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Space Science

Russia Working on Soyuz Replacement 311

Buran writes "The Associated Press is reporting that RKK Energia is starting design work on a new manned spacecraft able to carry a crew of six (or more) to the International Space Station. The vehicle may have a reusable crew module (current Soyuz TMA and Progress vehicles are disposable) and would theoretically finally allow ISS crew size to increase, as the current limiting factor is the capacity of the Soyuz spacecraft, designed in the early 1960s for manned lunar flights. (While Soyuz never flew to the Moon, its Zond circumlunar variant did so several times, and Soyuz and Progress craft have been resupplying various space stations for over three decades.) It will be interesting to see how this develops, as at present ISS crews spend more time maintaining the station than they do performing research, due to the fact that the station wasn't designed to operate with a crew as small as two or three people."
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Russia Working on Soyuz Replacement

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  • It's not that it isn't big enough to accomodate extra astronauts. The problem is that it is not attached to the moon or tethered to the Earth.

    A moon base or space elevator would be infinitely more useful than a space station.
    • by VanillaCoke420 ( 662576 ) <vanillacoke420@h ... l.com minus poet> on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:27AM (#8313637)
      It should in any case be in a higher orbit, and it should be expanded so that it can be used to assemble large interplanetary spacecrafts. Also, build a station on the lunar surface and one in the L1 (between earth and the moon). Not a bad first step towards a good infrastructure in space.
      • by Bi()hazard ( 323405 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @04:44AM (#8314164) Homepage Journal
        First, many of you are probably wondering what L1 is-the first Lagrange Point [ottisoft.com] where an object can enter an equilibrium orbit that matches the moon's motion.

        It could be useful if we want to come up with a plan similar to this one for colonizing Mars. [marsinstitute.info] Due to Earth's immense gravity, weight and aerodynamics are critical in spaceship construction. However, once the ship is in low gravity these considerations are totally irrelevant. Given a good space station we could have three sets of spacecraft: a true space shuttle for lifting things up to the station; transportation craft designed to move things between planets and moons, and explore new areas; and landers designed to reach planetary surfaces. Assuming we'd be establishing actual colonies on the moon and eventually Mars, this is probably the only cost-effective way of doing it.

        In space you can do a lot of cool things with something as simple as a piece of string - provided, of course, that your "string" is made of high-tech materials, has an electrically conductive core, and measures many kilometers long. Tethers have electrodynamic applications - for example, a tether in Earth orbit to which electricity is applied will interact with Earth's magnetic field and climb to a higher orbit without using propellant. Allowing ionospheric electrons to move through the tether via plasma contactors at both ends causes the tether to slow down and drop to a lower orbit. Tethers also have momentum-exchange applications. Physically linking high- and low-orbit objects with a tether forces the object in lower orbit (for example, a spacecraft) to travel slower than dictated by orbital mechanics, while the higher-orbit object (for example, a payload) travels faster. If the tether is cut, the payload will jump to a higher orbit while the spacecraft will drop to a lower one. Hoyt and Uphoff propose a Cislunar Tether Transport System for shipping cargo between low-Earth orbit (LEO) and the lunar surface using minimal propellants. Their work is described by "Cislunar Tether Transport System," AIAA 99-2690, R. Hoyt & C. Uphoff; paper presented at the 35th AIAA/ASME/SAE/ASEE Joint Propulsion Conference & Exhibit, Los Angeles, California, June 20-24, 1999.

        That's just one example of the stuff we could try if we had a serious space program with good infrastructure. Once a moon colony starts to have practical value (mining, manufacture in decreased gravity, science, and of course, the all-important military applications) we'll start to see progress down this road. Unfortunately, it will be a long time before that happens. The military, our best bet to kick-start the process, won't bother until rival nations start building fleets of armed satellites.

        Once the military faces the prospect of a space-based war all these ideas are no longer just cool, they may be essential to survival. So, the best-funded operation in the world will be determined to create a moon base capable of controlling space near Earth. Once that's done it will be paid for and justified by tacking on scientific and industrial components. Yes, that's how we're most likely to begin our grand and heroic journey into the destiny of man-for the purpose of being able to kill each other more effectively. Human nature, right?

        But don't worry, recent history shows us that the best deterrent to war is mutual assured destruction, and we'll be fairly safe until we have a large enough moon base to become self sufficient and declare independence from Earth [amazon.com]. In Soviet Russia, the moon colonizes YOU!

        Read the rest of this comment... [colonpee.com]

        look i have a sig! [colonpee.com]

        • A couple of points...

          Aerodynaics don't mean jack regardless of gravity. Within an atmosphere they are a big deal, of course. Which leads to the idea of building a space station close to Earth, and when it's proven, you can send the station itself off to Mars.

          Also (and somewhat trollishly), mutually assured destruction being a good war deterrent sounds like a good reason for the US to STFU about other countries having nuclear programs.
      • this is all great and wonderful... but without getting rid of our ultra-primitave and extremely low-efficency propulsion systems all of this is nothing but a pipe-dream.

        to hell with space stations, moon bases, space infrastructure...

        Let's take a 50 year period and do nothing but work on a decent propulsion system that is at least 100% more efficent than the horrible ones we have now. 200% would be more desireable... I'm thinking we need a 1000% more efficient to do what we all want it to do.
        • by Buran ( 150348 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @12:41PM (#8317331)
          Work is already progressing on new drive systems. The Deep Space 1 spacecraft was a testbed for autonomous navigation systems and for ion drive propulsion, which uses electricity and xenon gas to accelerate a spacecraft. Unlike the TIE (Twin Ion Engine) Fighters of Star Wars, a real ion engine provides a gentle push, comparable to the force exerted by a sheet of paper resting on your palm -- but it does it over an extremely long period of time, so the ion engine is extremely well suited to long interplanetary missions.

          Nuclear engines are also in the works, those projects having begun in the 1970s (NERVA - Nuclear Engine for Rocket Vehicle Application) and continuing today with concepts and development starting for possible use in manned lunar/Mars missions as well as nuclear-powered spacecraft for planetary exploration (the Jupiter Inner Moons Orbiter -- JIMO -- for instance.)

          Reader note: Sorry for taking so long to answer questions in this story -- it hit the site while I was asleep!
    • You mean this space elevator [wired.com]?
    • by bm_luethke ( 253362 ) <luethkeb@nOspam.comcast.net> on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:50AM (#8313721)
      "A moon base or space elevator would be infinitely more useful than a space station."

      Well, I agree 100% there. Unfortunatly this is like saying "zero emmesion unlimited power is much more useful than what we now use".

      I am sure that more than just NASA would LOVE to have said elevator. I am also sure they would like a permament moon base. Those are currently either impossible or the cost is so prohibitive to be impossible. Though I am betting that a moon base is MUCH more expensive than the ISS as you have many more variables and more more gravity to overcome, though it is probably more usefull.

      As is, if a permament space platform is wanted (not needed as it is currently not - and yes I agree with the funding and think it ought to be raised - I'm not knocking space exploration in that statement) then the ISS is probably the best mix of possibility and funding. But the best may not be a easily workable solution.
    • The ISS was designed to perform scientific experiments in microgravity, a condition which is naturally not present on the moon. A space elevator is totally infeasible at the moment. It is absolutely safe to predict that none of us will see such an installation realized in her or his lifetime.
      • by spongman ( 182339 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @04:32AM (#8314119)
        That's mostly true, but as a contrast: how many prople born in the 1890's thought they'd live to see live pictures of a man walking on the other side of the planet, let alone on the moon...
      • The ISS was designed to perform scientific experiments in microgravity, a condition which is naturally not present on the moon.
        I can see that. What I cannot see is what microgravity experiments have been done, or might be done, that would be worth $100,000,000,000.
    • by Docrates ( 148350 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @03:41AM (#8313894) Homepage
      The ISS WAS a good idea, provided that everything NASA was putting on Press Releases at the time was true: That they had a Shuttle that actually worked like a shuttle, that there were plenty of missons planned that would benefit from the "pit stop" (they even were considering adding refuling capabilities), that the ISS wouldn't be a destination, but a waypoint, etc...

      Of course, you add international and domestic politics to the formula and you get the mess we have today: They had to settle for "the ISS destination", they added low imapct, easily replaceable scientific work to justify it, they moved the orbit to where it was mostly useless for anything else to accomodate the Russians (whom are worthy of admiration), and now that we need that "pit stop" to comply with the CAIB and save the Hubble, it won't do.

      Will a moon base fare any better? I don't know. I couldn't have possibly predited the mess the ISS turned out to be when the first idea for "Freedom" came along.

      The space elevator, now THAT would be a breakthrough.
    • ISS can handle several astronauts. The number of crew actually on the station depends on the capacity of the craft that would ferry them down in case of an emergency. Right now, that's a Soyuz docked to the station. Normally, that would equate to a crew of 3, but the rollback on supply capacity following the Shuttle's grounding requires a smller crew.

      Why would you want to tether the station to either the Earth of the moon?
  • by MattyCobb ( 695086 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:50AM (#8313510)
    In Soviet Russia Soyuz replaces YOU!

    hell, someone had to do it...
  • by Trillan ( 597339 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:51AM (#8313514) Homepage Journal

    Every time slashdot mentions the ISS is falling apart, my mouse breaks.

    * Trillan chucks cordless mouse across the room.

    See? Again! I just can't figure it out.

    • You need a Soviet mouse then. Designed and built in three minutes from steel and random tubing, to help move it across the desk it comes with 24 mini jets clustered around it.

      It will last longer than cockroaches and be derided by everyone working on more complex and expensive solutions; but it will just go on working for decades to come.

      Now then, what was this thread about? Oh yeah ...
  • Wait a minute (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Bobdoer ( 727516 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:52AM (#8313521) Homepage Journal
    Didn't the Russians report earlier that they wanted to send nuclear reactors to Mars? Now they want to develop a new space vehicle? Their economy is in a slum right now; how are they paying?
    I know for a fact that DVD bootlegs do not produce that much capital.
    • by Anonymous Coward
      Obligatory Simpsons Quote

      Russian official: The Soviet Union will be pleased to offer amnesty to your wayward vessel.
      American official: The Soviet Union? I thought you guys broke up.
      Russian official: Yes, that's what we wanted you to think! [laughs]
    • Their economy is in a slum right now; how are they paying?
      Typical capitalist criticism. Didn't you learn in PoliSci 101 how in Soviet Russia, the Soyuz pays for 60% of your income tax?
    • Re:Wait a minute (Score:5, Informative)

      by arivanov ( 12034 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:47AM (#8313711) Homepage
      Their economy is in a slum right now; how are they paying?

      Get a clue.

      Read some actual reports on Russian economy

      Russia still has regions living in extreme poverty, but as an overall economy it has had a year on year GDP grouth of 7+ for the third year running. So in fact economically, it has no problem in affording it.

      • It just has a big problem convicing most of its citizens that it can afford it.
      • Re:Wait a minute (Score:3, Interesting)

        by magarity ( 164372 )
        Get a clue.
        Read some actual reports on Russian economy.
        Russia still has regions living in extreme poverty, but as an overall economy it has had a year on year GDP grouth of 7+ for the third year running. So in fact economically, it has no problem in affording it.


        OK, let's read an actual report [worldbank.org] about the Russian Federation's economy.
        Population below national poverty line: 25%
        GNI per capita US$2,140
        GDP US$346.5 billion
        GDP Growth 4.3 %

        Let's see, $346B is 1/5 that of England (half the population of Russi
    • No, but according to the RIAA someone is making an absolute killing pirating CDs of music.
    • Re:Wait a minute (Score:2, Interesting)

      by kshcsuf ( 703116 )
      I just recently read somewhere (was it here?) that the Russian space budget is less than a billion dollars. Apparently, the ESA spends between 15-20 billion and the US is well over double that. It would be amazing to see if they progress smoothly with such little capital. Maybe we could learn a thing or two...
      • Re:Wait a minute (Score:3, Informative)

        by mikerich ( 120257 )
        I just recently read somewhere (was it here?) that the Russian space budget is less than a billion dollars.

        That's the civilian budget, I expect that a lot of spending is hidden in the military budget - in the finest tradition of aerospace industries.

        Russia still sends payloads into orbit from Plesetsk, almost all of them military. It's currently extending the complex to handle the new Angara rocket to replace the Proton which can only be fired out of Baikanur in Kazakhstan.

        Best wishes,
        Mike.

    • Re:Wait a minute (Score:3, Interesting)

      by mikerich ( 120257 )
      Didn't the Russians report earlier that they wanted to send nuclear reactors to Mars? Now they want to develop a new space vehicle? Their economy is in a slum right now; how are they paying? I know for a fact that DVD bootlegs do not produce that much capital.

      Oil. Russia is rapidly becoming the West's favoured oil producer since its pipelines run straight into Europe and the Black Sea.

      The Russian economy has been enjoying something of a boom in the last couple of years. Whilst it's still much smaller

  • by tinrobot ( 314936 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:53AM (#8313522)
    I get the feeling the Russians will have something working long before we ever design a shuttle replacement.

    They keep things simple, and their stuff works.
    • by kitzilla ( 266382 ) <paperfrog&gmail,com> on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:58AM (#8313545) Homepage Journal
      Yeah, it'll be a great bird. Nothing fancy, robust, and big. Based on proven design. You have to think this might end up being a moon vehicle, too.

      As far as paying for it: the Russians desperately need a symbol of national pride. They'll find a way to get this flying.

      • Well, the US has deep pockets and has been actively funding the Russian space program for years through subcontracting.
      • Didn't they make a shuttle a few years back? Before the wall came down.

        I seem to remember them launching something which looked a LOT like the US shuttle, orbiting a few times and returning it safely to earth. The big shouting point for USSR (at the time) was that it was capable of doing all of this unmanned, which the US shuttle still cannot do.

        I also remember seeing more recently that it was currently sitting in a playground being a tourist attraction, not unlike the US shuttle Enterprise.

        I resisted th

        • Russian shuttle (Score:4, Informative)

          by SpinyManiac ( 542071 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @04:24AM (#8314072)
          Your referring to Buran [nasa.gov] (snowstorm).

          The French had a mini shuttle called Hermes [astronautix.com], designed to fly on the front of Ariane.
    • by Capt'n Hector ( 650760 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:24AM (#8313628)
      Spacefaring is one of the few instances where socialism has shown a clear advantage over capitalism. That and OSS, but don't tell Microsoft.
      • by CommunistTroll ( 544327 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:48AM (#8313713) Homepage
        Spacefaring is one of the few instances where socialism has shown a clear advantage over capitalism. That and OSS, but don't tell Microsoft.

        And what is going to be increasingly more important to advanced economies - software and space, or pig iron and textiles?

        The more advanced we get, the greater the advantage socialism has over capitalism...

      • by d_strand ( 674412 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @03:34AM (#8313879)
        So what? Lots of people on /. seem to think that russia is still communist... Well they aren't!

        Russia today is as ultra capitalist as you can get (i.e the rich/powerful are in complete control). Russia today is a weird maffia-hybrid country. Their government is so corrupt they'd make Al Capone proud and the various mafia organizations does whatever they want while the people suffer (as usual). Russia today is worse than italy was at its worst mafia heydays a generation ago.

        So maybe they'll make a good spaceship but it wont be because they're communists, it'll be because they have little resources and have to make it as cheap as possible (i.e proven, reliable and of-the-shelf technology)
        • Maybe you should site a source for this viewpoint. And I'll give you a hint - Val Kilmer's "The Saint" doesn't count.
        • by Anonymous Coward
          Pretty much every space endeavor of any significance has been undertaken by socialist organizations. Where do NASA or the ESA or the Russian space program get their funding? Not from their profits or investors.

          Love it or hate it, most big government programs (the US Post Office is one notable exception) are basically socialist. Take money from citizenry, spend it on something else. There have been very few capitalist space exploits (aside from communications satellites), and even those use government l
        • Russia today is as ultra capitalist

          If only it were so. In fact Russias economy is pretty often described as 'putin-capitalism' as so many economic restrictions are placed on private companies - and when a company steps out of line it has a habit of being 'bought out' by one of putins 11 or 12 super rich ex-party cronies (it might be 10 now if he's decided to exile another like he did last year).

          Capitalism requires freedom - ultra capitalism requires ultra freedom. The majority of russia isn't aware of t

        • Russia today is as ultra capitalist as you can get (i.e the rich/powerful are in complete control).

          By that definition, medieval Europe was "ultra-capitalist" - after all, the Church was rich and powerful, and it was in complete control. "Capitalism" does not mean "control by the rich and powerful". The term "capitalism" implies other things, like a free market, property rights, rule of law, etc. which do not apply especially well to present-day Russia. No, Russia is not socialist anymore, but "anarch

      • Hmm not just one but two silly statements that need to be addressed here.

        1) If socialism is such a good way to undertake large projects such as space programmes, how come so many of the other large-scale undertakings in socialist countries have, to put it in popular terms, sucked donkeyballs? If anything, socialism has been the cause of a number of failures of the Russian space program, due to strict adherence to unrealistic schedules. Of course, capitalist organisations fall victim to the same trap fr
  • by Jon_Sy ( 225913 ) <big_guy_@@@hotmail...com> on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:55AM (#8313527)
    "due to the fact that the station wasn't designed to operate with a crew as small as two or three people."

    From all the articles i've read on /., it seems like it wasn't designed to operate, period.
  • by Chairboy ( 88841 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:56AM (#8313531) Homepage
    The RSA is starved for cash, this is probably a fantasy until money appears. Based on their history, I would guess that this is a balloon they are floating to try and get parties with deeper pockets (eg, NASA, maybe the ESA) to offer the development funding.

    Of interest, NASA had a similar idea in the 1960s with their 'Big Gemini' [astronautix.com] program and the 'Apollo Rescue CSM' [astronautix.com] program. It's very feasible, and the Soyuz is a solid design.

  • by p-adically yours ( 752935 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @01:58AM (#8313546)
    ``There is no explanation whatsoever where the money needed to implement the declared program would come from,'' Koptev said.

    And where are the Russians getting the money, anyway? Last I checked, Russian government-funded things are ill-funded and poorly thrown together which would either indicate lack of funds, mismanagement, or both. I vote both.

    At the same time, he reaffirmed his skepticism about Bush's space plan, saying that the U.S. administration would have trouble raising resources for the planned missions.

    Really, when has this ever stopped us before?

    I wonder what the equivalent of global bankruptcy would be...

    (to the tune of "We'd make great pets"...)

    • by torpor ( 458 ) <ibisumNO@SPAMgmail.com> on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @04:50AM (#8314179) Homepage Journal
      Classic Propaganda:

      Last I checked, Russian government-funded things are ill-funded and poorly thrown together which would either indicate lack of funds, mismanagement, or both.

      No more, or less so, than any other major government in control of a vast pool of resources. The Russians, for example, are no different in this regard than, say... The United States Government.

      You're a victim of propaganda. Fix that.

      Lets just assume that what you're saying is true... in which case, the Russians are even more Powerful and Mighty than we imagine, since they're the ones who - in spite of such 'hardships' - are still able to re-supply ISS, still able to make launches, and still running a viable space program in spite of the cost overruns and budget difficulties.

      You can't say that as easily about the US. You can say it, but not easily ...
  • by CommunistTroll ( 544327 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:03AM (#8313564) Homepage
    Even on a modern anarcho-capitalist shoestring budget, the ex-Soviet space industry continues to show itself more innovative and flexible than the US system - where every major capitalist company involved has to be fed part of each contract; and where each company uses money earmarked for space for its own private research.

    Whereas the US ended up with the expensive and dangerous Space Shuttle - now grounded indefinately - the USSR managed to design the simple, usable and much cheaper Soyuz.

    Maybe this is because under capitalism every decision is a compromise between rival power structures, while good engineering is an open discource between co-operating equals? (Compare Windows vs. Open Source)

    Good luck to the Russians! Maybe they can keep the dream of space alive until we get our act together and join them again - in the spirit of human expansion and scientific discovery.

    • I think the US with the Mars rovers program is also working towards that dream now, wouldn't you say?

      But I would love to see that new vehicle, I think this is the way to go, no Shuttles, just simple reusable modules with more capacity.

    • by ottffssent ( 18387 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:52AM (#8313735)
      As has been mentioned before, NASA has an incredible handicap:

      They can't let people die.

      When someone dies in an accident at NASA, it has to be thoroughly investigated. The investigation has to point to a clear proximate cause, which must be eliminated from every future design (and past ones). All this must be clearly documented in excruciating detail in order to maintain the fiction that space travel is safe.

      On the other hand, a space program which is allowed a more realistic viewpoint (that being "Space is dangerous. It's really far away, and there's no air, and it's colder than Siberia. People will die. We make it as unlikely as is feasable, but shit happens.") can have vastly more efficient designs. Three craft (lacking major design flaws) have a much higher chance of succeeding at least once than one over-engineered ship. No matter how well-made (and NASA's made some incredibly solid machinery, no doubt about that), there's always that one-in-a-billion chance that something will go wrong, and there's nothing quite like a backup or two to keep things on track.

      I'd be almost as happy to see the Russians or Chinese set up a proper moon base as I would be to see good ol' Stars and Stripes waving over a dome (you know they'd make it wave).

      Good luck to the Russians indeed. And anyone else who's venturing off our little blue marble. We need all the luck we can get.
      • As has been mentioned before, NASA has an incredible handicap:

        They can't let people die.

        It would seem to me that NASA can indeed let people die - in fact it has let at least 14 people die in Shuttles alone...

        How many people have died in the Soyuz? None!

        Don't confuse the public relations mea culpa with actually listening to the damn engineers! Under capitalism the people with the money rank higher than the people with the knowledge - management will override those pesky engineers who point out cos

        • They had an airseal intergrity failure during reentry in the 70s
        • by tftp ( 111690 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @03:46AM (#8313906) Homepage
          As another reply says, four people total died in 70's during earlier Russian spaceflight activities (not counting accidents on the ground, some fatal some not.)

          Komarov died in Soyuz-1 on descent; the parachute failed to open. This had been fixed.

          Dobrovolsky, Volkov and Patsaev died on descent because the outer atmospheric valve opened too early, and the cosmonauts were only wearing shirts. This had been fixed in two ways: the valve had been reworked, and everybody now must wear light spacesuits during liftoff and descent.

          Accidents are unavoidable. If one is too afraid of risk, he won't accomplish anything. As a russian proverb says, "one who does not take risks does not drink champaigne."

          • Dobrovolsky, Volkov and Patsaev died on descent because the outer atmospheric valve opened too early, and the cosmonauts were only wearing shirts. This had been fixed in two ways: the valve had been reworked, and everybody now must wear light spacesuits during liftoff and descent.

            Well, it was actually 'fixed' before that mission, when the crew wore space suits. The reason they didn't for that mission was that with three people on board they just couldn't fit the extra bulk of the space suits of the era. T

        • by WegianWarrior ( 649800 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @03:52AM (#8313922) Journal

          How many people have died in the Soyuz? None!

          According to this article [wikipedia.org] in Wikipedia, the official deathtoll for the spaceprogmans are 18 astronauts in flight, 11 astronauts in training and at least 70 groundcrew in launch pad accidents.

          we know that NASA has lost 14 astronauts in flights and 3 in training - so logic dictates that the USSR lost 4 kosmonauts in flight and another 8 in training. One life was lost on Soyuz 1, and a further three on Soyuz 11.

          What might be more interesting is that no kosmonauts has died in space since 1971, despite the fact that the russians have way more actuall hours spendt in space than the americans. This suggests that the design of the Soyuz is either safer in it self or that the russian spaceprogram is willing to learn from it's mistakes...

          • by axxackall ( 579006 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @04:12AM (#8314012) Homepage Journal
            Most of ground deaths were caused by unreasonable high pressure from the top political communist leaders. Not from technical reasons.

            I know that as I I spoke to some russian kosmonauts back in University where they gave us some introductionary lessons about the space research. After official lessons we usually had some non-official questions-and-answers meetings... Memories...

            Anyway, that pressure from top-communists has been declined even in late years of Soviet Union. Today Russian leaders don't make that pressure either. So, the management style in Russian Space programs is very different. It's still very disciplined (not like in over-burocratic NASA) and based on old school russian scientific culture (lack of such culture is the major problem in USA IMHO). And of course it's very technology-oriented (that's like in NASA).

            I believe in todays Russian Space programs. Even if US administration will make everything to shut it down in order to protect own NASA, Russians still can make some space business with EU and Australia. And perhaps Latin America too. The only problem to be expected is if USA administration would try to shut such relationships down, looking at it as a terrorrsm or something.

    • The Russians aren't perfect... They designed two of their own shuttles, which fell into Kazakistan's hands. One had holes drilled into it so it could never fly, and the other is a resturaunt.

      I like the Russian designs for their simplicity and effectiveness in general, but at least we got to use our shuttles.
    • by torpor ( 458 )
      All the US has to do is open up its space sector to the auto industry.

      That is all.

      Ban the concept of "Aero-space" and create only a "TRANSPORTATION" sector. Open it up to GM, and let 'er rip.

      The Russians can't really do this - they don't have as grand a free market for massive industrialized production as the US does - but the fact remains that the Russian space program parallels US car industry manufacturing design ideals more than the US program does, that is for damned sure ...
    • The problem with NASA and its supply chain is one created by government meddling from the highest levels. We do not have a real space agency, we have a pork barrel that is capable of putting things in space.

      Even the supply chain is subject to pork barreling and government arm twisting. The system isn't designed to be efficient. It is designed to favor powerful Senators, Government Employees, and those who curry their favor.

      They have no incentive to improve. I was hoping that by essentially condeming t
  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:10AM (#8313582)
    i think they are... its called an Automatic Transfer Vehicle
    http://www.esa.int/export/SPECIALS/ATV/in dex.html
    • No, the ATV [esa.int] is intended only as a cargo vessel. It will eventually replace the russian Progress [astronautix.com] which supply ISS. ATV will offer a significant increase in paylod capacity compared to progress.

      Nevertheless, together which this Soyuz successor it makes sense - ESA will provide an enhanced replacement for Progress, Russia is developing a new crew capsule.
      I hope that way Europe and Russia can provide a replacement for the aging Shuttle fleet.

      It would be interesting to know if ESA does transfer technology f

  • by jay-be-em ( 664602 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:20AM (#8313614) Homepage
    Full article text can be found here [space.com]

  • Forgive me, but... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by anzha ( 138288 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:24AM (#8313627) Homepage Journal

    Do the Russians even have the money to do this?

    NASA Watch [nasawatch.com] only had a short quip that funding was a fantasy.

    While the Russian economy is growing [cia.gov], it still seems less than likely that they'll be able to afford this. They have a PPP GDP smaller than France [cia.gov], Italy [cia.gov], or Brazil [cia.gov] right now.

    • by cujo_1111 ( 627504 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:41AM (#8313690) Homepage Journal
      I believe they will pay for this by rewriting the ISS contract and making sure they will be the supplier of astronaut transport when the space shuttles retire. Not a bad move I must say. The other 14 nations in the ISS group may be able to get the US to agree to this.
    • You are right (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Teahouse ( 267087 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:51AM (#8313722)
      The Russians do not have the money to pay for this. They barely have the money to pay the heating bills at Star City. They lost one whole mothballed Buran (their last)a few years back because they couldn't pay for the maintenance to replace bolts keeping it suspended in a hanger.

      What the Russians are doing is letting NASA know that they want to be included in the OSP competition. They will undoubtably be able to build a cheaper and probably more reliable craft than the US contractors, and they also are looking at a big brick wall ahead if they don't get this project.

      Remember, the Russians deorbited Mir and put all their resources into the ISS at NASA's insistance. If the US abandons the ISS project in 2010, or cuts all external funding because they have their own safe 6 man OSP, Russia has no Soyuze launches, no Progress launches, and few satellite launches. NASA and the US are basically propping up the Russian space program right now. The Russians need to find a way to finance their once proud space industry, and they see the current funding dissappearing in 6 years.

      "We have a design ahead of the Americans design"

      "We will make it reusable"

      "We can do all the LEO launches"

      Sounds like they are trying to do all the LEO launches, funded by NASA, so the US can develop a trans-lunar vehicle. If someone at NASA sees it the same, it allows cheaper access to orbit, while enabling NASA to build a real trans-Lunar/trans-Mars type vehicle and a human-rated lander of some type. I am willing to bet a paycheck this is how it turns out:

      Russia will own LEO, and be contracted by NASA to handle ISS personnel and resupply. NASA will build a bigger system that is more capable, but too expensive to be wasted on ferrying assignments to the ISS. They get the interplanetary craft.

      • Re:You are right (Score:3, Insightful)

        by grozzie2 ( 698656 )
        If you are a proponent of going beyond LEO with manned missions, this is the best scenario that could play out politically. In the short term, it's very easy to justify the financial aspects of simply contracting out to Russia all launch requirements for low orbit.

        Politically this becomes an easy sell on all fronts. Financially it's way cheaper. In the event of 'incidents' (and you know they will happen), it's trivially easy to point the finger at Russia and say 'thier fault'. That's the biggest probl

    • Interesting, isn't it? In my turn I bet that their design stage will not cost nearly as much as it would cost in the US, and that by extending an existing design and implementation they will save a lot of money by retrofitting the old facilities that are used to build old Soyuz modules to build the new ones and it will not cost them a fortune.

  • by cbdavis ( 114685 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:27AM (#8313638)
    I am wondering how we will pay for everything we want in space - a shuttle replacement, the ISS is an albatross ( a money pit), we wanna go to the moon, we wanna go to mars.

    Things just havent been the same since the apollo missions. Just imagine what we could have done if we had persued our space dream instead of killing it...
    • I would imagine that about 5% of the global military expenditures would be plenty. According to this article [prudentbear.com]

      "And even in the strictest military sense of the word, is the US funding of its current defense requirements genuinely making the nation safer? No nation has the capacity to challenge the United States in any conventional military sense. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, global military spending rose to $798 billion in 2000, an increase of 3.1 per cent from the pre

  • by zzabur ( 611866 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:39AM (#8313686)
    Russians have been designing larger and possibly reuseable Soyuz-type spacecrafts for long time. The original mission was ferrying military cosmonauts to Almaz and Polya military space stations. A later design was Zarya [astronautix.com] resusable space craft to be launched with Zenit booster. Project was cancelled on financial grounds back in 1989, but the technology has been further developed in connection with ISS [nasa.gov] and Sea Launch [boeing.com] projects.
  • by randomized ( 132106 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:45AM (#8313703)
    There is a project that russians were working on awhile back. It is shuttle like and was tested number of times during cold war. I suppose most of people here wouldn't know about it ala Lunokhod.

    New project based on that technology is MAKS (mnogocelevaya aviacionno-kosmicheskaya sistema) which claims to be able to reduce cost per kilogram down to 1K usd. (from 12-15 nowdays). It's not space elevator, but definitely more possible at this time.

    Read about Buran and MAKS here -
    http://www.buran.ru/ [buran.ru]
    • by zurab ( 188064 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @03:53AM (#8313924)
      Every time the word Buran has even been uttered, the idea has been shot down by the RSA right away. Not only do they not have enough funds to bring back the program, they have also lost a lot of specs and documentation, not to mention people and the minds who worked on it. It is at a point where they would effectively be reverse-engineering their own shuttle.

      Besides, IMO, the U.S. space shuttles have shown that there could be more efficient ways to design space vehicles for the LEO, and Russians (and everybody else for that matter) would be better suited to think forward, rather than repeat the NASA history.
    • I love Buran (Score:5, Interesting)

      by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @05:23AM (#8314277)
      Buran still is the most advanced manned spacecraft that humans have made.

      The production version was able to take off, fly to orbit, orbit, de-burn and go through re-entry, land on a runway and come to a complete stop - entirely unmanned and on autopilot. (And it did exactly this on it's one and only flight).

      It's an absolute crying shame that there was no money for it, but hopefully the technology and lessons learned will still be around for the next generation of spacecraft (that actually get funded).
  • wishful thinking (Score:5, Interesting)

    by tloh ( 451585 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:46AM (#8313705)
    Politics aside, there is enormous opportunity for economizing by applying the recent success of the Chinese manned space program. In a way, it would be the homecoming of an evolved technology as the Chinese Shenzhou [astronautix.com] is an improved conventional design based largely on studying russian crew return capsules. Last I heard, no new cash has been found for Russian space missions. I'd be very excited if they can even afford to pay for major design work. A shame really. Less I be moderated down as an idealogical loudmouth, I do recognize that such levels of interaction is unrealistic. Assuming Energia is willing to ask, the Chinese will likely refuse. Thus far, the Shenzhou program has too much domestic significance for the Chinese for them to consider sharing it with the rest of the world just yet. I really wish the Chinese leadership have not decided to try and leapfrog their manned space program by establishing the narrow goals they have. Given the cash and other resources, Energia is likely to elegantly pull off any design job for replacing the Soyuz because the Russians have a sturdy tradition and a rich legacy that has been hard earned by developing their own space program. China, on the other hand, is relying on too much borrowed technology with too little home-grown experience. While admirable achievements have been made in the near term, I don't believe Chinese arospace engineers will make any real breakthroughs in space technology because have gotten their hands dirty enough yet by mucking around. God knows there is a large potential for embarassment if the result of Energia's efforts end up obsoleting the Shenzhou. If China contributes now, there might be bragging rights at least in claiming progony. *sigh* Nationalism and politics can be such a drag on inovation.
  • by WegianWarrior ( 649800 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:47AM (#8313709) Journal

    ..for those curious about such things *smiles*:

    Soyuz 7K-L1A circumlunar [astronautix.com]

    Soyuz 7K-L1A test article [astronautix.com]

    Soyuz 7K-L1E circumlunar test article [astronautix.com]

    Soyuz 7K-L1P prototype, boilerplate capsule [astronautix.com]

    Soyuz 7K-LOK planned lunar orbiter [astronautix.com]



    You might also be interested in reasing baout the Soviet Lunar Lander [astronautix.com] and the launchsystem [astronautix.com] they hoped to use. Had everythng gone as planned they could have reached the moon around the same time as the americans... but since their booster just wouldn't work right they lagged behind until they decided to cancell the whole program.


    The site I've pulled those links from also has a number of interesting articles on the N1 program [astronautix.com], the various soviet manned lunar programs [astronautix.com] and wether the design of the Soyuz was stolen [astronautix.com] from the US.

  • by S3D ( 745318 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @02:51AM (#8313726)
    Interesting, what this project is based on ? Existing projects like Energiya/Buran ? buran [buran.ru], MAKS [buran.ru] , spaceplane RAKS(Igla) [buran.ru], Zarya [po-russky.ru] Or something new ?
  • New Space Race (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Turismo86 ( 753224 )
    "It has already reached a serious project stage while the Americans are only talking about their spacecraft." Hmm, I wonder if were going to be seeing renewed competition in reusable spacecraft. What do you want to bet that the Russians announce plans for a Mars mission as well.
  • by Geekonomical ( 461622 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @03:05AM (#8313774)
    >>>>
    ``There is no explanation whatsoever where the money needed to implement the declared program would come from,'' Koptev said.

    With their past experience and track record of Soyuz, this is definitely possible...but I really have my doubts about funding

  • by Black Parrot ( 19622 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @06:04AM (#8314390)


    First they replaced the beef in your burger with soyuz, now they're even going to replace the soyuz!

    They'll be serving us Soyuz Green before you know it!

  • by WormholeFiend ( 674934 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @07:42AM (#8314641)
    why not build an engine module to attach to the ISS and transform it into a spaceship to go to Mars?
  • by csoto ( 220540 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @07:49AM (#8314666)
    The latest Atlast/Delta rocket motors by Lockheed-Martin were, in fact, designed by Energia. They are far more efficient (read: bigger payloads or more fuel capacity) than what we were using, and they are beasts. Tough and indestructible.

    We will not explore the solar system without these brilliant people. "Going it alone" is stupid and shortsighted. But, then again, so are politicians...

  • Why not just... (Score:4, Interesting)

    by vudufixit ( 581911 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @08:13AM (#8314771)
    Put another docking module on the ISS, and simply have two Soyuz craft on the station at one time to allow a complete evacuation of a full complement?
  • by reallocate ( 142797 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @08:31AM (#8314882)
    There's no visible indication that this effort has any funding. The Russians have designed a lot of spacecraft, but it takes money to get one off the ground.

    In any case, it would be just another LEO vehicle.

    Don't hold your breath.
  • by voss ( 52565 ) on Wednesday February 18, 2004 @10:36AM (#8315928)
    They could have come up with that soyuz type 6 person transfer vehicle 5 years ago. Think of all the useful science we could have done with 6 people instead of 3.

    If we want to go to Mars why not use Energia type boosters to put our mars craft into orbit. If we want to go to the moon, the Russians are the only ones with the knowhow who can help us do it affordably.

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