Space Tourism is Off and Running 494
ackthpt writes "The ink wasn't even dry on the Ansari X Prize check, after Brian Binnie piloted SpaceShipOne into space, when deals were already being made. Announced last week, Richard Branson of Virgin Group would be licensing the technology, and according to p2pnet is already embarking on plans to build a fleet of 5 passenger carrying craft. Space tourism? Preposterous! It'll take years, decades. Isn't that the consensus? According to The Australian Cadbury/Schweppes may be giving away a the prize of a space flight under the cap of your next bottle of 7 Up: 'Within hours, one of SpaceShipOne's sponsors and the "official beverage" of the AnsariX Prize, the soft drink 7Up, announced it would be offering the first free ticket into space.' Further, 'another company, Space Adventures, has already collected $US10,000 deposits from about 100 customers for its planned flights, which will cost less than $US100,000.' Last one into space is a rotten egg!"
My Penny Jar... (Score:5, Funny)
My wife even said I could.
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:5, Funny)
I don't what to make of this.
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:3, Funny)
It really rattled you didn't it? You can't even form complete sentences now. ;)
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:5, Funny)
it CAN be done, folks!
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:3, Funny)
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:4, Funny)
I don't what to make of this.
I keep four of my ex-wife's digits in a jar.
Do I win a prize?
Re:Behold (Score:4, Funny)
Hello?!?
Friends?!?
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:5, Funny)
So did mine, until she realized I would be coming back.
Are you sure? (Score:5, Funny)
maybe she said should.
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:3, Interesting)
For those of you not well versed in the Metric system, this is about 27.6 tons (not counting the weight of the jar). You will probably also have a significant fraction (perhaps greater than 100%) of all pennies ever produced.
Re:My Penny Jar... (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Super space plane? (Score:5, Interesting)
To get SpaceShipOne to make it to altitude, they had to actually strip over a pound of *unused wiring*, among other things. Every pound of mass you cut from it gives you almost 150 feet of extra altitude. You'd be crazy to think of adding the mass of the White Knight to it and expecting it to go anywhere.
This is one of the most basic parts of rocketry: multiple stages are the only economic way to get low-ISP/high tank mass craft to perform well. And SpaceShipOne is definitely one of those (heavy nitrous tanks, ISP of around 250(!)).
There's a reason why almost all serious proposed SSTO designs are very high ISP and very low tank mass; it just doesn't work otherwise.
Now, there are alternatives to carring the craft on the underbelly of a carrier. One I'd like to see is a tow-launch vehicle with midair fuelling. You can tow to altitude and fuel using even a cheap, used commodity aircraft, which is known to be safe, pilots are plentiful and cheap, maintinance is predictable, parts are mass produced, etc. The tow plane would be essentially a negligable portion of your cost, and even the poorest funded of X-prize teams could afford one.
By fuelling in midair (not really much harder than fuelling on the ground for most fuels/oxidizers, if your line is attached from takeoff and has more slack than the tow line; you just need to take the pumps and a power source along as well as the fuel. Doesn't work for solid fuels and is a poor choice for pressurized fluids, however), you can drastically reduce the required landing gear strength and save yourself a lot of mass.
Still, this whole getting into "space" thing is kinda silly, apart from a 3 minute free-fall and a good view. It's an adrenaline kick, but it's so far from what is needed for orbital, it's not even funny.
So now.. (Score:2, Funny)
I hate giveaways. I never win.
-E
Re:So now.. (Score:3, Insightful)
BTM
7-Up In Space: NASA's Research (Score:5, Interesting)
Lazlo? (Score:3, Funny)
Time to cut out that second cup of coffee. (Score:5, Funny)
It sounds neat and all, but I think I'll wait until it costs around $10,000 total. Hopefully I won't be too old by then.
Re:Time to cut out that second cup of coffee. (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Time to cut out that second cup of coffee. (Score:3, Interesting)
Well I better find me a rich wife.
The price is 100 grand now, it will come down - first the insane rich will buy it, then the ultra rich, then the corporations for their big clients, then the rich, and eventually we will..I would wage
Damn... (Score:5, Funny)
Now there won't be any place where I can go to avoid the tourists.
Re:Damn... (Score:5, Funny)
What about Euro Disney?
Re: Tethers... (Score:3, Funny)
Plus, you know their ads will eventually feature bondage. :)
Re: Tethers... (Score:4, Funny)
Boy, I hope not....
What Kind of Trip? (Score:5, Interesting)
We're not talking extended orbital flight, are we? Just a quick peek above the atmosphere, then straight back down, right?
While that might be fun, I don't consider it especially compelling -- certainly not to the tune of $100K.
Schwab
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:5, Insightful)
This was pretty much the aim of SpaceShip One from the beginning. The X-Prize just helped to give it that extra edge of excitement and competition that makes the media drool and gets you lots of free press. Winning it is a springboard to the tourism industry, but it wasn't the primary goal. This thing would have been eventually used for space tourism whether it won the X-Prize or not.
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:2)
Oh, but according to Paul Allen, it's his dream to make journeying to space affordable for the average person. Are you calling him out of touch with reality? (note the dripping saracasm here ;) )
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:5, Insightful)
Just look at airplanes. The first commercial flights were really expensive and only an exotic diversion for the rich. Now, I can fly across this country and back again for a couple of hundred bucks.
Cars were quite expensive until the Model T revolutionized the manufacture and made them cheap enough for everyone.
Entry level computers were multi-thousand dollar machines as recent as 5-10 years ago and now you can have a new machine every year for under $1 a day.
The only way that "affordable for the average person" arrives is to go through a phase of "if you have to ask, you can't afford it" first.
Re:the ultimate goal (Score:5, Informative)
The V2 was suborbital. The Nazis could pump them out (albeit with slave labor) by the thousands. Note the difference vs orbital craft, which pretty much everywhere in the world are mean, nasty beasts.
You can get to suborbital space on an ultra-simple nitrous/polybutadiene hybrid. But with a requisite heavy tank and an ISP of 250, it's not going any higher than that. You want orbital, you're probably going to need a turbopump, you're going to need higher ISP fuels, you're going to need a lighter tank, you're going to need either multiple stages or an incredibly light tank *and* incredibly high ISP... and that's just to get up there. Reentry is an incredibly diffuclt problem (although there are some good solutions on the horizon, such as inflatable parachutes), components suffer far more problems in orbit (for example, everything that has hydraulic fluid or fuel or oxidizer needs a heater, a cooling line, temperature sensors, and all of the requisite pumps and breakers required to maintain temperature, plus backups.), life support becomes far more complex for trips of more than a few minutes, and a whole host of other problems.
THAT is why orbital isn't cheap. Some guy building a ship out of epoxy with a "just open the valve and it flies a bit" rocket engine doesn't even begin to scrape the orbital envelope.
Not to denigrate all that Rutan has done, mind you - I, too, was touched to see the X-prize won. But, it's not close to orbital, and people need to dispense with this misconception. Rutan's pilot is flying a manned, reusable sounding rocket.
Travel (Score:3, Insightful)
Do something like that, and CEOs will be lining up to give you money.
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:3, Insightful)
Plus where do you think the money goes once you pay it? Scaled and Virgin isn't going to set it on fire. It's going to go to the salaries of their workers and to the vendors who are providing parts, shareholders, etc.
This has got to be a troll.
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:5, Insightful)
By buying a space tourism ticket, you are helping drive the development of cheap, reusable, sustainable space faring technology in the absolutely best way possible. You are paying the salaries of the people who are working on the next generation spacecraft, and spurring investment and competition toward improving spaceflight. To say that this does "absolutely nothing to benefit society" is so stupid and short sighted I don't know where to begin.
Beyond that I would like to say that I find your general attitude despicable. When people make money fairly - that is given to them by people who made a free choice to do so - they have a right to do as they please with that money. They owe NOTHING to the the looters and moochers who whine and complain because they did not feel inclined to make the money themselves. Egoism is the ultimate morality: it is forced , faked, altruism that is the root of evil.
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:3, Interesting)
I cannot disagree with your point based on simple facts: The trip does use resources, and provides no measurable benefit to human society. But then I wonder, how do you justify any form of pleasure at all? Can't the same arguments be applied to painting, or playing a board game, reading a book, walking in the park, etc. Naturally, those things use fewer resources. Is that it? Is it just the proportion of resources used that makes this so terrible?
Research pays off. The $ goes to research too. (Score:4, Insightful)
The raw cost of putting someone up there has got to be going down fast now that the technology's been established. Yet I don't see the proposed ticket price going down in pace with the lowering cost any time in the near future.
Think of space tourism as an ingenious way to squeeze funding for development of space technologies (and whatever else) out of idle thrill-seekers. If these same rich thrill-seekers were to buy luxury cars and rent "companions" with that same money, they wouldn't be helping out new technology half so much, and still spending the money on things they may not use very much (in the case of the cars) or will only enjoy for the moment (the rented companions). The R&D on cars and whores is minimal, given that these are both very old fields.
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:2)
So don't go; that'll leave more room for the rest of us.
We might live to see a hotel on the moon (or, nanites permitting, Mars), but this is as close as any of us is likely to get. To see the Earth as a globe rather than a flat piece of land, to be the first generation to experience microgravity, to say 'I can see my country from here'... these are powerful reasons, and ones that'll most likely cost
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:4, Interesting)
Using my last drag coefficients and mass as default, if the rocket is up at 100km altitude, and gets an "orbital" starting velocity, reentry will occur some time around 1000 seconds later. So, that would be less than 1/5th of an orbit. Neat for a transatlantic trip, but not good enough for your req's.
120 km makes it for about 3/4 of an orbit.
130 km makes it for about 1 1/2 orbits.
140 km makes it for about 3 1/2 orbits.
So, 140 km should be plenty - and at 5 1/4 hours in length, it'd be a reasonable-length ride. For comparison, ISS orbits at ~400km.
If I had to postulate a raw guess (I could always take the time to simulate it
As an aside... I've been considering a different kind of TPS that I haven't read about before. Sort of a liquid/gasseous ablative. You design the skin of the spacecraft to be two layers, held together by a porous honeycomb. You pump in chilled, pressurized liquid, which leaves through vents in the rear of the craft's skin as a superheated gas - and thus, you bleed off your heat in the gas, instead of in an ablative coating. The big cost in normal ablatives is like the cost in shuttle tiles: inspection and reapplication. It takes a long time, and the coatings/tiles can be damaged easily.
Does this sound like a reasonable alternative to anyone else? I assume that it's been considered before and rejected, since I doubt I'm the first to come up with it, so I'd like to hear what people think could be wrong with it.
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:2)
Unless you are spending some time up there and actually doing some activity I don't see ANY point to paying that sort of money for the trip. Zero gravity would be exciting for about 24 hours until you got bored with floating around. The view of the Earth, while certainly amazing, isn't going to be all that great after that same 24 hours.
So what are you going to do for the rest of your time up there?
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:3, Insightful)
When it is common for people to sink well over that into an entertainment room that they use occasionaly or only to brag to the neighbors I am sure that there will be a long line. There are an increasing number of people in the world that have $100K in pocket change. I am sure that there are lots of people who would pay much more than that jut to first.
Now if that line b
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:4, Interesting)
Space travel is controlled space travel, not shoot a box as high as you can go.
Wake me when we have orbital insertions (a MUCH more difficult problem), and then we'll talk about space tourism.
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:What Kind of Trip? (Score:4, Insightful)
Spaced Out Tourists (Score:5, Funny)
No thanks. I think I'll wait until there is an actual destination before going into space. Let me know when you find the dimensional rift that leads to Utopia and I'll sign up then. I would love to see Utopia! Oh my. I bet it's got lots of systems in it that can play Doom 3 in Ultra mode.
I'm now positive that Lance Bass [google.ca] is finally going to go to space. Mentally the guy is already there! He was going to pay $20mil to go to space, and now all the dregs of society can do it for merely $100k. Oh poor Lance! Well at least he can go now.
Re:Spaced Out Tourists (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Spaced Out Tourists (Score:2)
Re:Spaced Out Tourists (Score:2, Informative)
Big difference
Show us your can? (Score:5, Funny)
Kind of gives new meaning to the 7up slogan, "Show us your can"
This is so awesome. (Score:2, Funny)
What are you willing to give up in order to save the money for a flight to space?
For me, I'm considering moving into a shittier apartment. Oh, and I plan to start drinking more 7-Up.
Re:This is so awesome. (Score:3, Insightful)
10 sell portion of liver, put money in back
20 let livel grow back to normal
30 if $bank_total > $amount_for trip then goto 50
40 goto 10
50 goto "space"
i can see it now..... (Score:5, Funny)
My prediction... (Score:4, Insightful)
Something will replace rocket-powered flight, and that will lead the way into space flight.
16-year olds are going to get a "spacing permit", along with Dad's old clunker, only capable of going to the moon and back.
Hey...just a thought.
Making money? (Score:3, Funny)
Only costs US$100k? (Score:4, Interesting)
--
Free gmail invites [slashdot.org]
Make Seven Up Yours (Score:5, Funny)
Anoying (Score:2, Interesting)
What are the environmental side-effect of that!
Just so some rich guys can have a thrill.
At the very least there should be an enivronental surtax on it (say one million bucks). Or how about
force all frivilous astro-tourists to clean up some toxic waste on Earth.
Re:Anoying (Score:2)
And no, donations to Greenpeace or funding a governmental agency for clean technology (with people who produce nothing but useless paperwork) do not count as 'cleaning up the environment'
My Prediction: (Score:2, Insightful)
Woo; an X Prize (Score:2, Informative)
"In May, organizers selected New Mexico to permanently host the X Prize Cup."
Cool. A Blue Riband for space. Based on distance rather than speed, I suppose. Someone should offer a prize for whomever gets close enough to the moon to photograph the Sea of Tranquility, and shut our conspiracy-laden chums up once and for all.
So does the p2p in p2pnet now stand for planet to planet, then?
Still need a place to go (Score:2, Interesting)
In Related News... (Score:5, Funny)
Best application of new technology (Score:2)
Re:Best application of new technology (Score:2)
Re:Best application of new technology (Score:3, Funny)
Especially if he breaks it. SS1 belongs in a museum so when I have kids, I can take them to see it.
No, I think that all Darl deserves is to go on a parachute flight with an empty backpack labeled "PARACHUTE" strapped to his back. Much more efficent.
childhood dreams (Score:5, Insightful)
But I never really considered commercial spaceflight as being something viable, something that could grow and prosper even without the imprimatur of a major government. Not until now.
I wonder how many other young astronaut dreamers might now get their chance...if only for just one flight?
Space Junk... (Score:3, Interesting)
Also given all the junk that government sponsored space flight puts off, how are we to regulate these novelty flights in regards to jettisoning various bits of detrius? Or am I just being paranoid?
The Concorde (Score:2)
This is a good thing. (Score:5, Insightful)
Just last week, spaceflight was only for NASA, Russian Astronauts, and Dennis Tito. Today, it is for rich multimillionaires with $100,000 to blow. A few years from now, it will be for rich millionaires with $10,000 to blow. Soon enough, we might have the 'M' prize for first privately owned craft to go to the moon. And this will probably be way after the Space Shuttle program got replaced by Southwest Spacelines.
Sound familiar? Samething happened with computers. First, the CEO of IBM said that only about eight would be necessary for all of humanity. Then came the mainframes, then came the minicomputers, and then came the personal computers. Now my PDA has more processing power than my computer had only eight years ago.
Its an inevitable process, and I look forward to observing it.
Re:This is a good thing. (Score:3, Insightful)
The markets will take this where it needs to go. Having a group of government-paid people choose what should happen in space doesn't put things within the best interest of everyone else. Soon there will be a choice, and soon there will be a market.
This is what freedom is all about. This is what socialist societies will
10K isn't just realm of millionaires... (Score:3, Insightful)
SpaceShipOne is not tourist-safe, yet (Score:2)
Hopefully they'll spend some of that $10M price money for further development and getting rid of the little glitches they've had.
So which tourists will be the first.... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:So which tourists will be the first.... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:So which tourists will be the first.... (Score:3, Informative)
NASA and the ESA have both studied it although NASA denies it [space.com].
7 UP??? (Score:2)
A. Because they couldn't get Pepsi.
Boom! Tish!
Ooop. Wrong space vehicle for that old joke.
the real deal is... (Score:5, Interesting)
Compare number of people who would pay for a ride on SpaceShipOne vs. number of people who would pay for something more practical - say getting you and two bags to Hawaii in 1.5 hours.
Imagine a SSO like design big enough for 20 people and second stage and launched at 45 degrees instead of vertical. Any rocket scientists in here to calculate what a range of something like that might be?
Re:the real deal is... (Score:5, Funny)
Envelope Says: 15% of the way from LA to Hawaii (Score:4, Informative)
Current SSO Boost is 85nm vertical; thus, fired at 45' you get about 60nm out; about 50nm out on the way back down to about 80K feet... then you start to glide (this assumes no friction to slow you so nothing to glide on above 80K). While SSO covered 35nm from launch from White Knight, you can probably get a lot more (call it 75 on this envelope), but you're WAY, WAY short of making it to Hawaii. Compared to a glider, SSO will drop like a rock.
I imagine the total coverage by SSO could be about 200nm + flight by White Knight, which is perhaps another 200nm. That's only about 2500 miles short if launched from Los Angeles.
wonder (Score:2)
Or maybe this is just a race to make a LOT of money w/ no regard to safety?
Re:wonder (Score:3, Funny)
Destination...Murphies SpaceBar and Grille (Score:2)
That should be the next big goal. Open the first Bar in space. Perhaps one could get a bit of Duty free shopping done. Hmmm...and about income tax...well, seeing as you are literally out of this rold...tax? What tax?
If I had $100,000 to throw away ... (Score:4, Insightful)
Its All Fun and Games... (Score:5, Insightful)
Commercial space flight is important for space flight in general. As soon as it becomes something that people want to do, private industry will pour money into developing better travel methods, and will spend that money better than the government. With a little luck, NASA's research budget won't have to as big, because innovations from private industry will get some of the work done for them.
Re:Its All Fun and Games... (Score:3, Insightful)
the first car crash really did in the car industry.
the first bus crash ended children's transportation to school.
the only way you could be right is for space travel to remain in the confines of government only trip[s
The safety threshold for SS1 (Score:4, Interesting)
This is something I was wondering about myself. When NASA developed the Apollo missions, they were designed in anticipation of about a 90% success rate for each mission. (I believe it was about this and someone can correct me if they know otherwise, but it certainly wasn't incredibly safe.)
I'd be interested to know what the safety goals of Scaled Composites were with their design, what can be done if something goes wrong, and how it relates to commercial viability. Presumably it's much higher than 9 in 10 successes, and there are likely to be plans to work a lot on safety before any serious potential commercial partners would want to be involved. But does this translate to 99/100 successful flights, 999/1000 successful flights, or even better?
So far we've seen two properly successful test flights. That's less than 1/50th of what we've seen of the US Space Shuttle. (Granted that it's far less complicated.)
Eggs in space (Score:3, Funny)
And the first one into space is an egg whose shell has cracked open due to lack of air pressure, whose yolk then boiled as all the water evaporated into vaccum, and who was then incinerated upon re-entry.
Call me a cynic, but I'd wait a little while to be going into space, even if you can afford it.
I've been to space but it was really depressing (Score:4, Funny)
SpaceShipOne gets 4% of orbital energy (Score:5, Insightful)
SpaceShipOne is for quickie suborbital jaunts only. Rutan is still far, far away from reaching orbit. Your $100K or whatever would buy you just 3.5 minutes of weightlessness at about $475/second. If you're willing to give up the view (SpaceShipOne's windows aren't that great anyway), you can experience weightlessness a lot more cheaply on an airplane ($3K for several 20-second periods) or for 6.5 seconds on the "Superman: The Escape" ride at Six Flags. A full-price Six Flags ticket is $47, so that's only $7.20/second even if you only ride once!
Re:SpaceShipOne gets 4% of orbital energy (Score:3, Insightful)
For $10 million dollars, why didn't you do it years ago then? I know what your point is but I think there is a pendulum reaction going on here. Some guys are saying, SpaceShipOne is better than the Space Shuttle, which makes guys like you come back with something absurd saying that 100 km is nothing at all.
In reality, and objectively speaking, somewhere in the middle of these two extremist v
Beyond Tourism (Score:5, Insightful)
1 Step Missing (Score:4, Funny)
1. Military
2. PORN
3. Common Man
YES! My wife only had ONE xtreme sport veto... (Score:3, Funny)
...and she used it years ago to veto skydiving! Mwha ha ha ha haaaaa! I'm allowed to fly in space! Yipee!
I can hear her now: "We agreed on one expreme sport veto, but I still have an extreme travel veto that hasn't been used. And oh yea, I have an endless supply of sex vetos. Choose wisely."
Deception Point anyone? (Score:3, Insightful)
a) putting a huge "Drink Pepsi" sign on the moon or
b) continuing the mostly and un-exciting scientific research that NASA currently does.
No offense to corporations, but they are there to make money, and investing a billion dollars to put an earth orbiting banner up is going to satisfy their shareholders more than searching for the origins of the universe. Taken to an extreme think about space and the skies above us being as littered with advertising and crap as the roads and buildings and entertainment that we are subjected to every day are. How long before every shuttle is as littered with badges as a Nascar is?
Maybe it's the 'slippery slope' argument, but the book did a good job of explaining why NASA is in "control" of space and not the corporations.
What about "The Man Who Sold the Moon"? (Score:4, Informative)
In this book, Heinlein specifically mentions a 7-up ad on the moon (he called it a 6+ soft drink, which I suppose could be anything), and to make things really fun (keep in mind this was written in the 1950's) the protaganist throws a hammer and sickle on a overlay over the moon during a board meeting that includes some FAA representatives.
Of any of the early science fiction that is inspiring the X-Prize and private commercial spaceflight, I would have to say that this book is clearly very influential, and it wouldn't surprise me to see a company called "Harriman Industries" get involved with spaceflight some time in the future, if only to invoke the flavor of Heinlein's future history.
A sad footnote in the book was that the main guy behind the whole project, Harriman, was denied from going into space due to poor health, and the FAA wouldn't give him clearance to get on a spaceship.
Mixing of stories (Score:3, Informative)
Seems to me that someone has been mixing a lot of stories to come up with this! I actually listened to the press conferences and X Prize coverage. Let me explain what they really said:
Don't get me wrong, I'm as excited about this as the next guy. $250K is still a bargain in today's market, but mixing those stories together made it a lot more exciting sounding than it really is.
Re:I think I'd throw that cap away.... (Score:5, Funny)
Throw it away? Are you NUTS?!?!
Ebay!!!!! (with no warranties or liabilities, of course)
Re:Virgin space... (Score:5, Funny)
Sounds like your average Star Trek fan to me.
Re:$10,000 for at least one orbit (Score:3, Interesting)
Besides, being able to see the whole world in both night and day, big weather, a sunrise, a sunset, and so forth, would make this a much more interesting trip than just going up and coming down.
Anyway, I presume that would be the next space prize.
Re:Step #1 (Score:3, Informative)
Speed + Atmosphere = Friction = Heat
So if you hit true orbit you're likely going to need heat shielding unless you plan to stay up there.
If you need heat shielding, that's a lot more weight to carry up. Which means more push. Which means more fuel. Which means more weight.
It's entirely possible that this design is *only* practical for sub-orbital space flights.
Re:The path to orbit (Score:3, Insightful)
The big thing that it's showing is that space startups have finally learned their lesson.
There have been startups since the 70s trying to get to orbit for cheap, but they've either been squeezed out by the existing players or run out of money before they actually prove their point, never even finishing the prototypes.
The 2000s startup