X-Prize Progress Update 154
savuporo writes "The X-Prize organization has released a summary document (PDF), detailing the recent progress and immediate plans of 13 different competing teams, of those who have publicised information of significant hardware development (there are a total of 27 officially listed competitors from seven nations by now). Some details: quite a few teams are expecting to do full-scale or subscale powered flight tests soon, some as early as January 2004. Burt Rutan can still be considered as leading the pack, but others are not too far behind, and the winner is far from certain. Armadillo Aerospace states that some US teams are hindered more by regulatory hassles, than technical issues. Speaking of Armadillo, the team has just released a very special video, commemorating tomorrow's 100th anniversary of powered flight."
Looking Forward to 2004 (pdf articles text) (Score:5, Informative)
TEAM: SCALED COMPOSITES
WEBSITE: WWW.SCALED.COM
TEAM LEADER: BURT RUTAN
It is expected that the next six to nine months will involve a number of rocket powered flights of SpaceShipOne, with each flight involving a longer and longer burn of the hybrid engine. The first flight may be limited to a short 15- second burn, with later flights demonstrating the full 60+ second burn time bringing SpaceShipOne from 50,000 feet eventually to an altitude of 328,000 feet (62 miles...space!).
TEAM: ARMADILLO AEROSPACE
WEBSITE: WWW.ARMADILLOAEROSPACE.COM
TEAM LEADER: JOHN CARMAC
Immediately after completion of the engine test program, Armadillo will be testing a full scale boilerplate X PRIZE vehicle with a captive hover test at their 100-acre test facility, followed by some low altitude hover tests to 3,000 ft. With these tests completed, it's their intent to do some additional low altitude launches within the "amateur" classification (and they continue to work with FAA AST for a burn time waiver). The next phase of successively higher altitude tests and ultimately manned X PRIZE flights will be dependent on what the team calls its biggest challenge: the launch license application and accompanying environmental review. Technically, Armadillo claims they will be ready to fly X PRIZE missions well before the end of the year, but Team members are fond of referring to the Wernher von Braun quote: "We can lick gravity, but sometimes the paperwork is overwhelming." Challenges included, this Dallas based group of bicycle repair mechanics is relishing the prospect of an exciting 2004.
TEAM: STARCHASER INDUSTRIES
WEBSITE: WWW.STARCHASER.CO.UK
TEAM LEADER: STEVE BENNETT
With the Thunderstar and its new engines now in production, Starchaser plans to fly in 2004. The team has also announced that it will make its propulsion system available for sale to other X PRIZE contestants on a commercial basis.
TEAM: CANADIAN ARROW
WEBSITE: WWW.CANADIANARROW.COM
TEAM LEADER: GEOFF SHEERIN
Next steps for the team will include continued testing of the engine to prepare it for actual flight onboard the first Canadian Arrow spacecraft that is scheduled for launch next year. When successful, the Arrow will make Canada the fourth nation to put humans into space.
TEAM: DA VINCI PROJECT
WEBSITE: WWW.DAVINCIPROJECT.COM
TEAM LEADER: BRIAN FEENEY
Da Vinci Project celebrated the 100th anniversary of powered flight with a Technical conference and press evening on December 16th & 17th. Early in 2004 da Vinci Project hopes to receive its license to launch from the Canadian Government and begin a sequence of test flights culminating in an series of flights to win the X PRIZE.
TEAM: PABLO DE LEON & ASSOCIATES
WEBSITE: WWW.PABLODELEON.COM
TEAM LEADER: PABLO DE LEON
During 2004 we will concentrate in launch test of at least two half scale vehicles and in launch operations. Several hybrid static firing tests will also be performed. Construction of a full scale capsule will begin in July 2004. This capsule will be used for training, simulation and to study mating/demating techniques.
TEAM: HIGH ALTITUDE RESEARCH CORP. (HARC)
WEBSITE: WWW.HARCSPACE.COM
TEAM LEADER: TIM PICKENS
HARC will continue progressing toward full scale launches while keeping safety first. Hardware design and testing will continue into 2004 with a launch of the Liberator Escape Tower and Capsule in the 1st half of 2004. HARC is planning for a summer launch of the "Little Joe" version of the Liberator to an altitude of approximately 40 kilometers. The first full scale launch is planned for late summer and will be followed by another launch in the fall. The two X PRIZE competition flights will take place in late 2004, and there are already astronaut candidates pitching in to help move the Team toward that goal.
T
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Looking Forward to 2004 (pdf articles text) (Score:2)
If I had karma I'd award the parent post 'informative' because it's the only way I could get the information...
Re:Looking Forward to 2004 (pdf articles text) (Score:2)
Re:Looking Forward to 2004 (pdf articles text) (Score:1)
lol (Score:2, Funny)
The government damn well better keep those regulations in place... otherwise WWIII here we come!
Re:lol (Score:2)
I haven't yet finished the PDF linked in the article, but I've already noticed one rocket that bears a resemblance to a V2, and another one similar to an Atlas missile.
Re:lol (Score:3, Funny)
Re:lol (Score:2)
Re:lol (Score:2)
Re:lol (Score:2)
Lies of the Patriarchy!!!!!111 (Score:1, Funny)
Re:Lies of the Patriarchy!!!!!111 (Score:1)
Re:lol (Score:1, Insightful)
Tell me something, do you think regulations would stop Al Queada from trying to build a rocket or missle? Do laws against homicide prevent murder? Do laws against theft prevent stealing?
Many of these regulations are unncessary and hinder private access to space. Private access to space should not be regulated anymore than access to other areas not under the control
Makes you wonder (Score:5, Insightful)
It really makes one wonder where we would be if Goddard had restrictions on fuel sources and flight space or even where the Wright Bros. would be if they had to constantly check with local authorities every time they wanted to make a flight.
When my grandfather learned how to fly, planes had three or four instruments and they simply ran the engine up and took off and landed wherever they wanted. Times change of course and when I learned, we had significant classroom time talking about all sorts of regulations before we could even get into planes. Granted, some of this control is simply because of crowded airspace, but it seems sometimes that our fear of terrorism is actually hampering development of a whole variety of technologies and progress in fields as disparate as aerospace to biology. Where to draw the line?
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:5, Funny)
The Wright Brothers would be in the same place now regardless of the governmental regulations of 1903. Unless inventing airplanes is a condition for getting into heaven.
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:2, Flamebait)
I get it now, participating in the X-Prize is Carmacks way of staying out of hell for creating Doom! If there is a hell, I can imagine creating a game about slaughtering countless hellspawn would really piss them off.
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:1)
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:4, Insightful)
Should Carmack be able to buy rocket fuel? Sure, if he can store it safely. Should any old yokel be allowed to fly a plane? I don't know about you, but we let any old yokel drive a car, and that seems to me like a pretty bad idea.
There were no good old days.
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:5, Funny)
If you have to ask that question, you've never played Doom.
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:4, Insightful)
Good point. One of my consulting gigs came about when the regular admin killed himself working on a rocket engine. Partially blew himself up in the backyard. Died in his wife's arms.
It could have been worse. He could have hurt someone else too (I have no idea how competent the guy was with this stuff).
Now... I appreciate the drive that makes someone want to work with that stuff (unlike some of the admin's former coworkers). But at the same time, its no toy. The stuff is dangerous. To those who work with it and those who just happen to be in the area at the wrong time.
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:1)
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:2)
It may be the same. This happened in a Houston, TX suberb. I don't know the details and what little I have been told came from skeptical (and completely misunderstanding) former coworkers and employer of the individual mentioned.
Har har, but no regulations against my warp drive (Score:3, Insightful)
My real worry is not regulations against my warp drive cos there aren't any, its submarine patents.
I'm afraid in 1982 somebody may have made an initial filing which by the time my invention comes out will cover my invention.
Sam
Re:Har har, but no regulations against my warp dri (Score:2)
Re:Har har, but no regulations against my warp dri (Score:2)
Still, I'd like to see them try that with my time machine invention.
Sam
Goddard? (Score:3, Informative)
It really makes one wonder where we would be if Goddard had restrictions on fuel sources and flight space
Not to diminish Goddards achievements, but in terms of who-influenced-whom, he was more on a side-track of space explocation. Both Wernher von Braun and Sergej Korolov had most of their roots elsewhere. And of course, the military behind them, paving the road...
Re:Goddard? (Score:2)
Without the pioneering work of Goddard, space exploration would not be nearly as advanced as it is.
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:2)
Re:Makes you wonder (Score:2)
It shouldn't just seem that way. It is true. One of my professors when calling roll this year at my grad school (in chemical and biomolecular engineering) asked about a student that didn't show up. He jokingly asked if they had their visa revoked. This has happened significantly more since Dubya started his war on terror. Coun
Blam! (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Blam! (Score:4, Funny)
Well maybe we already have an X-prize winner and they have not yet claimed the prize.
Re:Blam! (Score:2)
Look... an astronaut trying to cover up "misuse of government resources" charge when his Quake game was uncovered by his headphones slipping from the laptop sound jack doesn't count. Carmack can't claim the X-Prize for launching a rocket in space - whether he programmed to rocketlauncher or not.
Re:Blam! (Score:2)
Re:Blam! (Score:1)
Not such a silly idea... (Score:3, Informative)
However, given his difficulties of getting hold of something relatively benign like hydrogen peroxide, I'm not liking Carmack's odds of getting the requisite quantities of plutonium :-)
This is what's needed (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:This is what's needed (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:This is what's needed (Score:3, Funny)
Perhaps we could convince McBride to go. Heck, I'd pay $699 for that!
Re:This is what's needed (Score:3, Insightful)
Or are you asking about risking my life to go on a space tour? the answer is Hell YEAH! Perhaps Americans have become overly safety-wimps^Wconscience, but in the rest of the world, we pay to take risky thrill-rides every day, the example that comes to mind is skydiving. And this'll be the ultimate thrill-ride if nothing else.
Are you s
Re:This is what's needed (Score:4, Interesting)
When we finally see sub-$1 per kg "launch" costs, it will be because we've finally built a series of space elevators around the equator, and that (unfortunately) takes a metric buttload of international redtape.
I admit that explosive phallic rockets are more exciting to dream about, though. I mean, who wants to take a cheap, practical, slow, silent maglev ride up a stationary elevator to geo, instead of blasting off scream'n "yeehaw!" all the way?
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Re:This is what's needed (Score:1, Funny)
Re:This is what's needed (Score:1)
Maybe it's a volume, not a weight.
Re:This is what's needed (Score:1)
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Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
The underlying costs of rocketry are very low; the fuel costs are below $50/kg (if you stick to hydrocarbon/LOX fuel). Currently the low costs are masked behind the incredibly low launch rate. The low launch rate means that currently expendable rockets are the cheapest way to go into space. The partly reusable Space Shuttle is
Re:This is what's needed (Score:1)
Well, carbon nanotubes do exist, just not in sufficient quantity or length yet.
elevators have limited life, tend to be cut by micrometeorites and space junk and are going to be more expensive than rockets
Space junk isn't such a huge problem if you design with redundancy; what are the odds of all, say, 3 ribbons being severed at the same time? And only the first elevator [www.isr.us] would cost an arm and a leg.
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Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
Hey, I'll go you one better...quarks and electrons exist, just not in the correct configuration yet. Any idea how to get them into the correct configuration? No? I'm thinking you're more of an idea rat.
Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
Unless you think you've got a clever idea for making a hyperstrong cable 36,000 km long.
Space elevators are a great idea. They're also science fiction for the next 50 years. Waiting for a space elevator to explore space is like waiting for a steam engine to the Western Atlantic.
Re:This is what's needed (Score:3, Interesting)
Anyone remember superconductors? (Score:3, Insightful)
Until somebody actually demonstrate
Re:Anyone remember superconductors? (Score:2)
Re:Anyone remember superconductors? (Score:2)
Re:Anyone remember superconductors? (Score:2)
Big dumb boosters are a great solution, for now.
Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
As I recall, there was also a large amount of money involved in getting us to the moon.
Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
Re:This is what's needed (Score:1)
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Re:This is what's needed (Score:1)
Is it feasible now? Certainly not. But anybody who says it's impossible is a fool.
Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
Even with a space elevator, we're not going to see sub $1/kg launch costs. Going from the Earth's surface to geosynchronous orbit straight up a vertical cable will cost you about 50 MJ (megajoules) per kg. That's a bit more than 14 kWh, so even at 100% efficiency, just the electricity for the tri
Re:This is what's needed (Score:1)
I was comparing the "personal rocket" ideal that the XPrize embodies (IMO), that you could conceivably fly from your independent backyard, to a space elevator elevator, that has to be built and shared in international space.
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Re:This is what's needed (Score:2)
"Slow and safe"? What? Have you been sleeping through the history of NASA? Heck - even if you limit your perspective to recent history and manned exploration... you're still facing some rather noteworthy disasters. Challenger. Columbia.
While NASA may do a lot to minimize the risks, they
Canada (Score:3, Interesting)
Eez breedge forst! (Score:1)
Forst, vee blow up breedge. Then vee get Moose and Sqvorrel!
Eez signed, Mr. Beegk.
Mmm.../. cache (Score:5, Informative)
windows media [freecache.org]
quicktime [freecache.org]
mpeg [freecache.org]
Is 10 million really enough? (Score:4, Interesting)
From the looks of their craft, 10 mill would hardly make a dent to recoup what some of these companies have put in already, and they haven't even made it to space yet!
Re:Is 10 million really enough? (Score:1)
Re:Is 10 million really enough? (Score:5, Insightful)
Looking at the teams:
Rutan - wants to build cool flying vehicles (e.g. round the world on one tank of gas.) Ignoring his photoshopped SpaceShipOne images, actually has a chance at the X-Prize within two years.
Carmack - wants to make cool rocket toys. Working on hovering, not space shots. 5% chance of X-Prize within 5 years.
Steve Bennett - publicity seeking loon. 0% chance of any rocketry of interest, ever.
All the rest - 20% chance of success with 5 years. Seriously, if you aren't test firing a R motor (think model rocketry A, B, C, etc) every week at this point, you don't have a hope of meeting the X-Prize goals in the next couple of years.
Re:Is 10 million really enough? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Is 10 million really enough? (Score:2)
Re:Is 10 million really enough? (Score:3, Insightful)
Rutan is ready to flight-test the rocket motor (Score:5, Interesting)
I guess the first firings would be short, and would be designed to test the vehicle in the powered and high-speed-glide speed and dynamics envelopes rather than the lower-speed glide one which is now reasonably well characterized.
This is all very exciting.
Bruce
Re:Rutan is ready to flight-test the rocket motor (Score:2)
Lighting the Candle. (Score:1)
The only real question is how far up is he gonna go today.
All of this could have happend yesterday to give him time to be in Kittyhawk today. Howeve
Re:Rutan is ready to flight-test the rocket motor (Score:1)
Re:Rutan is ready to flight-test the rocket motor (Score:1, Offtopic)
Heh (Score:3, Funny)
Nevermind that a good portion of the redtape involved has nothing to do with the environment - it's easier to just paint yourself as wounded by crazies on a crusade than rationally represent the problems the other side has with your actions. Not that I don't sympathize with Armadillo Aerospace here (the bureaucracy mindlessly bent on preventing its citizens from doing anything out of the ordinary is a tough thing to stare down), but it's good to know KAK was kicked out of id before she could really Yoko Ono Carmack . . .
Re:Heh (Score:1)
Rand's philosophy is sharply critical of libertarians because in practice they are typically anarchists, not those who advocate individual rights as protected by the Constitution.
The Apollo program was pretty rough on the Earth's environment in many ways too. And for God's sake, we left JUNK ON THE MOON! The astronauts who did this will surely burn for defacing the prestine lunar surface.
Of course, this sets an interesting precedence. The next time a volcano erupts an
Re:Heh (Score:2)
Going down to the wire (Score:5, Insightful)
That doesn't give them a lot of extra time if they experience trouble. Of course what is great about having multiple teams is that if one falters, another may succeed. Given the number of things which can go wrong (a zillion technical things, and of course the legal/funding/etc ones), however, it isn't hard to imagine all the teams being delayed past the deadline.
But having said all that, it is great to see this activity going on. Should be fun to watch!
Payout is insured? (Score:3, Interesting)
Still, can you imagine trying to put together a team to do that actuarial calculations for the premiums on that policy?
Recent Da Vinci story (Score:3, Informative)
An Appropriate Memorial (Score:4, Insightful)
I suspect that if they were somehow brought into the present era, the Wright Brothers would relate for more to the efforts of folks like Armadillo Aerospace than any of the official government programs.
Armadillo is Canadian? (Score:5, Funny)
Hmm... come to think of it, maybe that's not such a bad idea.
Re:Armadillo is Canadian? (Score:2)
Re:Armadillo is Canadian? (Score:1, Funny)
Sounds like an even trade.
Re:Armadillo is Canadian? (Score:1)
Alway's making us use that French speak.
Selling "droppings" (Score:2, Interesting)
http://www.armadilloaerospace.com/n.x/Armadillo/Ho me/Paraphernalia
Not only can they laugh at their mistakes, they can try to profit from them. ;)
See the Rutan X-Prize fly today (Score:1, Interesting)
Captive carry takeoff, launch, and re-entry modelled.
Did anyone else notice... (Score:2)
The Canadian flag on pg 3 gave them away.
Misread of the day (Score:2)
I thought it said "powdered flight" and wondered if cocaine wasn't older than that...
We aren't being held up by regulatory issues. (Score:5, Informative)
We have a good working relationship with AST, the division of the FAA that handles launch license, and we are one of only three companies (along with Scaled and XCOR) currently in the RLV launch license process. We have found all the people there helpful and eager to work with us. There is a lot of paperwork to be done, but we are working through it, and do not see a problem satisfying them. Things like calculating and minimizing expected third party casualty rates are obviously necessary and sensible.
The environmental aspects are less rational, with no analytical sense of scale.
Still, I'm only mildly concerned about the regulatory side of things. I think it will work out. None of our work is held up by any of this, so the worst case is that we have a vehicle built and tested repeatedly at the 200,000 lb-sec waivered impulse limit, with no launch license to allow us to fill the tank the rest of the way up. If that happens, THEN we get peeved about the situation, but continue flight testing with what we can.
Let me repeat: In no way have we been hampered by regulatory burden. Yet. We have been VERY hampered by commercial companies being too worried about liability exposure to work with us - peroxide companies, filament winders, and parachute companies have all caused us significant problems.
The supply issue with 90% peroxide basically cost us almost the entire year of flight testing. We spent the last six months developing a propellant combination that could conveniently replace the 90% peroxide based on widely available chemicals instead of the ultra-specialized propulsion grade. We are in the final optimizing and scale up phase of that. Instead of being irate about it, I try to look on the bright side - it is lots cheaper, easer to handle, and even a bit higher performance.
There are lots of problems still to be worked, but everything is coming along fine. We are behind schedule and somewhat over budget, but no worse off than any other project I have ever worked on...
John Carmack
Re:We aren't being held up by regulatory issues. (Score:1)
The next phase of successively higher alitude test and ultimately manned X Prize flights will be dependent on what the team calls its biggest challenge: the launch license application and accompanying environmental review. Technically, Armadillo claims they will be ready to fly X Prize missions well before the end of the year, but Team members are fond of referring to the Werhnher von Braun quote: "We can lick gravity,
MicroSoft, Amazon, PayPal funding (Score:2)
Re:space (Score:2)
Re:Morbid musings... (Score:5, Insightful)
Rocket fuel, (PowerPoint-slide obsessed) professionals, and a whole NASA-load of official oversight. Experimentally verified as dangerous.
Anything less than 14 dead is an incredible improvement over the present situation.
Re:Morbid musings... (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Morbid musings... (Score:2)
Absolutely.
For all the times I bash NASA here, I'd fly on either the Shuttle or an X-Prize vehicle if offered the chance.
My slams against NASA and the Shuttle are largely along the lines of the AC who posted in thi
Re:Morbid musings... (Score:2)
No denying NASA's bureaucratic failures. But the preventable nature of both crashes, coupled with the number of successful flights, speaks more good of the agency's engineering prowess than it does ill of its managerial problems.
Re:Morbid musings... (Score:1, Informative)
The shuttle is a horrible design, its the epitome of form over function. This is primarily because it was insisted that the shuttle be able to glide back to earth. Thus its design is poorly suited to reentry and it also must carry heavy mass penalties such as wings and landing gear that eat into its available payload. And perhaps most damaging of all to the overall design are the cockpit windows, which aside from serving almost no function at all, create numerous difficulties during
Re:VolksRocket, what happened to it ? (Score:1)