O'Keefe Under Fire for Hubble, ISS Decisions 498
chuckpeters writes "The battle over saving Hubble is just starting to heat up! The House Science Committee Democrats released their views and
estimates report. Recommendation number two was that
until Congress gets better information on the long term costs of Bush's
Moon/Mars initiative, NASA's 2005 funding requests should go to existing
programs. The House Science Committee has also decided that
they want to hear from outside experts on Bush's space initiative.
Just as Hubble isn't going quietly into the night, Bush's Moon/Mars plan
isn't going quickly into space!"
Amazing how famous HST has become (Score:2, Interesting)
People always told me NASA has good P.R., but now I see that it's astrophysicists in general who are great at getting attention.
We need Mars (Score:5, Insightful)
Plus, I'd actually like to see it happen in my lifetime.
Re:We need Mars (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:We need Mars (Score:3, Insightful)
As much as you scientists would hate to admit it:
What makes space exploration go? Money. Where do we get money from? Mostly from the public. How do we inspire the public? With showmanship, fantasies and bold plans - not with dry science.
I think Hubble's recent deep space images is enough to show that it is still useful and valuable.
Yeah. Those images will be really useful when the next (near) extinction level
Re:We need Mars (Score:5, Insightful)
Survival comes first - pretty pictures come next.
I whole heartily agree. And a lot of research can be done about survival right here on Earth. Not only that, by the time we will be ready for Mars, we should know enough about survival to sustain a small population on Mars. Currently, we cannot do so. If Earth was wiped out tomorrow and we had people on Mars. They would be pretty much screwed because they still need to be supported here on Earth.
Re:We need Mars (Score:5, Insightful)
Don't get me wrong, I'm all for a manned Mars mission but not at the cost of gutting a very successful robotic space program which already uses far less money than our rather poor manned space program. If you want to find a place to cut budgets, kill the ISS - it isn'ta valid starting point for going to Mars because of the orbital inclination and is basically useless from a scientific perspective.
Something like %35 of the NASA scientific papers in the last decade have come from Hubble and the repair mission would cost 2% of the estimated cost to finish the ISS. It's just perverse to kill Hubble and then continue to work on the ISS which is a much bigger money hog. If we want to send people to Mars, we need to be decisive and just do it. The only way NASA can be decisive about it is to free up the majority of its budget. The only way it can do that is to remove the Shuttle and ISS funding and direct it towards the focussed devlopment of technology directly related to getting to Mars and the Moon.
Furthermore, if you want to inspire the public, look at the unmanned space missions. A far larger proportion of the public is familiar with the Hubble and the Mars rovers than with the ISS. The former have returned enourmous amounts of valuable scientific information and been the most popular attractions at the NASA website. It sys something that the heavist traffic in the history of NASA came from a pair of robotic rovers.
Where have I heard this before? (Score:5, Insightful)
This got us the shuttle program and ISS. The benefits of both I could count on one hand and the wastefulness of which is depressing to think about. While futzing around in low earth orbit for 30 years, we haven't learned anything that we couldn't have if Apollo had continued.
To steal a page from Robert Zubrin, the shuttle paradigm is like if Queen Isabella had sent Columbus out 100 miles to sea and sit there for a few months to study the effects of being on a boat for a long time.
We understand what it's like to survive in space and how to do it. More research is always needed but what's needed more is bold initiative.
Re:Where have I heard this before? (Score:4, Informative)
Yes [nw.net]
they [marsinstitute.info]
certainly [nasa.gov]
have. [amazon.com]
Not just pie in the sky stuff either but detailed plans by experts with proven technology. Read up on it and you'll realize the only thing keeping humans off of Mars is politics.
Re:We need Mars (Score:5, Insightful)
Nice way to start an intelligent conversation there, buckweetie but I'll bite. Your a fool if you think robots are adaquate for anything other than scoping out the place. For instance the current 2 robots are telling us that water flowed on Mars. How reliable is that? Not very, untill a geologists gets to mars and looks at the rocks first hand we'll never know for sure.
Robots don't have intutition ether. Some of the greatest discoveries in sience have been done because a scientist right at the moment decited to do something else. Your robot might be looking at the rock in front of him and miss the fossel beside it.
Re:you don't know (Score:3, Informative)
The original wavelengths ARE known. Every piece of observation evidence ever collected supports the idea that the laws of physics that regulate spectral emission have not changed at any point in the visible history of the universe. Those spectral lines are very well known and very accurate. By looking how a particular hydrogen line has redshifted, you immediately know what the redshift is to a great deal of a
Re:We need Mars (Score:2, Interesting)
Mars Direct! [slashdot.org]
Re:We need Mars (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:We need Mars (Score:2, Insightful)
Don't bet any politician, especially Bush, has signed off on anything until the money actually goes where you think it went....
No We Don't. (Score:2, Insightful)
Agreed that Hubble is great to keep. However, how long can we put it off? How about until the technology is ready, reliable and we don't have the administration pounding the economy into the ground with war? Seriously, do you really think that the "working man" is going to say "bravo!" to a manned mission to Mars while the economy is going to hell and his job is being shipped overseas? Damn man, come back to Earth.
Which planet do we really need? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:We need Mars (Score:3, Insightful)
Apollo Was Own Achilles Heel (Score:3, Interesting)
And now, you want to throw another $100 billion in the same Apollonian spirit on a Mars program that will result in a similar set of highly questionable
Re:Do we? (Score:2, Insightful)
We don't need the Moon either.
But Bush needs the votes of the geek community.
Re:Do we? (Score:2, Insightful)
What i like the most about our little "community" is that we tend to be intelligent...so lets ask the question...why do we want this? There are lots of problems at home to fix first that should get votes first.
We want this because (Score:2)
You want to boost the economy, well here you are.
As for problems to fix here first, fix the economy, and most of them will go away.
Re:Do we? (Score:2, Funny)
Re:We need Mars (Score:5, Insightful)
Bush doesn't fund - Congress does that - and you can answer whether it will get funded or not by surmising whether social programs or science will get funded, asking which one will buy more votes, and which party believes in one over the other.
Honestly, I think this is what O'Keefe wanted (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Honestly, I think this is what O'Keefe wanted (Score:3, Insightful)
o'keefe is just a doorstop. he needs to go.
Re:Honestly, I think this is what O'Keefe wanted (Score:2)
Some safety guidelines. "Don't do anything risky."
If those were always the rules, we'd all be naked, shivering at night sleeping on rocks in Africa. No, actually, we'd be extinct.
Re:Honestly, I think this is what O'Keefe wanted (Score:3, Interesting)
Here'
O'Keefe (Score:2, Insightful)
Agreed, except on one point (Score:4, Insightful)
That's probably an accurate statement about Conservativism. They believe government exists to keep the peace and enforce the law, little more. But the space program is tied very closely to the military, and less directly, to law enforcement. So that part of things doesn't add-up.
I'm sure Bush would want nothing more than a 5 megawatt laser with a phase conjugate target tracking system that could destroy a human target from space. It's the perfect peacetime weapon.
Also, why does kill off the shuttle and ISS make a civilian space program viable? A better idea might be to have NASA assist other companies in developing space-faring gear, and with things such as the X-prize.
Hear, hear (Score:3, Interesting)
And I know quite a few NASA engineers who wouldn't mind the competition either.
It would be like the race to map the Human Genome. Despite some problems I think the competition was a good thing.
Others may disagree.
Re:O'Keefe (Score:2)
Re:O'Keefe (Score:3, Insightful)
Maybe because that's all it should be doing at the levels it does.
Look, I'm all for certain reasonable regulations and maybe a few social safety nets funded by FedGov, and NASA has done some very good things over the years that might have been at best difficult to do otherwise, but look at the budget sizes for the X-Prize stuff. Even the Rutan project isn't in the billions of dollars, though it wou
Re:O'Keefe (Score:3, Informative)
Spacelaunch for orbital flight, or interplanetary missions is a WHOLE differnt game. And when you have to guarantee the safety of people who live in cities downrange from your launch site, or the people onboard the craft, you're talking about a huge testing infrastructure cost, that you can't really do without. X-Prize is doing without, because these are suborbital flights, without the liability involved of having a booster stage, or an ou
Re:O'Keefe (Score:5, Informative)
Well there is certainly military value in space, so that point is moot. Also the NASA budget DECREASED under Clinton a number of times and was actually lower when he left office than when he started( and this doesn't include inflation either) and this was during the prime years of the dot-com boom too where the government was rolling in money. Bush is INCREASING the total budget. Data is below:
1993 $14.309 billion, existing NASA budget when Clinton took office;
1994 $14.568 billion, $259 million increase, first Clinton budget;
1995 $13.853 billion, $715 million decrease;
1996 $13.885 billion, $32 million increase;
1997 $13.709 billion, $176 million decrease;
1998 $13.648 billion, $61 million decrease;
1999 $13.654 billion, $6 million increase;
2000 $13.601 billion, $53 million decrease;
2001 $14.253 billion, $652 million increase;
2002 $14.892 billion, $639 million increase, first Bush budget;
2003 $15.000 billion, $108 million increase (estimated);
2004 $15.469 billion, $469 million increase (proposed);
>and this new program simply isn't viable
Why? Not that I agree or disagree but this is a pretty sweeping statement to claim without backup. Which parts of the Moon and Mars plans are not viable? What do you like about the Hubble, and ISS which you would like spared? Give us details, not generalized Bush bashing.
-Comedian
Re:O'Keefe (Score:3, Funny)
This is
(Otherwise how would all of us Ivory Tower-types expiate our white guilt, if not for some mutual politico-social sef-gratification?)
Re:O'Keefe (Score:3, Insightful)
The whole point of this is;
to defund the programs that are doing science, and might give us clues to global warming or ozone depletion. The neocons feel; "why should w
Re:hahahaha ror (Score:3, Insightful)
ISS (Score:3, Interesting)
ISS was never about science, so much as keeping Russian rocket scientist from selling their skills to evil dictators. Not that those scientists would want to, but when you have no other way to earn money what are you going to do? The international part was all about making sure the Russians didn't feel they are doing it alone.
In other words politics were all it ever was about. If science happens to get done great, but it never was a goal.
HERES THE ANSWER (Score:4, Insightful)
The end.
Re:HERES THE ANSWER (Score:3, Informative)
No, I'm not kidding - because by introducing a relay satellite, you've significantly increased the chance of a very drastic failure. Bad enough the telescope itself might fail; now you risk a failure of the satellite, which renders a perfectly-operational lunar telescope perfectly useless.
Additionally, there's no benefit to having a telescope on the far side of the moon. The far and near sides of the moon both receive sunlight - the difference is that the far side never faces Earth.
It make sense, since it all about politics (Score:3, Interesting)
I have a good friend who works at NASA HQ. According to her, the whole moon/mars idea is basically a boondoogle to shift NASA subcontractor jobs into Ohio and Florida, two very important states for the 2004 elections.
So it makes perfect sense that the dems are going to want to block it.
Re:It make sense, since it all about politics (Score:3, Interesting)
So it makes perfect sense that the dems are going to want to block it.
That's one way to put it. Here's another:
One of the side benefits of the whole moon/mars deals, besides increasing the sum of human knowledge, is that it will help the economies of Ohio and Florida and give a lot of peop
Another way (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:It make sense, since it all about politics (Score:2)
Re:It make sense, since it all about politics (Score:5, Insightful)
Of course, it's always possible that Bush is idealistically pushing this program with no thought of benefiting from it politically. And if you believe that, I've got this bank account you can help me get out of Nigeria...
The Usefulness of HST (Score:4, Interesting)
However, the new telescope cannot be fixed. It will lie in orbit between the sun and the Earth. What if it breaks? Eh? Bad lens? Bad gyroscopes? HST is in orbit and we can fix it. This can be a backup and it still serves a useful scientific role, as evidenced by its recent Ultra Deep Field exposure.
Re:The Usefulness of HST (Score:5, Informative)
I am an astronomer. I do not want to see Hubble decommissioned, nor do I consider it useless. Nor does any astronomer I've talked to. Nor does the American Astronomical Society, the largest professional society of astrnomers. Your statement is simply absurd. HST time continues to be heavily oversubscribed, and numerous papers using HST data are produced daily.
Your argument seems to arise from HST having a planned succesor, JWST, which will be better in many, but not all, respects than HST. That does not make HST useless. Take a look at ground-based telescopes; despite the 10-meter Keck telescopes, the 5-meter Palomar telescope remains a very useful astronomical tool, and so does the 60-inch Palomar telescope, which was recently renovated and automated. HST would not become "useless" even if JWST existed today, and is sure as hell not "useless" with JWST years away.
People are taking W's proposal seriously?!? (Score:4, Insightful)
W: Where are we going?
US: Mars!
W: When are we going?
US: Real soon!
Not according to the CBO (Score:4, Interesting)
O'keefe (Score:5, Insightful)
After the CAIB, he was blasted, questioned and doubted to no end, so what does a skilled polititian do? cut your losses and move on. Well, he did just that. So now he's gonna follow the CAIB like it's the road to salvation. To the letter.
The CAIB puts forward a number of requirements for shuttle flights, including the ability to service the Shuttle via ISS if something goes wrong...among a host of other "inconvenient" requirements.
O'keefe decided to follow the CAIB to the letter so that means that going to the hubble will "break the laws" of the CAIB (Hubble is in an entirely different, incompatible orbit...still you'd think that being the thing called SHUTTLE it shouldn't be an issue, but it is)
So servicing the Hubble will violate his mandate to play it safest and thus it won't happen because it's "too risky" according to the CAIB mantra.
It's an election year (Score:3, Insightful)
Hopefully the blatant cynicism of this ploy will be apparent to the voters.
Both? (Score:4, Insightful)
Bleh, that turned into a rant pretty quick, but I stand by it, so mod accordingly.
Skip the Moon, Keep Hubble, Go to Mars (Score:5, Interesting)
Hubble's still doing good science. The Voyagers are obselete but we're still listening to them for that very reason.
What is the big deal? (Score:2, Insightful)
What tangible benefits has Hubble provided us? Other then advancing our knowledge of and expanding the "pure-sciences" involved how has humanity improved by this telescope?
It's my understanding that _ALL_ telescopes goal is to see as far back in time as possible. We want to prove or disprove the Big-Bang theory. What if we do prove it. Then what?
Please don't misunderstand me. I feel very s
Re:What is the big deal? (Score:3, Interesting)
The hubble telescope is a unique piece of scientific equipment that allows us to perform experiments that we cannot perform here on earth.
Experiments that lead to greater questions...
Experiments we do not know of yet...
A greater understanding of physics advances us as a society, and a species in ways more profound than anything else...
If you let it burn up, we will have to replace it, or be forever in the darknes
Re:What is the big deal? (Score:2)
Re:What is the big deal? (Score:3, Insightful)
Telescopes, just like all those other instruments, serve as a gateway to understanding the universe. Supercolliders allow
Re:What is the big deal? (Score:4, Insightful)
Modern particle physics, including supercollider experiments, is about as far removed from practical applications as astrophysics and cosmology. In fact, the fields overlap in various ways; big bang nucleosynthesis, cold dark matter, neutrino oscillations, etc.
And knock it off with the "pretty pictures" crap. The "pretty pictures" are a PR and education effort, not the scientific product. If we don't produce the pretty pictures, and popular explanations to go with them, we're attacked for living in an ivory tower, too elitist to share our results with the public. When we do attempt education and public outreach, we get your crap about "just pretty pictures." Can't win. Maybe if you'd read the articles, instead of adopting the Playboy approach, you'd learn something about the science.
Re:What is the big deal? (Score:3, Insightful)
Huh. Odd, then, that there are all those commercial fission power plants, and we have fusion bombs, and fusion reactions in the lab, and understand the fusion mechanism of the sun (including to former "solar neutrino problem").
All of the particles relevant to commercial energy production by fission or fusion are known and well-understood. If you disagree, please state specifically wha
Re:What is the big deal? (Score:4, Interesting)
Because, put very simply, there is no such thing is irrelevant scientific research. Everything comes in useful, in one way or anything, eventually.
Taking the Hubble in particular: it's used to study cosmology (among other things). Cosmology is the study of the universe in the large. Except that the universe in the large is very much related to the universe in the small, and research into the universe in the small has direct implications into such things as microelectronics.
Say the Hubble manages to find something interesting and unexpected about the very early universe. This would require our theories to be modified to fit the observation. Some of these modifications might require changes to our basic physical models. Some of these modifications might have consequences that can be testable and exploitable in the small; but we'd only get clued into them by observing them in the large.
To put it another way: blue-sky scientific research is the only investment that pays dividends for eternity. Can you afford not to spend money on it?
Election year again... (Score:5, Insightful)
Go ahead, mod me offtopic (It really isn't, though)
What do you want? (Score:4, Insightful)
Space (NASA) cuts across party lines (Score:5, Interesting)
But NASA has always cut across party lines in ways that belie the stereotypes we have about our parties.
For example, Walter Mondale bitterly opposed the space shuttle program in the Senate -- back when Richard Nixon was engaged in OSP-style deceptions about the cost estimates per shuttle flight in order to "sell" the shuttle. Here's an article with some text from a letter [weeklystandard.com] he wrote outlining the reasons for his opposition. Key bits:
The author of that linked article, Joseph Rodota, wrote it as an indictment of "a long line of liberals opposed to space exploration."
Hmm. Does anything seem backward about this situation to you? Rodota's talking about "the importance of big ideas" over fiscal responsibilities? Mondale's decrying the senseless cost?
Basically the critic here is saying "Before we put the ax to programs like Hubble, we want to be sure we've made the right choice, and the public will want to see that decision-making process. Sean O'Keefe shouldn't make this one himself without us having access to the process."
This is about killing the shuttle... (Score:5, Interesting)
It is about killing the Shuttle,ISS, and to a large extent the last bastion on big federal science...
The argument is that you can't get to the space station if something happens to the shuttle while servicing Hubble.
The way that you kill the space program, (the shuttle and ISS are the major targets. Hubble is just an unfortunate casualty). Is to change the priorities from existing ones that take real money, to non-existing ones that are so expensive that they can be cancelled later.
Hubble may be what saves the space program, is spite of the best laid plans of those that would like to see it killed.
The cost of space exploration in the 21st century (Score:2, Insightful)
Hubble being replaced by better telescope (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Hubble being replaced by better telescope (Score:3, Informative)
Even worse, without the Hubble SM4 repair missions, the Hubble could be non-operation as soon as this year. They're hoping to stretch it out to 2007 but that still leaves a *5* year gap with no wide field UV/optical/IR telescope. The SM4 mission is supposed to get the Hubble running out to 2010 which would allow it to overlap the Webb telescope if we're careful. The Webb isn't a good Hubble replacement but better than nothing. As far as replacing the UV/visible cabail
If you really care about the HST (Score:5, Insightful)
The last requirement may be a stretch for some readers, but one can always hope.
Find your senator at: http://www.senate.gov/
Serious space program (Score:5, Interesting)
Fuckin' a (Score:4, Insightful)
Wonderful. So the only US program towards a manned spacecraft is facing difficulties while we're trying to save the ISS and Hubble.
Did it ever occur to these politicians that we might need some way to actually deliver people to the ISS and service the Hubble? Furthermore, with Soyuz, there's no guarantees -- the Russians aren't exactly in the best shape in the world. I hate to rely on them... especially considering the lack of capacity/capability.
Honestly I wish they had stuck with the Orbital Space Plane plan of attack, and started a new program towards Mars. It seems like this happens with every new concept at NASA. A program is started, it gets a decent way, and somebody decides it'd be better to do something different. We desperately need to stay the course with at least one program in five or so. How much money have we waisted already with this sort of abortion?
Furthermore, the "it costs too much" really pisses me off. NASA's FY04 budget was $15.5 billion. The increase in the Military budget -- not including the costs of our various wars around the world -- was $16.9 billion from FY03 to FY04. The overall military budget for FY04 was $399.1 billion [cdi.org]. With wars included, it's even higher.
Should we turn a blind eye to this rampant military waste while putting NASA under a microscope?
In the long run, what's more important?
Fuckin' a. Sometimes I hate being human.
Re:Fuckin' a (Score:5, Insightful)
You've GOT TO BE KIDDING (TROLLING). Soyuz and the Russians are infinitely more reliable than NASA technicly and they've always found the funds to keep launching Soyuz. If the U.S. hadn't forced them to deorbit Mir they would probably still be using it.
About the only thing the U.S. has to worry about is the Russian's will tell the American's to take a hike and only fly non American astronauts as retaliation for the fact the U.S. has become an obnoxious dick under the Bush administration.
The Russians have started development of a six man Soyuz replacement which now appears to be the only avenue to fully man the ISS so their is some manpower to do something beside maintain it.
If I were to lay bets I would put all my money on the Russian effort versus NASA developing ANY new manned launch vehicle. NASA and its pork fed contractors have simply lost the ability to bend metal.
Re:Fuckin' a (Score:3, Insightful)
Bush didn't say "let's go to Mars" (Score:4, Insightful)
The focus of the speech was on expanding our exploration of space, and eventually sending humans to Mars and the other planets. But no time frame was stated. And the immediate goal is to establish a permanent base on the moon.
For me, though, the most important part of the speech was the closing paragraph:
"Mankind is drawn to the heavens for the same reason we were once drawn into unknown lands and across the open sea. We choose to explore space because doing so improves our lives, and lifts our national spirit. So let us continue the journey."
I think he's right. I think we need to explore other planets because it's our nature to do so. And I think we should start as soon as possible, and not let petty politics get in the way of a noble endeavor.
Re:Bush didn't say "let's go to Mars" (Score:3, Insightful)
Wrong. It spelled out the important goals for NASA. The most important of which is, build a permanent settlement on the moon. Which was the crux of the whole speech. None of the new goals are acheivable using the shuttle, the ISS, or even Hubble. So, they've got to go to make room for the vehicles and systems which will carry man forward. Or are you one of those people who believes we should keep doing things the same old way
Too much "Safety" (Score:5, Insightful)
The problem is political will and political correctness. Nobody seems to shed a tear for the soldiers getting KIAed in IRAQ or Afghanistan, it's past news. The families and friends care, but we as citizens don't. However when a $1B shuttle breaks up over Texas, OMG, stop everything, we have to be "safe." This bullcrap about being PC and "safe" is counter to every exploration ever undertaken.
It took Risk to put Hubble into Orbit. It took people like Storey Musgrave to fix it in orbit, in a space suit hurtling at 18K MPH. Those were risks. Now, we have to have "contingencies" "backups" hell, I long for the days when politicians weren't running NASA, when they had a vision and took risks.
If Lindberg hadn't taken a risk, if the guys in St. Louis hadn't taken a risk, if Ryan aircraft hadn't taken a risk, there'd be no Transatlantic crossing.
Routan and the X Prize folks are taking risks and hopefully, with our prayers and support, will wrench the exploration of space out of the hands of the beaurocrats and politicians who want space exploration, without risk, which is never, ever going to happen.
Accidents will happen in the future. Hell, people still fly in 747s after TWA 800 don't they? People fly in Airbus 3XXs don't they, despite it's safety record.
Life is full of risk, as George Carlin says "take a F***ing chance!"
Fix Hubble, fix the foam, put the shuttles back online and get the next manned vehicle system back online. If you bozos at NASA can't figure it out, I'm sure all of that old CapCom equipment stored in the VAB can be turned back on and we can launch Apollos on Saturn 1Bs or Vs again. Hell, the Russians still launch Soyuz capsules that were developed in the 60s, so why can't we reuse what we've already learned?
Ahh, too much risk, I see. Maybe we should all stay in bed with the covers pulled over our heads.
Re:Too much "Safety" (Score:3, Funny)
Are you kidding? We could suffocate or get bed sores!
It's like a game of chess... (Score:3, Interesting)
So Bush puts out this obvious new gambit which, if successful, will cause NASA to saceifice its REAL pieces for some highly SPECULATIVE ones (if you can just get your pawn to the other side of the board, we have a shiny new queen for you...)
NASA is playing the game as best it can (with the required level of public-facing loyalty), saying, in effect, 'Okay, then take my Knight,' knowing the public outcry that will follow.
And why is anyone surprised? The Republican M.O. has changed over the last 50 years from direct opposition to government programs to a deceitful and suicidal kind of support for them. "Sure, we'll run up the deficit to 25% of the GDP -- that way we won't have any choice but to cut government! (except for our buddies companies who live off gvt handouts)..."
ABB
Get rid of hubble (Score:3, Insightful)
2) Too many people have to die to fix it. That may fly in the hyper-layoff, humans-are-liabilities mentality of Silicon Valley but not when those piles of bodies are shutting down the space program for years at a time.
Re:Get rid of hubble (Score:3, Informative)
How on Earth did this get modded as insightful? This is absolutely 100% wrong. Go to the Astrophysical Jou
Hubble, origins of the universe, & Religious R (Score:3, Insightful)
This probably scares the shit out of the Religious Right. The last thing they want is more evidence that Science has the answers. The Bush administration is well known for being shameless idealogues, pandering the the Religious Right, while giving other reasons for policy changes. So one wonders about anti-science forces working behind the scenes on this one. It's Galileo vs. The Church, all over again.
Mars FAQs (Score:3, Informative)
Is China the real reason? (Score:3, Interesting)
I'm kind of surprised that no one else has offered this speculation. I've been watching the news and hearing about China aiming for the moon.
Am I the only one who thinks that we might be headed for another space race? China might be the only nation with the economic potential to become a super power and nothing says super power better than putting people on the moon, or, say, Mars.
As was mentioned elsewhere, there are temporary job benefits, but the Bush administration has been known to think big before: Hydrogen economy... Global democracy...
I'm not claiming these efforts are "Right" or even fruitful, but they are big. Bush has made decisions to launch efforts that could only pay off long after he leaves office. And no, I'm not interested in debating Bush's intelligence.
Just food for thought.
O'Keefe (Score:3, Interesting)
"We choose to go to the moon not because it is easy, but because it is hard." -- A politician who gave the order, got the money, and got out of the way.
"My god, Thiokol, what do you want me to do, wait until April?" -- A NASA professional administrator, January 28, 1986, more concerned about launch schedules than frozen O-rings.
Well there's the catch. (Score:2, Interesting)
I'm a liberal myself, but I will admit this: It is easier to bash a Republican for having ambitions for space programs than it is to bash a Democrat for not having these ambitions.
SSC Cancellation (Score:4, Informative)
Re:the repair / maintenance missions are too risky (Score:4, Insightful)
We're better off sending bots unless there's a practical need to send peeps.
Re:the repair / maintenance missions are too risky (Score:2)
Re:the repair / maintenance missions are too risky (Score:2)
But for near Earth stuff, missions could be launched more regularly, and tech progress could be accelerated.
And there are many more obvious "real world" payoffs to better robot/AI tech than space-suit tech.
Re:Nasa's Got it All Wrong (Score:2)
Re:DO NOT KILL THE MARS PROGRAM (Score:5, Insightful)
OK. It would be a resource draining, PR boondoggle that would follow the same pattern as Apollo. We work hard so a few people can bounce around on the surface of another world, and then the public loses interest, resulting in another 40 year setback, and no serious move into space in my lifetime.
We need to start doing the solid, logical, incremental steps into space that we should have started in the 1950's. Orbital industry, solar power farms, something at L4/L5, then a permanent colony on the Moon and THEN Mars. NASA should bend over backward to encourage the private sector. Get serious radical new launch tech, like space elevators and lasers and mass drivers.
Re:DO NOT KILL THE MARS PROGRAM (Score:5, Insightful)
I don't want to kill it because I hate Bush, I want to kill it because it's a pointless and expensive boondoggle that serves no rational purpose. We've already blown tens of billions of dollars sending government bureaucrats to one barren rock, why spend hundreds of billions sending them to another barren rock?
But then I don't have to worry about that, because as far as I can see, the plan is that once ISS and the shuttle have been killed, the Moon/Mars budget will be cut and NASA's manned space program will die: maybe they'll be allowed to keep the OSP/CRV/CEV capsule or whatever it's called these days and send up an astronaut or two a year, if they're lucky.
There will be a day when it makes sense for people to go to Mars. But those people will be called 'tourists' and they'll be paying their own way on transports far cheaper and more sophisticated than anything NASA is going to come up with in the next few decades.
Re:DO NOT KILL THE MARS PROGRAM (Score:2)
Fortunately, if today's NASA designs their ICBM, it will be fully reusable, cost fifty bazillion dollars a flight, require a year of preparation before launch, and explode in flight 50% of the time (the other 50% will abort just before launch and require another six months of preparation to try again).
Re:Going to Mars makes perfect sense (Score:2)
Even if that was true, Bush's Mars boondoggle wouldn't get you one step closer. If we want to get off the planet, then the most important thing by far is really, really cheap and reliable launch vehicles. Mars is irrelevant.
"We are already overdue for an extinction level asteroid impact and the odds won't improve with time."
The odds are around 1/60,000,000 per year. Waiting a century until manned spaceflight is easy and cheap will
Re:Going to Mars makes perfect sense (Score:2)
Did you sleep through probability and statistics class? The chance of an asteroid impact during our lifetime is, by all reasonable estimates, exactly the same as the chance of an asteroid impact during any other ~80 year span of human history. They don't fall like clockwork, there's no such thing as "overdue", any more so than tossing heads on a penny ten times makes it more likely to land on tails the seve
Re:DO NOT KILL THE MARS PROGRAM (Score:3, Insightful)
No, private companies will spend the billions, not taxpayers... and odds are it will be much cheaper and more efficient to do privately, just like the majority of other government programs.
Re:DO NOT KILL THE MARS PROGRAM (Score:4, Insightful)
In fact, I would say that while retiring the Shuttle is a good idea, continuing to marry the ISS to the Shuttle isn't. Why not put the rest of the pieces up on ELVs (if you have to, buy some Arianie 5's from ESA), use fewer shuttle flights for "assembly-only," forget about hauling cargo. Simultaneously, launch a Soyuz a month, rotate crews like that, get the darn ISS staffed the way it was designed to be. Enough of this "caretaker crew" B.S.
Oh, and of course, we are killing the STS (in 2010) and ISS (in 2016) to fund this Moon/Mars project, let's not forget that. If allowed, it will become another black hole which will drain funds away from other NASA programs (like STS/ISS has done for the last 30 years). We'll never get Jupiter Icy Moons Orbiter (JIMO) or the next generation of Galileo or Cassini-class missions with this project. Nevermind that Americans spend more money on potato chips than NASA in a given year.
Too bad fixing Hubble is "too dangerous," it's one of the few things manned spaceflight can do (and has done) amazingly well.
Re:DO NOT KILL THE MARS PROGRAM (Score:4, Insightful)
They aren't trying to kill the "Mars Program" because they hate Bush. The Mars program doesn't exist - it is nothing more than empty words to make Bush look good. That is what they are trying to kill - a lie that makes Bush look good.
Whether we should have one, I think the answer is not yet - or atleast not the program Bush has in mind. In my opinion, there are only two valid reasons for a public space program - science and colonization. Sending a man to Mars won't help science in anyway, and could even hurt it by diverting money away from good programs, and contaminating Mars before we are done studying it.
As far a colonizing goes, we obviously will have to work toward that in small steps. But from what I understand, getting there isn't the main obstacle to colonization - The only real problem to solve would be landing. Everything else involved in traveling to Mars just needs time and money.
The real problem that we need to be looking at if we are serious about colonizing is how to create a sustainable living environment on mars. The two biodome projects were failures (from a working standpoint, not a learning one), the ISS is really just a hotel. Not to mention how little we know about the long term effects on the human body in Martian gravity. Until we figure out how to become self supporting on Mars we will not be colonists, but tourists.
Suppose we did follow Bush's Mars program, flew someone to the Mars and back, and every one is happy. At this point we will A) get bored, and kill the program just like we did with the moon, or B) decide to put up a colony. If we put one up as soon as possible (to keep the momentem we have) it will not be anywhere near sustainable, will be massive expensive to maintain (think ISS far, far away), and it will be useless scientifically. If we instead work towards a sustainable station, then by the time we are ready, we will need to entirely redo our transportation system anyway, again like reviving Apollo.
So at this point a manned Mars mission would be pointless. We should keep building probes and telescopes, and begin research on growing food on mars, and wait off on a manned craft until it is actually usefull.
Re:Bush screwing NASA by setting the goal at Mars? (Score:3, Insightful)
Meanwhile, we have to keep maintaining our boring old visions. Bold new visions need time to be fully developed and to prove themselves. It simply makes no sense to scrap the well tested for the not yet even designed.
Also remember that the current programs started out as "bold new visions". "bold new visions" aren't always what they're cracked up to be.
IOW, this is yet another unfunded federal mandate.
Re:This is political posturing. (Score:3, Insightful)
Launching a shuttle costs about $150,000,000. That's the difference between flying a Hubble mission and not flying a Hubble mission: most of the shuttle costs are fixed costs, so you save very little by cancelling one flight... and, equally, adding another flight doesn't cost that much.
I mean, even with _no_ shuttle launches, I doubt the shuttle budget this year is significantly lower than usual.
Re:Dubbya may be sincere... (Score:3, Insightful)
I don't think "we don't have the technology" is a good argument against Luna or Mars. We "didn't have the technology" at the beginning of the space race, either - yet, less than twenty years later, we had a man on the moon. Why? Because we created the technology as we needed to.
What good is a four-trillion-dollar gross domestic product if we can't direct it toward something visionary once per generation?
Re:What we really should be spending NASA $ on (Score:3, Interesting)
The space elevator is a cool idea but it's really not to the point where NASA should be funding it. When it looks as if we can get nanotube ropes that are even within an order of magnitude of the required strength, NASA should jump in. However, we're nowhere near that and it's stil more in the purview of agencies like the NSF for now. Nanotube research is getting plenty of funding these days.
Simply throwing more money at a scientifi