademarked by Universal for commercial ventures. Whether they will feel the same when an interplanetary alliance of space navies is asking to use the name is a different matter.
Re:Damn! (Score:2)
Re:Damn! (Score:2)
Re:Damn! (Score:3, Funny)
I sure hope they start the Personal Federation of Planets! Sign me up!
Re:Damn! (Score:5, Funny)
Re:That should be... (Score:2)
And I hated that movie.
Thanks. Thanks a lot.
Question (Score:2)
Re:Question (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Question (Score:2)
I expect he'll show what he's useful for when a dimensional portal opens on one of their moon-bases, flooding the place with Imps and Hell Barons and flying-tomato-thingies.
Re:Question (Score:2)
Re:Answer (Score:3, Informative)
Because Burt Rutan wasn't always recognized as an aerospace genius. Once upon a time not all that long ago, he was the one being called a clown. You have to start somewhere. Burt Rutan realizes this. He also realizes that competition is GOOD. For the industry, even for him. Without people snapping at his heels, he probably wouldn't have nearly as much motivation to push the envelope and come up with some of the amazing work he
Re:Question (Score:2)
There's a reason that control vanes were generally given up on in favor of gimballing; not only do the sap your performance, but they're in a location that's about the worst place you could have a part as far as wear goes (the hot exhaust stream - better make it fuel-rich!!!).
I'm still trying to decide whether there's anything good about Armadillo's approach to rocket building. They've basically been taking routes that have been largely viewed as de
Re:Question (Score:2)
I think the biggest advantage that Armadillo has is that their expenses are so low by comparison. Which means that they can actually afford to try things that other folks don't, write up how well it worked publically, and maybe help out the market in general.
Marketing options abound... (Score:3, Funny)
Any day now, credit card companies will start offering Frequent Flier Light-Years, or something like that...
Re:Marketing options abound... (Score:3, Insightful)
Admittedly, that was tongue-in-cheek, but it does get you wondering what entirely new industries will spawn from an undertaking such as this.
I'm sure the automotive industry pioneers in their day could not have conceived of custom airbrushed paintjobs, fancy aluminum rims or even fuzzy dice manufacturers. I suppose if I'd put more thought into it I could've come up with better examples, but i
Re:Marketing options abound... (Score:2)
And then announce that in an effort to cut costs, they're removing pillows from your cryogenic sleep chamber. Man that's going to be a long uncomfortable flight...
Re:Marketing options abound... (Score:2)
Why is it that you can almost never fly a full mile on one Frequent Flyer Mile? They're usually good for distances closer to a hundred yards or so....
In the interest of truth in advertising, Virgin Galactic invites you to collect Frequent Flyer Light Microseconds.
American Express and Space Adventures (Score:2)
THE MEMBERSHIP REWARDS PROGRAM FROM AMERICAN EXPRESS LETS CARDMEMBERS ROCKET INTO ORBIT THROUGH SPACE ADVENTURES LTD.
NEW YORK, March 03, 2004 -- American Express today announced that cardmembers enrolled in its Membership Rewards program can now redeem points with Space Adventures Ltd., the world's leading space flight experiences and space tourism company. For the first time, cardmembers can touch the edge of space and revel in the weightlessness of Earth's orbit by using p
Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2, Insightful)
The goal ought to be a real destination, the Moon, Mars, some asteroid, but without government money, that isn't going to happen.
So the next best thing is to make a space "plane" that can transport passengers from New York to Sydney in less than an hour. NASA had plans for something like that (someone can provide a link, I'm sure), but scrapped it in fa
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:5, Insightful)
With this attitude, the Wright Brothers may not have bothered to get off the ground for the short time/distance/altitude that they did at Kitty Hawk.
Suborbital flights have the possibility of leading into full blown orbital visits to an orbiting hotel, which could lead into commercialization of the Moon, Mars, and eventually the outer solar system. These goals are definitely viable and achievable without government funding if entrepreneurs can find a way to make them work.
Suborbital flight has a novelty factor, cache, and is the first baby step towards breaking free of this mess we call Earth.
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:4, Insightful)
How many bike shops do you see nowadays making commercial passenger jets?
> Suborbital flights have the possibility of leading into full blown orbital visits
Not from any direct descendant of SS1, I'll tell you that much. Heavy tank mass + low ISP engine design = Not Going Anywhere. They'll have to start from scratch with, as a bare minimum, a non-self-pressurized higher-ISP oxidizer. This in turn will not only require a radical redesign of the entire craft (everything except for the cockpit - but that will have to change for othre reasons, discussed later), but will involve the use of at least a single stage turbopump. Even the simplest of turbopumps are rather nasty beasts, with seals that can fail, whole additional engines and turbines just to spin the thing, stringent materials requirements, etc. However, even if he used LOX (which would require dealing with all of the risks and costs associated with working with cryogenics), I'd be surprised if a simple single stage turbopump plus polybut would get better than, say, 320 ISP and a rather weak thrust. You'd realistically only get to orbit with a payload on that kind craft with multiple stages, and even then your payload fraction will be really awful. You generally want at least a LOX/Kerosene level of performance to compete.
Then there's the materials factor. A fiber vehicle just won't cut it (yet, that's where Rutan's experience lies). It doesn't come even close. You either need a good hot frame (titanium plus leading edge shielding plus internal component insulation, for example) or cold frame (aluminum-lithium or other good aluminum alloy plus an extensive TPS that a company like scaled couldn't dream of making on their own - I doubt they could shield a hot frame well enough on their own) design. The higher operating temperature of the engine plus using a better oxidizer will mean a lot more corrosion, requiring a lot more complex and expensive engine maintenance (a common killer for reusable craft). The cockpit is completely off for reentry; those windows are nice for suborbital, but they'd be serious weak points on *real* space travel.
Then there's the general issues with real orbital flight. You have to handle *everything* needed to keep people alive for long periods; even developing a toilet that will work in space (and all of the associated infrastructure to run it) is no easy task. SS1's hydraulic controls suddenly become serious liabilities: in space, your craft cools and heats in dramatic cycles depending on whether you're exposed to the sun. Hydraulic lines, tanks, and actuators all require an extensive system of heaters, sensors, and sometimes cooling. Maintenance of this system on reusable craft, like the shuttle, is very expensive. Air quality maintainence becomes a lot more complex - and if you want to be truly safe, you're going to need to do spectral or other analysis on the air to determine atmospheric composition percentages. They'll need changable CO2 scrubbers, nitrogen and oxygen balance, etc. Temperature regulation in the cabin can get complex, since you can't just "run an air conditioner" or whatnot to cool down. If you want a direct heat pump, you need a very good radiatior outside the craft; this generally isn't realistic. Consequently, heat regulation is generally done by using water or cryogenic fuel in a closed loop; any cryogenic boiloff then needs to be vented. Naturally batteries are insufficient for how long you're in orbit; you need fuel cells or generators designed to operate in the hostile environment of space. Etc.
Then there's problems with the "carrier" method of launch. Unless they get some serious ISP improvements, the size of the White Knight would scale beyond any realistic level. Unless they plan to launch from a Cossack (the Buran Shuttle's carrier, and largest airplane ever built) in order to simply take a few people to orbit, they *have* to get some serious ISP improvements or switch to ground launch.
I could keep going with the issues, but I think you get the idea: Orbital and suborbital spaceflight aren't even remotely the same sort of beast.
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Permit me to pick a few nits:
Not from any direct descendant of SS1
Nor from any direct descendant of the steam locomotive, but without machine tool experti
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:3, Informative)
Human infants don't require large teams of people and vast financial resources to walk. Sure, if Rutan had vast financial resources and huge teams of people, he could get to orbit. He doesn't. He has a small team and proportionally small resources. As a consequence, he achieved a proportionally small feat. I believe I've fairly demonstrated the scale of difference between suborbital and orbital, but I could go on if you'd like; if you think that one
Wrights Flights (Score:2)
Everyone else was pretty much able to duplicate the internal combustion engine-powered glider, but only the Wrights managed to run enough tests under a high enough rate of evolutionary change (enabled by their hands-on experience in their bicycle shop) that they could s
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:4, Insightful)
Private businesses are the one who founded the USA. it was refugees using private merchant vessels that created Plymouth. Jamesville, though had the honour of the kings blessing.
The expansion west. Sure the goverment sold land cheap as an incentive. but that's about all the goverment did. WE have the tech to build a resort in space. Sure the first ones might only hold a cuople of dozen guests and a handful of employees. But you have to start somewhere.
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:3, Insightful)
Millioniares are lining up around the block to sing up for just a venture. And that's totally a surprise right? Nobody had already paid to go (or tried) to, say, the ISS or Mir right? Right. People *are* willing to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars to go into space. Some have already paid millions. Hell, I want to go. There is a market. You don
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Millionaires are lining up for something with nobody to tell them that it's actually boring, and not real space travel.
Let's see what happens when ships are actually flying, and people come back saying, "Yeah, it was kind of cool, but way too short. I think I'll wait for them to get to orbit when we can stay awhile."
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
I want REAL, controlled, space travel, not shoot a tin can in an arc for four minutes. That means having orbital space hotels.
I recognize that we need suborbital as a first step, but I think people are WAY overestimating the market for fake space travel.
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
That sounds a lot more efficient than those stupid shuttles.
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Unfortunately, to get to *orbit* would only cost you "hundreds of thousands" if you and all of your food/water/air/supplies combined weighed tens of kilograms. A couple hundred thousand dollars only buys you a couple minutes of zero-g joyride on the aerial equivalent of a rocket sled.
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:3, Insightful)
Has anybody ever noticed that the karma system has sucked the imagination out of some people?
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Yeah, I see what you're saying. Too bad 'insightful and interesting' usually means "Oh yeah, we really don't need it. We could all be perfectly happy as farmers!" It really makes me want to run around revoking people's nerd licenses.
Fucking Statists (Score:5, Insightful)
What a load of crap. Spaceflight isn't something the government needs to be involved in except perhaps to regulate externalities. It's affordable to private industry, it's being developed in a mature market economy, and the potential rewards are sufficient to drive investement without any government intervention.
It is imperative that we get an extra-terran human colony but the government is the wrong institution to do it. I will grant that government funding in the early days of the space program was crucial but it's time to let private industry take over.
Re:Space: A whole lotta nuthin (Score:2)
Commercial space travel (Score:5, Insightful)
The emerging space tourism industry is about to begin it's "barnstorming" days, selling rides for the experience, not the destination. Initially it will only suborbital flights. Soon, they will be competing for altitude and duration of weightlessness records. Then someone will start offering a "once around" package.
Space flight as a means to an end is not going to happen until you have and end with meaning. Why "sit on a thousand pounds of explosives" to go to the moon? There's nothing there but grey rocks and dust. Mars, same thing, but the rocks are red. There's no real destination, no purpose in going except for the experience of being there, and that won't change until we get some sort of permanent outpost set up there.
Lets Control Space! (Score:4, Insightful)
"We're in! Let's close the door behind us"
Re:Lets Control Space! (Score:3, Insightful)
I think potential lawsuits are an important motivating factor. If they have accepted safety standards and follow those standards, they limit their liability.
Re:Lets Control Space! (Score:2)
Fox guarding the Chicken coop (Score:3, Insightful)
Ding ding ding.
If this were Delta, American Airlines, and JetBlue, wouldn't we be screaming blue-bloody-murder that airlines can't be trusted to develop safety regs? What about chemical companies and chemical handling procedures? Corpor
Re:Fox guarding the Chicken coop (Score:3, Insightful)
There are hundreds if not thousands of examples where businesses (and entire industries) of all sizes willfully (and gleefully) ignore the public interest, safety, and so on.
They only do this when they believe it to be in their (financial) interest. For the nascent commercial space industry, financial intrests are aligned with safety. Sure, some people will go up regardless the risks. But most people will wait it out until they feel more secure.
I do conceed that they really only require the percepti
Re:Fox guarding the Chicken coop (Score:2)
NASA just stops launching people into space everytime a shuttle blows up... no or fewer launches means less risk. I don't think that is the type of safety we want.
Re:Lets Control Space! (Score:2)
Rolling in riches... (Score:3, Funny)
The catch line would be something like, "For those with nothing left to buy on Earth..."
Oblig. joke (Score:2)
.
.
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It's a long way to tip a rary.
Wonderfully spooky (Score:2, Interesting)
I'm not saying h
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:3, Funny)
Dont worry folks, I will be here all week.
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2, Offtopic)
's not what I hear...
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Also, this has nothing to do with the story. Go make a LiveJournal account for this kind of thing please.
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
So instead of... the full version which I'd have to re-assemble out of a few dozen wiki entries, howzabout I send you to my mangled prosed-up version [dustrunners.com] instead? It stops around 2030 and doesn't cover the issue at hand directly, but it's still fun.
Sorry... the almighty buck beckons...
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Um, no... that doesn't work. It takes the best part of a day to get to GEO.
For instance, a flight from London to Tokyo clocks in at just under an hour (takeoff and landing included).
Sure, that works no, problem. You just don't via GEO; oh yeah, and it costs about the same as going to orbit, since the launch
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:3, Informative)
Another bonus of suborbital is that you can do a lot more of the work on airbreathing engines - either tow-
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
True, except- wrong. The delta-v isn't 30% less; the *payload* is 30% less to go intercontinental than to g
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
In the year 2000, a round-trip ticket for a hop across the Atlantic on the Concorde cost $8,148.
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
You can always return them from orbit back to Tokyo, and still beat the airflight.
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Besides, the amount of payload you'd get in comparison to orbital would be dependant on your ISP; if you're using a high ISP engine (say
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Gary Hudson gave it as a rule of thumb on USENET a year or two back IRC. It's also born out with experience of using *my* rocket simulator.
Even with a typical 20:1 payload fraction for kerosene rockets
Really? Name one with a 5% payload fraction. Orbital fraction maybe, but *not* payload. For seat price, you want payload
Re:Wonderfully spooky (Score:2)
Kerosene will cost you perhaps 30 cents a kilogram in bulk;
In your dreams. Aviation fuel is over a dollar. Where you planning to get this magic cheap kero from then?
LOX will cost you perhaps 5 cents per kilogram
Last time I checked it was more like 40c a kg if you have your own plant. It's actually probably cheaper if you haven't got your own plant- the big boys wring the neck of the process to save electricity.
Do you have a reference to a 5c L
SpaceRaceNews posted a possible first concern.. (Score:4, Informative)
Rep. James Oberstar [D-MN]) introduced a new bill:
H.R. 656: To amend title 49, United States Code, to enhance the safety of the commercial human space flight..
To amend title 49, United States Code, to enhance the safety of the commercial human space flight industry.
You can track and check for latest updates related to this bill at:
http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h10
This could be one of the first concerns for the leaders from the newly emerging Personal Spaceflight Industry that announced their intent to organize an industry federation to design and uphold the standards and processes necessary to ensure public safety and promote growth of the personal spaceflight industry.
Russian's are way ahead (Score:5, Insightful)
I think the Russians are way ahead of NASA on both keeping the ISS going, and on the CEV.
The Russians are going to be showing a full scale model of their Kliper [spacedaily.com] reusable capsule at the Paris air show this June.
This is their planned replacement for the venerable Soyuz. It will carry 6 astronauts or 700 kilos of cargo. The article sounds like they are a little cagey on the schedule, it just says a few years. I'll bet you they have a manned launch about 5 years sooner than the CEV.
If they hang one of these on the ISS as an emergency vehicle they will enable bringing the ISS up to nearly its planned manning level, and might actually allow people to do research on the thing, instead of spending all their time maintaining as the 2-3 man crews have been doing.
Kind of looks to me like Russia is planning to go it alone when the U.S. gives up on the ISS and the shuttle. The other source of friction is that since Russia is trading with Iran and the U.S. has embargoed Iran NASA is officially forbidden from having any financial relationship with the Russian Space agency. I wonder if they will have to paint a white line down the middle of the ISS and have a U.S. half and a Russian half
For comparison to Kliper, the CEV is going to have Lockheed and Boeing launched an unmanned, half baked prototype in 2008, pick a winner between the two and wont have a manned launch, probably just to LEO, before 2014 at the earliest.
By contrast NASA went from a nearly standing start to putting a man on the moon in way less than 10 years in the '60's when it had never been done before. In summary, NASA, Boeing and Lockheed are today, officially pathetic. As nearly as I can tell the CEV, and the Bush Moon/Mars initiative is mostly just an excuse to pump money in to the pockets of Boeing and Lockheed and put the milestones that count so far out there it will be a miracle if they program isn't killed before they actually have to do anything serious for the subsidies.
Re:Russian's are way ahead (Score:2)
Re:Russian's are way ahead (Score:3, Interesting)
Me personally I'd like to see them just launch a shuttle
Re:Russian's are way ahead (Score:2)
"Go it alone," is kind of the wrong way to put it, since Russia is a minor partner in the ISS: they have a lot of space technology and experience, but they're too broke to do anything with it unless somebody else fits the bill.
And who will that be? The U.S., of course. Our own manned space program is a total disaster, yet we're totally committed to a huge presence in space. Even if that's just t
Re:Russian's are way ahead (Score:3, Informative)
That's silly American self centeredness. You apparently glossed over the part in my previous post where I said the Russians have built enough modules in the ISS that if they were to undock them from the U.S. parts they would still have a fully functional space station. Without the Russian built modules the U.S. has nothing.
They would have to go back to rockets for attitude control, since the gyro based system is U.S. built but they could live with that. There could
Re:Russian's are way ahead (Score:3, Interesting)
You are assuming that the CEV will even be built. The U.S. Constitution absolutely guarentees that there will be two more Presidential administrations between now and then, possibly more, and requirements that Congress will have to do annual budgetary approval on the project
Where's the funding? (Score:2)
There's some more info on the Kliper over at Astronautix [astronautix.com].
Seriously, in the 90s NASA had several abortive projects which got about as far as (or farther than) the Kliper is now. Some examples are the Lockheed Martin X-33 [wikipedia.org], the Orbital Sciences X-34 [wikipedia.org], the McDonne [wikipedia.org]
Re:Where's the funding? (Score:2)
Kliper has an uphill funding battle but its a tribute to the Russian Space Agencies that in spite of that they still find a way to keep doing stuff in space. They will also benefit that the Russian government has regained some control of its big oil reserves. Their oil and gas fields, thanks to high prices, are bringing in big cash reserves to Russia if they keep them from beeing looted by plutocrats and foreign companies.
You may not have noticed but they are the only nation that has always been able to
How about a $400 million prize? (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:How about a $400 million prize? (Score:2)
Beam me up (Score:2)
from the what-is-their-prime-directive? dept. (Score:3, Funny)
Maybe they aren't allowed to influence the cultures of the countries in which they crash?
Finally! (Score:2)
Call for the Space Elevator (Score:3, Insightful)
If they'd spend more money on getting a space elevator built and less money on rockets, we'd be in much better shape.
Let's face it, sticking people or anything else on top of a big firecracker is always going to be really dangerous and really expensive. The space elevator will be cheap (over the long haul) and very safe in comparison.
Why don't we just concentrate on getting that built? Then all you need is little orbital ships that can ferry people and crews around. And since these orbital ships can either be ferried by the elevator or built in orbit from ferried components, you're talking a significantly safer way of dealing with space in almost every way.
Yes, we have some advances to make to actually build it, but if we spent nearly as much money on researching the needed advances as we do on maintaining the space shuttle fleet, we'd probably have the research done pretty quickly.
Re:Call for the Space Elevator (Score:2)
If only we could (Score:2)
That would be a good idea except for one small problem: we don't have a cable strong enough for the job. Maybe someday someone will make it, maybe not.
I'll agree that we should work for it, but until it is made we should not put all our eggs in one basket. Even then we need some rocket work because the cable needs to be replaced once in a while. (What if it break, and your replacement breaks too?)
I think we have cable strong enough for a mars elevator. Would be interesting to send a space elevator
Re:Call for the Space Elevator (Score:2)
I predict that once someone is able to do something as simple as create a footbridge (or even a decent rope) using carbon nanotubes, interest will pick up greatly. For the moment though, it's too high-risk, and people really don't know just how much m
How long before?.. (Score:3, Funny)
Another 'industry formed group' eh? (Score:2)
Which, of course, is formed by those already in the industry who, incidently, may have financial reasons to want tighter regulations thus raising the bar for others who may want to get in the new space race.
Of course, that isn't completely accurate, but it paints an interesting picture of the situation.
-Adam
Re:Another 'industry formed group' eh? (Score:2)
Indeed, this is largely happening even now, with Russia as the only country (not even the USA at the moment) with a proven and currently available manned spaceflight capability. And China is very close to having tha
Great, more regulatory bodies on the way... (Score:2)
zerg (Score:2)
Concept images of Virgin Galactic space station? (Score:3, Informative)
video available, which shows the full flight profile of the Virgin
Galactic craft. It's available for streaming at the bottom of this
page:
http://www.virgingalactic.com/news.asp [virgingalactic.com]
I took the liberty of capturing just about all the key frames from the
video, and posting them on the web:
http://www.its.caltech.edu/~neilh/virgingalactic/ [caltech.edu]
The most interesting images are seen right after the question "What
Next?" flashes on the screen. These are images of what appear to be a
Virgin Galactic space station, with a SpaceShipOne-style craft docked.
Of course, they're probably complete vapourware for now, but they
certainly look interesting:
http://www.its.caltech.edu/~neilh/virgingalactic/
http://www.its.caltech.edu/~neilh/virgingalactic/
http://www.its.caltech.edu/~neilh/virgingalactic/
I've been told that these some of these images also appeared on the Discovery Channel's Black Sky: The Race for Space [discovery.com] DVD, with descriptions from Burt Rutan.
Proposed standards: (Score:2)
2. Make the Oxygen and Nitrogen fittings standard, and not mechanically interchangable.
3. Develop the equivalent to the Guard frequency (international rescue radio channel), but for spacecraft.
Chip H.
Re:Oh, Sure... (Score:2)
You Mean . . . (Score:2)
Re:For all of the Trekkies... (Score:2)
"I think he's attempting re-entry." - Q
Re:Why bother with the government (Score:2)
You may now knee-jerk react and call me a socialist or communist....
Re:Federation? (Score:2)
Re:Safety Kills! (Score:2)